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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the BREXIT negotiations start in Brussels LAB take 3% lead
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the BREXIT negotiations start in Brussels LAB take 3% lead in new Survation poll
New Survation voting poll for GMB has LAB 3% aheadCON 41%-1LAB 44% +4LD 6% =UKIP 2% -1Changes on Jun 5th
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I feel sure a lot of people lost a lot of money because of the polls and that's a serious matter for a betting blog.
Brexit negotiations should be delayed 32%
Brexit negotiations should not be delayed 65%
Don’t know 3%
http://mailchi.mp/survation/post-election-poll-for-the-mail-on-sunday-1118693
What they can assist with is trends. Survation presumably have not tinkered with their approach, given that approach did so well ten days ago. We can therefore be reasonably confident that there has been some shift from the Conservatives to Labour since then.
Net Support:
2017 Vote
OA: +3
Con: -66
Lab: +60
LD: 0
Perhaps the return of MPs from their constituencies will concentrate minds.
This is going to be a long hot summer and I really do fear for the streets of London.
I am also very concerned at the reputational damage this is doing to London and our Country.
All politicians need to be careful how they react and they all need to stop playing political point scoring
9/5 15/5 22/5 30/5 5/6 19/6
CON 47% 48% 43% 43% 41% 41%
LAB 30% 30% 34% 37% 40% 44%
That said, I would imagine the Conservatives would not be displeased with this poll and I'm amused that there are any PB Tories in a panic over it. For the kind of awful week the government, and in particular May has had, Labour I think will be disappointed to see that they only have a 3 point lead over a government in this much chaos.
There will be those who want to try to stop the QS but that must not be allowed to happen
http://news.sky.com/story/theresa-may-no-running-commentary-on-brexit-negotiations-10568803
I think there just might be - see coverage on pages 1-14.
Laughable then, hilarious now.
The overall score of the big 2 is as high as I can recall seeing it. It appears that some Kippers wishing to go back to the 1950s have had at least a part of their wish granted after all. With the SNP probably on 4 % the Lib Dems, UKIP and the Greens are sharing 11% between them.
Edit - And don't even get me started on people who put pineapple on their pizzas.
'Voters who had previously voted Lib Dem, in both 2010 and 2015, did not return to the party, with Lib Dem vote share contracting nationally from the last election.'
b) your argument doesn't follow, for those pollsters who use self-reported likelihood to vote. If older voters become re-engaged then presumably they will say that they intend to vote next time?
I'd revoke their British citizenship and exile them to the Pitcairn Islands.
OA - Con - Lab:
Brexit: 12 - 18 - 6
NHS: 10 - 2 - 21
Economy: 8 - 11 - 6
Party Leader: 8 - 12 - 6
Tribal Loyalty: 8 - 8 - 11
Immigration: 7 - 12 - 3
Education: 3 - 1 - 5
Pensions/Retirement: 0 - 0 - 1
(full disclosure, I love pineapple pizza)
Net Support:
OA: -15
Con: -64
Lab: +31
Irrespective, I'm sure some elements will try to portray it as such.
Country is in a terrible state right now.
https://twitter.com/thetimesscot/status/876692276277370882
John Swinney has become the latest SNP figure to hint that Nicola Sturgeon is preparing to abandon her independence referendum timetable, after a senior MP suggested the vote should be “parked”.
The deputy first minister, Ms Sturgeon’s most senior cabinet ally, suggested a vote is now a matter of if rather than when, in a clear departure from his party’s emphatic stance before it lost 21 seats at the general election.
One pro-Isis post said “Oh Muslims you need to wake up the war starting on your own streets”. It also questioned why the police didn’t shoot dead the attacker.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/live/2017/jun/19/north-london-van-incident-finsbury-park-casualties-collides-pedestrians-live-updates
On the latter point, at a guess 'he'd already been apprehended, was not stabbing people and did not appear to be wearing a suicide vest'
The property market is not insoluble. But solving it is politically inconvenient. The Tories need the votes of people who own their own homes and want to see their values maintained.
This place is getting ridiculous, 99% of the population go about their everyday lives without ever thinking about politics.
Some people's obsession with party politics is very worrying, it must be remembered that very few politicians give a toss about the people they represent.
Net support:
OA: -19
Con: -58
Lab: +17
I could see it get to the stage, where enough Tory MP's vote with most Labour MP's to block legislation or budget measures, that the Government would throw in the towell. There is no majority in Parliament for a harder WTO version of Brexit.
There is no chance of Tories with DUP support governing for a full 5 year term. There is likely to be another election in 2018 or 19.
http://www.markpack.org.uk/files/2017/04/PollBase.xls
Mrs May went on to condemn the Mail's coverage, saying it was "absolutely not" the description she would use for her critics.
http://www.itv.com/news/2017-04-19/pm-rejects-daily-mails-saboteurs-election-headline-after-mcdonnell-criticises-nasty-coverage/
At least the break up of the UK (a real prospect three years ago) looks to have been averted.
Surprisingly little churn in the polling given horrendous continual coverage of the Conservatives and a displeasing lack of condemnation from the press for a rabble-rousing fool who thinks seizing or occupying private property is a great idea.