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  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,651

    Pulpstar said:

    Source is Geazon Gregory who gave the Guadeloupe numbers in Andrea Parma's earlier post.

    Date looks odd to me though, 6th April just an error from Guadeloupe stationers ?

    https://twitter.com/Pulpstar/status/861193711392346112

    Looks like a ward count to me.

    Gaudeloupe is 5 hours behind Paris. They vote the day before the mainland France because of this.
    Yes but the month is wrong (I think), the day is correct.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,373
    edited May 2017
    Floater said:


    Daddy Le Pen says daughter is "not fit for presidency"

    Lack of competence or just not fash enough?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,651
    nunu said:

    Sandpit said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Source is Geazon Gregory who gave the Guadeloupe numbers in Andrea Parma's earlier post.

    Date looks odd to me though, 6th April just an error from Guadeloupe stationers ?

    https://twitter.com/Pulpstar/status/861193711392346112

    Looks like a ward count to me.

    Do we know what's the difference between "Blancs" and "Nuls", they can't have 15% spoiled ballots can they?
    if it really is 15% abstenteeism that is bad news for Macron.
    Not really, L'Outre Mer had very poor turnout. St Seine Denis is lowest turnout so far today and a strong Melenchon area.
    The population here is poor, so one would expect absentee ballots to be higher than the France mainland.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    edited May 2017
    Sandpit said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Source is Geazon Gregory who gave the Guadeloupe numbers in Andrea Parma's earlier post.

    Date looks odd to me though, 6th April just an error from Guadeloupe stationers ?

    https://twitter.com/Pulpstar/status/861193711392346112

    Looks like a ward count to me.

    Do we know what's the difference between "Blancs" and "Nuls", they can't have 15% spoiled ballots can they?
    Blancs = Literally left blank as a protest
    Nuls = Spoilt; more that one candidate marked, penis drawn on it etc.

    But this is Guadeloupe and probably not representative of the mainland.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Thread title reminds me of when Harman railed against women being called 'love'. Did make me wonder if she'd ever heard of Yorkshire.

    On the thread itself, surely this is because ideological belief in the EU is a priori? They have a belief ('more Europe' = better), and stick to it. It's not reasoned. If it were, they'd examine the evidence and reach a conclusion as per science. But because it's faith, ideology, over sceptical reason, they already know the answer.

    When you already know the truth, dissent is heresy.

    Mr. Urquhart, same happened to me, fortunately I'd copied the above.

    An interesting phenomenon is religious style belief in various "creeds", mirroring the decline in traditional religion.

    For example, try having an evidence based discussion of the merits of various types of recycling. Pointing out the trees that paper are made from are farmed, and that unless you are quite careful, you end up spending far more energy and chemicals on making recycled paper, gets you labeled as a "bad" person.
    Similarly with carbon footprint of food. Bad to import food from New Zealand because of fuel and refrigeration to get it here. OK to use fertilizers and fuel-intensive farming techniques here because it's 'locally farmed'.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Pulpstar said:

    Source is Geazon Gregory who gave the Guadeloupe numbers in Andrea Parma's earlier post.

    Date looks odd to me though, 6th April just an error from Guadeloupe stationers ?

    https://twitter.com/Pulpstar/status/861193711392346112

    Looks like a ward count to me.

    Gaudeloupe is 5 hours behind Paris. They vote the day before the mainland France because of this.
    A day. Not a month and a day.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    edited May 2017

    An excellent thread header (ie I agree with almost all of it).

    However, the EU appear to have given up on Britain as a constructive partner for the time being (to be fair, they have had ample cause to do so), so they feel free to indulge their prejudices. This is bad news for the EU and bad news for Britain.

    There is a school of thought that the Juncker leak was all about letting German voters know just how poorly prepared the British are so that when talks do break down German voters will not blame Merkel or the EU generally.

    I am not sure that having fundamental disagreements on substance and refusal to be bullied or blackmailed is evidence of lack of preparation.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726
    MTimT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Source is Geazon Gregory who gave the Guadeloupe numbers in Andrea Parma's earlier post.

    Date looks odd to me though, 6th April just an error from Guadeloupe stationers ?

    https://twitter.com/Pulpstar/status/861193711392346112

    Looks like a ward count to me.

    Gaudeloupe is 5 hours behind Paris. They vote the day before the mainland France because of this.
    A day. Not a month and a day.
    Oh missed that apologies :)
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548
    Why is Sam Billings keeping wicket in the cricket and not Bairstow?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,774
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Allowing herself to be wound-up by a washed-out, powerless drunk from Luxembourg who will have almost no role in the negotiations does not augur well for the times when our PM has to meet serious and powerful players from the EU. Toy throwing and baseless accusations might win elections, but they rarely deliver good agreements.

    Perhaps someone in the EU could take Juncker to one side and inform him he is powerless?

    The shock might kill him. Or his laughing fit.

    He gets to run the Commission, which does as it is told by the Council of Ministers. Lots of nice lunches with important people though.

    How very sophisticated and blase that summary sounds. I doubt it is true: he seems to get lots of air time and an important title. I think this is another example of Remainer snobbery: the little people might think that the President of the EC was an important position, just as they might think that accession negotiations were about negotiating accession, but the elite knows better.

    And the less important he in reality is, the greater the puzzlement that he has not been forcibly retired by whoever is important enough to remove him. It is only the black swan event of Trump which saves him from being the most embarrassing arsehole currently on the world stage.

    Yep, you know me: a fully paid up member of the elite :-D

    The Commission implements policy, it does not decide it. That's the way it works. The real power in the EU lies with the Council of Ministers and, to a lesser extent, with some of the individual DGs, which get to interpret policy on a day to day basis: DG Competition, for example.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,554

    Sandpit said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Source is Geazon Gregory who gave the Guadeloupe numbers in Andrea Parma's earlier post.

    Date looks odd to me though, 6th April just an error from Guadeloupe stationers ?

    https://twitter.com/Pulpstar/status/861193711392346112

    Looks like a ward count to me.

    Do we know what's the difference between "Blancs" and "Nuls", they can't have 15% spoiled ballots can they?
    Blancs = Literally left blank as a protest
    Nuls = Spoilt; more that one candidate marked, penis drawn on it etc.

    But this is Guadeloupe and probably not representative of the mainland.
    Okay thanks, so two slightly different versions of not voting. Active v passive abstention in person, very French!
  • swing_voterswing_voter Posts: 1,464
    Not to mention of course that the David Davis admitted that the govt had not done any costings or cost benefit analysis of leaving the single market
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,774
    MTimT said:

    An excellent thread header (ie I agree with almost all of it).

    However, the EU appear to have given up on Britain as a constructive partner for the time being (to be fair, they have had ample cause to do so), so they feel free to indulge their prejudices. This is bad news for the EU and bad news for Britain.

    There is a school of thought that the Juncker leak was all about letting German voters know just how poorly prepared the British are so that when talks do break down German voters will not blame Merkel or the EU generally.

    I am not sure that having fundamental disagreements on substance and refusal to be bullied or blackmailed is evidence of lack of preparation.

    No, it's not. But an absence of any signs of being prepared may well be.

  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    surbiton said:

    Pulpstar said:

    surbiton said:

    surbiton said:

    In the ICM marginal subsets, attention understandably has been on Labour held seats <15%.

    Has anyone seen the Con held seats < 10% ?

    Warning: sample size.</p>
    It gives a 12% lead for the Conservatives in Conservative marginals ie approximately a 3.5% swing from 2015.

    As the Conservatives defended their marginals very well in 2015 I wouldn't expect a large swing in them this time.
    I hope you have seen poll 5: [ 02/05 ]. I don't think it is 12%.

    Warning: sample size
    A subsample of a single non probability sampled poll showing 31% to 31% ? Sorry, that doesn't prove anything.
    Why are you putting words into my posting ? I did not mention 31%. You did. I was just looking at the trend.

    And I warned about sample size in every post !
    He put words in your posting because you three times said "look at the numbers" without actually giving the numbers.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548
    As my comment got eaten at the start of the thread. Minor site suggestion.

    Would it be possible to put in a hide / reveal toggle for the header articles. Much that I appreciate the articles and always read them, when viewing on mobile if you then want to interact with the comments it can be a real pain to have to scroll through all of the articles each time you do a page refresh.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Floater said:


    Daddy Le Pen says daughter is "not fit for presidency"

    Best recommendation for her yet, tbh.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    "It is fine for a German politician to tweet that “The British government must abandon myth that all British will be better off post-Brexit.” More fruitful might be to abandon the myth that all British were better off before Brexit and, indeed, that all Europeans are better off as a result of the EU’s decisions in recent years."

    This interests me in terms of how we define "better off". It could mean less tax, it might mean shorter waiting lists, higher interest rates, more jobs etc etc. Everybody has their own idea of what it means, it is impossible that everybody is "better off".

    Indeed. If you believe in Maslow's hierarchy of needs, once the physiological and security needs are met, then being 'better off' has very little to do with economics.
  • tim80tim80 Posts: 99
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Allowing herself to be wound-up by a washed-out, powerless drunk from Luxembourg who will have almost no role in the negotiations does not augur well for the times when our PM has to meet serious and powerful players from the EU. Toy throwing and baseless accusations might win elections, but they rarely deliver good agreements.

    Perhaps someone in the EU could take Juncker to one side and inform him he is powerless?

    The shock might kill him. Or his laughing fit.

    He gets to run the Commission, which does as it is told by the Council of Ministers. Lots of nice lunches with important people though.

    How very sophisticated and blase that summary sounds. I doubt it is true: he seems to get lots of air time and an important title. I think this is another example of Remainer snobbery: the little people might think that the President of the EC was an important position, just as they might think that accession negotiations were about negotiating accession, but the elite knows better.

    And the less important he in reality is, the greater the puzzlement that he has not been forcibly retired by whoever is important enough to remove him. It is only the black swan event of Trump which saves him from being the most embarrassing arsehole currently on the world stage.
    Indeed. The European Commission is the most important of the EU bodies when it comes to the content and enforcement of EU legislation. Those people who smugly say that "we have an elected European Parliament" or "it's the Heads of Government that decide policies" cannot have given serious consideration to how the EU works.

    It is the EC which initiates new legislation and holds the power to repeal existing (rarely exercised). It is the EC which holds the pen on the drafting of legislation. It is the EC which has nearly all the technical experts, a huge institutional advantage. It is the EC which is the focus of lobbying efforts by industry and others.

    I have worked in industry affected by EU legislation. Believe me, when an EC official walks into the room he is accorded respect and carries authority that in the UK would be reserved for the head of an elected MP like the Chair of a Commons Select Committee. And the lobbyists cluster around the Berlaymont building on the Schuman roundabout because they know that is where power lies.
  • Blackburn are relegated.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548

    Blackburn are relegated.

    Jack Walker will be turning in his grave.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    edited May 2017

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Allowing herself to be wound-up by a washed-out, powerless drunk from Luxembourg who will have almost no role in the negotiations does not augur well for the times when our PM has to meet serious and powerful players from the EU. Toy throwing and baseless accusations might win elections, but they rarely deliver good agreements.

    Perhaps someone in the EU could take Juncker to one side and inform him he is powerless?

    The shock might kill him. Or his laughing fit.

    He gets to run the Commission, which does as it is told by the Council of Ministers. Lots of nice lunches with important people though.

    How very sophisticated and blase that summary sounds. I doubt it is true: he seems to get lots of air time and an important title. I think this is another example of Remainer snobbery: the little people might think that the President of the EC was an important position, just as they might think that accession negotiations were about negotiating accession, but the elite knows better.

    And the less important he in reality is, the greater the puzzlement that he has not been forcibly retired by whoever is important enough to remove him. It is only the black swan event of Trump which saves him from being the most embarrassing arsehole currently on the world stage.

    Yep, you know me: a fully paid up member of the elite :-D

    The Commission implements policy, it does not decide it. That's the way it works. The real power in the EU lies with the Council of Ministers and, to a lesser extent, with some of the individual DGs, which get to interpret policy on a day to day basis: DG Competition, for example.
    Wrong. The Commission has the power of initiative. In effect, it sets the agenda on all issues except at the very highest of levels.

    What this means is that most regulations pass without any input at all from the Council.
  • BaskervilleBaskerville Posts: 391

    Why is Sam Billings keeping wicket in the cricket and not Bairstow?

    So management can have a look at Billings who's done so well in the IPL. Also so he can get as much pitch-time as possible before the Champions Trophy when he will be back-up for wicketkeeper-batters, Bairstow and Buttler.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,910
    nunu said:

    Sandpit said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Source is Geazon Gregory who gave the Guadeloupe numbers in Andrea Parma's earlier post.

    Date looks odd to me though, 6th April just an error from Guadeloupe stationers ?

    https://twitter.com/Pulpstar/status/861193711392346112

    Looks like a ward count to me.

    Do we know what's the difference between "Blancs" and "Nuls", they can't have 15% spoiled ballots can they?
    if it really is 15% abstenteeism that is bad news for Macron.
    It really isn't. That is exactly what all the polls are already factoring in. The largest share of both Fillon and Melenchon supporters say they will abstain.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548
    edited May 2017
    Ed Miliband's 'grass roots' mowing picture was just a PR stunt, angry homeowner claims

    Photos of Ed Miliband helping a voter mow her lawn as he campaigned in the local elections were "set up" by his team, the "angry" constituent has claimed.

    However, the voter has suggested she had to help Mr Miliband start the machine and that she had originally believed he was a Jehovah's Witness.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/07/ed-milibands-grass-roots-mowing-picture-just-pr-stunt-angry/
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    surbiton said:

    surbiton said:

    In the ICM marginal subsets, attention understandably has been on Labour held seats <15%.

    Has anyone seen the Con held seats < 10% ?

    Warning: sample size.</p>
    It gives a 12% lead for the Conservatives in Conservative marginals ie approximately a 3.5% swing from 2015.

    As the Conservatives defended their marginals very well in 2015 I wouldn't expect a large swing in them this time.
    I hope you have seen poll 5: [ 02/05 ]. I don't think it is 12%.

    Warning: sample size
    Only 3% Con lead in Conservative marginals in that Guardian poll ie approximately a 1% swing to Labour from 2015.

    All this is showing is that the swing in Conservative marginals is likely to be below average.

    As the battleground is unlikely to be in Conservative marginals that's not going to have any practical effect.
    I believe that Labour was comfortably ahead in Gower last week.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Ed Miliband's 'grass roots' mowing picture was just a PR stunt, angry homeowner claims

    Photos of Ed Miliband helping a voter mow her lawn as he campaigned in the local elections were "set up" by his team, the "angry" constituent has claimed.

    However, the voter has suggested she had to help Mr Miliband start the machine and that she had originally believed he was a Jehovah's Witness.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/07/ed-milibands-grass-roots-mowing-picture-just-pr-stunt-angry/

    Reading that, I really thought it was a Daily Mash article! Or perhaps The Onion
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    MTimT said:

    An excellent thread header (ie I agree with almost all of it).

    However, the EU appear to have given up on Britain as a constructive partner for the time being (to be fair, they have had ample cause to do so), so they feel free to indulge their prejudices. This is bad news for the EU and bad news for Britain.

    There is a school of thought that the Juncker leak was all about letting German voters know just how poorly prepared the British are so that when talks do break down German voters will not blame Merkel or the EU generally.

    I am not sure that having fundamental disagreements on substance and refusal to be bullied or blackmailed is evidence of lack of preparation.

    No, it's not. But an absence of any signs of being prepared may well be.

    Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,910
    PAW said:

    That washed-out, powerless drunk from Luxembourg seems to be taking control of all the banks in Europe, though, and intends to have oversight over non EU banks too. So perhaps he is not so washed-out.

    There is a pattern where agreements with the EU have been made - and at the last minute are torn up and fresh demands are made by Brussels. I think the efforts to bail out some Italian banks show this, the Italian government has been treated with contempt.

    Really? What has happened with the Italian banks that you are concerned about?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,774
    tim80 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Allowing herself to be wound-up by a washed-out, powerless drunk from Luxembourg who will have almost no role in the negotiations does not augur well for the times when our PM has to meet serious and powerful players from the EU. Toy throwing and baseless accusations might win elections, but they rarely deliver good agreements.

    Perhaps someone in the EU could take Juncker to one side and inform him he is powerless?

    The shock might kill him. Or his laughing fit.

    He gets to run the Commission, which does as it is told by the Council of Ministers. Lots of nice lunches with important people though.

    How very sophisticated and blase that summary sounds. I doubt it is true: he seems to get lots of air time and an important title. I think this is another example of Remainer snobbery: the little people might think that the President of the EC was an important position, just as they might think that accession negotiations were about negotiating accession, but the elite knows better.

    And the less important he in reality is, the greater the puzzlement that he has not been forcibly retired by whoever is important enough to remove him. It is only the black swan event of Trump which saves him from being the most embarrassing arsehole currently on the world stage.
    Indeed. The European Commission is the most important of the EU bodies when it comes to the content and enforcement of EU legislation. Those people who smugly say that "we have an elected European Parliament" or "it's the Heads of Government that decide policies" cannot have given serious consideration to how the EU works.

    It is the EC which initiates new legislation and holds the power to repeal existing (rarely exercised). It is the EC which holds the pen on the drafting of legislation. It is the EC which has nearly all the technical experts, a huge institutional advantage. It is the EC which is the focus of lobbying efforts by industry and others.

    I have worked in industry affected by EU legislation. Believe me, when an EC official walks into the room he is accorded respect and carries authority that in the UK would be reserved for the head of an elected MP like the Chair of a Commons Select Committee. And the lobbyists cluster around the Berlaymont building on the Schuman roundabout because they know that is where power lies.

    The Commission is the EU's civil service. Its only powers relate to implementation. The head of the Commission is powerful in the way that the head of the UK civil service is powerful. He can do nothing that goes against the wishes of the Council of Ministers.
  • Arthur_PennyArthur_Penny Posts: 198
    Howey the lads
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    As my comment got eaten at the start of the thread. Minor site suggestion.

    Would it be possible to put in a hide / reveal toggle for the header articles. Much that I appreciate the articles and always read them, when viewing on mobile if you then want to interact with the comments it can be a real pain to have to scroll through all of the articles each time you do a page refresh.

    http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,925
    MTimT said:

    Ed Miliband's 'grass roots' mowing picture was just a PR stunt, angry homeowner claims

    Photos of Ed Miliband helping a voter mow her lawn as he campaigned in the local elections were "set up" by his team, the "angry" constituent has claimed.

    However, the voter has suggested she had to help Mr Miliband start the machine and that she had originally believed he was a Jehovah's Witness.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/07/ed-milibands-grass-roots-mowing-picture-just-pr-stunt-angry/

    Reading that, I really thought it was a Daily Mash article! Or perhaps The Onion
    6/1 on a Labour gain in Gower with Betfair.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,774
    MTimT said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Allowing herself to be wound-up by a washed-out, powerless drunk from Luxembourg who will have almost no role in the negotiations does not augur well for the times when our PM has to meet serious and powerful players from the EU. Toy throwing and baseless accusations might win elections, but they rarely deliver good agreements.

    Perhaps someone in the EU could take Juncker to one side and inform him he is powerless?

    The shock might kill him. Or his laughing fit.

    He gets to run the Commission, which does as it is told by the Council of Ministers. Lots of nice lunches with important people though.

    How very sophisticated and blase that summary sounds. I doubt it is true: he seems to get lots of air time and an important title. I think this is another example of Remainer snobbery: the little people might think that the President of the EC was an important position, just as they might think that accession negotiations were about negotiating accession, but the elite knows better.

    And the less important he in reality is, the greater the puzzlement that he has not been forcibly retired by whoever is important enough to remove him. It is only the black swan event of Trump which saves him from being the most embarrassing arsehole currently on the world stage.

    Yep, you know me: a fully paid up member of the elite :-D

    The Commission implements policy, it does not decide it. That's the way it works. The real power in the EU lies with the Council of Ministers and, to a lesser extent, with some of the individual DGs, which get to interpret policy on a day to day basis: DG Competition, for example.
    Wrong. The Commission has the power of initiative. In effect, it sets the agenda on all issues except at the very highest of levels.

    What this means is that most regulations pass without any input at all from the Council.

    The Commission can do nothing that the Council does not want it to do.

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548
    When will Ed Miliband learn his lesson about setup PR shots? Bacon Butty Gate, 3 Kitchens, Ed-Stone, now fake news lawn mowing.
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,270
    League One football next season, first ever Premier League Champions to end up playing in the third division.

    Nothing will change unless the owners are replaced with better ones.
  • swing_voterswing_voter Posts: 1,464
    all this European Commission bashing - people need to get out more and rely less on populist newspapers part-truths...

  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    The head of the Commission is powerful in the way that the head of the UK civil service is powerful. He can do nothing that goes against the wishes of the Council of Ministers.

    First, you are simply wrong. The head of the Commission has way more powers than any UK civil servant. Second, 'He can do nothing that goes against the wishes of the Council of Ministers' leaves an awful lot of room for action, some of which may ultimately end up counter to the wishes of a majority in the Council, simply as the Council does not have enough CPU time to monitor all the Commission does.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 52,105
    MTimT said:

    Thread title reminds me of when Harman railed against women being called 'love'. Did make me wonder if she'd ever heard of Yorkshire.

    On the thread itself, surely this is because ideological belief in the EU is a priori? They have a belief ('more Europe' = better), and stick to it. It's not reasoned. If it were, they'd examine the evidence and reach a conclusion as per science. But because it's faith, ideology, over sceptical reason, they already know the answer.

    When you already know the truth, dissent is heresy.

    Mr. Urquhart, same happened to me, fortunately I'd copied the above.

    An interesting phenomenon is religious style belief in various "creeds", mirroring the decline in traditional religion.

    For example, try having an evidence based discussion of the merits of various types of recycling. Pointing out the trees that paper are made from are farmed, and that unless you are quite careful, you end up spending far more energy and chemicals on making recycled paper, gets you labeled as a "bad" person.
    Similarly with carbon footprint of food. Bad to import food from New Zealand because of fuel and refrigeration to get it here. OK to use fertilizers and fuel-intensive farming techniques here because it's 'locally farmed'.
    One problem with "environmental" arguments is getting people to understand scale and replacement effects.
  • PAWPAW Posts: 1,074
    rcs1000 - the new demand for thousands more job losses at Monte dei Paschi di Siena.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 52,105
    MTimT said:

    The head of the Commission is powerful in the way that the head of the UK civil service is powerful. He can do nothing that goes against the wishes of the Council of Ministers.

    First, you are simply wrong. The head of the Commission has way more powers than any UK civil servant. Second, 'He can do nothing that goes against the wishes of the Council of Ministers' leaves an awful lot of room for action, some of which may ultimately end up counter to the wishes of a majority in the Council, simply as the Council does not have enough CPU time to monitor all the Commission does.
    In theory, a UK Civil servant cannot go against the wishes of the Minister of his department. Compare that theory to the memoirs of politicians from all parties - they are full of accounts of how the "system" has it's own policies and carries them out.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    MTimT said:

    Thread title reminds me of when Harman railed against women being called 'love'. Did make me wonder if she'd ever heard of Yorkshire.

    On the thread itself, surely this is because ideological belief in the EU is a priori? They have a belief ('more Europe' = better), and stick to it. It's not reasoned. If it were, they'd examine the evidence and reach a conclusion as per science. But because it's faith, ideology, over sceptical reason, they already know the answer.

    When you already know the truth, dissent is heresy.

    Mr. Urquhart, same happened to me, fortunately I'd copied the above.

    An interesting phenomenon is religious style belief in various "creeds", mirroring the decline in traditional religion.

    For example, try having an evidence based discussion of the merits of various types of recycling. Pointing out the trees that paper are made from are farmed, and that unless you are quite careful, you end up spending far more energy and chemicals on making recycled paper, gets you labeled as a "bad" person.
    Similarly with carbon footprint of food. Bad to import food from New Zealand because of fuel and refrigeration to get it here. OK to use fertilizers and fuel-intensive farming techniques here because it's 'locally farmed'.
    One problem with "environmental" arguments is getting people to understand scale and replacement effects.
    Yep. Whole life cycle accounting is an alien concept. And who thinks to include the carbon footprint contribution of the industries used to subsidize green policies?
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,367
    A good article, Mrs Cyclefree.

    I watched an hour or so of the European Parliament yesterday. A Spanish professor spoke a lot of practical sense about WHAT the EU needed to do. Unfortunately, it was followed by Michel Barmier with the usual la-la-la, we're not listening, we must punish the traitorous sons of Albion.

    Sad, really. The Chuckle Brothers (Juncker and Barnier) have the self-awareness and intransigence of Jeremy Corbyn without his intelligence (yes, I know).

  • IcarusIcarus Posts: 994
    (1) Does EU Law guarantee an absolute right to move and reside anywhere in the EU?

    No. Treaty rights of free movement are subject to limitations.

    Article 45(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (hereinafter: TFEU) states that the rights to (a) accept offers of employment, (b) move freely between States to take up employment, (c) reside in other Member States, and (d) the right to stay in another Member State after employment has finished, are subject to ‘limitations justified on grounds of public policy, public security or public health’. This means, to simplify, that national authorities can adopt restrictive measures on a case-by-case basis against EU workers on any of these three grounds.



    Sounds as if the problem is that the UK government hasn't bothered to read the treaties it signed.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042

    Floater said:


    Daddy Le Pen says daughter is "not fit for presidency"

    Best recommendation for her yet, tbh.
    I honestly believe that his repeated criticisms of her during the campaign were pre-agreed.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,774
    MTimT said:

    The head of the Commission is powerful in the way that the head of the UK civil service is powerful. He can do nothing that goes against the wishes of the Council of Ministers.

    First, you are simply wrong. The head of the Commission has way more powers than any UK civil servant. Second, 'He can do nothing that goes against the wishes of the Council of Ministers' leaves an awful lot of room for action, some of which may ultimately end up counter to the wishes of a majority in the Council, simply as the Council does not have enough CPU time to monitor all the Commission does.

    So, exactly the same as ministers and the civil service in the UK. Have you never heard of the Blob?

  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,355
    Icarus said:

    (1) Does EU Law guarantee an absolute right to move and reside anywhere in the EU?

    No. Treaty rights of free movement are subject to limitations.

    Article 45(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (hereinafter: TFEU) states that the rights to (a) accept offers of employment, (b) move freely between States to take up employment, (c) reside in other Member States, and (d) the right to stay in another Member State after employment has finished, are subject to ‘limitations justified on grounds of public policy, public security or public health’. This means, to simplify, that national authorities can adopt restrictive measures on a case-by-case basis against EU workers on any of these three grounds.



    Sounds as if the problem is that the UK government hasn't bothered to read the treaties it signed.

    Benefit rules have caught up. EU citizens can no longer claim benefits unless they are generally resident in this country and actually looking for work.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,222
    edited May 2017
    tim80 said:



    I have worked in industry affected by EU legislation. Believe me, when an EC official walks into the room he is accorded respect and carries authority that in the UK would be reserved for the head of an elected MP like the Chair of a Commons Select Committee. And the lobbyists cluster around the Berlaymont building on the Schuman roundabout because they know that is where power lies.

    I have worked in such industries too, and that accords exactly with my own experience, and was probably the most powerful personal reason in my voting Leave.

    I would only add that it's not just industry and lobbyists which think that way - officials and politicians from the Member States and extra-EU officials do too.

    The Council can, in theory, and occasionally in practice, make life difficult for the Commission, but in practice the Commission will get its own way. The sheer volume of work will swamp the Council; the Commission has the staff and most of the experts; there is a strong incentive not to be seen to be anti-Communitaire; and most of the members of the Council are likely to go native after a while anyway.

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548
    edited May 2017
    England going bonkers in the cricket...82 runs in last 7 overs with loss of no wickets.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587

    An excellent thread header (ie I agree with almost all of it).

    However, the EU appear to have given up on Britain as a constructive partner for the time being (to be fair, they have had ample cause to do so), so they feel free to indulge their prejudices. This is bad news for the EU and bad news for Britain.

    Correct. in principle I'd like the negotiations to have a satisfactory result for all sides. But on the basis of the British approach so far, the appropriate European response is "Go away, have your election, and come baqck when you've stopped posturing." Juncker's and Merkel's comment seem fair enough in the circs.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726
    Icarus said:

    (1) Does EU Law guarantee an absolute right to move and reside anywhere in the EU?

    No. Treaty rights of free movement are subject to limitations.

    Article 45(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (hereinafter: TFEU) states that the rights to (a) accept offers of employment, (b) move freely between States to take up employment, (c) reside in other Member States, and (d) the right to stay in another Member State after employment has finished, are subject to ‘limitations justified on grounds of public policy, public security or public health’. This means, to simplify, that national authorities can adopt restrictive measures on a case-by-case basis against EU workers on any of these three grounds.



    Sounds as if the problem is that the UK government hasn't bothered to read the treaties it signed.

    That is only on an individual basis. It cannot, for example, be used to justify limiting the right to work as a matter of general policy. And each individual case would be subject to a decision by he ECJ.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    edited May 2017

    Icarus said:

    (1) Does EU Law guarantee an absolute right to move and reside anywhere in the EU?

    No. Treaty rights of free movement are subject to limitations.

    Article 45(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (hereinafter: TFEU) states that the rights to (a) accept offers of employment, (b) move freely between States to take up employment, (c) reside in other Member States, and (d) the right to stay in another Member State after employment has finished, are subject to ‘limitations justified on grounds of public policy, public security or public health’. This means, to simplify, that national authorities can adopt restrictive measures on a case-by-case basis against EU workers on any of these three grounds.



    Sounds as if the problem is that the UK government hasn't bothered to read the treaties it signed.

    That is only on an individual basis. It cannot, for example, be used to justify limiting the right to work as a matter of general policy. And each individual case would be subject to a decision by he ECJ.
    All of those limitations have been severely weakened by the (post-Maastricht) ECJ jurisprudence on Article 20 and the right to non-discrimination.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,249
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    As always, an excellent and well written thread header from Ms Cyclefree. My only comment being that Mme Le Pen has gotten to (say) 38% in the second round by ditching many of the historic policies of the FN, and going all Kirchner on us. I suspect if you surveyed the people in the vast majority of developed countries and asked questions like: do you think the government policies should look to protect and nurture national businesses? do think firms outsource too much to low cost countries? etc., then you'd see a similar level of support everywhere. Heck, Donald Trump just got elected on a Kirchner-esque platform.

    The real tragedy of European politics is that the bulk of Eurosceptics are unsuitable for office. Geert Wilders is a total nut job. Berlusconi makes Fillon look like a model of probity. And Mme Le Pen represents a party that said as recently as 2009 that the Holocaust was a mere "detail" of history.

    If they were fit for office, they would be portrayed as unfit anyway.
    I think we're all grown up enough to make our own judgements.
    It's a view.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548
    edited May 2017

    England going bonkers in the cricket...82 runs in last 7 overs with loss of no wickets.

    99 off the last 8 overs with Bairstow 72 off 44 balls...modern cricket for you.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548
    Alan Johnson recalls his time as health secretary under former prime minister Gordon Brown.

    He says one morning Mr Brown was half listening to Radio 4's Today when he heard Alan Johnson would be interviewed in the prime 08:10 slot.

    "There were no announcements on health to be made, no emergencies to respond to. What was I playing at, Gordon demanded to know. Was this insubordination? Spontaneity? A leadership bid?" Mr Johnson wrote.

    After a number of "frantic" calls between the BBC and Alan Johnson's media adviser at the time, Chris Norton, they were able to explain the situation to Downing Street.

    BBC correspondent Alan Johnston was being interviewed on the programme about his kidnap ordeal in Gaza where he was held captive for 114 days.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-39799138

    Wasn't called the Prime Mentalist for nothing.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited May 2017

    England going bonkers in the cricket...82 runs in last 7 overs with loss of no wickets.

    99 off the last 8 overs with Bairstow 72 off 44 balls...modern cricket for you.
    Kolkata Knight Riders were 105/0 off their first 6 overs in the IPL today!

    http://www.espncricinfo.com/indian-premier-league-2017/engine/match/1082636.html
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548


    An excellent thread header (ie I agree with almost all of it).

    However, the EU appear to have given up on Britain as a constructive partner for the time being (to be fair, they have had ample cause to do so), so they feel free to indulge their prejudices. This is bad news for the EU and bad news for Britain.

    Correct. in principle I'd like the negotiations to have a satisfactory result for all sides. But on the basis of the British approach so far, the appropriate European response is "Go away, have your election, and come baqck when you've stopped posturing." Juncker's and Merkel's comment seem fair enough in the circs.
    Though post election reshuffle, French assembly elections, the summer break then September German elections eat up a lot of remaining time this year. Expect some posturing for a while yet, then Italian elections next spring. Time is ticking away to WTO hard Brexit.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548
    edited May 2017
    BBC now reporting on Ed Miliband's fake news story. Awkward. The quote is a absolute killer. Not only fake, but Ed living up to his reputation of being bloody useless.

    "He couldn't start the machine, I had to help him," the paper quotes her as saying.

    "It was rubbish. I'm not even a Labour supporter. If it had been David Miliband it would have been absolutely fine."
  • AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852
    edited May 2017
    MTimT said:

    One problem with "environmental" arguments is getting people to understand scale and replacement effects.

    Yep. Whole life cycle accounting is an alien concept. And who thinks to include the carbon footprint contribution of the industries used to subsidize green policies?
    Reducing cement production in the UK because it is environmentally unfriendly, uses a lot of power and generates a lot of CO2, and then importing cement from China where is is produced less enviromentally soundly, and less efficiently, and then add on the costs of transporting a heavy bulky product around the world.

    Similarly energy tarrifs on high power consumption industies like steel or aluminium smelting, forcing them off shore where the same or more power is used, and then add on the costs to import.

    Export jobs whilst making the enviroment worse.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548
    isam said:

    England going bonkers in the cricket...82 runs in last 7 overs with loss of no wickets.

    99 off the last 8 overs with Bairstow 72 off 44 balls...modern cricket for you.
    Kolkata Knight Riders were 105/0 off their first 6 overs in the IPL today!

    http://www.espncricinfo.com/indian-premier-league-2017/engine/match/1082636.html
    In my day.....that were a good total in 20 over cricket...
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,548
    BBC live feed..

    Mr McDonnell also discusses Marxism and what there is to learn from Das Kapital

    Voice over...Coming this autumn...John McDonnell presents a 5 part series called Introduction to Marxism.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726

    MTimT said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Allowing herself to be wound-up by a washed-out, powerless drunk from Luxembourg who will have almost no role in the negotiations does not augur well for the times when our PM has to meet serious and powerful players from the EU. Toy throwing and baseless accusations might win elections, but they rarely deliver good agreements.

    Perhaps someone in the EU could take Juncker to one side and inform him he is powerless?

    The shock might kill him. Or his laughing fit.

    He gets to run the Commission, which does as it is told by the Council of Ministers. Lots of nice lunches with important people though.

    How very sophisticated and blase that summary sounds. I doubt it is true: he seems to get lots of air time and an important title. I think this is another example of Remainer snobbery: the little people might think that the President of the EC was an important position, just as they might think that accession negotiations were about negotiating accession, but the elite knows better.

    And the less important he in reality is, the greater the puzzlement that he has not been forcibly retired by whoever is important enough to remove him. It is only the black swan event of Trump which saves him from being the most embarrassing arsehole currently on the world stage.

    Yep, you know me: a fully paid up member of the elite :-D

    The Commission implements policy, it does not decide it. That's the way it works. The real power in the EU lies with the Council of Ministers and, to a lesser extent, with some of the individual DGs, which get to interpret policy on a day to day basis: DG Competition, for example.
    Wrong. The Commission has the power of initiative. In effect, it sets the agenda on all issues except at the very highest of levels.

    What this means is that most regulations pass without any input at all from the Council.

    The Commission can do nothing that the Council does not want it to do.

    Completely wrong. Under the Lisbon Treaty the Commission derives its power from the Treaties not from the Council. It is subject to rulings on interpretation by the ECJ and cannot make decisions on certain areas reserved for the Council such as foreign policy but for the majority of the daily decisions made by the EU it is answerable to the ECJ not the Council. If the Council wishes to object to or prevent a Commission decision it has to get a ruling from the ECJ to do so.

    Executive power over the EU as a whole is held by the Commission not the Council.
  • AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852
    edited May 2017
    Icarus said:

    (1) Does EU Law guarantee an absolute right to move and reside anywhere in the EU?

    No. Treaty rights of free movement are subject to limitations.

    Article 45(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (hereinafter: TFEU) states that the rights to (a) accept offers of employment, (b) move freely between States to take up employment, (c) reside in other Member States, and (d) the right to stay in another Member State after employment has finished, are subject to ‘limitations justified on grounds of public policy, public security or public health’. This means, to simplify, that national authorities can adopt restrictive measures on a case-by-case basis against EU workers on any of these three grounds.



    Sounds as if the problem is that the UK government hasn't bothered to read the treaties it signed.

    No, the problem is that those treaties have since been interpreted by the CJEU and have since aquired a much more generous (to the person seeking to move) interpretation.

    Also see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citizens’_Rights_Directive
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 52,105

    MTimT said:

    One problem with "environmental" arguments is getting people to understand scale and replacement effects.

    Yep. Whole life cycle accounting is an alien concept. And who thinks to include the carbon footprint contribution of the industries used to subsidize green policies?
    Reducing cement production in the UK because it is environmentally unfriendly, uses a lot of power and generates a lot of CO2, and then importing cement from China where is is produced less enviromentally soundly, and less efficiently, and then add on the costs of transporting a heavy bulky product around the world.

    Similarly energy tarrifs on high power consumption industies like steel or aluminium smelting, forcing them off shore where the same or more power is used, and then add on the costs to import.

    Export jobs whilst making the enviroment worse.
    I actually got accused of being a fascist, once, because I believe that the well-to-wheels* calculation is the sensible way to measure emissions by cars.

    *Not a bad explanation here https://matter2energy.wordpress.com/2013/02/22/wells-to-wheels-electric-car-efficiency/
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    edited May 2017


    An excellent thread header (ie I agree with almost all of it).

    However, the EU appear to have given up on Britain as a constructive partner for the time being (to be fair, they have had ample cause to do so), so they feel free to indulge their prejudices. This is bad news for the EU and bad news for Britain.

    Correct. in principle I'd like the negotiations to have a satisfactory result for all sides. But on the basis of the British approach so far, the appropriate European response is "Go away, have your election, and come back when you've stopped posturing." Juncker's and Merkel's comment seem fair enough in the circs.
    Except you are blaming only one side for things not going well, when cyclefree is, I believe, making the point that both sides have been at fault. Indeed, that is the conclusion of the piece (Time for both to say less in public and think more). You are saying we've been idiots and the Europeans are responding, when it is simply more complicated than that, since Tusk for one also chided Juncker (implicitly, when talking of the need for discretion, when the EU side were the ones who leaked). So no, it is not about we've done something, then they've responded with the statesman like response, as you claim.

    So once again we have the seemingly reasonable concluding that it is ok for the EU to act inappropriately, but not for the UK, when the actually reasonable would say perhaps both should act appropriately.The leak was inappropriate and insulting, May responded with insults, and hopefully both those things are merely posturing, but the posturing is still demonstrably not coming from one - and as cyclefree points out 'Even if you have right or the law or a majority on your side, a touch of humility, an acceptance that the other side is entitled to feel whatever it is they are feeling, that they have a point – even if you do not agree with it – can help defuse a heated situation'.

    Your approach is to say, in effect, that 'No, they're right and we're wrong, therefore it is ok when they act in a manner designed to inflame, rather than defuse, a heated situation'.

    Our approach is not helping, but hopefully it is just electioneering. Hiking up demands and leaking that we're delusional idiots - even if that is true, for the sake of argument - you think that is the EU being reasonable? Ok, do you think it helps come to a deal? They are no more being grown ups here than May is.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited May 2017
    The strong correlation of football success with Brexit vote continues, with not just the top of the Premiership Remainer, and the relegation zone for Leave. The same pattern of Leave underpermance is present at the bottom of the Championship, with Remainer strength in the Premiership by gaining two more Remainer teams.

    Astute PB bettors will want to back Reading or Fulham for the third promotion slot.

    Now, back to that garden ;-)
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587



    The Commission can do nothing that the Council does not want it to do.

    Completely wrong. Under the Lisbon Treaty the Commission derives its power from the Treaties not from the Council. It is subject to rulings on interpretation by the ECJ and cannot make decisions on certain areas reserved for the Council such as foreign policy but for the majority of the daily decisions made by the EU it is answerable to the ECJ not the Council. If the Council wishes to object to or prevent a Commission decision it has to get a ruling from the ECJ to do so.

    Executive power over the EU as a whole is held by the Commission not the Council.
    It would however be accurate to say that the power of initiative ressts with the Council of Ministers. The Commission can'tsimply think up a new policy and implement it; it is limited to exectuve action for existing legislation and preparing draft legislation on request.

    It's a classic civil service/quango function. In the same way, the Environment Agency in Britain has the power to implement and enforce the laws on environmental proteciton, but it can't suddenly write some new ones.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587
    Macron shrtening steadily on Betfair - down from 1.10 yesterday to 1.05 now.

    Meanwhile, Betfair continues to ponder on whether there's going to be a British General Election his year. Parliament's been dissolved, the Queen has given it the nod, the candidate nomination deadline is looming. Hmm, difficult to tell, eh?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 52,105



    The Commission can do nothing that the Council does not want it to do.

    Completely wrong. Under the Lisbon Treaty the Commission derives its power from the Treaties not from the Council. It is subject to rulings on interpretation by the ECJ and cannot make decisions on certain areas reserved for the Council such as foreign policy but for the majority of the daily decisions made by the EU it is answerable to the ECJ not the Council. If the Council wishes to object to or prevent a Commission decision it has to get a ruling from the ECJ to do so.

    Executive power over the EU as a whole is held by the Commission not the Council.
    It would however be accurate to say that the power of initiative ressts with the Council of Ministers. The Commission can'tsimply think up a new policy and implement it; it is limited to exectuve action for existing legislation and preparing draft legislation on request.

    It's a classic civil service/quango function. In the same way, the Environment Agency in Britain has the power to implement and enforce the laws on environmental proteciton, but it can't suddenly write some new ones.
    You will find that the Environment Agency (for example) can be remarkably inventive in discovering ways that it can dictate policies and changes without primary legislation.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,554

    England going bonkers in the cricket...82 runs in last 7 overs with loss of no wickets.

    99 off the last 8 overs with Bairstow 72 off 44 balls...modern cricket for you.
    I just switched it on, expecting a 20 over match. Nope, it's a 50 over match! Eng 328/6 after their fifty.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830

    kle4 said:

    The way you talk about the EU, more fanatically than any senior EU official or head of government I have ever seen, is astonishing. Guy Verhofstadt is a passionate and vocal supporter of the EU project, he can be pretty rude toward those who do not share his vision, but even he does not seem as extreme as you.

    I do not think the EU is by any means
    Could have fooled me. I've seen arch europhile EU officials criticise or at least critique it more than you.
  • tim80tim80 Posts: 99

    tim80 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Allowing herself to be wound-up by a washed-out, powerless drunk from Luxembourg who will have almost no role in the negotiations does not augur well for the times when our PM has to meet serious and powerful players from the EU. Toy throwing and baseless accusations might win elections, but they rarely deliver good agreements.





    The Commission is the EU's civil service. Its only powers relate to implementation. The head of the Commission is powerful in the way that the head of the UK civil service is powerful. He can do nothing that goes against the wishes of the Council of Ministers.
    No. You are simply ignorant of how the EU works, both in theory and practice. I suggest you do some reading on the matter.
  • AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852



    The Commission can do nothing that the Council does not want it to do.

    Completely wrong. Under the Lisbon Treaty the Commission derives its power from the Treaties not from the Council. It is subject to rulings on interpretation by the ECJ and cannot make decisions on certain areas reserved for the Council such as foreign policy but for the majority of the daily decisions made by the EU it is answerable to the ECJ not the Council. If the Council wishes to object to or prevent a Commission decision it has to get a ruling from the ECJ to do so.

    Executive power over the EU as a whole is held by the Commission not the Council.
    It would however be accurate to say that the power of initiative ressts with the Council of Ministers. The Commission can'tsimply think up a new policy and implement it; it is limited to exectuve action for existing legislation and preparing draft legislation on request.

    It's a classic civil service/quango function. In the same way, the Environment Agency in Britain has the power to implement and enforce the laws on environmental proteciton, but it can't suddenly write some new ones.
    Would it not be fair to say that the requests from the Council are generally speaking pretty broad-brush, and that within that general outline it is for the Commission to decide on the implementation in most cases. Its not a lot better than enabling powers for UK Ministers.

    A directive from the Council that the Commisson should bring forward proposals and draft legislation for providing solutions to excess immigration from outside the EU (for example) does leave them quite a lot of latitude for what actually happens.

    Meanwhile the European Parliament, the actually elected bit, has no powers to bring forward new legislation at all.
  • AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852

    Macron shrtening steadily on Betfair - down from 1.10 yesterday to 1.05 now.

    Meanwhile, Betfair continues to ponder on whether there's going to be a British General Election his year. Parliament's been dissolved, the Queen has given it the nod, the candidate nomination deadline is looming. Hmm, difficult to tell, eh?

    I think they are playing it safe incase a meteorite strike hits Central London...
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,774
    kle4 said:


    An excellent thread header (ie I agree with almost all of it).

    However, the EU appear to have given up on Britain as a constructive partner for the time being (to be fair, they have had ample cause to do so), so they feel free to indulge their prejudices. This is bad news for the EU and bad news for Britain.

    Correct. in principle I'd like the negotiations to have a satisfactory result for all sides. But on the basis of the British approach so far, the appropriate European response is "Go away, have your election, and come back when you've stopped posturing." Juncker's and Merkel's comment seem fair enough in the circs.
    Except you are blaming only one side for things not going well, when cyclefree is, I believe, making the point that both sides have been at fault. Indeed, that is the conclusion of the piece. You are saying we've been idiots and the Europeans are responding, when it is simply more complicated than that, since Tusk for one also chided Juncker (implicitly, when talking of the need for discretion, when the EU side were the ones who leaked).

    So once again we have the seemingly reasonable concluding that it is ok for the EU to act inappropriately, but not for the UK, when the actually reasonable would say perhaps both should act appropriately.

    This is a fair point. However, there are differences. For example, Juncker has no say over the EU's negotiating position and will play little to no role in the Brexit negotiations. To portray him as "the EU" is just plain wrong, or dishonest. Barnier and the national leaders are the key players in all this. May, on the other hand, will ultimately decide the UK's negotiating positions and will lead the negotiations for us.

  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,774
    tim80 said:

    tim80 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Allowing herself to be wound-up by a washed-out, powerless drunk from Luxembourg who will have almost no role in the negotiations does not augur well for the times when our PM has to meet serious and powerful players from the EU. Toy throwing and baseless accusations might win elections, but they rarely deliver good agreements.





    The Commission is the EU's civil service. Its only powers relate to implementation. The head of the Commission is powerful in the way that the head of the UK civil service is powerful. He can do nothing that goes against the wishes of the Council of Ministers.
    No. You are simply ignorant of how the EU works, both in theory and practice. I suggest you do some reading on the matter.

    I have done. It's my job.

  • AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    The way you talk about the EU, more fanatically than any senior EU official or head of government I have ever seen, is astonishing. Guy Verhofstadt is a passionate and vocal supporter of the EU project, he can be pretty rude toward those who do not share his vision, but even he does not seem as extreme as you.

    I do not think the EU is by any means
    Could have fooled me. I've seen arch europhile EU officials criticise or at least critique it more than you.
    I can't recall more than a token posting that doesnt some how come back to what a disaster BrExit is and how there will soon follow plagues of locusts etc. Its more monotonous than the offerings of IOS or that Hillary ramper we had a few months ago.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726



    The Commission can do nothing that the Council does not want it to do.

    Completely wrong. Under the Lisbon Treaty the Commission derives its power from the Treaties not from the Council. It is subject to rulings on interpretation by the ECJ and cannot make decisions on certain areas reserved for the Council such as foreign policy but for the majority of the daily decisions made by the EU it is answerable to the ECJ not the Council. If the Council wishes to object to or prevent a Commission decision it has to get a ruling from the ECJ to do so.

    Executive power over the EU as a whole is held by the Commission not the Council.
    It would however be accurate to say that the power of initiative ressts with the Council of Ministers. The Commission can'tsimply think up a new policy and implement it; it is limited to exectuve action for existing legislation and preparing draft legislation on request.

    It's a classic civil service/quango function. In the same way, the Environment Agency in Britain has the power to implement and enforce the laws on environmental proteciton, but it can't suddenly write some new ones.
    Actually again not true. If you will excuse me using Wikipedia for ease rather than digging out the specific clauses:

    "The Commission differs from the other institutions in that it alone has legislative initiative in the EU. Only the Commission can make formal proposals for legislation: they cannot originate in the legislative branches. Under the Treaty of Lisbon, no legislative act is allowed in the field of the Common Foreign and Security Policy. In the other fields the Council and Parliament are able to request legislation; in most cases the Commission initiates the basis of these proposals."

    The Commission can and does think up new policy.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Scott_P said:
    Opening of article says SNP support has diminished - SNP first preference vote is up is it not?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,880

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    The way you talk about the EU, more fanatically than any senior EU official or head of government I have ever seen, is astonishing. Guy Verhofstadt is a passionate and vocal supporter of the EU project, he can be pretty rude toward those who do not share his vision, but even he does not seem as extreme as you.

    I do not think the EU is by any means
    Could have fooled me. I've seen arch europhile EU officials criticise or at least critique it more than you.
    I can't recall more than a token posting that doesnt some how come back to what a disaster BrExit is and how there will soon follow plagues of locusts etc. Its more monotonous than the offerings of IOS or that Hillary ramper we had a few months ago.
    I posted extensively before the US election predicting a Trump victory and the manner in which it would happen, but at this point Brexit overwhelms all other issues.

    In the context of Brexit, criticisms of the EU miss the point. It's there and we have to deal with it. We sought for hundreds of years to avoid facing a united Europe alone, and now through our own actions that's exactly what we've conspired to bring about. The fools who brought us to this position (by which I mean the Eurosceptic politicians) need to pay a heavy price for their undermining of our national interest.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Macron shrtening steadily on Betfair - down from 1.10 yesterday to 1.05 now.

    Meanwhile, Betfair continues to ponder on whether there's going to be a British General Election his year. Parliament's been dissolved, the Queen has given it the nod, the candidate nomination deadline is looming. Hmm, difficult to tell, eh?

    Le Pen on 30-35% is now better odds than the 40-45% band FWIW.

    Assuming the result reporting times match the first round, Le Pen is likely to drift down by a couple of percent or so from the initial reported results.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,145

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    The way you talk about the EU, more fanatically than any senior EU official or head of government I have ever seen, is astonishing. Guy Verhofstadt is a passionate and vocal supporter of the EU project, he can be pretty rude toward those who do not share his vision, but even he does not seem as extreme as you.

    I do not think the EU is by any means
    Could have fooled me. I've seen arch europhile EU officials criticise or at least critique it more than you.
    I can't recall more than a token posting that doesnt some how come back to what a disaster BrExit is and how there will soon follow plagues of locusts etc. Its more monotonous than the offerings of IOS or that Hillary ramper we had a few months ago.
    619. Dearly missed.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,554
    edited May 2017

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    The way you talk about the EU, more fanatically than any senior EU official or head of government I have ever seen, is astonishing. Guy Verhofstadt is a passionate and vocal supporter of the EU project, he can be pretty rude toward those who do not share his vision, but even he does not seem as extreme as you.

    I do not think the EU is by any means
    Could have fooled me. I've seen arch europhile EU officials criticise or at least critique it more than you.
    I can't recall more than a token posting that doesnt some how come back to what a disaster BrExit is and how there will soon follow plagues of locusts etc. Its more monotonous than the offerings of IOS or that Hillary ramper we had a few months ago.
    HillaryBot #619 was hilarious, constantly pretending that she was just a political follower, yet she managed to write 10,000 posts in six months - of which 9,000 were blatant ramping for Hillary - only to disappear on the night of the election.

    The funniest thing, which I'm still not sure she noticed, was that precisely no-one commenting on this board actually had a vote in the US Presidential election.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,145
    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    The way you talk about the EU, more fanatically than any senior EU official or head of government I have ever seen, is astonishing. Guy Verhofstadt is a passionate and vocal supporter of the EU project, he can be pretty rude toward those who do not share his vision, but even he does not seem as extreme as you.

    I do not think the EU is by any means
    Could have fooled me. I've seen arch europhile EU officials criticise or at least critique it more than you.
    I can't recall more than a token posting that doesnt some how come back to what a disaster BrExit is and how there will soon follow plagues of locusts etc. Its more monotonous than the offerings of IOS or that Hillary ramper we had a few months ago.
    HillaryBot #619 was hilarious, constantly pretending that she was just a political follower, yet she managed to write 10,000 posts in six months - of which 9,000 were blatant ramping for Hillary - only to disappear on the night of the election.

    The funniest thing, which I'm still not sure she noticed, was that precisely no-one commenting on this board actually had a vote in the US Presidential election.
    A few do, but the vast majority do not. So very much a wasted effort.
  • AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    The way you talk about the EU, more fanatically than any senior EU official or head of government I have ever seen, is astonishing. Guy Verhofstadt is a passionate and vocal supporter of the EU project, he can be pretty rude toward those who do not share his vision, but even he does not seem as extreme as you.

    I do not think the EU is by any means
    Could have fooled me. I've seen arch europhile EU officials criticise or at least critique it more than you.
    I can't recall more than a token posting that doesnt some how come back to what a disaster BrExit is and how there will soon follow plagues of locusts etc. Its more monotonous than the offerings of IOS or that Hillary ramper we had a few months ago.
    I posted extensively before the US election predicting a Trump victory and the manner in which it would happen, but at this point Brexit overwhelms all other issues.

    In the context of Brexit, criticisms of the EU miss the point. It's there and we have to deal with it. We sought for hundreds of years to avoid facing a united Europe alone, and now through our own actions that's exactly what we've conspired to bring about. The fools who brought us to this position (by which I mean the Eurosceptic politicians) need to pay a heavy price for their undermining of our national interest.
    But your chance of changing the mind of anyone on this site by banging on about it is approximate the square root of zero. Even if you should manage the a feat of changing a single mind at the expensive of boring everyone else to death, no one here has any influence over it (unless TP gets lucky :wink: ).
  • calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    Alistair said:

    Scott_P said:
    Opening of article says SNP support has diminished - SNP first preference vote is up is it not?
    Commentariat going with "feelings" not facts !
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    Re Juncker: who can fire him if he does something particularly stupid?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,774



    The Commission can do nothing that the Council does not want it to do.

    Completely wrong. Under the Lisbon Treaty the Commission derives its power from the Treaties not from the Council. It is subject to rulings on interpretation by the ECJ and cannot make decisions on certain areas reserved for the Council such as foreign policy but for the majority of the daily decisions made by the EU it is answerable to the ECJ not the Council. If the Council wishes to object to or prevent a Commission decision it has to get a ruling from the ECJ to do so.

    Executive power over the EU as a whole is held by the Commission not the Council.
    It would however be accurate to say that the power of initiative ressts with the Council of Ministers. The Commission can'tsimply think up a new policy and implement it; it is limited to exectuve action for existing legislation and preparing draft legislation on request.

    It's a classic civil service/quango function. In the same way, the Environment Agency in Britain has the power to implement and enforce the laws on environmental proteciton, but it can't suddenly write some new ones.
    Actually again not true. If you will excuse me using Wikipedia for ease rather than digging out the specific clauses:

    "The Commission differs from the other institutions in that it alone has legislative initiative in the EU. Only the Commission can make formal proposals for legislation: they cannot originate in the legislative branches. Under the Treaty of Lisbon, no legislative act is allowed in the field of the Common Foreign and Security Policy. In the other fields the Council and Parliament are able to request legislation; in most cases the Commission initiates the basis of these proposals."

    The Commission can and does think up new policy.

    But no legislation becomes law until the Council of Ministers has OKed it and it has been passed by a vote of the European Parliament.

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,880

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    The way you talk about the EU, more fanatically than any senior EU official or head of government I have ever seen, is astonishing. Guy Verhofstadt is a passionate and vocal supporter of the EU project, he can be pretty rude toward those who do not share his vision, but even he does not seem as extreme as you.

    I do not think the EU is by any means
    Could have fooled me. I've seen arch europhile EU officials criticise or at least critique it more than you.
    I can't recall more than a token posting that doesnt some how come back to what a disaster BrExit is and how there will soon follow plagues of locusts etc. Its more monotonous than the offerings of IOS or that Hillary ramper we had a few months ago.
    I posted extensively before the US election predicting a Trump victory and the manner in which it would happen, but at this point Brexit overwhelms all other issues.

    In the context of Brexit, criticisms of the EU miss the point. It's there and we have to deal with it. We sought for hundreds of years to avoid facing a united Europe alone, and now through our own actions that's exactly what we've conspired to bring about. The fools who brought us to this position (by which I mean the Eurosceptic politicians) need to pay a heavy price for their undermining of our national interest.
    But your chance of changing the mind of anyone on this site by banging on about it is approximate the square root of zero. Even if you should manage the a feat of changing a single mind at the expensive of boring everyone else to death, no one here has any influence over it (unless TP gets lucky :wink: ).
    Boring people to death is a good substitute for changing minds. Look at the exodus of Leavers from politics since the vote already. In the end the whole country will be so bored of Brexit we'll just want it to go away and never be spoken of again.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,145
    Alistair said:

    Scott_P said:
    Opening of article says SNP support has diminished - SNP first preference vote is up is it not?
    'support' is a nebulous term and could include second etc. preferences too.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,544
    NEW THREAD
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,651

    Macron shrtening steadily on Betfair - down from 1.10 yesterday to 1.05 now.

    Meanwhile, Betfair continues to ponder on whether there's going to be a British General Election his year. Parliament's been dissolved, the Queen has given it the nod, the candidate nomination deadline is looming. Hmm, difficult to tell, eh?

    I could do with that market being settled at a loss of 387 to me. I am going to be into premium charges once the French election is settled...
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726



    The Commission can do nothing that the Council does not want it to do.

    Completely wrong. Under the Lisbon Treaty the Commission derives its power from the Treaties not from the Council. It is subject to rulings on interpretation by the ECJ and cannot make decisions on certain areas reserved for the Council such as foreign policy but for the majority of the daily decisions made by the EU it is answerable to the ECJ not the Council. If the Council wishes to object to or prevent a Commission decision it has to get a ruling from the ECJ to do so.

    Executive power over the EU as a whole is held by the Commission not the Council.
    It would however be accurate to say that the power of initiative ressts with the Council of Ministers. The Commission can'tsimply think up a new policy and implement it; it is limited to exectuve action for existing legislation and preparing draft legislation on request.

    It's a classic civil service/quango function. In the same way, the Environment Agency in Britain has the power to implement and enforce the laws on environmental proteciton, but it can't suddenly write some new ones.
    Actually again not true. If you will excuse me using Wikipedia for ease rather than digging out the specific clauses:

    "The Commission differs from the other institutions in that it alone has legislative initiative in the EU. Only the Commission can make formal proposals for legislation: they cannot originate in the legislative branches. Under the Treaty of Lisbon, no legislative act is allowed in the field of the Common Foreign and Security Policy. In the other fields the Council and Parliament are able to request legislation; in most cases the Commission initiates the basis of these proposals."

    The Commission can and does think up new policy.

    But no legislation becomes law until the Council of Ministers has OKed it and it has been passed by a vote of the European Parliament.

    Nor until the Commission has agreed it. They have far more power than the Civil Service and your portrayal of them as such is simply false.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,373

    NEW THREAD

  • tim80tim80 Posts: 99

    tim80 said:

    tim80 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Allowing herself to be wound-up by a washed-out, powerless drunk from Luxembourg who will have almost no role in the negotiations does not augur well for the times when our PM has to meet serious and powerful players from the EU. Toy throwing and baseless accusations might win elections, but they rarely deliver good agreements.





    The Commission is the EU's civil service. Its only powers relate to implementation. The head of the Commission is powerful in the way that the head of the UK civil service is powerful. He can do nothing that goes against the wishes of the Council of Ministers.
    No. You are simply ignorant of how the EU works, both in theory and practice. I suggest you do some reading on the matter.

    I have done. It's my job.

    Oh dear
This discussion has been closed.