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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Macron makes it to the final two then surely he’s the next

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  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,883
    IanB2 said:

    'Strengthen the government's hand and give May the best shot in the negotiations' is going to be a strong line for the Tories.

    She's realised that the EU holds all the cards and doesn't want 18 months of humiliation.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095

    justin124 said:

    But Labour can block it!

    Do not think they can politically
    how many votes needed 400plus
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,111
    And it's put up or shut up from Lab plotters.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,289
    New day, new thread
  • BigIanBigIan Posts: 198
    What happens to Gorton now, then...?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Walking in the Welsh hills has clearly focused her mind.
  • Wow wasn't expecting that. Despite all her previous announcements to the contrary this is definitely the smart move for her to make.

    This also indicates she will stand on a manifesto that displeases ultra-leavers. She can get endorsement via electorate for a form of transition deal, because she has no chance of losing to Corbyn. She wants to get her insurance policy in against inevitable cries of betrayal.

    I agree with this

    She can't be beaten by remainers/opposition parties or by hard brexiters, so can get a 'mandate' for anything in between
  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400


    This also indicates she will stand on a manifesto that displeases ultra-leavers.

    I doubt there will be anything specific in the manifesto about the negotiations - just meaningless fluff about forging a new and deep relationship with Europe and having the best possible trading terms. The last thing she will want is a GE on the detail of Brexit - all she will want is a focus on who is best / most trusted to deliver.


    The insurance from the head-bangers will simply be that she has a lot more MPs.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,410
    justin124 said:

    But Labour can block it!

    She has essentially said Labour is an irrelevance. I wouldn't put it past Corbyn to agree with her.

    More worryingly she also views parliament and and anyone who voted Remain as irrelevances too.
  • BannedInParisBannedInParis Posts: 2,191
    TGOHF said:

    justin124 said:

    But Labour can block it!

    Is Jezza red or yellow ?
    I *like* that line.
  • David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Election JUNE 8th
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,411
    TOPPING said:

    And it's put up or shut up from Lab plotters.

    Surely they won't mount another challenge against Corbyn? No time before GE...
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,712

    Walking in the Welsh hills has clearly focused her mind.

    Except of course this gives the Labour party a chance to survive when they kick out Jezza
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,111
    rkrkrk said:

    TOPPING said:

    And it's put up or shut up from Lab plotters.

    Surely they won't mount another challenge against Corbyn? No time before GE...
    Well they're out on their ear if they don't.
  • BannedInParisBannedInParis Posts: 2,191
    rkrkrk said:

    TOPPING said:

    And it's put up or shut up from Lab plotters.

    Surely they won't mount another challenge against Corbyn? No time before GE...
    I can't see them putting in the effort in the next month or so.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    It neatly solves the problem of the 12 seats too.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Good morning all.

    June 8th. I'm genuinely surprised. This is huge.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Wow.

    Yesterday I remarked that The problem with Clegg's FTPA (and, specifically, Osborne's five year amendment to it) is that there are two conflicting things that the good of the country requires: a functioning opposition and hard Leftism to be trounced at an election since the lesson of 1983 has apparently been forgotten - it looks like May has found a way to square the circle.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449
    Well, this makes the weekend thread comparing Theresa May with Gordon Brown look particularly silly
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843
    I haven't even given thought to who to vote for yet. I am honestly not sure who. I'm in a Labour-Tory marginal (Labour held). I can't stand Corbyn but like the local MP. I'm probably closest to a Lib Dem position but not interested in stopping Brexit, though I support a soft Brexit. The LDs have always been irrelevant in my seat anyway.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,301
    edited April 2017
    Tom Blenkinsop has stepped down in Middlesborough and E Cleveland, how many other MPs will do the same?

    Always possible that Greens, Labour, UKIP and LDs might have new leaders after the GE.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,301

    Well, this makes the weekend thread comparing Theresa May with Gordon Brown look particularly silly

    Lesson from Gordon Brown, say nothing about intention to go to polls.
  • But this wasn't going to happen????
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,301
    No sign of Corbyn on TV or Twitter.
This discussion has been closed.