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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB moves to 19% deficit with YouGov, drops vote share in all latest by-elections & loses seat to CON
After budget debacle, Tories slump to er… 19-point lead, highest in government for 30 yearshttps://t.co/Da8rb748dG pic.twitter.com/aH69ITa2Mf
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Samsung is doing a 5G trial in the UK, although I'm buggered if I can remember where. If you Google you can probably find it.
The big difference between the US wired networks and ours is simply that in the US they are much happier to string cables up in the air and between houses. If you get cable in the UK, they have to dig a trench to your home. In the US, it'll usually go along cables above your head. Not having to dig up roads makes roll outs a lot cheaper.
Difficult to emphasise how bad this is for Corbyn.
Hums ....
Titter ....
On the measures themselves all of them got good numbers of support.
Not what you'd think reading here......
In St Ives, a constituency won by the Conservatives from the Lib Dems in 2015, some 38.3 per cent are self-employed.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/09/self-employed-backlash-could-decimate-tory-majority-future-election/?WT.mc_id=tmg_share_fb
Their belief is real and sincere. No. Seriously, it is.
I think their vote will prove to be soft even at these levels. 4% of pensioners thinking he is the best PM is nearer the mark.
Of course nixk palmer said Corbyn wouldn't go even if the unions turned him, not until hrs ready.
http://britainthinks.com/pdfs/BritainThinks_Brexit-Diaries-Breakfast-Briefing_FINAL.pdf
but wont
So is it better to break up BT and enable more competition but at a smaller scale, or let it grow and invest? Do we want cheaper low-speed networks now or high-speed networks soon?
I don't associate St Ives with masses of high paid self employment.
Andrew Bolt is one of my favourite broadcasters, he takes no prisoners.
The Bolt Report
#TheBoltReport: Bill Leak was a genius who never flinched and always told the truth as he saw it. He will be missed. https://t.co/1Eca6fpngO
Time to throw in the towel?
Smuggling and piracy ain't being top of the government pay roll ....
Pieces of eight, pieces of eight ....
DavidL said
":What the furore really highlights for me is what a pernicious tax employers national insurance is. Taxing someone for employing someone else. It's really nuts and a major driver of all the pretend self employment we have these days with people losing security of employment, sick and holiday pay and maternity rights as a result. Employers NI is evil and getting rid of it would address a range of issues."
I would suggest exactly the opposite. The problem is that employers want a well educated and healthy workforce but are not willing to pay for it. It is the same problem as we have with employers wanting to.import labour from overseas and then wash their hands of them when they are no longer needed.
If anything we need to extend employers NI contributions. Make the end user companies of self employed or consultants directly responsible for paying the NI just as they do with staff. Bear in mind that once Hammond's SE NI increases are passed, as I am sure they will be, SE NI rates will only be 1% less than PAYE for employees but the employers will still be paying nothing.
It might not be the worst of Hammond's decisions, but there is much sound and fury for some odd reasons.
And they'd ask what the alternative is? Turn right? Gordon Brown lost. Ed Miliband lost.
That's the problem. It's not enough to say Corbyn's rubbish. There needs to be a better alternative, in both policy and leadership terms. So far, none has been offered.
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2017/02/21/fifty-shades-of-grey-voters-corbyns-punishing-polling-with-older-voters/
That's not the case anymore. Nowadays all the hard work is done by the equipment vendors, particularly Ericsson, Huaewei, Nokia, ZTE and Cisco.
Whether BT is broken up or not makes very little difference to their ability to invest: whether you buy one DSLAM/CMTS or 10,000 doesn't change the price that much. (Hence the fact that some villages have grouped together and bought their own gigabit ethernet connections.)
The 25% Labour floor of vote share is looking rather fragile, Jeremy needs another relaunch.
As for Corbyn it might have to be brought forward the time he moves aside. It could now be this year, who could take over who Lenny would accept. My money will be on Thornberry, although I wouldn't rule the snake Burnham out.
13/03/09
Con 41
Lab 31
LibD 17
Oth 10
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/voting-intention-2005-2010
08/03/13
Lab 41
Con 31
LibD 11
UKIP 10
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/yougov-voting-intention
If they can't prosper now, will they ever prosper?
....the real debate about tax and the self-employed lies not in the National Insurance individuals directly pay but with the fact that firms pay 13.8 per cent employer National Insurance for everyone they employ, but nothing if they use self-employed labour. How to close that huge gap without causing wider problems is what our limited capacity for anxiety should really prioritise…
http://www.resolutionfoundation.org/media/blog/is-the-chancellor-about-to-start-closing-the-self-employment-tax-gap/
If I purchase a machine to do a job then I can reclaim any VAT that was spent on purchasing it, so essentially only owe VAT on marginal profit. There are no further major on-going taxes I can think of.
If I hire a person to do the same job then I owe: wages, employers National Insurance, pension contributions, essentially VAT on the wages too, on top of potentially six months of sick pay, etc, etc, etc
Even if a person is economically more efficient than a machine the tax system penalises employment so much what incentive is there to not go for a machine if possible?
On-topic: comrades, do not trust this capitalist polling! It is fake news! Only yesterday I was out with Chairman Corbyn and the people marched proudly alongside us, chanting: "We hail Jeremy Corbyn! We hail Jeremy Corbyn!"
NI has been a tax in all but name for many years, but folding in in to the tax system effectively is quite a knotty problem, which is why no one has taken it on. Given the huge task of managing Brexit, I think it highly unlikely that we'll see a fundamental overhaul of the system any time soon.
1. Winning elections
2. Parliament
3. Offering British voters a credible opposition
4. The Labour party
His only interest is in advancing the cause of the far left. There is no way on God's earth he will ever stand down voluntarily. That's why it is still going to take a bit more time for him to go. But he will be gone way before 2020.
Would you play cards with a Conservative?
The extent the cable companies buy local laws to enforce their monopoly is staggering.
Was David Cameron's pre referendum renegotiation package go to a House of Commons vote before it could be presented to the country? Would it have if Remain had won?
He needs a scandal urgently
I think thats the key thing. Its pretty clear that he will always paint things in the best possible way for the Lib Dems whilst keeping his sharp betting mind on it too. In both Copeland and Stoke he talked up the Lib Dems chances, and whilst you can fully accept the viewpoint of looking at it from 'value' bets, they came to nothing.
It's clear, they are doing well in local elections, but thats always been the case. In their present format and with present leadership at the national level they are no-where however (disbarring elections where they can perform and were challenging anyway).
Derbyshire
CON gain from LAB
Nottinghamshire
CON gain from LAB
Can Corbyn survive ?
Lib Dems included.
Personally I must be more open minded than you I would happily play cards with a conservative , Lib Dem or Labour member
I might keep an eye on all of them though :-)
@mg1967gone Corbyn isn't even that left wing. Left of centre would be a better description
I don't think so. As if it didn't fundamentally change any rights/laws, then it wouldn't need to.
I suspect that they will do quite a bit terms of seats this year, but not the drubbing that we thought would happen last time.