Sympathies. It's like a Casualty ward in here, today.
Check out the last thread header, this is what Mike wrote
For the third Friday in a row I’m off to hospital this morning after being one of those who’ve added to this winter’s unprecedented demand on the NHS.
.
My bet is on your not dying in hospital
I'd like to die like Atilla the Hun. Or Lord Palmerston.
I want to die on my 100th birthday, and I want my wife to be so upset, that she cancels her 21st birthday party as a mark of respect.
I want to die sometime in my late 80s or early 90s, a late summer's day somewhere in the north of England, dozing off gently after a hearty lunch,an inconsequential end-of-rubber test match ambling towards a happy conclusion on the radio, the chatter children and grandchildren from elsewhere in the building, maybe the shout of the odd great-grandchild...
Alright, I wouldn't wish the discovery of their dead father on my children. But as a way to round off a life, it seems pretty unbeatable.
I want to die peacefully in my sleep like my grandfather, not screaming in terror like his passengers.
Actually in percentage terms Kersal is the most Jewish ward, it's the fifth highest in absolute numbers. The London wards have a much higher overall population.
Actually in percentage terms Kersal is the most Jewish ward, it's the fifth highest in absolute numbers. The London wards have a much higher overall population.
At the risk of getting a bit uncle Albert "When I woz at Brighton Uni..." the place was full of Corbynites, before anyone knew what a Corbynite was. The tutors were hard left, SWPers.. and they HATED Israel
I should imagine the majority of people there are more willing to give Labour a hearing now than when EdM was in charge. Here is one of the lecturers
1155 FILLON François 464 MACRON Emmanuel 334 HAMON Benoît 314 ARTHAUD Nathalie 205 DUPONT-AIGNAN Nicolas 163 CHEMINADE Jacques 136 MELENCHON Jean-Luc 84 LE PEN Marine 70 LASSALLE Jean 60 ASSELINEAU François 36 POUTOU Philippe
105 OTHERS
That's interesting. *Can* Fillon withdraw / be replaced if these nominations are already in? Presumably there are enough LR qualified nominees who could put Juppe or whoever on the ballot but would that necessarily mean Fillon leaving it?
If it is tied between the DUP and SF that means neither will give an inch to the other and a UUP + SDLP + Alliance deal is not impossible with Mike Nesbitt as First Minister
I don't think that's possible, is it? Doesn't the Stormont House agreement reserve the FM/DFM positions for the largest party in each of the two respective sections?
As I've asked before which section do the Alliance come in? The GFA seems to be perpetuating sectarian divide rather than ending it.
Mr. Isam, 40s of that self-righteous prig was quite enough.
I wasn't in this particular lecture, but at the time of the Danish cartoon nonsense, a lecturer at my university was bleating about how horrendous the cartoons were. Fortunately, he already had a reputation as an oaf, so I imagine his influence was minimal.
Edited extra bit: Mr. Pulpstar, boo hiss to Fillon!
1155 FILLON François 464 MACRON Emmanuel 334 HAMON Benoît 314 ARTHAUD Nathalie 205 DUPONT-AIGNAN Nicolas 163 CHEMINADE Jacques 136 MELENCHON Jean-Luc 84 LE PEN Marine 70 LASSALLE Jean 60 ASSELINEAU François 36 POUTOU Philippe
105 OTHERS
That's interesting. *Can* Fillon withdraw / be replaced if these nominations are already in? Presumably there are enough LR qualified nominees who could put Juppe or whoever on the ballot but would that necessarily mean Fillon leaving it?
My understanding is that the nominations are personal, not party based, so they can both be properly nominated. As you can see the numbers at this point are a bit arbitrary.
Sympathies. It's like a Casualty ward in here, today.
Check out the last thread header, this is what Mike wrote
For the third Friday in a row I’m off to hospital this morning after being one of those who’ve added to this winter’s unprecedented demand on the NHS.
.
My bet is on your not dying in hospital
I'd like to die like Atilla the Hun. Or Lord Palmerston.
I want to die on my 100th birthday, and I want my wife to be so upset, that she cancels her 21st birthday party as a mark of respect.
I want to die sometime in my late 80s or early 90s, a late summer's day somewhere in the north of England, dozing off gently after a hearty lunch,an inconsequential end-of-rubber test match ambling towards a happy conclusion on the radio, the chatter children and grandchildren from elsewhere in the building, maybe the shout of the odd great-grandchild...
Alright, I wouldn't wish the discovery of their dead father on my children. But as a way to round off a life, it seems pretty unbeatable.
Pretty much exactly how my father-in-law went (he didn't quite make 80, but got closer than he'd have expected to given where he started from). Just fell out of his chair one Sunday afternoon while watching the footie.
Good for him. Not much fun for his wife who was sitting next to him, mind.
1155 FILLON François 464 MACRON Emmanuel 334 HAMON Benoît 314 ARTHAUD Nathalie 205 DUPONT-AIGNAN Nicolas 163 CHEMINADE Jacques 136 MELENCHON Jean-Luc 84 LE PEN Marine 70 LASSALLE Jean 60 ASSELINEAU François 36 POUTOU Philippe
105 OTHERS
That's interesting. *Can* Fillon withdraw / be replaced if these nominations are already in? Presumably there are enough LR qualified nominees who could put Juppe or whoever on the ballot but would that necessarily mean Fillon leaving it?
Juppe and Fillon both on the ballot would be great news for Macron and Le Pen.
Massive coincidence! A few years a go I got right into Peter Gabriels music, and even went (alone!) to see him at Earls Court (I think) doing orchestral versions of his songs!
Today his mailing list people have sent me this! Look how he aged between 93 and 03 (The goatee beard/waistcoat to the bike ride)
I think a referendum on NI rejoining the republic would be immensely close.
I was surprised to see in an opinion poll not that long ago that the preferred constitutional settlement of 25% of Sinn Fein supporters was to stay in the UK
I think a referendum on NI rejoining the republic would be immensely close.
I was surprised to see in an opinion poll not that long ago that the preferred constitutional settlement of 25% of Sinn Fein supporters was to stay in the UK
1155 FILLON François 464 MACRON Emmanuel 334 HAMON Benoît 314 ARTHAUD Nathalie 205 DUPONT-AIGNAN Nicolas 163 CHEMINADE Jacques 136 MELENCHON Jean-Luc 84 LE PEN Marine 70 LASSALLE Jean 60 ASSELINEAU François 36 POUTOU Philippe
105 OTHERS
That's interesting. *Can* Fillon withdraw / be replaced if these nominations are already in? Presumably there are enough LR qualified nominees who could put Juppe or whoever on the ballot but would that necessarily mean Fillon leaving it?
Juppe and Fillon both on the ballot would be great news for Macron and Le Pen.
Pretty sure he CAN withdraw. You cannot force someone to be on the ballot paper against their will. The question is, WILL the stubborn goat withdraw or would he prefer to hand the contest to Le Pen and Macron out of spite.
I was at White Hart Lane when a man suffered a massive heart attack after celebrating a Spurs goal, I remember thinking that was probably as good as any way to go, albeit inconvenient for those around him.
The union looks pretty safe on that basis. I don't think a campaign would change many minds and it would be very ugly.
Nearly 30% of SNP voters do not support Scottish independence.
Nationalist parties often morph into pressure groups. See UKIP.
It's normally 10-15% of SNP who don't support independence (and contrariwise 85% of independence supporters intend to vote SNP). It's important to compare CURRENT voting intentions as support fot the SNP and independence fluctuates in lockstep.
Eh? Fruit-picking is exactly the kind of low wage, low productivity industry kept alive by cheap immigrant labour that this country should no longer be in. It manages a dismal trifecta, using land, labour and capital inefficiently.
You want to create a Singapore for 60 million then?
Do I want to create a confident, successful, wealthy nation for 60 million?
Yes. Don't you?
And, I'm with you!
Singapore is 94% more wealthy per person than the UK, better education, better healthcare, and taxis only half the level in the UK, I would copy there economic position in a jot!!!
Singapore is basically the equivalent of central London, if you include Malaysia too (which Singapore used to be part of) you get the equivalent of the UK and a rather different story
Singapore, is wealthy and successful, because it has adopted a very free economy, the total tax take is only 20% of GDP, it has almost no import tariffs, the interest rate is set by the market, not civil servants.
It is also about the size of London, in area and population, ish, but when you look at how fast the economy has grown and continues to grow, it is clearly more than just being a city state.
Singapore is dominated by financial services like inner London and is very wealthy and with little need for much public sector, the UK is a rather different story and indeed Malaysia too has a higher tax take and spends more
Sympathies. It's like a Casualty ward in here, today.
Check out the last thread header, this is what Mike wrote
For the third Friday in a row I’m off to hospital this morning after being one of those who’ve added to this winter’s unprecedented demand on the NHS.
.
My bet is on your not dying in hospital
I'd like to die like Atilla the Hun. Or Lord Palmerston.
I want to die on my 100th birthday, and I want my wife to be so upset, that she cancels her 21st birthday party as a mark of respect.
I want to die sometime in my late 80s or early 90s, a late summer's day somewhere in the north of England, dozing off gently after a hearty lunch,an inconsequential end-of-rubber test match ambling towards a happy conclusion on the radio, the chatter children and grandchildren from elsewhere in the building, maybe the shout of the odd great-grandchild...
Alright, I wouldn't wish the discovery of their dead father on my children. But as a way to round off a life, it seems pretty unbeatable.
Close to the death of Nobel Laureate William Golding, a death which was also, I might add, caused by my father.
This is the story: Golding lived in Cornwall, in Perranaworthal, quite near my father's house in Truro. Golding invited my dad over for a literary/family supper party. Apparently there was much hilarity, and wine drinking, and singing of songs, and Golding had all his kids and grandkids there and it was greatly enjoyed by all.
My dad was the last to leave, everyone else had gone to bed. Golding was about to join them, when my Dad persuaded him to open one more bottle of red, which they shared, late into the night.
Golding died in his sleep that night, of a heart attack.
A good way to go, but my Dad rightly wonders if Golding might still be alive, if he hadn't persuaded him to down another pint of claret.
You're a chip off the old block, then - and I mean that in a good way.
Eh? Fruit-picking is exactly the kind of low wage, low productivity industry kept alive by cheap immigrant labour that this country should no longer be in. It manages a dismal trifecta, using land, labour and capital inefficiently.
You want to create a Singapore for 60 million then?
Do I want to create a confident, successful, wealthy nation for 60 million?
Yes. Don't you?
And, I'm with you!
Singapore is 94% more wealthy per person than the UK, better education, better healthcare, and taxis only half the level in the UK, I would copy there economic position in a jot!!!
Singapore is basically the equivalent of central London, if you include Malaysia too (which Singapore used to be part of) you get the equivalent of the UK and a rather different story
Singapore, is wealthy and successful, because it has adopted a very free economy, the total tax take is only 20% of GDP, it has almost no import tariffs, the interest rate is set by the market, not civil servants.
It is also about the size of London, in area and population, ish, but when you look at how fast the economy has grown and continues to grow, it is clearly more than just being a city state.
Singapore is dominated by financial services like inner London and is very wealthy and with little need for much public sector, the UK is a rather different story and indeed Malaysia too has a higher tax take and spends more
I visited Singapore earlier this year. Spotlessly clean, low unemployment and crime, minimal welfare system, tough immigration laws, should be a model of how to run a country.
Eh? Fruit-picking is exactly the kind of low wage, low productivity industry kept alive by cheap immigrant labour that this country should no longer be in. It manages a dismal trifecta, using land, labour and capital inefficiently.
You want to create a Singapore for 60 million then?
Do I want to create a confident, successful, wealthy nation for 60 million?
Yes. Don't you?
And, I'm with you!
Singapore is 94% more wealthy per person than the UK, better education, better healthcare, and taxis only half the level in the UK, I would copy there economic position in a jot!!!
Singapore is basically the equivalent of central London, if you include Malaysia too (which Singapore used to be part of) you get the equivalent of the UK and a rather different story
Singapore, is wealthy and successful, because it has adopted a very free economy, the total tax take is only 20% of GDP, it has almost no import tariffs, the interest rate is set by the market, not civil servants.
It is also about the size of London, in area and population, ish, but when you look at how fast the economy has grown and continues to grow, it is clearly more than just being a city state.
Singapore is dominated by financial services like inner London and is very wealthy and with little need for much public sector, the UK is a rather different story and indeed Malaysia too has a higher tax take and spends more
I visited Singapore earlier this year. Spotlessly clean, low unemployment and crime, minimal welfare system, tough immigration laws, should be a model of how to run a country.
Singapore works for a very wealthy city state, it is the equivalent of London, it is not the equivalent of the UK, Malaysia is. Singapore also has little manufacturing and almost no agriculture and is dominated by services, especially financial services
Juppe and Le Pen both 4.3 on Betfair. Punters clearly believe Fillon is le toast.
Punters aren't always right. This has shades of Rubio odds on about it tbh.
I've spent the last hour pondering these odds and came to a similar conclusion.
I've backed Fillon @ 15/1 for a small(ish) sum.
If I could understand french (and had bigger balls), I'd probably lay Juppe @ <4/1 for thousands right now.
In fact, put that bet down as a Pong paper trade.</p>
I think the current odds are about right. I've taken advantage of the volatility to even up my position so I'm about equally green on Macron/Juppé/Fillon (red on Le Pen).
Edit: I wouldn't lay Juppé because it looks extremely likely that the centre-right will coalesce behind him. Fillon might try to tough it out, but he'll have little support if he does.
One thing which is spooking Fillon's former supporters is the realisation that, although he'd have immunity from prosecution as president (and maybe as a candidate? I'm not sure on that), Mme Fillon wouldn't. He also did himself a lot of harm amongst his supporters by his intemperate attacks on the judges.
Mr. Meeks, I bow to your superior knowledge of Frenchist cuisine.
Mr. Ilef, I only meant the video as a spot of light relief (whilst also highlighting the economic impact of an independent Wales on its economy).
Fair enough - trouble is that its hard to see Wales relinquishing its position at the bottom of the UK heap if the Status Quo is maintained, yet independence would bring even more problems in the short and medium terms.. and as we know, in the long term, we are all dead!
Eh? Fruit-picking is exactly the kind of low wage, low productivity industry kept alive by cheap immigrant labour that this country should no longer be in. It manages a dismal trifecta, using land, labour and capital inefficiently.
You want to create a Singapore for 60 million then?
Do I want to create a confident, successful, wealthy nation for 60 million?
Yes. Don't you?
And, I'm with you!
Singapore is 94% more wealthy per person than the UK, better education, better healthcare, and taxis only half the level in the UK, I would copy there economic position in a jot!!!
Singapore is basically the equivalent of central London, if you include Malaysia too (which Singapore used to be part of) you get the equivalent of the UK and a rather different story
Singapore, is wealthy and successful, because it has adopted a very free economy, the total tax take is only 20% of GDP, it has almost no import tariffs, the interest rate is set by the market, not civil servants.
It is also about the size of London, in area and population, ish, but when you look at how fast the economy has grown and continues to grow, it is clearly more than just being a city state.
Singapore is dominated by financial services like inner London and is very wealthy and with little need for much public sector, the UK is a rather different story and indeed Malaysia too has a higher tax take and spends more
I visited Singapore earlier this year. Spotlessly clean, low unemployment and crime, minimal welfare system, tough immigration laws, should be a model of how to run a country.
Singapore works for a very wealthy city state, it is the equivalent of London, it is not the equivalent of the UK, Malaysia is. Singapore also has little manufacturing and almost no agriculture and is dominated by services, especially financial services
Perhaps Singapore is not so great if you are Malay or Indian...
Francois Fillon's current price looks highly unstable to me. He should either be much shorter (if he can shrug off his current troubles) or much longer (if he can't). My instinct says the latter - it just seems to be disintegrating too much for him now to come back from this. But as so often, I could very well be wrong.
Christ on a bike. Work experience at a gadget mag 6 years ago. Degree in Journalism 3 years ago at UCL then a set of journo jobs for the indie and the mirror writing about "cats, migrants crossing the Med, benefit sanctions, gun control in the US, housing benefit millionaires, forced marriage, assisted suicide, and railway privatisation, among other topics."
Another Journo that knows feck all about either IT or Psychology, or much of anything pontificating about what we can and can't learn from big data because of "goes against everything we know about how humans work".
What is capx coming to posting this sort of uninformed drivel.
Christ on a bike. Work experience at a gadget mag 6 years ago. Degree in Journalism 3 years ago at UCL then a set of journo jobs for the indie and the mirror writing about "cats, migrants crossing the Med, benefit sanctions, gun control in the US, housing benefit millionaires, forced marriage, assisted suicide, and railway privatisation, among other topics."
Another Journo that knows feck all about either IT or Psychology, or much of anything pontificating about what we can and can't learn from big data because of "goes against everything we know about how humans work".
What is capx coming to posting this sort of uninformed drivel.
Tap mic....sniff sniff....FAKE NEWS...with that sort of CV they will be soon economics editor of Newsnight, because having a midlife crisis and becoming a Corbynite.
Rio Olympics: Lamine Diack’s son ‘paid $2m by Brazilian’ as vote loomed
A Brazilian businessman gave $2m to the son of Lamine Diack, the now disgraced former IAAF president and at the time also an IOC member, just three days before Rio won the right to host the 2016 Olympics, the French newspaper Le Monde has claimed.
Rio Olympics: Lamine Diack’s son ‘paid $2m by Brazilian’ as vote loomed
A Brazilian businessman gave $2m to the son of Lamine Diack, the now disgraced former IAAF president and at the time also an IOC member, just three days before Rio won the right to host the 2016 Olympics, the French newspaper Le Monde has claimed.
STV is a great system. Rewards smart voters & parties in terms of transfers.
It also allows good candidates to be chosen over rentseekers. So a constituency is guaranteed to deliver at least one SF and UUP MP and maybe another one for each of those parties. As a candidate you want to be top ranked so you get the guaranteed slot rather than the competitive or hopeless slots. It puts that decision in the hands of the voters, although parties can influence it
STV is a great system. Rewards smart voters & parties in terms of transfers.
It also allows good candidates to be chosen over rentseekers. So a constituency is guaranteed to deliver at least one SF and UUP MP and maybe another one for each of those parties. As a candidate you want to be top ranked so you get the guaranteed slot rather than the competitive or hopeless slots. It puts that decision in the hands of the voters, although parties can influence it
On the other hand, it seems to have the rather major drawback of making it near-impossible to form a coherent government. Swings and roundabouts, I guess.
Juppe and Le Pen both 4.3 on Betfair. Punters clearly believe Fillon is le toast.
Punters aren't always right. This has shades of Rubio odds on about it tbh.
I've spent the last hour pondering these odds and came to a similar conclusion.
I've backed Fillon @ 15/1 for a small(ish) sum.
If I could understand french (and had bigger balls), I'd probably lay Juppe @ <4/1 for thousands right now.
In fact, put that bet down as a Pong paper trade.</p>
I think the current odds are about right. I've taken advantage of the volatility to even up my position so I'm about equally green on Macron/Juppé/Fillon (red on Le Pen).
Edit: I wouldn't lay Juppé because it looks extremely likely that the centre-right will coalesce behind him. Fillon might try to tough it out, but he'll have little support if he does.
One thing which is spooking Fillon's former supporters is the realisation that, although he'd have immunity from prosecution as president (and maybe as a candidate? I'm not sure on that), Mme Fillon wouldn't. He also did himself a lot of harm amongst his supporters by his intemperate attacks on the judges.
I'm green on whole market other than black swan candidates from nowhere. I win big time if its Juppe, but personally I think Le Pen is one ISIS outrage away from winning and that ISIS will sadly try and oblige.
STV is a great system. Rewards smart voters & parties in terms of transfers.
It also allows good candidates to be chosen over rentseekers. So a constituency is guaranteed to deliver at least one SF and UUP MP and maybe another one for each of those parties. As a candidate you want to be top ranked so you get the guaranteed slot rather than the competitive or hopeless slots. It puts that decision in the hands of the voters, although parties can influence it
On the other hand, it seems to have the rather major drawback of making it near-impossible to form a coherent government. Swings and roundabouts, I guess.
I would say the problem is the opposite. PR of any kind is a recipe for stasis as you make tweaks to coalitions and nothing substantial changes. There are times when you just need to clear the incumbents out and start again. Not that I am particularly keen on the elected dictatorships that Westminster encourages. STV is certainly the most elegant form of PR if you accept the overall limitations of it.
Not keen on closed Party List voting systems, plenty of dross ended up at Euro Parliament representing UK. A truly rotten system for rewarding hacks and untalented.
STV is a great system. Rewards smart voters & parties in terms of transfers.
It also allows good candidates to be chosen over rentseekers. So a constituency is guaranteed to deliver at least one SF and UUP MP and maybe another one for each of those parties. As a candidate you want to be top ranked so you get the guaranteed slot rather than the competitive or hopeless slots. It puts that decision in the hands of the voters, although parties can influence it
On the other hand, it seems to have the rather major drawback of making it near-impossible to form a coherent government. Swings and roundabouts, I guess.
I would say the problem is the opposite. PR of any kind is a recipe for stasis as you make tweaks to coalitions and nothing substantial changes. There are times when you just need to clear the incumbents out and start again. Not that I am particularly keen on the elected dictatorships that Westminster encourages. STV is certainly the most elegant form of PR if you accept the overall limitations of it.
You could always have STV with a majority prize or something. Smaller constituencies would make it less proportional too, whilst preserving other advantages.
Christ on a bike. Work experience at a gadget mag 6 years ago. Degree in Journalism 3 years ago at UCL then a set of journo jobs for the indie and the mirror writing about "cats, migrants crossing the Med, benefit sanctions, gun control in the US, housing benefit millionaires, forced marriage, assisted suicide, and railway privatisation, among other topics."
Another Journo that knows feck all about either IT or Psychology, or much of anything pontificating about what we can and can't learn from big data because of "goes against everything we know about how humans work".
What is capx coming to posting this sort of uninformed drivel.
Tap mic....sniff sniff....FAKE NEWS...with that sort of CV they will be soon economics editor of Newsnight, because having a midlife crisis and becoming a Corbynite.
The union looks pretty safe on that basis. I don't think a campaign would change many minds and it would be very ugly.
Nearly 30% of SNP voters do not support Scottish independence.
Nationalist parties often morph into pressure groups. See UKIP.
It's normally 10-15% of SNP who don't support independence (and contrariwise 85% of independence supporters intend to vote SNP). It's important to compare CURRENT voting intentions as support fot the SNP and independence fluctuates in lockstep.
Christ on a bike. Work experience at a gadget mag 6 years ago. Degree in Journalism 3 years ago at UCL then a set of journo jobs for the indie and the mirror writing about "cats, migrants crossing the Med, benefit sanctions, gun control in the US, housing benefit millionaires, forced marriage, assisted suicide, and railway privatisation, among other topics."
Another Journo that knows feck all about either IT or Psychology, or much of anything pontificating about what we can and can't learn from big data because of "goes against everything we know about how humans work".
What is capx coming to posting this sort of uninformed drivel.
Tap mic....sniff sniff....FAKE NEWS...with that sort of CV they will be soon economics editor of Newsnight, because having a midlife crisis and becoming a Corbynite.
Massive coincidence! A few years a go I got right into Peter Gabriels music, and even went (alone!) to see him at Earls Court (I think) doing orchestral versions of his songs!
Today his mailing list people have sent me this! Look how he aged between 93 and 03 (The goatee beard/waistcoat to the bike ride)
The union looks pretty safe on that basis. I don't think a campaign would change many minds and it would be very ugly.
Nearly 30% of SNP voters do not support Scottish independence.
Nationalist parties often morph into pressure groups. See UKIP.
It's normally 10-15% of SNP who don't support independence (and contrariwise 85% of independence supporters intend to vote SNP). It's important to compare CURRENT voting intentions as support fot the SNP and independence fluctuates in lockstep.
Just looked at pictures of the resurgent Tory party conference in Scotland. Oh dear what idiot booked the SEC, they must have been listening to the Klaxon. Empty does not begin to describe the hall, unbelievably embarrassing.
The union looks pretty safe on that basis. I don't think a campaign would change many minds and it would be very ugly.
Nearly 30% of SNP voters do not support Scottish independence.
Nationalist parties often morph into pressure groups. See UKIP.
It's normally 10-15% of SNP who don't support independence (and contrariwise 85% of independence supporters intend to vote SNP). It's important to compare CURRENT voting intentions as support fot the SNP and independence fluctuates in lockstep.
Just looked at pictures of the resurgent Tory party conference in Scotland. Oh dear what idiot booked the SEC, they must have been listening to the Klaxon. Empty does not begin to describe the hall, unbelievably embarrassing.
The union looks pretty safe on that basis. I don't think a campaign would change many minds and it would be very ugly.
Nearly 30% of SNP voters do not support Scottish independence.
Nationalist parties often morph into pressure groups. See UKIP.
It's normally 10-15% of SNP who don't support independence (and contrariwise 85% of independence supporters intend to vote SNP). It's important to compare CURRENT voting intentions as support fot the SNP and independence fluctuates in lockstep.
Just looked at pictures of the resurgent Tory party conference in Scotland. Oh dear what idiot booked the SEC, they must have been listening to the Klaxon. Empty does not begin to describe the hall, unbelievably embarrassing.
The ticket booking website crashed due to demand.
Everyone was eager to hear May make the case against a smaller country detaching itself from a larger entity.
The union looks pretty safe on that basis. I don't think a campaign would change many minds and it would be very ugly.
Nearly 30% of SNP voters do not support Scottish independence.
Nationalist parties often morph into pressure groups. See UKIP.
It's normally 10-15% of SNP who don't support independence (and contrariwise 85% of independence supporters intend to vote SNP). It's important to compare CURRENT voting intentions as support fot the SNP and independence fluctuates in lockstep.
Just looked at pictures of the resurgent Tory party conference in Scotland. Oh dear what idiot booked the SEC, they must have been listening to the Klaxon. Empty does not begin to describe the hall, unbelievably embarrassing.
The ticket booking website crashed due to demand.
Everyone was eager to hear May make the case against a smaller country detaching itself from a larger entity.
Mr. D, possibly... I wonder if May is trying to encourage comparisons of the UK leaving the EU and Scotland leaving the UK deliberately. After all, most Scots want to stay in the EU. Comparing the two may not be stupid.
On the other hand, it could just be a poor use of language leading to an obvious and unwanted comparison. Who knows?
Massive coincidence! A few years a go I got right into Peter Gabriels music, and even went (alone!) to see him at Earls Court (I think) doing orchestral versions of his songs!
Today his mailing list people have sent me this! Look how he aged between 93 and 03 (The goatee beard/waistcoat to the bike ride)
That's one of the greatest music videos ever made, complete genius. Took an absurd of amount of time to put it all together with the stop motion, nothing like it had been done before.
A few months after he became Prime Minister, Gordon Brown pondered an early general election. This was briefed about by members of his inner political circle who were keen on the idea, and wanted to create a sense of momentum by getting the idea reported. Their efforts were a triumph in one sense at least. Brown’s musings became public. They weren’t denied, and thus gathered pace. That sense of momentum grew. It began to look unstoppable. And by the time it was stopped, the damage had been done. The man who had been marketed in his first months in office as “not flash, just Gordon” looked more like what his dithering had shown him up as: what Alex Salmond called “the big fearty from Fife”.
This tale from the past takes us to the present – and to Salmond’s successor, Nicola Sturgeon. This is because, in feeding speculation about a second referendum on Scottish independence, she is behaving eerily like Brown himself. The polls are not as benign for her now than they were for the former Prime Minister in the summer of 2007. They show no shift towards support for independence. Perhaps Sturgeon sniffs a change in the wind that others are missing. Maybe she is bowing to internal party pressure. But it looks more as though she cannot help but pursue the cause that has let her prosper – regardless of where public opinion in Scotland may be.
I'm in Omagh at the FST and WT counts. West Tyrone looks bad but that's a dismal result for Unionism. Should have been two seats there. Same with Mid Ulster and Newry and Armagh. Arlene Foster has cost Unionism a lot of ground. I'm a little bitter about it to be honest.
I'm in Omagh at the FST and WT counts. West Tyrone looks bad but that's a dismal result for Unionism. Should have been two seats there. Same with Mid Ulster and Newry and Armagh. Arlene Foster has cost Unionism a lot of ground. I'm a little bitter about it to be honest.
Your tips are looking in slightly better shape than a couple of hours ago though.
Dolores Kelly looks like an 11-2 winner
Jemma Dolan (SF) @ 15/8 Fermanagh and South Tyrone £22.85 Dolores Kelly Upper Bann £8.03 @ 11-2 Philip McGuigan (SF) @ 8/15 North Antrim £63.47 Nichola Mallon (SDLP) @ evens Belfast North £21.58 John Stewart (UUP) @ 2/1 East Antrim £11.00
A few months after he became Prime Minister, Gordon Brown pondered an early general election. This was briefed about by members of his inner political circle who were keen on the idea, and wanted to create a sense of momentum by getting the idea reported. Their efforts were a triumph in one sense at least. Brown’s musings became public. They weren’t denied, and thus gathered pace. That sense of momentum grew. It began to look unstoppable. And by the time it was stopped, the damage had been done. The man who had been marketed in his first months in office as “not flash, just Gordon” looked more like what his dithering had shown him up as: what Alex Salmond called “the big fearty from Fife”.
This tale from the past takes us to the present – and to Salmond’s successor, Nicola Sturgeon. This is because, in feeding speculation about a second referendum on Scottish independence, she is behaving eerily like Brown himself. The polls are not as benign for her now than they were for the former Prime Minister in the summer of 2007. They show no shift towards support for independence. Perhaps Sturgeon sniffs a change in the wind that others are missing. Maybe she is bowing to internal party pressure. But it looks more as though she cannot help but pursue the cause that has let her prosper – regardless of where public opinion in Scotland may be.
LOL . look at that deserted hall, Davidson could not even make a poor woman's Wendy Alexander. We will see what happens , I suspect toom tabards like you will be eating humble pie
On this 'but the Scots didn't know we might leave the EU' - their own government's White Paper told them it was a possibility - three times
In that White Paper, the Scottish Government referred to the referendum as a ‘once in a generation opportunity’ (pages i and 556). Crucially, it also explicitly raised the prospect of a referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU resulting in a vote to leave despite a majority of voters in Scotland voting to remain (pages 60, 217 and 460). In other words, although it explicitly highlighted the possibility of a majority of people in the UK as a whole voting to leave the EU while a majority of people in Scotland voted to remain, it still referred to the referendum as a ‘once in a generation’ opportunity, without any caveat or conditions with regard to future events.
Huzzah for the Tories The UK is the only developed country in which wages contracted while the economy expanded http://on.ft.com/2lZ0jvt
Huzzah for mass unskilled immigration more like. That's what has been holding down wages for many. Not the standard reason for all evils, "the Tories".
Interestingly exports to the EU were sharply down since the month before, but up by more than those those to the non EU year on year. Is there a big seasonal effect that means EU exports drop dramatically in December?
Comments
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I reckon he will be quite defiant there.
http://www.itv.com/news/2017-03-03/i-would-gladly-put-a-bullet-through-your-head-nhs-worker-suspended-over-threatening-tweets-to-jeremy-hunt/
I should imagine the majority of people there are more willing to give Labour a hearing now than when EdM was in charge. Here is one of the lecturers
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3jdPGhq2QbQ
I wasn't in this particular lecture, but at the time of the Danish cartoon nonsense, a lecturer at my university was bleating about how horrendous the cartoons were. Fortunately, he already had a reputation as an oaf, so I imagine his influence was minimal.
Edited extra bit: Mr. Pulpstar, boo hiss to Fillon!
Good for him. Not much fun for his wife who was sitting next to him, mind.
Massive coincidence! A few years a go I got right into Peter Gabriels music, and even went (alone!) to see him at Earls Court (I think) doing orchestral versions of his songs!
Today his mailing list people have sent me this! Look how he aged between 93 and 03 (The goatee beard/waistcoat to the bike ride)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WeYqJxlSv-Y
I think alot will depend on Brexit though..
Mr. Meeks, I bow to your superior knowledge of Frenchist cuisine.
Mr. Ilef, I only meant the video as a spot of light relief (whilst also highlighting the economic impact of an independent Wales on its economy).
I've backed Fillon @ 15/1 for a small(ish) sum.
If I could understand french (and had bigger balls), I'd probably lay Juppe @ <4/1 for thousands right now.
In fact, put that bet down as a Pong paper trade.
Hang on a minute.....?!?!?!?!?
https://www.poemhunter.com/poem/let-me-die-a-youngman-s-death/
https://twitter.com/fastFT/status/837609965221265409
Edit: I wouldn't lay Juppé because it looks extremely likely that the centre-right will coalesce behind him. Fillon might try to tough it out, but he'll have little support if he does.
One thing which is spooking Fillon's former supporters is the realisation that, although he'd have immunity from prosecution as president (and maybe as a candidate? I'm not sure on that), Mme Fillon wouldn't. He also did himself a lot of harm amongst his supporters by his intemperate attacks on the judges.
http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/02/singapore-rental-racism-prc-and-indian-tenants-often-deemed-undesirable.html
Fianna Fail got hammered on exactly this basis in 2011 in the Republic of Ireland.
Another Journo that knows feck all about either IT or Psychology, or much of anything pontificating about what we can and can't learn from big data because of "goes against everything we know about how humans work".
What is capx coming to posting this sort of uninformed drivel.
She gets in if she beats Dobson ?
8238 DUP1
8298 SF1
6169 SF2 <- Toman
5755 UUP1 <- Beattie
5404 UUP2 <- Dobson
5248 SDLP <- Kelly
3097 Alliance (Doyle) votes to distribute.
A Brazilian businessman gave $2m to the son of Lamine Diack, the now disgraced former IAAF president and at the time also an IOC member, just three days before Rio won the right to host the 2016 Olympics, the French newspaper Le Monde has claimed.
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2017/mar/03/rio-olympics-lamine-diack-son-paid-2m-brazilian-vote-ioc
Edited extra bit: pretty sure there's another one, but I can't find it.
Someone has produced a probable transfer system for the NI elections.
http://www.panelbase.com/media/polls/F10131Wingstablesforpublication170217.pdf
hand-wav·ing
noun
the use of gestures and insubstantial language meant to impress or convince.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g93mz_eZ5N4
The UK is the only developed country in which wages contracted while the economy expanded http://on.ft.com/2lZ0jvt
Fantastic site to show exactly how the NI elections are going.
https://twitter.com/katie_martin_fx/status/837609278785654785
On the other hand, it could just be a poor use of language leading to an obvious and unwanted comparison. Who knows?
Not me. I didn't write the speech.
Non EU - 61%........EU - 39%
https://twitter.com/afp/status/837725793556004864
Paul Goodman:
A few months after he became Prime Minister, Gordon Brown pondered an early general election. This was briefed about by members of his inner political circle who were keen on the idea, and wanted to create a sense of momentum by getting the idea reported. Their efforts were a triumph in one sense at least. Brown’s musings became public. They weren’t denied, and thus gathered pace. That sense of momentum grew. It began to look unstoppable. And by the time it was stopped, the damage had been done. The man who had been marketed in his first months in office as “not flash, just Gordon” looked more like what his dithering had shown him up as: what Alex Salmond called “the big fearty from Fife”.
This tale from the past takes us to the present – and to Salmond’s successor, Nicola Sturgeon. This is because, in feeding speculation about a second referendum on Scottish independence, she is behaving eerily like Brown himself. The polls are not as benign for her now than they were for the former Prime Minister in the summer of 2007. They show no shift towards support for independence. Perhaps Sturgeon sniffs a change in the wind that others are missing. Maybe she is bowing to internal party pressure. But it looks more as though she cannot help but pursue the cause that has let her prosper – regardless of where public opinion in Scotland may be.
http://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2017/03/brown-let-talk-of-a-general-election-run-out-of-control-is-sturgeon-doing-the-same-with-an-independence-referendum.html
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/39157887
Dolores Kelly looks like an 11-2 winner
Jemma Dolan (SF) @ 15/8 Fermanagh and South Tyrone £22.85
Dolores Kelly Upper Bann £8.03 @ 11-2
Philip McGuigan (SF) @ 8/15 North Antrim £63.47
Nichola Mallon (SDLP) @ evens Belfast North £21.58
John Stewart (UUP) @ 2/1 East Antrim £11.00
in order of certainty now I think..
http://www.france24.com/en/20170303-france-fillon-presidential-election-deserters-plead-plan-b-juppe-but-clock-ticking
In that White Paper, the Scottish Government referred to the referendum as a ‘once in a generation opportunity’ (pages i and 556). Crucially, it also explicitly raised the prospect of a referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU resulting in a vote to leave despite a majority of voters in Scotland voting to remain (pages 60, 217 and 460). In other words, although it explicitly highlighted the possibility of a majority of people in the UK as a whole voting to leave the EU while a majority of people in Scotland voted to remain, it still referred to the referendum as a ‘once in a generation’ opportunity, without any caveat or conditions with regard to future events.
https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/scotlandinunion/pages/559/attachments/original/1488541426/SIU_Letter_Feb_2017v4a.pdf?1488541426