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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This year’s German election: Angela Merkel’s re-election might

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  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    Tim_B said:

    Scott_P said:

    Tim_B said:

    Everyone seems to be calling this a 'muslim ban'. It's not - it's a ban on folks from countries which foment the most terrorists,

    Not really

    None of the 9/11 terrorists came from any of these countries, did they?
    9/11 was just one act. There have been many more terrorist acts worldwide since then, very few of which had Saudi or Egyptian folks involved.

    How many Americans have been killed by Syrian immigrants since 9/11, or those from any of the other six countries affected by the ban?

    From what I recall the Paris attack was planned in Syria. Presumably this order was primarily a preventative measure.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Jonathan said:

    1,210 gun deaths in the US this January. JANUARY.

    Check the numbers for Chicago this month. It's getting worse and worse. Chicago has some of the toughest gun laws.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769
    Tim_B said:

    Tim_B said:

    Scott_P said:

    Tim_B said:

    Everyone seems to be calling this a 'muslim ban'. It's not - it's a ban on folks from countries which foment the most terrorists,

    Not really

    None of the 9/11 terrorists came from any of these countries, did they?
    9/11 was just one act. There have been many more terrorist acts worldwide since then, very few of which had Saudi or Egyptian folks involved.

    How many Americans have been killed by Syrian immigrants since 9/11, or those from any of the other six countries affected by the ban?

    From what I recall the Paris attack was planned in Syria. Presumably this order was primarily a preventative measure.
    This is a political gesture for his right wing base. That is all.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Mohamed Khadir innocent! Alexandre Bissonette is the Mosque murderer according to reports
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,551
    BudG said:

    This tweet made me put a wild £2 on Sarkozy:

    Marie Le Conte ‏@youngvulgarian 2h2 hours ago
    More
    What happens if Fillon ends up having to drop out? Well-liked candidate Juppé has already said he wouldn't run as second choice, so...Sarko?

    At 180 on BF. Definitely a wild flutter, but if 2016 is like 2017...DYOR.

    I think Juppe would end up running. His denial that he would run is only to be expected, anything less would be seen as putting pressure on Fillon and possibly pre-judging the issue.

    His Party would want a candidate who would have the best chance for success and he was not only the runner-up in the Primary, ahead of Sarkozy but was also riding high in the polls up until the time of his exclusion.
    Yes, with reflection you are probably right. £2 on him at 85 sorts out that potential hole. Thanks.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Presumably the narrative will change somewhat after tomorrow evening at 8pm EST, when Trump announces his Supreme Court pick - will it be Gorsuch or Hardiman? Trump's sister is on the same bench as Hardiman.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    edited January 2017
    I see we're posting old snippets on here.... I've just changed PC and found I took one in my 'post it note' thingy in outlook... can't remember why exactly... was it that I thought someone was counting chickens at the time???

    15/4/15 22.35 NickPalmer • Posts: 4,554

    LAB - 35% (-) CON - 34% (+1) UKIP - 13% (-) LDEM - 8% (-) GRN - 5% (-)

    Manifesto surge, eh?
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Jonathan said:

    Tim_B said:

    Tim_B said:

    Scott_P said:

    Tim_B said:

    Everyone seems to be calling this a 'muslim ban'. It's not - it's a ban on folks from countries which foment the most terrorists,

    Not really

    None of the 9/11 terrorists came from any of these countries, did they?
    9/11 was just one act. There have been many more terrorist acts worldwide since then, very few of which had Saudi or Egyptian folks involved.

    How many Americans have been killed by Syrian immigrants since 9/11, or those from any of the other six countries affected by the ban?

    From what I recall the Paris attack was planned in Syria. Presumably this order was primarily a preventative measure.
    This is a political gesture for his right wing base. That is all.
    He is fulfilling a campaign promise, and it has broad support. Hardly a gesture.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    SeanT said:
    Trump exempts the Five Eyes Security Alliance members.

    It's clear where free trade is going to end up as well.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    chestnut said:

    SeanT said:
    Trump exempts the Five Eyes Security Alliance members.

    It's clear where free trade is going to end up as well.
    There was never much doubt on that one.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769
    Tim_B said:

    Jonathan said:

    Tim_B said:

    Tim_B said:

    Scott_P said:

    Tim_B said:

    Everyone seems to be calling this a 'muslim ban'. It's not - it's a ban on folks from countries which foment the most terrorists,

    Not really

    None of the 9/11 terrorists came from any of these countries, did they?
    9/11 was just one act. There have been many more terrorist acts worldwide since then, very few of which had Saudi or Egyptian folks involved.

    How many Americans have been killed by Syrian immigrants since 9/11, or those from any of the other six countries affected by the ban?

    From what I recall the Paris attack was planned in Syria. Presumably this order was primarily a preventative measure.
    This is a political gesture for his right wing base. That is all.
    He is fulfilling a campaign promise, and it has broad support. Hardly a gesture.
    A political move, not one with any actual effectiveness in reducing deaths in the US.
  • BudGBudG Posts: 711
    Pulpstar said:

    BudG said:

    This tweet made me put a wild £2 on Sarkozy:

    Marie Le Conte ‏@youngvulgarian 2h2 hours ago
    More
    What happens if Fillon ends up having to drop out? Well-liked candidate Juppé has already said he wouldn't run as second choice, so...Sarko?

    At 180 on BF. Definitely a wild flutter, but if 2016 is like 2017...DYOR.

    I think Juppe would end up running. His denial that he would run is only to be expected, anything less would be seen as putting pressure on Fillon and possibly pre-judging the issue.

    His Party would want a candidate who would have the best chance for success and he was not only the runner-up in the Primary, ahead of Sarkozy but was also riding high in the polls up until the time of his exclusion.
    Jesus every time you post I feel like the grim reaper of doom is trying to pull my French book apart.
    LOL, sorry. I do not mean to cause you nor anyone else consternation about their French betting books. Tis just my opinion, which may be right or wrong.
  • chestnut said:

    SeanT said:
    Trump exempts the Five Eyes Security Alliance members.

    It's clear where free trade is going to end up as well.
    vvvhina ?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,551
    Pulpstar said:

    BudG said:

    This tweet made me put a wild £2 on Sarkozy:

    Marie Le Conte ‏@youngvulgarian 2h2 hours ago
    More
    What happens if Fillon ends up having to drop out? Well-liked candidate Juppé has already said he wouldn't run as second choice, so...Sarko?

    At 180 on BF. Definitely a wild flutter, but if 2016 is like 2017...DYOR.

    I think Juppe would end up running. His denial that he would run is only to be expected, anything less would be seen as putting pressure on Fillon and possibly pre-judging the issue.

    His Party would want a candidate who would have the best chance for success and he was not only the runner-up in the Primary, ahead of Sarkozy but was also riding high in the polls up until the time of his exclusion.
    Jesus every time you post I feel like the grim reaper of doom is trying to pull my French book apart.
    As I say, based on 2016, there's no reason to assume all sorts of wild stuff might yet happen. I'm trying to stay green on all comers. Won't win more than a few quid if favourite Fillon wins, but otherwise will be pretty good.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,896
    Enda Kenny is so much more impressive and articulate on relations with the US than Theresa May.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726
    edited January 2017
    Tim_B said:

    Scott_P said:

    Tim_B said:

    Everyone seems to be calling this a 'muslim ban'. It's not - it's a ban on folks from countries which foment the most terrorists,

    Not really

    None of the 9/11 terrorists came from any of these countries, did they?
    9/11 was just one act. There have been many more terrorist acts worldwide since then, very few of which had Saudi or Egyptian folks involved.
    Most of them in America had one very clear link - the USA. Most of the recent terrorist attacks were committed by US citizens born in the US.
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    John_M said:

    Leavers spend the whole of 2016 drawing wildly irrational comparisons with the Second World War and now in 2017 we're supposed to believe that those types of references are so over?

    Full marks for hypocrisy for the foaming Europhobes.

    And it's full marks for you for another fine example of screaming metropolitan hyperbole. Bravo.
    To be fair David Cameron was compared unfavourably with Neville Chamberlain countless times on here.
    Coming back from a visit to a country with an insane far right leader with a sort of deal to the cheers of the Mail seems a far better comparison.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @faisalislam: Irish PM has chosen to answer WH visit question by also expressing his disagreement with Trump ban
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Ooops! My mistake -the suspension covers 7 countries, not 6. I forgot the gentle folk of Yemen.
  • Jonathan said:

    This is a political gesture for his right wing base. That is all.

    Actually I doubt that that is right. As far as we can see from the chaotic early days of the Trump presidency, it seems to me that he is genuine and sincere, i.e. he really does believe that the US has taken a whole bunch of missteps and it's up to him to reverse them.

    If I'm right, it isn't necessarily good news, of course. Rather the opposite, I fear.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,662
    Ed Miliband is very articulate.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Enda Kenny is so much more impressive and articulate on relations with the US than Theresa May.

    Hi William – not a dig but are you still happy that Trump won the US election?
  • Tim_B said:

    Tim_B said:

    Scott_P said:

    Tim_B said:

    Everyone seems to be calling this a 'muslim ban'. It's not - it's a ban on folks from countries which foment the most terrorists,

    Not really

    None of the 9/11 terrorists came from any of these countries, did they?
    9/11 was just one act. There have been many more terrorist acts worldwide since then, very few of which had Saudi or Egyptian folks involved.

    How many Americans have been killed by Syrian immigrants since 9/11, or those from any of the other six countries affected by the ban?

    From what I recall the Paris attack was planned in Syria. Presumably this order was primarily a preventative measure.

    Most of the attackers were French or Belgian.

  • I see we're posting old snippets on here.... I've just changed PC and found I took one in my 'post it note' thingy in outlook... can't remember why exactly... was it that I thought someone was counting chickens at the time???

    15/4/15 22.35 NickPalmer • Posts: 4,554

    LAB - 35% (-) CON - 34% (+1) UKIP - 13% (-) LDEM - 8% (-) GRN - 5% (-)

    Manifesto surge, eh?

    rofl.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    Sky poll also finds that 49% are opposed to Trump-style ban of Moslems entering the UK; 34% in favour.

    Surprised the number in favour is that high.
    Who is voting?

    How many would change their minds if offered a completely identical 'Obama-style' ban?

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SkyNewsBreak: Washington State attorney general Bob Ferguson says he will file lawsuit in federal court against Trump over his immigration executive order
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158

    Ed Miliband is very articulate.

    Urm....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HnbNGCq6TjU
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,719
    tlg86 said:

    Just watching the Commons on BBC Parliament and it strikes me that there are a disproportionate number of SNP members asking questions. I guess they have nothing better to do as I guess they don't have that much constituency work to do. If you have a problem, you'd go to your MSP.

    You are just not used to MP's working . The usual troughers are in the bar supping subsidised champers. SNP show what real MP's should be doing.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    Enda Kenny is so much more impressive and articulate on relations with the US than Theresa May.

    Shame he's riding the wrong horse, stuck there mid-Atlantic.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,719
    Dixie said:

    SNP in Commons talking as the racist bigots that they are. Picking thier nationality as their superiority. Same as Nazis and Orweillian 1984.

    Says a bellend
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    malcolmg said:

    tlg86 said:

    Just watching the Commons on BBC Parliament and it strikes me that there are a disproportionate number of SNP members asking questions. I guess they have nothing better to do as I guess they don't have that much constituency work to do. If you have a problem, you'd go to your MSP.

    You are just not used to MP's working . The usual troughers are in the bar supping subsidised champers. SNP show what real MP's should be doing.
    It certainly seems odd criticising MPs for, er, asking questions in parliament.
  • Roger said:

    Of course it is our business - what Trump does has a direct affect on us and perceptions of us. We march hand-in-hand with him, after all. The Prime Minister wants to lead the world in partnership with him. She has put the UK's eggs in the US's basket. She has made US policies a matter for debate in the UK.

    US policies are always a matter for debate in the UK, and we always march hand-in-hand with them on most major issues. That doesn't mean that the UK government should be so presumptuous as to try to tell a democratically-elected president of the US, no matter how vulgar and simplistic he is, that he shouldn't implement a campaign promise on which he was elected and which, we are told, doesn't affect British citizens.

    In any case, the reaction is ludicrous. Perhaps people like Yvette Cooper and Ed Miliband really do think Trump has introduced a ban on Muslims. There's much fake news about, and perhaps they've fallen for it.

    For the avoidance of doubt, I'm not defending Trump' policy. I'm defending his right to be an idiot, within the bounds of US and international law, since he is, for better or worse, the democratically-elected president. Comparisons with the 1930s are completely bonkers. So far he has put in place a 90-day ban on the granting of visas to citizens of a few countries. He hasn't bombed anyone, or set up an internment camp in Guantanamo Bay to which people are sent without trial, as Blair's bestest friend did.
    It's not just a visa ban, it's also denial of entry to those with valid visas. And some have been detained for long periods without access to a lawyer.
    RN.

    I'm not defending Trump policy.....

    I'd be interested to know what you'd have written if you were. The problem with Tories and I include Blair is that their morality is very much second to expediency and it always has been.
    R4 reports Verhofstadt as saying Trump is as much a threat as radical Islam. I think/hope that's OTT but I know which bloc I'd rather be allied with. We're headed from the frying pan into the fire.
    Today commenting on the USA. "This is the European Union and in the European Union we do not discriminate on the basis of nationality, race or religion," said the spokesman, Margaritis Schinas.

    This is the same EU that has numerous directives which actively discriminate against third country nationals who are not from an EU country…
  • DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    edited January 2017
    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    Everyone knows the Daily Mail is crap, but how does REUTERS come to report a fake version of a Canadian MP's tweet as if it were accurate?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Be good if Nadhim Zahawi just stood up and said

    "Look I've got a fucking holiday booked taking the kids to Disneyland, can we sort this out sharpish?!"
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,150
    Great speech from Zahawi
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,719
    tlg86 said:

    Just watching the Commons on BBC Parliament and it strikes me that there are a disproportionate number of SNP members asking questions. I guess they have nothing better to do as I guess they don't have that much constituency work to do. If you have a problem, you'd go to your MSP.

    You are just not used to MP's working . The usual troughers are in the bar supping subsidised champers. SNP show what real MP's should be doing.
    Tim_B said:

    Ooops! My mistake -the suspension covers 7 countries, not 6. I forgot the gentle folk of Yemen.

    UK bombs have made sure not many of them left to want to visit the US.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112

    Enda Kenny is so much more impressive and articulate on relations with the US than Theresa May.

    Tbf Paddy Kenny would be more impressive than Saint Theresa.
  • Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    tim, is that you?
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    tim, is that you?
    Shame Tim has left – was one of the best posters on the site.
  • I believe everybodies favourite white house spokesman is up now..
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,719
    Has Downing Street found the committee that does not exist , the one that invited Trump for state visit, yet.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,111
    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Latest Dom Cummings blog on how the referendum was won - includes analysis of the odds over time.

    https://dominiccummings.files.wordpress.com/2017/01/20170130-referendum-22-numbers.pdf


    Remember this was the campaign disparaged daily on here by shrieking retweeters - turns out they knew what they were doing all along.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    Yes, quite. Mike should sticky link this thread so at least they can be given fair warning next time (it will probably make no difference, alas).
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    Multiculturalism working it's magic yet again
  • TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    That's no way to talk about the German authorities.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,111
    TGOHF said:

    Latest Dom Cummings blog on how the referendum was won - includes analysis of the odds over time.

    https://dominiccummings.files.wordpress.com/2017/01/20170130-referendum-22-numbers.pdf


    Remember this was the campaign disparaged daily on here by shrieking retweeters - turns out they knew what they were doing all along.

    I think we all knew what they were doing.
  • What happens at the end of an emergency debate
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,896
    Jobabob said:

    Enda Kenny is so much more impressive and articulate on relations with the US than Theresa May.

    Hi William – not a dig but are you still happy that Trump won the US election?
    I'm still optimistic but nervous about a few of the potential ways things could develop.
  • DixieDixie Posts: 1,221
    malcolmg said:

    Dixie said:

    SNP in Commons talking as the racist bigots that they are. Picking thier nationality as their superiority. Same as Nazis and Orweillian 1984.

    Says a bellend
    always playing the man, Malc. SNP hate the English as a nation as much as Trump hates the terrorists from Yemen. Hypocrites.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,719

    What happens at the end of an emergency debate

    If Labour and Tory they all rush in from the bar and ask the few party attendees who got short straw, how they are supposed to vote.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,257
    Ed Miliband might be fucking it up for Britain all over again as he did in 2013.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Matt Gootwin gets special treatment from Cummings... ooooft.
  • DixieDixie Posts: 1,221

    Enda Kenny is so much more impressive and articulate on relations with the US than Theresa May.

    His country have a long line of terrorists wanting to enter the USA, so he would.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,719
    Dixie said:

    malcolmg said:

    Dixie said:

    SNP in Commons talking as the racist bigots that they are. Picking thier nationality as their superiority. Same as Nazis and Orweillian 1984.

    Says a bellend
    always playing the man, Malc. SNP hate the English as a nation as much as Trump hates the terrorists from Yemen. Hypocrites.
    Absolute hogwash, what kind of cretin supports a moron that calls MP's racist bigots for doing their job. The idiot needs help and sounds like you are not far behind.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,257
    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    ? Bit strong?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,257
    TGOHF said:

    Matt Gootwin gets special treatment from Cummings... ooooft.

    Cummings clearly has some deeply personal beef with Matthew Goodwin.

    I think they're both good.
  • Dixie said:

    malcolmg said:

    Dixie said:

    SNP in Commons talking as the racist bigots that they are. Picking thier nationality as their superiority. Same as Nazis and Orweillian 1984.

    Says a bellend
    always playing the man, Malc. SNP hate the English as a nation as much as Trump hates the terrorists from Yemen. Hypocrites.
    I remember my dear Scottish Father in Law saying that the Scots do not hate the English as he said they were impoverished as much as the Scots but it was the English aristocracy that were the problem. I should say I was very close to him, he was an outstanding Scottish fisherman with wonderful stories of the fishing and the folk and he was a very committed christian
  • Dixie said:

    malcolmg said:

    Dixie said:

    SNP in Commons talking as the racist bigots that they are. Picking thier nationality as their superiority. Same as Nazis and Orweillian 1984.

    Says a bellend
    always playing the man, Malc. SNP hate the English as a nation as much as Trump hates the terrorists from Yemen. Hypocrites.
    Says the hypocritical numpty who has just called 54 mps racist bigots.

    Tbh if you were the specific representative of your nation, I'd find it very difficult not to feel superior. I can only hope my better nature would kick in.
  • malcolmg said:

    What happens at the end of an emergency debate

    If Labour and Tory they all rush in from the bar and ask the few party attendees who got short straw, how they are supposed to vote.
    Good answer
  • DixieDixie Posts: 1,221
    Dromedary said:

    Scott_P said:

    (snip)

    Corbyn refers to "the petition supporting my calls"! He doesn't quite grasp the concept of "valid visa" either.

    Why didn't Trump do this the grown-up way and have the acting Secretary of State call in the ambassadors and inform them that the US would no longer allow entry to their citizens?

    The answer is that he wants to be a tough bully; he wants a fair-sized proportion of the US population thinking that refugees being denied entry because they're "possible turrurists" or "Moooslims" - no more wimpish, snowflaky, politically correct, cucky "caring" about the interests of these non-white foreigners - is the greatest thing they've ever heard. It's like watching the wrestling but for real, and no "librulz" are gonna tell them what they should and shouldn't think, etc. You can imagine them going "YEAH! GO TRUMP!" when they watch the TV. This is why. There was no imminent danger from any of the people who had already been issued with visas - no new intelligence.
    precisely. What the Left don't understand.
  • Spicer trying the angry teacher approach, but comes off a nervous agency one thrown in to teach the worse class in the school.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    TGOHF said:

    Latest Dom Cummings blog on how the referendum was won - includes analysis of the odds over time.

    https://dominiccummings.files.wordpress.com/2017/01/20170130-referendum-22-numbers.pdf


    Remember this was the campaign disparaged daily on here by shrieking retweeters - turns out they knew what they were doing all along.

    Professional campaigners more astute than cut and paste artists shock....
  • TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    Trudeau called it as terrorism. He's stuck with that now!

    Oh.
  • DixieDixie Posts: 1,221
    Tim_B said:

    Jonathan said:

    Tim_B said:

    Tim_B said:

    Scott_P said:

    Tim_B said:

    Everyone seems to be calling this a 'muslim ban'. It's not - it's a ban on folks from countries which foment the most terrorists,

    Not really

    None of the 9/11 terrorists came from any of these countries, did they?
    9/11 was just one act. There have been many more terrorist acts worldwide since then, very few of which had Saudi or Egyptian folks involved.

    How many Americans have been killed by Syrian immigrants since 9/11, or those from any of the other six countries affected by the ban?

    From what I recall the Paris attack was planned in Syria. Presumably this order was primarily a preventative measure.
    This is a political gesture for his right wing base. That is all.
    He is fulfilling a campaign promise, and it has broad support. Hardly a gesture.
    Indeed. Liberal media are unbelievably out of touch.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,111

    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    ? Bit strong?
    The propagation of the idea that one particular demographic is responsible for one particular crime is pernicious.

    There is a balance between understanding the threat of radical Islam and the vilifying of a whole people.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    ? Bit strong?
    The propagation of the idea that one particular demographic is responsible for one particular crime is pernicious.

    There is a balance between understanding the threat of radical Islam and the vilifying of a whole people.
    When the target is a mosque it makes it more unlikely I'd say
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited January 2017
    TGOHF said:

    Matt Gootwin gets special treatment from Cummings... ooooft.

    " Betting markets on the referendum and Trump showed no useful information. "

    " they, and others in a similar position, had a strong incentive to game betting markets to increase their chances of large gains from inside knowledge"
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,719

    Dixie said:

    malcolmg said:

    Dixie said:

    SNP in Commons talking as the racist bigots that they are. Picking thier nationality as their superiority. Same as Nazis and Orweillian 1984.

    Says a bellend
    always playing the man, Malc. SNP hate the English as a nation as much as Trump hates the terrorists from Yemen. Hypocrites.
    I remember my dear Scottish Father in Law saying that the Scots do not hate the English as he said they were impoverished as much as the Scots but it was the English aristocracy that were the problem. I should say I was very close to him, he was an outstanding Scottish fisherman with wonderful stories of the fishing and the folk and he was a very committed christian
    It really does sicken you when you hear morons like this pushing their pathetic lies. The Scottish people and the SNP do not and have never taken such a position , quite the opposite. You get a few morons like this on both sides of the border, they are to be pitied.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,111

    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    Trudeau called it as terrorism. He's stuck with that now!

    Oh.
    It is terrorism.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,111
    isam said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    ? Bit strong?
    The propagation of the idea that one particular demographic is responsible for one particular crime is pernicious.

    There is a balance between understanding the threat of radical Islam and the vilifying of a whole people.
    When the target is a mosque it makes it more unlikely I'd say
    Makes what more unlikely?
  • Sky poll also finds that 49% are opposed to Trump-style ban of Moslems entering the UK; 34% in favour.

    Interesting.

    Also find it rather odd that PB is attempting to characterise the opposition to Trump's ban as 'extreme'. The debate in the HoC tonight was put forward by not only by Ed Miliband, but also by Nadhim Zahawi. The tone of many MPs on the centre-left was also reflected by several Conservative MPs on twitter, particularly in support of Nadhim Zahawi. Sarah Wollaston is only one example.

    Some people only this site are really playing themselves if they truly believe that strong, strong opposition to this ban is limited to loony lefties.

    Also re this ban going down well in the US - really? There are huge protests across several American cities. Trump's approval rating continues to decline; gallup reported today he broke the records in having a 51% disapproval rating within only eight days into his Presidency. It seems that rather than it only being the left that oppose Donald Trump, many Americans across the political spectrum seem to have a poor opinion of him, and his conduct as President of the United States.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,257
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    ? Bit strong?
    The propagation of the idea that one particular demographic is responsible for one particular crime is pernicious.

    There is a balance between understanding the threat of radical Islam and the vilifying of a whole people.
    I agree.

    You just seemed disproportionately angry and out of character.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,944

    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    Trudeau called it as terrorism. He's stuck with that now!

    Oh.
    Not quite sure what point you're making.
    Opening fire on people in a place of worship is obviously terrorism.
  • HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    Just a rumour but still (apologies if already posted);
    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/455fe294-e66f-11e6-a93a-4fa396e7e4ed
  • AndyJS said:
    Bloody hell it must be bad if we're having to rely on Ramussen numbers!
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Dixie said:

    Tim_B said:

    Jonathan said:

    Tim_B said:

    Tim_B said:

    Scott_P said:

    Tim_B said:

    Everyone seems to be calling this a 'muslim ban'. It's not - it's a ban on folks from countries which foment the most terrorists,

    Not really

    None of the 9/11 terrorists came from any of these countries, did they?
    9/11 was just one act. There have been many more terrorist acts worldwide since then, very few of which had Saudi or Egyptian folks involved.

    How many Americans have been killed by Syrian immigrants since 9/11, or those from any of the other six countries affected by the ban?

    From what I recall the Paris attack was planned in Syria. Presumably this order was primarily a preventative measure.
    This is a political gesture for his right wing base. That is all.
    He is fulfilling a campaign promise, and it has broad support. Hardly a gesture.
    Indeed. Liberal media are unbelievably out of touch.
    Not that out of touch according to the sky poll
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,380
    edited January 2017
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    Trudeau called it as terrorism. He's stuck with that now!

    Oh.
    It is terrorism.
    Yep, I know that.
    The original implication was that Trudeau almost immediately identifying it as terrorism would mean that once it turned out to be Muslims wot done it there couldn't be any 'mental illness' backtracking.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,719
    HaroldO said:

    Just a rumour but still (apologies if already posted);
    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/455fe294-e66f-11e6-a93a-4fa396e7e4ed

    Old lies
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,696

    AndyJS said:
    Bloody hell it must be bad if we're having to rely on Ramussen numbers!
    Rasmussen had Hillary ahead by 2% nationally in its final poll in November, it got the popular vote spot on. I also doubt the numbers would be much different here outside of inner London and the big university cities
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,111

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    ? Bit strong?
    The propagation of the idea that one particular demographic is responsible for one particular crime is pernicious.

    There is a balance between understanding the threat of radical Islam and the vilifying of a whole people.
    I agree.

    You just seemed disproportionately angry and out of character.
    Just had it up to here with a full day of it. I didn't respond at the time because I refused to do things (pre-judge) I dislike in others.
  • HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185

    Spicer trying the angry teacher approach, but comes off a nervous agency one thrown in to teach the worse class in the school.

    I had a primary school teacher just like him.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    edited January 2017
    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:
    Bloody hell it must be bad if we're having to rely on Ramussen numbers!
    Rasmussen had Hillary ahead by 2% nationally in its final poll in November, it got the popular vote spot on. I also doubt the numbers would be much different here outside of inner London and the big university cities
    One poll doesn't make Ramussen a reliable pollster overall. Several other polls also showed Clinton winning the popular vote as well. Ramussen is telling us Trump has a 59% approval rating while every other pollster is telling us otherwise.

    EDIT: The Sky poll is showing that 49% oppose Trump's policy.
  • HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    malcolmg said:

    HaroldO said:

    Just a rumour but still (apologies if already posted);
    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/455fe294-e66f-11e6-a93a-4fa396e7e4ed

    Old lies
    Old? It's from this morning. Didn't realise it had been discredited.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,712

    Sky poll also finds that 49% are opposed to Trump-style ban of Moslems entering the UK; 34% in favour.

    Interesting.

    Also find it rather odd that PB is attempting to characterise the opposition to Trump's ban as 'extreme'. The debate in the HoC tonight was put forward by not only by Ed Miliband, but also by Nadhim Zahawi. The tone of many MPs on the centre-left was also reflected by several Conservative MPs on twitter, particularly in support of Nadhim Zahawi. Sarah Wollaston is only one example.

    Some people only this site are really playing themselves if they truly believe that strong, strong opposition to this ban is limited to loony lefties.

    Also re this ban going down well in the US - really? There are huge protests across several American cities. Trump's approval rating continues to decline; gallup reported today he broke the records in having a 51% disapproval rating within only eight days into his Presidency. It seems that rather than it only being the left that oppose Donald Trump, many Americans across the political spectrum seem to have a poor opinion of him, and his conduct as President of the United States.
    Trump's playing them all for suckers.

    He hits them with some new indignation every day

    Can anyone remember what last weeks gasps of incredulity were ?

    The protests cant keep up with the pace. SCOTUS next this week, stand by for self righteous wailing

  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,296

    AndyJS said:
    Bloody hell it must be bad if we're having to rely on Ramussen numbers!
    Are they not the gold standard after 2016? :D
  • HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    If it's true she is a chump for not getting on this as an issue ASAP.
  • Expect The report doesnt say that. In fact it specifically says they didn't know the details. only that trump was intending to put in place some sort of ban on refugees.
  • Sky poll also finds that 49% are opposed to Trump-style ban of Moslems entering the UK; 34% in favour.

    Interesting.

    Also find it rather odd that PB is attempting to characterise the opposition to Trump's ban as 'extreme'. The debate in the HoC tonight was put forward by not only by Ed Miliband, but also by Nadhim Zahawi. The tone of many MPs on the centre-left was also reflected by several Conservative MPs on twitter, particularly in support of Nadhim Zahawi. Sarah Wollaston is only one example.

    Some people only this site are really playing themselves if they truly believe that strong, strong opposition to this ban is limited to loony lefties.

    Also re this ban going down well in the US - really? There are huge protests across several American cities. Trump's approval rating continues to decline; gallup reported today he broke the records in having a 51% disapproval rating within only eight days into his Presidency. It seems that rather than it only being the left that oppose Donald Trump, many Americans across the political spectrum seem to have a poor opinion of him, and his conduct as President of the United States.
    I am opposed to the ban and the crass way it has been introduced. It is to be hoped the judiciary and sensible republicans can mitigate it. However it was Trump's policy and we need to see US polls on how the US are reacting.

    There is a need not to give a knee jerk reaction and to pursue council with those close to Trump. We have managed to at least obtain a hearing and it would not be in our interests to prejeudice that understanding, as much as it would give us great pleasure to do so
  • dr_spyn said:
    They are as bad as him to be fair
  • Sky poll also finds that 49% are opposed to Trump-style ban of Moslems entering the UK; 34% in favour.

    Interesting.

    Also find it rather odd that PB is attempting to characterise the opposition to Trump's ban as 'extreme'. The debate in the HoC tonight was put forward by not only by Ed Miliband, but also by Nadhim Zahawi. The tone of many MPs on the centre-left was also reflected by several Conservative MPs on twitter, particularly in support of Nadhim Zahawi. Sarah Wollaston is only one example.

    Some people only this site are really playing themselves if they truly believe that strong, strong opposition to this ban is limited to loony lefties.

    Also re this ban going down well in the US - really? There are huge protests across several American cities. Trump's approval rating continues to decline; gallup reported today he broke the records in having a 51% disapproval rating within only eight days into his Presidency. It seems that rather than it only being the left that oppose Donald Trump, many Americans across the political spectrum seem to have a poor opinion of him, and his conduct as President of the United States.
    Trump's playing them all for suckers.

    He hits them with some new indignation every day

    Can anyone remember what last weeks gasps of incredulity were ?

    The protests cant keep up with the pace. SCOTUS next this week, stand by for self righteous wailing

    The only who is getting played is Trump. For someone who sees himself as a man of the people, it looks like many of the American people are turning against him. And, looking at his twitter it's clearly getting under his skin.

    I also think that this mobilisation of the left is actually good thing. The Left for a long time has lacked direction and purpose. Perhaps Trump will spur them on to rectify that. I probably won't like the SCOTUS appointment. Is voicing opposition to something mean that someone is self righteously wailing? Really?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,257
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Dromedary said:

    Not much to go on regarding the motive in Quebec. There has been some professional-grade disinfo in this story - not that that's unusual with such an event. Bissonnette doesn't sound like he took the pledge to al-Baghdadi. Calling 911?

    A perfect example of why the frothers should leave well alone. Some of the posts on here from earlier are real keepers.
    But the PB Frothers never, ever learn.
    Fucking arseholes. Insecure, naive arseholes with their funny "I bet he's called Geoff" comments,
    ? Bit strong?
    The propagation of the idea that one particular demographic is responsible for one particular crime is pernicious.

    There is a balance between understanding the threat of radical Islam and the vilifying of a whole people.
    I agree.

    You just seemed disproportionately angry and out of character.
    Just had it up to here with a full day of it. I didn't respond at the time because I refused to do things (pre-judge) I dislike in others.
    We all pre judge. It's how we're made.
This discussion has been closed.