Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Timing is everything. A review of Theresa May’s speech

135

Comments

  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,994
    F1: although, if you have backed Bottas to be top 3 or win the title, then the race wins market is a similar sort of thing, so you may prefer to avoid it (or bet on him doing poorly, as a hedge). May sit it out.

    If I were going in with a clean slate, then the 4 or 5+ bets are the ones I'd consider. Rosberg got that every year he was Hamilton's team mate.
  • Options
    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Spiked
    Brendan O'Neill on how Obama got away with it https://t.co/sv9ThEmkUw
  • Options
    DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    edited January 2017

    Could this be more transparent? The mission is surely to install Farage as the British Trump.

    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2017/jan/19/arron-banks-launches-breitbart-style-site-westmonster

    Farage as the British Trump? I don’t see that at all. Strip away the Guardian’s hyperbole on the subject and it looks more like a 3rd rate protest blog site to promote Arron Banks.

    There’s very little to see content wise thus far, but we’ll know soon enough.
    Their logo is similar to the masonic square and compasses:

    image
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    John_M said:

    This Guardian story about handwringing Labour MPs is pitiful. If they want to vote against A50 invocation, then they should do so. Corbyn should be their example.

    Rebelling agaist the leader? sirely Jezza has no problem with that!
  • Options
    Dromedary said:

    Could this be more transparent? The mission is surely to install Farage as the British Trump.

    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2017/jan/19/arron-banks-launches-breitbart-style-site-westmonster

    Farage as the British Trump? I don’t see that at all. Strip away the Guardian’s hyperbole on the subject and it looks more like a 3rd rate protest blog site to promote Arron Banks.

    There’s very little to see content wise thus far, but we’ll know soon enough.
    Their logo is similar to the masonic square and compasses:

    image
    You know the Masons were persecuted by the Nazis, right?
  • Options
    PlatoSaid said:

    Spiked
    Brendan O'Neill on how Obama got away with it https://t.co/sv9ThEmkUw

    Poor old Brendan - struggling to accept that Obama is leaving office with a 60% approval rating and the thanks of most Americans, while Trump enters the White House with a falling approval rating and most Americans opposed to him. Oh well, snowflakes will be snowflakes.

  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Good

    @EdConwaySky: Australian finance minister tells me Australia has already started preliminary talks w/ UK abt a trade deal. “It will be done quickly.” #WEF

    With what was announced the other day and now this, tt would appear there is plenty of flexibility to the line ‘no official negotiations can start until 2 years after A50 is activated’.
    I do not believe that is the actual rule and, even if it is, how it could ever be enforceable. I believe it is that we cannot conclude deals ahead of actually leaving.
  • Options
    DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
  • Options
    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    MTimT said:

    Good

    @EdConwaySky: Australian finance minister tells me Australia has already started preliminary talks w/ UK abt a trade deal. “It will be done quickly.” #WEF

    With what was announced the other day and now this, tt would appear there is plenty of flexibility to the line ‘no official negotiations can start until 2 years after A50 is activated’.
    I do not believe that is the actual rule and, even if it is, how it could ever be enforceable. I believe it is that we cannot conclude deals ahead of actually leaving.
    We cannot conclude trade agreements while members of the customs union. I know I'm being a bit theological here, but it seems to me that we might end up with some transitional arrangements in respect of our membership.
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,723
    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,994
    Mr. Song, May.
  • Options
    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460

    Good

    @EdConwaySky: Australian finance minister tells me Australia has already started preliminary talks w/ UK abt a trade deal. “It will be done quickly.” #WEF

    With what was announced the other day and now this, tt would appear there is plenty of flexibility to the line ‘no official negotiations can start until 2 years after A50 is activated’.
    I thought I heard Ms Mogherini (commissioner for foreign affairs???) stating a couple of days ago that talks couldn't even begin till we'd left. To which I thought "yeah right", back in the real world try and stop us. If she's asking, I'm sure we are just going to have a nice chat with the Aussies about the Big Bash and if the topic of them selling us Hunter Valley red comes up well that's just pure coincidence.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,362
    edited January 2017
    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Dreamy rod

  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,723

    Mr. Song, May.

    May be
  • Options
    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    Was TMs speech deliberately timed to create a ripple before the A50 ruling?
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024

    PlatoSaid said:

    Spiked
    Brendan O'Neill on how Obama got away with it https://t.co/sv9ThEmkUw

    Poor old Brendan - struggling to accept that Obama is leaving office with a 60% approval rating and the thanks of most Americans, while Trump enters the White House with a falling approval rating and most Americans opposed to him. Oh well, snowflakes will be snowflakes.

    Actually he has a point. Obama got away with a lot because he was pretty and a nice speaker I suspect the left will be more active now because Trump puts an ugly face on ugly policies.
  • Options

    PlatoSaid said:

    Spiked
    Brendan O'Neill on how Obama got away with it https://t.co/sv9ThEmkUw

    Poor old Brendan - struggling to accept that Obama is leaving office with a 60% approval rating and the thanks of most Americans, while Trump enters the White House with a falling approval rating and most Americans opposed to him. Oh well, snowflakes will be snowflakes.

    Brendan needs to come out of the closet and tell us that, actually, he just adores Trump. He'd be far happier in himself if he did.
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    philiph said:

    Was TMs speech deliberately timed to create a ripple before the A50 ruling?

    No.
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    MTimT said:

    Alastair, thanks for the article. For the most part, I agree. However, I don't see this as an admission of defeat. I, for one, as a leaver have always advocated going into the negotiations saying what our red lines are (control of our own laws - hence no ECJ - and immigration, and no contributions save to programs we opt into) and then asking the EU what they are willing to do on free trade given those red line. So to me, following that approach, which is essentially what May is doing, is not an admission of defeat, but just realism.

    There's probably a lot you agree with in this analysis:

    https://pro.creditwritedowns.com/2017/01/a-qa-with-prime-economics-jeremy-smith-on-brexit-immigration-and-democracy.html
    thanks for the link. You were right.
  • Options
    BudGBudG Posts: 711
    edited January 2017
    French Presidential polling

    New Ipsos poll added today.

    Comparison with Ipsos poll last month:

    Small increase for Le Pen who leads.

    Fillon lead over Macron now 4-6% compared to 11-13% last month.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_presidential_election,_2017
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,994
    Mr. G, cheers for that. Let's hope Macron wins :)
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Good one, Gallic Goons
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,723

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Dreamy rod

    Dom Dreary
  • Options
    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Dreamy rod

    Dom Dreary
    My Dear Rod
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
  • Options
    BudGBudG Posts: 711

    Mr. G, cheers for that. Let's hope Macron wins :)

    It appears to be tightening up Mr Dancer. Could be a very close three horse race for the two spots in the run-off.
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,723
    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,054
    SeanT said:

    felix said:

    TSE, have you been giving Osborne fashion tips? And what the bloody hell is Jamie Oliver doing there?

    https://order-order.com/2017/01/19/davos-fashion-report/

    Catering contract?
    Travel the world a bit and you soon realize that Jamie Oliver is incredibly famous, globally, from Oz to Germany to the Americas. He has his own MAGAZINE in Brazil.

    Indeed Brazilians are oddly fond of British culture, in general, as my good friend, the lady Cornish mystery writer S K Tremayne, can attest.

    Oh, and greetings from a fiendishly sultry Bangkok.

    And thanks to Mister Meeks for a reasonable and interesting Brexit post. I agree with much of it. Seems to me even the most hardened Remoaners are now resigned to Brexit. Apart, perhaps, from our own williamglenn
    Sean, it's off-topic, but you might be interested in the following:
    http://www.gizmodo.co.uk/2017/01/lithium-mining-could-be-the-next-big-thing-in-cornwall/
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cornwall-38667701
  • Options
    'I'm an evil Tory bigot' was my favourite anagram.
  • Options
    SeanT said:

    felix said:

    TSE, have you been giving Osborne fashion tips? And what the bloody hell is Jamie Oliver doing there?

    https://order-order.com/2017/01/19/davos-fashion-report/

    Catering contract?
    Travel the world a bit and you soon realize that Jamie Oliver is incredibly famous, globally, from Oz to Germany to the Americas. He has his own MAGAZINE in Brazil.
    Why though? Is he even that good a cook?
  • Options

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,994
    Mr. G, when is the election? April?
  • Options

    'I'm an evil Tory bigot' was my favourite anagram.

    One of my co-workers in a previous job was an anagram of

    Sick Lens Randy Routine :lol:
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,723

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
  • Options

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,942
    40 off 16
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,994
    Mr. Song, it's easier to be critical than correct.
  • Options
    BudGBudG Posts: 711

    Mr. G, when is the election? April?

    1st Round 23rd April

    2nd Round 7th May
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,994
    Mr. G, cheers. Either side of the Russian Grand Prix.
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,723

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
    Nasal An Rips Nun
    I'm sure it could be worse.
  • Options

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
    Nasal An Rips Nun
    I'm sure it could be worse.
    Noooo! I thought my name is un-anagrammable!
  • Options
    The Grand Old Duke of York's staff have clarified his battleplan:

    Labour has sought to clarify its position on whether it will impose a three-line whip on any bill allowing the government to trigger article 50. Party sources are now claiming that no final decision has been taken on how the party will whip the vote, although they are not disputing that Jeremy Corbyn wants his MPs to vote in favour.

    If Labour does not impose a three-line whip (an instruction to vote a certain way), it could alternatively allow a genuinely free vote or what one might term a “free” vote - one where MPs are technically free to vote as they wish, but encouraged to vote a certain way. It could ask MPs to abstain. Or it could impose a looser, less strict form of whip (a one- or two-line whip), although these are not used for important legislation.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/jan/19/breixt-talks-wil-get-very-nasty-says-former-british-ambassador-to-eu-politics-live

    15.59
  • Options
    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819
    BudG said:

    French Presidential polling

    New Ipsos poll added today.

    Comparison with Ipsos poll last month:

    Small increase for Le Pen who leads.

    Fillon lead over Macron now 4-6% compared to 11-13% last month.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_presidential_election,_2017

    Macron v Le Pen is the contest France needs to have. The two couldn't be more polar opposites. It will completely jumble up the voting groups.
  • Options

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
    Nasal An Rips Nun
    I'm sure it could be worse.
    Yep.

    Nuns anal sprain.
  • Options
    stodgestodge Posts: 12,877
    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.
  • Options

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
    Nasal An Rips Nun
    I'm sure it could be worse.
    Nun's anal sprains!
  • Options
    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    I'll vote against.
  • Options

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
    Nasal An Rips Nun
    I'm sure it could be worse.
    Yep.

    Nuns anal sprain.
    Video invite hun
  • Options
    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956

    SeanT said:

    felix said:

    TSE, have you been giving Osborne fashion tips? And what the bloody hell is Jamie Oliver doing there?

    https://order-order.com/2017/01/19/davos-fashion-report/

    Catering contract?
    Travel the world a bit and you soon realize that Jamie Oliver is incredibly famous, globally, from Oz to Germany to the Americas. He has his own MAGAZINE in Brazil.
    Why though? Is he even that good a cook?
    No. And he wrecked chips-with-everything school dinners.
  • Options
    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    The optics of this look bad for the Tories when you consider the Chancellor of the Exchequer and Health Secretary are both Surrey MPs.

    Ditto the Leader of the House, throw in backbench MPs like Michael Gove and Dominic Raab.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,942
    22 from 6.
  • Options
    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited January 2017

    Macron v Le Pen is the contest France needs to have. The two couldn't be more polar opposites. It will completely jumble up the voting groups.

    Well, that's Le Pen's best chance of winning.

    It's possible that the French electorate have cyclic preferences, in that the second round results might be:

    Fillon --> Le Pen --> Macron --> Fillon
  • Options
    Captain Morgan played a rum innings today.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,216
    edited January 2017

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
    Nasal An Rips Nun
    I'm sure it could be worse.
    Yep.

    Nuns anal sprain.
    Video invite hun
    Hun video invite would make more sense.

    I'm always having to turn down invitations from Loyalist pals who want me to come round for a screening of the coronation.
  • Options
    stodgestodge Posts: 12,877
    Patrick said:

    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    I'll vote against.
    Care to explain why ?

    An ideological aversion to tax increases or do you think Surrey is a poorly run Council which could provide additional care by cuts in other services ?

  • Options
    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039

    Captain Morgan played a rum innings today.

    Maybe he's looking for a similar deal to Wes:
    https://twitter.com/Wes5L1nk/status/809382557389377536
  • Options

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
    Nasal An Rips Nun
    I'm sure it could be worse.
    Yep.

    Nuns anal sprain.
    Video invite hun
    Hun video invite would make more sense.

    I'm always having to turn down invitations from Loyalist pals who want me to come round for a screening of the coronation.
    1) Are Sevco fans still called Huns?

    2) Why were they called Huns in the first place?
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,951

    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    The optics of this look bad for the Tories when you consider the Chancellor of the Exchequer and Health Secretary are both Surrey MPs.

    Ditto the Leader of the House, throw in backbench MPs like Michael Gove and Dominic Raab.
    As an aside, TSE, how would you fund social care?

    I'm wondering whether a social care levy on higher rate earners might make sense.
  • Options
    BudGBudG Posts: 711

    BudG said:

    French Presidential polling

    New Ipsos poll added today.

    Comparison with Ipsos poll last month:

    Small increase for Le Pen who leads.

    Fillon lead over Macron now 4-6% compared to 11-13% last month.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_presidential_election,_2017

    Macron v Le Pen is the contest France needs to have. The two couldn't be more polar opposites. It will completely jumble up the voting groups.
    That final pairing would be my bet. Betfair have a market on the final pair and surprisingly Fillon/Macron is regarded more likely than Macron/Le Pen. Can't see it myself, Le Pen looks strong enough to make the final two. I would make Macron/Le Pen second favourite.
  • Options
    Another good performance with the bat... but not victory for England
  • Options

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
    Nasal An Rips Nun
    I'm sure it could be worse.
    Yep.

    Nuns anal sprain.
    Video invite hun
    Hun video invite would make more sense.

    No,

    "Video invite, hun!"
  • Options
    Mortimer said:

    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    The optics of this look bad for the Tories when you consider the Chancellor of the Exchequer and Health Secretary are both Surrey MPs.

    Ditto the Leader of the House, throw in backbench MPs like Michael Gove and Dominic Raab.
    As an aside, TSE, how would you fund social care?

    I'm wondering whether a social care levy on higher rate earners might make sense.
    Additional rate tax payers already contribute enough taxes thank you very much.

    I'd hypothecate an increase on the basic rate of tax to fund it, as well as abolishing some pensioner perks/perks for better off purchases, cheerio triple lock for starters.

    Mike made a point to spend his winter fuel allowance on the Lib Dems winning Richmond
  • Options
    stodgestodge Posts: 12,877


    The optics of this look bad for the Tories when you consider the Chancellor of the Exchequer and Health Secretary are both Surrey MPs.

    Ditto the Leader of the House, throw in backbench MPs like Michael Gove and Dominic Raab.

    For me, the irony is most of them are where they are because of one referendum and now they face another in their own backyard.

  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,031

    Macron v Le Pen is the contest France needs to have. The two couldn't be more polar opposites. It will completely jumble up the voting groups.

    Well, that's Le Pen's best chance of winning.

    It's possible that the French electorate have cyclic preferences, in that the second round results might be:

    Fillon --> Le Pen --> Macron --> Fillon
    The polls have 65:35 for either Macron or Fillon vs Le Pen.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,031

    BudG said:

    French Presidential polling

    New Ipsos poll added today.

    Comparison with Ipsos poll last month:

    Small increase for Le Pen who leads.

    Fillon lead over Macron now 4-6% compared to 11-13% last month.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_presidential_election,_2017

    Macron v Le Pen is the contest France needs to have. The two couldn't be more polar opposites. It will completely jumble up the voting groups.
    Blair vs Trump.

    A fascinating fight.
  • Options

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
    Nasal An Rips Nun
    I'm sure it could be worse.
    Yep.

    Nuns anal sprain.
    Video invite hun
    Hun video invite would make more sense.

    I'm always having to turn down invitations from Loyalist pals who want me to come round for a screening of the coronation.
    1) Are Sevco fans still called Huns?

    2) Why were they called Huns in the first place?
    Ooh, now that is a can of worms. Yes, they still are.

    Lots of legend and myths, e.g:

    'Lots of different stories on how this name came about, but the most likely stems from that a number of Rangers players were able to dodge the war effort in the World Wars due to connections taking roles in the shipyards instead. Critics said that were no better than the "Huns" (slang at the time in the UK media for the Germans and their Axis power counterparts), and the term stuck'

    Or:

    'In 1912 Harland and Wolff (Belfast) set up a shipyard in Govan. They brought over workers from Belfast who would dominate the yards culture (being charge hands etc). Wolff was German and World War I broke out in 1914 between Germany and Britain and France. If, as was likely, Catholics were discouraged from applying for work in the yards, it is easy to see how the term for Germans was transferred to Govan workers with a German boss who supported their local team Rangers.'

    At one point I believe Celtic supporters were called Huns, apparently down to the Easter uprising being supported with guns from Germany and weakening the war effort.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,343
    edited January 2017

    Another good performance with the bat... but not victory for England

    As I said at half time those last 3 overs from Plunkett which cost us so many runs ultimately cost us the game. Another awesome game though. If Stokes or Buttler had got going today it might have been possible but it was always too much of an ask.

    Edit. He conceded 51 runs in his last 3 overs. There was the winning margin I am afraid.
  • Options
    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    rcs1000 said:

    Macron v Le Pen is the contest France needs to have. The two couldn't be more polar opposites. It will completely jumble up the voting groups.

    Well, that's Le Pen's best chance of winning.

    It's possible that the French electorate have cyclic preferences, in that the second round results might be:

    Fillon --> Le Pen --> Macron --> Fillon
    The polls have 65:35 for either Macron or Fillon vs Le Pen.
    Fair enough. Who do you think she would prefer to face though?
  • Options
    Get Nigel Scams Here
  • Options
    stodgestodge Posts: 12,877
    Thinking more about the Surrey Referendum, it looks as though we will have the extraordinary situation of Conservatives campaigning for increased taxes and Liberal Democrats campaigning for lower taxes.

    Where will UKIP and Labour be in this ?

    Will Surrey Conservatives be campaigning on both sides ?

    Will it impact on the County Council elections ?

    IF the Referendum succeeds, will we see other authorities following a similar route or will it be blocked in an act of centralisation by central Government ?
  • Options

    rcs1000 said:

    Macron v Le Pen is the contest France needs to have. The two couldn't be more polar opposites. It will completely jumble up the voting groups.

    Well, that's Le Pen's best chance of winning.

    It's possible that the French electorate have cyclic preferences, in that the second round results might be:

    Fillon --> Le Pen --> Macron --> Fillon
    The polls have 65:35 for either Macron or Fillon vs Le Pen.
    Fair enough. Who do you think she would prefer to face though?
    I reckon Macron. Support is less established. Take the LR vote as much as possible and hope the far left stay at home.
  • Options
    [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 0
    edited January 2017
    stodge said:

    Patrick said:

    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    I'll vote against.
    Care to explain why ?

    An ideological aversion to tax increases or do you think Surrey is a poorly run Council which could provide additional care by cuts in other services ?
    A bit of both. I'm not convinced councils focus religiously on core purpose and ruthlessly eliminate waste. Adult learning, arts, and Surrey Climate Change for example are things I feel are over funded. I'd much rather they emptied my bins once a week instead of once a fortnight! I also think social care is vital but should not be the sole burden of the state for moral reasons. When my 80 year old mum gets decrepit I think I have a duty to look after her to a significant extent rather than farming her out to a care home and letting everyone else pay for it. My wife is Chinese and I quite like the Chinese emphasis on family and community. It's how human beings have cared for each other for millenia. Not sure turning everyhting over to the state is actually good for society. And old age loneliness is a real problem. As is inter-generational 'distance'. It would be good for my daughters to help their grandmother and share in her old age. We all seem too busy and selfish to look after our own. It's not good.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited January 2017
    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    Watch Hospital on iplayer from last night.

    Hospital, Episode 2: www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b08bgtw8 via @bbciplayer

    The lack of social care causes a lot of misery as well as wasting expensive theatre and surgical time. So much hanging around unnecessarily.
  • Options
    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956
    stodge said:

    Thinking more about the Surrey Referendum, it looks as though we will have the extraordinary situation of Conservatives campaigning for increased taxes and Liberal Democrats campaigning for lower taxes.

    Where will UKIP and Labour be in this ?

    Will Surrey Conservatives be campaigning on both sides ?

    Will it impact on the County Council elections ?

    IF the Referendum succeeds, will we see other authorities following a similar route or will it be blocked in an act of centralisation by central Government ?

    The Lib Dems will demand another one.
  • Options

    Ooh, now that is a can of worms. Yes, they still are.

    Lots of legend and myths, e.g:

    'Lots of different stories on how this name came about, but the most likely stems from that a number of Rangers players were able to dodge the war effort in the World Wars due to connections taking roles in the shipyards instead. Critics said that were no better than the "Huns" (slang at the time in the UK media for the Germans and their Axis power counterparts), and the term stuck'

    Or:

    'In 1912 Harland and Wolff (Belfast) set up a shipyard in Govan. They brought over workers from Belfast who would dominate the yards culture (being charge hands etc). Wolff was German and World War I broke out in 1914 between Germany and Britain and France. If, as was likely, Catholics were discouraged from applying for work in the yards, it is easy to see how the term for Germans was transferred to Govan workers with a German boss who supported their local team Rangers.'

    At one point I believe Celtic supporters were called Huns, apparently down to the Easter uprising being supported with guns from Germany and weakening the war effort.

    The version I had heard was the Protestants/Rangers fans had often questioned the loyalty of Catholics/Celtic fans, and when World War I broke the Celtic fans liked to remind Rangers fans were loyal to a Hun Royal family, the House of Saxe-Coburg and Gotha
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,951

    Mortimer said:

    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    The optics of this look bad for the Tories when you consider the Chancellor of the Exchequer and Health Secretary are both Surrey MPs.

    Ditto the Leader of the House, throw in backbench MPs like Michael Gove and Dominic Raab.
    As an aside, TSE, how would you fund social care?

    I'm wondering whether a social care levy on higher rate earners might make sense.
    Additional rate tax payers already contribute enough taxes thank you very much.

    I'd hypothecate an increase on the basic rate of tax to fund it, as well as abolishing some pensioner perks/perks for better off purchases, cheerio triple lock for starters.

    Mike made a point to spend his winter fuel allowance on the Lib Dems winning Richmond
    I'd have thought the Lawyers, consultants and high flying accountants whom Brexit will directly and most swiftly benefit paying more would be fair. :) Increasing the basic rate hurts JAMs relatively more - which doesn't seem exactly fair.

    I'm quite a fan of Aussie health style tax supplements for those who can afford it not "opting out" by means of insurance...
  • Options
    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    The optics of this look bad for the Tories when you consider the Chancellor of the Exchequer and Health Secretary are both Surrey MPs.

    Ditto the Leader of the House, throw in backbench MPs like Michael Gove and Dominic Raab.
    As an aside, TSE, how would you fund social care?

    I'm wondering whether a social care levy on higher rate earners might make sense.
    Additional rate tax payers already contribute enough taxes thank you very much.

    I'd hypothecate an increase on the basic rate of tax to fund it, as well as abolishing some pensioner perks/perks for better off purchases, cheerio triple lock for starters.

    Mike made a point to spend his winter fuel allowance on the Lib Dems winning Richmond
    I'd have thought the Lawyers, consultants and high flying accountants whom Brexit will directly and most swiftly benefit paying more would be fair. :) Increasing the basic rate hurts JAMs relatively more - which doesn't seem exactly fair.

    I'm quite a fan of Aussie health style tax supplements for those who can afford it not "opting out" by means of insurance...
    Well the JAMs should look at cutting wasteful/unnecessary expenditure.

    How about this, abolish the working tax/family credits and give the money to fund social care.
  • Options
    Ipsos TORY!
  • Options

    Ooh, now that is a can of worms. Yes, they still are.

    Lots of legend and myths, e.g:

    'Lots of different stories on how this name came about, but the most likely stems from that a number of Rangers players were able to dodge the war effort in the World Wars due to connections taking roles in the shipyards instead. Critics said that were no better than the "Huns" (slang at the time in the UK media for the Germans and their Axis power counterparts), and the term stuck'

    Or:

    'In 1912 Harland and Wolff (Belfast) set up a shipyard in Govan. They brought over workers from Belfast who would dominate the yards culture (being charge hands etc). Wolff was German and World War I broke out in 1914 between Germany and Britain and France. If, as was likely, Catholics were discouraged from applying for work in the yards, it is easy to see how the term for Germans was transferred to Govan workers with a German boss who supported their local team Rangers.'

    At one point I believe Celtic supporters were called Huns, apparently down to the Easter uprising being supported with guns from Germany and weakening the war effort.

    The version I had heard was the Protestants/Rangers fans had often questioned the loyalty of Catholics/Celtic fans, and when World War I broke the Celtic fans liked to remind Rangers fans were loyal to a Hun Royal family, the House of Saxe-Coburg and Gotha
    Could be, it's certainly stuck. Of course Billy Fullerton on whom the Billy Boys song is based was an enthusiastic BUF Blackshirt, but I think the term the Huns was pretty well established by then.

    The Orcs is a recent, amusing development.
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,951

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    The optics of this look bad for the Tories when you consider the Chancellor of the Exchequer and Health Secretary are both Surrey MPs.

    Ditto the Leader of the House, throw in backbench MPs like Michael Gove and Dominic Raab.
    As an aside, TSE, how would you fund social care?

    I'm wondering whether a social care levy on higher rate earners might make sense.
    Additional rate tax payers already contribute enough taxes thank you very much.

    I'd hypothecate an increase on the basic rate of tax to fund it, as well as abolishing some pensioner perks/perks for better off purchases, cheerio triple lock for starters.

    Mike made a point to spend his winter fuel allowance on the Lib Dems winning Richmond
    I'd have thought the Lawyers, consultants and high flying accountants whom Brexit will directly and most swiftly benefit paying more would be fair. :) Increasing the basic rate hurts JAMs relatively more - which doesn't seem exactly fair.

    I'm quite a fan of Aussie health style tax supplements for those who can afford it not "opting out" by means of insurance...
    Well the JAMs should look at cutting wasteful/unnecessary expenditure.

    How about this, abolish the working tax/family credits and give the money to fund social care.
    Im no fan of tax credits as you know, but Osborne cubed is not going to get through either house. Remember the screaming when it was going to be cut a small amount...
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Off topically why are my tax dollars being wasted on prosecuting in a 5 week trial the already-incarcerated 86 year old vile person Rolf Harris for stuff he allegedly did, similar to the stuff he is in prison for, in the 1970s? I can see the argument that the current batch of alleged victims will feel they have received justice, but can we not have a sense of proportion about this?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,031

    rcs1000 said:

    Macron v Le Pen is the contest France needs to have. The two couldn't be more polar opposites. It will completely jumble up the voting groups.

    Well, that's Le Pen's best chance of winning.

    It's possible that the French electorate have cyclic preferences, in that the second round results might be:

    Fillon --> Le Pen --> Macron --> Fillon
    The polls have 65:35 for either Macron or Fillon vs Le Pen.
    Fair enough. Who do you think she would prefer to face though?
    I think she'd prefer to face Macron.
  • Options

    Ooh, now that is a can of worms. Yes, they still are.

    Lots of legend and myths, e.g:

    'Lots of different stories on how this name came about, but the most likely stems from that a number of Rangers players were able to dodge the war effort in the World Wars due to connections taking roles in the shipyards instead. Critics said that were no better than the "Huns" (slang at the time in the UK media for the Germans and their Axis power counterparts), and the term stuck'

    Or:

    'In 1912 Harland and Wolff (Belfast) set up a shipyard in Govan. They brought over workers from Belfast who would dominate the yards culture (being charge hands etc). Wolff was German and World War I broke out in 1914 between Germany and Britain and France. If, as was likely, Catholics were discouraged from applying for work in the yards, it is easy to see how the term for Germans was transferred to Govan workers with a German boss who supported their local team Rangers.'

    At one point I believe Celtic supporters were called Huns, apparently down to the Easter uprising being supported with guns from Germany and weakening the war effort.

    The version I had heard was the Protestants/Rangers fans had often questioned the loyalty of Catholics/Celtic fans, and when World War I broke the Celtic fans liked to remind Rangers fans were loyal to a Hun Royal family, the House of Saxe-Coburg and Gotha
    Could be, it's certainly stuck. Of course Billy Fullerton on whom the Billy Boys song is based was an enthusiastic BUF Blackshirt, but I think the term the Huns was pretty well established by then.

    The Orcs is a recent, amusing development.
    My boss, who I've known for nearly seventeen years is a Partrick fan, some of the stuff he told me about the Rangers/Celtic rivalry I thought he was joking, turned out to be true.

    The LOTR fan in me likes the origin of the orcs nickname.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,130
    Those 17% of Tories are delighted with the job Corbyn is doing - of making Labour unelectable.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,526
    edited January 2017
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Off topically why are my tax dollars being wasted on prosecuting in a 5 week trial the already-incarcerated 86 year old vile person Rolf Harris for stuff he allegedly did, similar to the stuff he is in prison for, in the 1970s? I can see the argument that the current batch of alleged victims will feel they have received justice, but can we not have a sense of proportion about this?

    This is going to sound tactless and I apologise to the victims, but I haven't got the energy to be nuanced at the moment.

    It helps the victims when suing Rolf Harris and make claims against him and his estate.

    I know they aren't doing it for the money, the women deserve it, but it makes life easier for the claim if he's been convicted of abusing them.
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Off topically why are my tax dollars being wasted on prosecuting in a 5 week trial the already-incarcerated 86 year old vile person Rolf Harris for stuff he allegedly did, similar to the stuff he is in prison for, in the 1970s? I can see the argument that the current batch of alleged victims will feel they have received justice, but can we not have a sense of proportion about this?

    This is going to sound tactless and I apologise to the victims, but I haven't got the energy to be nuanced at the moment.

    It helps the victims when suing Rolf Harris and make claims against him and his estate.

    I know they aren't doing it for the money, the women deserve it, but it makes life easier for the claim if he's been convicted of abusing them.
    Ah ok.
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    MTimT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Patrick said:

    I note with amusement in a Speccie comments thread that Tim Farron is an anagram of Minor Fart. Seems about right.

    Says someone whose chosen name is an anagram of "Crap kit".
    Love these anagrams, Guess who is 'Am Hater, Yes"
    Or "Prominent Turd Paddles"
    Must be Mandelson.
    Clue, it will apply from tomorrow for 4 years.
    Where's the "J"?
    Everyone's a critic.
    Snog call go I
    Nasal An Rips Nun
    I'm sure it could be worse.
    Noooo! I thought my name is un-anagrammable!
    Annuls pirannas
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,101
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Macron v Le Pen is the contest France needs to have. The two couldn't be more polar opposites. It will completely jumble up the voting groups.

    Well, that's Le Pen's best chance of winning.

    It's possible that the French electorate have cyclic preferences, in that the second round results might be:

    Fillon --> Le Pen --> Macron --> Fillon
    The polls have 65:35 for either Macron or Fillon vs Le Pen.
    Fair enough. Who do you think she would prefer to face though?
    I think she'd prefer to face Macron.
    Probably true but she would still lose. Le Pen's slim chances ended when Sarkozy was eliminated.
  • Options
    Jeremy Corbyn confirms he will ask Labour MPs to vote for Theresa May's Brexit http://ind.pn/2k7tL4v
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,101
    I refuse to link to it, but in Farage's article on the new Breitbart he says this about Trump's cabinet: "And how fascinating and refreshing it is to see individuals taking big jobs who have never been involved in elected politics before."

    Has he never followed American politics before in his life?
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,942

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    stodge said:

    As expected, Surrey County Council are going to hold a referendum on raising Council Tax by 15% to fund adult social care provision:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-surrey-38678629

    Fascinating to see how this goes. Received wisdom is people don't usually vote for higher taxes.

    My friend who works at SCC finance told me last week the Budget setting for 17-18 had proved the most challenging ever and of course it's election year as well.

    Interested to hear the comments of Conservatives on this.

    The optics of this look bad for the Tories when you consider the Chancellor of the Exchequer and Health Secretary are both Surrey MPs.

    Ditto the Leader of the House, throw in backbench MPs like Michael Gove and Dominic Raab.
    As an aside, TSE, how would you fund social care?

    I'm wondering whether a social care levy on higher rate earners might make sense.
    Additional rate tax payers already contribute enough taxes thank you very much.

    I'd hypothecate an increase on the basic rate of tax to fund it, as well as abolishing some pensioner perks/perks for better off purchases, cheerio triple lock for starters.

    Mike made a point to spend his winter fuel allowance on the Lib Dems winning Richmond
    I'd have thought the Lawyers, consultants and high flying accountants whom Brexit will directly and most swiftly benefit paying more would be fair. :) Increasing the basic rate hurts JAMs relatively more - which doesn't seem exactly fair.

    I'm quite a fan of Aussie health style tax supplements for those who can afford it not "opting out" by means of insurance...
    Well the JAMs should look at cutting wasteful/unnecessary expenditure.

    How about this, abolish the working tax/family credits and give the money to fund social care.
    I'm all for punishing the breeders, won't affect me

    A fair proposal.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,352
    Barnesian said:



    Marching on Downing Street is OK but a waste of time as I've explained to my children. I was one of the three million who marched in London opposing the war in Iraq and were ignored.

    I suspect the authorities like well ordered marches and petitions because it allows the masses to let off steam without threatening those in charge.

    "Where do you draw the line?" You draw the line at legal means. Polls tax riots are not OK. Judicial reviews are OK. Encouraging your MP to vote against the Government is OK.

    As a matter of interest, for me, and I think other MPs, the big marches (Iraq, Countryside Alliance) were counter-productive. Lots of unpleasant slogans (fuck Bliar and all that), a claim to represent public opinion not borne out by polling at the time or by constituency feedback. I felt determined not to be intimidated.The fact that I later came to feel the Iraq marchers were right to oppose our involvement doesn't alter how I felt at the time. The constituents who wrote me polite letters saying they'd supported me and would like me to conider their view that I was wrong came much closer to swaying me.

    It's difficult for people who feel strongly about something and desperately want to influence Parliament - any big march is going to attract nasty fringe elements, but the absence of a march can give the impression that people aren't too bothered.
  • Options
    Corbyn's gone with the three line whip, despite knowing that there will be a significant number of rebels. His weak position likely to come home to roost.
  • Options

    Corbyn's gone with the three line whip, despite knowing that there will be a significant number of rebels. His weak position likely to come home to roost.

    When he was a backbencher, did Corbyn often ignore three line whips?
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,288
    edited January 2017
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited January 2017

    Jeremy Corbyn confirms he will ask Labour MPs to vote for Theresa May's Brexit http://ind.pn/2k7tL4v

    I’m all in favour of allowing MPs a free vote on matters of conscience, though I suspect the reasoning behind Corbyn’s decision not to enforce a 3 line whip is more to do with avoiding the humiliation of half his loyal back bench rebelling.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,343
    edited January 2017

    Ooh, now that is a can of worms. Yes, they still are.

    Lots of legend and myths, e.g:

    'Lots of different stories on how this name came about, but the most likely stems from that a number of Rangers players were able to dodge the war effort in the World Wars due to connections taking roles in the shipyards instead. Critics said that were no better than the "Huns" (slang at the time in the UK media for the Germans and their Axis power counterparts), and the term stuck'

    Or:

    'In 1912 Harland and Wolff (Belfast) set up a shipyard in Govan. They brought over workers from Belfast who would dominate the yards culture (being charge hands etc). Wolff was German and World War I broke out in 1914 between Germany and Britain and France. If, as was likely, Catholics were discouraged from applying for work in the yards, it is easy to see how the term for Germans was transferred to Govan workers with a German boss who supported their local team Rangers.'

    At one point I believe Celtic supporters were called Huns, apparently down to the Easter uprising being supported with guns from Germany and weakening the war effort.

    The version I had heard was the Protestants/Rangers fans had often questioned the loyalty of Catholics/Celtic fans, and when World War I broke the Celtic fans liked to remind Rangers fans were loyal to a Hun Royal family, the House of Saxe-Coburg and Gotha
    Could be, it's certainly stuck. Of course Billy Fullerton on whom the Billy Boys song is based was an enthusiastic BUF Blackshirt, but I think the term the Huns was pretty well established by then.

    The Orcs is a recent, amusing development.
    My boss, who I've known for nearly seventeen years is a Partrick fan, some of the stuff he told me about the Rangers/Celtic rivalry I thought he was joking, turned out to be true.

    The LOTR fan in me likes the origin of the orcs nickname.
    My understanding was that it was an acronym, the first word being "orange" and it rather falling away from there. I suspect the somewhat misshapen appearance of the Tolkien version was just a bonus
This discussion has been closed.