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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Three CON defences and a GREEN one – tonight’s local council b
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Three CON defences and a GREEN one – tonight’s local council by-elections
Abbey (Green defence) on Bath and North East Somerset Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 37, Liberal Democrats 15, Labour 6, Independents 5, Green Party 2 (Conservative majority of 9) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,158, 985 (30%) Green Party 1,071 (28%) Liberal Democrats 798, 741 (21%) Labour 639 (17%) Independent 148 (4%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 60,878 (58%), LEAVE 44,352 (42%) on a turnout of 77% Candidates duly nominated: Gerry Curran (Lib Dem), Vicky Drew (Lab), Lizzie Gladwyn (Con), Marc Hooper (UKIP), Jenny Knight (Ind), Vipul Patel (Green)
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@RobD I know, that's the change in views I'm talking about. A couple of years ago he was really right wing, and back then may well have supported Trump.
Make America Great Again?
The American political system rewards building physical facilities - http://www.theverge.com/2016/2/8/10937076/tesla-gigafactory-battery-factory-nevada-tax-deal-elon-musk
Brilliant. Just Brilliant. And highly pertinent.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-intersect/wp/2016/11/17/facebook-fake-news-writer-i-think-donald-trump-is-in-the-white-house-because-of-me/?tid=sm_tw
Fillon surges to 22% but still trails Sarkozy 29% and Juppé 36%. Overtaking Sarkozy is the bigger challenge. The last debate is tomorrow.
Le Pen remains far too strong, I would say the LR primary too complicated to call.
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/11/one-week-election-loss-hillary-clinton-looks-like-death/
But am I the only person to be reminded of:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/content/dam/tv/2016/04/25/oldmelisandre-large_trans++12nnzdEWFwpO6lqsjooo1IJtcIZhf12aAOytXrhMqN0.jpg
This'll go down well.
in many parts of the constituency you would not know there was a by election taking place
but there are exceptions - Petersham Rd has a fine array of posters
in terms of stakeboards the Lib Dems are leading Zac by 10 to 1 but window posters are more even
Labour has opened an office about 50 yards from the Lib Dem HQ - it has 4 desks visible with computers but only two people in attendance
Zac is holding meetings in pubs - this morning in the Coach and Horses in Kew with about 30 mostly elderly people in attendance
I drove past a blue plaque in honour of Richard Dimbleby
Sarah Olney had a photo op at the London Wetlands Centre
No idea who is going to win.
Its enough to make you go,
Fully WTO....
http://elabe.fr/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/16112016_bfmtv_lopinion_les-intentions-de-vote-a-la-primaire-de-la-droite-et-du-centre.pdf
and a new one from Ifop;
http://www.ifop.fr/media/poll/3560-1-study_file.pdf
It has Juppe 31, Sarko 30, Fillon 27...
But the real big question is that this is an open primary, which is new, and the polling is predicated on Left and Centrist voters also turning out for this innovation. But looking at the breakdown by party affiliation Sarko could still win the runoff with either of the other candidates if mostly just Republicans and FN turn up to vote.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-sweden-finmin-interview-idUKKBN13C276?il=0
Britain is Sweden's fourth biggest trading partner and Andersson said that the Nordic country wanted to have "as soft a Brexit as possible".
"From our point of view, the softer Brexit is, the better. But at the same time there cannot be any 'cherry picking'," she said.
With negotiations yet to start Andersson said it was tough to say what Britain's eventual exit from the European Union would look like. It is still unknown whether Britain will be able to maintain anything like the free trading position it currently enjoys with the bloc.
"A soft or hard Brexit sounds very black or white," she said. "But there is a big grey area in between and it is clear that's where we will end up."
Are they trying to start another war?
After all these comments I am actually starting to feel sorry for Theresa May...
Vermont certifies its results: Clinton 178,573 (56.7%), Trump 95,369 (30.3%), Sanders (W/I) 18,183 (5.7%) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/133Eb4qQmOxNvtesw2hdVns073R68EZx4SfCnP4IGQf8/edit#gid=19 …
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Boris Johnson fired up a large crowd in Hyde Park, saying: "There's a guy called Mitt Romney who wants to know whether we're ready. Are we ready?"
Trump has made his transition team look like this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o11T8_eALKE
The bottom line expectation on trade has been lifted from WTO to Canada in my view, while Merkel's comments the other day about workers needing to independently fund their families hints at re-writing the meaning of FoM so that there is less movement.
Like Clinton in reverse
Anynody think we have been played like a reality TV show...
As a net contributor, our absence either means they get a bigger bill, or the EU does less.
http://tinyurl.com/gsmjx7v
Apparently.
My bet is the next rumour from "source" will be Jeb.
Forgive my ingnorance, but would the UK Govt be able to levy a global tax?
Obama: So my job's being taken over by a man with the brains of a sausage.
Merkel: I know, it's just the wurst.
I should be ashamed.
Seriously, said person is nowhere near any position of power in the campaign. Delivering leaflets and knocking on a few doors is about as close as they get.
The local issue is windfarms, but Harborough Council is pretty unremarkeable otherwise. The villages here are well situated for commuting to either Leicester or further afield.