Am I missing something? FL looks to be Trump's, and VA may throw up a surprise, but the exit polls/results from OH, PA, NC all point to a likely Clinton win, surely? Yet people are talking as if Trump has it in the bag.
The Exit Polls were monumental CRAAAPPPPP.
Trump is now going to get a lead in N.C. at any moment now too.
Ah, right you are. Ditto rottenborough and Ohio.
Well, I hope the boss isn't expecting me to get any work done tomorrow...
Dan Rosenheck @DanRosenheck 3m3 minutes ago Remember that a) HRC does NOT need ANY of FL/OH/NC as long as she can hold her firewall and b) data so far do not suggest big polling error
But that requires her to hold both PA and MI... :gulp:
Mrrm, if Trump nicks Florida/Ohio/NC, then he just needs Wisconsin, Michigan or NV+NH to win.
Clinton's numbers in NH so far would seem to close off the latter, and Michigan looks pretty solid so far. Wisconsin? Nothing in yet, but probably not with the way Michigan is voting.
Some of you are going to be very embarrassed later today. You really aren't looking at the figures and seeing what votes are to come. Do people never kearn?
CNN exit poll, yes the ones who underestimated Trump by a very very large margin have Michigan as a 47% tie, basically a Trump lead of around 0.2-0.3%.
Some of you are going to be very embarrassed later today. You really aren't looking at the figures and seeing what votes are to come. Do people never kearn?
Dan Rosenheck @DanRosenheck 3m3 minutes ago Remember that a) HRC does NOT need ANY of FL/OH/NC as long as she can hold her firewall and b) data so far do not suggest big polling error
I must say that a knife-edge result in Florida hardly suggests any systematic error in the polls. 538 had it at 0.7% for Clinton finally, but it had changed colour more often than a chameleon in a discotheque over the last couple of weeks.
Some of you are going to be very embarrassed later today. You really aren't looking at the figures and seeing what votes are to come. Do people never kearn?
Some of you are going to be very embarrassed later today. You really aren't looking at the figures and seeing what votes are to come. Do people never kearn?
I think Trump will win Ohio, NC and edge Florida. Penn I am not sure at all about. Clinton will edge Virginia, just - Northern Virginia will carry her to the end.
Gold price has gone up 1.3% 1.5% in the past hour. The most interesting case is "possible or probable NOM in the EC", caused by the leader getting say 266-275.
Trump 4.2. I'm really surprised you called this for Clinton so soon, @rcs100. Had you down as level-headed
Looks like HIlary is 10% up in the south east counties compared to Obama So looking @ the final result in 2012 I think she's got 100k votes to come in from broward.
So Trump wins. Maybe.. Obama got 507,430 , + 10% = 560k - 436,759 already in according to NYT.
Looks like HIlary is 10% up in the south east counties compared to Obama So looking @ the final result in 2012 I think she's got 100k votes to come in from broward.
So Trump wins. Maybe.. Obama got 507,430 , + 10% = 560k - 436,759 already in according to NYT.
I think Trump is doing better than Romney in Broward
BBC studio has that mournful, post-Brexit air about it....
I was just thinking that. All these metropolitan liberal types realising that a significant percentage of the population do not share their views.
Yeah, how dare they be upset that a racist misogynist might control one of the most powerful countries in the world. Stuff them for not having any racist or misogynistic views....
Comments
Trump is winning the rural areas and not doing as badly as Clinton needs him to do in the suburbs.
PA for Trump. Trump comes in, then loses.
That would be ideal.
I think Trump has won.
Well, I hope the boss isn't expecting me to get any work done tomorrow...
It's certainly looking a bit tight this.
Arizona, Colorado, Louisiana, Minnesota, New Mexico and Wisconsin too close to call
Clinton's numbers in NH so far would seem to close off the latter, and Michigan looks pretty solid so far. Wisconsin? Nothing in yet, but probably not with the way Michigan is voting.
Clinton is currently on 47.6% which is almost bang on the exit poll.
Trump pulls ahead in ECVs
Trump 123 electors
Clinton 97
Take the 2012 total, add about 10% and that gives you total 2016 vote.
Then obviously deduct vote already counted.
He can still win if he overperforms the exit poll in PA or MI or CO or WI
Trump 4.2. I'm really surprised you called this for Clinton so soon, @rcs100. Had you down as level-headed
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
*Phew timed that well*
Hillary can get an extra 70-80K from those 2 counties.
So looking @ the final result in 2012 I think she's got 100k votes to come in from broward.
So Trump wins. Maybe..
Obama got 507,430 , + 10% = 560k - 436,759 already in according to NYT.
Clinton still on 97
Trump 49%
Clinton 48.5%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/north-carolina#president
Clinton 50%
Trump 45%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/new-hampshire
IMO, Clinton winning the popular vote by 2% but losing the Electoral College is looking very plausible right now.
clinton47.7% 4,274,443
I min ago.
Clinton 47.8%
Trump 47.2%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/michigan
Clinton 64%
Trump 32%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/pennsylvania