politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ahead of the final debate Betfair gives Trump just a 16% chance of being next President
Before the start of the third & final debate, Betfair gives Trump a 16% chance of being next President, what will it be in the morning? pic.twitter.com/ci50QuQzRr
The Independent: ‘Alan Turing law’ unveiled by government will posthumously pardon thousands of gay men convicted of historic offences. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwzMmghjA
The Independent: ‘Alan Turing law’ unveiled by government will posthumously pardon thousands of gay men convicted of historic offences. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwzMmghjA
The pardon for the living I can understand, but for the dead? Unless we are going to go back and pardon everyone for every unjust law ever passed, I don't see the point.
The Independent: ‘Alan Turing law’ unveiled by government will posthumously pardon thousands of gay men convicted of historic offences. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwzMmghjA
The pardon for the living I can understand, but for the dead? Unless we are going to go back and pardon everyone for every unjust law ever passed, I don't see the point.
Yes it's legislative time travel. It's the ultimate in gesture politics and once upon a time I'd have been a contrarian critic of it. But after the Coalition used retroactive legislation to overturn a High Court ruling on Benefit Sanctions, without even appealing it to the Supreme Court, I no longer care.
Kay Burley's just initiated a media pile on against a Trump advisor.
What did she do?
She was aggressively asking him to substantiate allegations of voter fraud and a scrum of other reporters gradually started assembling around him and joining in.
Kay Burley's just initiated a media pile on against a Trump advisor.
What did she do?
She was aggressively asking him to substantiate allegations of voter fraud and a scrum of other reporters gradually started assembling around him and joining in.
Anyone know of a reliable audio feed that works on Android? There's what looks like one at http://radio.foxnews.com/ but it doesn't seem to be playing for me, not sure if that's because it doesn't work on my phone or just because they just haven't started the debate yet.
Anyone know of a reliable audio feed that works on Android? There's what looks like one at http://radio.foxnews.com/ but it doesn't seem to be playing for me, not sure if that's because it doesn't work on my phone or just because they just haven't started the debate yet.
I think the C-SPAN radio app is streaming it. I'd guess they have an android app (?)
Its live streaming in HD on YouTube..lots of dodgy unofficial links, but there is an official one, available in 1080p if you like seeing ugly people up close in HD.
Anyone know of a reliable audio feed that works on Android? There's what looks like one at http://radio.foxnews.com/ but it doesn't seem to be playing for me, not sure if that's because it doesn't work on my phone or just because they just haven't started the debate yet.
I think the C-SPAN radio app is streaming it. I'd guess they have an android app (?)
Works on ios in the UK, at least.
Cheers, got the Fox link working now. Coming from them it's interesting how anti-Trump the commentary is.
It's in Channel 4. Matt Frei & two expats they dragged off the street are Speaking Their Brains. Hillary is in a white pants suit. Matt Frei has really let himself go
Anyone know of a reliable audio feed that works on Android? There's what looks like one at http://radio.foxnews.com/ but it doesn't seem to be playing for me, not sure if that's because it doesn't work on my phone or just because they just haven't started the debate yet.
I think the C-SPAN radio app is streaming it. I'd guess they have an android app (?)
Works on ios in the UK, at least.
Cheers, got the Fox link working now. Coming from them it's interesting how anti-Trump the commentary is.
Anyhoo, serious betting question. I was going to look at the numbers to see if I could puzzle out who's going to win, but given HRC's lead in the polls and the very small odds (1/6?!) I'm not sure there's a point. So insteadI'll ask another question: is there any good odds to be made on this election? Is there a state, say, which she has a good chance of winning but odds are, say, 2/1?
The Independent: ‘Alan Turing law’ unveiled by government will posthumously pardon thousands of gay men convicted of historic offences. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwzMmghjA
The pardon for the living I can understand, but for the dead? Unless we are going to go back and pardon everyone for every unjust law ever passed, I don't see the point.
virtue signalling, owd. No nasty parties round this way, no sir
Anyhoo, serious betting question. I was going to look at the numbers to see if I could puzzle out who's going to win, but given HRC's lead in the polls and the very small odds (1/6?!) I'm not sure there's a point. So insteadI'll ask another question: is there any good odds to be made on this election? Is there a state, say, which she has a good chance of winning but odds are, say, 2/1?
Keep an eye on georgia and texas for clinton - and ohio for trump, if you want long odds.
Anyhoo this is the map for future elections when in 2 to 3 elections times whites will be a minority in much of the south, and manufacturing jobs are still leaving the mid west.
Florida is a swing state as it assumes some swing back to the GOP from Cuban voters as well as the large white retiree population continues to grow quicker than the young. New Hampshire is red as it stays much whiter and gets much older than the rest of the u.s. Texas is minority majority.
He's winning on guns; she's being negative and whiny, even though she's right.
As a non-American, trying to work out who wins on gun issues is beyond me. Asking for background checks and not being able to buy crazy powerful guns seems like the least you could do, but large sections of US go nutso if you want to do that.
Surely bad electorally for Trump to say he wants to overturn Roe v Wade.
But he's saying that individual States will make that decision and States Rights is a strong plus for many voters. She's just alienated voters in States who have a different view and told them they have to be saved from themselves.
I think we've been spoilt with the earlier debates. This one is stodgy and policy focused so far, where's the chaos? Assuming it stays like this, minor boost for Trump I'd say as he's cleared a low bar for him.
I think we've been spoilt with the earlier debates. This one is stodgy and policy focused so far, where's the chaos? Assuming it stays like this, minor boost for Trump I'd say as he's cleared a low bar for him.
So far I don't think it will have changed a single persons mind.
Surely bad electorally for Trump to say he wants to overturn Roe v Wade.
But he's saying that individual States will make that decision and States Rights is a strong plus for many voters. She's just alienated voters in States who have a different view and told them they have to be saved from themselves.
If it goes to the states then there is the farce of going from one state to another to get an abortion.
Can't make any sense.
Haven't seen recent polls but from memory way under 50% want total ban on abortion - so subject good for Clinton in my view.
Surely bad electorally for Trump to say he wants to overturn Roe v Wade.
But he's saying that individual States will make that decision and States Rights is a strong plus for many voters. She's just alienated voters in States who have a different view and told them they have to be saved from themselves.
If it goes to the states then there is the farce of going from one state to another to get an abortion.
Can't make any sense.
Haven't seen recent polls but from memory way under 50% want total ban on abortion - so subject good for Clinton in my view.
She's saying the government shouldn't "force women to have children" like they did in Romania.
Yeah I heard her say that before something about how Romania used to police woman into having five kids.....wtf if true.
Yup, Ceauescu was obsessed with improving the country's birth rate. Not just abortion but contraception was banned, and women and girls were subject to regular mandatory pregnancy tests from age 14. If a woman was found pregnant, woe betide her if she lost the baby as it would be assumed she'd had an illegal abortion until proven otherwise.
She's saying the government shouldn't "force women to have children" like they did in Romania.
Yeah I heard her say that before something about how Romania used to police woman into having five kids.....wtf if true.
Yup, Ceauescu was obsessed with improving the country's birth rate. Not just abortion but contraception was banned, and women and girls were subject to regular mandatory pregnancy tests from age 14. If a woman was found pregnant, woe betide her if she lost the baby as it would be assumed she'd had an illegal abortion until proven otherwise.
The context here was whether abortions should be allowed very late in term. In response to Trump's image of a baby being ripped from the womb shortly before it would have been born naturally, Clinton said women wouldn't be forced to have abortions as in China or forced to have babies as in Romania.
Surely bad electorally for Trump to say he wants to overturn Roe v Wade.
But he's saying that individual States will make that decision and States Rights is a strong plus for many voters. She's just alienated voters in States who have a different view and told them they have to be saved from themselves.
It's a good thing she doesn't need any red states then.
Michael McDonald @ElectProject Continued weakness for OH Dem ballot requests as of 10/18 Cuyahoga -22.3% from 2012 Franklin - 12.7% 47 other counties +0.4%
Obamas margin of victory in Ohio in 2012 was smaller statewide then in the one county of Cuyahoga, this looks like a Trump gain because unionised workers not too excited about Hillary.
Clinton really is snarky. It is not a good look..."Oh let me translate his nonsense"...I wonder if she is like that with other world leaders / leading politicians?
Why not just ignore the idiot and just state your policies. As she said, when they go low, we go high.
Clinton's "I have done great for 30 years" isn't really what Joe the Plumber wants to hear. Clinton reminds me a lot of how many Labour politicians have become, you don't believe they have any idea about the working class.
Trump says the nine women who claims he assaulted them were either seeking 10 minutes of fame, or, more likely in his view, put up to it by the Clinton campaign.
Comments
He speaks like Perot and thinks like Perot. It's not impossible he'll act like Perot.
And withdraw.
Were I a smarter man, I'd be able to come up with a dead Perot joke.
Just searched google for "Ross Perot"
Google then informs me that the top question people ask is;
"What year did Ross Perot die?"
He's not actually dead.
People are funny.
http://gifsec.com/wp-content/uploads/GIF/2014/07/Panda-popcorn-gif.gif
Works on ios in the UK, at least.
http://www.bcomm-scotland.independent.gov.uk/2018_westminster/initial_proposals/index.asp
Includes the horribly named Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Monklands East.
Not necessarily value, though!
http://www.270towin.com/maps/nJxjb
Florida is a swing state as it assumes some swing back to the GOP from Cuban voters as well as the large white retiree population continues to grow quicker than the young. New Hampshire is red as it stays much whiter and gets much older than the rest of the u.s. Texas is minority majority.
Where have I heard that number before?
Can't make any sense.
Haven't seen recent polls but from memory way under 50% want total ban on abortion - so subject good for Clinton in my view.
Seems quite similar to Andrew Neil.
Moderator cuts him off, well done.
Decent bet.
Clinton: That's because he'd rather have a puppet.
Trump: You're the puppet.
In the US, aren't they supposed to say "I will"?
Continued weakness for OH Dem ballot requests as of 10/18
Cuyahoga -22.3% from 2012
Franklin - 12.7%
47 other counties +0.4%
Obamas margin of victory in Ohio in 2012 was smaller statewide then in the one county of Cuyahoga, this looks like a Trump gain because unionised workers not too excited about Hillary.
Ah. A Bernie Sanders call-out. Someone must have just won some money.
I can't imagine ever having to do business or work with Trump, it is like for 15 mins he is ok, then his brain just goes off on one.
Why not just ignore the idiot and just state your policies. As she said, when they go low, we go high.
He doesn't have a solution, but he has tapped into a real issue in the US and one that Clinton doesn't really sound like she cares.
She's not doing it so much now.
Clinton went in to 1.21 very briefly but now back at 1.22 where she started.
Wallace tacked on a question about Bill Clinton but section centred on Trump.
georgia for clinton
texas for clinton
ohio for trump
utah for trump
Thank you, sir