The significant thing is that in the two-way Clinton is still below 50% at 49%. In my view you can put the majority of the don't knows down as shy Trumpers.
The significant thing is that in the two-way Clinton is still below 50% at 49%. In my view you can put the majority of the don't knows down as shy Trumpers.
It seems to me that there is a massive move under way by those who reject leave, both in the UK and abroad, and in the courts to frustrate the will of the people in a democratic vote
The one re-assuring constant that we have in Theresa May is a leader who is not going to be pushed around by the elite and the remoaner's , but will stand strong and fight the battle for the 'little people' and ensure democracy is respected in this wonderful country of ours
I would not be too sure about the latter. May has postured and essentially dithered on Brexit. She has bent to the will of the tory party by setting a date to trigger article 50, and now made multiple concessions to parliament on debating the negotiating position. She gets the issues, but in making decisions she is a Merkel style ditherer. And she is in a very weak position.
No single person has the ability to lead us through this mess, it is a totally impossible situation. The logical response to Brexit was - in my view - a period of reflection on the different options we could try and pursue as a country before taking any formal action. If I recall correctly, this was the position actually advocated by the last Sunday times editorial before the referendum. In the coming weeks, as the complexities play themselves out, these ideas will resurface again.
This is not dithering or sabotage, it is coming to terms with the gravity of a decision, and is entirely necessary given the unfortunate mess made by Cameron in failing to make any preperations for a leave vote, which has always been more than possible.
I believe it is very likely that the government will fall and there will be a further general election, and it will be some time before we formally trigger article 50.
I do not think the government will fall over this unless they were to lose a vote on A50 in the HOC.
The mood music coming out of today's court case re the serving of A50 does not seem good for those taking the action and anyone voting against the referendum result in the HOC could find their constituents terminating their future career
Fkn hell, think how big the Clinton lead would be if she hadn't comprehensively lost the 2nd debate.
Indeed, I hope you're not drinking anything at the moment as I don't want you to have to purchase a new keyboard, but here's more evidence of the African American surge for Trump that's going to win him The White House
The significant thing is that in the two-way Clinton is still below 50% at 49%. In my view you can put the majority of the don't knows down as shy Trumpers.
The picture it paints is of people turning away from Trump with more of them looking for third party candidates so as not to have to back Clinton. That looks entirely credible to me.
538 have an article up which has Evan McMullin as the 3rd most likely person to become the next president. Not sure how likely this is (1000/1 with Ladbrokes) but he looks a decent bet to win Utah (6/1) if not the whole thing
Didn't take long for Unilever to cave in, hopefully other supermarkets will follow Tesco's example.
Tesco and Unilever end price dispute - BBC News www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37650234 3 hours ago - The BBC understands Unilever gave some ground to resolve issues ... Tesco and Unilever end price dispute ... Tesco v Unilever live updates.
Fkn hell, think how big the Clinton lead would be if she hadn't comprehensively lost the 2nd debate.
Indeed, I hope you're not drinking anything at the moment as I don't want you to have to purchase a new keyboard, but here's more evidence of the African American surge for Trump that's going to win him The White House
538 have an article up which has Evan McMullin as the 3rd most likely person to become the next president. Not sure how likely this is (1000/1 with Ladbrokes) but he looks a decent bet to win Utah (6/1) if not the whole thing
He followed the line of his civil servants. Ominous now at a remainer Treasury team.
Quite so, Mr. Betting. I rather suspect that Hammond is a talking suit, a ventriloquist's dummy that is controlled by his own civil servants. Unfortunately those civil servants at the Treasury have had nearly twenty years of being allowed to run wild and ignore their actual jobs. Hammond may be the best TM had available but the UK really needs someone with some backbone, but who is not a megalomaniac trying to run the whole of government, to get a grip of HMT and get it to concentrate on its job.
Just look at who is the top Treasury civil servant.
And more specifically, I have never seen such a negative reaction to everything said by the Labour Party representative.
If it's this bad in London, what's it like for them elsewhere?
Hendon is a Tory part of London and, perhaps more relevant, a very Jewish area. Of all communities the Jewish community is the least impressed with Labour right now.
I was joking earlier that the gorilla that escaped had heard about the Marmite shortages. Apparently the think he went ape because he had been put on a diet* !!!
And more specifically, I have never seen such a negative reaction to everything said by the Labour Party representative.
If it's this bad in London, what's it like for them elsewhere?
Hendon is a Tory part of London and, perhaps more relevant, a very Jewish area. Of all communities the Jewish community is the least impressed with Labour right now.
I was joking earlier that the gorilla that escaped had heard about the Marmite shortages. Apparently the think he went ape because he had been put on a diet* !!!
And more specifically, I have never seen such a negative reaction to everything said by the Labour Party representative.
If it's this bad in London, what's it like for them elsewhere?
Hendon is a Tory part of London and, perhaps more relevant, a very Jewish area. Of all communities the Jewish community is the least impressed with Labour right now.
And more specifically, I have never seen such a negative reaction to everything said by the Labour Party representative.
If it's this bad in London, what's it like for them elsewhere?
Hendon is a Tory part of London and, perhaps more relevant, a very Jewish area. Of all communities the Jewish community is the least impressed with Labour right now.
More seriously, QT audiences are designed to be pretty reflective of a broad range of opinions. They are good reflections of the demos in general - which is why it remains a watchable programme that parties send serious reps to.
Nice to see Russia Today detailing contents of Wikileaks dumps before Wikileaks dumps them.
Anyone still have doubts?
Wikileaks was once a great standard bearer for freedom, exposing corrupt western governments and the terrible things they do to their citizens, according to left wing liberals.
Those left wing liberals should be eating s**t now. They didn't listen and refused to see because they had their head up their arses.
Or perhaps they gave the press a preview to boost publicity, as happens with many embargoed reports etc.
Wikileaks is not known for sending out stories with embargos...they are too obsessed with their self importance to let anyone get the exclusive on their valuable work. Secondly if the leaks are related to US politicians wouldn't the best location to throw the teasers out to be US media outlets?
538 have an article up which has Evan McMullin as the 3rd most likely person to become the next president. Not sure how likely this is (1000/1 with Ladbrokes) but he looks a decent bet to win Utah (6/1) if not the whole thing
Fkn hell, think how big the Clinton lead would be if she hadn't comprehensively lost the 2nd debate.
Indeed, I hope you're not drinking anything at the moment as I don't want you to have to purchase a new keyboard, but here's more evidence of the African American surge for Trump that's going to win him The White House
Vg. I guess 'the' black guy is locked in a room somewhere e-mailing his weekly response to the LA times poll.
There is nothing wrong with this picture at all. I think leading figures in Black Lives Matter in the UK has shown categorically that its important to be white.
And more specifically, I have never seen such a negative reaction to everything said by the Labour Party representative.
If it's this bad in London, what's it like for them elsewhere?
Hendon is a Tory part of London and, perhaps more relevant, a very Jewish area. Of all communities the Jewish community is the least impressed with Labour right now.
Yes but Hendon and Finchley are both top targets for Labour which they need to win an overall majority.
538 have an article up which has Evan McMullin as the 3rd most likely person to become the next president. Not sure how likely this is (1000/1 with Ladbrokes) but he looks a decent bet to win Utah (6/1) if not the whole thing
I was joking earlier that the gorilla that escaped had heard about the Marmite shortages. Apparently the think he went ape because he had been put on a diet* !!!
538 have an article up which has Evan McMullin as the 3rd most likely person to become the next president. Not sure how likely this is (1000/1 with Ladbrokes) but he looks a decent bet to win Utah (6/1) if not the whole thing
538 have an article up which has Evan McMullin as the 3rd most likely person to become the next president. Not sure how likely this is (1000/1 with Ladbrokes) but he looks a decent bet to win Utah (6/1) if not the whole thing
And more specifically, I have never seen such a negative reaction to everything said by the Labour Party representative.
If it's this bad in London, what's it like for them elsewhere?
Hendon is a Tory part of London and, perhaps more relevant, a very Jewish area. Of all communities the Jewish community is the least impressed with Labour right now.
Yes but Hendon and Finchley are both top targets for Labour which they need to win an overall majority.
The last poll I saw of Jewish voters had labour support at an all time low - below 10% as I recall. So I think laying Labour there would be a good strategy when the time comes.
And more specifically, I have never seen such a negative reaction to everything said by the Labour Party representative.
If it's this bad in London, what's it like for them elsewhere?
Hendon is a Tory part of London and, perhaps more relevant, a very Jewish area. Of all communities the Jewish community is the least impressed with Labour right now.
Yes but Hendon and Finchley are both top targets for Labour which they need to win an overall majority.
The last poll I saw of Jewish voters had labour support at an all time low - below 10% as I recall. So I think laying Labour there would be a good strategy when the time comes.
??#Wikileaks Exposes Hillary Clinton Hateful Disdain & Lo Opinion of Blacks & Muslims saying they will be 4ever Failures. Donald Trump https://t.co/RlQgUdAaF4
McMullin was put in as a spoiler, a guy who could just trim Trump's numbers in as many states as possible. His whole profile was designed to contrast with Trump., Former CIA, strong on the national security bit, no celebrity, solid. A very comfortable home for GOP'ers who wanted to register a conservative vote.
If the guy pulls the equivalent of 3-4% nationally he is going to help finish Trump.
McMullin was put in as a spoiler, a guy who could just trim Trump's numbers in as many states as possible. His whole profile was designed to contrast with Trump., Former CIA, strong on the national security bit, no celebrity, solid. A very comfortable home for GOP'ers who wanted to register a conservative vote.
If the guy pulls the equivalent of 3-4% nationally he is going to help finish Trump.
McMullin was put in as a spoiler, a guy who could just trim Trump's numbers in as many states as possible. His whole profile was designed to contrast with Trump., Former CIA, strong on the national security bit, no celebrity, solid. A very comfortable home for GOP'ers who wanted to register a conservative vote.
If the guy pulls the equivalent of 3-4% nationally he is going to help finish Trump.
Summary of tonights by elections with 2 Kent results in Sevenoaks to come
Labour hold Lancaster Westgate , Lewisham Brockley and Lewisham Evelyn Linc Ind hold North Kesteven Cliff Villages Residents gain Tandridge Limpsfield from Con Lib Dems hold Cumbria Windemere and S Lakeland Bowness North Lib Dems gain Poole Broadstone from Con
I was joking earlier that the gorilla that escaped had heard about the Marmite shortages. Apparently the think he went ape because he had been put on a diet* !!!
Broadstone,Poole: LD 2184, Con 733, UKIP 132, Green 57, Lab 45. LD gain from Con. The LD candidate was Vicki Slade who was the GE candidate in 2015.
Relation?
I remember canvassing the area in 05 and 15 - Annette Brooke's personal vote was massive, so the difference very stark; combined with the nationwide swing to the Tories and a very much Con improved GOTV operation, it is little wonder Michael Tomlinson won such a huge majority in the end.
"The reform would curtail the powers of the Senate, the upper chamber of the Italian parliament. The number of senators would be reduced from 315 to 100, and they would no longer be directly elected. The reformed Senate would be comprised of 74 members of regional assemblies and 21 mayors – who would therefore wear a ‘double hat’. The remaining five senators would be appointed by the Italian President for special merits."
Sort of reverse of what HoL reform campaigners want.
"3. The “octopus” line about Trump is engineered persuasion of the highest order. It makes the story deeply visual and extra-creepy. Godzilla, or someone similarly skilled, is probably behind that word. It’s too engineered for a civilian to concoct during an interview. That’s professional work. And it’s probably a golden stake through Trump’s political heart. (Well played.)"
I remember girls at Uni back in the 1980s who would complain about certain fellow male classmates who had 'wandering hands like an octopus".
"3. The “octopus” line about Trump is engineered persuasion of the highest order. It makes the story deeply visual and extra-creepy. Godzilla, or someone similarly skilled, is probably behind that word. It’s too engineered for a civilian to concoct during an interview. That’s professional work. And it’s probably a golden stake through Trump’s political heart. (Well played.)"
I remember girls at Uni back in the 1980s who would complain about certain fellow male classmates who had 'wandering hands like an octopus".
Don't know which programme you were watching.Salmond and the guy from the former Indy were the only ones speaking any sense on QT. The audience were very pro Brexit but the arguments were with the Remainers. The audience reminded me of Wallpole's quote "Today they ring the bells. tomorrow their hands!"
Don't know which programme you were watching.Salmond and the guy from the former Indy were the only ones speaking any sense on QT. The audience were very pro Brexit but the arguments were with the Remainers. The audience reminded me of Wallpole's quote "Today they ring the bells. tomorrow their hands!"
Salmond.
Salmond was an irrelevance. The whole rationale behind the stupid 2nd referendum talk is to try and get the SNP a sliver of influence in GB politics. As with Lab and the LDs they've been totally blindsided and cast aside by Brexit.
Amazing how few people see this. May has parked her tanks over EVERYONE's lawns.
"3. The “octopus” line about Trump is engineered persuasion of the highest order. It makes the story deeply visual and extra-creepy. Godzilla, or someone similarly skilled, is probably behind that word. It’s too engineered for a civilian to concoct during an interview. That’s professional work. And it’s probably a golden stake through Trump’s political heart. (Well played.)"
I remember girls at Uni back in the 1980s who would complain about certain fellow male classmates who had 'wandering hands like an octopus".
I used to quite lke dilbert, in the 90s. It has been rather disappointing to discover that it's writer is a "persuasion expert", which seems to be barely one level above a "pick-up artist".
He does seem to have some sense of humour intact tho, at least
"Maybe Bill'll call, " she said to Sheila's glance. Sheila nibbled on a cuticle. "After last night, I thought maybe you'd be through with him." "I know what you mean. My God, he was like an octopus. Hands all over the place." She gestured, raising her arms upwards in defense. "The thing is, after a while, you get tired of fighting with him, you know, and after all I didn't really do anything Friday and Saturday so I kind of owed it to him. You know what I mean." She started to scratch. Sheila was giggling with her hand over her mouth. "I'll tell you, I felt the same way, and even after a while, " here she bent forward in a whisper, "I wanted to!" Now she was laughing very loudly."
lyrics from The Gift, by the Velvet Underground, 1967
Comments
The mood music coming out of today's court case re the serving of A50 does not seem good for those taking the action and anyone voting against the referendum result in the HOC could find their constituents terminating their future career
https://twitter.com/jsavite/status/786301833241387008
Not sure how likely this is (1000/1 with Ladbrokes) but he looks a decent bet to win Utah (6/1) if not the whole thing
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-evan-mcmullin-could-win-utah-and-the-presidency/
Tesco and Unilever end price dispute - BBC News
www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37650234
3 hours ago - The BBC understands Unilever gave some ground to resolve issues ... Tesco and Unilever end price dispute ... Tesco v Unilever live updates.
https://twitter.com/TSEofPB/status/786301833241387008
I guess 'the' black guy is locked in a room somewhere e-mailing his weekly response to the LA times poll.
And more specifically, I have never seen such a negative reaction to everything said by the Labour Party representative.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/03/11/camerons-brexit-adviser-chosen-as-new-treasury-mandarin/
"Cameron's Brexit adviser chosen as new Treasury mandarin "
"the man who negotiated the UK's deal with the EU ahead of the June 23 referendum"
No wonder the Treasury are a major problem for the rest of the Govt over Brexit.
Mrs May needs to fire this man.
* not a joke.
They must as thick as s**t as well then.
538 make him somewhere between 33/1 & 9/1 to win utah
Then between 40/1 & 60/1 for there to be a deadlocked EC
So that's at least 400/1 before we start discussing the twelfth amendment.
In a deadlocked EC, would he really be 6/4 to be POTUS?
I'd expect trump to throw his principles under a bus and sign up to whatever agenda would get him the keys to the whitehouse.
Wild? I was livid.
Moderate Labourites must wish a foreign leader died every week so Thornberry would never be in the country.
Appalling.
#bbcqt
Slightly better value, although all three are most likely losers.
It's beyond tedious. We've juicy Wikileaks and no one is interested - weird marmite
??#Wikileaks Exposes Hillary Clinton Hateful Disdain & Lo Opinion of Blacks & Muslims saying they will be 4ever Failures. Donald Trump https://t.co/RlQgUdAaF4
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-evan-mcmullin-could-win-utah-and-the-presidency/?ex_cid=2016-forecast
The author reckons it is a a 1-3% chance. McMullin is available on Betfair at 1000/1. This in theory is a value bet, but one that you will lose!
Edit: Sorry! I see Saltire got there before me.
Edit:- Crickey...
http://www.mirror.co.uk/3am/celebrity-news/katie-hopkins-cured-epilepsy-after-7620188
I have taken the 11/2 on Trump.
I suspect and hope this is another case of where PBism has lost me money.
Not stupid, just brave.
Well maybe a bit stupid (sorry!)
With the odds/polls as they are, you get better value backing trump on the state markets.
Ohio 3/1 with william hill is a good value bet, IMO.
If the guy pulls the equivalent of 3-4% nationally he is going to help finish Trump.
That's a lyric from a Spandau Ballet song, but could be applied to the Brexit debate.
http://www.azlyrics.com/lyrics/spandauballet/instinction.html
https://twitter.com/LadPolitics/status/786518996082241536
South Lakeland, Bowness North: LD 441, Con 256, Green 37.
Two LD holds with turnout over 40%.
Labour hold Lancaster Westgate , Lewisham Brockley and Lewisham Evelyn
Linc Ind hold North Kesteven Cliff Villages
Residents gain Tandridge Limpsfield from Con
Lib Dems hold Cumbria Windemere and S Lakeland Bowness North
Lib Dems gain Poole Broadstone from Con
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UcoAGsUCSPo
LD 2184
Con 733
UKIP 132
Green 57
Lab 45
Con 717
UKIP 615
Lab 518
LDem 362
I remember canvassing the area in 05 and 15 - Annette Brooke's personal vote was massive, so the difference very stark; combined with the nationwide swing to the Tories and a very much Con improved GOTV operation, it is little wonder Michael Tomlinson won such a huge majority in the end.
To be perfectly honest, I think the Trumper is toast.
http://blog.dilbert.com/post/151737656851/the-era-of-women
https://constitution-unit.com/2016/10/13/all-you-need-to-know-about-the-italian-constitutional-referendum/#more-5379
"The reform would curtail the powers of the Senate, the upper chamber of the Italian parliament. The number of senators would be reduced from 315 to 100, and they would no longer be directly elected. The reformed Senate would be comprised of 74 members of regional assemblies and 21 mayors – who would therefore wear a ‘double hat’. The remaining five senators would be appointed by the Italian President for special merits."
Sort of reverse of what HoL reform campaigners want.
Err, ok...
"3. The “octopus” line about Trump is engineered persuasion of the highest order. It makes the story deeply visual and extra-creepy. Godzilla, or someone similarly skilled, is probably behind that word. It’s too engineered for a civilian to concoct during an interview. That’s professional work. And it’s probably a golden stake through Trump’s political heart. (Well played.)"
I remember girls at Uni back in the 1980s who would complain about certain fellow male classmates who had 'wandering hands like an octopus".
(just kidding!)
Don't know which programme you were watching.Salmond and the guy from the former Indy were the only ones speaking any sense on QT. The audience were very pro Brexit but the arguments were with the Remainers. The audience reminded me of Wallpole's quote "Today they ring the bells. tomorrow their hands!"
I think the May 2015 result was LibDem 2262, Con 2842.
I can't work out the swing.
And deployment of Michelle whilst Hillary is AWOL.
There's something up. Polling or stuff, who knows - but it's there.
I think this is a great selection deal closer than it looks. Otherwise, why the uber smearing?
It makes no sense.
Salmond was an irrelevance. The whole rationale behind the stupid 2nd referendum talk is to try and get the SNP a sliver of influence in GB politics. As with Lab and the LDs they've been totally blindsided and cast aside by Brexit.
Amazing how few people see this. May has parked her tanks over EVERYONE's lawns.
BBC
News has broken that @HillaryClinton has been forced to submit to a federal judge under threat of perjury - @afneil https://t.co/LGBlYPBysJ
He does seem to have some sense of humour intact tho, at least
"Maybe Bill'll call, " she said to Sheila's glance. Sheila nibbled on
a cuticle. "After last night, I thought maybe you'd be through with him." "I
know what you mean. My God, he was like an octopus. Hands all over the place."
She gestured, raising her arms upwards in defense. "The thing is, after a
while, you get tired of fighting with him, you know, and after all I didn't
really do anything Friday and Saturday so I kind of owed it to him. You know
what I mean." She started to scratch. Sheila was giggling with her hand over
her mouth. "I'll tell you, I felt the same way, and even after a while, " here
she bent forward in a whisper, "I wanted to!" Now she was laughing very loudly."
lyrics from The Gift, by the Velvet Underground, 1967