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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Last night’s by election round up

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  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    My youngest daughter has just told me that she has been banned from bet364. :open_mouth:

    Not sure if I should be horrified or seriously impressed.
  • GeoffM said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Sandpit said:

    john_zims said:

    @GIN1138

    'What do we make of this?

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/09/uk-completely-lost-post-brexit-and-will-plead-for-a-deal-top-bru/'

    What ever these self important idiots think it will be Germany that calls the shots.

    Give them a year post Article 50 and then do hard Brexit and not waste anymore time.

    More specifically the leaders of the German car industry will put those idiotic eurocrats in their box. Indeed I expect Juncker's will not survive 2017
    Drunker is the proverbial cooked bread, only surviving because of his own ego (and a lack of process to force him out).

    The EU and Juncker remind me quite a lot of FIFA and Sepp Blatter...
    My favourite ballot paper of all time

    https://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/SPORT/Pix/pictures/2011/6/1/1306941116767/Fifa-ballot-form-007.jpg
    I agree with you although the 1938 Anschluss ballot paper is quite superb too in its own way.

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/57/Stimmzettel-Anschluss.jpg
    Have you seen the agm ballot papers nationwide give out. Make 1938 referendum in Germany look restrained.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited September 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    Well with a 29 inch cock, I am surprised she didn't run a mile when she discovered he has a python in his trousers.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Moses_ said:

    dr_spyn said:

    My Name is Ed Balls, Look on my works, ye Mighty, and despair!'

    https://twitter.com/Holbornlolz/status/774317430957105152

    What a plank.
    I can't help wondering why is there a drawn under the cupboard and what would you keep in it?

    The one next to it is also missing or maybe that's the access point to get behind the fridge?
    Me too - most peculiar
  • Sandpit said:

    Eurocrats reckon UK will come begging for Brexit deal.
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/09/uk-completely-lost-post-brexit-and-will-plead-for-a-deal-top-bru/

    And they wonder why we wanted to leave.

    Just like we were going to plead for a peace treaty after the fall of France.

    They have learned nothing.


    Tossers.
    It's a different They, the Second World War would have been easier if it had been Britain vs Luxembourg. And this time it's the Germans who are supposed to help Britain, whereas in WW2 the Germans were being positively hostile.

    It's weird seeing the theory about Germany saving Britain trotted out again. Previously it was supposed to happen over Juncker's appointment, then over Cameron's renegotiation. These things don't work out the way British right-wingers say they will because:
    1) German influence, although important, is less all-encompassing than they think.
    2) German interests, although somewhat aligned with British interests, are less so than they think.
  • Moses_ said:

    My youngest daughter has just told me that she has been banned from bet364. :open_mouth:

    Not sure if I should be horrified or seriously impressed.

    Bet364 or Bet365?
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464

    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    Well with a 29 inch cock, I am surprised she didn't run a mile when she discovered he has a python in his trousers.
    Does he have a tall hen house for this 2 ft 5 inch rooster? Or am I missing something?
  • PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    Well with a 29 inch cock, I am surprised she didn't run a mile when she discovered he has a python in his trousers.
    I didnt realise Smith was Kenyan. Is he related to Obama?

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3772275/Kenyan-s-enormous-penis-means-sex.html
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    Moses_ said:

    My youngest daughter has just told me that she has been banned from bet364. :open_mouth:

    Not sure if I should be horrified or seriously impressed.

    Congratulations to her!
    Does anyone want to suggest to the new government that they investigate how online bookmakers shut your account if you win?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,840
    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    The Daily Mash seems relevant at this point for some reason.

    http://www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/politics-headlines/were-both-shit-but-hes-a-lunatic-says-owen-smith-20160909113559
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,840
    MP_SE said:
    Handy for the papers that Vaz has such a short name, helps craft more detailed headlines.
  • Moses_ said:

    dr_spyn said:

    My Name is Ed Balls, Look on my works, ye Mighty, and despair!'

    https://twitter.com/Holbornlolz/status/774317430957105152

    What a plank.
    I can't help wondering why is there a drawn under the cupboard and what would you keep in it?

    The one next to it is also missing or maybe that's the access point to get behind the fridge?
    Posing like that in front of their clothes horse - you couldn't make it up
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    Moses_ said:

    My youngest daughter has just told me that she has been banned from bet364. :open_mouth:

    Not sure if I should be horrified or seriously impressed.

    Bet364 or Bet365?
    Sorry 365 .....
  • Whatever do they mean by "Huge Blow"?
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    Well with a 29 inch cock, I am surprised she didn't run a mile when she discovered he has a python in his trousers.
    I didnt realise Smith was Kenyan. Is he related to Obama?

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3772275/Kenyan-s-enormous-penis-means-sex.html
    Totally the BEST pixelated photo EVAH

    http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2016/09/03/15/37DD186100000578-0-image-a-22_1472913571490.jpg

    :lol:
  • Moses_ said:

    My youngest daughter has just told me that she has been banned from bet364. :open_mouth:

    Not sure if I should be horrified or seriously impressed.

    Bet364 or Bet365?
    They are closed on Christmas Day?
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    edited September 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    Really? Her face looks like it's been accidentally left it in your pocket and put through the wash.
  • Paul_BedfordshirePaul_Bedfordshire Posts: 3,632
    edited September 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    Well with a 29 inch cock, I am surprised she didn't run a mile when she discovered he has a python in his trousers.
    I didnt realise Smith was Kenyan. Is he related to Obama?

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3772275/Kenyan-s-enormous-penis-means-sex.html
    Totally the BEST pixelated photo EVAH

    http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2016/09/03/15/37DD186100000578-0-image-a-22_1472913571490.jpg

    :lol:
    Just needs Vote Smith captioned on it :smiley:
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    Moses_ said:

    My youngest daughter has just told me that she has been banned from bet364. :open_mouth:

    Not sure if I should be horrified or seriously impressed.

    Bet364 or Bet365?
    They are closed on Christmas Day?
    :lol:
  • Moses_ said:

    My youngest daughter has just told me that she has been banned from bet364


    Suspicions about the dearth of actual bettors on here confirmed.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    kle4 said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    The Daily Mash seems relevant at this point for some reason.

    http://www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/politics-headlines/were-both-shit-but-hes-a-lunatic-says-owen-smith-20160909113559
    “However, be in no doubt that Jeremy Corbyn’s record of incompetence can easily match my own, on top of which he is a total nutter who keeps a photo of Lenin in his wallet to consult at difficult times.

    :smiley:
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,450
    edited September 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    I'm surprised she didn't say;

    "Owen Who" ???

    Just like the rest of us...
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    kle4 said:

    MP_SE said:

    twitter.com/SkyNews/status/774353618275295232

    Handy for the papers that Vaz has such a short name, helps craft more detailed headlines.
    That's also why the BBC shorten "Mohammed" to "David".
    Plus there is a world shortage of pixels.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    I clicked on that link expecting top model material, I left disappointed.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,840

    It is going to be a pigs ear, and we are likely to be over a barrel taking an unsatisfactory deal, unless we plan for a hard Brexit.

    It would be a dereliction of duty for a Prime Minister to put the country in that position regardless of the result of a plebiscite. If there's no prospect of a good outcome along the lines that the pro-Brexit camp were anticipating, she needs to find a way to kick Article 50 into the long grass indefinitely.
    Some things are beyond the wit of mortal men or women. Article 50 kicks off negotiations. Until we have those negotiations, all the sabre rattling from us and the EU does not really give a great deal of indication about what might be possible, what our prospect of a good deal will be, that was always a part of the risk, and it is to no one;s shame if they felt that risk too great.

    But given we won't know what outcome we will get until after Article 50, and given that most commentators seem to regard declaring article 50 as a one way ticket (in a legal sense, with some seeing the referendum as a one way ticket politically) - I've seen some pieces suggesting it could be halted after it was declared, but frankly that seems even more improbable; what would the EU demand of us if we changed our tunes at that point because they beat us out in negotiations? - then how can Article 50 be kicked into the long grass? How would it be justified? Opposing a referendum outcome would require a heck of a lot to back up such a position, and saying we cannot declare and begin negotiations as we'd do a shit job doesn't seem particularly strong as arguments go.

  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Moses_ said:

    My youngest daughter has just told me that she has been banned from bet364. :open_mouth:

    Not sure if I should be horrified or seriously impressed.

    Bet364 or Bet365?
    They are closed on Christmas Day?
    Claps
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    GeoffM said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    Really? Her face looks like it's been accidentally left it in your pocket and put through the wash.
    Stay classy.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,840

    Moses_ said:

    My youngest daughter has just told me that she has been banned from bet364


    Suspicions about the dearth of actual bettors on here confirmed.
    Certainly impossible somebody could make a typing mistake.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Danny565 said:

    GeoffM said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    Really? Her face looks like it's been accidentally left it in your pocket and put through the wash.
    Stay classy.
    Always.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    GeoffM said:

    kle4 said:

    MP_SE said:

    twitter.com/SkyNews/status/774353618275295232

    Handy for the papers that Vaz has such a short name, helps craft more detailed headlines.
    That's also why the BBC shorten "Mohammed" to "David".
    Plus there is a world shortage of pixels.
    Ha!

    This is an aching sides evening on PB - literally.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Paralympics

    Team GB are absolutely storming tonight....medal after medal after medal. It's a great shame Sky do not give it the coverage they give the other olympics.

    Just watched a one legged high jumper clear the bar.....epic !!!
  • kle4 said:

    How would it be justified? Opposing a referendum outcome would require a heck of a lot to back up such a position, and saying we cannot declare and begin negotiations as we'd do a shit job doesn't seem particularly strong as arguments go.

    The election of Donald Trump as President would be a game changer and would throw open a lot of questions about the future structure and operation of NATO and the WTO. In those circumstances it would be wise to wait to see how things develop first.
  • Skinny, busy Liam passes judgment.

    https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/774362943597273088
  • kle4 said:

    How would it be justified? Opposing a referendum outcome would require a heck of a lot to back up such a position, and saying we cannot declare and begin negotiations as we'd do a shit job doesn't seem particularly strong as arguments go.

    The election of Donald Trump as President would be a game changer and would throw open a lot of questions about the future structure and operation of NATO and the WTO. In those circumstances it would be wise to wait to see how things develop first.
    If Trump tells Europe to cough up 2% or else reducing Nato to US, UK, Canada and possibly France it wont make a great deal of difference in practice, other than giving the EU a bigger headache on their rather large defacto border with Russia.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    Moses_ said:

    Paralympics

    Team GB are absolutely storming tonight....medal after medal after medal. It's a great shame Sky do not give it the coverage they give the other olympics.

    Just watched a one legged high jumper clear the bar.....epic !!!

    Channel 4 are doing a great job with their coverage, the nightly comedian-anchored Last Leg program with its irreverent treatment of disability is just brilliant TV.
  • Do they still have the 100 metres for the Deaf and the Marathon for people with weak bladders?
  • Do they still have the 100 metres for the Deaf and the Marathon for people with weak bladders?

    I believe the Marathon is now known as "Snickers"
  • kle4 said:

    How would it be justified? Opposing a referendum outcome would require a heck of a lot to back up such a position, and saying we cannot declare and begin negotiations as we'd do a shit job doesn't seem particularly strong as arguments go.

    The election of Donald Trump as President would be a game changer and would throw open a lot of questions about the future structure and operation of NATO and the WTO. In those circumstances it would be wise to wait to see how things develop first.
    If Trump tells Europe to cough up 2% or else reducing Nato to US, UK, Canada and possibly France it wont make a great deal of difference in practice, other than giving the EU a bigger headache on their rather large defacto border with Russia.
    "Kaliningrad is the testicle of Russia. When I want the Russians to scream, I squeeze on Kaliningrad!"
  • Seems it is putting the boot into overpaid executives - the sub header is just readable as Trade Minister: Executives prefer golf over work.

    Far from an eccentric spouting it looks like part of Mrs Mays meritocracy agenda.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    edited September 2016
    Sky breaking

    US and Russia agree steps to reduce Syria violence

    The US and Russia are announcing a plan aimed at ending the Syrian civil war and leading to political transition in the country
  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400
    john_zims said:

    @edmundintokyo

    'We just had a test of the "German industry gets what it wants" theory. Spoiler: German industry didn't get what it wants.

    http://www.fiercewireless.com/europe/ec-withdraws-proposals-for-fair-use-limits-roaming-surcharge-abolition

    Did that amount to €18 billion worth of business ?


    German carmakers raise fears over Brexit - FT.com
    www.ft.com › GlobalEconomy › EU Economy
    2 Jul 2015 - German car exports to the UK last year were worth nearly €18bn, and carmakers such as Volkswagen, which owns Bentley, and BMW, owner of ...


    EU GDP is $16.2 trillion, an £18bn industry is not going to be controlling anything. The self-delusion is amazing.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,840

    kle4 said:

    How would it be justified? Opposing a referendum outcome would require a heck of a lot to back up such a position, and saying we cannot declare and begin negotiations as we'd do a shit job doesn't seem particularly strong as arguments go.

    The election of Donald Trump as President would be a game changer and would throw open a lot of questions about the future structure and operation of NATO and the WTO. In those circumstances it would be wise to wait to see how things develop first.
    In fairness, many things might make delays in formal declaration more reasonable, particularly if there is clear progress being made informally.

    Night all. I must say, advertising is getting more direct if the Times is an indication with the instruction 'Eat!' about a new cook book. Or is that the title perchance?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,840
    Moses_ said:

    Sky breaking

    US and Russia agree steps to reduce Syria violence

    The US and Russia are announcing a plan aimed at ending the Syrian civil war and leading to political transition in the country

    Remove all Syrians from Syria?
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    kle4 said:

    Moses_ said:

    Sky breaking

    US and Russia agree steps to reduce Syria violence

    The US and Russia are announcing a plan aimed at ending the Syrian civil war and leading to political transition in the country

    Remove all Syrians from Syria?
    Yes - Obama has promised them all safety in the USA.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Asa Bennett
    Owen Smith celebrates fighting off hundreds of lads to get his wife
    https://t.co/fxqu25dUzU https://t.co/YFx6I1gM2C
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Moses_ said:

    Paralympics

    Team GB are absolutely storming tonight....medal after medal after medal. It's a great shame Sky do not give it the coverage they give the other olympics.

    Just watched a one legged high jumper clear the bar.....epic !!!

    Isn't it amazing! I'm following the Para team and coverage on Twitter - the medals keep on coming
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    David Jack
    Matt, as ever, tells the truth https://t.co/44nCoT2Fti
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited September 2016
    Moses_ said:

    dr_spyn said:

    My Name is Ed Balls, Look on my works, ye Mighty, and despair!'

    ttps://twitter.com/Holbornlolz/status/774317430957105152

    What a plank.
    I can't help wondering why is there a draw under the cupboard and what would you keep in it?

    The one next to it is also missing or maybe that's the access point to get behind the fridge?
    Just like Ed, Glitter Balls has been photographed in his third kitchen. :lol:
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Stephen Bush
    Striking that Hackney's Tories now actually put the PM on their leaflets. This did not happen with DC. https://t.co/wbo8HnsTt7
  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @JonathanD

    'EU GDP is $16.2 trillion, an £18bn industry is not going to be controlling anything. The self-delusion is amazing.'


    So why all the fuss from the German car industry,assume Merkel can just choose to ignore them.
  • kle4 said:

    It is going to be a pigs ear, and we are likely to be over a barrel taking an unsatisfactory deal, unless we plan for a hard Brexit.

    It would be a dereliction of duty for a Prime Minister to put the country in that position regardless of the result of a plebiscite. If there's no prospect of a good outcome along the lines that the pro-Brexit camp were anticipating, she needs to find a way to kick Article 50 into the long grass indefinitely.
    Some things are beyond the wit of mortal men or women. Article 50 kicks off negotiations. Until we have those negotiations, all the sabre rattling from us and the EU does not really give a great deal of indication about what might be possible, what our prospect of a good deal will be, that was always a part of the risk, and it is to no one;s shame if they felt that risk too great.

    But given we won't know what outcome we will get until after Article 50, and given that most commentators seem to regard declaring article 50 as a one way ticket (in a legal sense, with some seeing the referendum as a one way ticket politically) - I've seen some pieces suggesting it could be halted after it was declared, but frankly that seems even more improbable; what would the EU demand of us if we changed our tunes at that point because they beat us out in negotiations? - then how can Article 50 be kicked into the long grass? How would it be justified? Opposing a referendum outcome would require a heck of a lot to back up such a position, and saying we cannot declare and begin negotiations as we'd do a shit job doesn't seem particularly strong as arguments go.

    Procedurally I think withdrawing Article 50 is probably doable. If Britain notified the Council that they wanted to stay after all and just forget the whole thing, everybody would be relieved and I doubt anybody would sue to force Britain to leave, and if they did it's not clear they'd win.

    That's hard to see politically, though. If the issue is that the EU has offered the UK a shitty deal, people of a nationalistic persuasion are just going to be even more narked off. You could conceivably do it if you bad a change of government in between, but that won't happen because Jeremy Corbyn.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Yeah

    Britain's 12th #gold of the Games is in the bag
    Jonnie Peacock, double Paralympic champion

    https://t.co/BLq845L5V9 https://t.co/n7f4NHlmz5
  • john_zims said:

    @JonathanD

    'EU GDP is $16.2 trillion, an £18bn industry is not going to be controlling anything. The self-delusion is amazing.'


    So why all the fuss from the German car industry,assume Merkel can just choose to ignore them.

    It's not complicated. She'll take their concerns seriously, but she has a lot of other concerns too. Germany's opinion will then be important, but there are other countries in the EU too.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    David Paxton
    Half of me beat 80 million sperm to become me so I know how to swim.

    :smiley:
  • PlatoSaid said:

    Mirror
    Owen Smith: 'I fought off hundreds of lads to get my wife so I know how to win' https://t.co/bXg0WHHs48 https://t.co/RfEUIXp8WV

    Please make it stop

    He also fought off hundreds of sperm to get to the egg first, but I don't see that that qualifies him to lead a major political party.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited September 2016
    .
  • kle4 said:

    It is going to be a pigs ear, and we are likely to be over a barrel taking an unsatisfactory deal, unless we plan for a hard Brexit.

    It would be a dereliction of duty for a Prime Minister to put the country in that position regardless of the result of a plebiscite. If there's no prospect of a good outcome along the lines that the pro-Brexit camp were anticipating, she needs to find a way to kick Article 50 into the long grass indefinitely.
    Some things are beyond the wit of mortal men or women. Article 50 kicks off negotiations. Until we have those negotiations, all the sabre rattling from us and the EU does not really give a great deal of indication about what might be possible, what our prospect of a good deal will be, that was always a part of the risk, and it is to no one;s shame if they felt that risk too great.

    But given we won't know what outcome we will get until after Article 50, and given that most commentators seem to regard declaring article 50 as a one way ticket (in a legal sense, with some seeing the referendum as a one way ticket politically) - I've seen some pieces suggesting it could be halted after it was declared, but frankly that seems even more improbable; what would the EU demand of us if we changed our tunes at that point because they beat us out in negotiations? - then how can Article 50 be kicked into the long grass? How would it be justified? Opposing a referendum outcome would require a heck of a lot to back up such a position, and saying we cannot declare and begin negotiations as we'd do a shit job doesn't seem particularly strong as arguments go.

    Procedurally I think withdrawing Article 50 is probably doable. If Britain notified the Council that they wanted to stay after all and just forget the whole thing, everybody would be relieved and I doubt anybody would sue to force Britain to leave, and if they did it's not clear they'd win.

    That's hard to see politically, though. If the issue is that the EU has offered the UK a shitty deal, people of a nationalistic persuasion are just going to be even more narked off. You could conceivably do it if you bad a change of government in between, but that won't happen because Jeremy Corbyn.
    I think the EU Commission are very keen to offer the UK a shitty deal to teach us - and any other budding miscreants, by proxy - a good lesson.

    But, that would do nothing more than poison UK-EU relations for years, which would not be in the interests of its remaining member states.


  • I think the EU Commission are very keen to offer the UK a shitty deal to teach us - and any other budding miscreants, by proxy - a good lesson.

    But, that would do nothing more than poison UK-EU relations for years, which would not be in the interests of its remaining member states.

    It would be wholly stupid on their part, as they don't have the means to make Britain an economic failure. We will still be able to trade into the EU (slightly more expensively) and we're more likely to pursue other economic opportunities with greater vigour. If you can't utterly destroy your enemy, it's not worth antagonising them. Machiavelli taught us that. It would in fact demonstrate the success of a totally clean break from the EU.

    Their strategy should actually be to try to get Britain to subscribe to 'EU-lite' as much as possible, and try and extract the maximum fee for doing so.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034



    Their strategy should actually be to try to get Britain to subscribe to 'EU-lite' as much as possible, and try and extract the maximum fee for doing so.

    I agree with most of that except the last bit - the maximum fee. If the strategy is not to antagonize, they should be magnanimous in 'victory'. I.e. they should offer us a reasonable fee.
  • A somewhat misleading introductory para from the Guardian:

    British citizens may have to apply online and pay to travel to Europe after the UK leaves the EU, under plans being drawn up by the bloc for a visa waiver programme similar to the US system.

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/sep/09/britons-may-have-to-apply-to-visit-europe-under-eu-visa-scheme

    Because as the article goes on to explain, its because we're outside Schengen.....so even if we stayed in the EU it would still have applied. The 'after the UK leaves the EU' part is simply a function of time, not causality.....presumably Irish passport holders will also have to apply....
  • kle4 said:

    It is going to be a pigs ear, and we are likely to be over a barrel taking an unsatisfactory deal, unless we plan for a hard Brexit.

    It would be a dereliction of duty for a Prime Minister to put the country in that position regardless of the result of a plebiscite. If there's no prospect of a good outcome along the lines that the pro-Brexit camp were anticipating, she needs to find a way to kick Article 50 into the long grass indefinitely.
    Some things are beyond the wit of mortal men or women. Article 50 kicks off negotiations. Until we have those negotiations, all the sabre rattling from us and the EU does not really give a great deal of indication about what might be possible, what our prospect of a good deal will be, that was always a part of the risk, and it is to no one;s shame if they felt that risk too great.

    But given we won't know what outcome we will get until after Article 50, and given that most commentators seem to regard declaring article 50 as a one way ticket (in a legal sense, with some seeing the referendum as a one way ticket politically) - I've seen some pieces suggesting it could be halted after it was declared, but frankly that seems even more improbable; what would the EU demand of us if we changed our tunes at that point because they beat us out in negotiations? - then how can Article 50 be kicked into the long grass? How would it be justified? Opposing a referendum outcome would require a heck of a lot to back up such a position, and saying we cannot declare and begin negotiations as we'd do a shit job doesn't seem particularly strong as arguments go.

    Procedurally I think withdrawing Article 50 is probably doable. If Britain notified the Council that they wanted to stay after all and just forget the whole thing, everybody would be relieved and I doubt anybody would sue to force Britain to leave, and if they did it's not clear they'd win.

    That's hard to see politically, though. If the issue is that the EU has offered the UK a shitty deal, people of a nationalistic persuasion are just going to be even more narked off. You could conceivably do it if you bad a change of government in between, but that won't happen because Jeremy Corbyn.
    I think the EU Commission are very keen to offer the UK a shitty deal to teach us - and any other budding miscreants, by proxy - a good lesson.

    But, that would do nothing more than poison UK-EU relations for years, which would not be in the interests of its remaining member states.
    Which is why May & Merkel (and whoever replaces Hollande) will want to stitch up a deal between themselves and tell the Commission to 'implement this'.....
  • The daughter of renowned Russophobe Zbigniew Brzezinski, and MSNBC presenter, Mika having a 'does not compute' moment over Trump's praise of Putin.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sVJOqziLTxU
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    Yet another story on yet another EU senior official telling Britain what is in Britain's best interests:

    http://in.reuters.com/article/britain-eu-eurogroup-idINL8N1BL16L

    You get the feeling from this spate of stories that, far from being confident of having the upper hand as they profess, these Europeans are distinctly nervous.

  • Which is why May & Merkel (and whoever replaces Hollande) will want to stitch up a deal between themselves and tell the Commission to 'implement this'.....

    I can see why they'd want to try to do that but it's not obvious why the rest of the member states, not to mention the EU Parliament, would be interested in going along with it.

    That said, the Commission only has control over this process to the extent that the member states are blundering around.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,791

    I think the EU Commission are very keen to offer the UK a shitty deal to teach us - and any other budding miscreants, by proxy - a good lesson.

    But, that would do nothing more than poison UK-EU relations for years, which would not be in the interests of its remaining member states.

    I'm plowing thru this month's Max Hastings ("All Hell Broke Loose") and he points out that a meeting of German industrialists in December 1941 concluded that the war could not be won: Germany simply did not have the resources to fight the Soviet Union an the US combined. Nevertheless, the war continued.

    Just because something is stupid doesn't mean that it will not happen.
  • MTimT said:

    Yet another story on yet another EU senior official telling Britain what is in Britain's best interests:

    http://in.reuters.com/article/britain-eu-eurogroup-idINL8N1BL16L

    You get the feeling from this spate of stories that, far from being confident of having the upper hand as they profess, these Europeans are distinctly nervous.

    I don't think the quotes really support the story. Dijsselbloem was basically just saying that it's up to Britain, not that we 'must' make up our minds.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,791
    Anyhoo, much as I would like to engage in the Eurosceptic echo chamber ("He [Putin] is more our friend than Juncker and co", oh ffs) but I have a serious question. There were rumours of privately commissioned (hedge-fund?) polls on or near polling day on June 23rd. Did anybody ever track these down, or can point to a link? I will say a prayer for you if you can.

  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,791
    ...and also, has anybody got a primary source for the Leave.eu poll of 22-23rd June, a secondary source for which is h ttps://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/746086000514969604/photo/1
  • viewcode said:

    ...and also, has anybody got a primary source for the Leave.eu poll of 22-23rd June, a secondary source for which is h ttps://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/746086000514969604/photo/1

    Odd...it doesn't appear on their website:

    http://leave.eu/en/news/7
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,158
    and the wait for first begins.....
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,243
    edited September 2016
    RobD said:

    and the wait for first begins.....

    I wonder if yesterday's leitmotif of

    Please Sir!
    It's not Fair Sir!
    That Grammar School Girl is Picking on us Sir!
    Doesn't she know her place?


    Will continue, preferably "backed up" (sic) by some dodgy interpretation of polling.....
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,158

    RobD said:

    and the wait for first begins.....

    I wonder if yesterday's leitmotif of

    Please Sir!
    It's not Fair Sir!
    That Grammar School Girl is Picking on us Sir!
    Doesn't she know her place?


    Will continue, preferably "backed up" (sic) by some dodgy interpretation of polling.....
    Still a bit confused about the whole 'every school can be a grammar school'. How does that actually work?
  • A rent boy writes:

    The-politicians think I don’t know who they are, but I’m not stupid. I watch Question Time and the news.....

    ....I am not surprised that Keith Vaz has been caught sleeping with male hookers. I’m one myself and so I know that overweight married Asians are our staple. We often joke that without Indians and-Middle Eastern guys, we’d all be broke. They are always married.


    http://www.spectator.co.uk/2016/09/confessions-rent-boy/
  • RobD said:

    RobD said:

    and the wait for first begins.....

    I wonder if yesterday's leitmotif of

    Please Sir!
    It's not Fair Sir!
    That Grammar School Girl is Picking on us Sir!
    Doesn't she know her place?


    Will continue, preferably "backed up" (sic) by some dodgy interpretation of polling.....
    Still a bit confused about the whole 'every school can be a grammar school'. How does that actually work?
    It's what it says, you make every school a grammar school. It can't be any harder than making every school above average.
  • RobD said:

    RobD said:

    and the wait for first begins.....

    I wonder if yesterday's leitmotif of

    Please Sir!
    It's not Fair Sir!
    That Grammar School Girl is Picking on us Sir!
    Doesn't she know her place?


    Will continue, preferably "backed up" (sic) by some dodgy interpretation of polling.....
    Still a bit confused about the whole 'every school can be a grammar school'. How does that actually work?
    I don't think thats what has actually been proposed.....perhaps the Green Paper will clarify? I'm sure there will be schools who prefer the cold dead hand enlightened guiding light of local politicians & local authorities....
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,158

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    and the wait for first begins.....

    I wonder if yesterday's leitmotif of

    Please Sir!
    It's not Fair Sir!
    That Grammar School Girl is Picking on us Sir!
    Doesn't she know her place?


    Will continue, preferably "backed up" (sic) by some dodgy interpretation of polling.....
    Still a bit confused about the whole 'every school can be a grammar school'. How does that actually work?
    I don't think thats what has actually been proposed.....perhaps the Green Paper will clarify? I'm sure there will be schools who prefer the cold dead hand enlightened guiding light of local politicians & local authorities....
    Hm, but the telegraph had that as their headline. Saying that, I wouldn't be surprised given their huge decline in recent years.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,158

    A rent boy writes:

    The-politicians think I don’t know who they are, but I’m not stupid. I watch Question Time and the news.....

    ....I am not surprised that Keith Vaz has been caught sleeping with male hookers. I’m one myself and so I know that overweight married Asians are our staple. We often joke that without Indians and-Middle Eastern guys, we’d all be broke. They are always married.


    http://www.spectator.co.uk/2016/09/confessions-rent-boy/

    Hopefully as homosexuality becomes more tolerated, there will be fewer examples of this. You have to feel sorry for the wives :(
  • Austria says wrong if Germany, Italy, France dominate Brexit debate - Reuters

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/2016/09/09/uk-britain-eu-austria-idukkcn11f2k8
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,158

    Austria says wrong if Germany, Italy, France dominate Brexit debate - Reuters

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/2016/09/09/uk-britain-eu-austria-idukkcn11f2k8

    '"Small countries should not be overruled," he said.'

    LOL. Welcome to the EU :)
  • RobD said:

    Austria says wrong if Germany, Italy, France dominate Brexit debate - Reuters

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/2016/09/09/uk-britain-eu-austria-idukkcn11f2k8

    '"Small countries should not be overruled," he said.'

    LOL. Welcome to the EU :)
    A good tactic to get the coveted first is to distract with an article on the old thread... ;)
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,158

    RobD said:

    Austria says wrong if Germany, Italy, France dominate Brexit debate - Reuters

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/2016/09/09/uk-britain-eu-austria-idukkcn11f2k8

    '"Small countries should not be overruled," he said.'

    LOL. Welcome to the EU :)
    A good tactic to get the coveted first is to distract with an article on the old thread... ;)
    DAMN YOU SIR! :p
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    and the wait for first begins.....

    I wonder if yesterday's leitmotif of

    Please Sir!
    It's not Fair Sir!
    That Grammar School Girl is Picking on us Sir!
    Doesn't she know her place?


    Will continue, preferably "backed up" (sic) by some dodgy interpretation of polling.....
    Still a bit confused about the whole 'every school can be a grammar school'. How does that actually work?
    Didn't you know, all our kids are above average.
This discussion has been closed.