Re the FTPA act. If May stands up in parliament and says, "Hey boys, let's have an election, you're quite right, I need a mandate what say you?", I'd be fascinated to see how Labour respond.
Given they called for an election when she became PM, in the standard 'unelected PM needs a fresh mandate' calls which have no basis in our system, presumably they'd be obliged to say they agree.
Mr. Nabavi, I don't think so, though it could be a factor.
But that brings us to another point: the relentless pathologising of every quirk. He's not a fat bastard. He has binge eating disorder. He's not fussy. He has mild OCD. And so on.
This is part of the problem: I am sitting very close to three (very attractive) teenage girls on the train. All probably about seventeen.
As I type they are all busy on their iPhones posing and taking selfies of themselves.
It's provided newspapers with an endless supply of photos when they become media fodder. The pouting selfie look is so weird. All head down, shoulders up, eyes coquettish.
I honestly thought the 'selfie stick' was a joke for ages - then saw one. It's vanity on a scale I can't fathom. As a teenager, I'd a boyfriend who spent most of the time admiring himself in shop windows - he'd be in element now, shame he's 50
Unfortunately it turned out to be fake but it spawned some other fun spoof gadgets being advertised afterwards. This Dildo Hoverboard advert is brilliant and seriously NSFW ... or most home environments too.
And yet the very premise of this piece, and the concern many have with the FTPA, is that people have the temptation. Just the possibility of it causes disruption, recriminations at lost opportunities (if we had no FTPA and May did not got for a snap election now then, somehow, lost the next election, you can bet there'd be complaints).
The negative of binding a future parliament (except it is not really bound, since repeal will always be possible, it will just be politically more costly to try) would seem to me to be less than the positive of eliminating the possibility of partisan based scheduling of elections, whether they are likely or not.
Yet the governing party can still call an election. It simply has to pass a vote of no confidence in itself, and as no other government can be formed, and election must be called.
I'm also somewhat opposed to legislation that require more than a simple majority of Parliament to get things done. The two thirds majority stinks.
It's not perfect. But having to pass a no confidence motion against itself is a much tougher proposition (because it sounds stupid) than a government just deciding it wants an election now thank you very much. And making it tougher to call an election whenever you want, which would be for political purposes, is on balance a good thing.
If the Conservatives vote No Confidence in themselves, can't Corbyn approach the Queen and attempt to form a Government? Obviously it'd be voted down but he would go into the election as PM...
Yes, as I understand it there is a period of two weeks where a new government can be formed. The Tories would just have to vote down each one.
Mr. Nabavi, I don't think so, though it could be a factor.
But that brings us to another point: the relentless pathologising of every quirk. He's not a fat bastard. He has binge eating disorder. He's not fussy. He has mild OCD. And so on.
No child is naughty or a fidget or cheeky - it's ADHD or something else - never poor home discipline and lack of boundary setting.
No teenage angst is a phase - it requires sympathy or medicating.
ADHD is an invention created to absolve wealthy parents that they are shit at their prime job in life, i.e. bringing up their kids.
You generally are a sensible man (and I think we may have attended the same school in London albeit at different times) so I will cut you some slack
But you clearly have no fucking clue on this matter.
I have 4 children 2 of whom have ADHD perhaps I and my wife just did a shit job with 2 of them.....
You really have no idea
Muppet.
I used to know a lad at school in the late 70s who was forever doing the daftest things and was totally incapable of paying attention to anything the teachers said. He was always in detention, and his poor parents used to despair of him. They were nice, friendly, working-class folk, and they didn't understand why he was so naughty while his brothers were well-behaved. He wasn't a bad lad, and could be funny sometimes, but he was pretty much given up as a lost cause.
Anyway, I ran into him by chance a couple of years ago. He was still living a pretty chaotic life, but he had been retroactively diagnosed with ADHD. Looking back, it makes a lot of sense. Hopefully kids like him (and their parents) get more help and understanding nowadays than he did.
Why do I get the feeling there's something big going to (figuratively) blow up in the face of either or both Clinton or Trump before the election?
They've both got way too many skeletons and are campaigning far too negatively, for something not to come out that makes one or other of them completely unfit for office in the eyes of the public.
Clinton has been claiming that there are no more embarrassing emails. Amusingly Assange is promising to reveal thousands of emails in the run up to November.
The Republicans could have easily beat her with the right candidate. Unfortunately they picked Trump and will likely lead to Clinton,the ultimate crony capitalist, winning the race.
A teenager saw an old photo of me in which I was smiling (as one was wont to do once up a time, "Say Cheese!" and all that) and said how wrong it was, everyone is meant to pout!
But then, I have photos of my great-grandparents from the 19th century, in which they are all practically scowling - to be charitable, they have a severely serious look. But that is the way they used to be posed, in a studio, at a serious event, holding the pose... looking through the family album the smile only really seemed to kick in in the 1920s or so, and that would be a slight one. The more unreserved, light-hearted and "cheesy" smiles only seem to be there from the 60s or 70s onwards - even relatives who I know to have been fun-loving, laugh-a-minute and gregarious types might only seem to manage half-smiles until then.
It's funny seeing someone in a 1920s photograph look so stern as a youth, and looking much more light-hearted and smiley come the 1980s or 1990s in the depths of old age!
Had they shown those later photographs to their parents or studio photographer in the 1920s, no doubt he would have told them to wipe that silly expression off of their face!!
I don' think either a duck face, "cheese smile" or overly stern face is correct. A 'light' smile works best in my opinion.
I believe early photographs required long exposures, so rigid immobility was a must. I don't like being photographed, so images of my exalted self will be hugely sought after by my legions of future biographers.
Why do I get the feeling there's something big going to (figuratively) blow up in the face of either or both Clinton or Trump before the election?
They've both got way too many skeletons and are campaigning far too negatively, for something not to come out that makes one or other of them completely unfit for office in the eyes of the public.
Julian Assanage really seems to be gunning for Clinton.
Yes, and I think he's saving things up too - one revelation a week for October, with each more serious than the last?
I get the feeling there's something in the Foundation from when she was SoS that will look like a huge pile of personal cash in exchange for a policy, from someone foreign and powerful.
It's really difficult to read what's going on in the US right now, I've got a total of a tenner on Trump at about 5/1 from half way through the primaries, which I think represents value. But then again he could go down to a landslide, or could win a landslide if he gets the DNVs out. I haven't a bloody clue!!
An interesting question. What would be the actuarial value of the bog standard state pension for someone on the brink of retirement, assuming they had average life expectancy?
Annuity rates for a single life, RPI linked, at age 65, are around 2.6%. So the capital value of the basic state pension (£119.30 per week) is something of the order of £238K. More for women who can still get it earlier and who, in real terms, are a worse risk.
Mr. Nabavi, I don't think so, though it could be a factor.
But that brings us to another point: the relentless pathologising of every quirk. He's not a fat bastard. He has binge eating disorder. He's not fussy. He has mild OCD. And so on.
No child is naughty or a fidget or cheeky - it's ADHD or something else - never poor home discipline and lack of boundary setting.
No teenage angst is a phase - it requires sympathy or medicating.
ADHD is an invention created to absolve wealthy parents that they are shit at their prime job in life, i.e. bringing up their kids.
With his re-election as Labour leader a certainty, Jeremy Corbyn has admitted he is only performing hopelessly to annoy rival Owen Smith.
"I’m going to address tonight’s rally in Dundee facing the wrong way, spend a televised hustings failing to understand that my microphone’s broken, and when the entire Tory cabinet resigns in September I will be sorting out old folk records in the attic for three days.
What kind of appalling political suicide case would do something like that? A political suicide case who’s going to beat Owen Smith by ten clear percentage points, that’s who"
Why do I get the feeling there's something big going to (figuratively) blow up in the face of either or both Clinton or Trump before the election?
They've both got way too many skeletons and are campaigning far too negatively, for something not to come out that makes one or other of them completely unfit for office in the eyes of the public.
Julian Assanage really seems to be gunning for Clinton.
Yes, and I think he's saving things up too - one revelation a week for October, with each more serious than the last?
I get the feeling there's something in the Foundation from when she was SoS that will look like a huge pile of personal cash in exchange for a policy, from someone foreign and powerful.
It's really difficult to read what's going on in the US right now, I've got a total of a tenner on Trump at about 5/1 from half way through the primaries, which I think represents value. But then again he could go down to a landslide, or could win a landslide if he gets the DNVs out. I haven't a bloody clue!!
There is already stuff in the public that looks at best shall we say ill advised and worst exactly that. One problem is the whole thing is very complex and not easy to sum up in a simple soundbite....which appears to be what is required.
Also, even Fox don't want Trump, so who is going run with anything...and as you say it isn't exactly hard to find dodgy things about Trumps past.
An interesting question. What would be the actuarial value of the bog standard state pension for someone on the brink of retirement, assuming they had average life expectancy?
Add that to the expected present value of our medical treatment, if we were to pay for it ourselves and crystallising that cashflow as a one-off lump sum payment at the point of retirement?
We're all a lot richer than we think.
£155.65 / week = £8093.80 / year - which requires a pot equivalent of £200,000 by my reckoning.
An interesting question. What would be the actuarial value of the bog standard state pension for someone on the brink of retirement, assuming they had average life expectancy?
Add that to the expected present value of our medical treatment, if we were to pay for it ourselves and crystallising that cashflow as a one-off lump sum payment at the point of retirement?
We're all a lot richer than we think.
£155.65 / week = £8093.80 / year - which requires a pot equivalent of £200,000 by my reckoning.
That's the 'new' state pension, which as you say is £155.65 a week (in theory).
An interesting question. What would be the actuarial value of the bog standard state pension for someone on the brink of retirement, assuming they had average life expectancy?
Add that to the expected present value of our medical treatment, if we were to pay for it ourselves and crystallising that cashflow as a one-off lump sum payment at the point of retirement?
We're all a lot richer than we think.
£155.65 / week = £8093.80 / year - which requires a pot equivalent of £200,000 by my reckoning.
That's the 'new' state pension, which as you say is £155.65 a week (in theory).
Is it not that in reality ?
One of the more amusing effects of the recent changes is that my Mum will be getting her pension after my Dad (In absolute age terms) Feb 54 vs July 51 - they must be one of the closest age gap couples and first lot this has happened to
Why do I get the feeling there's something big going to (figuratively) blow up in the face of either or both Clinton or Trump before the election?
They've both got way too many skeletons and are campaigning far too negatively, for something not to come out that makes one or other of them completely unfit for office in the eyes of the public.
Julian Assanage really seems to be gunning for Clinton.
Yes, and I think he's saving things up too - one revelation a week for October, with each more serious than the last?
I get the feeling there's something in the Foundation from when she was SoS that will look like a huge pile of personal cash in exchange for a policy, from someone foreign and powerful.
It's really difficult to read what's going on in the US right now, I've got a total of a tenner on Trump at about 5/1 from half way through the primaries, which I think represents value. But then again he could go down to a landslide, or could win a landslide if he gets the DNVs out. I haven't a bloody clue!!
There is already stuff in the public that looks at best shall we say ill advised. One problem is the whole thing is very complex and not easy to sum up in a simple soundbite....which appears to be what is required.
Also, even Fox don't want Trump, so who is going run with anything...and as you say it isn't exactly hard to find dodgy things about Trumps past.
Yes, the smoking gun, for either candidate, won't necessarily be the worst thing they've ever done, but rather something that makes for a simple soundbite that can't be easily explained away. If either side can make something stick for a week, the election is as good as over. It'll be something like "Trump doesn't pay his taxes" or "Hillary took a bribe" with no caveats.
It will be interesting to see how the media react though, as you say even Fox aren't huge Trump fans and most are now starting to get upset with Hillary hiding away and hoping to say nothing between now and the election.
Mr. Nabavi, I don't think so, though it could be a factor.
But that brings us to another point: the relentless pathologising of every quirk. He's not a fat bastard. He has binge eating disorder. He's not fussy. He has mild OCD. And so on.
This is part of the problem: I am sitting very close to three (very attractive) teenage girls on the train. All probably about seventeen.
As I type they are all busy on their iPhones posing and taking selfies of themselves.
It's provided newspapers with an endless supply of photos when they become media fodder. The pouting selfie look is so weird. All head down, shoulders up, eyes coquettish.
I honestly thought the 'selfie stick' was a joke for ages - then saw one. It's vanity on a scale I can't fathom. As a teenager, I'd a boyfriend who spent most of the time admiring himself in shop windows - he'd be in element now, shame he's 50
Unfortunately it turned out to be fake but it spawned some other fun spoof gadgets being advertised afterwards. This Dildo Hoverboard advert is brilliant and seriously NSFW ... or most home environments too.
I dunno, if I was a Canadian I'd be miffed if my tax dollars were being spent on doing such detailed coverage of an election in another country. They aren't even adding anything new to the mix, there are a dozen or so similar sites.
Why do I get the feeling there's something big going to (figuratively) blow up in the face of either or both Clinton or Trump before the election?
They've both got way too many skeletons and are campaigning far too negatively, for something not to come out that makes one or other of them completely unfit for office in the eyes of the public.
Julian Assanage really seems to be gunning for Clinton.
Yes, and I think he's saving things up too - one revelation a week for October, with each more serious than the last?
I get the feeling there's something in the Foundation from when she was SoS that will look like a huge pile of personal cash in exchange for a policy, from someone foreign and powerful.
It's really difficult to read what's going on in the US right now, I've got a total of a tenner on Trump at about 5/1 from half way through the primaries, which I think represents value. But then again he could go down to a landslide, or could win a landslide if he gets the DNVs out. I haven't a bloody clue!!
There is already stuff in the public that looks at best shall we say ill advised. One problem is the whole thing is very complex and not easy to sum up in a simple soundbite....which appears to be what is required.
Also, even Fox don't want Trump, so who is going run with anything...and as you say it isn't exactly hard to find dodgy things about Trumps past.
Yes, the smoking gun, for either candidate, won't necessarily be the worst thing they've ever done, but rather something that makes for a simple soundbite that can't be easily explained away. If either side can make something stick for a week, the election is as good as over. It'll be something like "Trump doesn't pay his taxes" or "Hillary took a bribe" with no caveats.
It will be interesting to see how the media react though, as you say even Fox aren't huge Trump fans and most are now starting to get upset with Hillary hiding away and hoping to say nothing between now and the election.
I think a lot of people want is a "do over"....what they need is RON (reopen nominations) option....can we start again.
Mr. Nabavi, I don't think so, though it could be a factor.
But that brings us to another point: the relentless pathologising of every quirk. He's not a fat bastard. He has binge eating disorder. He's not fussy. He has mild OCD. And so on.
No child is naughty or a fidget or cheeky - it's ADHD or something else - never poor home discipline and lack of boundary setting.
No teenage angst is a phase - it requires sympathy or medicating.
ADHD is an invention created to absolve wealthy parents that they are shit at their prime job in life, i.e. bringing up their kids.
I have ADHD. Where are my rich parents pls?
what stupid thing to type. Lol. I wonder if people who say such things actually know people with ADHD?
Given they wanted to go with the people they had previously decided to boycott rather than this current lot, it's hard to see how it cannot have been very expensive, comparitively.
But one problem the party does not have right now is funds. Thanks Jeremy!
Why do I get the feeling there's something big going to (figuratively) blow up in the face of either or both Clinton or Trump before the election?
They've both got way too many skeletons and are campaigning far too negatively, for something not to come out that makes one or other of them completely unfit for office in the eyes of the public.
Julian Assanage really seems to be gunning for Clinton.
Yes, and I think he's saving things up too - one revelation a week for October, with each more serious than the last?
I get the feeling there's something in the Foundation from when she was SoS that will look like a huge pile of personal cash in exchange for a policy, from someone foreign and powerful.
It's really difficult to read what's going on in the US right now, I've got a total of a tenner on Trump at about 5/1 from half way through the primaries, which I think represents value. But then again he could go down to a landslide, or could win a landslide if he gets the DNVs out. I haven't a bloody clue!!
There is already stuff in the public that looks at best shall we say ill advised and worst exactly that. One problem is the whole thing is very complex and not easy to sum up in a simple soundbite....which appears to be what is required.
Also, even Fox don't want Trump, so who is going run with anything...and as you say it isn't exactly hard to find dodgy things about Trumps past.
Vote Trump in and impeach him within 3 months. The obvious solution.
Mr. Nabavi, I don't think so, though it could be a factor.
But that brings us to another point: the relentless pathologising of every quirk. He's not a fat bastard. He has binge eating disorder. He's not fussy. He has mild OCD. And so on.
No child is naughty or a fidget or cheeky - it's ADHD or something else - never poor home discipline and lack of boundary setting.
No teenage angst is a phase - it requires sympathy or medicating.
ADHD is an invention created to absolve wealthy parents that they are shit at their prime job in life, i.e. bringing up their kids.
I have ADHD. Where are my rich parents pls?
I have a nephew with it. ADHD definitely exists and can be quite difficult to manage, and his parents have been as loving and patient as saints with him.
It may be over diagnosed, and not always treated appropriately, just like dyslexia, dyspraxia and aspergers, and all of these can be used as excuses rather than pathways to appropriate treatment.
There is very scant evidence to support a Conservative lead of 11%. If anything all the recent ACTUAL polling date suggests they are falling back. But anyway no government is going to call for two votes of no confidence in itself and expect the media and public to keep a straight face.
Why do I get the feeling there's something big going to (figuratively) blow up in the face of either or both Clinton or Trump before the election?
They've both got way too many skeletons and are campaigning far too negatively, for something not to come out that makes one or other of them completely unfit for office in the eyes of the public.
Julian Assanage really seems to be gunning for Clinton.
Yes, and I think he's saving things up too - one revelation a week for October, with each more serious than the last?
I get the feeling there's something in the Foundation from when she was SoS that will look like a huge pile of personal cash in exchange for a policy, from someone foreign and powerful.
It's really difficult to read what's going on in the US right now, I've got a total of a tenner on Trump at about 5/1 from half way through the primaries, which I think represents value. But then again he could go down to a landslide, or could win a landslide if he gets the DNVs out. I haven't a bloody clue!!
There is already stuff in the public that looks at best shall we say ill advised and worst exactly that. One problem is the whole thing is very complex and not easy to sum up in a simple soundbite....which appears to be what is required.
Also, even Fox don't want Trump, so who is going run with anything...and as you say it isn't exactly hard to find dodgy things about Trumps past.
Vote Trump in and impeach him within 3 months. The obvious solution.
Would enough Senate Republicans vote to impeach him though?
If the sitting President is impeached and kicked out, what is the process to determine his replacement?
Look out for a congratulatory tweet from McCluskey to McNichol, or perhaps not. Rescuing the conference without using an unacceptable security firm is quite an achievement by McNichol.
Anyone got any idea about the lump sum value of our healthcare costs?
That's harder! There's also the social-care costs to be considered as well, although of course lots of people aren't entitled to full or indeed any state help with that.
If they people already do security for the location, why didn't they just go to them in the first place (given they know they wouldn't use the two big boys)?
There is very scant evidence to support a Conservative lead of 11%. If anything all the recent ACTUAL polling date suggests they are falling back. But anyway no government is going to call for two votes of no confidence in itself and expect the media and public to keep a straight face.
As much as polls got a bad rep last election, I'm not sure they've sunk enough as to render them useless, especially against an unrepresentative set of by-elections.
There is very scant evidence to support a Conservative lead of 11%. If anything all the recent ACTUAL polling date suggests they are falling back. But anyway no government is going to call for two votes of no confidence in itself and expect the media and public to keep a straight face.
Aside, of course, from all the actual polls. So, on one side, we've got YouGov, Mori, ICM, TNS all pointing to ~double-digit polling leads for the Tories. And "Best PM", confidence in Leader, economic credibility questions all compatible with, if anything, larger leads.
On the other, we have - sorry, you'll have to help me out. What was your "ACTUAL polling data"?
There is very scant evidence to support a Conservative lead of 11%. If anything all the recent ACTUAL polling date suggests they are falling back. But anyway no government is going to call for two votes of no confidence in itself and expect the media and public to keep a straight face.
Aside, of course, from all the actual polls. So, on one side, we've got YouGov, Mori, ICM, TNS all pointing to ~double-digit polling leads for the Tories. And "Best PM", confidence in Leader, economic credibility questions all compatible with, if anything, larger leads.
On the other, we have - sorry, you'll have to help me out. What was your "ACTUAL polling data"?
Anyone got any idea about the lump sum value of our healthcare costs?
That's harder! There's also the social-care costs to be considered as well, although of course lots of people aren't entitled to full or indeed any state help with that.
Going to see if I can calculate the internal rate of return on my pension pot this evening...
Mr. Urquhart, I believe if you get a 100 place penalty, Barack Obama makes a live broadcast telling you to get to the back of the queue.
A 100 place penalty - will that become known as a Hamilton?
But Hamilton is on the $10 bill. So presumably, Hamilton is on a triple-Hamilton (or given that 1+1+1= a Nelson) a Nelson Hamilton, otherwise know as a Lady Nelson. Or should it be a Lady Hamilton?
Anyone got any idea about the lump sum value of our healthcare costs?
That's harder! There's also the social-care costs to be considered as well, although of course lots of people aren't entitled to full or indeed any state help with that.
Going to see if I can calculate the internal rate of return on my pension pot this evening...
I have access to a supercomputer cluster if you need it...
Mr. M, it's interesting being in the generation on the crest of the internet wave. I can remember nobody having mobile phones, and it being a bit weird to shop online.
It's already changing society drastically.
Education is what it will change most drastically, IMO. Our daughter came to us aged 15 and said she did not want to waste time going to (bricks and mortar) school anymore. We told her to make the case, she did. Came up with an online, distance learning school, with tutors for each subject at the end of an email or phone call to discuss her work.
No commute, no homework, working at her own speed when she was self-motivated to do so, sleeping in when she needed so she never did schoolwork sleepy. Freed up probably 3-5 hours a day to ride her horses. Happy girl, grades went from B-/C+ average to straight As
From the teacher's perspective, also more efficient. She/he only got involved when the daughter had questions, or to mark assigned work. With many of the assignments tested online, even marking time was reduced.
I am now a huge fan of MOOCs (massive open on-line courses) which means you can get free Bachelor's level university courses and work them at your own speed. Why anyone would pay to go to university is beyond me (as his daughter is about to start her final year at the US' most expensive private university )
My mate runs Massolit. Might be worth a look?
Not free, but also not expensive. And very good quality.
Shame it seems to lack science completely. Or have I missed something.
It is arts only - Apols, I forgot to mention that!
Anyone got any idea about the lump sum value of our healthcare costs?
That's harder! There's also the social-care costs to be considered as well, although of course lots of people aren't entitled to full or indeed any state help with that.
Going to see if I can calculate the internal rate of return on my pension pot this evening...
Glad to see I'm not the only one living the rock and roll life.
Why do I get the feeling there's something big going to (figuratively) blow up in the face of either or both Clinton or Trump before the election?
They've both got way too many skeletons and are campaigning far too negatively, for something not to come out that makes one or other of them completely unfit for office in the eyes of the public.
Julian Assanage really seems to be gunning for Clinton.
Yes, and I think he's saving things up too - one revelation a week for October, with each more serious than the last?
I get the feeling there's something in the Foundation from when she was SoS that will look like a huge pile of personal cash in exchange for a policy, from someone foreign and powerful.
It's really difficult to read what's going on in the US right now, I've got a total of a tenner on Trump at about 5/1 from half way through the primaries, which I think represents value. But then again he could go down to a landslide, or could win a landslide if he gets the DNVs out. I haven't a bloody clue!!
There is already stuff in the public that looks at best shall we say ill advised and worst exactly that. One problem is the whole thing is very complex and not easy to sum up in a simple soundbite....which appears to be what is required.
Also, even Fox don't want Trump, so who is going run with anything...and as you say it isn't exactly hard to find dodgy things about Trumps past.
Vote Trump in and impeach him within 3 months. The obvious solution.
Would enough Senate Republicans vote to impeach him though?
If the sitting President is impeached and kicked out, what is the process to determine his replacement?
I think the Senate GOP is more anti-Trump than the House GOP
Anyone got any idea about the lump sum value of our healthcare costs?
That's harder! There's also the social-care costs to be considered as well, although of course lots of people aren't entitled to full or indeed any state help with that.
Going to see if I can calculate the internal rate of return on my pension pot this evening...
I have access to a supercomputer cluster if you need it...
For the super computer will be a light relief from trying to figure out the Points Race in the Olympic Omnium Race.
Mr. Urquhart, I believe if you get a 100 place penalty, Barack Obama makes a live broadcast telling you to get to the back of the queue.
A 100 place penalty - will that become known as a Hamilton?
But Hamilton is on the $10 bill. So presumably, Hamilton is on a triple-Hamilton (or given that 1+1+1= a Nelson) a Nelson Hamilton, otherwise know as a Lady Nelson. Or should it be a Lady Hamilton?
I knew that Lewis was trying to make a name for himself in the States, but never thought that a play about him would be sold out for a year on Broadway.
Anyone got any idea about the lump sum value of our healthcare costs?
That's harder! There's also the social-care costs to be considered as well, although of course lots of people aren't entitled to full or indeed any state help with that.
Yes I didn't want to throw the social care provision into the mix for that reason!
I also wonder, though this would be even harder to get hold of, to what extent the bill varies between demographic groups. Richer folk tend to live quite a lot longer so do even better on the state pension (but not in fact by much because of how discounting works) but I imagine their worst periods of health and hence demand for medical care tend to be postponed, so in that sense may be cheaper. (On the other hand if they have a longer period of being old perhaps it is really a bigger bill spread over a longer period of time, but my impression was that the period of serious illness/infirmity at the tail end of life is probably not dissimilar between demographics, just strikes later/earlier.)
Mr. Urquhart, I believe if you get a 100 place penalty, Barack Obama makes a live broadcast telling you to get to the back of the queue.
A 100 place penalty - will that become known as a Hamilton?
But Hamilton is on the $10 bill. So presumably, Hamilton is on a triple-Hamilton (or given that 1+1+1= a Nelson) a Nelson Hamilton, otherwise know as a Lady Nelson. Or should it be a Lady Hamilton?
I knew that Lewis was trying to make a name for himself in the States, but never thought that a play about him would be sold out for a year on Broadway.
Indeed, who'd have thunk a rapping musical about a long-dead politician would be a hit?
As someone who works in the field of accident prevention, I do sincerely believe in accountability and that, in extremis, incompetence can become criminal negligence. But criminalization of errors or incompetence worries me a lot:
I am eager to find more details of this case - with an open mind. She may or may not deserve this sentence.
However, there have been egregious examples of criminalization of medical errors in both the US and New Zealand that have had a terrible impact on healthcare delivery. I hope the same is not beginning to happen in the UK.
Mr. Nabavi, old stats (a while since I was at university) but the US has very high levels of psych disorders (four times the rate of psychopathology as the UK, for example).
Some attribute that to the more individualistic nature of society, even compared to the rest of the West.
Are you sure that's not a measure of the number of practising psychiatrists, though?
There may be an element of that.
There are some thoughtful posts on ADHD by this retired Child Psychiatrist on his blog on that very subject.
I think that modern life does exacerbate ADHD, which like many mental health diagnoses are on a spectrum from mild to incapacitating. The hyper stimulation of computer games is not good for my nephew. The contemplative patience building tasks of gardening and modelmaking are good for him, but he does need pills at times too.
I don't think that he will ever find it easy to concentrate, but with practice he gets better, and better adapted to the world. He can be a charming boy as well as an exasperating one.
The utility of such diagnoses is in the path to treatment, and often behavioural therapy is the best way. Sometimes it is used as an excuse so: "Tommy is no good at that, he has ADHD" rather than "Tommy has to work harder at that than most boys because of his ADHD".
Mr. Urquhart, I believe if you get a 100 place penalty, Barack Obama makes a live broadcast telling you to get to the back of the queue.
A 100 place penalty - will that become known as a Hamilton?
But Hamilton is on the $10 bill. So presumably, Hamilton is on a triple-Hamilton (or given that 1+1+1= a Nelson) a Nelson Hamilton, otherwise know as a Lady Nelson. Or should it be a Lady Hamilton?
I knew that Lewis was trying to make a name for himself in the States, but never thought that a play about him would be sold out for a year on Broadway.
Indeed, who'd have thunk a rapping musical about a long-dead politician would be a hit?
If I ever here any part of Hamilton the musical again I will scream. My 14 year old twins seem to spend their entire life playing either Hamilton or far more obscure American musicals...
I dread to think how much I will spend getting tickets for the musical when it starts in London...
Mr. T, speaking of accident prevention, I heard somewhere that Roman architects, who built bridges, had to stand beneath them as the scaffolding was taken down, to ensure the architect was confident they'd stay up.
And yet the very premise of this piece, and the concern many have with the FTPA, is that people have the temptation. Just the possibility of it causes disruption, recriminations at lost opportunities (if we had no FTPA and May did not got for a snap election now then, somehow, lost the next election, you can bet there'd be complaints).
The negative of binding a future parliament (except it is not really bound, since repeal will always be possible, it will just be politically more costly to try) would seem to me to be less than the positive of eliminating the possibility of partisan based scheduling of elections, whether they are likely or not.
Yet the governing party can still call an election. It simply has to pass a vote of no confidence in itself, and as no other government can be formed, and election must be called.
I'm also somewhat opposed to legislation that require more than a simple majority of Parliament to get things done. The two thirds majority stinks.
It's not perfect. But having to pass a no confidence motion against itself is a much tougher proposition (because it sounds stupid) than a government just deciding it wants an election now thank you very much. And making it tougher to call an election whenever you want, which would be for political purposes, is on balance a good thing.
I thought that a motion of 'This House has no confidence in her majesty's government' had to be put by an opposition party or at least by members who no longer take the government whip.
Would the speaker really allow the government to put down a motion that they have no confidence in themselves just as a convenience to gain themselves an advantage?
I know Bercow used to be a Tory but if he cares about the integrity of the House of Commons, he should ban such a contrived move unless it has the support of one of the larger opposition parties, or enough other MPs to outweigh the government majority which of course at the present time it doesn't.
There is very scant evidence to support a Conservative lead of 11%. If anything all the recent ACTUAL polling date suggests they are falling back. But anyway no government is going to call for two votes of no confidence in itself and expect the media and public to keep a straight face.
Aside, of course, from all the actual polls. So, on one side, we've got YouGov, Mori, ICM, TNS all pointing to ~double-digit polling leads for the Tories. And "Best PM", confidence in Leader, economic credibility questions all compatible with, if anything, larger leads.
On the other, we have - sorry, you'll have to help me out. What was your "ACTUAL polling data"?
The main problem with the polls is their tendency to over state Labour vote share. Factor that in and 15 point leads will become the base line.
And yet the very premise of this piece, and the concern many have with the FTPA, is that people have the temptation. Just the possibility of it causes disruption, recriminations at lost opportunities (if we had no FTPA and May did not got for a snap election now then, somehow, lost the next election, you can bet there'd be complaints).
The negative of binding a future parliament (except it is not really bound, since repeal will always be possible, it will just be politically more costly to try) would seem to me to be less than the positive of eliminating the possibility of partisan based scheduling of elections, whether they are likely or not.
Yet the governing party can still call an election. It simply has to pass a vote of no confidence in itself, and as no other government can be formed, and election must be called.
I'm also somewhat opposed to legislation that require more than a simple majority of Parliament to get things done. The two thirds majority stinks.
It's not perfect. But having to pass a no confidence motion against itself is a much tougher proposition (because it sounds stupid) than a government just deciding it wants an election now thank you very much. And making it tougher to call an election whenever you want, which would be for political purposes, is on balance a good thing.
I thought that a motion of 'This House has no confidence in her majesty's government' had to be put by an opposition party or at least by members who no longer take the government whip.
Would the speaker really allow the government to put down a motion that they have no confidence in themselves just as a convenience to gain themselves an advantage?
I know Bercow used to be a Tory but if he cares about the integrity of the House of Commons, he should ban such a contrived move unless it has the support of one of the larger opposition parties, or enough other MPs to outweigh the government majority which of course at the present time it doesn't.
Surely a backbench MP of any party can legitimately put down the motion. Parliament as a whole is supposed to hold the government to account, not just opposition MPs.
As someone who works in the field of accident prevention, I do sincerely believe in accountability and that, in extremis, incompetence can become criminal negligence. But criminalization of errors or incompetence worries me a lot:
I am eager to find more details of this case - with an open mind. She may or may not deserve this sentence.
However, there have been egregious examples of criminalization of medical errors in both the US and New Zealand that have had a terrible impact on healthcare delivery. I hope the same is not beginning to happen in the UK.
Bizarre. I just don't get at what point the CPS became involved...?
Why do I get the feeling there's something big going to (figuratively) blow up in the face of either or both Clinton or Trump before the election?
They've both got way too many skeletons and are campaigning far too negatively, for something not to come out that makes one or other of them completely unfit for office in the eyes of the public.
Julian Assanage really seems to be gunning for Clinton.
Yes, and I think he's saving things up too - one revelation a week for October, with each more serious than the last?
I get the feeling there's something in the Foundation from when she was SoS that will look like a huge pile of personal cash in exchange for a policy, from someone foreign and powerful.
It's really difficult to read what's going on in the US right now, I've got a total of a tenner on Trump at about 5/1 from half way through the primaries, which I think represents value. But then again he could go down to a landslide, or could win a landslide if he gets the DNVs out. I haven't a bloody clue!!
There is already stuff in the public that looks at best shall we say ill advised and worst exactly that. One problem is the whole thing is very complex and not easy to sum up in a simple soundbite....which appears to be what is required.
Also, even Fox don't want Trump, so who is going run with anything...and as you say it isn't exactly hard to find dodgy things about Trumps past.
Vote Trump in and impeach him within 3 months. The obvious solution.
Would enough Senate Republicans vote to impeach him though?
If the sitting President is impeached and kicked out, what is the process to determine his replacement?
Simple - the Vice President becomes President, until at least the next election.
As someone who works in the field of accident prevention, I do sincerely believe in accountability and that, in extremis, incompetence can become criminal negligence. But criminalization of errors or incompetence worries me a lot:
I am eager to find more details of this case - with an open mind. She may or may not deserve this sentence.
However, there have been egregious examples of criminalization of medical errors in both the US and New Zealand that have had a terrible impact on healthcare delivery. I hope the same is not beginning to happen in the UK.
Bizarre. I just don't get at what point the CPS became involved...?
I always thought OCS was "Office cleaning services", but I suppose I am outdated, and they have diversified, or maybe I am totally wrong. Anyway not sure this story is finished yet.
As someone who works in the field of accident prevention, I do sincerely believe in accountability and that, in extremis, incompetence can become criminal negligence. But criminalization of errors or incompetence worries me a lot:
I am eager to find more details of this case - with an open mind. She may or may not deserve this sentence.
However, there have been egregious examples of criminalization of medical errors in both the US and New Zealand that have had a terrible impact on healthcare delivery. I hope the same is not beginning to happen in the UK.
Bizarre. I just don't get at what point the CPS became involved...?
From reading the case, the optician made several mistakes on top of missing the sign of brain disease. Photos were taken at the visit and were not looked at, or if looked at were not correctly interpreted. This was the evidence that the condition existed at the time of the initial examination. There was also evidence of falsifying records to try to cover up.
I have just seen the Labour debate in Scotland. Whatever else happens then Kezia Dugdale cannot continue as Labour leader. When her name was mentioned the audience LAUGHED ie a Labour audience laughs at the mention of their leader. Whatever trouble Corbyn is in Dugdale is n much deeper.
Mr. T, speaking of accident prevention, I heard somewhere that Roman architects, who built bridges, had to stand beneath them as the scaffolding was taken down, to ensure the architect was confident they'd stay up.
:0 Whem Aya Sofia was completed, it was taken as an act of faith to enter the building in order to pray.
I have just seen the Labour debate in Scotland. Whatever else happens then Kezia Dugdale cannot continue as Labour leader. When her name was mentioned the audience LAUGHED ie a Labour audience laughs at the mention of their leader. Whatever trouble Corbyn is in Dugdale is n much deeper.
I have just seen the Labour debate in Scotland. Whatever else happens then Kezia Dugdale cannot continue as Labour leader. When her name was mentioned the audience LAUGHED ie a Labour audience laughs at the mention of their leader. Whatever trouble Corbyn is in Dugdale is n much deeper.
Isn't that just because she backs Smith?
She also managed to lead Labour into 3rd place in the Scottish Parliament.
As someone who works in the field of accident prevention, I do sincerely believe in accountability and that, in extremis, incompetence can become criminal negligence. But criminalization of errors or incompetence worries me a lot:
I am eager to find more details of this case - with an open mind. She may or may not deserve this sentence.
However, there have been egregious examples of criminalization of medical errors in both the US and New Zealand that have had a terrible impact on healthcare delivery. I hope the same is not beginning to happen in the UK.
Bizarre. I just don't get at what point the CPS became involved...?
From reading the case, the optician made several mistakes on top of missing the sign of brain disease. Photos were taken at the visit and were not looked at, or if looked at were not correctly interpreted. This was the evidence that the condition existed at the time of the initial examination. There was also evidence of falsifying records to try to cover up.
Falsification of records is clear indication of criminality - that's why it's important to get all the details of the case. But even a series of egregious errors is not, per se, criminal. It is more usually an indication of more systemic problems.
Comments
Unfortunately it turned out to be fake but it spawned some other fun spoof gadgets being advertised afterwards. This Dildo Hoverboard advert is brilliant and seriously NSFW ... or most home environments too.
Anyway, I ran into him by chance a couple of years ago. He was still living a pretty chaotic life, but he had been retroactively diagnosed with ADHD. Looking back, it makes a lot of sense. Hopefully kids like him (and their parents) get more help and understanding nowadays than he did.
The Republicans could have easily beat her with the right candidate. Unfortunately they picked Trump and will likely lead to Clinton,the ultimate crony capitalist, winning the race.
I get the feeling there's something in the Foundation from when she was SoS that will look like a huge pile of personal cash in exchange for a policy, from someone foreign and powerful.
It's really difficult to read what's going on in the US right now, I've got a total of a tenner on Trump at about 5/1 from half way through the primaries, which I think represents value. But then again he could go down to a landslide, or could win a landslide if he gets the DNVs out. I haven't a bloody clue!!
http://www.cbc.ca/news2/interactives/uspolltracker/
With his re-election as Labour leader a certainty, Jeremy Corbyn has admitted he is only performing hopelessly to annoy rival Owen Smith.
"I’m going to address tonight’s rally in Dundee facing the wrong way, spend a televised hustings failing to understand that my microphone’s broken, and when the entire Tory cabinet resigns in September I will be sorting out old folk records in the attic for three days.
What kind of appalling political suicide case would do something like that? A political suicide case who’s going to beat Owen Smith by ten clear percentage points, that’s who"
http://www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/politics-headlines/corbyn-incompetence-just-to-wind-up-owen-smith-20160826112990
Also, even Fox don't want Trump, so who is going run with anything...and as you say it isn't exactly hard to find dodgy things about Trumps past.
One of the more amusing effects of the recent changes is that my Mum will be getting her pension after my Dad (In absolute age terms) Feb 54 vs July 51 - they must be one of the closest age gap couples and first lot this has happened to
Wikileaks
Video: Assange kitten fitted out with infra-red camera trains for spy bug hunting inside the Ecuadorian embassy https://t.co/ybmN3N0EiE
It will be interesting to see how the media react though, as you say even Fox aren't huge Trump fans and most are now starting to get upset with Hillary hiding away and hoping to say nothing between now and the election.
It turns out they're idiots.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/aug/26/labour-security-deal-to-rescue-party-conference-ocs-group
LABOUR CONFERENCE IS HAPPENING! https://t.co/A2rXrSMgwA
OCS?!?
But one problem the party does not have right now is funds. Thanks Jeremy!
Five men have been arrested in Birmingham and Stoke-on-Trent by West Midlands Police on suspicion of terrorism offences.
It may be over diagnosed, and not always treated appropriately, just like dyslexia, dyspraxia and aspergers, and all of these can be used as excuses rather than pathways to appropriate treatment.
They're going to have to start shouting "This is terrorism" to get that coverage now.
Anyone got any idea about the lump sum value of our healthcare costs?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/formula-1/2016/08/26/lewis-hamilton-could-face-75-place-penalty-at-belgian-gp-but-for/
How can he be put back 75 places? There aren't that many racers...
...
Oh and mentally ill, sad loners - who kept themselves to themselves. And not religious at all. Ate bacon, ogled at girls and drank like fish.
Is that all the bases covered?
If the sitting President is impeached and kicked out, what is the process to determine his replacement?
are we starting to actually save enough?
Time for another boycott, I reckon
So, on one side, we've got YouGov, Mori, ICM, TNS all pointing to ~double-digit polling leads for the Tories. And "Best PM", confidence in Leader, economic credibility questions all compatible with, if anything, larger leads.
On the other, we have - sorry, you'll have to help me out. What was your "ACTUAL polling data"?
I also wonder, though this would be even harder to get hold of, to what extent the bill varies between demographic groups. Richer folk tend to live quite a lot longer so do even better on the state pension (but not in fact by much because of how discounting works) but I imagine their worst periods of health and hence demand for medical care tend to be postponed, so in that sense may be cheaper. (On the other hand if they have a longer period of being old perhaps it is really a bigger bill spread over a longer period of time, but my impression was that the period of serious illness/infirmity at the tail end of life is probably not dissimilar between demographics, just strikes later/earlier.)
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-suffolk-37194947
I am eager to find more details of this case - with an open mind. She may or may not deserve this sentence.
However, there have been egregious examples of criminalization of medical errors in both the US and New Zealand that have had a terrible impact on healthcare delivery. I hope the same is not beginning to happen in the UK.
There are some thoughtful posts on ADHD by this retired Child Psychiatrist on his blog on that very subject.
http://cockroachcatcher.blogspot.co.uk/search/label/ADHD?m=0
I think that modern life does exacerbate ADHD, which like many mental health diagnoses are on a spectrum from mild to incapacitating. The hyper stimulation of computer games is not good for my nephew. The contemplative patience building tasks of gardening and modelmaking are good for him, but he does need pills at times too.
I don't think that he will ever find it easy to concentrate, but with practice he gets better, and better adapted to the world. He can be a charming boy as well as an exasperating one.
The utility of such diagnoses is in the path to treatment, and often behavioural therapy is the best way. Sometimes it is used as an excuse so: "Tommy is no good at that, he has ADHD" rather than "Tommy has to work harder at that than most boys because of his ADHD".
I dread to think how much I will spend getting tickets for the musical when it starts in London...
Greens' Caroline Lucas proposes Labour election pact
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-37188899
Would the speaker really allow the government to put down a motion that they have no confidence in themselves just as a convenience to gain themselves an advantage?
I know Bercow used to be a Tory but if he cares about the integrity of the House of Commons, he should ban such a contrived move unless it has the support of one of the larger opposition parties, or enough other MPs to outweigh the government majority which of course at the present time it doesn't.
Presumably you meant to write that anyone 'would be mad to trust Labour'
Anyway not sure this story is finished yet.
ISIS video shows children of foreign fighters executing 5 Kurdish captives in #Raqqa - @jenanmoussa
https://t.co/7b5NRsdJg3
MORE: One of the child executioners is a child of a British foreign fighter - @jenanmoussa
https://t.co/BbZrOKWWlB
Anyway, I'm off for the evening.
Qualifying tomorrow. Huzzah!
It is amazing she has lasted so long.