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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cyclefree on the perils of hubris

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  • Yarrrrkshire lads just out on a run on the Yorkshire moors....

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IR9Zdgv2Kag
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    edited August 2016

    Yarrrrkshire lads just out on a run on the Yorkshire moors....

    When they get those crappy little momentoes on the podium, it will be Ilkley Moor wi' tat....
  • Johnny has blown up....
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,075
    Mr. Betting, Blair's so toxic it may have made the British like the EU even less.

    Mr. Urquhart, I often mute commentators. Cracknell's constantly wrong predictions halfway through rowing events were not impressive.

    Miss Plato, that's just daft. But then, so's Eastenders. Still, it's nice that there's a TV programme to watch that can depress the irritatingly chirpy back to normality.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,257
    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Sean_F said:

    FPT: Mr. F, never read anything by Plato (the elder chap, not our own Miss Plato). I think his policy of executing atheists is not an endearing one.

    Plato's Republic would not have been a very nice place to live in. It was like a more hardline version of Sparta.
    Indeed - and Sparta wasn't anyone's idea of a picnic. I was always very curious about a well known 70s brand of chocolate box named after them. They were horrible - all hard centres, but stuck around for yrs. The sort of gift to make your heart sink.

    http://www.yorkmix.com/food-drink/16-pictures-of-wonderful-old-terrys-chocolate-boxes-do-you-remember-any-of-them/
    I enjoy reading about Sparta, but very much doubt that I would have enjoyed living there. The upbringing of Spartan youths sounds very much like going to Shrewsbury School in the 1970's (lots of flogging, compulsory homosexuality, lots of sports, an absence of intellectual pursuits).



    When I look back on it, there were so many things wrong with my time at boarding school: the ex-RAF WWII headmaster using the cane right up until the day it was banned in private schools, in 1990, the early morning cold showers, dormitory wide group punishments for certain misdemeanours, referring to each other by surname only (we were nine years old), the insufficient and bad food, the placing of sporting process above academic excellence, the belief that girls were a malign influence, encouraging the settling of disputes by confrontation rather than diffusing situations and reason, and the overarching belief that all of the above was 'character building'.

    I'm glad those days are gone.
    My friend who was at Shrewsbury in the 1970s makes it sound like Belsen.
    When you're nine years old and comparing it to home with mum & dad, it may as well be for all you know.

    Thankfully, I managed to side-step the homosexuality (such as it was - I didn't encounter much, more totally macho and unrealistic ideas about girls, a bit like the inbetweeners, but even more naive, and actually not a whole world away from the deeply flawed perceptions of young male economic migrants who have moved here from deeply conservative countries - except with English shyness and reserve, and absolutely no assault or funny business. Most common reaction to a girl was staring, crippling shyness, or hiding)
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    PlatoSaid said:

    Sean_F said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Sean_F said:

    FPT: Mr. F, never read anything by Plato (the elder chap, not our own Miss Plato). I think his policy of executing atheists is not an endearing one.

    Plato's Republic would not have been a very nice place to live in. It was like a more hardline version of Sparta.
    Indeed - and Sparta wasn't anyone's idea of a picnic. I was always very curious about a well known 70s brand of chocolate box named after them. They were horrible - all hard centres, but stuck around for yrs. The sort of gift to make your heart sink.

    http://www.yorkmix.com/food-drink/16-pictures-of-wonderful-old-terrys-chocolate-boxes-do-you-remember-any-of-them/
    I enjoy reading about Sparta, but very much doubt that I would have enjoyed living there. The upbringing of Spartan youths sounds very much like going to Shrewsbury School in the 1970's (lots of flogging, compulsory homosexuality, lots of sports, an absence of intellectual pursuits).



    Great website of old choc boxes. I vaguely remember the Bridge mints.
    I kept all those ones with tassles and drawers. Wonderful packaging. I'd forgotten all about them.
    I may taken a wrong mental turn here - linking Plato with her tassels and drawers.....
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Yarrrrkshire lads just out on a run on the Yorkshire moors....

    When they get those crappy little momentoes on the podium, it will be Ilkley Moor wi' tat....
    The best Olympic mementoes have to be the laurel crowns in Athens - they were brilliant.

    http://cache1.asset-cache.net/gc/51181978-athens-greece-ilias-iliadis-of-greece-stands-gettyimages.jpg?v=1&c=IWSAsset&k=2&d=GnU2e2DYlZfHf4ZNO/IgTMK5VNmwjutD50/DKsS1X7bt+f+3KY6+QOgHX32/J8mS
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    Cyclefree said:

    I don't think Theresa May is the kind of person who is likely to succumb to hubris, nor can she and her ministers be in any doubt as to the massive challenges they face. Admittedly Labour seem almost completely irrelevant to the political debate at the moment, but that's a different point.

    She - personally - may not be. But the three Brexit Ministers are, I think, inclined to this. And the minute they start making decisions and the rest of the EU doesn't play ball then what? Without an opposition to keep the Tories on their toes there is a risk that they will assume that they can get away with pretty much anything and that, when push comes to shove, the voters will look at Labour and go "no, thank you".

    More likely than not, I grant you. But were I PM I wouldn't plan my strategy on that basis.

    Politicians of all parties have underestimated the public for too long now. The referendum should have woken them up. Lots of people - and not just the Northern WWC - are dissatisfied with what has been a pretty piss poor political class for some time now and with an economy which looks a bit too much like Richistan in the South East and Mostly-Standing-Still everywhere else. I'm not at all sure the political parties have really got this.
    That is a very big post, Mrs. Free, (glad to see you fully recovered from your night on the tiles, by the way), with some whacking big assumptions.

    The three "Brexit ministers" will not, I think, be taking big decisions. They will be bringing option papers to cabinet. TM, as first among equals, will be endorsing any decisions subsequently made. I think, I hope, I pray, that TM will restore cabinet government to the UK and the powers of individual ministers (including the PM) to go off on their own will, for the first time since at least 1997, be eliminated, or at any rate very, much reduced.

    Your third paragraph I agree with (which is, I am sure, a relief to you). The problem of the disengagement of many, many people (and not just the WWC in the North) from the political process is very real. There is going to be a need to rebalance, and that will hit the asset-holders the hardest (which is why Osborne probably shied away from actually doing it), but some party is going to have to sooner or later.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    So much for the idea of brotherly love and crossing the finishing line arm-in-arm - to register identical times and both get gold medals.....!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited August 2016

    So much for the idea of brotherly love and crossing the finishing line arm-in-arm - to register identical times and both get gold medals.....!

    I don't think he could risk it with the South African not being that far behind.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    So much for the idea of brotherly love and crossing the finishing line arm-in-arm - to register identical times and both get gold medals.....!

    I wonder how Iron Man competitors would do against this field?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited August 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    So much for the idea of brotherly love and crossing the finishing line arm-in-arm - to register identical times and both get gold medals.....!

    I wonder how Iron Man competitors would do against this field?
    These days, not very well...its a bit like asking how a marathon runner would do against a 1500m runner.

    To give you an idea of how fast Brownlee's are, they will do 10km in ~30mins, after all the swimming and bike riding first. WR 10km on the track is only 26 mins.
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976

    So much for the idea of brotherly love and crossing the finishing line arm-in-arm - to register identical times and both get gold medals.....!

    http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/olympics/rio-2016-german-twins-who-cross-marathon-finish-line-holding-hands-spark-outrage-a7196211.html
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''So much for the idea of brotherly love and crossing the finishing line arm-in-arm - to register identical times and both get gold medals.....!''

    Fast forward 10 years. Elder brother who twice beat younger brother to olympic gold glory disappears mysteriously. Plot of SeanT thriller.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    PlatoSaid said:

    So much for the idea of brotherly love and crossing the finishing line arm-in-arm - to register identical times and both get gold medals.....!

    I wonder how Iron Man competitors would do against this field?
    These days, not very well...its a bit like asking how a marathon runner would do against a 1500m runner.
    Lots of Union Jacks along the track :smiley: Way more than every other nation put together. Be fascinating to know how many Brits travelled to Rio.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    Decent crowd along the beach for the Triathlon, quite a few British flags around :)

    Two more medals about to be added to the GB total courtesy of the Brownlee brothers, and they're going to be gold and silver!
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited August 2016
    Sandpit said:

    Decent crowd along the beach for the Triathlon, quite a few British flags around :)

    Two more medals about to be added to the GB total courtesy of the Brownlee brothers, and they're going to be gold and silver!

    The team tops are weird - a trifle mankini with that plunging back! And he strolled over the line!
  • Yorkshire!

    Yorkshire!
  • PlatoSaid said:

    Sandpit said:

    Decent crowd along the beach for the Triathlon, quite a few British flags around :)

    Two more medals about to be added to the GB total courtesy of the Brownlee brothers, and they're going to be gold and silver!

    The team tops are weird - a trifle mankini with that plunging back!
    It just because they have unzipped. They wear the same thing for swim, bike and run. Now just trying to get ventilation.
  • Yorkshire!

    Yorkshire!

    Even Tyson will be cheering this one....I think....
  • Glad they've got the most important flag. A white rose rampant on blue
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    PlatoSaid said:

    Sandpit said:

    Decent crowd along the beach for the Triathlon, quite a few British flags around :)

    Two more medals about to be added to the GB total courtesy of the Brownlee brothers, and they're going to be gold and silver!

    The team tops are weird - a trifle mankini with that plunging back!
    It just because they have unzipped. They wear the same thing for swim, bike and run. Now just trying to get ventilation.
    Wiggins unzipped to the waist was so 70s :smiley:
  • Stop showboating and get over ta line...
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270

    So much for the idea of brotherly love and crossing the finishing line arm-in-arm - to register identical times and both get gold medals.....!

    http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/olympics/rio-2016-german-twins-who-cross-marathon-finish-line-holding-hands-spark-outrage-a7196211.html
    Finishing 81st and 82nd doesn't exactly trouble the podium....!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    PlatoSaid said:

    Sandpit said:

    Decent crowd along the beach for the Triathlon, quite a few British flags around :)

    Two more medals about to be added to the GB total courtesy of the Brownlee brothers, and they're going to be gold and silver!

    The team tops are weird - a trifle mankini with that plunging back! And he strolled over the line!
    They designed for all three disciplines, so they don't need to change. The zip at the back undoes after the swim for ventilation.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Quite amazing scenes. Quite amazing TV. Quite amazing British athletes.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited August 2016
    While this has been going on....

    GB's Ellis and Langridge beat China to win badminton medal

    Beating the Asians at long handled wiff waff doesn't happen that often.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    While this has been going on....

    GB's Ellis and Langridge beat China to win badminton medal

    Beating the Asians at long handled wiff waff doesn't happen that often.

    Was that the silver? Just looking at bump in medal table.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited August 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    While this has been going on....

    GB's Ellis and Langridge beat China to win badminton medal

    Beating the Asians at long handled wiff waff doesn't happen that often.

    Was that the silver? Just looking at bump in medal table.
    No bronze. Silver was the two man kayaking spirit.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Glad they've got the most important flag. A white rose rampant on blue

    Indeed .... The Jacobite emblems .... :smile:
  • Cost of that dishwasher was money well spent....
  • You know my 100/1 tip on Richard Burgon as next Labour leader (now at 33/1), here's a tweet one his colleagues has liked today


    https://twitter.com/TSEofPB/status/766301786500202496
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Are they going to hold SPOTY over two nights this year? Or maybe series?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,985
    Great success there for Northern Derbyshire. ;)
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    edited August 2016

    Cost of that dishwasher was money well spent....

    LOL. Another great story about how our teams are bloody brilliant at preparing stuff. That they managed to book the only other 50m swimming pool in Brazil for their final training was another. Go Team GB! :D
  • taffys said:

    Are they going to hold SPOTY over two nights this year? Or maybe series?

    I think we need a week long one.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    PlatoSaid said:

    @Richard_Nabavi - perhaps a review of your immigration paper would be interesting given what's happened since?

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/11/06/the-future-of-scottish-lab-and-holyrood-2016-this-weeks-pbpolling-matters-podcast/

    Incidentally, our local Conservative branch is having a policy discussion next week on Refugees, Asylum and Immigration. I've been given the hot potato of preparing the briefing paper and chairing the discussion. I hope to get out alive, but if I suddenly stop posting you'll know why!

    A fascinating thread from November last year.

    And so many banned subsequently!

    The policy discussion was rather good and quite nuanced. We certainly covered some of the points which were important in the referendum. From my summary of the evening (which I think was sent on to ministers):

    There was considerable discussion about the reliability of migration statistics and the difficulty of estimating illegal immigration.
    ...
    On EU/EEA migration, the group very much supported the government’s efforts to reform the benefits system so as to reduce the ‘pull’ factor encouraging large numbers of EU citizens to come here. In particular, the payment of Housing Benefit, and of Child Benefit /Child Tax Credits in respect of children not living in the UK, were of particular concern.

    At the same time, the group felt that, in numeric terms, reform of the benefits system would have only a limited effect on the scale of EU immigration, given the appeal of the UK as a destination because of its buoyant jobs market, and the fact that English is such a universal language. The recent announcement of the increased ‘living wage’ would tend to make the UK more attractive.
    ...
    As regards the forthcoming EU referendum, the group agreed that immigration would be a major factor in motivating people to vote to leave the EU. However, as the government has argued, the so-called ‘Norway’ option of staying in the EEA would not offer any significant advantage as regards immigration.
    ...
    Overall, the group felt that the biggest concern was a sense that migration had got out of control.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited August 2016
    Sandpit said:

    Cost of that dishwasher was money well spent....

    LOL. Another great story about how our teams are bloody brilliant at preparing stuff. That they managed to book the only other 50m swimming pool in Brazil for their final training was another. Go Team GB! :D
    They said that they had somebody wipe down everything, door handles, surfaces etc, with anti-bacterial products, food was carefully prepared by one dedicated indivudal, etc all to try to ensure they didn't pick up any illness.

    They said the girls though weren't taking the same approach. The leading British women was with them, but another is coming out late from Yorkshire and the 3rd from Portugal.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,423
    Very insightful article, Cyclefree. I agree with every criticism you make about the Remain campaign. As a historical analysis it is very interesting. However, the corollaries you note for Leave are far more important, simply because Leave won. And I have to say no-one, neither the Leave campaign, nor the new government that will implement Brexit, has addressed them. Not one tiny little bit.

    The problem is that it may not just be a communication issue - ie that the answers are there but they haven't communicated those answers in a way that the public can understand. It may well be that there are no satsifactory answers and Brexit was committed to on a set of contradictory and in some cases false assumptions.

    I believe this to be the case. So where do we go from here? You can't just say, it's a huge mess, let's forget it. On the other hand it doesn't help to pretend it isn't a mess at all and let's not talk about it.

    In the circumstances the least bad solution will be a fudge. I don't mean carrying on as now and sticking a Brexit label on it. I mean there has to be something that looks like a proper solution and which involves an apparent separation, while hanging onto as much as possible of the status quo. A fudge, which will only work if it doesn't look like one.

    Brexit will be one massive spin fest. That isn't the honesty you are looking for.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    taffys said:

    Are they going to hold SPOTY over two nights this year? Or maybe series?

    Make it like one of those reality shows, put it on every Saturday night between September and Christmas, mainly so we can all watch endless replays of the past fortnight!
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    This Olympics is brilliant

    Triathlon Triumph - Alistair Brownlee 1st, Jonathan Brownlee 2nd in the Mens Triathlon @ 5/1 (Win)
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,503

    Cyclefree said:

    I don't think Theresa May is the kind of person who is likely to succumb to hubris, nor can she and her ministers be in any doubt as to the massive challenges they face. Admittedly Labour seem almost completely irrelevant to the political debate at the moment, but that's a different point.

    She - personally - may not be. But the three Brexit Ministers are, I think, inclined to this. And the minute they start making decisions and the rest of the EU doesn't play ball then what? Without an opposition to keep the Tories on their toes there is a risk that they will assume that they can get away with pretty much anything and that, when push comes to shove, the voters will look at Labour and go "no, thank you".

    More likely than not, I grant you. But were I PM I wouldn't plan my strategy on that basis.

    Politicians of all parties have underestimated the public for too long now. The referendum should have woken them up. Lots of people - and not just the Northern WWC - are dissatisfied with what has been a pretty piss poor political class for some time now and with an economy which looks a bit too much like Richistan in the South East and Mostly-Standing-Still everywhere else. I'm not at all sure the political parties have really got this.
    That is a very big post, Mrs. Free, (glad to see you fully recovered from your night on the tiles, by the way), with some whacking big assumptions.

    The three "Brexit ministers" will not, I think, be taking big decisions. They will be bringing option papers to cabinet. TM, as first among equals, will be endorsing any decisions subsequently made. I think, I hope, I pray, that TM will restore cabinet government to the UK and the powers of individual ministers (including the PM) to go off on their own will, for the first time since at least 1997, be eliminated, or at any rate very, much reduced.

    Your third paragraph I agree with (which is, I am sure, a relief to you). The problem of the disengagement of many, many people (and not just the WWC in the North) from the political process is very real. There is going to be a need to rebalance, and that will hit the asset-holders the hardest (which is why Osborne probably shied away from actually doing it), but some party is going to have to sooner or later.
    I should have been clearer: when Mrs May and the government start making decisions, they will likely become less popular.

    At any event I think politicians should stop taking the voters for granted. We can see the harm it has done to Labour. And what that is doing to our system of Parliamentary democracy. There needs to be a reset.

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591

    Sandpit said:

    Cost of that dishwasher was money well spent....

    LOL. Another great story about how our teams are bloody brilliant at preparing stuff. That they managed to book the only other 50m swimming pool in Brazil for their final training was another. Go Team GB! :D
    They said that they had somebody wipe down everything, door handles, surfaces etc, with anti-bacterial products, food was carefully prepared by one dedicated indivudal, etc all to try to ensure they didn't pick up any illness.

    They said the girls though weren't taking the same approach. The leading British women was with them, but another is coming out late from Yorkshire and the 3rd from Portugal.
    Very good. It only used to be the Americans that did stuff like that, shows how far we've come.

    Most of the US team are I think flying in at the last minute and bringing all their food with them, to avoid any chance of getting ill - except for the basketball allstars of course, who chartered a bloody big boat for a fortnight's partying!
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Nevada - Suffolk

    Clinton 44 .. Trump 42

    http://www.suffolk.edu/news/67217.php#.V7XdBk0rKgA
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    PlatoSaid said:

    @Richard_Nabavi - perhaps a review of your immigration paper would be interesting given what's happened since?

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/11/06/the-future-of-scottish-lab-and-holyrood-2016-this-weeks-pbpolling-matters-podcast/

    Incidentally, our local Conservative branch is having a policy discussion next week on Refugees, Asylum and Immigration. I've been given the hot potato of preparing the briefing paper and chairing the discussion. I hope to get out alive, but if I suddenly stop posting you'll know why!

    A fascinating thread from November last year.

    And so many banned subsequently!

    The policy discussion was rather good and quite nuanced. We certainly covered some of the points which were important in the referendum. From my summary of the evening (which I think was sent on to ministers):

    There was considerable discussion about the reliability of migration statistics and the difficulty of estimating illegal immigration.
    ...
    On EU/EEA migration, the group very much supported the government’s efforts to reform the benefits system so as to reduce the ‘pull’ factor encouraging large numbers of EU citizens to come here. In particular, the payment of Housing Benefit, and of Child Benefit /Child Tax Credits in respect of children not living in the UK, were of particular concern.

    At the same time, the group felt that, in numeric terms, reform of the benefits system would have only a limited effect on the scale of EU immigration, given the appeal of the UK as a destination because of its buoyant jobs market, and the fact that English is such a universal language. The recent announcement of the increased ‘living wage’ would tend to make the UK more attractive.
    ...
    As regards the forthcoming EU referendum, the group agreed that immigration would be a major factor in motivating people to vote to leave the EU. However, as the government has argued, the so-called ‘Norway’ option of staying in the EEA would not offer any significant advantage as regards immigration.
    ...
    Overall, the group felt that the biggest concern was a sense that migration had got out of control.
    The next batch of immigration figures are due next Thursday. Let's see if that sense was correct.
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited August 2016
    What an awesome setting for the Triathlon - Brighton beach is no match for the Copacabana.

    Gold and Silver for the Brownlee Brothers - Awesome.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,503
    John_M said:

    Dromedary said:

    John_M said:

    I make no secret of my admiration for Ms. Cyclefree's written skills <3. Persuasive article, as usual.</p>

    You lounge lizard!

    I am not too old to crush on an intelligent, eloquent woman, it's the 21st century equivalent of courtly love :).
    My knight in shining armour...... :)

  • SandraMSandraM Posts: 206
    Sandpit said:

    taffys said:

    Are they going to hold SPOTY over two nights this year? Or maybe series?

    Make it like one of those reality shows, put it on every Saturday night between September and Christmas, mainly so we can all watch endless replays of the past fortnight!
    We've still got the Paralympics to come.

  • eekeek Posts: 28,797
    John_M said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    @Richard_Nabavi - perhaps a review of your immigration paper would be interesting given what's happened since?

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/11/06/the-future-of-scottish-lab-and-holyrood-2016-this-weeks-pbpolling-matters-podcast/

    Incidentally, our local Conservative branch is having a policy discussion next week on Refugees, Asylum and Immigration. I've been given the hot potato of preparing the briefing paper and chairing the discussion. I hope to get out alive, but if I suddenly stop posting you'll know why!

    A fascinating thread from November last year.

    And so many banned subsequently!

    The policy discussion was rather good and quite nuanced. We certainly covered some of the points which were important in the referendum. From my summary of the evening (which I think was sent on to ministers):

    There was considerable discussion about the reliability of migration statistics and the difficulty of estimating illegal immigration.
    ...
    On EU/EEA migration, the group very much supported the government’s efforts to reform the benefits system so as to reduce the ‘pull’ factor encouraging large numbers of EU citizens to come here. In particular, the payment of Housing Benefit, and of Child Benefit /Child Tax Credits in respect of children not living in the UK, were of particular concern.

    At the same time, the group felt that, in numeric terms, reform of the benefits system would have only a limited effect on the scale of EU immigration, given the appeal of the UK as a destination because of its buoyant jobs market, and the fact that English is such a universal language. The recent announcement of the increased ‘living wage’ would tend to make the UK more attractive.
    ...
    As regards the forthcoming EU referendum, the group agreed that immigration would be a major factor in motivating people to vote to leave the EU. However, as the government has argued, the so-called ‘Norway’ option of staying in the EEA would not offer any significant advantage as regards immigration.
    ...
    Overall, the group felt that the biggest concern was a sense that migration had got out of control.
    The next batch of immigration figures are due next Thursday. Let's see if that sense was correct.
    The perception was that it had. Regardless of what the reality is the perception won it for Leave..
  • Kyrgyzstan weightlifter Izzat Artykov has become the first Rio medallist to test positive for a banned substance and has been stripped of his bronze.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,654
    JackW said:

    Nevada - Suffolk

    Clinton 44 .. Trump 42

    http://www.suffolk.edu/news/67217.php#.V7XdBk0rKgA

    Not bad for Trump
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Hell Yeah!


    1 United States 31 32 31 94

    2 Great Britain 20 21 13 54

    3 China 19 15 20 54

    4 Germany 13 8 9 30

    5 Russia 12 14 15 41

    6 Japan 10 5 18 33
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,423
    John_M said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I don't think Theresa May is the kind of person who is likely to succumb to hubris, nor can she and her ministers be in any doubt as to the massive challenges they face. Admittedly Labour seem almost completely irrelevant to the political debate at the moment, but that's a different point.

    She - personally - may not be. But the three Brexit Ministers are, I think, inclined to this. And the minute they start making decisions and the rest of the EU doesn't play ball then what? Without an opposition to keep the Tories on their toes there is a risk that they will assume that they can get away with pretty much anything and that, when push comes to shove, the voters will look at Labour and go "no, thank you".

    More likely than not, I grant you. But were I PM I wouldn't plan my strategy on that basis.

    Politicians of all parties have underestimated the public for too long now. The referendum should have woken them up. Lots of people - and not just the Northern WWC - are dissatisfied with what has been a pretty piss poor political class for some time now and with an economy which looks a bit too much like Richistan in the South East and Mostly-Standing-Still everywhere else. I'm not at all sure the political parties have really got this.
    It's not even that good. Most areas have gone backwards relative to Londonistan, including the South East.

    https://twitter.com/mcdonnelljp/status/765174072414179328
    I suspect John Mcdonnell wants us to understand that GVA went backwards in the regions, when it actually grew less fast than London. But, heck, that's statistics.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Pulpstar said:

    JackW said:

    Nevada - Suffolk

    Clinton 44 .. Trump 42

    http://www.suffolk.edu/news/67217.php#.V7XdBk0rKgA

    Not bad for Trump
    Pulpstar said:

    JackW said:

    Nevada - Suffolk

    Clinton 44 .. Trump 42

    http://www.suffolk.edu/news/67217.php#.V7XdBk0rKgA

    Not bad for Trump
    http://www.latimes.com/politics/

    Not bad for Trump
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    eek said:

    John_M said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    @Richard_Nabavi - perhaps a review of your immigration paper would be interesting given what's happened since?

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/11/06/the-future-of-scottish-lab-and-holyrood-2016-this-weeks-pbpolling-matters-podcast/

    Incidentally, our local Conservative branch is having a policy discussion next week on Refugees, Asylum and Immigration. I've been given the hot potato of preparing the briefing paper and chairing the discussion. I hope to get out alive, but if I suddenly stop posting you'll know why!

    A fascinating thread from November last year.

    And so many banned subsequently!

    The policy discussion was rather good and quite nuanced. We certainly covered some of the points which were important in the referendum. From my summary of the evening (which I think was sent on to ministers):

    There was considerable discussion about the reliability of migration statistics and the difficulty of estimating illegal immigration.
    ...
    On EU/EEA migration, the group very much supported the government’s efforts to reform the benefits system so as to reduce the ‘pull’ factor encouraging large numbers of EU citizens to come here. In particular, the payment of Housing Benefit, and of Child Benefit /Child Tax Credits in respect of children not living in the UK, were of particular concern.

    At the same time, the group felt that, in numeric terms, reform of the benefits system would have only a limited effect on the scale of EU immigration, given the appeal of the UK as a destination because of its buoyant jobs market, and the fact that English is such a universal language. The recent announcement of the increased ‘living wage’ would tend to make the UK more attractive.
    ...
    As regards the forthcoming EU referendum, the group agreed that immigration would be a major factor in motivating people to vote to leave the EU. However, as the government has argued, the so-called ‘Norway’ option of staying in the EEA would not offer any significant advantage as regards immigration.
    ...
    Overall, the group felt that the biggest concern was a sense that migration had got out of control.
    The next batch of immigration figures are due next Thursday. Let's see if that sense was correct.
    The perception was that it had. Regardless of what the reality is the perception won it for Leave..
    As I've said before, if 650k in two years isn't mass immigration, please tell me what number would qualify. We should note that immigration is primarily to England. From memory Scotland has ~173k and Wales ~85k.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''Hell Yeah!''

    To wind up your Australian friends, simply suggest that for the next 'ashes match' for olympic medals v GB, they can have New Zealand.

    At least that would make a sort of contest of it (well, for a while).
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    SandraM said:

    Sandpit said:

    taffys said:

    Are they going to hold SPOTY over two nights this year? Or maybe series?

    Make it like one of those reality shows, put it on every Saturday night between September and Christmas, mainly so we can all watch endless replays of the past fortnight!
    We've still got the Paralympics to come.
    Indeed. And Team GB have put just as much effort into those games too.

    This seems even more amazing than London, maybe because the expectations four years ago were so high, whereas this is more unexpected to the general public.

    I know it's crap gambling odds, but we should all really buy a few lottery tickets if this is the result of it!
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited August 2016
    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    BBC Sport
    The bronze-winning #badminton boys are all-but speechless! #Rio2016 https://t.co/oHm3jzfMAo
  • wasdwasd Posts: 276
    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769

    What an awesome setting for the Triathlon - Brighton beach is no match for the Copacabana.

    Gold and Silver for the Brownlee Brothers - Awesome.

    Brighton Beach benefits from an excellent branch of WHSmith nearby that I suspect the Copacabana cannot match. Swings and roundabouts.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    edited August 2016

    Kyrgyzstan weightlifter Izzat Artykov has become the first Rio medallist to test positive for a banned substance and has been stripped of his bronze.

    That's actually a bloody good effort - looks like the word is finally getting round to the athletes that they have to do it clean.

    The statistic about the 100m times the other day was shocking, but then again most of us can remember back to the bad old days of Ben Johnson and Flo-Jo in 1988. Copious amounts of drugs and a dodgy and wind meter mean the women's 100m record could stand for a century.
  • PlatoSaid said:

    Hell Yeah!


    1 United States 31 32 31 94

    2 Great Britain 20 21 13 54

    3 China 19 15 20 54

    4 Germany 13 8 9 30

    5 Russia 12 14 15 41

    6 Japan 10 5 18 33

    So good to see us doing so well at the Brexit Games!

    Equal on total medals with China!
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited August 2016
    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Pulpstar said:

    JackW said:

    Nevada - Suffolk

    Clinton 44 .. Trump 42

    http://www.suffolk.edu/news/67217.php#.V7XdBk0rKgA

    Not bad for Trump
    Indeed so. But two points to note.

    Firstly Trump has strong ties to the state and the expectation was that he'd perform somewhat better here than in other swing states, as is apparent. Secondly polls in Nevada in the past two cycles have underestimate the Dem figure by about 3 points.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769

    PlatoSaid said:

    Hell Yeah!


    1 United States 31 32 31 94

    2 Great Britain 20 21 13 54

    3 China 19 15 20 54

    4 Germany 13 8 9 30

    5 Russia 12 14 15 41

    6 Japan 10 5 18 33

    So good to see us doing so well at the Brexit Games!

    Equal on total medals with China!
    We'll see what 4yrs of Brexit does to the performance next time.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
    Can we agree it's better than horse dancing? But yes, they all count!
  • wasdwasd Posts: 276
    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
    I used to play badminton at primary school so I have something of a soft spot for it however I skipped that match for the men's triathlon.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Sandpit said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
    Can we agree it's better than horse dancing? But yes, they all count!
    Pah! Dressage is great if you watch their legs/feet/bum. All the little mistakes are plain - Badminton is just a yawnfest :trollface:
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited August 2016
    Jonathan said:

    What an awesome setting for the Triathlon - Brighton beach is no match for the Copacabana.

    Gold and Silver for the Brownlee Brothers - Awesome.

    Brighton Beach benefits from an excellent branch of WHSmith nearby that I suspect the Copacabana cannot match. Swings and roundabouts.
    Good point, well made Sir – and who wants golden sand when you can have pebbles…

    Interesting Factiod – With Brownlee’s Gold, that's 13th 0f 19 Team GB athletes to retain their London titles. – And two more events yet to come in Taekwondo and Boxing
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,334
    Jonathan said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Hell Yeah!


    1 United States 31 32 31 94

    2 Great Britain 20 21 13 54

    3 China 19 15 20 54

    4 Germany 13 8 9 30

    5 Russia 12 14 15 41

    6 Japan 10 5 18 33

    So good to see us doing so well at the Brexit Games!

    Equal on total medals with China!
    We'll see what 4yrs of Brexit does to the performance next time.
    Why would it make any difference?
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''The statistic about the 100m times the other day was shocking, but then again most of us can remember back to the days of Ben Johnson and Flo-Jo in 1988. ''

    Talking of the 100, am I alone in thinking the Beeb have gone overboard a bit on Bolt? Its become a North Korea type dictator cult with them. He's become the Dear Sprinter.

    I mean the guy's a complete phenomenon, don't get me wrong. But at times its embarrassing.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited August 2016
    John_M said:

    As I've said before, if 650k in two years isn't mass immigration, please tell me what number would qualify. We should note that immigration is primarily to England. From memory Scotland has ~173k and Wales ~85k.

    Nonetheless public perception is wrong in many respects. In particular:

    - People think there are zillions of asylum seekers coming into the UK. In fact there are very few (around 25,000 out of 600,000 immigrants).

    - People think it is easy for non-EEA citizens to come here, and are amazed when they are told just how draconian the rules are.

    - People don't think of students as immigrants, but they account for about a third of all immigrants; there is almost universal support in favour of continuing to take their fees!

    Basically the only ways of reducing net immigration significantly are either to reduce EU worker migration, or to encourage more people to emigrate (I suppose trashing the economy would do both..). That's basically why I think the Brexit settlement must exclude freedom of movement; it was the strongest argument for leaving the EU, and the most important one for many Leave voters.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
    I used to play badminton at primary school so I have something of a soft spot for it however I skipped that match for the men's triathlon.
    My big brother played it and was pretty good, I'd rather watch Squash - at least it's brutally fast.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,075
    Mr. Sandpit, speed-walking must be the worst. Going as fast as you can whilst deliberately not going as fast as you can (by running) is demented.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Jonathan said:

    What an awesome setting for the Triathlon - Brighton beach is no match for the Copacabana.

    Gold and Silver for the Brownlee Brothers - Awesome.

    Brighton Beach benefits from an excellent branch of WHSmith nearby that I suspect the Copacabana cannot match. Swings and roundabouts.
    Good point, well made Sir – and who wants golden sand when you can have pebbles…

    Interesting Factiod – With Brownlee’s Gold, that's 13th 0f 19 Team GB athletes to retain their London titles. – And two more events yet to come in Taekwondo and Boxing
    That's hugely impressive - and shows the spread of sports we excel in. No silos in swimming et al like a nation or two...
  • wasdwasd Posts: 276
    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
    I used to play badminton at primary school so I have something of a soft spot for it however I skipped that match for the men's triathlon.
    My big brother played it and was pretty good, I'd rather watch Squash - at least it's brutally fast.
    Less suitable for the average ten year old tho'.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,985
    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
    Forget badminton; the Olympics should have Fives. And extra kudos if they replicate conditions at my school - the athletes who turn up last get the worn-out gloves and the balls that have aged into concrete.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    taffys said:

    ''The statistic about the 100m times the other day was shocking, but then again most of us can remember back to the days of Ben Johnson and Flo-Jo in 1988. ''

    Talking of the 100, am I alone in thinking the Beeb have gone overboard a bit on Bolt? Its become a North Korea type dictator cult with them. He's become the Dear Sprinter.

    I mean the guy's a complete phenomenon, don't get me wrong. But at times its embarrassing.

    Frankly, I've no idea why 100m gets so much attention. I really couldn't care less. I don't find it more impressive than dozens of others.
  • Jonathan said:

    What an awesome setting for the Triathlon - Brighton beach is no match for the Copacabana.

    Gold and Silver for the Brownlee Brothers - Awesome.

    Brighton Beach benefits from an excellent branch of WHSmith nearby that I suspect the Copacabana cannot match. Swings and roundabouts.
    Don't forget Volk's Electric Railway!!!

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volk's_Electric_Railway
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769
    MaxPB said:

    Jonathan said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Hell Yeah!


    1 United States 31 32 31 94

    2 Great Britain 20 21 13 54

    3 China 19 15 20 54

    4 Germany 13 8 9 30

    5 Russia 12 14 15 41

    6 Japan 10 5 18 33

    So good to see us doing so well at the Brexit Games!

    Equal on total medals with China!
    We'll see what 4yrs of Brexit does to the performance next time.
    Why would it make any difference?
    As the programme to turn the clock back to the 70s accelerates, Jason Kenny and Laura Trott will have to compete on Raleigh Choppers.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''Nonetheless public perception is wrong in many respects. In particular:''

    Nope.

    People aren't even that worried about numbers. They are worried about QUALITY. Politicians assumed voters would accept the murderer, rapist or terrorist along with the plumber, doctor or programmer. They assumed we would accept the rough with the smooth, because the overall effect is beneficial.

    In June the electorate said that is not good enough. They want the rough filtered out. From now on, only the 'smooth' will do.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    PlatoSaid said:

    Sandpit said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
    Can we agree it's better than horse dancing? But yes, they all count!
    Pah! Dressage is great if you watch their legs/feet/bum. All the little mistakes are plain - Badminton is just a yawnfest :trollface:
    Nah, it's the most boring 'sport' there! :p
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    taffys said:

    ''Nonetheless public perception is wrong in many respects. In particular:''

    Nope.

    People aren't even that worried about numbers. They are worried about QUALITY. Politicians assumed voters would accept the murderer, rapist or terrorist along with the plumber, doctor or programmer. They assumed we would accept the rough with the smooth, because the overall effect is beneficial.

    In June the electorate said that is not good enough. They want the rough filtered out. From now on, only the 'smooth' will do.

    A fine illustration of my point.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112

    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
    Forget badminton; the Olympics should have Fives. And extra kudos if they replicate conditions at my school - the athletes who turn up last get the worn-out gloves and the balls that have aged into concrete.
    I think it might freak people out (Eton fives that is; Rugby fives is obvs v simple to follow..)
  • SandraMSandraM Posts: 206
    Gold in sailing.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,075
    Mr. Jonathan, nothing wrong with the 70s. Vespasian was a good emperor.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112
    edited August 2016
    taffys said:

    ''Nonetheless public perception is wrong in many respects. In particular:''

    Nope.

    People aren't even that worried about numbers. They are worried about QUALITY. Politicians assumed voters would accept the murderer, rapist or terrorist along with the plumber, doctor or programmer. They assumed we would accept the rough with the smooth, because the overall effect is beneficial.

    In June the electorate said that is not good enough. They want the rough filtered out. From now on, only the 'smooth' will do.

    Impossible task. A Canadian banker can be a murderer.

    Edit: not _that_ Canadian banker...
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Sandpit said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Sandpit said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
    Can we agree it's better than horse dancing? But yes, they all count!
    Pah! Dressage is great if you watch their legs/feet/bum. All the little mistakes are plain - Badminton is just a yawnfest :trollface:
    Nah, it's the most boring 'sport' there! :p
    The Badminton boys deserve a Bronze just for their tears/shock :smiley: They're ranked 20thish?!
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,334
    Where's tyson! Another toff powered gold!
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    SandraM said:

    Gold in sailing.

    :smiley:
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    taffys said:

    ''Nonetheless public perception is wrong in many respects. In particular:''

    Nope.

    People aren't even that worried about numbers. They are worried about QUALITY. Politicians assumed voters would accept the murderer, rapist or terrorist along with the plumber, doctor or programmer. They assumed we would accept the rough with the smooth, because the overall effect is beneficial.

    In June the electorate said that is not good enough. They want the rough filtered out. From now on, only the 'smooth' will do.

    A fine illustration of my point.
    Post A8 and A2 accessions FoM as originally constituted became obsolete.

    However, I'm entirely sympathetic to the European view that the Conservative party has committed an act of pan-European economic vandalism simply because it was unable to stiffen its sinews and reform the UK health and welfare systems.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,985
    TOPPING said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    What's happening in the badminton? We've won a medal or two?!

    Bronze in the men's doubles.
    Have to be honest - badminton can't get me the teeniest bit engaged. It's so SLOW - like action replay golf. But a medal is a medal and well done to the chappies!
    Forget badminton; the Olympics should have Fives. And extra kudos if they replicate conditions at my school - the athletes who turn up last get the worn-out gloves and the balls that have aged into concrete.
    I think it might freak people out (Eton fives that is; Rugby fives is obvs v simple to follow..)
    There's only one Fives, and that's Rugby fives. None of this posho Eton and Winchester rubbish. ;)
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,064
    Afternoon all :)

    On topic, an interesting contribution for which, as always, many thanks. I'm not sure I wholly agree with the analysis of the EU Referendum.

    For me, REMAIN's two mistakes were:

    1) Failing completely to articulate a positive case for the EU or a positive case for remaining in the EU with the opt-outs and renegotiation.

    2) Treating the whole argument in terms of numbers and economics. The British population were in effect reduced to the status of subservient economic drones whose sole purpose was to ensure we achieved positive GDP growth every quarter. "Don't Think. Consume and Spend" as it were.

    I've probably drifted to the "harder" end of the LEAVE spectrum - I see the failures of the immigration system up close and personal every day and I blame the Single Market for much of it. I realise a lot of people want and need the Single Market but I believe it has consequences far beyond the economic which make it profoundly unsatisfactory.

    As to the future, given we are already seeing people on here daily seeing the US election through the prism of the EU Referendum (there are millions of Trump supporters out there apparently who will come out on Polling Day apparently - yes, I know.)
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769
    Time for some Olympic mashups.

    I'd like to see an innovative combination of Dressage and Diving.

  • PlatoSaid said:

    Jonathan said:

    What an awesome setting for the Triathlon - Brighton beach is no match for the Copacabana.

    Gold and Silver for the Brownlee Brothers - Awesome.

    Brighton Beach benefits from an excellent branch of WHSmith nearby that I suspect the Copacabana cannot match. Swings and roundabouts.
    Good point, well made Sir – and who wants golden sand when you can have pebbles…

    Interesting Factiod – With Brownlee’s Gold, that's 13th 0f 19 Team GB athletes to retain their London titles. – And two more events yet to come in Taekwondo and Boxing
    That's hugely impressive - and shows the spread of sports we excel in. No silos in swimming et al like a nation or two...
    Which sport do you excel in?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769

    Mr. Jonathan, nothing wrong with the 70s. Vespasian was a good emperor.

    Nasty death. When you've gotta go, you've gotta go.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    taffys said:

    ''The statistic about the 100m times the other day was shocking, but then again most of us can remember back to the days of Ben Johnson and Flo-Jo in 1988. ''

    Talking of the 100, am I alone in thinking the Beeb have gone overboard a bit on Bolt? Its become a North Korea type dictator cult with them. He's become the Dear Sprinter.

    I mean the guy's a complete phenomenon, don't get me wrong. But at times its embarrassing.

    I've been watching the international coverage rather than the Beeb, but the guy is a phenomenon completely unbeaten in eight years and competing in his last Games. He's the only athlete to have got the stadium close to full and the crowd close to excited.

    The media can go a bit overboard on coverage of individuals though, I felt a little sorry for Jess Emmis in London for the same reason but luckily she lived up to the massive expectations.

    Who's staying up to watch Bolt's attempt on the 200m world record tonight? 02:30 UK time.
This discussion has been closed.