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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It was Team Corbyn who trashed the Big Tent

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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,106
    runnymede said:

    Polruan said:

    Cyclefree said:

    runnymede said:

    Cyclefree said:

    "The change campaign needs two strands: the promotion of the values and leadership skills of whoever emerges as unity candidate and the exposure of Corbyn’s incompetence and failure as a leader by those who worked for him and gave up in despair."

    Rather than focusing on the values of the alternative candidate - which leads to the dead end of the personalization of the candidate ("I'm a mother / married / gay / a woman / eat yogurt / love my dog / I believe in nice things - yeah, yeah, don't we all dearie") - it would be nice if a candidate promoted a political viewpoint.

    Just for a change. Just a thought. It used to happen. It might be nice for it to happen again.

    Corbyn did that, no?
    Yes. He did. Which is why any challenger needs to do the same. They're not. They're arguing about his management style which may well be catastrophically useless. But that is not really going to fire up the Labour electorate and it is not really going to do anything to persuade voters outside that electorate that Labour is a party fit to be considered for government.

    What is Labour for?

    Answers on one side of the paper only, please. Give examples of what the answers mean in practice and your proposals for implementation. Points will be deducted for a one-word answer (e.g. "equality" with no further explanation).

    Fundamentally Labour is, trite as it sounds, for the interests of the many rather than the few: for creating a society where the rewards of working hard are shared so that everyone can have a decent standard of living; where the risks of bad luck such as ill health or a lack of available employment are shared; where opportunities in life are not restricted by how rich one is born, or what jobs ones parents did, or ones race or gender.

    An economic policy that provides work that pays properly, educational opportunity for all and a safety net for when things go wrong are pretty much the essentials.
    Innocent Abroad is right - Labour is a party whose time has gone.
    And yet I would bet good money it will remain and get millions of votes and hundreds of seats, and sooner or later will get back into power. Hard to see a route right now, unless the Corbynistas are correct, but it doesn't look like its going anywhere, even if its so split it seems like it should, or atleast be changed.
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    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    You are taking the piss..... WTF?
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,560

    Permit me a bit of space to make a few points and hopefully illuminate a bit of light as a lowly Labour activist/officer/organiser:

    There are two Jeremy Corbyns.

    The first is a man who has fought a principled battle his whole life. A man with both the strength and conviction to lead both the party and then the country in a leftward realignment. A man who is collegiate and consensual who absolutely does not allow abuse or factionalism of any kind.

    The second is a man who says those things but does very few of them and the ones he does do are ineffectual. A man who appoints shadow ministers to a broad tent then ignores them whilst making policy up on the hoof over his head. Who refuses to protect NEC members threatened with violence with a secret ballot.

    The Labour Party faces a basic and deadly problem. We have had an explosion in membership - a very good thing. But a large proportion of those people believe in the first Corbyn. Those people who have actually met him and tried to work with him know the first Corbyn is a cartoon character, a poster slogan, a meme utterly disconnected from reality.

    Not only that, but this mythical man has become Kim Jong Un. Venerated. Unchallengable. To question him is to out yourself as a BLAIRITE and we all know that BLAIRITES are TORIES. Anyone with a rational mind looks at these examples from the likes of Lillian Greenwood with horror. Multiple sources of evidence documenting different occasions and scenarios but all illustrating the same problem - the absolute inability of the leader to do politics.

    For the people invested in the cartoon Jeremy all these MPs are liars. Deluded. Plotters in the Chicken Coup. "They all tell one side of the story". And they need to be deselected because How Dare They say a word against our Leader with his Mandate. Then we come to Tom Watson. Also elected with a substantial mandate. The difference being that we should ignore his mandate and have him DESELECTED as well apparently. The "fat disloyal bastard".

    And its not just the MPs. The NEC are in on it. They voted for a freeze date (mandated in rules) AFTER JEREMY LEFT. And it wasn't on the agenda apparently, despite Momentum-supported Ann Black posting a lengthy report from the meeting proving it was.

    And so here we are. The membership are blindly supporting a person who doesn't actually exist. Anyone who isn't Corbyn or 100% loyal is a Tory. We in the Labour Party can't trust the MPs the NEC or the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party but once Corbyn is re-elected we will persuade voters to not only trust the Labour Party but to elect us in a landslide.

    We are, to put it bluntly, fucked.

    I fully expect May to call an election this November and win a majority of 150. At which point the angry mob will no doubt denounce the electorate.

    Post of the week if not the year.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,560
    The real risk is that Labour will go into the next election with two candidates in large numbers of seats, splitting the vote and letting AN Other party win by default. Which is roughly what happened to the Liberals 1918-1924 and again in 1931 (and of course to Labour in the latter election).

    Labour survived 1931, with great difficulty. The Unionists survived similar problems in 1906. But the Liberals couldn't. All that tribal nonconformist vote counted for nothing.

    Is Labour the same? It looks unpleasantly like it. Certainly this is the nearest the party has come to destruction since 1931.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714
    edited July 2016
    Very little info available about Momentum Campaign Limited

    Incorporated 24th June 2015 as 'Jeremy Corbyn Campaign 2015 (Services) Limited'

    Changed their name on the 23rd of October to 'Momentum Campaign (Services) Limited'

    And then applied for the latest change on the 15th of this month
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    BudGBudG Posts: 711

    Permit me a bit of space to make a few points and hopefully illuminate a bit of light as a lowly Labour activist/officer/organiser:

    There are two Jeremy Corbyns.

    The first is a man who has fought a principled battle his whole life. A man with both the strength and conviction to lead both the party and then the country in a leftward realignment. A man who is collegiate and consensual who absolutely does not allow abuse or factionalism of any kind.

    The second is a man who says those things but does very few of them and the ones he does do are ineffectual. A man who appoints shadow ministers to a broad tent then ignores them whilst making policy up on the hoof over his head. Who refuses to protect NEC members threatened with violence with a secret ballot.

    Good post. I guess the ideal answer is to come up with a contender to succeed him who has all the qualities of the first Jeremy Corbyn, with few of the drawbacks of the second.

    Problem is that there appear to be very few, if any, contenders.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    Moses_ said:
    just a supporter's group, see almost identical posts from me & TSE
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    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869

    Permit me a bit of space to make a few points and hopefully illuminate a bit of light as a lowly Labour activist/officer/organiser:

    There are two Jeremy Corbyns.

    The first is a man who has fought a principled battle his whole life. A man with both the strength and conviction to lead both the party and then the country in a leftward realignment. A man who is collegiate and consensual who absolutely does not allow abuse or factionalism of any kind.

    The second is a man who says those things but does very few of them and the ones he does do are ineffectual. A man who appoints shadow ministers to a broad tent then ignores them whilst making policy up on the hoof over his head. Who refuses to protect NEC members threatened with violence with a secret ballot.

    The Labour Party faces a basic and deadly problem. We have had an explosion in membership - a very good thing. But a large proportion of those people believe in the first Corbyn. Those people who have actually met him and tried to work with him know the first Corbyn is a cartoon character, a poster slogan, a meme utterly disconnected from reality.

    Not only that, but this mythical man has become Kim Jong Un. Venerated. Unchallengable. To question him is to out yourself as a BLAIRITE and we all know that BLAIRITES are TORIES. Anyone with a rational mind looks at these examples from the likes of Lillian Greenwood with horror. Multiple sources of evidence documenting different occasions and scenarios but all illustrating the same problem - the absolute inability of the leader to do politics.

    For the people invested in the cartoon Jeremy all these MPs are liars. Deluded. Plotters in the Chicken Coup. "They all tell one side of the story". And they need to be deselected because How Dare They say a word against our Leader with his Mandate. Then we come to Tom Watson. Also elected with a substantial mandate. The difference being that we should ignore his mandate and have him DESELECTED as well apparently. The "fat disloyal bastard".

    And its not just the MPs. The NEC are in on it. They voted for a freeze date (mandated in rules) AFTER JEREMY LEFT. And it wasn't on the agenda apparently, despite Momentum-supported Ann Black posting a lengthy report from the meeting proving it was.

    And so here we are. The membership are blindly supporting a person who doesn't actually exist. Anyone who isn't Corbyn or 100% loyal is a Tory. We in the Labour Party can't trust the MPs the NEC or the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party but once Corbyn is re-elected we will persuade voters to not only trust the Labour Party but to elect us in a landslide.

    We are, to put it bluntly, fucked.

    I fully expect May to call an election this November and win a majority of 150. At which point the angry mob will no doubt denounce the electorate.

    This seems to me a very insightful post. Thank you. Oh dear.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714

    What is "Momentum Campaign Ltd"? All of Momentum?
    I've just ordered a companies house report on them to find out
    https://beta.companieshouse.gov.uk/company/09655767

    Originally registered as:

    JEREMY CORBYN CAMPAIGN 2015 (SUPPORTERS) LTD 24 Jun 2015 - 23 Oct 2015

    Private address
    Sorry to go all Hunchman, but just doing a wider scope, also at that registered address is

    Transport Salaried Staffs Association, National Pensioners Convention, and erm The Guide Dogs For The Blind Association
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Lowlander said:

    I wonder if the PB Tories enjoying the turmoil in Labour (as am I) are perhaps taking their eye off the ball in just what they've ended up with in May.

    With all the heartless cruelty and callous coldness of Thatcher but none of the Iron Lady's ability to give away lots and lots of free stuff, her stand offish, out of touch personality seems to belong to a bygone age, where it was expected that a Prime Minister was not one of us.

    It seems to me there is an innate unelectability in May which as the Cruella De Ville meme starts to build and take root will only get worse. Thatcher took over from an incredible unpopular government at a time of established turmoil, gaining goodwill she could cement with a military victory and the biggest Socialist give away in British history.

    May takes over from a neutral to mildly approved of government, only about to enter a sustained period of economic uncertainty, with no military capable of winning campaign even if one presented itself and nothing to hand out as freebies.

    We can always plunder Scottish oil further, perhaps take from the Scottish renewables industry they will still vote No. Lol.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,395
    'And that kids, is what we call irony².'

    https://twitter.com/ddiamond/status/755295291801268228
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,444

    Very little info available about Momentum Campaign Limited

    Incorporated 24th June 2015 as 'Jeremy Corbyn Campaign 2015 (Services) Limited'

    Changed their name on the 23rd of October to 'Momentum Campaign (Services) Limited'

    And then applied for the latest change on the 15th of this month

    It'll be the holding company for MOMENTUM. Have to always put it in block caps. It isn't MENACING as its intended to be unless its in caps.
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    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    Moses_ said:
    just a supporter's group, see almost identical posts from me & TSE
    Ha!
    At this rate in 50 years time there will be a 4 year degree course on the events of just the last month....
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Very little info available about Momentum Campaign Limited

    Incorporated 24th June 2015 as 'Jeremy Corbyn Campaign 2015 (Services) Limited'

    Changed their name on the 23rd of October to 'Momentum Campaign (Services) Limited'

    And then applied for the latest change on the 15th of this month


    One director, listed as a parliamentary researcher.

    Who also runs:

    NEW HOPE FOR LABOUR (DATA HOLDINGS) LTD

    MOMENTUM CAMPAIGN (SERVICES) LTD

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    SirBenjaminSirBenjamin Posts: 238
    John_M said:



    We are, to put it bluntly, fucked.

    I fully expect May to call an election this November and win a majority of 150. At which point the angry mob will no doubt denounce the electorate.
    That is an excellent post. You truly have my deepest sympathies. It's pious, but worth saying, our political system only works when there is a functioning opposition. The Tories were ineffectual in the early naughties, and Labour are now. That is so unhealthy. Only the most blinkered partisans can applaud the current situation. The Labour party is literally hateful.


    Boo-fucking-hoo. No sympathy from me.

    Even a majority of 150 would be less than the humiliation we had to endure in 1997 and 2001. 'things can only get better' when you're in the boss seat, but 'fucked' when the boot is on the other foot, is it? Don't dish it out if you can't take it.

    We've been waiting quietly and patiently to get even for many years now. In our minds it's still about finally wiping the triumphalist smiles off the Blairites faces. I'd love to see a Tory majority of 200 and with the help of the insane Trot wing of the Labour party we might just come close to that.

    Go Corbyn! Go Blinkered Partisanship! Go Hate!
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,245
    taffys said:

    ''If they choose Corbyn they are accepting the second. If it is Smith, there is still a chance of the first. ''

    I disagree. Let's say Corbyn went into 2020 with a genuinely hard left programme. How many labour voters would really notice? how many would desert? as Mr Southam says, its tribal.

    OF course labour would lose. But they might retain 200mps, or maybe more. That doesn;t look like oblivion to me. Ask the liberal democrats about oblivion.

    Who?
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,560
    I am starting to think that the only chance Labour have of surviving is if May calls an Autumn election. That way, they still fight as one party, lose badly, even Corbyn accepts he's failed and resigns, and someone can start to clear up the mess.

    Even twelve months' delay would allow Momentum to set up a parallel organisation or to start mass deselections. At that point there will be no way back. Labour will be irretrievably ruined and the way things are at present UKIP will be the main beneficiaries.

    Will May do it though? Doesn't seem likely. Even so I think a wise statesman (sic) would.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714

    Very little info available about Momentum Campaign Limited

    Incorporated 24th June 2015 as 'Jeremy Corbyn Campaign 2015 (Services) Limited'

    Changed their name on the 23rd of October to 'Momentum Campaign (Services) Limited'

    And then applied for the latest change on the 15th of this month

    It'll be the holding company for MOMENTUM. Have to always put it in block caps. It isn't MENACING as its intended to be unless its in caps.
    It's a proper prole set up, Private company limited by guarantee without share capital, not one of those Bourgeois Capitalist public (or private) limited companies
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039

    We have had an explosion in membership - a very good thing.

    This is where you are going wrong.
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,157

    That's blatant. More subtle American speechwriters plagiarise foreign figures... like Neil Kinnock.
    Bearing in mind the peroration contained lines from the classic Rick Astley song I'd say some unlucky Republican staffer lumbered with Trump as their presidential candidate was having a laugh.
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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819
    Moses_ said:
    Fools. Momentum was actually a good name for their movement.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,125
    Off Topic: Hopefully one that both Leavers and Remainers can sign:

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/156984
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited July 2016
    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388

    Very little info available about Momentum Campaign Limited

    Incorporated 24th June 2015 as 'Jeremy Corbyn Campaign 2015 (Services) Limited'

    Changed their name on the 23rd of October to 'Momentum Campaign (Services) Limited'

    And then applied for the latest change on the 15th of this month

    It'll be the holding company for MOMENTUM. Have to always put it in block caps. It isn't MENACING as its intended to be unless its in caps.
    It's a proper prole set up, Private company limited by guarantee without share capital, not one of those Bourgeois Capitalist public (or private) limited companies
    Or unlimited companies :) for your joint stock operations
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,541
    felix said:

    Off Topic: Hopefully one that both Leavers and Remainers can sign:

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/156984

    Why don't we just write the EU a cheque. I'm sure DD would have no problem with that.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,560
    edited July 2016

    John_M said:


    That is an excellent post. You truly have my deepest sympathies. It's pious, but worth saying, our political system only works when there is a functioning opposition. The Tories were ineffectual in the early naughties, and Labour are now. That is so unhealthy. Only the most blinkered partisans can applaud the current situation. The Labour party is literally hateful.

    Boo-fucking-hoo. No sympathy from me.

    Even a majority of 150 would be less than the humiliation we had to endure in 1997 and 2001. 'things can only get better' when you're in the boss seat, but 'fucked' when the boot is on the other foot, is it? Don't dish it out if you can't take it.

    We've been waiting quietly and patiently to get even for many years now. In our minds it's still about finally wiping the triumphalist smiles off the Blairites faces. I'd love to see a Tory majority of 200 and with the help of the insane Trot wing of the Labour party we might just come close to that.

    Go Corbyn! Go Blinkered Partisanship! Go Hate!
    Yes, and some of us remember what a fiasco the Blair and Brown governments were. The corruption, the greed, the disastrous foreign policy towards Europe and the Middle East, the incessant spending of money on mindless frivolities like BSF or the M6 Toll to enrich their backers in big business at everyone else's expense, the protection of special interest groups and the public sector to the detriment of everyone else, the spin, the failure.

    And I never want to go back to the era of complacency and all the evils that sprang from it that was engendered by the lack of a strong opposition.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited July 2016
    Assuming that the change in company name applies to the whole 'Momentum' movement (and it's hard to see why they'd bother otherwise), then surely the reasoning is obvious? They've been accused, reasonably enough, of being an entryist organisation with their own agenda. With this change they can keep a straight face more easily when they say 'No, we are loyal Labour members giving our full support to the democratically-elected leader'.

    This is about the parasite gobbling up the host from the inside.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    edited July 2016
    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.

    Hornsey & Wood Green is the 'first' and most obvious one that is likely to switch back I think. PPCs are being selected already though, so the Labour rebels will have to get their skates on.

    Huppert will be taking back Cambridge from the trots.

    Edit: Just seen the Lab majority in Hornsey - blimey !

    Anyway Cambridge will be heading back at the least :)
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,444
    Regarding Momentum/Jezza for Dictator Ltd, from the rule book:

    Political organisations not affiliated or associated under a national agreement with the Party, having their own programme, principles and policy, or distinctive and separate propaganda, or possessing branches in the constituencies, or engaged in the promotion of parliamentary or local government candidates, or having allegiance to any political organisation situated abroad, shall be ineligible for affiliation to the Labour Party (Chapter 1 Clause II, 5A).

    Involvement in such organisations not formally affiliated leaves members doing so subject to disciplinary action and expulsion.
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    SirBenjaminSirBenjamin Posts: 238
    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.


    There really aren't very many seats in that category though. Cambridge, Brent Central, Hornsey and Wood Green, that Leicester seat the LDs took in a by election... struggling to think of any others...
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,541
    ydoethur said:

    John_M said:


    That is an excellent post. You truly have my deepest sympathies. It's pious, but worth saying, our political system only works when there is a functioning opposition. The Tories were ineffectual in the early naughties, and Labour are now. That is so unhealthy. Only the most blinkered partisans can applaud the current situation. The Labour party is literally hateful.

    Boo-fucking-hoo. No sympathy from me.

    Even a majority of 150 would be less than the humiliation we had to endure in 1997 and 2001. 'things can only get better' when you're in the boss seat, but 'fucked' when the boot is on the other foot, is it? Don't dish it out if you can't take it.

    We've been waiting quietly and patiently to get even for many years now. In our minds it's still about finally wiping the triumphalist smiles off the Blairites faces. I'd love to see a Tory majority of 200 and with the help of the insane Trot wing of the Labour party we might just come close to that.

    Go Corbyn! Go Blinkered Partisanship! Go Hate!
    Yes, and some of us remember what a fiasco the Blair and Brown governments were. The corruption, the greed, the disastrous foreign policy towards Europe and the Middle East, the incessant spending of money on mindless frivolities like BSF or the M6 Toll to enrich their backers in big business at everyone else's expense, the protection of special interest groups and the public sector to the detriment of everyone else, the spin, the failure.

    And I never want to go back to the era of complacency and all the evils that sprang from it that was engendered by the lack of a strong opposition.
    I think it was more the overwhelming mandate from the electorate rather than who was standing up at the dispatch box against them. Don't forget Lab had forgotten how to govern so of course they did some bonkers, work-in-theory stuff.

    In 2010, the Cons would have been the same, save for the fact that they had on-site auditors and logic checks courtesy of the LibDems.
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    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,675
    IanB2 said:

    Lowlander said:

    I wonder if the PB Tories enjoying the turmoil in Labour (as am I) are perhaps taking their eye off the ball in just what they've ended up with in May.

    With all the heartless cruelty and callous coldness of Thatcher but none of the Iron Lady's ability to give away lots and lots of free stuff, her stand offish, out of touch personality seems to belong to a bygone age, where it was expected that a Prime Minister was not one of us.

    It seems to me there is an innate unelectability in May which as the Cruella De Ville meme starts to build and take root will only get worse. Thatcher took over from an incredible unpopular government at a time of established turmoil, gaining goodwill she could cement with a military victory and the biggest Socialist give away in British history.

    May takes over from a neutral to mildly approved of government, only about to enter a sustained period of economic uncertainty, with no military capable of winning campaign even if one presented itself and nothing to hand out as freebies.

    Most of the time Thatcher was more unpopular than popular. She would have lost (to the Alliance) the first time she went to the country in 1983 had it not been for the Falklands; she would have lost (to Labour) the second time in 1987 had it not been having years of civil war. Thus Thatcher was more lucky than appealing: the support and devotion she gained from Tories came from her victories, rather than vice versa.

    With the one rather large exception of how Brexit pans out, May is also lucky with the political environment, at least as far as her opponents (outside Scotland) are concerned.
    Shoulda Woulda Coulda.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,539
    Cyclefree said:

    IanB2 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    "The change campaign needs two strands: the promotion of the values and leadership skills of whoever emerges as unity candidate and the exposure of Corbyn’s incompetence and failure as a leader by those who worked for him and gave up in despair."

    hy.
    It seems to me that post-1989 - other than the execrable Third Way - there has been no serious thinking on the social democratic left about what it should be about in a world where socialism/communism has effectively been defeated. That total gap where thought should be has meant that, other than spending tax revenues paid by bankers (and that particular golden goose is not really an option in the way that it was), the only thing on the Labour menu is a version of reheated socialism peddled by people like Corbyn and Milne coupled with some post-colonial sucking up to oppressed non-white people.

    The Left has got out of the habit of thinking about ideas and it needs to relearn the habit, fast. I could provide them with a reading list, if that would help. In fact, if I can be bothered, I may even try and come up with some ideas for them. They certainly need all the help they can get.

    There are so many obvious things. Our education system condemns millions of our fellow citizens to a life of relative poverty whilst the privately educated become ever more dominant in our public life. Even half of the pop stars had the advantage of being taught music at private school these days. But it is Gove that took up that chalice, not Labour.

    We have a situation where wage differentials grow ever more obscene and we don't have a party willing to make the case for more distributive taxes.


    We have an economy which is ever more focussed on London. Recent trips on holiday around southern England including a visit to Bluewater are a revelation. There is plenty of wealth in this country but it is becoming ever more focussed in terms of class and geography. Surely a centre left party could find plenty to chew on in this.
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    IcarusIcarus Posts: 914
    "If Corbyn won’t keep his promise the members will have to keep it for him." then the members will have to find someone better. The MPs tasked with finding someone better have clearly failed.

    Now what?
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,444
    ydoethur said:

    I am starting to think that the only chance Labour have of surviving is if May calls an Autumn election. That way, they still fight as one party, lose badly, even Corbyn accepts he's failed and resigns, and someone can start to clear up the mess.

    Even twelve months' delay would allow Momentum to set up a parallel organisation or to start mass deselections. At that point there will be no way back. Labour will be irretrievably ruined and the way things are at present UKIP will be the main beneficiaries.

    Will May do it though? Doesn't seem likely. Even so I think a wise statesman (sic) would.

    The Tories do not have a working majority. Have major upset on their backbenches making them even less likely to get bills through than they were last year. And they need to get through massive constitutional changes not supported by MPs.

    Combine that with Labour on our knees and she'd have to be the worst political leader in living memory* to not go for an election. A whopping majority delivering the government Absolute control. A mandate to drive through what is required. And a dead Labour Party.

    It WILL be this November. Surely.

    *Yes, even worse than Corbyn
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    IcarusIcarus Posts: 914
    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.

    As Chairman of one of the (I think it was 5) constituencies where we refused to stand aside for the sitting labour MP to stand as an SDP candidate don't expect Liberal Democrats to be too enthusiastic to welcome a useless ex Labour MP! -Ours was Ron Brown in Hackney South(George Browns brother)
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,582
    Cyclefree said:

    IanB2 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    "The change campaign needs two strands: the promotion of the values and leadership skills of whoever emerges as unity candidate and the exposure of Corbyn’s incompetence and failure as a leader by those who worked for him and gave up in despair."

    Just for a change. Just a thought. It used to happen. It might be nice for it to happen again.

    This is the nub of the matter - spelled out at length in a great post from cyclefree in PT. Otherwise it's just bald-men-and-a-comb stuff, since at the moment who would argue that Labour is not heading for massive defeat next time whatever they do? Someone needs to say what the party is actually for. Both Smith and Eagle have been asked what their political differences from each other and from Corbyn actually are, and they just shuffle their feet and mutter incoherently. They seem to think that "I am not a Tory" is a philosophy.
    It seems to me that post-1989 - other than the execrable Third Way - there has been no serious thinking on the social democratic left about what it should be about in a world where socialism/communism has effectively been defeated. That total gap where thought should be has meant that, other than spending tax revenues paid by bankers (and that particular golden goose is not really an option in the way that it was), the only thing on the Labour menu is a version of reheated socialism peddled by people like Corbyn and Milne coupled with some post-colonial sucking up to oppressed non-white people.

    The Left has got out of the habit of thinking about ideas and it needs to relearn the habit, fast. I could provide them with a reading list, if that would help. In fact, if I can be bothered, I may even try and come up with some ideas for them. They certainly need all the help they can get.

    The economy is the problem, for in the social dimension the issues and battleground between conservative and liberal are as clear as ever. Part of Labour's problem arises from having a socially liberal leadership (in the broadest sense) on top of two different but both socially conservative groups of supporters. And of course the LibDems represent the liberal viewpoint much more convincingly, even if the representation it deserves in parliament is denied to it by FPTP.

    Somewhere between the collapse of communism and the 2008 crisis the left lost its way on the economy. I find economics difficult because it always seems that more more I try and learn, the less I end up understanding. Quite possibly no-one really understand anything and we are all heading for some sort of economic doom when the continually accumulating debt burden comes home to roost. Meanwhile, there ought surely to be more to say about the economy than leaving the right to largely leave it alone?
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,560
    TOPPING said:

    ydoethur said:

    John_M said:


    That is an excellent post. You truly have my deepest sympathies. It's pious, but worth saying, our political system only works when there is a functioning opposition. The Tories were ineffectual in the early naughties, and Labour are now. That is so unhealthy. Only the most blinkered partisans can applaud the current situation. The Labour party is literally hateful.

    Boo-fucking-hoo. No sympathy from me.

    Even a majority of 150 would be less than the humiliation we had to endure in 1997 and 2001. 'things can only get better' when you're in the boss seat, but 'fucked' when the boot is on the other foot, is it? Don't dish it out if you can't take it.

    We've been waiting quietly and patiently to get even for many years now. In our minds it's still about finally wiping the triumphalist smiles off the Blairites faces. I'd love to see a Tory majority of 200 and with the help of the insane Trot wing of the Labour party we might just come close to that.

    Go Corbyn! Go Blinkered Partisanship! Go Hate!
    Yes, and some of us remember what a fiasco the Blair and Brown governments were. The corruption, the greed, the disastrous foreign policy towards Europe and the Middle East, the incessant spending of money on mindless frivolities like BSF or the M6 Toll to enrich their backers in big business at everyone else's expense, the protection of special interest groups and the public sector to the detriment of everyone else, the spin, the failure.

    And I never want to go back to the era of complacency and all the evils that sprang from it that was engendered by the lack of a strong opposition.
    I think it was more the overwhelming mandate from the electorate rather than who was standing up at the dispatch box against them. Don't forget Lab had forgotten how to govern so of course they did some bonkers, work-in-theory stuff.

    In 2010, the Cons would have been the same, save for the fact that they had on-site auditors and logic checks courtesy of the LibDems.
    Tony Blair's mandate was smaller than Major's, in terms of the popular vote. If the seats had been allocated for Labour as they were for the Conservatives in '92, he would have had an overall majority of around 30 and would have had to behave himself.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Assuming that the change in company name applies to the whole 'Momentum' movement (and it's hard to see why they'd bother otherwise), then surely the reasoning is obvious? They've been accused, reasonably enough, of being an entryist organisation with their own agenda. With this change they can keep a straight face more easily when they say 'No, we are loyal Labour members giving our full support to the democratically-elected leader'.

    This is about the parasite gobbling up the host from the inside.

    Good point.
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    SirBenjaminSirBenjamin Posts: 238
    TOPPING said:

    ydoethur said:



    And I never want to go back to the era of complacency and all the evils that sprang from it that was engendered by the lack of a strong opposition.

    I think it was more the overwhelming mandate from the electorate rather than who was standing up at the dispatch box against them. Don't forget Lab had forgotten how to govern so of course they did some bonkers, work-in-theory stuff.
    .

    The 'weak opposition' argument is an outright myth. Many of the key figures from the Major administration were still around, having handed over a strong and thriving economy. History will judge these people well, especially compared to what followed - we're less than 20 years down the line and the narrative is already changing.

    Only the most ardent leftist would argue that the scale of the defeat in 1997 was something that government deserved or brought upon themselves. As john Major remarked a few years later, and I'm paraphrasing somewhat, it was heartbreaking to see so many good MPs who had done nothing wrong ousted unceremoniously without a second thought, on the back of a mindless conformist bandwagon.
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,125
    TOPPING said:

    felix said:

    Off Topic: Hopefully one that both Leavers and Remainers can sign:

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/156984

    Why don't we just write the EU a cheque. I'm sure DD would have no problem with that.
    It would simply be continuing the present system - no new cheque required. Pensioners who qualify are those who have paid in to the UK system throughout their working lives.
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    ToryJimToryJim Posts: 3,486
    Labour types, is Ruth Cadbury as Corbynite as her idiotic 10-minute rule bill suggests?
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited July 2016
    DavidL said:

    We have an economy which is ever more focussed on London. Recent trips on holiday around southern England including a visit to Bluewater are a revelation. There is plenty of wealth in this country but it is becoming ever more focussed in terms of class and geography. Surely a centre left party could find plenty to chew on in this.

    The problem being that the bulk of the loud voices in Labour are representatives of, and beneficiaries from that very class and geography. Labour is a upper middle class Guardian reading party wondering why it isnt getting as many votes as it would like in some parts of the North.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Icarus said:

    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.

    As Chairman of one of the (I think it was 5) constituencies where we refused to stand aside for the sitting labour MP to stand as an SDP candidate don't expect Liberal Democrats to be too enthusiastic to welcome a useless ex Labour MP! -Ours was Ron Brown in Hackney South(George Browns brother)
    Didn't he swing the mace in Parly once?
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039

    Combine that with Labour on our knees and she'd have to be the worst political leader in living memory* to not go for an election. A whopping majority delivering the government Absolute control. A mandate to drive through what is required. And a dead Labour Party.

    It WILL be this November. Surely.

    *Yes, even worse than Corbyn

    Well, there's an argument for leaving Labour hanging and making sure they have time to split properly. But 6.8 on Betfair looks backable.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.125203945
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,582
    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.

    I thInk they'd rather win the seat back with one of their own. The chances must be quite good right now.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    With May setting up those "oversight" committees with herself in charge, David Davis must be amongst the frontrunners to leave the Gov't now :p
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    ThrakThrak Posts: 494

    'And that kids, is what we call irony².'

    https://twitter.com/ddiamond/status/755295291801268228

    I think the Orwelll estate need to be notified; the GOP convention last night was ripped off from the 'two minutes hate', barely disguised and cosmetically changed to become the 'two hours hate' instead.
  • Options
    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    There are so many obvious things. Our education system condemns millions of our fellow citizens to a life of relative poverty whilst the privately educated become ever more dominant in our public life

    ----------

    For which Labour and their friends in the Teachers' Unions and the blob are largely responsible. Small wonder they make little headway in this area.

  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,541
    edited July 2016
    ydoethur said:

    TOPPING said:

    ydoethur said:

    John_M said:


    That is an excellent post. You truly have my deepest sympathies. It's pious, but worth saying, our political system only works when there is a functioning opposition. The Tories were ineffectual in the early naughties, and Labour are now. That is so unhealthy. Only the most blinkered partisans can applaud the current situation. The Labour party is literally hateful.

    Boo-fucking-hoo. No sympathy from me.

    Even a majority of 150 would be less than the humiliation we had to endure in 1997 and 2001. 'things can only get better' when you're in the boss seat, but 'fucked' when the boot is on the other foot, is it? Don't dish it out if you can't take it.

    We've been waiting quietly and patiently to get even for many years now. In our minds it's still about finally wiping the triumphalist smiles off the Blairites faces. I'd love to see a Tory majority of 200 and with the help of the insane Trot wing of the Labour party we might just come close to that.

    Go Corbyn! Go Blinkered Partisanship! Go Hate!
    Yes, and some of us remember what a fiasco the Blair and Brown governments were. The corruption, the greed, the disastrous foreign policy towards Europe and the Middle East, the incessant spending of money on mindless frivolities like BSF or the M6 Toll to enrich their backers in big business at everyone else's expense, the protection of special interest groups and the public sector to the detriment of everyone else, the spin, the failure.

    And I never want to go back to the era of complacency and all the evils that sprang from it that was engendered by the lack of a strong opposition.
    I think it was more the overwhelming mandate from the electorate rather than who was standing up at the dispatch box against them. Don't forget Lab had forgotten how to govern so of course they did some bonkers, work-in-theory stuff.

    In 2010, the Cons would have been the same, save for the fact that they had on-site auditors and logic checks courtesy of the LibDems.
    Tony Blair's mandate was smaller than Major's, in terms of the popular vote. If the seats had been allocated for Labour as they were for the Conservatives in '92, he would have had an overall majority of around 30 and would have had to behave himself.
    Maybe, but the country was sick of the Conservatives and the mood was overwhelmingly positive and supportive towards Tone, allowing him freer rein, majority notwithstanding, than otherwise would have been the case.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714
    The International Monetary Fund has slashed its forecast for UK growth next year after warning that the decision to leave the EU has damaged the British economy’s short-term prospects and “thrown a spanner in the works” of the global recovery.

    http://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jul/19/imf-cuts-uk-growth-forecasts-following-brexit-vote?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
  • Options
    rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,928
    The trouble with claiming there was no coup is... you know... that there was!
    And it was pretty obvious.... widely reported in papers, organized mass-resignation, attempt to keep Corbyn off the ballot etc.
  • Options
    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Thrak said:

    'And that kids, is what we call irony².'

    https://twitter.com/ddiamond/status/755295291801268228

    I think the Orwelll estate need to be notified; the GOP convention last night was ripped off from the 'two minutes hate', barely disguised and cosmetically changed to become the 'two hours hate' instead.
    Plenty of hate outside and outwith the GOP convention.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,582
    ydoethur said:

    John_M said:


    That is an excellent post. You truly have my deepest sympathies. It's pious, but worth saying, our political system only works when there is a functioning opposition. The Tories were ineffectual in the early naughties, and Labour are now. That is so unhealthy. Only the most blinkered partisans can applaud the current situation. The Labour party is literally hateful.

    Boo-fucking-hoo. No sympathy from me.

    Even a majority of 150 would be less than the humiliation we had to endure in 1997 and 2001. 'things can only get better' when you're in the boss seat, but 'fucked' when the boot is on the other foot, is it? Don't dish it out if you can't take it.

    We've been waiting quietly and patiently to get even for many years now. In our minds it's still about finally wiping the triumphalist smiles off the Blairites faces. I'd love to see a Tory majority of 200 and with the help of the insane Trot wing of the Labour party we might just come close to that.

    Go Corbyn! Go Blinkered Partisanship! Go Hate!
    Yes, and some of us remember what a fiasco the Blair and Brown governments were. The corruption, the greed, the disastrous foreign policy towards Europe and the Middle East, the incessant spending of money on mindless frivolities like BSF or the M6 Toll to enrich their backers in big business at everyone else's expense, the protection of special interest groups and the public sector to the detriment of everyone else, the spin, the failure.

    And I never want to go back to the era of complacency and all the evils that sprang from it that was engendered by the lack of a strong opposition.
    There is clearly an inverse relationship between the size of majority and the good judgement of the government. No wonder the coalition was such an unsung success. Time for PR.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,541

    TOPPING said:

    ydoethur said:



    And I never want to go back to the era of complacency and all the evils that sprang from it that was engendered by the lack of a strong opposition.

    I think it was more the overwhelming mandate from the electorate rather than who was standing up at the dispatch box against them. Don't forget Lab had forgotten how to govern so of course they did some bonkers, work-in-theory stuff.
    .

    The 'weak opposition' argument is an outright myth. Many of the key figures from the Major administration were still around, having handed over a strong and thriving economy. History will judge these people well, especially compared to what followed - we're less than 20 years down the line and the narrative is already changing.

    Only the most ardent leftist would argue that the scale of the defeat in 1997 was something that government deserved or brought upon themselves. As john Major remarked a few years later, and I'm paraphrasing somewhat, it was heartbreaking to see so many good MPs who had done nothing wrong ousted unceremoniously without a second thought, on the back of a mindless conformist bandwagon.
    As we have just seen with the EURef, there can be more to it than that.

    Rightly or wrongly, the perception was that the Cons were mired in sleaze, lurching from one scandal to another. Not to belittle as you say the work of a lot of great MPs and a great economic legacy, but people had had enough.
  • Options
    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869
    runnymede said:

    Polruan said:

    Cyclefree said:

    runnymede said:

    Cyclefree said:

    "The change campaign needs two strands: the promotion of the values and leadership skills of whoever emerges as unity candidate and the exposure of Corbyn’s incompetence and failure as a leader by those who worked for him and gave up in despair."

    Rather than focusing on the values of the alternative candidate - which leads to the dead end of the personalization of the candidate ("I'm a mother / married / gay / a woman / eat yogurt / love my dog / I believe in nice things - yeah, yeah, don't we all dearie") - it would be nice if a candidate promoted a political viewpoint.

    Just for a change. Just a thought. It used to happen. It might be nice for it to happen again.

    Corbyn did that, no?
    Yes. He did. Which is why any challenger needs to do the same. They're not. They're arguing about his management style which may well be catastrophically useless. But that is not really going to fire up the Labour electorate and it is not really going to do anything to persuade voters outside that electorate that Labour is a party fit to be considered for government.

    What is Labour for?

    Answers on one side of the paper only, please. Give examples of what the answers mean in practice and your proposals for implementation. Points will be deducted for a one-word answer (e.g. "equality" with no further explanation).

    Fundamentally Labour is, trite as it sounds, for the interests of the many rather than the few: for creating a society where the rewards of working hard are shared so that everyone can have a decent standard of living; where the risks of bad luck such as ill health or a lack of available employment are shared; where opportunities in life are not restricted by how rich one is born, or what jobs ones parents did, or ones race or gender.

    An economic policy that provides work that pays properly, educational opportunity for all and a safety net for when things go wrong are pretty much the essentials.
    The problem is, that is indeed all trite and meaningless.

    Innocent Abroad is right - Labour is a party whose time has gone.
    That may well be true, but the people @Polruan describes still need a political voice. The Labour brand is so very strong that it would be a pity to lose that - throwing the baby out with the bathwater.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,560
    edited July 2016

    The 'weak opposition' argument is an outright myth. Many of the key figures from the Major administration were still around, having handed over a strong and thriving economy.

    Of the six most senior figures in the Major government, two lost their seats, one suffered a serious heart problem within days of the election and had to give up frontline politics, two went to the backbenches and only one - Howard - stayed on for any length of time, leaving the shadow cabinet in 1999 before returning in 2002.

    That left Hague, Lilley, Ancram, Gillian Sheppard and er, not many others to try and oppose 419 MPs with a mere 164 MPs.

    Is it any wonder so many PFI disasters date from this time? Or that the government's foreign policy under the egregious Robin Cook consisted of lying down to have its belt tickled by the US and the EU? Or that so many diabolically bad laws were passed, ceding the supremacy of parliament to the ECHR? Or that the government pressed on with abolishing GM schools and the NHS internal market which had to be shamefacedly and expensively reintroduced when it was realised that their replacements were a much worse failure? Or that the government became obsessed with fox-hunting?

    If you genuinely think strong oppositions don't matter, you don't understand adversarial democratic systems.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,623
    Jeremy won the Labour Leadership fair and square last September!

    I paid £3 for the privilege honour! :)
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034

    Jeremy won the Labour Leadership fair and square last September!

    I paid £3 for the privilege honour! :)

    Will you be supporting Jeremy again :p ?
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    ThrakThrak Posts: 494
    weejonnie said:

    Thrak said:

    'And that kids, is what we call irony².'

    https://twitter.com/ddiamond/status/755295291801268228

    I think the Orwelll estate need to be notified; the GOP convention last night was ripped off from the 'two minutes hate', barely disguised and cosmetically changed to become the 'two hours hate' instead.
    Plenty of hate outside and outwith the GOP convention.
    And they are trying to channel that incoherent rage and make it into a party platform. Reagan and Eisenhower must be spinning in their graves, like Labour a once great party being taken over by extremists.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Peter Thompson
    A Moroccan man has stabbed a French woman and her three daughters in Alps holiday resort for being scantily dressed. https://t.co/L69Yhbr02o
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,623

    The International Monetary Fund has slashed its forecast for UK growth next year after warning that the decision to leave the EU has damaged the British economy’s short-term prospects and “thrown a spanner in the works” of the global recovery.

    http://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jul/19/imf-cuts-uk-growth-forecasts-following-brexit-vote?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    LEAVE 52%
    REMAIN 48%

    :)
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Pulpstar said:

    Jeremy won the Labour Leadership fair and square last September!

    I paid £3 for the privilege honour! :)

    Will you be supporting Jeremy again :p ?
    With the honour increased from £3 to £25?
  • Options
    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    DavidL said:

    Cyclefree said:

    IanB2 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    "The change campaign needs two strands: the promotion of the values and leadership skills of whoever emerges as unity candidate and the exposure of Corbyn’s incompetence and failure as a leader by those who worked for him and gave up in despair."

    hy.
    It seems to me that post-1989 - other than the execrable Third Way - there has been no serious thinking on the social democratic left about what it should be about in a world where socialism/communism has effectively been defeated. That total gap where thought should be has meant that, other than spending tax revenues paid by bankers (and that particular golden goose is not really an option in the way that it was), the only thing on the Labour menu is a version of reheated socialism peddled by people like Corbyn and Milne coupled with some post-colonial sucking up to oppressed non-white people.

    The Left has got out of the habit of thinking about ideas and it needs to relearn the habit, fast. I could provide them with a reading list, if that would help. In fact, if I can be bothered, I may even try and come up with some ideas for them. They certainly need all the help they can get.

    There are so many obvious things. Our education system condemns millions of our fellow citizens to a life of relative poverty whilst the privately educated become ever more dominant in our public life. Even half of the pop stars had the advantage of being taught music at private school these days. But it is Gove that took up that chalice, not Labour.

    We have a situation where wage differentials grow ever more obscene and we don't have a party willing to make the case for more distributive taxes.


    We have an economy which is ever more focussed on London. Recent trips on holiday around southern England including a visit to Bluewater are a revelation. There is plenty of wealth in this country but it is becoming ever more focussed in terms of class and geography. Surely a centre left party could find plenty to chew on in this.
    Mr. L., With full respect it is not only Labour that needs to have a rethink about wealth distribution and ownership. From time to time we see, on here, firm adherents of the Conservative Party, very gently, acknowledging this.

    At some stage, I suspect in the not too distant future now that we have dumped the chumocracy, thinking about ownership, responsibility and distribution will become mainstream topics.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,560
    ydoethur said:


    Of the six most senior figures in the Major government, two lost their seats, one suffered a serious heart problem within days of the election and had to give up frontline politics, two went to the backbenches and only one - Howard - stayed on for any length of time, leaving the shadow cabinet in 1999 before returning in 2002.

    I forgot of course the best example of the lot - Lord Cranborne, whose deal over Lords reform, followed by his sacking, followed by Hague cravenly accepting the deal anyway both removed another senior and able figure and showed up in stark relief the weakness of the opposition.

    And the House of Lords remains a dog's breakfast to this day.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,623

    Pulpstar said:

    Jeremy won the Labour Leadership fair and square last September!

    I paid £3 for the privilege honour! :)

    Will you be supporting Jeremy again :p ?
    With the honour increased from £3 to £25?
    Not sure - I can use the money to fund my trainspotting habit :lol:
  • Options
    JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911

    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.


    There really aren't very many seats in that category though. Cambridge, Brent Central, Hornsey and Wood Green, that Leicester seat the LDs took in a by election... struggling to think of any others...
    Burnley is the 2nd most vulnerable ex LD seat and needs a bit over 4% swing

    LDs are in a bad place. Even if they get a 5% swing against the tories they win back only 10 seats on UNS. And they won't get a 5% swing...
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    rkrkrk said:

    The trouble with claiming there was no coup is... you know... that there was!
    And it was pretty obvious.... widely reported in papers, organized mass-resignation, attempt to keep Corbyn off the ballot etc.

    Indeed - Corbyn's sacking of Hilary Benn was a subsequent factor of an organised coup already in place, not the prelude to a mass protest by the PLP.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,464
    ydoethur said:

    The 'weak opposition' argument is an outright myth. Many of the key figures from the Major administration were still around, having handed over a strong and thriving economy.

    Of the six most senior figures in the Major government, two lost their seats, one suffered a serious heart problem within days of the election and had to give up frontline politics, two went to the backbenches and only one - Howard - stayed on for any length of time, leaving the shadow cabinet in 1999 before returning in 2002.

    That left Hague, Lilley, Ancram, Gillian Sheppard and er, not many others to try and oppose 419 MPs with a mere 164 MPs.

    Is it any wonder so many PFI disasters date from this time? Or that the government's foreign policy under the egregious Robin Cook consisted of lying down to have its belt tickled by the US and the EU? Or that so many diabolically bad laws were passed, ceding the supremacy of parliament to the ECHR? Or that the government pressed on with abolishing GM schools and the NHS internal market which had to be shamefacedly and expensively reintroduced when it was realised that their replacements were a much worse failure? Or that the government became obsessed with fox-hunting?

    If you genuinely think strong oppositions don't matter, you don't understand adversarial democratic systems.
    Also, the skills required for government are not the same as those required in opposition. It took the best part of the Tories' first term in government to work out that opposition required more than policy debates on the one hand and nit-picking on the other.

    Administrative ability counts for very little in opposition (except in the leader, who has a party machine to run), but a person's effectiveness in the media and the Commons becomes far more important.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Christopher Snowden
    More spiralling inequality revealed in the latest ONS data. https://t.co/0pGEVrkSf5 https://t.co/DbRu5xbGUC
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,395
    edited July 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    Icarus said:

    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.

    As Chairman of one of the (I think it was 5) constituencies where we refused to stand aside for the sitting labour MP to stand as an SDP candidate don't expect Liberal Democrats to be too enthusiastic to welcome a useless ex Labour MP! -Ours was Ron Brown in Hackney South(George Browns brother)
    Didn't he swing the mace in Parly once?
    Different Ron Brown.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,464
    rkrkrk said:

    The trouble with claiming there was no coup is... you know... that there was!
    And it was pretty obvious.... widely reported in papers, organized mass-resignation, attempt to keep Corbyn off the ballot etc.

    That doesn't make it illegitimate.
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Icarus said:

    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.

    As Chairman of one of the (I think it was 5) constituencies where we refused to stand aside for the sitting labour MP to stand as an SDP candidate don't expect Liberal Democrats to be too enthusiastic to welcome a useless ex Labour MP! -Ours was Ron Brown in Hackney South(George Browns brother)

    Lib Dems are not Labour Lite.

    Labour is authoritarian and anti free trade.

    Lib Dems are liberal and pro free trade.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,582
    edited July 2016
    One for Sean T http://l-bc.co/HB2y6h

    Assuming it wasn't actually him phoning in to LBC
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388

    The International Monetary Fund has slashed its forecast for UK growth next year after warning that the decision to leave the EU has damaged the British economy’s short-term prospects and “thrown a spanner in the works” of the global recovery.

    http://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jul/19/imf-cuts-uk-growth-forecasts-following-brexit-vote?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    LEAVE 52%
    REMAIN 48%

    :)
    "it expected the UK economy to grow by 1.3% in 2017"

    I thought we were heading to recession?!
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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    The International Monetary Fund has slashed its forecast for UK growth next year after warning that the decision to leave the EU has damaged the British economy’s short-term prospects and “thrown a spanner in the works” of the global recovery.

    http://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jul/19/imf-cuts-uk-growth-forecasts-following-brexit-vote?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    Is this the same IMF headed by a French politician who is about to go on trial for her role in a 400 million Euro fraud when she was the Frog's Finance minister. Hello, you expect me to take her pronouncements seriously.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,623

    The International Monetary Fund has slashed its forecast for UK growth next year after warning that the decision to leave the EU has damaged the British economy’s short-term prospects and “thrown a spanner in the works” of the global recovery.

    http://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jul/19/imf-cuts-uk-growth-forecasts-following-brexit-vote?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    LEAVE 52%
    REMAIN 48%

    :)
    "it expected the UK economy to grow by 1.3% in 2017"

    I thought we were heading to recession?!
    No, no! It was WW3, plague, zombies and lingering DEATH!
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Oliver Letwin to stand down as MP for West #Dorset at next election.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    Betting plays of our time

    Back B Sanders @ 110.0 for POTUS £4.53 ;
    Lay B Carson @ 95 for GOP VP pick £5.00
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,106

    Icarus said:

    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.

    As Chairman of one of the (I think it was 5) constituencies where we refused to stand aside for the sitting labour MP to stand as an SDP candidate don't expect Liberal Democrats to be too enthusiastic to welcome a useless ex Labour MP! -Ours was Ron Brown in Hackney South(George Browns brother)

    Lib Dems are not Labour Lite.

    The problem was a lot of their voters were - half jumped ship the instant they weren't, and their other issues squeezed the rest.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,395
    'Disqualification from the EU? Yer don't wanna be doing that.'

    https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/755376382348238848
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,582

    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.


    There really aren't very many seats in that category though. Cambridge, Brent Central, Hornsey and Wood Green, that Leicester seat the LDs took in a by election... struggling to think of any others...
    Burnley is the 2nd most vulnerable ex LD seat and needs a bit over 4% swing

    LDs are in a bad place. Even if they get a 5% swing against the tories they win back only 10 seats on UNS. And they won't get a 5% swing...
    If swings involving the LibDems were uniform, they wouldn't have won those seats in the first place.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Probably already mentioned, but an interesting sub-plot from the YouGov Labour poll is that Corbyn is now LEAST popular with London members, and more popular in "provincial England". Despite the stereotype about how he's only popular with the Islington middle-class, while unpopular with "traditional" Labour members.

    That squares with my anecdotal experience: in my Northern CLP, Corbyn is still very popular, people feel that they've finally got their party back. That is not so much about him being left-wing, but just the idea that there's finally a Labour leader who's "for the people" rather than another career politician just interested in scratching the backs of the other rich sods down in London. The PLP "moderates" have a lot of work to do to shake off that perception.

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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    PlatoSaid said:

    Christopher Snowden
    More spiralling inequality revealed in the latest ONS data. https://t.co/0pGEVrkSf5 https://t.co/DbRu5xbGUC

    What? The GINI is the same as it was in 2003 ffs. Fair enough to argue that we've made no progress, but spiralling inequality? Another sad victim of the Hyperbole Fairy.
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    ToryJimToryJim Posts: 3,486
    PlatoSaid said:

    Oliver Letwin to stand down as MP for West #Dorset at next election.

    That will be a bun fight!
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,030
    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Interesting piece from Mr. Brind, but the faith in Corbyn seems largely ideological, and (as the EU shows) ideologues often do not permit reality to intrude upon beautiful theories.

    Mr. Llama, no, it's the IMF that said Osborne's approach would kill growth, then had to perform a volte-face when the UK became the best performing economy in the EU.
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
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    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083
    AnneJGP said:

    runnymede said:

    Polruan said:

    Cyclefree said:

    runnymede said:

    Cyclefree said:

    "The change campaign needs two strands: the promotion of the values and leadership skills of whoever emerges as unity candidate and the exposure of Corbyn’s incompetence and failure as a leader by those who worked for him and gave up in despair."

    Rather than focusing on the values of the alternative candidate - which leads to the dead end of the personalization of the candidate ("I'm a mother / married / gay / a woman / eat yogurt / love my dog / I believe in nice things - yeah, yeah, don't we all dearie") - it would be nice if a candidate promoted a political viewpoint. .

    Corbyn did that, no?
    Yes.

    Fundamentally Labour is, trite as it sounds, for the interests of the many rather than the few: for creating a society where the rewards of working hard are shared so that everyone can have a decent standard of living; where the risks of bad luck such as ill health or a lack of available employment are shared; where opportunities in life are not restricted by how rich one is born, or what jobs ones parents did, or ones race or gender.

    An economic policy that provides work that pays properly, educational opportunity for all and a safety net for when things go wrong are pretty much the essentials.
    The problem is, that is indeed all trite and meaningless.

    Innocent Abroad is right - Labour is a party whose time has gone.
    That may well be true, but the people @Polruan describes still need a political voice. The Labour brand is so very strong that it would be a pity to lose that - throwing the baby out with the bathwater.
    To say that it's meaningless to argue for properly paid work, social safety nets and social mobility through education is quite a scary condemnation of the political discourse. I think Labour's time might be over but it's not because those aspirations are outdated (in fact May's stated aims, if not necessarily her actions, aren't a million miles away). What has killed Labour is trying to build a coalition based on two other priorities: equalities which have come to be seen as the priority in and of themselves rather than as a means of tackling inequality of economic and social opportunity; and internationalism as a guiding principle in all circumstances rather than only where it serves the purpose of socialist solidarity and shaping economies in pursuit of the key socialist outcomes. The fact that a Labour leader is required by his MPs to campaign for the European project but encouraged to accept continued dismantling of elements of the welfare state safety net tells you everything about the weirdness of Labour's current coalition.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    He's a tit. Have you seen the clip where he is horrifically sexist to Leanne Wood :( ?
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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    I see the IMF has cut the UK's growth forecast so we're going to be doing almost as badly as Germany. Remain were right. This is a disaster.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,106
    kle4 said:

    Icarus said:

    chestnut said:

    I wonder how many relatively moderate Labour MPs may look at seats they have recently taken off the Lib Dems and conclude that a rosette switch might prove wise where the Lib Dems were still functioning and able to put up a good showing.

    As Chairman of one of the (I think it was 5) constituencies where we refused to stand aside for the sitting labour MP to stand as an SDP candidate don't expect Liberal Democrats to be too enthusiastic to welcome a useless ex Labour MP! -Ours was Ron Brown in Hackney South(George Browns brother)

    Lib Dems are not Labour Lite.

    The problem was a lot of their voters were - half jumped ship the instant they weren't, and their other issues squeezed the rest.
    We know that to be the case too, given how many people and commentators saw it as an instant betrayal to deal with the Tories, before any details came to light - despite saying the might, they were expected to only work with Labour, practically an official anti-Tory pact. Which apparently is being floated again in some quarters.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    John_M said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Christopher Snowden
    More spiralling inequality revealed in the latest ONS data. https://t.co/0pGEVrkSf5 https://t.co/DbRu5xbGUC

    What? The GINI is the same as it was in 2003 ffs. Fair enough to argue that we've made no progress, but spiralling inequality? Another sad victim of the Hyperbole Fairy.
    I rather think that Mr Snowden is being sarcastic.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    John_M said:

    I see the IMF has cut the UK's growth forecast so we're going to be doing almost as badly as Germany. Remain were right. This is a disaster.

    You can cleanse your sins by joining the Lib Dems :)
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    FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    A Moroccan man has just stabbed an eight year old girl, her two sisters and their mother at a French Alps holiday resort. He wasn't happy with the way they were dressed.

    Nuts.
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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    John_M said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Christopher Snowden
    More spiralling inequality revealed in the latest ONS data. https://t.co/0pGEVrkSf5 https://t.co/DbRu5xbGUC

    What? The GINI is the same as it was in 2003 ffs. Fair enough to argue that we've made no progress, but spiralling inequality? Another sad victim of the Hyperbole Fairy.
    I rather think that Mr Snowden is being sarcastic.
    I maybe slightly overheated such that my sarcasm detection meter is temporarily malfunctioning :).
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651

    rkrkrk said:

    The trouble with claiming there was no coup is... you know... that there was!
    And it was pretty obvious.... widely reported in papers, organized mass-resignation, attempt to keep Corbyn off the ballot etc.

    Indeed - Corbyn's sacking of Hilary Benn was a subsequent factor of an organised coup already in place, not the prelude to a mass protest by the PLP.
    Yes, when Donald Brind writes "They all tried to make a go of the Corbyn project but ended up resigning after Corbyn sacked Hilary Benn in the middle of the night" - I am sure that Corbyn supporters will have quite a different view on this sequence of events! There's nothing wrong with being fiercely loyal to Labour and opposing Corbyn being its leader. But I think sometimes a view to the bigger picture is needed than "Corbyn sacked Hilary Benn in the middle of the night"... I mean, what preceded that, and why did Corbyn do it? Were the resignees fully committed to the Big Tent right up to the moment that Benn was sacked, then all of a sudden this mysterious and unprompted sacking changed their minds?

    Some people may think that, but I think there will be a lot of grassroots Labour members who take a rather dimmer view of it all.
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