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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s future – the wait goes on

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  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,551
    AndyJS said:

    Channel 4 News — voters in Stoke-on-Trent p***ed off with not having a Brexit PM.

    Difficult to take the complaints of a city which voted so decisively for Bremain MPs completely seriously on this score.
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    LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941

    Mr. Rabbit, it was a happier, more stable time.

    Like when Bryan Adams was number one for four months, we could rely on Ed Miliband to promise us free owls, to call for full, independent, judge-led public inquiries, and to remind us that these strikes are wrong when negotiations are still ongoing*.

    *And the Government has acted in a reckless and provocative manner.

    Hey, at least Ed Milliband could switch the order of the individual phrases.

    George Osborne struggled to do even that.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-11627746
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    MTimT said:

    SeanT said:

    Mark3 said:

    "Cameron is reported to have told other EU states in his first post-referendum meeting with them that change is needed to Freedom of Movement."

    Does anyone believe that rubbish? That is such a typical example of British news reporting about a British prime minister going to a foreign place called the EU and telling those foreigners what's what.

    Think about it for a moment. A British prime minister - and an outgoing one at that - telling the EU, which Britain is supposed to be leaving, that it's going to have to get rid of one of the main planks of its single market. And what did they all say? "Yes, David, we hadn't thought of that, but you're absolutely right. You old Etonians had so much experience in India and Africa and it really shows. We're so indebted to you." Then it is reported that they burst into an enthusiastic rendition of "For he's a jolly good fellow".

    Except that lots of Europeans now want Free Movement to be qualified, in some form.

    It's not like they've never done it before. They restricted free movement on Poland etc, on accession.

    Which just goes to show how shit Cameron's negotiation was, and how dumb the EU is, as an institution. Brexit was so easily avoided if he'd been better and they'd been smarter.
    In Pakistan at the moment delivering a couple of workshops. One of my colleagues is Belgian. He is of the view that Brexit was good, as we were always the ones preventing the rEU progressing faster on social and political integration. He is in the good riddance camp, although hoping the best for the UK outside the EU.

    It is that mentality that confirms to me that Brexit was the right thing to do and that, despite some local short-term difficulties, the UK will do fine in the long-run and it is the EU that has a potentially tumultuous future.
    As Zhou Enlai said about the French Revolution (or, as I have recently learned, more likely about the 1968 protests), it is "too early to say" the real results of Brexit and will probably be so in 20 or 40 years' time too!

    Having said that, I'd deem it pretty unlikely that in 20 years, we will look at whatever the EU has evolved into and think "yeah, that looks like Britain (or whatever the UK has evolved into) would be a good fit". And in 40 years, it's almost inconceivable.
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    DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    Robert Peston ‏@Peston 1m1 minute ago
    Hearing NEC to rule @jeremycorbyn has to get MP nominations. Throws Lab leadership wide open. @OwenSmith_MP bound to challenge @angelaeagle
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,283
    JackW said:

    Florida - JMC Analytics

    Clinton 42 .. Trump 47

    Note - large underpoll of Hispanics with a 13 point Trump lead in that demographic !!

    http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Florida-Executive-Summary.pdf

    Are you suggesting you don't believe the poll, or that Trump might be outperforming expectations with Hispanics?
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Mr. T, Umunna is a slicker Ed Miliband. He's metropolitan through and through, and I'm not sure that's what Labour needs now, with UKIP surely knocking on Labour's northern doors.

    I cannot fathom how anyone can think Chuka has a drop of charisma, he is the very definition of an out-of-touch bland metropolitan nobody.
    To be fair Mrs May is hardly the life and soul of the party!
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Freggles said:

    Danny565 said:

    ToryJim said:

    ToryJim said:

    DanSmith said:

    MaxPB said:

    Keir Starmer available at 36 on BF exchange and Stephen Kinnock at 50 on the sportsbook.

    Would Labour risk a proper leadership contest? Surely better just to get Eagle in position before conference.
    Is Eagle really the best option they've got?
    A weepy, whiny woman? I do not think so.
    Indeed, if I were Labour I'd be twisting Hilary Benn's arm so far up his back right now.
    I actually wrote on PB a few months ago that I would probably vote for Benn in a leadership contest, but not after the EU Referendum. I come back to the big point: if "moderates" like Benn had a better sense of public opinion than Corbyn does, then he would have foreseen how badly the Remain campaign would go down with the country.
    52% and many pollsters called it wrong, but sure, Hilary Benn should have called it ....!
    All Benn would've had to do was take a walk around one of Labour's northern seats and ask about 20 people to get a feel for how people felt about the Remain campaign. Again, the fact he seemed completely oblivious to public opinion on that issue does rather suggest he would similarly misread public opinion on all manner of other issues if he was party leader.
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Clement Attlee will have outlasted David Cameron as PM by exactly 30 days.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Prime_Ministers_of_the_United_Kingdom_by_tenure
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Crick — Corbyn will be allowed to take part in vote.
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    edited July 2016

    Sky News must be relieved there has not been an Oscar Pistorius case in the last few days.

    No wonder he got a longer sentence - his defence didn't have a leg to stand on :blush:
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    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    If Corbyn's off the ballot paper, maybe that's the time to back Labour to win Most Seats at the next GE .... on offer at 4.0 (3/1) with Laddies and Bet365. Does anyone really think that with a half credible leader, the probability of Labour landing this bet is as low as 25%?
    DYOR.

    Good thought.
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    FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486

    Mr. Rabbit, it was a happier, more stable time.

    Like when Bryan Adams was number one for four months, we could rely on Ed Miliband to promise us free owls, to call for full, independent, judge-led public inquiries, and to remind us that these strikes are wrong when negotiations are still ongoing*.

    *And the Government has acted in a reckless and provocative manner.

    Don't forget the exhortations to drop the rhetoric and get round the negotiating table.
  • Options
    Pesto was quick out of the traps there. Did he count the ballots?
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    Ruh roh.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,283
    AndyJS said:

    Crick — Corbyn will be allowed to take part in vote.

    It would be suitably Orwellian if he were the only one to vote that he needs the nominations.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    George Eaton ‏@georgeeaton 2m2 minutes ago
    NEC voting now.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Sky News must be relieved there has not been an Oscar Pistorius case in the last few days.

    :lol:
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,030
    Mr. Freggles, wise words from former chairman Miliband.
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    ToryJim said:

    ToryJim said:

    DanSmith said:

    MaxPB said:

    Keir Starmer available at 36 on BF exchange and Stephen Kinnock at 50 on the sportsbook.

    Would Labour risk a proper leadership contest? Surely better just to get Eagle in position before conference.
    Is Eagle really the best option they've got?
    A weepy, whiny woman? I do not think so.
    Indeed, if I were Labour I'd be twisting Hilary Benn's arm so far up his back right now.
    I actually wrote on PB a few months ago that I would probably vote for Benn in a leadership contest, but not after the EU Referendum. I come back to the big point: if "moderates" like Benn had a better sense of public opinion than Corbyn does, then he would have foreseen how badly the Remain campaign would go down with the country.
    Fewer Labour voters voted Leave than Tory voters voted Remain, it was the near universal support of UKIP voters for Leave which was pivotal to the Brexit result
    17,410,000 UKIP voters? I voted Labour at the GE!
    You and I both, @Sunil_Prasannan . Both Labour and Leave.
    Well done to Labour Leave they must of had the biggest bang for their Buck during the campaign
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    saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    DanSmith said:

    Robert Peston ‏@Peston 1m1 minute ago
    Hearing NEC to rule @jeremycorbyn has to get MP nominations. Throws Lab leadership wide open. @OwenSmith_MP bound to challenge @angelaeagle

    Well that's that then, he's definitely on the ballot.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Peston better hope he's not jumped the gun.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,222

    JackW said:

    Florida - JMC Analytics

    Clinton 42 .. Trump 47

    Note - large underpoll of Hispanics with a 13 point Trump lead in that demographic !!

    http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Florida-Executive-Summary.pdf

    Are you suggesting you don't believe the poll, or that Trump might be outperforming expectations with Hispanics?
    Florida Hispanics are mainly Cuban and hate Obama for his rapprochement with the Castros. Trump could well win Florida even if he loses nationally
  • Options
    Ben Riley-Smith claiming Corbyn ON the ballot.
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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    MTimT said:

    SeanT said:

    Mark3 said:

    "Cameron is reported to have told other EU states in his first post-referendum meeting with them that change is needed to Freedom of Movement."

    Does anyone believe that rubbish? That is such a typical example of British news reporting about a British prime minister going to a foreign place called the EU and telling those foreigners what's what.

    Think about it for a moment. A British prime minister - and an outgoing one at that - telling the EU, which Britain is supposed to be leaving, that it's going to have to get rid of one of the main planks of its single market. And what did they all say? "Yes, David, we hadn't thought of that, but you're absolutely right. You old Etonians had so much experience in India and Africa and it really shows. We're so indebted to you." Then it is reported that they burst into an enthusiastic rendition of "For he's a jolly good fellow".

    Except that lots of Europeans now want Free Movement to be qualified, in some form.

    It's not like they've never done it before. They restricted free movement on Poland etc, on accession.

    Which just goes to show how shit Cameron's negotiation was, and how dumb the EU is, as an institution. Brexit was so easily avoided if he'd been better and they'd been smarter.
    In Pakistan at the moment delivering a couple of workshops. One of my colleagues is Belgian. He is of the view that Brexit was good, as we were always the ones preventing the rEU progressing faster on social and political integration. He is in the good riddance camp, although hoping the best for the UK outside the EU.

    It is that mentality that confirms to me that Brexit was the right thing to do and that, despite some local short-term difficulties, the UK will do fine in the long-run and it is the EU that has a potentially tumultuous future.
    As Zhou Enlai said about the French Revolution (or, as I have recently learned, more likely about the 1968 protests), it is "too early to say" the real results of Brexit and will probably be so in 20 or 40 years' time too!

    Having said that, I'd deem it pretty unlikely that in 20 years, we will look at whatever the EU has evolved into and think "yeah, that looks like Britain (or whatever the UK has evolved into) would be a good fit". And in 40 years, it's almost inconceivable.
    Completely agree. We're going to have to suffer both sides posting good/bad news on here for a while, but we really won't be able to truly pass a verdict for 10-15 years in my view.

    Interesting to see Brexit gradually disappearing from the news sites I follow. That's good news in its own right.
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    DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    George Eaton ‏@georgeeaton now9 seconds ago
    Corbyn is on the ballot - Labour rebels lose by four.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    George Eaton ‏@georgeeaton 20s20 seconds ago
    Corbyn is on the ballot - Labour rebels lose by four.
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    FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Danny565 said:

    Freggles said:

    Danny565 said:

    ToryJim said:

    ToryJim said:

    DanSmith said:

    MaxPB said:

    Keir Starmer available at 36 on BF exchange and Stephen Kinnock at 50 on the sportsbook.

    Would Labour risk a proper leadership contest? Surely better just to get Eagle in position before conference.
    Is Eagle really the best option they've got?
    A weepy, whiny woman? I do not think so.
    Indeed, if I were Labour I'd be twisting Hilary Benn's arm so far up his back right now.
    I actually wrote on PB a few months ago that I would probably vote for Benn in a leadership contest, but not after the EU Referendum. I come back to the big point: if "moderates" like Benn had a better sense of public opinion than Corbyn does, then he would have foreseen how badly the Remain campaign would go down with the country.
    52% and many pollsters called it wrong, but sure, Hilary Benn should have called it ....!
    All Benn would've had to do was take a walk around one of Labour's northern seats and ask about 20 people to get a feel for how people felt about the Remain campaign. Again, the fact he seemed completely oblivious to public opinion on that issue does rather suggest he would similarly misread public opinion on all manner of other issues if he was party leader.
    I live in one and plenty people I know think Remaining is a no brainier and the leave campaign had no decent arguments, but OK.
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    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    edited July 2016
    DanSmith said:

    Robert Peston ‏@Peston 1m1 minute ago
    Hearing NEC to rule @jeremycorbyn has to get MP nominations. Throws Lab leadership wide open. @OwenSmith_MP bound to challenge @angelaeagle

    Ooooooooo.....

    :astonished:
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,540
    DanSmith said:

    George Eaton ‏@georgeeaton now9 seconds ago
    Corbyn is on the ballot - Labour rebels lose by four.

    Bye bye Labour
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    DanSmith said:

    George Eaton ‏@georgeeaton now9 seconds ago
    Corbyn is on the ballot - Labour rebels lose by four.

    Ah, well after all of that. Labour is dead.
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    eekeek Posts: 25,094
    Wanderer said:
    Interesting tie break method....
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Moses_ said:

    DanSmith said:

    Robert Peston ‏@Peston 1m1 minute ago
    Hearing NEC to rule @jeremycorbyn has to get MP nominations. Throws Lab leadership wide open. @OwenSmith_MP bound to challenge @angelaeagle

    Ooooooooo.....

    :astonished:
    Peston jumped the gun. As I suspected.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,987
    As I thought. Corbyn on the ballot.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    OMG
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    Labour = fucked.
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    Pesto was quick out of the traps there. Did he count the ballots?

    Guessing.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    Will the BBC interrupt Saint Obama for the NEC vote?
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    Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307

    If Corbyn's off the ballot paper, maybe that's the time to back Labour to win Most Seats at the next GE .... on offer at 4.0 (3/1) with Laddies and Bet365. Does anyone really think that with a half credible leader, the probability of Labour landing this bet is as low as 25%?
    DYOR.

    Depends on boundary changes Peter.
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    LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    The Labour Party

    b 1900
    d 2016

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=McCDWYgVyps
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    MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    HYUFD said:

    JackW said:

    Florida - JMC Analytics

    Clinton 42 .. Trump 47

    Note - large underpoll of Hispanics with a 13 point Trump lead in that demographic !!

    http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Florida-Executive-Summary.pdf

    Are you suggesting you don't believe the poll, or that Trump might be outperforming expectations with Hispanics?
    Florida Hispanics are mainly Cuban and hate Obama for his rapprochement with the Castros. Trump could well win Florida even if he loses nationally
    Nope , Miami/Dade Hispanics are as you say mainly Cuban , those in the Northern parts of the state are not .
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    18:14 for Corbyn
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    MaxPB said:

    Labour = fucked.

    Basically.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    saddened said:

    DanSmith said:

    Robert Peston ‏@Peston 1m1 minute ago
    Hearing NEC to rule @jeremycorbyn has to get MP nominations. Throws Lab leadership wide open. @OwenSmith_MP bound to challenge @angelaeagle

    Well that's that then, he's definitely on the ballot.
    LOL. Poor Peston.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    Florida - JMC Analytics

    Clinton 42 .. Trump 47

    Note - large underpoll of Hispanics with a 13 point Trump lead in that demographic !!

    http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Florida-Executive-Summary.pdf

    Are you suggesting you don't believe the poll, or that Trump might be outperforming expectations with Hispanics?
    Their last Florida poll was Trump +5 and they only have a C rating from 538. The demographic breakdown is nonsense and I don't know any serious pundit who thinks Trump is leading Clinton by double digits with hispanics, even in Florida.

    Let's be generous - outlier.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,030
    edited July 2016
    Peston's a silly sausage.

    Terrible result for Labour. I hope the realignment can be swift, otherwise we may end up with a decade of effortless Conservative victories (and governments need holding to account).

    Edited extra bit: softened the line against Peston. Been a shade intemperate of late.
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    RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 2,978

    As I thought. Corbyn on the ballot.

    Labour officially died today.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,949
    Call off the ballot now (Jezza is going nowhere) :smiley:
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Thank GOD we've been saved from the disaster of an Eagle leadership.
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    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    Peston better hope he's not jumped the gun.

    Looks like he might have done....scruffy git
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    Scott_P said:
    "I now dissolve this Council permanently".
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    As forecast.

    Goodbye Labour.
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    FFS, both BBC and Sky News are showing the memorial service for the dead police officers in Dallas.
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    Tim_B said:

    Tim_B said:

    SeanT said:

    This summer of politics is like the 2005 Ashes. You knew after that series that cricket could never be that exciting again. Simply impossible. Drama sustained to the final hours...

    I was in England then - we were going to church one sunday evening, and stopped in the car park to listen to the cricket. Other church goers gathered around, and eventually the rector came out to join us. After the game we all wandered inside and did our god bothering bit.

    Best Ashes series I remember.
    Am rather surprised by the idea of you going to church! Was it to sight-see, or family obligation?
    Now, now, smarty pants. I am baptised and confirmed in the Church of England, as is my daughter. Why are you surprised?
    Think you would count as among the least likely of god-bothering types. Though perhaps Anglicans don't bother much with the "g-thing"!
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Ishmael_X said:

    Anyone who opines anything "clearly" has an agenda.

    The rule is, good case, 60% chance of winning. Great case, 65%, watertight 70%. Never believe anyone who says over that.
    This "Look at me, I'm a specialist" shit is just so embarrassing to real lawyers.
    Screw the experts! OK last time I post that.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,283

    As I thought. Corbyn on the ballot.

    Labour officially died today.
    Along with Pestowire.
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Pesto credibility?
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    JackW said:

    Florida - JMC Analytics

    Clinton 42 .. Trump 47

    Note - large underpoll of Hispanics with a 13 point Trump lead in that demographic !!

    http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Florida-Executive-Summary.pdf

    Methinks you're trying to tell us something Jack. God, it must be weeks and weeks since we last had a good old POTUS thread and it's only 2 weeks or less until the conventions start.
    For anyone interested, the best odds available for Trump are 4.4 with the Betfair Exchange, or 4.23 net of their 5% comm'n, which is way ahead of any of the major bookies.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,579
    edited July 2016
    deleted; behind the curve!
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,220
    edited July 2016
    Tim_B said:

    G-live: - Hang on, maybe this won’t take quite as long as we anticipated.

    — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) July 12, 2016

    NEC member: "Still debating legal advice. Vote in next half hour maybe."

    Then again, four crates of sandwiches have now into Labout HQ in the last half an hour apparently. (crates?)

    Maybe they mean kraits....

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Common_krait
    This is what Krait means to me:
    http://wiki.alioth.net/index.php/Krait_(Oolite)

    Yes, I'm sad.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Danny565 said:

    Thank GOD we've been saved from the disaster of an Eagle leadership.

    If Corbyn wasn't on the ballot plenty of other non-Eagle candidates would have come forward, you know.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,915
    YEEEEEEEESSSSSS
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    saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    saddened said:

    DanSmith said:

    Robert Peston ‏@Peston 1m1 minute ago
    Hearing NEC to rule @jeremycorbyn has to get MP nominations. Throws Lab leadership wide open. @OwenSmith_MP bound to challenge @angelaeagle

    Well that's that then, he's definitely on the ballot.
    And the Rogerdamus award for consistently being utterly wrong goes to





    Robert utterly useless Peston.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,222

    HYUFD said:

    JackW said:

    Florida - JMC Analytics

    Clinton 42 .. Trump 47

    Note - large underpoll of Hispanics with a 13 point Trump lead in that demographic !!

    http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Florida-Executive-Summary.pdf

    Are you suggesting you don't believe the poll, or that Trump might be outperforming expectations with Hispanics?
    Florida Hispanics are mainly Cuban and hate Obama for his rapprochement with the Castros. Trump could well win Florida even if he loses nationally
    Nope , Miami/Dade Hispanics are as you say mainly Cuban , those in the Northern parts of the state are not .
    Miami is the biggest city in the state, the North more rural and less populous
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    HYUFD said:

    JackW said:

    Florida - JMC Analytics

    Clinton 42 .. Trump 47

    Note - large underpoll of Hispanics with a 13 point Trump lead in that demographic !!

    http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Florida-Executive-Summary.pdf

    Are you suggesting you don't believe the poll, or that Trump might be outperforming expectations with Hispanics?
    Florida Hispanics are mainly Cuban and hate Obama for his rapprochement with the Castros. Trump could well win Florida even if he loses nationally
    Incorrect. Cuban Hispanics are 30% of the demographic.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,030
    Mr. Labour, whilst sad and newsworthy, there's no way that's more important to the UK than the NEC decision today, which has dramatic implications for the UK's political scene perhaps for decades to come.
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Aquilam delanda est?

    Apologies in advance if I got the spelling/grammar wrong.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Also @saddened called it well re Peston.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,579
    Kudos @Southam, well called

    Labour now needs to wither and die, fast!
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    Danny565 said:

    Thank GOD we've been saved from the disaster of an Eagle leadership.

    If Corbyn wasn't on the ballot plenty of other non-Eagle candidates would have come forward, you know.
    None of whom would've been any more electable or any more in tune with public opinion, except possibly Clive Lewis.
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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    lol. Labour well and truly fucked! Even I will vote Tory.
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    RobD said:

    Scott_P said:
    "I now dissolve this Council permanently".
    Not much sign of any beer or sandwiches in that picture!
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    GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    The Labour Party membership. The gift that keeps on giving.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Thank GOD we've been saved from the disaster of an Eagle leadership.

    If Corbyn wasn't on the ballot plenty of other non-Eagle candidates would have come forward, you know.
    None of whom would've been any more electable or any more in tune with public opinion, except possibly Clive Lewis.
    Labour is dead now as a political movement. The party will split and the brand will wither.
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Danny565 said:

    Thank GOD we've been saved from the disaster of an Eagle leadership.

    :+1:
    Well subject to the votes of the selectorate.
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    DanSmith said:

    George Eaton ‏@georgeeaton now9 seconds ago
    Corbyn is on the ballot - Labour rebels lose by four.

    It may have been a political decision rather than a reading of the rules, but they came to the same conclusion.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,220
    edited July 2016
    Lowlander said:

    The Labour Party

    b 1900
    d 2016

    (Snip bugler)

    A while back I (think I) heard that the US military were running out of trained buglers. So they just made a ?trumpet? with a sound player in it.

    Edit: looks like it's correct. Leads to problems like this:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F5wxs49AuPg
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    CookieCookie Posts: 11,551
    Today, for the first tie, I realised that without thinking about it too deeply, I always assumed NEC meetings were held in Birmingham. I don't think I assumed they were held AT the NEC - not particularly efficient use of space - but the subliminal association was clearly too strong to overcome.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    @SMukesh If May is even a half-decent PM, that's where my vote will be going as well. For the first time ever.
    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Thank GOD we've been saved from the disaster of an Eagle leadership.

    If Corbyn wasn't on the ballot plenty of other non-Eagle candidates would have come forward, you know.
    None of whom would've been any more electable or any more in tune with public opinion, except possibly Clive Lewis.
    So why do you then only specify Eagle's candidacy as a 'disaster'? You seem to think that the Labour party is basically talentless and all Labour MPs are totally useless and incapable of inspiring confidence.
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    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    An Ode to the Labour Party 2016

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Qy9_lfjQopU
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Corbyn not won yet.

    But the current challengers don't seem a threat.

    Has Eagle backed down yet?
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    This is good news for those who want as clean a break as possible from the EU. No knicker-wetting Europhile across the despatch box from Theresa May if Jeremy wins.
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    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,011
    BBC don't understand it is AV. They need a tutorial.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,283
    edited July 2016
    So, will the new 'Democrats' party now be born and will the Lib Dems merge with it?

    Incidentally it's good branding because of the subliminal link with the US Democrats who are always portrayed as the sane wing of US politics in the British media.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,949
    edited July 2016
    MaxPB said:

    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Thank GOD we've been saved from the disaster of an Eagle leadership.

    If Corbyn wasn't on the ballot plenty of other non-Eagle candidates would have come forward, you know.
    None of whom would've been any more electable or any more in tune with public opinion, except possibly Clive Lewis.
    Labour is dead now as a political movement. The party will split and the brand will wither.
    The once in a century political "realignment" really could be on the cards in the coming years.
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Speak for Stoke, Jeremy!
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    Barnesian said:

    BBC don't understand it is AV. They need a tutorial.

    If only there were some experts on here!
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    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    NEW THREAD !!!!!!
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    RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 2,978
    Eagles has no chance. Only way is to split and start anew, as Labour brand well and truly tarnished
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658

    So, will the new 'Democrats' party now be born and will the Lib Dems merge with it?

    Incidentally it's good branding because of the subliminal link with the US Democrats who are always portrayed as the sane wing of US politics in the British media.

    The DemLibDems? NuLibDems? I need a drink.

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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Do challengers need 20% from each of the Parliamentary Party MPs and the European Parliament MEPs or from 20% of the combined total?

    Could the rules be interpreted either way?

    Should another meeting of the NEC be called to decide?
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    glwglw Posts: 9,556
    IanB2 said:

    Kudos @Southam, well called

    Spurs, the referendum, NEC today just in recent months.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,915
    IMO Corbyn now has to stand on a ticket of mandatory reselection for all MPs.

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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,949

    So, will the new 'Democrats' party now be born and will the Lib Dems merge with it?

    Incidentally it's good branding because of the subliminal link with the US Democrats who are always portrayed as the sane wing of US politics in the British media.

    Probably. And quite a few Tories after the next election (when I have a feeling UKIP will gain a lot of seats and hold the balance of power in a Con/UKIP government)

    We could essentially be creating a democrat/republican type set-up for the coming century.
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    DisraeliDisraeli Posts: 1,106
    I wonder what the last few weeks would have been like if REMAIN had won the referendum?
    The only thing that may have happened would have been the challenge to Corbyn (maybe)?
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    stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,780
    RobD said:

    Barnesian said:

    BBC don't understand it is AV. They need a tutorial.

    If only there were some experts on here!
    Briatin has had enough of experts.
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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650

    @SMukesh If May is even a half-decent PM, that's where my vote will be going as well. For the first time ever.

    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Thank GOD we've been saved from the disaster of an Eagle leadership.

    If Corbyn wasn't on the ballot plenty of other non-Eagle candidates would have come forward, you know.
    None of whom would've been any more electable or any more in tune with public opinion, except possibly Clive Lewis.
    So why do you then only specify Eagle's candidacy as a 'disaster'? You seem to think that the Labour party is basically talentless and all Labour MPs are totally useless and incapable of inspiring confidence.

    And what a joke of a leader who can`t command 51 MP`s + MEP`s.

    I am not voting for the hard left.
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    CookieCookie Posts: 11,551
    Disraeli said:

    I wonder what the last few weeks would have been like if REMAIN had won the referendum?
    The only thing that may have happened would have been the challenge to Corbyn (maybe)?

    No, I think there would also have been at least a challenge to Cameron.
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Prodicus said:

    So, will the new 'Democrats' party now be born and will the Lib Dems merge with it?

    Incidentally it's good branding because of the subliminal link with the US Democrats who are always portrayed as the sane wing of US politics in the British media.

    The DemLibDems? NuLibDems? I need a drink.

    It wil be NOTtheLib Dems and the Liberals. Already too many socialists in the Lib Dems.
This discussion has been closed.