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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Remain appear to be winning the ground game but looks like Leave are winning the twitter war
Matthew Goodwin has done some analysis and finds “The EU Referendum Events Project at the Universities of Kent and Nottingham, which is mapping campaign events in real time, shows Remain is far more active than Leave, the bulk of the activity on both sides is concentrated on London, and Brexit backers have yet to target northern England, which should be fertile ground for Eurosc…
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However, number of events matters less than persuasive quality and whether you're getting an in-person echo chamber of diehard supporters or getting floating voters who may be swayed.
And how many of the Remain events are the same people posing as different people as we saw in Kent and Sussex last week?
I had planned a major thread for this evening but had to put a filler piece instead until I get the latest TV show from Keiran (I was expecting it tomorrow but we're getting it tonight now)
It kind of seems odd. That's not where most of the electorate are after all. Did Lenin say you have to start off by seizing the means of communication.
None of my politically active Remain friends (predominantly lefties) have got involved with 'their' campaign. All the Leavers have.
https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/738050296623050753
It does rather accord with my perception that the SNP are not exactly busting a gut over this.
Indeed. Touche sir
I *am* Vote Leave for the 2,000+ homes and 5,000 residents where I live.
WHAT DO WE WANT?: EU Directive 205GH/5624/EC3013/P concerning Kettles.
WHEN DO WE WANT IT?: Er...
Seriously though it's about the quality of the events not the number.
I know we haven't been perfect, but does Remain even exist in your town?
She looks like a mannequin she's so good at being still, but it's actually a real (and creepy as hell) actress.
Make. Of. That. What. You. Will.
Scruffy ragamuffins and unkempt tatterdemalions support Remain?
I don't know if this means anything, but quite a few Union Jacks and St. George's Cross flags have been going up around the village over the last week or two.
I counted at least nine on my drive home from the station tonight.
I'm a founding member of the campaign for real ties, not those sodding thin ties, that are less wide than dental floss.
And don't even get me started on those bell ends, who tie their ties in such a way that the front part of the tie is shorter than the back part.
You can tell I'm very fashion conscious can't you.
If not, try putting one on. It may be the next best thing to Remain-repellent batspray.
(edited to add: evening, everybody)
Ties should be tight with a small knot.
Anecdote alert: last week someone asked me if I was wearing a Buller tie. Luckily, I already knew it was similar...
And men with long dirty fingernails should be executed, frankly. Unless they're Monty Don - and even then they should keep them short.
Ghastly, naff, urgh.
Hampstead should be a shoo-in for Remain.
Trousers should break once, somewhere between the top of the shin and the shoe according to taste.
I note that Amal Clooney was wearing a dress the other day that looked like she'd taken some deck chair material and tied it round herself in the shape of a bag. She looked like a bare root rose when it's been delivered and is surrounded by shapeless packaging material.
Apparently the designer is the latest thing.....
We would do well to have proper building apprenticeships in this country. Learning how to build and build well is a worthwhile skill.
Out of interest will it be counted the next morning or with no exit poll will we have to stay up half the night for the first indication as to what ia going on.
If it is only being announced regionally I guess there is no prospect of Sunderland revealing the first result un an hour flat.
Miss Cyclefree, that sort of thing baffles me. But, there we are.
Anyway, I must be off.
So based on yesterday's comments about the interaction between the outcome of the referendum and the exchange rate, today's fall in the pound means we can expect a vote to LEAVE. Buy $s.
However, we don't know which constituencies will be representative of the country as a whole.
Compare with Bedfordshire where leave are doing zilch in Midbeds Dorriesland but are apparently out in Luton and Dunstable persuading Labour voters to vote leave
Was afraid of this scenario:
Voter: Will I need a visa to travel to Europe
Me: We just don't know.
I think the problem is that there is so much building going on in the South East that the good people find it easier to work on new builds as a sub-contractor. So in terms of skills shortages East European tradesmen (or indeed tradesmen from anywhere in the world) should do well in the point count and quite right too.
However, there has been a recent trend for companies to offer only 31 inch or 33 inch. Must be an EU regulation.
I can see the force of the point you are making but I just wanted to suggest two points:-
1. Most of the migration will head for the areas of demand and growth which is overwhelmingly concentrated in London and the South East. That places a lot of strain on a relatively small area and further accentuates a divide between it and much of the rest of the UK. So a figure of, say, 80 million is not equally spread out over a large country - a large part is concentrated. That concentration may well place more constraints on further growth.
2. There are large areas of the UK which are not very inhabited but (a) that may be for a good reason i.e. not much reason for anyone to want to live there; and (b) the very space/green lungs and houses with gardens which are seen as desirable become impossible save for the very few as a result of an increase in numbers. So it's not just about whether we can accommodate more but about what that means for the style of life we have, our urban and country environment, for how we live and what our idea of home is.
I was brought up for parts of my childhood in Naples - a noisy, filthy, uber-urban city with scarcely a blade of grass anywhere in the place. I loved it. But I had Ireland too and a garden in which to play and Hampstead Heath. I think that part of the concern with an increasing population is that it will change a very English view of what the ideal or desirable life is - house and garden and a bit of space. That sense of space, that desire to have a bit of England which people can call their own is not to be dismissed lightly. Just because we can fit more and more people in does not necessarily mean we should. We ought to have the choice.
Simples.
Pick on a suitable possibility and assert it as A Fact.
Even with the Tories penchant for choosing unwisely I'd be surprised if they go for anyone else (on the Remain side) least of all those who have kept their heads down like Theresa May.
http://markavery.info/2016/06/01/poletraps-moors-caution/
Disappointing that Plod turns a fairly blind eye to wildlife crime despite it being on the scale that at least one native species of raptor has been all but driven to extinction in England. But then who owns the estates where this is happening?
Anyone know if they are including NI in the referendum polls.
NI is said to be very REMAIN so could make the difference in a close vote.