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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Election verdict. Corbyn is staying but he must raise his g

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  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,900
    edited May 2016
    Edit

  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. 1000, hope the weather's nice there, and you haven't been attacked by kangaroos.
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956

    The transmitter on here this morning seems stuck on Radio Leave. The wonky aerials must be responsible.

    Nah. People have turned off Radio Remain because presenters keep threatening listeners with dreadful consequences if their patronising tone is not adhered too.
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    But what if we wanted to sell widgets to the EU?

    That was answered in the speech: only 6% of UK companies sell to the EU.
    44% of our exports are to the EU.
    Not all UK companies export.
    90% of companies don't export
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,403
    DavidL said:

    TOPPING said:

    DavidL said:
    r example, do you make of this bit:

    "So what was the dusinesses a) prefer one-size-fits-all regulations; or b) dislike one-size-fits-all regulations?
    The point he is making, and it is a good point, is that the single market has not delivered any of the promise that those who fought for it (mainly Brits, some Germans) told us we would have.

    Integrating our regulations in widgets has not increased the manufacture or supply of widgets in the UK, it has actually made the manufacture and supply of widgets by countries like China easier wiping out our domestic industry.

    The growth rate of the EU has markedly slowed since the Single Market came into being and we need to think about why that is. The UK is not the worst affected by this, indeed our relative performance has improved markedly over that period but that is because we have slowed down less than most of the EZ, not because we are growing faster. Our growth is now largely being driven by immigration and the increase in the size of the workforce. One has to wonder for how long that is sustainable.

    The EU project of having ever more regulation from the centre is not working. It is a model from the 50s and the 60s that looks increasingly archaic, bureaucratic and hostile to innovation. It is making the EU less competitive, not more. Proof is in the numbers. We need a major change of direction and that does not look possible inside the EU.
    I am not surprised that the EU growth rate is slowing since the rise of the tiger, the brics (RIP), and other new emerging trading blocs. I think this is not tied into the EU structure per se.

    Coming back to our famous widget manufacturers (I have missed them), to de-hyperbolise the issue, my point was only ever that it is useful to have a common, one-size-fits-all set of regulations in a trading bloc and, crucially, that the UK has a seat at the table when those regulations are being determined and can fight for elements of the regulations that favour UK-based widget manufacturers.

    As for the point about growth being driven by immigration, I don't have a huge problem with that, even Brexit economic papers (the Capital Economics one for example, I think) say a drop in immigration would lower UK growth.

    As for hostile to innovation, well they seem rigorously pro-consumer sometimes, I think, at the expense of innovation so yes I don't disagree completely with that. Is it for the greater good? Perhaps, perhaps not.
  • Options
    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865


    I'm seeing non-political people in my Facebook timeline writing Cameron/Brexit parodies.

    Remain are just getting laughed at now; Leave might actually do this.

    It’s The Hope that Kills You.

    If the polls move another % point in leaves favour Cameron says Germany will invade Poland.
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    But what if we wanted to sell widgets to the EU?

    That was answered in the speech: only 6% of UK companies sell to the EU.
    44% of our exports are to the EU.
    Not all UK companies export.
    No, they don't. The newsagent at the bottom of your road probably doesn't export to the EU. I don't suppose either that they are too concerned by EU widget regulations.
    No, but they still need to comply with 100% of EU company red tape.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,403
    edited May 2016

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    But what if we wanted to sell widgets to the EU?

    That was answered in the speech: only 6% of UK companies sell to the EU.
    44% of our exports are to the EU.
    Not all UK companies export.
    90% of companies don't export
    How is @ThreeQuidder's local newsagent affected by EU widget regulations?
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,900
    edited May 2016

    runnymede said:

    As a Remainer, I wish Cameron would shut up and lead a trade delegation to Antarctica or somewhere else far away.

    But, but but... he's such an asset...

    All mickey-taking aside, he's certainly not turned out to be the Big Gun many expected him to be.
    Cameron's credibility has been based entirely on him appearing like a moderate and reasonable 'chap'.

    He now appears like one of the cranks at Speaker's Corner, raving about the end of the World in case of Brexit. It's unsurprising the public are now starting to view him in a very different light.
    He's also being very rude. When a man famed for having good manners outside PMQs gets rather boorish - it turns many off too. He lived to regret saying what he did about Kippers, and he's doing it again with members of his own Party. It's not big or clever - especially when you're PM.

    He's thrown away so much for so little in the last three months - I still can't quite believe it, though I feel the same.
    What a very good post, it confirms what I've been saying for weeks, Cameron is relying on people he's insulted to prop him up, that says plenty about his character. On a personal level I've always defended him, after the tragedy with his son he was very dignified and he appears to be a good family man, but he has demonstrated a very unpleasant side too often, people don't forget that.
    I find the same. 'A very good post' is always one "which confirms what I've been saying for weeks"!
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    A news blackout has been imposed on the stabbing in Germany. Best not tell people things they don't need to know, eh.
  • Options
    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Moses_ said:

    Sky news
    4 people stabbed at a railway station near Munich. One has died. Attacker has been detained

    Sky Reports indicate that the perpetrator was shouting "Allāhu Akbar" as he went about stabbing his victims.
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    But what if we wanted to sell widgets to the EU?

    That was answered in the speech: only 6% of UK companies sell to the EU.
    44% of our exports are to the EU.
    Not all UK companies export.
    90% of companies don't export
    How is @ThreeQuidder's local newsagent affected by EU widget regulations?
    No idea, why ask me?
  • Options
    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083

    Moses_ said:

    The Times:
    "Britain must not bank on its “special relationship” with the United States to compensate for losing global influence by leaving the EU, foreign and defence chiefs from every White House administration over the past 40 years have warned.
    In a letter to The Times, 13 former US secretaries of state and defence and national security advisers say that the country’s “place and influence in the world would be diminished and Europe would be dangerously weakened” after a vote to leave in next month’s referendum."

    Yet more interference from our American friends, tinged with just a hint of blackmail.

    Until their next war of course where we will be expected to "snap into line"
    You're quite right, Leave are pushing us in the direction of the worst of both worlds, where the USA would pay less interest in us because we featured so much less in their calculations by being more disengaged and on those rare (usually military) occasions where we did become of more interest to the USA we would feel compelled to throw ourselves wholeheartedly in the endeavour in order to try to attract more of their attention.

    It is a definite downside of voting Leave.
    I agree with the first part of that, but I don't remember the last time that a British PM (or Conservative leader when opposition) offered anything other than full-throated how-would-you-like me eagerness to get involved in US military adventures in order to attract attention and appear statesmanlike. So it's hard to see how it could really get worse.
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    Roger said:

    runnymede said:

    As a Remainer, I wish Cameron would shut up and lead a trade delegation to Antarctica or somewhere else far away.

    But, but but... he's such an asset...

    All mickey-taking aside, he's certainly not turned out to be the Big Gun many expected him to be.
    Cameron's credibility has been based entirely on him appearing like a moderate and reasonable 'chap'.

    He now appears like one of the cranks at Speaker's Corner, raving about the end of the World in case of Brexit. It's unsurprising the public are now starting to view him in a very different light.
    He's also being very rude. When a man famed for having good manners outside PMQs gets rather boorish - it turns many off too. He lived to regret saying what he did about Kippers, and he's doing it again with members of his own Party. It's not big or clever - especially when you're PM.

    He's thrown away so much for so little in the last three months - I still can't quite believe it, though I feel the same.
    What a very good post, it confirms what I've been saying for weeks, Cameron is relying on people he's insulted to prop him up, that says plenty about his character. On a personal level I've always defended him, after the tragedy with his son he was very dignified and he appears to be a good family man, but he has demonstrated a very unpleasant side too often, people don't forget that.
    I find the same. 'A very good post' is always one "which confirms what I've been saying for weeks"!
    Yes, and a view which is gaining momentum.

    I thought you were in advertising, you know, having ideas that were ahead of the game.
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited May 2016
    “Part of what makes us British and patriotic is that Labour is the anti-Fascist party.”


    BS the majority see violent protests and vandalised war memorials and think 'Left wing thugs'.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited May 2016
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,019
    TOPPING said:



    Coming back to our famous widget manufacturers (I have missed them), to de-hyperbolise the issue, my point was only ever that it is useful to have a common, one-size-fits-all set of regulations in a trading bloc and, crucially, that the UK has a seat at the table when those regulations are being determined and can fight for elements of the regulations that favour UK-based widget manufacturers.

    .

    Except as we have pointed out before, increasingly these standardising decisions are not made at an EU level but at a higher international level. And since we have surrendered our seat at those organisations to the EU we now have effectively no say in the creation of standards and regulations. The EU speaks on our behalf (or rather 1/28th of our behalf). Outside of the EU we would have full representation on those bodies.
  • Options
    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083
    Moses_ said:


    I'm seeing non-political people in my Facebook timeline writing Cameron/Brexit parodies.

    Remain are just getting laughed at now; Leave might actually do this.

    It’s The Hope that Kills You.

    If the polls move another % point in leaves favour Cameron says Germany will invade Poland.
    "Vote Remain or the Sudetenland gets it"
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,393
    TOPPING said:

    DavidL said:

    TOPPING said:

    DavidL said:

    r example, do you make of this bit:

    "So what was the dusinesses a) prefer one-size-fits-all regulations; or b) dislike one-size-fits-all regulations?
    .
    I am not surprised that the EU growth rate is slowing since the rise of the tiger, the brics (RIP), and other new emerging trading blocs. I think this is not tied into the EU structure per se.

    Coming back to our famous widget manufacturers (I have missed them), to de-hyperbolise the issue, my point was only ever that it is useful to have a common, one-size-fits-all set of regulations in a trading bloc and, crucially, that the UK has a seat at the table when those regulations are being determined and can fight for elements of the regulations that favour UK-based widget manufacturers.

    As for the point about growth being driven by immigration, I don't have a huge problem with that, even Brexit economic papers (the Capital Economics one for example, I think) say a drop in immigration would lower UK growth.

    As for hostile to innovation, well they seem rigorously pro-consumer sometimes, I think, at the expense of innovation so yes I don't disagree completely with that. Is it for the greater good? Perhaps, perhaps not.
    The problem is greater than you are acknowledging. The growth of the BRICS, specifically China, is creating hundreds of millions of new middle class consumers. Of course countries in catch up mode are going to grow more quickly than us but why is the EU growing more slowly in a world that has so many new opportunities?

    The answers are complex. Those on the right would point to excessively generous social security systems, excessive bureaucracy, wasteful public spending. Those on the middle might look at our educational standards. Those on the left would no doubt claim that a more equal, cohesive society would do better and that the rewards of society being so unequally distributed reduces overall demand.

    What is clear, after more than 20 years of relative failure, is that the EU model is not the answer. When the EU dream up more employee rights they condemn too many of their citizens to unemployment. When it imposes such enormously high regulatory standards it creates barriers to entry which protect existing businesses at the cost of the new, innovative and creative alternatives. When artificial creations such as fishing quota or single farm payments are worth more than the boats or the farms the market is so distorted that resources are not efficiently allocated.

    And the proof is in the numbers.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,900
    edited May 2016
    Jonathan said:

    Roger said:

    "Labour values are British values. In the face of Tory and Ukip populism it is vital that we continually assert that Labour is the patriotic party.

    "Part of what makes us British and patriotic is that Labour is the anti-Fascist party."

    These kinds of comments are not just why Labour will lose in 2020; not even why Labour will deserve to lose in 2020; but why they will be completely incredulous as to how and why it happens.

    The supreme arrogance and complacence to believe that Labour is, simply by assertion and self-definition, the complete and therefore unique representation of British values is breathtaking. It's also distinctly worrying: what does it say about Labour's views of the legitimacy of other parties.

    Don tells us: "Labour is the anti-Fascist party". Leave aside that Labour has proven itself these last few weeks to be indirectly institutionally anti-Semitic, tolerating member after member who was directly so, "the anti-Fascist party"? THE anti-Fascist party??!!" What does that make the rest?

    No, Don. Labour cannot be the patriotic party because far too many people within Labour - including those at the very top - hate what Britain is and what it stands for, they hate its power in the world, they hate its history (inescapably tied to patriotism), they oppose the symbols of patriotism.

    Symbols do indeed matter. But symbols can only reinforce an existing truth; they cannot manufacture one, still less negate one that runs counter to the symbol; that is to play the harmony to a completely different melody. The patriotism game is one that Labour simply cannot win under its current leadership. What is remarkable is that people like Don not only believe that they should try, not only believe that they can prevail but believe that to to do, they need do nothing more than state deluded self-evidencies against a photoshoot backdrop.

    Best of British with that.

    I can hardly believe that post is yours. I've never thought of you as one of those John O' Gaunt posters who proliferate this site
    Not sure Labour should take lectures on patriotism and British values from the party that just brought us the Zac Goldsmith campaign.
    "British values" as accepted by the majority of posters on this site are most succinctly expressed by Richard Dodd.

  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    rcs1000 said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    But what if we wanted to sell widgets to the EU?

    That was answered in the speech: only 6% of UK companies sell to the EU.
    44% of our exports are to the EU.
    Not all UK companies export.
    But as a country we - like every modern economy - are dependent on imports. Coal, oil, natural gas, electricity, food, electronics, iron ore, and almost every type of raw material.

    Without exports, we cannot afford to pay for the imports.
    There are essential imports and non essential ones. Where do we get our essential ones from?

    There are also imports that can be sourced from other destinations and there are imports that can be replaced by domestic production.

    We are back to German cars and French wines. We can build our own and buy elsewhere if the mood takes.
  • Options
    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    A news blackout has been imposed on the stabbing in Germany. Best not tell people things they don't need to know, eh.

    At least not till June 24th.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Latest ARSE4EU Referendum Projection Countdown

    999 seconds
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    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    Roger said:

    Jonathan said:

    Roger said:

    "Labour values are British values. In the face of Tory and Ukip populism it is vital that we continually assert that Labour is the patriotic party.

    "Part of what makes us British and patriotic is that Labour is the anti-Fascist party."

    These kinds of comments are not just why Labour will lose in 2020; not even why Labour will deserve to lose in 2020; but why they will be completely incredulous as to how and why it happens.

    The supreme arrogance and complacence to believe that Labour is, simply by assertion and self-definition, the complete and therefore unique representation of British values is breathtaking. It's also distinctly worrying: what does it say about Labour's views of the legitimacy of other parties.

    Don tells us: "Labour is the anti-Fascist party". Leave aside that Labour has proven itself these last few weeks to be indirectly institutionally anti-Semitic, tolerating member after member who was directly so, "the anti-Fascist party"? THE anti-Fascist party??!!" What does that make the rest?

    No, Don. Labour cannot be the patriotic party because far too many people within Labour - including those at the very top - hate what Britain is and what it stands for, they hate its power in the world, they hate its history (inescapably tied to patriotism), they oppose the symbols of patriotism.

    Symbols do indeed matter. But symbols can only reinforce an existing truth; they cannot manufacture one, still less negate one that runs counter to the symbol; that is to play the harmony to a completely different melody. The patriotism game is one that Labour simply cannot win under its current leadership. What is remarkable is that people like Don not only believe that they should try, not only believe that they can prevail but believe that to to do, they need do nothing more than state deluded self-evidencies against a photoshoot backdrop.

    Best of British with that.

    I can hardly believe that post is yours. I've never thought of you as one of those John O' Gaunt posters who proliferate this site
    Not sure Labour should take lectures on patriotism and British values from the party that just brought us the Zac Goldsmith campaign.
    "British values" as accepted by the majority of posters on this site are most succinctly expressed by Richard Dodd.

    There's no such thing as British values, ask 20 British people you'll get 20 different answers.
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    But what if we wanted to sell widgets to the EU?

    That was answered in the speech: only 6% of UK companies sell to the EU.
    44% of our exports are to the EU.
    Not all UK companies export.
    90% of companies don't export
    How is @ThreeQuidder's local newsagent affected by EU widget regulations?
    Well, there's all the waste transfer nonsense, for a start.
  • Options
    matbanmatban Posts: 3
    edited May 2016
    Scott_P said:

    Labour is the Patriotic Party...

    With a leader who

    might not kneel for the Queen
    sing the national anthem
    bow at the Cenotaph

    OK, let's get him a new suit

    He's no worse than the rest of them. And at least he's up front with his views.

    Cameron does patriotism when he thinks the voters are watching.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    A news blackout has been imposed on the stabbing in Germany. Best not tell people things they don't need to know, eh.

    It's such a news blackout it's all over Sky News and dare I say here too .... reported by your good self and others ....
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    edited May 2016
    JackW said:

    A news blackout has been imposed on the stabbing in Germany. Best not tell people things they don't need to know, eh.

    It's such a news blackout it's all over Sky News and dare I say here too .... reported by your good self and others ....
    I read it on the BBC website

    Bavarian public radio reports that the Munich prosecutor has imposed a news blackout and that contradictory statements have emerged from the scene.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292

    Another Allahu Akbar attack nr Munich this morning - one fatality, several others with serious stab wounds.

    If it is one of Auntie Merkel's new visitors I wonder if the press will attempt another cover up?
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. W, I'm as surprised as you are that Chancellor Merkel doesn't yet have authority to suppress news in the UK ;)
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    Innocent_AbroadInnocent_Abroad Posts: 3,294

    "Labour values are British values. In the face of Tory and Ukip populism it is vital that we continually assert that Labour is the patriotic party.

    "Part of what makes us British and patriotic is that Labour is the anti-Fascist party."

    These kinds of comments are not just why Labour will lose in 2020; not even why Labour will deserve to lose in 2020; but why they will be completely incredulous as to how and why it happens.

    The supreme arrogance and complacence to believe that Labour is, simply by assertion and self-definition, the complete and therefore unique representation of British values is breathtaking. It's also distinctly worrying: what does it say about Labour's views of the legitimacy of other parties.

    Don tells us: "Labour is the anti-Fascist party". Leave aside that Labour has proven itself these last few weeks to be indirectly institutionally anti-Semitic, tolerating member after member who was directly so, "the anti-Fascist party"? THE anti-Fascist party??!!" What does that make the rest?

    Symbols do indeed matter. But symbols can only reinforce an existing truth; they cannot manufacture one, still less negate one that runs counter to the symbol; that is to play the harmony to a completely different melody. The patriotism game is one that Labour simply cannot win under its current leadership. What is remarkable is that people like Don not only believe that they should try, not only believe that they can prevail but believe that to to do, they need do nothing more than state deluded self-evidencies against a photoshoot backdrop.

    Best of British with that.

    The whole point of Parliamentary democracy is that no political Party has a monopoly of patriotism.

    This is of necessity particularly true in Britain, a state made up of three-and-a-bit countries.

    Both Donald Brind and David Herdson have demeaned themselves this morning. Labour under JC will continue to take pride in its internationalism - indeed, if it follows Donald's advice it will deserve to lose as many votes to the Greens (and civic Nationalists where they exist) as it picks up on the Right.

    David's concept of "indirect institutional racism" is straight out of the Trotskyist playbook. Either he thinks that the Chakrabati Inquiry (which he doesn't mention) will show Labour what it needs to do, or else he doesn't. Since we are all now happily replacing rational argument with ugly smears, let me predict that whatever she recommends, and however much of her recommendations JC accepts, David, let along the Hard Right claque which seeks to dominate this site 24/7 will say it's not enough. Frankly, if it's not enough, the Labour Party should be criminalised. And if it is enough their opponents should welcome it.

    But "fight fair" is no part of multi-cultural politics. And that is why representative democracy is doomed to fail within a generation.

  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    A news blackout has been imposed on the stabbing in Germany. Best not tell people things they don't need to know, eh.

    It's such a news blackout it's all over Sky News and dare I say here too .... reported by your good self and others ....
    I read it on the BBC website
    There too .... seems to be the greatest "news blackout" since OGH didn't reveal he hadn't backed Obama for President in 2008 @ 50/1 .... :smile:
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    But what if we wanted to sell widgets to the EU?

    That was answered in the speech: only 6% of UK companies sell to the EU.
    44% of our exports are to the EU.
    Not that much then, especially given most companies don't export and of those that do most exports already go outside the EU.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913
    edited May 2016

    There's no such thing as British values, ask 20 British people you'll get 20 different answers.

    Isn't that the point? Yet some Tories seem to think their version is canonical.
  • Options
    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Polruan said:

    Moses_ said:


    I'm seeing non-political people in my Facebook timeline writing Cameron/Brexit parodies.

    Remain are just getting laughed at now; Leave might actually do this.

    It’s The Hope that Kills You.

    If the polls move another % point in leaves favour Cameron says Germany will invade Poland.
    "Vote Remain or the Sudetenland gets it"
    Ah ......Mr Cameron, how nice of you to join us. Now, about this world war 3 malarkey?

    http://tinyurl.com/zw6pz9h
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,403
    DavidL said:

    TOPPING said:

    DavidL said:

    TOPPING said:

    DavidL said:

    r gulations?
    .
    eot.
    The problem is greater than you are acknowledging. The growth of the BRICS, specifically China, is creating hundreds of millions of new middle class consumers. Of course countries in catch up mode are going to grow more quickly than us but why is the EU growing more slowly in a world that has so many new opportunities?

    The answers are complex. Those on the right would point to excessively generous social security systems, excessive bureaucracy, wasteful public spending. Those on the middle might look at our educational standards. Those on the left would no doubt claim that a more equal, cohesive society would do better and that the rewards of society being so unequally distributed reduces overall demand.

    What is clear, after more than 20 years of relative failure, is that the EU model is not the answer. When the EU dream up more employee rights they condemn too many of their citizens to unemployment. When it imposes such enormously high regulatory standards it creates barriers to entry which protect existing businesses at the cost of the new, innovative and creative alternatives. When artificial creations such as fishing quota or single farm payments are worth more than the boats or the farms the market is so distorted that resources are not efficiently allocated.

    And the proof is in the numbers.
    I don't see how us leaving the EU would address all those issues. We know that there is a structural change in the global economy whereby an increasing developing world workforce will put pressure on us in several ways, mainly factor inputs.

    If you are saying that by leaving we can reinvent ourselves as a nimble, new, young growing economy so as to compete with Asia, then I am not so sure. That is one hell of a transformation with markedly reduced new members (cos we will have reduced the workhorse element of immigration).

    And as everyone has mentioned the slowdown in growth of the EU, it is nevertheless still the destination for just under 50% of our exports.

    I must head off now but look forward to picking this up later I hope. Sorry the response was disjointed.

    @ThreeQuidder what EU regs does your newsagent have to follow? Genuinely interested.

    @Richard_Tyndall yes but there is still a ton of EU regs in particular, to get back on (but sadly I must now step off) the merry-go-round again, in financial services.
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    Jonathan said:

    There's no such thing as British values, ask 20 British people you'll get 20 different answers.

    Isn't that the point? Yet some Tories seem to think their version is canonical.
    I agree entirely.
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    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    edited May 2016
    Roger..As always..wrong...I do have values.. which are easily definable.. whereas you appear to have none whatsoever..you seem to wait until you see which way the wind blows...then follow it.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    David's concept of "indirect institutional racism" is straight out of the Trotskyist playbook. Either he thinks that the Chakrabati Inquiry (which he doesn't mention) will show Labour what it needs to do, or else he doesn't. Since we are all now happily replacing rational argument with ugly smears, let me predict that whatever she recommends, and however much of her recommendations JC accepts, David, let along the Hard Right claque which seeks to dominate this site 24/7 will say it's not enough. Frankly, if it's not enough, the Labour Party should be criminalised. And if it is enough their opponents should welcome it.

    But "fight fair" is no part of multi-cultural politics. And that is why representative democracy is doomed to fail within a generation.

    Only you are obsessed with the idea of criminalising the Labour Party. Only in your twisted mind is that an idea, nobody else has suggested it.

    Not sure where this delusion of yours has come from but until you realise it is a straw man of your own invention, everyone else will just be laughing at you.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Mr. W, I'm as surprised as you are that Chancellor Merkel doesn't yet have authority to suppress news in the UK ;)

    She does .... I heard it exclusively from Finchley Road Lizards News Network via a source at the Bavarian State Prosecutors Office who imposed a news blackout on PB .... Working well so far ....
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****

    The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to JNN the contents of the latest ARSE4EU Referendum Projection :

    Should The United Kingdom Remain A Member Of The European Union Or Leave The European Union?

    Remain 55% (+1) .. Leave 45% (-1)

    Turnout Projection 63% (+1)

    Changes from 3rd May.

    ......................................................................

    WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
    JNN - Jacobite News Network
    ARSE4EU - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors For European Union
  • Options
    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083
    Don, thanks for this - some interesting stuff. I don't disagree with this but I think you miss some important points. It's always an uphill struggle for Labour to be seen as a patriotic party, because an element in the Labour identity is supporting equality, which you can't really do without standing up for the discriminated-against, who by definition are minorities or relatively powerless (or both). A key element of this discrimination is always an appeal to the sense of patriotism versus the "other", meaning that Labour's stance can be characterised as "unpatriotic" and "against British values" by an unscrupulous opponent. In retrospect having fought for equality which now forms part of "British values" can be seen as patriotic, but you're never going to convince the majority of the electorate that your opposition to their discriminatory views is "patriotic" in real time. That's not a reason to stop doing it (because it's the right thing to do) but neither can it be relied upon as a majority-winning tool.

    Because Labour is vulnerable to accusations of anti-patriotism, it is essential that it can't also be tarred with discrimination, which is why the anti-semitism row is so damaging. If you can be attacked on both fronts, and accused of hypocrisy, it's massively toxic to the brand and makes it easier for opponents to deny you a hearing on any other matters. Probably fairly. That's why Livingstone and others should be out of the party without their feet touching the ground.

    The biggest electoral problem, though, is that the attributes you are describing are good things about the Labour movement, but not things that win elections. This stuff is all about avoiding negatives. The anti-discrimination element should be a subset of Labour's overriding aim of improving economic equality and offering opportunity to all. Instead the New Labour movement was about abandoning that overriding aim, and offering the anti-discrimination piece as a sop to keep the Labour movement on board with an essentially rightwing economic model. It's a brilliant manoeuvre: keeping your established base onside by convincing them that the new thing you are selling is actually what they've been fighting for all along, but 20 years down the line, the party is incredibly vulnerable to seeing its identity eroded by another party ticking some anti-discrimination boxes. A plan which Cameron, to his credit, has executed beautifully.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,063
    JackW said:

    BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****

    The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to JNN the contents of the latest ARSE4EU Referendum Projection :

    Should The United Kingdom Remain A Member Of The European Union Or Leave The European Union?

    Remain 55% (+1) .. Leave 45% (-1)

    Turnout Projection 63% (+1)

    Changes from 3rd May.

    ......................................................................

    WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
    JNN - Jacobite News Network
    ARSE4EU - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors For European Union

    And with confident thought in my head I shall go off to watch the cricketers of Essex (nost of whom are local) beat the visiting Sri Lankans. All of whom are!
  • Options
    Innocent_AbroadInnocent_Abroad Posts: 3,294

    David's concept of "indirect institutional racism" is straight out of the Trotskyist playbook. Either he thinks that the Chakrabati Inquiry (which he doesn't mention) will show Labour what it needs to do, or else he doesn't. Since we are all now happily replacing rational argument with ugly smears, let me predict that whatever she recommends, and however much of her recommendations JC accepts, David, let along the Hard Right claque which seeks to dominate this site 24/7 will say it's not enough. Frankly, if it's not enough, the Labour Party should be criminalised. And if it is enough their opponents should welcome it.

    But "fight fair" is no part of multi-cultural politics. And that is why representative democracy is doomed to fail within a generation.

    Only you are obsessed with the idea of criminalising the Labour Party. Only in your twisted mind is that an idea, nobody else has suggested it.

    Not sure where this delusion of yours has come from but until you realise it is a straw man of your own invention, everyone else will just be laughing at you.
    You don't seem to find my posts that funny.

  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    David's concept of "indirect institutional racism" is straight out of the Trotskyist playbook. Either he thinks that the Chakrabati Inquiry (which he doesn't mention) will show Labour what it needs to do, or else he doesn't. Since we are all now happily replacing rational argument with ugly smears, let me predict that whatever she recommends, and however much of her recommendations JC accepts, David, let along the Hard Right claque which seeks to dominate this site 24/7 will say it's not enough. Frankly, if it's not enough, the Labour Party should be criminalised. And if it is enough their opponents should welcome it.

    But "fight fair" is no part of multi-cultural politics. And that is why representative democracy is doomed to fail within a generation.

    Only you are obsessed with the idea of criminalising the Labour Party. Only in your twisted mind is that an idea, nobody else has suggested it.

    Not sure where this delusion of yours has come from but until you realise it is a straw man of your own invention, everyone else will just be laughing at you.
    You don't seem to find my posts that funny.

    I didn't say we'd be laughing at your posts ...
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    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    JackW said:

    A news blackout has been imposed on the stabbing in Germany. Best not tell people things they don't need to know, eh.

    It's such a news blackout it's all over Sky News and dare I say here too .... reported by your good self and others ....
    I read it on the BBC website

    Bavarian public radio reports that the Munich prosecutor has imposed a news blackout and that contradictory statements have emerged from the scene.
    Reports now indicate several people were stabbed .......as you do on your morning commute.

    My colleague in Hamburg who I have just had a conference call with says he is reading information on the BBC website.
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    Moses_ said:

    JackW said:

    A news blackout has been imposed on the stabbing in Germany. Best not tell people things they don't need to know, eh.

    It's such a news blackout it's all over Sky News and dare I say here too .... reported by your good self and others ....
    I read it on the BBC website

    Bavarian public radio reports that the Munich prosecutor has imposed a news blackout and that contradictory statements have emerged from the scene.
    Reports now indicate several people were stabbed .......as you do on your morning commute.

    My colleague in Hamburg who I have just had a conference call with says he is reading information on the BBC website.
    I'm a great admirer of the Germans, if they are imposing news blackouts its a very sinister move.
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    LondonBobLondonBob Posts: 467
    Alistair said:

    I see we were told to only trust ppppolls when it comes to Trump and the American elections

    So let's have a look then

    https://twitter.com/_mariocarrillo_/status/729677476117499904?s=09

    I too trust PPP.
    https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/729843275578880000
    In line with their state polls in NC and WV. Trump starting round about where Romney finished.
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    JackW said:

    BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****

    The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to JNN the contents of the latest ARSE4EU Referendum Projection :

    Should The United Kingdom Remain A Member Of The European Union Or Leave The European Union?

    Remain 55% (+1) .. Leave 45% (-1)

    Turnout Projection 63% (+1)

    Changes from 3rd May.

    ......................................................................

    WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
    JNN - Jacobite News Network
    ARSE4EU - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors For European Union

    Thanks. So, a nudge towards Remain from you.

    I think Remain has been in the 53-58 range in every Arse to date?
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    TOPPING said:

    I don't see how us leaving the EU would address all those issues. We know that there is a structural change in the global economy whereby an increasing developing world workforce will put pressure on us in several ways, mainly factor inputs.

    If you are saying that by leaving we can reinvent ourselves as a nimble, new, young growing economy so as to compete with Asia, then I am not so sure. That is one hell of a transformation with markedly reduced new members (cos we will have reduced the workhorse element of immigration).

    Why can we not be nimble?

    We don't need to be young, our nation has an old, long, proud history of being nimble and adapting to a changing world and changing challenges. In fact leading those changes frequently.

    We have tremendous advantages to help us in being nimble too, not least our native language being the modern global language. Yet every other developed English-speaking nation outside of the EU is better off than we are, or than the EU is doing. How sad is that? How successful is that?
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****

    The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to JNN the contents of the latest ARSE4EU Referendum Projection :

    Should The United Kingdom Remain A Member Of The European Union Or Leave The European Union?

    Remain 55% (+1) .. Leave 45% (-1)

    Turnout Projection 63% (+1)

    Changes from 3rd May.

    ......................................................................

    WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
    JNN - Jacobite News Network
    ARSE4EU - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors For European Union

    And with confident thought in my head I shall go off to watch the cricketers of Essex (nost of whom are local) beat the visiting Sri Lankans. All of whom are!
    Take your umbrella ... Frau Merkel dictates it'll rain all over Essex today, but look on the bright side it's a tad friendlier than the Luftwaffe raining bombs over the county during WWII.
  • Options
    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083
    Regarding the alleged Munchener Blackout, before reaching for the Giant Tinfoil Hatted Lizard Hypothesis once more, has anyone considered the possibility that one of the alleged perpetrators or victims may merely have been involved in a celebrity threesome?
  • Options
    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    The Germans will do what they feel they should do..a little like Putins Russia..and who can stop them..
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    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Sky news

    English test to be taken today by 6 year olds has been published on line. Christine Blower says exams compromised and can't go ahead. No criticism of the leaker I notice. DofE urgently looking into how the leak occurred.
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Polruan said:

    Regarding the alleged Munchener Blackout, before reaching for the Giant Tinfoil Hatted Lizard Hypothesis once more, has anyone considered the possibility that one of the alleged perpetrators or victims may merely have been involved in a celebrity threesome?

    :lol: - worthy of a Matt.
  • Options
    LondonBobLondonBob Posts: 467
    Trump VP picks?

    http://www.vdare.com/articles/for-immigration-patriots-scott-brown-probably-trumps-best-vp-choice-but-there-are-others

    Surprised Duncan Hunter isn't on there. For me it would be between Brown, Hunter and Kobach.
  • Options
    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    edited May 2016

    Roger..As always..wrong...I do have values.. which are easily definable.. whereas you appear to have none whatsoever..you seem to wait until you see which way the wind blows...then follow it.

    Be fair. Difficult to see how the wind is blowing from Monte Carlo. Always CNN world weather report of course. :wink:
  • Options

    TCPBetting...Yes..and that too.....it is a little early..

    You made me smile this AM. gnarf
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    This is an example of an insufferable arrogance which seems to think that it - and only it - is the embodiment of political morality. I have no doubt that there are plenty of Labour voters who are patriotic but so are plenty of Tories and Lib Dems and others. Patriotism and anti-fascism are not the prerogative of any one party. And nothing angers me more than Labour claiming the moral high ground on this.

    My father was at Belsen: he was a doctor in the RAF, a Squadron Leader, and he had to go there to do what he could for the survivors. It was a sight that stayed with him all his life and one of the few memories from the war he shared with me later. He had also been in Germany in the 1930s and it was because of what he saw there that he signed up with the RAF as many other Irishmen did.

    He loathed the way the left, exemplified by the likes of Livingstone and McDonnell, sought to appropriate the experiences and fights of others for their own illiberal causes e.g. in relation to Ireland - a cause about which, despite being embraced by the Left, they understood nothing - and still don't.

    And if you are really against fascists you don't cosy up to their 21st century equivalents just because they cloak their fascism in religious garb. You don't boast about fighting against homophobia and then invite as honoured guests people who think gays should be killed; you don't cite what your mother did at Cable Street in the 1930's and then invite to Parliament people who propagate the ancient blood libel against Jews; you don't claim to be pro-feminism and speak at gender-segregated meetings and support people who think that women should be stoned for adultery and it is OK for a man to beat his wife.

    It's not just symbols that matter. It's the reality as well. And the reality of today's Labour party is a long way away from the misty-eyed recollection of a WW2 survivor speaking of his experiences & being saluted by others who shared his horror at what he saw.

    Labour is now a party led by people who use the badges of anti-fascism and anti-racism and anti-this, that and the other to cover up an odious moral and cultural relativity which disguises their failure to distinguish between liberalism and illiberalism, between democracy and authoritarianism, between egalitarianism and misogyny, between social liberalism and homophobia, between tolerance ("live and let live") and an intolerance which seeks to crush anything different to itself.

    Until that reality changes, changing symbols will do nothing.

    But good for Khan for getting at least some of this and speaking up about anti-Semitism in his party. I have been one of the most critical of him here but credit to him for this. I hope he carries on in this vein.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Wanderer said:

    JackW said:

    BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****

    The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to JNN the contents of the latest ARSE4EU Referendum Projection :

    Should The United Kingdom Remain A Member Of The European Union Or Leave The European Union?

    Remain 55% (+1) .. Leave 45% (-1)

    Turnout Projection 63% (+1)

    Changes from 3rd May.

    ......................................................................

    WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
    JNN - Jacobite News Network
    ARSE4EU - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors For European Union

    Thanks. So, a nudge towards Remain from you.

    I think Remain has been in the 53-58 range in every Arse to date?
    ARSE REMAIN projections have ranged 53-57.5 with a rounded average of the 12 projections from 29th March of 55.17% and accordingly the LEAVE range has been 42.5-47 with an average of 44.83.

  • Options
    matbanmatban Posts: 3
    edited May 2016
    Moses_ said:

    Sky news

    English test to be taken today by 6 year olds has been published on line. Christine Blower says exams compromised and can't go ahead. No criticism of the leaker I notice. DofE urgently looking into how the leak occurred.

    Same way as the last one. A sympathetic civil servant or teacher uploaded it.
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    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    Cyclefree..Thanks for that .. It does sum them up..
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,271
    edited May 2016

    Roger said:

    You make the very relevant point that Labour have always been the 'anti-fascist party'. I watched a documentary on Himmler yesterday and it was notable that as the Nazis began their racist tyranny picking out the Jews the homosexuals and the the infirm the only people standing up to them were the Communists who were also the first residents of the Belsen concentration camp.


    For the leader of the country's premier left wing party to allow that USP to be lost is a tragedy. it puts him into the Gerald Ratner category of incompetents but with far more serious consequences. The 'right' are on the march with no one standing in their way.

    To believe Chakrabarti can repair the reputational damage with an inquiry is naively optimistic. I'm doubtful turfing out the leadership will be enough but it has to be the starting point.

    On the subject of anti-fascism Hillary Benn got it right in the Syria debate:

    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/dec/02/william-hague-breaks-with-cameron-over-use-of-ground-forces-in-syria
    Of course Benn rewrote history by implying that the PLP were somehow at the forefront of the fight against Franco. In fact they supported the government of the day's policy of non-intervention while the Fascists poured in support for Franco, and of preventing UK subjects from joining the International Brigade. They only reverse ferreted on that once defeat for the legal and democratically elected government of Spain was inevitable.
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    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****

    The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to JNN the contents of the latest ARSE4EU Referendum Projection :

    Should The United Kingdom Remain A Member Of The European Union Or Leave The European Union?

    Remain 55% (+1) .. Leave 45% (-1)

    Turnout Projection 63% (+1)

    Changes from 3rd May.

    ......................................................................

    WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
    JNN - Jacobite News Network
    ARSE4EU - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors For European Union

    And with confident thought in my head I shall go off to watch the cricketers of Essex (nost of whom are local) beat the visiting Sri Lankans. All of whom are!
    Take your umbrella ... Frau Merkel dictates it'll rain all over Essex today, but look on the bright side it's a tad friendlier than the Luftwaffe raining bombs over the county during WWII.
    Haven't we moved onto WW3 now? Only saying...
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,659
    Wanderer said:

    JackW said:

    BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****

    The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to JNN the contents of the latest ARSE4EU Referendum Projection :

    Should The United Kingdom Remain A Member Of The European Union Or Leave The European Union?

    Remain 55% (+1) .. Leave 45% (-1)

    Turnout Projection 63% (+1)

    Changes from 3rd May.

    ......................................................................

    WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
    JNN - Jacobite News Network
    ARSE4EU - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors For European Union

    Thanks. So, a nudge towards Remain from you.

    I think Remain has been in the 53-58 range in every Arse to date?
    If Remain win no-one will remember what JackW's precise numbers were so long as he called the result right. Bit similar to the 2012 Mayoral Poll ARSE v. the result.

    Still, he's a skilled forecaster - no doubt.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    Scott_P said:
    I think 'Inside the tent pissing out' got lost in translation.
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    FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 3,902

    Moses_ said:

    JackW said:

    A news blackout has been imposed on the stabbing in Germany. Best not tell people things they don't need to know, eh.

    It's such a news blackout it's all over Sky News and dare I say here too .... reported by your good self and others ....
    I read it on the BBC website

    Bavarian public radio reports that the Munich prosecutor has imposed a news blackout and that contradictory statements have emerged from the scene.
    Reports now indicate several people were stabbed .......as you do on your morning commute.

    My colleague in Hamburg who I have just had a conference call with says he is reading information on the BBC website.
    I'm a great admirer of the Germans, if they are imposing news blackouts its a very sinister move.
    There's no blackout. It's headline news on ARD:

    http://www.tagesschau.de/
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    Roger said:

    You make the very relevant point that Labour have always been the 'anti-fascist party'. I watched a documentary on Himmler yesterday and it was notable that as the Nazis began their racist tyranny picking out the Jews the homosexuals and the the infirm the only people standing up to them were the Communists who were also the first residents of the Belsen concentration camp.


    For the leader of the country's premier left wing party to allow that USP to be lost is a tragedy. it puts him into the Gerald Ratner category of incompetents but with far more serious consequences. The 'right' are on the march with no one standing in their way.

    To believe Chakrabarti can repair the reputational damage with an inquiry is naively optimistic. I'm doubtful turfing out the leadership will be enough but it has to be the starting point.

    Would that be those same Communists who were allies to the Nazis and providing war material to them at a time when people like my father were fighting the Nazis? Those Communists?

    In Germany, one of the reasons the post-WW1 attempt at Parliamentary democracy failed was because the Communists were too busy fighting other democratic parties and doing what their masters in Russia ordered and not fighting for Parliamentary liberal democracy, which they didn't believe in anyway. And the Communists were not - and never have been - innocents when it comes to oppression of Jews and gays and other unpopular minorities.

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    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    williamglen..They don't seem able to erect the tent properly..it is sagging..
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002
    edited May 2016
    LondonBob said:

    Alistair said:

    I see we were told to only trust ppppolls when it comes to Trump and the American elections

    So let's have a look then

    https://twitter.com/_mariocarrillo_/status/729677476117499904?s=09

    I too trust PPP.
    https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/729843275578880000
    In line with their state polls in NC and WV. Trump starting round about where Romney finished.
    Hillary's immediate problem is that she is going to slump over the line losing a majority of the remaining states I think.

    West Virginia - Sanders
    Kentucky - Clinton
    Oregon - Sanders
    Virgin Islands - ??
    Puerto Rico - ??
    North Dakota - Sanders
    California - ??
    Montana - Sanders
    New Jersey - Clinton
    New Mexico - ??
    South Dakota - Sanders
    DC - Clinton
  • Options
    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    bb63..It would appear to be a Greyout..
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920
    Frau Merkel & David Cameron =


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qhLlXvkm65Y
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002
    I think Sanders could just pip her in California. It is a big one for her, to show she has united the party - Indiana really couldn't have gone any better for Trump with Bernie being given enough of a boost by it to stay in the race
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822

    TOPPING said:

    But what if we wanted to sell widgets to the EU?

    That was answered in the speech: only 6% of UK companies sell to the EU.
    Business backing for Brexit has risen by 7% in last two months according the BCC members poll. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-09/brexit-backers-close-gap-on-remain-in-bcc-poll-of-businesses
    About 54 percent of “senior” business people said they’ll choose to remain in the 28-nation EU in the June 23 vote, the British Chambers of Commerce said Tuesday in an e-mailed statement. That’s down from 60 percent in February, with support for a “Leave” vote rising to 37 percent from 30 percent.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,659
    That's a very powerful article. He's clearly a very brave and intelligent man.

    I remember whilst at university detesting his politics and advocacy of multiculturalism, for the reasons he cites, and it's extremely interesting now how he manages to argue that racial equality has now been mixed up with all sorts of worrying cultural trends that are anything but.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @politicshome: Labour Chief Whip Rosie Winterton moves the writ for a by-election in Tooting, the seat vacated by Sadiq Khan to become Mayor of London
  • Options

    As a Remainer, I wish Cameron would shut up and lead a trade delegation to Antarctica or somewhere else far away.

    But, but but... he's such an asset...
    All mickey-taking aside, he's certainly not turned out to be the Big Gun many expected him to be.
    REMAIN get half their support in polls from Labour voters.
    Cameron is only trusted by 11% of them. (Yougov). Smart strategy?
    I do wonder if Jezza's Invisibility Strategy with added Take-A-Holiday are his way of securing a Leave win by omission. Who's talking up Remain for Labour? I honestly couldn't say. I see the odd Colonel Bucket or Chuka appearance - but nothing that's caught my attention.

    What am I missing? Are Labour hoping their voters will vote Remain regardless?
    May I say that I like the REMAIN strategy for getting Labour voters on their side?
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Unsurprising being told what to do by superannuated US defence bods is going down like more cold sick.

    After the debacle over Obama's intervention, the electorate has become a lot savvier in spotting who's trying to play them like a fiddle for their own ends. And they're not playing.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    LondonBob said:

    Trump VP picks?

    http://www.vdare.com/articles/for-immigration-patriots-scott-brown-probably-trumps-best-vp-choice-but-there-are-others

    Surprised Duncan Hunter isn't on there. For me it would be between Brown, Hunter and Kobach.

    Lay the field. Every day there are more options and why should Trump pick any of them?
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited May 2016

    That's a very powerful article. He's clearly a very brave and intelligent man.

    I remember whilst at university detesting his politics and advocacy of multiculturalism, for the reasons he cites, and it's extremely interesting now how he manages to argue that racial equality has now been mixed up with all sorts of worrying cultural trends that are anything but.
    I told this story before, but I met him a few years ago at a cricket match. He espoused similar views in general conversation with some people and at the time I thought he was perhaps tailoring his comments to those present. But it appears that is not the case and it is what he now believes, as I am sure twitter will descend on him to claim Islamophobe or some such nonsense.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Alistair said:

    Rubio Out

    ttps://twitter.com/alivitali/status/729776598182989824?s=09

    No loss there - he couldn't carry his own state when it mattered most. Trump got almost twice his vote. As if he'd be considered as VP.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    If this is a terrorist attack in Munich then it continues to vindicate the PM's stand on the UK's refugee policy.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    That's a very powerful article. He's clearly a very brave and intelligent man.

    I remember whilst at university detesting his politics and advocacy of multiculturalism, for the reasons he cites, and it's extremely interesting now how he manages to argue that racial equality has now been mixed up with all sorts of worrying cultural trends that are anything but.
    Yes, I'm looking forwards to reading his Civitas paper.

    http://www.civitas.org.uk/publications/race-and-faith/
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    JackW said:

    Wanderer said:

    JackW said:

    BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****

    The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to JNN the contents of the latest ARSE4EU Referendum Projection :

    Should The United Kingdom Remain A Member Of The European Union Or Leave The European Union?

    Remain 55% (+1) .. Leave 45% (-1)

    Turnout Projection 63% (+1)

    Changes from 3rd May.

    ......................................................................

    WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
    JNN - Jacobite News Network
    ARSE4EU - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors For European Union

    Thanks. So, a nudge towards Remain from you.

    I think Remain has been in the 53-58 range in every Arse to date?
    ARSE REMAIN projections have ranged 53-57.5 with a rounded average of the 12 projections from 29th March of 55.17% and accordingly the LEAVE range has been 42.5-47 with an average of 44.83.

    JackW, what are the major factors that are influencing these forecasts of yours?
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. Urquhart, there was much Twitter shrieking of Islamophobia in the run-up to his Channel 4 piece, which essentially amounted to reporting on the findings of an in-depth poll.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Polruan said:

    Regarding the alleged Munchener Blackout, before reaching for the Giant Tinfoil Hatted Lizard Hypothesis once more, has anyone considered the possibility that one of the alleged perpetrators or victims may merely have been involved in a celebrity threesome?

    :lol:
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002

    LondonBob said:

    Trump VP picks?

    http://www.vdare.com/articles/for-immigration-patriots-scott-brown-probably-trumps-best-vp-choice-but-there-are-others

    Surprised Duncan Hunter isn't on there. For me it would be between Brown, Hunter and Kobach.

    Lay the field. Every day there are more options and why should Trump pick any of them?
    Megyn Kelly :D
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    LondonBobLondonBob Posts: 467
    The locals have been chasing Hillary out of WV with pitchforks after her comments on the coal industry. Big coal mining areas in SE Ohio and across PA. If Trump wins these areas with 60-70% plus with a big turnout in the general that will make it difficult for her to hold either state.

    Bernie has made clear he will be going all the way to Cali, and winning a fair few states along the way.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    As a Remainer, I wish Cameron would shut up and lead a trade delegation to Antarctica or somewhere else far away.

    But, but but... he's such an asset...

    All mickey-taking aside, he's certainly not turned out to be the Big Gun many expected him to be.
    To be fair, I think he is a Big Gun.

    It's just that he has now misfired a couple of times, and the gunners don't know why so they keep sticking more and more powder down the barrel. At some point that's going to be awkward
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    FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 3,902
    MaxPB said:

    If this is a terrorist attack in Munich then it continues to vindicate the PM's stand on the UK's refugee policy.

    The suspect is a German national, not a refugee. Sorry.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822

    Cyclefree..Thanks for that .. It does sum them up..

    :+1:
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,291
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,659

    Unsurprising being told what to do by superannuated US defence bods is going down like more cold sick.

    After the debacle over Obama's intervention, the electorate has become a lot savvier in spotting who's trying to play them like a fiddle for their own ends. And they're not playing.

    The US wants us to stay in the EU because our voice pulls the whole EU closer to them, and their interests. They fear that without us in it the EU will become more protectionist and/or have a foreign policy less sympathetic to transatlantic perspectives.

    Interests. Always interests.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    More messengers being lined up for the firing squad this morning, I see.

    It's also amusing to see that IDS has discovered, rather belatedly, that in a negotiation the views of the other side matter. Admittedly he hasn't yet made the leap to understanding that this will remain the case if we vote Leave.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    MaxPB said:

    If this is a terrorist attack in Munich then it continues to vindicate the PM's stand on the UK's refugee policy.

    The suspect is a German national, not a refugee. Sorry.
    Doesn't matter. Increasing the number of unintegrated Muslims in a country is a bad policy. Cameron is vindicated in his hard line stance.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Pulpstar said:

    LondonBob said:

    Alistair said:

    I see we were told to only trust ppppolls when it comes to Trump and the American elections

    So let's have a look then

    https://twitter.com/_mariocarrillo_/status/729677476117499904?s=09

    I too trust PPP.
    https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/729843275578880000
    In line with their state polls in NC and WV. Trump starting round about where Romney finished.
    Hillary's immediate problem is that she is going to slump over the line losing a majority of the remaining states I think.

    West Virginia - Sanders
    Kentucky - Clinton
    Oregon - Sanders
    Virgin Islands - ??
    Puerto Rico - ??
    North Dakota - Sanders
    California - ??
    Montana - Sanders
    New Jersey - Clinton
    New Mexico - ??
    South Dakota - Sanders
    DC - Clinton
    Who'd have ever thought Hillary's coronation would be so painful - and at the hands of an unreformed 1960s socialist?

    It's so WTF. I thought the article @Andy_JS posted from Salon was most interesting. They called her a Limousine Liberal and the ideal candidate for Trump to oppose. http://www.salon.com/2016/05/08/hillary_is_trumps_dream_opponent_clinton_is_exactly_the_limousine_liberal_his_coalition_distrusts_the_most/
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    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    FE..His Nationality is not important..his religion is .. The 7/7 bombers were all Brits...
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