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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Vote Leave sets out its objective – TSE gives his robust in

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  • Options
    PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,274
    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Way OTT.

    Gove is an unsual politician in that he atually believes in something and isn't afraid to talk about it.
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    surbiton said:

    A simple question to the Leavers [ or, anyone else ] on PB.

    Are the positions of Carswell, Farage, Gove, Johnson etc. etc the same regarding what form of Leave they want ?

    Yes they are.

    They (and I) all want the form of Leave where we get out of the EU.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    It'll all look different the other side of the referendum.
    not in the least, the amazing thing about this campaign is how Conservatives are trashing each other. it's one thing to fight a campaiggn it's another to do the opposition's job for them.

    the expression "rue the day " springs to mind.
    Once the referendum is over, the Tory Party will unite and concentrate their firepower on Corbyn.

    We'll all sing Kumbaya afterwards too
    The Labour Party has ordered a new Server. Their database of Conservative quotes during this EU ref campaign is getting far too big, far too quickly.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    surbiton said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    It'll all look different the other side of the referendum.
    not in the least, the amazing thing about this campaign is how Conservatives are trashing each other. it's one thing to fight a campaiggn it's another to do the opposition's job for them.

    the expression "rue the day " springs to mind.
    Once the referendum is over, the Tory Party will unite and concentrate their firepower on Corbyn.

    We'll all sing Kumbaya afterwards too
    The Labour Party has ordered a new Server. Their database of Conservative quotes during this EU ref campaign is getting far too big, far too quickly.
    They've got nothing on CCHQ's archive of Corbyn quotes ;)
  • Options
    PeterC said:

    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Way OTT.

    Gove is an unsual politician in that he atually believes in something and isn't afraid to talk about it.
    Copying Enoch Powell, then.

  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,953
    surbiton said:

    A simple question to the Leavers [ or, anyone else ] on PB.

    Are the positions of Carswell, Farage, Gove, Johnson etc. etc the same regarding what form of Leave they want ?

    Gove, Johnson, Carswell, probably very similar. Farage probably does have a different view, but will go with the rest.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    PeterC said:

    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Way OTT.

    Gove is an unsual politician in that he atually believes in something and isn't afraid to talk about it.
    Copying Enoch Powell, then.

    or Jeremy Corbyn :D
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,953

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Don't forget Boris.
    Do the Lib Dems intend joining the EURef conversation? I thought they were quite keen on the EU, or is it now an nth priority behind the elections to Little Dribblesome Town Council and the like for Farron?
    Avoiding trouble may be the best strategy for the Lib Dems.
  • Options
    PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,274
    edited April 2016

    PeterC said:

    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Way OTT.

    Gove is an unsual politician in that he atually believes in something and isn't afraid to talk about it.
    Copying Enoch Powell, then.

    Yes, that would be one example. Looking back there have been many conviction politicians. It's just that they are very thin on the ground nowadays.
  • Options
    LayneLayne Posts: 163
    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    He is talking about the effect our decisions could have on other countries. Obama is lecturing us to make the right decision for his country. That is a world of difference.

    Also, he said he wanted the EU to be liberated by more democracy. If you feel that is 'wrecking' the EU, it just reveals how undemocratic the Europhiles are in their thinking.
  • Options
    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    I see no reason in not trying to make impossible demands at the start of any negotiation. Unless you set up the widest demands you're going to be out-negotiated as you have nothing to give up.
  • Options
    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited April 2016
    weejonnie said:

    I see no reason in not trying to make impossible demands at the start of any negotiation. Unless you set up the widest demands you're going to be out-negotiated as you have nothing to give up.

    As Cameron discovered a few weeks ago.

    One can imagine him wandering into his local car dealership and paying far more for a vehicle than the original sticker price.
  • Options
    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,921
    GeoffM said:

    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Gove is doing what is in the interests of the UK.

    It happens to be in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too (although not their elite), but that's just a spectacularly lucky bonus ball for everybody.
    So " it's in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too"

    Do they get a vote to decide or does Gove just decide for the whole of Europe?
  • Options
    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,921

    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Except that he hasn't.

    There are plenty of parties in the member states across Europe - UKIP most notably in the UK's case - which are dedicated to wrecking the EU. What's more, the EU even has a place for them within its institutions, subject to their electoral appeal. But what Gove said was different; not that he wanted to actively break up the Union but that it could easily come organically via democratic pressures following a Brexit.

    Frankly, the EU does need to address its democratic deficit and whether there's Brexit or not, the pressures will remain.
    I have read that Leave have said "certainly" in response to the question of whether they want to destroy the EU. That is the basis of my comment.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    OllyT said:

    GeoffM said:

    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Gove is doing what is in the interests of the UK.

    It happens to be in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too (although not their elite), but that's just a spectacularly lucky bonus ball for everybody.
    So " it's in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too"

    Do they get a vote to decide or does Gove just decide for the whole of Europe?
    Other countries won't leave automatically if we do. If they wish to, they will undoubtedly vote on the matter. Not sure what the issue is.
  • Options
    watford30 said:

    weejonnie said:

    I see no reason in not trying to make impossible demands at the start of any negotiation. Unless you set up the widest demands you're going to be out-negotiated as you have nothing to give up.

    As Cameron discovered a few weeks ago.

    One can imagine him wandering into his local car dealership and paying far more for a vehicle than the original sticker price.
    Do the children of rich parents generally make good hagglers?

  • Options
    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited April 2016

    watford30 said:

    weejonnie said:

    I see no reason in not trying to make impossible demands at the start of any negotiation. Unless you set up the widest demands you're going to be out-negotiated as you have nothing to give up.

    As Cameron discovered a few weeks ago.

    One can imagine him wandering into his local car dealership and paying far more for a vehicle than the original sticker price.
    Do the children of rich parents generally make good hagglers?

    Not in his case.

    "Super deal Sam, paid an extra £1000 and got some floor mats and an air freshener tree thingy thrown in for free".

    Though I do know a few super rich, and their children who'd drive a very hard bargain. But then they're not mincing politicians desperate to avoid confrontation with any 'civilians' in the flesh.

  • Options
    LayneLayne Posts: 163
    OllyT said:

    GeoffM said:

    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Gove is doing what is in the interests of the UK.

    It happens to be in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too (although not their elite), but that's just a spectacularly lucky bonus ball for everybody.
    So " it's in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too"

    Do they get a vote to decide or does Gove just decide for the whole of Europe?
    It will be up to their own democratic systems to elect a party committed to a vote.
  • Options
    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,921
    RobD said:

    OllyT said:

    GeoffM said:

    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Gove is doing what is in the interests of the UK.

    It happens to be in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too (although not their elite), but that's just a spectacularly lucky bonus ball for everybody.
    So " it's in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too"

    Do they get a vote to decide or does Gove just decide for the whole of Europe?
    Other countries won't leave automatically if we do. If they wish to, they will undoubtedly vote on the matter. Not sure what the issue is.
    The issue to me is how we expect to get the improbably optimistic deal that has Gove has outlined out of the EU, after Leave have run a campaign that explicitly includes hoping to bring the EU down.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Sean_F said:

    surbiton said:

    A simple question to the Leavers [ or, anyone else ] on PB.

    Are the positions of Carswell, Farage, Gove, Johnson etc. etc the same regarding what form of Leave they want ?

    Gove, Johnson, Carswell, probably very similar. Farage probably does have a different view, but will go with the rest.
    Are they all in favour of staying within the EEA and, therefore, support the freedom of movement ? I didn't think Farage would support that.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Don't forget Boris.
    Do the Lib Dems intend joining the EURef conversation? I thought they were quite keen on the EU, or is it now an nth priority behind the elections to Little Dribblesome Town Council and the like for Farron?
    Actually keeping their collective heads down may not be a bad strategy.
    So winning a seat on a Town Council is more important to them than fighting to protect a cornerstone of their foreign policy? How they've fallen.
    There is another important topic: which Van to buy to transport their MPs.
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    edited April 2016
    SeanT said:

    Indigo said:

    SeanT said:

    Truly bizarre helicopter in the sky over my house. Like a drone but massively sized up. Faintly sci-fi. Obama heading for the US Ambassador's House in Regent's Park?

    What is an Osprey ? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bell_Boeing_V-22_Osprey
    I'm pretty sure it was! Good work.
    yeah I saw three of them in Ealing, are the U.S planning on invading if we vote leave?


    oh God i sound like project fear.....
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited April 2016
    watford30 said:

    weejonnie said:

    I see no reason in not trying to make impossible demands at the start of any negotiation. Unless you set up the widest demands you're going to be out-negotiated as you have nothing to give up.

    As Cameron discovered a few weeks ago.

    One can imagine him wandering into his local car dealership and paying far more for a vehicle than the original sticker price.
    Rather surprised he hasn't read that bible on the subject "Everything is Negotiable" by Gavin Kennedy
    In Praise of Mother Hubbard
    A cardinal negotiating rule is to shock them with your opening offer. Never start with any offer that is close to where you want to settle. Leave yourself room to negotiate.
    - When you start with a shock offer, it forces the other guy to reconsider his
    expectations about the current value of that item. His expectations are always
    influenced by your opening offer, and more often than not, an extreme opening offer
    will alter his expectations in a direction that will favor you.
    But then again he forgot someone of the other key rules

    In negotiating, goodwill is not contagious.
    Toughness in negotiating pays the big dividends
    Nothing should ever be given away in a negotiation without some movement by the other party.
  • Options
    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,323
    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,005
    Mr. Dawning, didn't hear Gove's speech, but surprised he wants to invade Italy.

    As for imposition, that's not really how democracy works.
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    surbiton said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Don't forget Boris.
    Do the Lib Dems intend joining the EURef conversation? I thought they were quite keen on the EU, or is it now an nth priority behind the elections to Little Dribblesome Town Council and the like for Farron?
    Actually keeping their collective heads down may not be a bad strategy.
    So winning a seat on a Town Council is more important to them than fighting to protect a cornerstone of their foreign policy? How they've fallen.
    The local elections and the referendum take place in series not in parallel.

    Consequently they can be fought in series not in parallel.

    Indeed experience with voter attention suggests that they are better fought in series not in parallel.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,416

    This is a thread?

    TSE gives his robust biased interpretation!
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,063
    Indigo said:

    watford30 said:

    weejonnie said:

    I see no reason in not trying to make impossible demands at the start of any negotiation. Unless you set up the widest demands you're going to be out-negotiated as you have nothing to give up.

    As Cameron discovered a few weeks ago.

    One can imagine him wandering into his local car dealership and paying far more for a vehicle than the original sticker price.
    Rather surprised he hasn't read that bible on the subject "Everything is Negotiable" by Gavin Kennedy
    In Praise of Mother Hubbard
    A cardinal negotiating rule is to shock them with your opening offer. Never start with any offer that is close to where you want to settle. Leave yourself room to negotiate.
    - When you start with a shock offer, it forces the other guy to reconsider his
    expectations about the current value of that item. His expectations are always
    influenced by your opening offer, and more often than not, an extreme opening offer
    will alter his expectations in a direction that will favor you.
    But then again he forgot someone of the other key rules

    In negotiating, goodwill is not contagious.
    Toughness in negotiating pays the big dividends
    Nothing should ever be given away in a negotiation without some movement by the other party.

    Indigo: do you mean that the UK really will be a part of the European Economic Area?
  • Options
    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent.''

    Good trolling....maybe a BIT over the top.
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    If a key board member of a company has had enough getting a rough deal and decides to leave, and all the others say "but you can't leave, we need you here", how likely is it he is going to say "Oh alright, since you put it that way" ?

    We shouldn't actively try and pull things down, but since we would be leaving because of their complete intransigence on renegotiating, its hard to get sympathetic about any collateral damage of us leaving, if we were that important then perhaps they should have tried harder to persuade us to stay.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,416

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    NATO even has some non EU-members!
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    OllyT said:

    RobD said:

    OllyT said:

    GeoffM said:

    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Gove is doing what is in the interests of the UK.

    It happens to be in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too (although not their elite), but that's just a spectacularly lucky bonus ball for everybody.
    So " it's in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too"

    Do they get a vote to decide or does Gove just decide for the whole of Europe?
    Other countries won't leave automatically if we do. If they wish to, they will undoubtedly vote on the matter. Not sure what the issue is.
    The issue to me is how we expect to get the improbably optimistic deal that has Gove has outlined out of the EU, after Leave have run a campaign that explicitly includes hoping to bring the EU down.
    Your last sentence is mendacious twaddle. The official Leave group is Vote Leave, I'd humbly apologise if you can point me to where their official literature hopes to bring down the EU.

    Just because a Labour voter is in prison for murder doesn't mean Labour supports murderers.
  • Options
    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited April 2016

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Thankfully, given that the EU came very close to starting a war with Russia, and the ill advised intervention/meddling of some of its politician's in the Ukraine.
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    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    rcs1000 said:

    Indigo said:

    watford30 said:

    weejonnie said:

    I see no reason in not trying to make impossible demands at the start of any negotiation. Unless you set up the widest demands you're going to be out-negotiated as you have nothing to give up.

    As Cameron discovered a few weeks ago.

    One can imagine him wandering into his local car dealership and paying far more for a vehicle than the original sticker price.
    Rather surprised he hasn't read that bible on the subject "Everything is Negotiable" by Gavin Kennedy
    In Praise of Mother Hubbard
    A cardinal negotiating rule is to shock them with your opening offer. Never start with any offer that is close to where you want to settle. Leave yourself room to negotiate.
    - When you start with a shock offer, it forces the other guy to reconsider his
    expectations about the current value of that item. His expectations are always
    influenced by your opening offer, and more often than not, an extreme opening offer
    will alter his expectations in a direction that will favor you.
    But then again he forgot someone of the other key rules

    In negotiating, goodwill is not contagious.
    Toughness in negotiating pays the big dividends
    Nothing should ever be given away in a negotiation without some movement by the other party.
    Indigo: do you mean that the UK really will be a part of the European Economic Area?

    I have no idea. If Leave win, then it will be a brave (and short lived) politician that suggests it. They are going to figure as I said below, annoying a few hundred libertarians like thee and to some extent me is worth it to get rave rave reviews from ten million or so voters that want a lot less immigration.
  • Options
    tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,548

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Don't forget Boris.
    Do the Lib Dems intend joining the EURef conversation? I thought they were quite keen on the EU, or is it now an nth priority behind the elections to Little Dribblesome Town Council and the like for Farron?
    After May 5th, yes. Until then the local (and devolved assembly) elections are higher priority.
    Frankly, this mess is all of Cameron's making. He might be relying on LD / Labour to get him out of trouble, but we can let him stew and lose lots of council seats first.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,416
    Indigo said:

    SeanT said:

    Truly bizarre helicopter in the sky over my house. Like a drone but massively sized up. Faintly sci-fi. Obama heading for the US Ambassador's House in Regent's Park?

    What is an Osprey ? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bell_Boeing_V-22_Osprey
    The V-22 Osprey has had seven hull-loss accidents with a total of 36 fatalities. During testing from 1991 to 2000, there were four crashes resulting in 30 fatalities.[33] Since becoming operational in 2007, the V-22 has had three crashes resulting in six fatalities, and several minor incidents. The aircraft's accident history has generated some controversy over its perceived safety issues.[267]
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,007
    Been travelling for work much of today so mot had a chance to comment and the only bits of the Gove speech I have gleaned are from on here and what has been reported on places like Sky.

    Clearly the path that Leave seem to have chosen is not exactly the one I was in favour of and I don't yet know if that is a good or bad thing. It makes it more difficult to make a clear economic argument but obviously makes the migration argument uh simpler and does rather kill the Remain argument about not knowing which.kind of Leave we would be voting for.

    It makes no difference at all to my intention to vote Leave because even a position outside the EEA is still preferable to a position inside the EU.

    I can't fully defend the Leave choice as clearly it is not the one I would have made. But they had to jump one way or the other and I glad they have done it early in the campaign. It still beats the alternative of EU membership by a very long way.

  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    edited April 2016
    National - NBC/Survey Monkey - Sample 13,002

    Trump 46 .. Cruz 28 .. Kasich 19
    Clinton 50 .. Sanders 43

    Clinton 48 .. Trump 39
    Clinton 46 .. Cruz 38

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/trump-leads-kasich-support-reaches-new-high-ahead-n-y-n557826
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,572
    edited April 2016

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Number of Nobel Peace Prizes won

    The EU: 1

    NATO: Zero

    Just saying
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Layne said:

    Andrew Neil made a laughing stock of Matt Hancock on the Daily Politics.

    www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgrB2yAPPlQ

    Matt Hancock is useless on TV. Conservatives should keep him away from interviews.
  • Options
    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Interesting to see Clinton and Trump arguing that European countries should increase their military spending as they have not contributed enough and are relying on US support.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,416
    edited April 2016

    Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent.

    Hitler Napoleon once believed in a European Super-state!

    Believe in BRITAIN!

    Be LEAVE!
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,416

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Number of Nobel Peace Prizes won

    The EU: 1

    NATO: Zero

    Just saying
    And Obama? Doesn't mean much at all!
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Number of Nobel Peace Prizes won

    The EU: 1

    NATO: Zero

    Just saying
    Barack Obama 1. - Call it toadying or because he was going to be the first coloured American President - but he won the prize BEFORE doing anything - which brought it, in my eyes into disrepute.
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753

    Been travelling for work much of today so mot had a chance to comment and the only bits of the Gove speech I have gleaned are from on here and what has been reported on places like Sky.

    Clearly the path that Leave seem to have chosen is not exactly the one I was in favour of and I don't yet know if that is a good or bad thing. It makes it more difficult to make a clear economic argument but obviously makes the migration argument uh simpler and does rather kill the Remain argument about not knowing which.kind of Leave we would be voting for.

    It makes no difference at all to my intention to vote Leave because even a position outside the EEA is still preferable to a position inside the EU.

    I can't fully defend the Leave choice as clearly it is not the one I would have made. But they had to jump one way or the other and I glad they have done it early in the campaign. It still beats the alternative of EU membership by a very long way.

    And if and when we are out, you will still be at liberty to press for something closer to the arrangement you favour.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    watford30 said:

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Thankfully, given that the EU came very close to starting a war with Russia, and the ill advised intervention/meddling of some of its politician's in the Ukraine.
    "Ill advised intervention/meddling" is an interesting description of Russia's annexation of Crimea and proxy invasion of Eastern Ukraine.
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    LayneLayne Posts: 163

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is not Michael Gove attempting to cement his rule over Europe under one system of law. That is being done by the great masters in Brussels you so slavishly follow.
  • Options

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Number of Nobel Peace Prizes won

    The EU: 1

    NATO: Zero

    Just saying
    And Obama? Doesn't mean much at all!
    I know, I'm massive supporter of NATO.

    If I had to choose to pick one organisation I'd like to Remain a member of, The EU or NATO, it'd be NATO every time
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,993
    edited April 2016
    Independents in the New York (Democrat at least) primary can cast a provisional ballot.

    No idea about the GOP one, the Bernsters are making all the noise on twitter about it. Could help Bernie a bit at the margins, and Trump a smidgen maybe.
  • Options
    LayneLayne Posts: 163
    edited April 2016

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Number of Nobel Peace Prizes won

    The EU: 1

    NATO: Zero

    Just saying
    The charade of a peace prize you mention is not one of the serious prizes.
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492

    Been travelling for work much of today so mot had a chance to comment and the only bits of the Gove speech I have gleaned are from on here and what has been reported on places like Sky.

    Clearly the path that Leave seem to have chosen is not exactly the one I was in favour of and I don't yet know if that is a good or bad thing. It makes it more difficult to make a clear economic argument but obviously makes the migration argument uh simpler and does rather kill the Remain argument about not knowing which.kind of Leave we would be voting for.

    It makes no difference at all to my intention to vote Leave because even a position outside the EEA is still preferable to a position inside the EU.

    I can't fully defend the Leave choice as clearly it is not the one I would have made. But they had to jump one way or the other and I glad they have done it early in the campaign. It still beats the alternative of EU membership by a very long way.

    I think you're confusing issues and allowing Remain to muddy the waters.

    "Ahhh but we want to know what will happen before we decide", they say.

    No they don't, they want to stay in any circumstances and are simply attempting to lay traps.

    Your knowledge and insight is unsurpassed on here, right or wrong the minor details are just that, they won't decide a single vote. Even if that's an exaggeration it will be so miniscule as to be irrelevant. I'm not fussed about immigration, I've met plenty who are, they'll vote Leave with the gentlest of persuasion but don't have the vaguest interest in EEA etc.

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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,007
    MP_SE said:

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Interesting to see Clinton and Trump arguing that European countries should increase their military spending as they have not contributed enough and are relying on US support.
    That has been the (quite reasonable and understandable) cry from US politicians for decades. Outside of the UK and possibly France I just don't see the political will for increases in defence spending that would satisfy the US
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,007
    edited April 2016

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Number of Nobel Peace Prizes won

    The EU: 1

    NATO: Zero

    Just saying
    One of a number of Nobel peace prizes that have brought the whole thing into disrepute.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Number of Nobel Peace Prizes won

    The EU: 1

    NATO: Zero

    Just saying
    It'd be like awarding the Peace prize to the army. The EU probably got it because it wasn't militarily focused.
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    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    taffys said:

    Been travelling for work much of today so mot had a chance to comment and the only bits of the Gove speech I have gleaned are from on here and what has been reported on places like Sky.

    Clearly the path that Leave seem to have chosen is not exactly the one I was in favour of and I don't yet know if that is a good or bad thing. It makes it more difficult to make a clear economic argument but obviously makes the migration argument uh simpler and does rather kill the Remain argument about not knowing which.kind of Leave we would be voting for.

    It makes no difference at all to my intention to vote Leave because even a position outside the EEA is still preferable to a position inside the EU.

    I can't fully defend the Leave choice as clearly it is not the one I would have made. But they had to jump one way or the other and I glad they have done it early in the campaign. It still beats the alternative of EU membership by a very long way.

    And if and when we are out, you will still be at liberty to press for something closer to the arrangement you favour.
    The aim of Vote Leave is one I would certainly agree with as an eventual position. My preference would be to retreat to EEA/EFTA first though.

    Presumably, what they have outlined is not inconsistent with being part of EFTA though, in the same manner as the Swiss are (but are not in EEA).
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,055
    edited April 2016
    Wildly O/t but to whoever recommended me to try bacalhau while in Maderia, (Dr Fox???) had it with chickpeas last night. Could easily use it for shoe leather, but the same could be said of biltong and similar dried meats.
    Tasted OK, though, once I got my teeth into it. Would give it another go.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    OllyT said:

    RobD said:

    OllyT said:

    GeoffM said:

    OllyT said:

    taffys said:

    Very different to the spin.

    LEAVE's spin....
    Citation needed.
    @bbclaurak: Vote Leave asked if they hope Brexit would trigger the end of the whole EU ? 'Certainly'
    Haven't seen the news so just picking up on that comment if Gove said it he is a tit

    This referendum is proving to be a great destroyer of reputations - nearly all of them Conservative - Cameron, Osborne, Gove, javid - who's next ?

    Gove didn't say that.
    Gove said that if you vote leave you will trigger a great democratic contagion in Europe. He portrayed us as the saviour of a continent crying out for change.

    That's quite a positive vision for the future, for me.
    Only yesterday Leavers berating Obama having an opinion on Brexit, now Gove has taken it up on himself to try and wreck the EU whether the other countries like it or not, he's either delusional or arrogant beyond belief.
    Gove is doing what is in the interests of the UK.

    It happens to be in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too (although not their elite), but that's just a spectacularly lucky bonus ball for everybody.
    So " it's in the best interests of everyone else on the continent too"

    Do they get a vote to decide or does Gove just decide for the whole of Europe?
    Other countries won't leave automatically if we do. If they wish to, they will undoubtedly vote on the matter. Not sure what the issue is.
    The issue to me is how we expect to get the improbably optimistic deal that has Gove has outlined out of the EU, after Leave have run a campaign that explicitly includes hoping to bring the EU down.
    Where have they said that? I think Gove was saying that it may lead to people in other countries to consider the position of their country. That can't be a bad thing.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,993

    MP_SE said:

    Gove's expressed ambitions for the rest of Europe are surprising. The euro-sceptic mantra was always 'We're happy to see the EU work if that's what those countries want, but it's just not for us, thanks.' Now Gove is behaving like some latter-day Napoleon, lustful to impose his own fantasies and desires upon an entire continent. This could actually be almost dangerous. Many in the east see the EU as their only aegis against a waiting, watchful Russia. If Gove intends to smash all that up...

    It is NATO which has the capacity to defend EU and other countries against Russia not the EU.
    Interesting to see Clinton and Trump arguing that European countries should increase their military spending as they have not contributed enough and are relying on US support.
    That has been the (quite reasonable and understandable) cry from US politicians for decades. Outside of the UK and possibly France I just don't see the political will for increases in defence spending that would satisfy the US
    There are quite a few countries in NATO, especially the tiddlers (Iceland, Luxembourg) which spend sweet FA on defence and get a totally free ride off of the nuclear powers within NATO.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,374

    Been travelling for work much of today so mot had a chance to comment and the only bits of the Gove speech I have gleaned are from on here and what has been reported on places like Sky.

    Clearly the path that Leave seem to have chosen is not exactly the one I was in favour of and I don't yet know if that is a good or bad thing. It makes it more difficult to make a clear economic argument but obviously makes the migration argument uh simpler and does rather kill the Remain argument about not knowing which.kind of Leave we would be voting for.

    It makes no difference at all to my intention to vote Leave because even a position outside the EEA is still preferable to a position inside the EU.

    I can't fully defend the Leave choice as clearly it is not the one I would have made. But they had to jump one way or the other and I glad they have done it early in the campaign. It still beats the alternative of EU membership by a very long way.

    Not really what I was looking for either. I will need to think about it. The single passport is probably the most economically important thing that we have got out of the EU and a significant part of our tax base is dependent on it. Like you I think I would concede freedom of movement in a heart beat to keep it.

    I can understand why they have sought to go the way they have as it keeps more of what is a very broad coalition rather than a party together but I can't deny that I am disappointed that there is not a clearer, colder view of where our key interests are.
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    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,007
    taffys said:

    Been travelling for work much of today so mot had a chance to comment and the only bits of the Gove speech I have gleaned are from on here and what has been reported on places like Sky.

    Clearly the path that Leave seem to have chosen is not exactly the one I was in favour of and I don't yet know if that is a good or bad thing. It makes it more difficult to make a clear economic argument but obviously makes the migration argument uh simpler and does rather kill the Remain argument about not knowing which.kind of Leave we would be voting for.

    It makes no difference at all to my intention to vote Leave because even a position outside the EEA is still preferable to a position inside the EU.

    I can't fully defend the Leave choice as clearly it is not the one I would have made. But they had to jump one way or the other and I glad they have done it early in the campaign. It still beats the alternative of EU membership by a very long way.

    And if and when we are out, you will still be at liberty to press for something closer to the arrangement you favour.
    Oh absolutely. I thought I had made clear this doesn't change my intention to campaign hard for Brexit. I am just saying it is not the way I would have jumped personally.

    But then I if I were to be any more critical than that of the decision I would be doing what the Remain crowd on here like to do; standing on the deck of the Titanic arguing about the colour if the lifeboats.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,374

    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN

    In fairness 3 votes is pretty good for a Lib Dem.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN

    Huzzah

    Scottish Viscounts Rule Ok .... :smiley:
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,993

    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN

    Only one not to bother with a statement

    http://www.parliament.uk/documents/publications-records/House-of-Lords-Publications/By-elections/Lords-notice-candidate-list-Apr-2016-Avebury.pdf
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    DavidL said:

    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN

    In fairness 3 votes is pretty good for a Lib Dem.
    Was there a recount ?? .... :smile:
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    Scot LD aims.

    "The same poll showed that the Greens had lost much of their earlier lead over the Liberal Democrats, with now just one point separating the two parties. With just over two weeks to go, it must surely be possible to overtake them. "

    http://www.libdemvoice.org/willie-rennies-most-embarrassing-moments-and-his-favourite-films-50215.html
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    edited April 2016
    rcs1000 said:

    Indigo said:

    watford30 said:

    weejonnie said:

    I see no reason in not trying to make impossible demands at the start of any negotiation. Unless you set up the widest demands you're going to be out-negotiated as you have nothing to give up.

    As Cameron discovered a few weeks ago.

    One can imagine him wandering into his local car dealership and paying far more for a vehicle than the original sticker price.
    Rather surprised he hasn't read that bible on the subject "Everything is Negotiable" by Gavin Kennedy
    In Praise of Mother Hubbard
    A cardinal negotiating rule is to shock them with your opening offer. Never start with any offer that is close to where you want to settle. Leave yourself room to negotiate.
    - When you start with a shock offer, it forces the other guy to reconsider his
    expectations about the current value of that item. His expectations are always
    influenced by your opening offer, and more often than not, an extreme opening offer
    will alter his expectations in a direction that will favor you.
    But then again he forgot someone of the other key rules

    In negotiating, goodwill is not contagious.
    Toughness in negotiating pays the big dividends
    Nothing should ever be given away in a negotiation without some movement by the other party.


    So when Blair negotiated away part of the UK rebate on payments to the EU for vague promises about them reducing the cost of the Common Agriculture Policy he was not following a sound negotiating stategy. Who knew?
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,007
    Interestingly this afternoon a good friend of mine has come out for Leave. He is a former Tory county and district councillor, loaths UKIP and is someone I had down as a probable Remain.

    His reason has nothing to do with the arguments per second but is based on disgust at what he views as the dishonest and scaremongering way that Remain are conducting their campaign.

    Remain might turn.out to be the Eurosceptic's trump card.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,344

    Layne said:

    Andrew Neil made a laughing stock of Matt Hancock on the Daily Politics.

    www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgrB2yAPPlQ

    Matt Hancock is useless on TV. Conservatives should keep him away from interviews.
    Another alleged 'future leader' who is useless. There's quite a gang of them. When will Cameron back-track on his two terms promise?
  • Options
    What's that rule in porn politics, never work with animals?

    https://twitter.com/asabenn/status/722452433583149056
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    JackW said:

    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN

    Huzzah

    Scottish Viscounts Rule Ok .... :smiley:
    What a count.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    John Thurso won in a landslide winning 100% of the vote !!

    Scottish Viscounts Winning Here .... :smile:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36084455
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    What might grab more attention is Michael Gove's flamboyant suggestion that if we leave the EU, British voters could trigger a wave of democratic liberation across the continent.

    Does this mean they hope Brexit could collapse the whole EU? 'Certainly' - came the answer from senior members of the team, an ambition more bold than anything Outers have come up with so far.
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36084457
  • Options
    Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,612
    On thread.

    At present, the UK:
    1. Pays a gross £12.5 billion annually to the EU.
    2. Receives about £4 billion back from the EU, to spent however on terms dictated by the EU, the bulk of which go to subsidise agribusiness within a perennially unreformed CAP.
    3. Spends £280 billion annually on imports from the EU, in return for which the EU spends £220 billion on goods and services produced here, a net EU balance of payments deficit of £60 billion.

    Leave essentially propose ending 1 and 2, but continuing with 3.

    So in terms of TSE's parallel, it's not "like the man who divorces his wife & still expects dinner & a blowjob from her every night after the divorce". It's more a case that if there's a divorce the husband plans to refuse to continue to fund the wife's shopping habits (1) in the secure knowledge that the quality of the fringe benefits on offer from the wife (2) falls far short of what she claims of them, but he will nonetheless continue to support the kids as before in the form of some very generous maintenance payments (3).

    The wife does not want to play ball, but her solicitor advises that it's the best deal she's going to get, unless she can use all of her nefarious means to persuade the husband not to walk out.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990

    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN

    Time to abolish LIb Dem hereditaries. Wasting a perfectly good seat for a Tory one!
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    JackW said:

    DavidL said:

    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN

    In fairness 3 votes is pretty good for a Lib Dem.
    Was there a recount ?? .... :smile:
    No, just a viscount.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN

    Huzzah

    Scottish Viscounts Rule Ok .... :smiley:
    What a count.
    Absolutely.

    It must have taken an age to tally the votes .... probably had to weigh them first .... I'm sure that's what you mean ?!?
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,403

    Been travelling for work much of today so mot had a chance to comment and the only bits of the Gove speech I have gleaned are from on here and what has been reported on places like Sky.

    Clearly the path that Leave seem to have chosen is not exactly the one I was in favour of and I don't yet know if that is a good or bad thing. It makes it more difficult to make a clear economic argument but obviously makes the migration argument uh simpler and does rather kill the Remain argument about not knowing which.kind of Leave we would be voting for.

    It makes no difference at all to my intention to vote Leave because even a position outside the EEA is still preferable to a position inside the EU.

    I can't fully defend the Leave choice as clearly it is not the one I would have made. But they had to jump one way or the other and I glad they have done it early in the campaign. It still beats the alternative of EU membership by a very long way.

    Been busy today also..but don't beat yourself up about it...as I posted earlier, anecdotally speaking to a lot of outers, it is immigration that is the issue. Not to have addressed that head on would have been to let those people down (I mentioned that apart from here in the rarified atmosphere of PB no one seemed to be keen on EEA/EFTA).

    As one said last night to me when I posited the Norway model: "why can't we have the UK model?" And it seems if we vote Leave, that is just what we will get.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,787
    edited April 2016
    Does this mean they hope Brexit could collapse the whole EU? 'Certainly' - came the answer from senior members of the team, an ambition more bold than anything Outers

    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-36084457
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,374
    Scott_P said:

    What might grab more attention is Michael Gove's flamboyant suggestion that if we leave the EU, British voters could trigger a wave of democratic liberation across the continent.

    Does this mean they hope Brexit could collapse the whole EU? 'Certainly' - came the answer from senior members of the team, an ambition more bold than anything Outers have come up with so far.
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36084457

    I strongly suspect that if the UK voted to leave and got a sensible deal it is all too likely that Sweden, Denmark, possibly Holland and possibly Ireland would follow.

    Remain will no doubt argue that is why we will not get a good deal of course. But that rather indicates where the real problem lies.
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    DavidL said:

    Been travelling for work much of today so mot had a chance to comment and the only bits of the Gove speech I have gleaned are from on here and what has been reported on places like Sky.

    Clearly the path that Leave seem to have chosen is not exactly the one I was in favour of and I don't yet know if that is a good or bad thing. It makes it more difficult to make a clear economic argument but obviously makes the migration argument uh simpler and does rather kill the Remain argument about not knowing which.kind of Leave we would be voting for.

    It makes no difference at all to my intention to vote Leave because even a position outside the EEA is still preferable to a position inside the EU.

    I can't fully defend the Leave choice as clearly it is not the one I would have made. But they had to jump one way or the other and I glad they have done it early in the campaign. It still beats the alternative of EU membership by a very long way.

    Not really what I was looking for either. I will need to think about it. The single passport is probably the most economically important thing that we have got out of the EU and a significant part of our tax base is dependent on it. Like you I think I would concede freedom of movement in a heart beat to keep it.

    I can understand why they have sought to go the way they have as it keeps more of what is a very broad coalition rather than a party together but I can't deny that I am disappointed that there is not a clearer, colder view of where our key interests are.
    I have still got an old British passport somewhere. I must dig it out. Not sure my photo will be recognisable.

    It has a lifetime US visa in it so I can be in the vanguard of our future boom in export sales outside the EU.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990

    JackW said:

    DavidL said:

    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN

    In fairness 3 votes is pretty good for a Lib Dem.
    Was there a recount ?? .... :smile:
    No, just a viscount.
    Titter

    Must say they used a delightfully evil-looking photo of him.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    DavidL said:

    AV Election Result Alert

    John Thurso Elected To Parliament For Life Thanks To The Votes Of Three Lib Dem Aristocrats

    If you can understand how this works, you’re doing well.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/oh-lordy?utm_term=.xqBnPpXExE#.ac2PrjONLN

    In fairness 3 votes is pretty good for a Lib Dem.
    Was there a recount ?? .... :smile:
    No, just a viscount.
    Chortle .. :sunglasses:
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,344
    Anecdote: spoke to a retired relative this morning about EU. Occasional Mirror reader with Mail at weekends. Only thing that seems to have cut through is that there is massive economic risk if we leave, but on the other hand we could be like Norway, and decide our own laws.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990

    Anecdote: spoke to a retired relative this morning about EU. Occasional Mirror reader with Mail at weekends. Only thing that seems to have cut through is that there is massive economic risk if we leave, but on the other hand we could be like Norway, and decide our own laws.

    Has the faxes from Brussells claim been debunked?
  • Options
    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    DavidL said:

    Been travelling for work much of today so mot had a chance to comment and the only bits of the Gove speech I have gleaned are from on here and what has been reported on places like Sky.

    Clearly the path that Leave seem to have chosen is not exactly the one I was in favour of and I don't yet know if that is a good or bad thing. It makes it more difficult to make a clear economic argument but obviously makes the migration argument uh simpler and does rather kill the Remain argument about not knowing which.kind of Leave we would be voting for.

    It makes no difference at all to my intention to vote Leave because even a position outside the EEA is still preferable to a position inside the EU.

    I can't fully defend the Leave choice as clearly it is not the one I would have made. But they had to jump one way or the other and I glad they have done it early in the campaign. It still beats the alternative of EU membership by a very long way.

    Not really what I was looking for either. I will need to think about it. The single passport is probably the most economically important thing that we have got out of the EU and a significant part of our tax base is dependent on it. Like you I think I would concede freedom of movement in a heart beat to keep it.

    I can understand why they have sought to go the way they have as it keeps more of what is a very broad coalition rather than a party together but I can't deny that I am disappointed that there is not a clearer, colder view of where our key interests are.
    David - a few queries:

    1. what % of UK financial services exports to the EU would you say rely on passporting?
    2. what year did passporting come in (properly)?
    3. how relevant will passporting be when MIFIDII comes in and third country financial institutions will be able to sell in the EU provided their regulatory and supervisory regimes are broadly equivalent to those in the EU?
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,602
    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    What might grab more attention is Michael Gove's flamboyant suggestion that if we leave the EU, British voters could trigger a wave of democratic liberation across the continent.

    Does this mean they hope Brexit could collapse the whole EU? 'Certainly' - came the answer from senior members of the team, an ambition more bold than anything Outers have come up with so far.
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36084457
    I strongly suspect that if the UK voted to leave and got a sensible deal it is all too likely that Sweden, Denmark, possibly Holland and possibly Ireland would follow.

    Remain will no doubt argue that is why we will not get a good deal of course. But that rather indicates where the real problem lies.

    Quite so.

    I remain (small r) ever hopeful that some of pb.com's softer Remainers - all decent and reasonable people - might find it within their hearts and heads to embrace their fundamental democratic instincts at the 11th hour, and vote accordingly.
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    We hosted a dinner party on Saturday night. I'm under strict instructions at home NEVER to mention politics in company (can't understand why) but the subject of the referendum came up.

    I'm sure you'll all be shocked to find out that the affluent metropolitan gay middle-aged vote was lining up 100% for Remain. I was probably the most Eurosceptical person in the room.
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    TSE states
    "This is like the man who divorces his wife & still expects dinner & a blowjob from her every night after the divorce"

    But now the woman will feel free to have liaisons with whomever she wants; as will the man. Free love for both. What's not to like?
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763

    We hosted a dinner party on Saturday night. I'm under strict instructions at home NEVER to mention politics in company (can't understand why) but the subject of the referendum came up.

    I'm sure you'll all be shocked to find out that the affluent metropolitan gay middle-aged vote was lining up 100% for Remain. I was probably the most Eurosceptical person in the room.

    I also hosted a dinner party on Saturday mt guests were surprised to find I was firmly voting out most of them think that because I've worked in Europe so much I'm a firm remainer.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,007
    RobD said:

    Anecdote: spoke to a retired relative this morning about EU. Occasional Mirror reader with Mail at weekends. Only thing that seems to have cut through is that there is massive economic risk if we leave, but on the other hand we could be like Norway, and decide our own laws.

    Has the faxes from Brussells claim been debunked?
    Yes. Long ago.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    RobD said:

    Anecdote: spoke to a retired relative this morning about EU. Occasional Mirror reader with Mail at weekends. Only thing that seems to have cut through is that there is massive economic risk if we leave, but on the other hand we could be like Norway, and decide our own laws.

    Has the faxes from Brussells claim been debunked?
    Of course.

    They are PDFs now.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,007
    edited April 2016

    On thread.

    At present, the UK:
    1. Pays a gross £12.5 billion annually to the EU.
    2. Receives about £4 billion back from the EU, to spent however on terms dictated by the EU, the bulk of which go to subsidise agribusiness within a perennially unreformed CAP.
    3. Spends £280 billion annually on imports from the EU, in return for which the EU spends £220 billion on goods and services produced here, a net EU balance of payments deficit of £60 billion.

    Leave essentially propose ending 1 and 2, but continuing with 3.

    So in terms of TSE's parallel, it's not "like the man who divorces his wife & still expects dinner & a blowjob from her every night after the divorce". It's more a case that if there's a divorce the husband plans to refuse to continue to fund the wife's shopping habits (1) in the secure knowledge that the quality of the fringe benefits on offer from the wife (2) falls far short of what she claims of them, but he will nonetheless continue to support the kids as before in the form of some very generous maintenance payments (3).

    The wife does not want to play ball, but her solicitor advises that it's the best deal she's going to get, unless she can use all of her nefarious means to persuade the husband not to walk out.

    Very good Phil.

    I think the only bit I would quibble with is that the balance of payments deficit for the last year we have full figures (2014) was somewhere north of £100 billion.
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    We hosted a dinner party on Saturday night. I'm under strict instructions at home NEVER to mention politics in company (can't understand why) but the subject of the referendum came up.

    I'm sure you'll all be shocked to find out that the affluent metropolitan gay middle-aged vote was lining up 100% for Remain. I was probably the most Eurosceptical person in the room.

    I also hosted a dinner party on Saturday mt guests were surprised to find I was firmly voting out most of them think that because I've worked in Europe so much I'm a firm remainer.
    Spoke to my aunt at the weekend who will be 90 on June 23rd. She thinks we are having a referendum on joining the EU. Following clarification she is in favour of Remain. Very unlikely that she votes though.
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    Oh my, Godfrey Bloom has just quoted my tweet

    https://twitter.com/goddersbloom/status/722460058077044736
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    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    edited April 2016


    Quite so.

    I remain (small r) ever hopeful that some of pb.com's softer Remainers - all decent and reasonable people - might find it within their hearts and heads to embrace their fundamental democratic instincts at the 11th hour, and vote accordingly.

    If my fundamental democratic instincts were distressed by being in the EU I would vote to leave.
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    JackW said:

    National - NBC/Survey Monkey - Sample 13,002

    Trump 46 .. Cruz 28 .. Kasich 19
    Clinton 50 .. Sanders 43

    Clinton 48 .. Trump 39
    Clinton 46 .. Cruz 38

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/trump-leads-kasich-support-reaches-new-high-ahead-n-y-n557826

    Go, Hillary go !
  • Options
    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,314
    Here's the official Parliamentary notice of the by-election result.

    Six other candidates all got zero votes.

    At least it wasn't a tie with three people all getting one vote each and it then going to the drawing of lots.

    https://www.parliament.uk/documents/publications-records/House-of-Lords-Publications/By-elections/Result-Liberal-Democrat-hereditary-peers-by-election-result-Avebury.pdf.pdf
This discussion has been closed.