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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show on Trump, Brussels,
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show on Trump, Brussels, Osborne and that LAB poll lead
After a week dominated by the tragedy in Brussels the PB/PN TV team look at the political impact of that as well as Trump’s growing haul of delegates, Osborne and that unique polling event – the Labour polling lead.
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Emerson, Wisconsin
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_73d4ad9247704c9488a764acae6f7767.pdf
Cruz 36
Trump 35
Kasich 19
Bad news for Trump and for all of us that want this thing to finally end.
Ted Cruz is going to win his first non-mormon Romney state.
Thankfully most people are holidaying further afield so whatever bizarre argument you are trying to make will not work with most people.
The Belgians knew the metro and the airport were potential targets but its unclear (despite some claims coming out of Israel in particular that they knew precise detail ) that they were 100% defined targets of an attack in this round.
What looks fairly certain is that those guys really did think they were going to be lifted. One of those involved in the actual attacks is far too skilled and useful to be blowing himself up under regular circumstances. IS may have lost a seriously important bod in its Franco-Belgian jaunt.
Politically, someone's head is likely to be served up over this round of attacks, perhaps unfairly.
Weird how none of those non-EU nations were difficult to get into despite them not being in the EU isn't it?
"Justices Seem Split in Case on Birth Control Mandate":
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/24/us/politics/supreme-court-case-on-contraceptives-mandate-may-offer-little-closure.html
Perhaps if intelligence services were more obsessed with obstructing terrorism and less obsessed with observing it, we might see less of this sort of thing.
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/03/if-brussels-feared-a-terrorist-attack-why-was-its-airport-security-so-lax/
@uxbridgewalrus: Perhaps he's trying to find some new doners! https://t.co/nRCQA7wgIh
@scottreid1980: @RuthDavidsonMSP Oh that was truly pittaful. (sorry)
@BBCDanielS: @RuthDavidsonMSP @uxbridgewalrus Boom. Shish. Surely?
This is real. Actually real.
"Willie Rennie MSP has said the number of Scottish Liberal Democrat MSPs will grow thanks to the party’s record of action at Holyrood over the last five years"
http://libdemhame.org/2016/03/23/rennie-predicts-lib-dem-gains-in-may/
Stunned.
I am enjoying the UK political discussions from 15 mins in.
It basically comes from the inability to comprehend that being so nice they won't be a terrorist target. Unfortunately they are now being brought into the real world. I travel across Europe weekly and I am amazed at the relaxed attitudes in many airports though they are now dramatically improving. As for airports in the Middle East well enough said.
Schipol has only recently discontinued the ability of travellers to be able to get right to the gate and the aircraft before the first security check was completed on entering the gate waiting area . It had been like it since I started flying out of there in 1976.
How far do you go though and how long. The "tanks at Heathrow" was ridiculed at the time so I see it as the worst balancing act to have to perform. Keep the country moving while providing adequate security. As they say the terrorist only has to get lucky once the security always have to be lucky. Make it to tough and you don't solve the problem you move it elsewhere. It's like burglar alarms it simply moves the intruder to a house that does not have one.
Carrying an assault rifle is illegal in both countries, and surely the answer is intelligence led policing rather than borders that take hours to cross. Been there done that in Zambia. It has been known to take days...
The Labour Party has "mislaid its radical roots," says Gisela Stuart
http://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/brexit-is-the-left-wing-choice
i don't really understand the line of argument about how lax security within airports is. The function of airport security is to control what gets onto planes (up to including lethal stuff like toothpaste) for the obvious reasons that most things are worse when you're in a flying metal tube. Until then it's just another location where there are lots of people around, like a shopping centre or station, and it's not entirely clear why you'd expect it to have a different level of security to those other gathering places.
In the Middle East we have put bags through the scanners and the guard is on his mobile or chatting to his mate. That's a common thing in Dubai International by the way.
Don't get me started on west Africa where we have even put bags through a disconnected machine.
I *told* you all that Corbyn wasn't hard left.
http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/372741131.html
Trump won the counties in Michigan bordering Wisconsin in the NE, which Santorum won. He also won the counties bordering the SE in Illinois, which Romney won. So not exactly certain how that translates across.
Just recollected internationally though that Cairo for a while did a bag check on way into the check in area for a while but then that was discontinued.
If you arrive in a car at a Cairo airport international hotel the car is stopped at a gate and searched and also mirrored underneath for car bombs. They also have large dogs sniffing. They have done that for a very long time.
Though an interesting question for Hunt, IDD and their mates:
If there were 15 000 easily preventable deaths each year in the UK, should we do something about it?
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/fuel-poverty-killed-15000-people-last-winter-10217215.html
Two nations that have had more than their fair share of terrorism.
@JohnRentoul: ComRes for ITVNews: Voters think leaving the EU is a risk https://t.co/lhUMttKZ1u https://t.co/B0UuYMxtdy
http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2016/01/28/author-roger-stones-latest-conspiracy-theory-george-h-w-bush-behind-reagan-assassination-attempt/
It was all part of the hype to get Blairs war on Iraq through Parliament, a week after over a million turned out to demonstrate against the war. I don't think there was a credible thing for a AFV to do.
If only TB (and the Tories too) had listened to the people, would we be in this mess now.
Obviously if the aim is to secure the people then checkpoints aren't very useful, because the adversary can move their attack to the queues outside security.
Now evident that so-called 'loyalty list' is false flag planted by sinister Core (Bilderberg) Group Negative.
http://twitter.com/ScotNational/status/712757366597545984
The European HQ of Mossad is at Schiphol. And rightly so. But it was a message to Wilson.
Last time I went I stopped off at Charles dd Gaulle for lunch with a friend. I then fly to Ben gurgling arrival conversation went like this:
Q. So why did you stop in Paris?
A. To have lunch with a friend
Q. Anywhere nice?
A. Nah. Just at the airport
Q. How long are you in Israel?
A. I leave tomorrow
Q. What are you going to do?.
A. Visit a biological manufacturing facility
Q. Would you mind waiting here for a moment?
A. Ulp
I really don't understand the Docs' reasoning here. By the same logic, if it is going to be imposed what is the point of strikes? It exposes mass resignations as an empty threat. And it suggests that patient safety is not the main concern.
Might it be about money after all?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hn0RsnSqOU8
IS has shifted to this tactic as their Caliphate is in collapse, thanks to the Russian intervention.
'Though the UK participates in various European and Brussels-based security bodies, they are of little consequence.'
'Sir Richard said national security was served by international cooperation but only with trusted allies and not the entire EU as this leaked information like a 'colander'.'
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3506451/Ex-Mi6-chief-insists-Brexit-NOT-damage-national-security-Britain-s-best-intelligence-isn-t-shared-leaky-EU-institutions-anyway.html