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  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @davieclegg: So has IDS finally found a conscience or is this really about Europe?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited March 2016
    Wanderer said:

    So, here is a vacancy for Boris ;)

    LOL...Putting Boris in charge of reforming the labyrinthian benefits system...you would be safer putting him charge of a double decker bus of attractive single ladies heading for a weekend away.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,865

    Good news for Leave if Duncan Smith dishes the dirt on Cameron and Osborne.

    Not convinced by the Tory claims their internal battle will be civil? For shame.
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    kle4 said:

    Wanderer said:

    kle4 said:

    tlg86 said:

    kle4 said:

    IDS: I am unable to watch passively whilst certain politics are enacted in order to meet the fiscal self imposed restraints that I believe are more and more perceived as distinctly political rather than in the national economic interest.

    Well, if Tory cabinet ministers don't care about cutting to erase the deficit (despite saying the PM should be proud of the work on deficit reduction), I think that's a pretty clear sign it won't be erased by 2020. Ending on the 'all in this together' line straight out of the opposition playbook feels like a twist of the knife too, but that's probably unavoidable in a resignation letter.

    I think the point IDS makes is that it is hard to justify these cuts when he's reducing taxes for the better off. That, I would have thought, is quite an obvious criticism to make.
    Well sure, but it's an obvious criticism because it has already been made for years, it's just that suddenly IDS agrees. We all have lines we won't cross I guess.
    This is about the referendum
    Most things are. I've no reason to doubt his sincerity on not liking these specific cuts at this specific time, but it is surely the case that without the fact he is in essence already in open opposition to the PM on an extremely major issue presumably had an impact on determining whether it was an issue worth grumbling about or resigning over.
    He's supported many other cuts before now and this one was on the point of being abandoned.
  • PAWPAW Posts: 1,074
    Following Rod's link - In response, the Canadian health ministry has cautioned against overstating Canada’s role in the opioid crisis in the United States, where drug overdoses have surpassed motor vehicles and firearms as the No. 1 cause of accidental death. - I had no idea - I wonder what the stats are for this country.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    tlg86 said:

    Mortimer said:

    tlg86 said:

    Mortimer said:

    Proud of IDS.

    Heard him talk about social justice at the Union about 10 years ago. He was passionate; clearly cared more about it than leadership or Winning at any cost.

    Osborne is done for. Cameron's position is looking iffy too.

    by Union do you mean Oxford Union?
    I do.

    Otherwise I would have said 'the other place Union', or 'Hull Union'

    :-)
    I was there too, and I agree he was very passionate about it.
    Small world eh? Made me proud to be a Tory.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    IDS turns it up to 11.

  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    IDS-£4bn of planned cuts to Personal Independence Payments, expected to affect 640,000 people.
    Mr Duncan Smith said the cuts were "not defensible" within a Budget that "benefits higher earning taxpayers".
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Well, quite...

    @Alison_McGovern: If the Sec of State for Work & Pensions didn't agree the cuts to help for people with disabilities, how did they get in the red book?
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    Of course, there's always the IDS for next leader bandwagon. After all, he has experience of the job and knows what's needed.
  • LadyBucketLadyBucket Posts: 590
    I feel desperately sorry for IDS because he genuinely believes in welfare reform and always said this would be his last job in government.

    If the conservatives lose their reputation for economic confidence, then they are in real trouble.

    I have repeatedly emailed No 10 over the years about their inability to foresee these blunders. They have nobody on the bridge looking out for these icebergs, they just keep sailing into them.

    I'm so angry with the lot of them right now and that includes those ill-disciplined back benchers who are constantly on the air-waves.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,999
    Scott_P said:

    @davieclegg: So has IDS finally found a conscience or is this really about Europe?

    Call me a cynic, but my first thought is that it's the latter. I'd have to read his resignation letter and see what he says in interviews before I'm sure, though.

    It's a shame. IDS was doing reasonably well in that position. He'd been in it long enough ...
  • scotslassscotslass Posts: 912
    Alanbrooke /Scott P

    Let us see. Over a year since he left office and you pair of Tories are still frightened of Salmond.

    Took the SNP from no-where to dominate Scottish politics, the SNP into a majority Government in a PR system and then Scotland to the brink of independence.

    Not bad and certainly not over-rated.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Good job this calmly argued European referendum is not causing any internal problems for the Conservatives.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,790
    The Tories continue to eat themselves. Osborne is done for now, surely.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    IDS-£4bn of planned cuts to Personal Independence Payments, expected to affect 640,000 people.
    Mr Duncan Smith said the cuts were "not defensible" within a Budget that "benefits higher earning taxpayers".

    Exactly how ? Did he know that it will be in the budget or not ?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    scotslass said:

    Scotland to the brink of independence.

    He blew it.

    His choice of date/question/mandate, and he threw it all away.

    It's hilarious/tragic (delete as appropriate)
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    Latest Tory cuts in benefts for people living with disabilities are a "compromise too far" says IDS as he resigns. Incredible
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,004
    surbiton said:

    IDS-£4bn of planned cuts to Personal Independence Payments, expected to affect 640,000 people.
    Mr Duncan Smith said the cuts were "not defensible" within a Budget that "benefits higher earning taxpayers".

    Exactly how ? Did he know that it will be in the budget or not ?
    He would have known the details for his own department; he wouldn't have known the overall details of the Budget until the morning cabinet on the day it was delivered.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    IDS-£4bn of planned cuts to Personal Independence Payments, expected to affect 640,000 people.
    Mr Duncan Smith said the cuts were "not defensible" within a Budget that "benefits higher earning taxpayers".

    Perhaps he intended the cuts to be matched by other matters of retrenchment.

    IDS always struck me as genuine in his desire to refocus the welfare state, but also totally incompetent at implementing reform.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,390
    Beware the IDS of March.

    (ht @Kennyf1283)
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    kle4 said:

    I thought the disability stuff was going to be reversed anyway? In which case he could have remained, so to speak, I presume, but with the flare up over the EU probably not a bad time to clear off or be cleared out in any case even if things were to be reversed.

    Wasn't it being briefed that the disability cuts were his idea? In the swirl of a Tory civil war it is hard to know what is fact and what is fiction.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Wanderer said:

    kle4 said:

    tlg86 said:

    kle4 said:

    IDS: I am unable to watch passively whilst certain politics are enacted in order to meet the fiscal self imposed restraints that I believe are more and more perceived as distinctly political rather than in the national economic interest.

    Well, if Tory cabinet ministers don't care about cutting to erase the deficit (despite saying the PM should be proud of the work on deficit reduction), I think that's a pretty clear sign it won't be erased by 2020. Ending on the 'all in this together' line straight out of the opposition playbook feels like a twist of the knife too, but that's probably unavoidable in a resignation letter.

    I think the point IDS makes is that it is hard to justify these cuts when he's reducing taxes for the better off. That, I would have thought, is quite an obvious criticism to make.
    Well sure, but it's an obvious criticism because it has already been made for years, it's just that suddenly IDS agrees. We all have lines we won't cross I guess.
    This is about the referendum
    And the leadership.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    If IDS had really found his conscience (as opposed to wanting to cause maximum trouble for Cameron/Osborne) he would have resigned before he signed off the budget...
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,004
    Wanderer said:

    Of course, there's always the IDS for next leader bandwagon. After all, he has experience of the job and knows what's needed.

    Yes, he knows he's not needed.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    Mortimer said:

    tlg86 said:

    Mortimer said:

    tlg86 said:

    Mortimer said:

    Proud of IDS.

    Heard him talk about social justice at the Union about 10 years ago. He was passionate; clearly cared more about it than leadership or Winning at any cost.

    Osborne is done for. Cameron's position is looking iffy too.

    by Union do you mean Oxford Union?
    I do.

    Otherwise I would have said 'the other place Union', or 'Hull Union'

    :-)
    I was there too, and I agree he was very passionate about it.
    Small world eh? Made me proud to be a Tory.
    Yes, I went to the Union regularly during the first 18 months of my time there and they had some really interesting speakers of which IDS was certainly one. But they had problems attracting speakers after the stuff with Nick Griffin and some holocaust denier being invited to a free speech debate which was a shame.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    That's a spectacularly effective knifing.

    The Conservatives are going to be at each other's throats for years.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312

    They have nobody on the bridge looking out for these icebergs, they just keep sailing into them.

    I just don't buy it. I don't generally subscribe to conspiracy theories but it really wouldn't surprise me if they've deliberately made IDS's position untenable by giving him some really bad cuts to implement.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    Scott_P said:

    If IDS had really found his conscience (as opposed to wanting to cause maximum trouble for Cameron/Osborne) he would have resigned before he signed off the budget...


    So Osborne has to get permission from all the other ministers for this budget, does he?
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Did anyone have IDS as next one out of the cabinet?

    I missed this one.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312

    Beware the IDS of March.

    (ht @Kennyf1283)

    God that's good.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    That's a spectacularly effective knifing.

    The Conservatives are going to be at each other's throats for years.

    I feel this thread needs some SeanT style over-reaction.

    This is the End. The absolute end for the snivelling morale coward Cameron and his lick spittle toady number two Osborne. Their Europhillic obsession has destroyed the Tory party for a generation and seven score more.

    Their lasting legacy will be a Corbyn led Britain.

    The cretins, the fools.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited March 2016
    Scott_P said:

    If IDS had really found his conscience (as opposed to wanting to cause maximum trouble for Cameron/Osborne) he would have resigned before he signed off the budget...

    And so the smearing begins in earnest.

    It's like the good old days under Blair and Brown.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    You just have to love Scott already on here trying to protect the top two of the Tory party - lol
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    So Osborne has to get permission from all the other ministers for this budget, does he?

    Err, yes, that's how it works
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,790
    If Leave wins IDS will presumably be back in the cabinet by Christmas. If so, the words in his resignation letter may come back to haunt him.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tlg86 said:

    Beware the IDS of March.

    (ht @Kennyf1283)

    God that's good.
    Infamy! Infamy! They've all got it infamy!
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    That's a spectacularly effective knifing.

    The Conservatives are going to be at each other's throats for years.

    The idea that this is all going to be peaced out after the referendum died tonight (if it wasn't already dead).
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039

    That's a spectacularly effective knifing.

    The Conservatives are going to be at each other's throats for years.

    This is a proper gamechanger. The Gove bet looks better and better.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @annemcelvoy: A simmering row between George and IDS boils over. Not just Europe. Each thinks the other totally incompetent.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    You just have to love Scott already on here trying to protect the top two of the Tory party - lol

    Err, this is the Labour line...

    @ChukaUmunna: IDS resigning has everything to do with the EU and nothing to do with welfare - why wait this long after causing misery to so many to resign
  • I love politics. Budget was morally reprehensible. By Thursday morning Tory MPs were telling the media the disability cuts weren't on. Thursday afternoon the Treasury put it about that IDS did it. Thursday night Morgan says the budget document is a consultation. Friday morning and "oh no it isnt" say the Treasury. And now IDS jumps blaming the Treasury.

    This is all about Osborne. His budget was all about his succession, as with Brown his own Hubris made him think his lies were truth until the IFS laughed at his numbers. Now he's off to blame others for his indefensible attack on the disabled and they're not taking the blame like they're supposed to.

    IDS will pin this firmly on oik, it's all him, he's a tyrant disconnected from real people. You can't trust these RemaIN people they're all scum.

    What odds on President Trump, PM Johnson and President Le Pen?
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    If Leave wins IDS will presumably be back in the cabinet by Christmas. If so, the words in his resignation letter may come back to haunt him.

    Haha. Very true.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,790
    Alistair said:

    That's a spectacularly effective knifing.

    The Conservatives are going to be at each other's throats for years.

    I feel this thread needs some SeanT style over-reaction.

    This is the End. The absolute end for the snivelling morale coward Cameron and his lick spittle toady number two Osborne. Their Europhillic obsession has destroyed the Tory party for a generation and seven score more.

    Their lasting legacy will be a Corbyn led Britain.

    The cretins, the fools.

    You had me until the second last paragraph, but that was ridiculous.

  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    Scott_P said:

    If IDS had really found his conscience (as opposed to wanting to cause maximum trouble for Cameron/Osborne) he would have resigned before he signed off the budget...

    But he might not have known about the big give away George was planning for higher earners....
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    Scott_P said:

    If IDS had really found his conscience (as opposed to wanting to cause maximum trouble for Cameron/Osborne) he would have resigned before he signed off the budget...


    So Osborne has to get permission from all the other ministers for this budget, does he?
    £4bn is a large some of money. Surely it was mentioned in the morning Cabinet meeting, at the very least. In any case, I cannot believe the Secretary of the Work and Pensions did not know about it beforehand.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,865
    Alistair said:

    That's a spectacularly effective knifing.

    The Conservatives are going to be at each other's throats for years.

    I feel this thread needs some SeanT style over-reaction.

    This is the End. The absolute end for the snivelling morale coward Cameron and his lick spittle toady number two Osborne. Their Europhillic obsession has destroyed the Tory party for a generation and seven score more.

    Their lasting legacy will be a Corbyn led Britain.

    The cretins, the fools.
    Needs more swears.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Scott_P said:

    @annemcelvoy: A simmering row between George and IDS boils over. Not just Europe. Each thinks the other totally incompetent.

    And unusually, they are both right.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @FraserNelson: Why Iain Duncan Smith resigned - my blog: https://t.co/9J0mR3ECVV
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,178

    Scott_P said:

    @annemcelvoy: A simmering row between George and IDS boils over. Not just Europe. Each thinks the other totally incompetent.

    And unusually, they are both right.
    You beat me to it...

    When was the last time these two were both right about something? The impact that meteor would have on the dinosaurs?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,943
    HYUFD said:

    Speedy said:

    Germany's Nick Clegg has died:

    https://twitter.com/BBCWorld/status/710857108686835712

    I bit early though to write the obituary for the english version of a useless liberal leader who messed up.

    RIP he led the FDP to a record high in 2009 before their later collapse and was an able Foreign Minister and the first openly gay leader of a German party. He died of Cancer
    My friend in the CDU always held him in very high regard.

    (As an aside, the FDP is nothing like the LibDems - except in poll shares. The FDP is business friendly, libertarian party.)
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    If Leave wins IDS will presumably be back in the cabinet by Christmas. If so, the words in his resignation letter may come back to haunt him.

    Iain Duncan Smith's cabinet career under David Cameron is over. David Cameron doesn't forgive in the first place and he will still be seething about this on his deathbed.

    Iain Duncan Smith will know that. So if he retains cabinet ambitions, he's going to be joining the plotters.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,120
    If that has come from you, you're a very clever so and so.

    Wasn't IDS one of the original Major's bastards? Bloody heckers like, IDS is a bigger bastard than I could have ever have imagined.

    The Tories relationship to Europe is akin to crystal meth. They are addicted to it, and it sends them completely bonkers.

    Beware the IDS of March.

    (ht @Kennyf1283)

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,865
    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:

    If IDS had really found his conscience (as opposed to wanting to cause maximum trouble for Cameron/Osborne) he would have resigned before he signed off the budget...


    So Osborne has to get permission from all the other ministers for this budget, does he?
    £4bn is a large some of money. Surely it was mentioned in the morning Cabinet meeting, at the very least. In any case, I cannot believe the Secretary of the Work and Pensions did not know about it beforehand.
    Yes indeed. This is already getting messy - just on here we've seen the conspiracy theory that the cuts were proposed to force IDS out on one end, to that he doesn't care, he must have known, it's just about Europe.

    Will it be a bloodletting that lasts for years? Hard to say of course, but unless it's a massive win for Leave or a massive win for Remain (with Tory voters a lot less split than seems the case) it's hard to see how one side will be overwhelming enough to win it quickly.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,790
    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:

    If IDS had really found his conscience (as opposed to wanting to cause maximum trouble for Cameron/Osborne) he would have resigned before he signed off the budget...


    So Osborne has to get permission from all the other ministers for this budget, does he?
    £4bn is a large some of money. Surely it was mentioned in the morning Cabinet meeting, at the very least. In any case, I cannot believe the Secretary of the Work and Pensions did not know about it beforehand.

    This resignation has EU referendum written all over it. Osborne and Cameron have been kippered, so to speak.

  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    edited March 2016

    That's a spectacularly effective knifing.

    The Conservatives are going to be at each other's throats for years.

    This is a proper gamechanger. The Gove bet looks better and better.
    The benefit of having an ex leader in a position to be able to resign is that he knows when to cause the most damage.

    If this has been done right, and is about the leadership, there will be another resignation tomorrow.

    May, if she feels up for the fight? Gove?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,896

    I love politics. Budget was morally reprehensible. By Thursday morning Tory MPs were telling the media the disability cuts weren't on. Thursday afternoon the Treasury put it about that IDS did it. Thursday night Morgan says the budget document is a consultation. Friday morning and "oh no it isnt" say the Treasury. And now IDS jumps blaming the Treasury.

    This is all about Osborne. His budget was all about his succession, as with Brown his own Hubris made him think his lies were truth until the IFS laughed at his numbers. Now he's off to blame others for his indefensible attack on the disabled and they're not taking the blame like they're supposed to.

    IDS will pin this firmly on oik, it's all him, he's a tyrant disconnected from real people. You can't trust these RemaIN people they're all scum.

    What odds on President Trump, PM Johnson and President Le Pen?

    I shall have a very disturbed night.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    Bet GO is longing for a mere Omnishambles budget
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    #GoodjobtheGOPispayingfortheosbornebetslip
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Useless Osborne U-turns again. I'd set light to the betslip right now if it wasn't a digital one.

    I just bet on a spread of Tory longshots:

    Dominic Raab 33/1
    Penny Mordaunt 50/1
    Andrea Leadsom 33/1
    Johnny Mercer 100/1

    Great guys, all of them.

    I think Osborne and Boris are awful value right now.
    Johnny Mercer is one of the Tory MPs leading the charge against the "Wheelchair Tax".
    I don't agree with all of his views, but he isn't afraid to put himself out on a limb, and go against the grain, and he definitely has the X-factor.

    He is leadership material.

    Even 59% of Tory voters opposed the disability benefit cuts in the post Budget yougov and just 13% of voters as a whole, there will be a rebellion by Tory backbenchers and as with tax credits Osborne will have to u-turn
    Not this one. Nor did I oppose the tax credit cuts.

    We spend too much money on social support and benefits in this country and, as DavidL said the other day, it distorts the economy.
    Well that is your personal view but these benefits are focused on helping the disabled complete everyday tasks independently and it would be political suicide to end them with the vast majority of voters backing the benefits
    I support a basic safety net, but otherwise the solution is to help disabled people into work and support them with a strong family and local community net, the Big Society, not the state.
    In practical terms you need funding to do that and the IDS resignation makes an Osborne u-turn now inevitable, though as a Leave backer it is not completely surprising and will give him more freedom to campaign against the EU
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    So the government infighting has now spilled into the public.
  • The Tories continue to eat themselves. Osborne is done for now, surely.

    I have little doubt but this is Europe that is driving IDS. Osborne using the OBR for the remain case in the budget speech probably infuriated IDS and being an outer would not want Osborne to continue in no 11 post 23rd June. He has been party to all the previous cuts and to make a clear political statement in his resignation speech is his way of finishing Osborne's leadership bid. I do believe Osborne will be moved post 23rd June and that he will not become PM but nor will Boris. At least it is not long to the summer holidays after the referendum and the Autumn should provide a new dawn with a new cabinet and nearly 4 years to the next election. I am pleased the referendum is going to be soon and demonstrates why David Cameron was right not to wait till late 2017.
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    Scott_P said:

    @davieclegg: So has IDS finally found a conscience or is this really about Europe?

    Call me a cynic, but my first thought is that it's the latter. I'd have to read his resignation letter and see what he says in interviews before I'm sure, though.

    It's a shame. IDS was doing reasonably well in that position. He'd been in it long enough ...
    Perhaps he was sick of Osborne threatening people their career was over if they didn't support Remain.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    Haven't we have leaks that IDS was very close to jumping overboard on a number of previous occasions after having bust up with Osborne.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Unexpected, but making perfect sense in retrospect. The most annoying sort of development for a political punter. See also: Corbyn's election.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    kle4 said:

    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:

    If IDS had really found his conscience (as opposed to wanting to cause maximum trouble for Cameron/Osborne) he would have resigned before he signed off the budget...


    So Osborne has to get permission from all the other ministers for this budget, does he?
    £4bn is a large some of money. Surely it was mentioned in the morning Cabinet meeting, at the very least. In any case, I cannot believe the Secretary of the Work and Pensions did not know about it beforehand.
    Yes indeed. This is already getting messy - just on here we've seen the conspiracy theory that the cuts were proposed to force IDS out on one end, to that he doesn't care, he must have known, it's just about Europe.

    Will it be a bloodletting that lasts for years? Hard to say of course, but unless it's a massive win for Leave or a massive win for Remain (with Tory voters a lot less split than seems the case) it's hard to see how one side will be overwhelming enough to win it quickly.
    It's taken less than a year after the GE for open hostilities to break out in the Tory party. Is this a record?

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,865
    Scott_P said:

    @FraserNelson: Why Iain Duncan Smith resigned - my blog: https://t.co/9J0mR3ECVV

    Summary - IDS is a noble hero, Osborne ruined everything IDS wanted to help the nation and is a cock to boot, this was the last straw.

    I've no idea of the history, but from the tone I think I know which side Nelson will be on in any IDS vs Osborne battle.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    Wow IDS saying cuts are no longer required but are just Political rather than in the economic interests of the nation.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,390
    edited March 2016
    tyson said:

    If that has come from you, you're a very clever so and so.

    Wasn't IDS one of the original Major's bastards? Bloody heckers like, IDS is a bigger bastard than I could have ever have imagined.

    The Tories relationship to Europe is akin to crystal meth. They are addicted to it, and it sends them completely bonkers.

    Beware the IDS of March.

    (ht @Kennyf1283)

    No, it was all @Kennyf1283 on Twitter.
    I take credit for being intelligent enough to nick it mind!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,865
    Speedy said:

    So the government infighting has now spilled into the public.

    Impossible, it's all going to be civil, remember?
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    I mean, it's a good job the tories have a healthy poll lead over Labout to act as a cushion while this blood-letting is ongoing.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,178
    watford30 said:

    kle4 said:

    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:

    If IDS had really found his conscience (as opposed to wanting to cause maximum trouble for Cameron/Osborne) he would have resigned before he signed off the budget...


    So Osborne has to get permission from all the other ministers for this budget, does he?
    £4bn is a large some of money. Surely it was mentioned in the morning Cabinet meeting, at the very least. In any case, I cannot believe the Secretary of the Work and Pensions did not know about it beforehand.
    Yes indeed. This is already getting messy - just on here we've seen the conspiracy theory that the cuts were proposed to force IDS out on one end, to that he doesn't care, he must have known, it's just about Europe.

    Will it be a bloodletting that lasts for years? Hard to say of course, but unless it's a massive win for Leave or a massive win for Remain (with Tory voters a lot less split than seems the case) it's hard to see how one side will be overwhelming enough to win it quickly.
    It's taken less than a year after the GE for open hostilities to break out in the Tory party. Is this a record?

    Possibly. But this is the first time in peacetime since 1931 that they have had no opposition of any sort to think about. If they want to continue fighting and politicking they have to do it to themselves.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Anyone care to name the price tonight on George Osborne as next party leader?
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Mortimer said:

    That's a spectacularly effective knifing.

    The Conservatives are going to be at each other's throats for years.

    This is a proper gamechanger. The Gove bet looks better and better.
    The benefit of having an ex leader in a position to be able to resign is that he knows when to cause the most damage.

    If this has been done right, and is about the leadership, there will be another resignation tomorrow.

    May, if she feels up for the fight? Gove?
    May will have designs on the Remain nomination, which look better and better now. She won't be resigning. Gove is a unity candidate, representing both Cameroonism and Euroscepticism. So he won't be resigning either. Villiers or Whittingdale might go, but neither have huge star quality.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,004
    It is unfortunate that the hashtag IDSquits can be read two ways.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Alistair said:

    I mean, it's a good job the tories have a healthy poll lead over Labout to act as a cushion while this blood-letting is ongoing.

    This is the best week for Jeremy Corbyn since he became Labour leader.
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    Speedy said:

    Alistair said:

    I mean, it's a good job the tories have a healthy poll lead over Labout to act as a cushion while this blood-letting is ongoing.

    This is the best week for Jeremy Corbyn since he became Labour leader.
    It's a low bar, but yes, easily.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Anyone care to name the price tonight on George Osborne as next party leader?

    Last matched @ 5.
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    The mods on the Guardian are going to be busy tonight if they allow comments about the resignation.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,004

    Scott_P said:

    If IDS had really found his conscience (as opposed to wanting to cause maximum trouble for Cameron/Osborne) he would have resigned before he signed off the budget...


    So Osborne has to get permission from all the other ministers for this budget, does he?
    Yes. That said, it does depend on how much detail Osborne lets the cabinet in on.
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    If Leave wins IDS will presumably be back in the cabinet by Christmas. If so, the words in his resignation letter may come back to haunt him.

    Iain Duncan Smith's cabinet career under David Cameron is over. David Cameron doesn't forgive in the first place and he will still be seething about this on his deathbed.

    Iain Duncan Smith will know that. So if he retains cabinet ambitions, he's going to be joining the plotters.
    I bet you're brilliant at Cluedo.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Alistair said:

    Anyone care to name the price tonight on George Osborne as next party leader?

    Last matched @ 5.
    Oh, better make that 6.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,178

    Mortimer said:

    That's a spectacularly effective knifing.

    The Conservatives are going to be at each other's throats for years.

    This is a proper gamechanger. The Gove bet looks better and better.
    The benefit of having an ex leader in a position to be able to resign is that he knows when to cause the most damage.

    If this has been done right, and is about the leadership, there will be another resignation tomorrow.

    May, if she feels up for the fight? Gove?
    May will have designs on the Remain nomination, which look better and better now. She won't be resigning. Gove is a unity candidate, representing both Cameroonism and Euroscepticism. So he won't be resigning either. Villiers or Whittingdale might go, but neither have huge star quality.
    Chris Grayling perhaps?
  • So who is going to replace IDS?

    My money is on Priti Patel (if there was such a market)
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451
    I bet that waste of space Osborne's wishing he hadn't screwed up yet another budget now!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,865

    Wow IDS saying cuts are no longer required but are just Political rather than in the economic interests of the nation.

    Yes, biggest part of the whole thing for me. If IDS thinks that, there must be others in the cabinet who do too, and plenty more of the parliamentary party and members who do too - sticking to the deficit targets, or at least making an appearance at trying too, is central to Cameron and Osborne and their presentation of economic competence.

    IDS seems to be saying that's bollocks, what we've done on deficit reduction is enough, so it's time to stop.

    We're all Corbynites now.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,004

    Anyone care to name the price tonight on George Osborne as next party leader?

    Things can change and crises can pass but right now I wouldn't take anything south of 50/1.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    If Leave wins IDS will presumably be back in the cabinet by Christmas. If so, the words in his resignation letter may come back to haunt him.

    Iain Duncan Smith's cabinet career under David Cameron is over. David Cameron doesn't forgive in the first place and he will still be seething about this on his deathbed.

    Iain Duncan Smith will know that. So if he retains cabinet ambitions, he's going to be joining the plotters.
    I bet you're brilliant at Cluedo.
    SeanT once described me as expert in stating the blindingly obvious. He meant it as an insult but it was a compliment.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,790

    If Leave wins IDS will presumably be back in the cabinet by Christmas. If so, the words in his resignation letter may come back to haunt him.

    Iain Duncan Smith's cabinet career under David Cameron is over. David Cameron doesn't forgive in the first place and he will still be seething about this on his deathbed.

    Iain Duncan Smith will know that. So if he retains cabinet ambitions, he's going to be joining the plotters.

    The quickest way to get rid of Cameron is for Leave to win in June. IDS will hold nothing back on that front now. But I'm not sure that's necessarily good for Leave!

  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    IDS resignation letter cuts are "distinctly political rather than in the national economic interest"
  • glwglw Posts: 10,020
    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @FraserNelson: Why Iain Duncan Smith resigned - my blog: https://t.co/9J0mR3ECVV

    Summary - IDS is a noble hero, Osborne ruined everything IDS wanted to help the nation and is a cock to boot, this was the last straw.

    I've no idea of the history, but from the tone I think I know which side Nelson will be on in any IDS vs Osborne battle.
    Sure Nelson's giving the IDS side, but this budget should have been the safest one in living memory with the EU referendum coming up, instead there was a highly controversial change to PIP made for no obvious immediate reason. Cock up, conspiracy, whatever it doesn't really matter, the question is why do the Treasury or Osborne keep doing these things which detract from the overall successful economic and fiscal policy?
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    Mortimer said:

    That's a spectacularly effective knifing.

    The Conservatives are going to be at each other's throats for years.

    This is a proper gamechanger. The Gove bet looks better and better.
    The benefit of having an ex leader in a position to be able to resign is that he knows when to cause the most damage.

    If this has been done right, and is about the leadership, there will be another resignation tomorrow.

    May, if she feels up for the fight? Gove?
    May will have designs on the Remain nomination, which look better and better now. She won't be resigning. Gove is a unity candidate, representing both Cameroonism and Euroscepticism. So he won't be resigning either. Villiers or Whittingdale might go, but neither have huge star quality.
    Javid to flip flop?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    edited March 2016
    Time for Osborne to be shuffled out of the Treasury?

    A bad few days for team blue.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,178

    So who is going to replace IDS?

    My money is on Priti Patel (if there was such a market)

    Or Javid perhaps? Liz Truss might be a possibility too, Cameron is said to like her for some unfathomable reason.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Anyone care to name the price tonight on George Osborne as next party leader?

    Things can change and crises can pass but right now I wouldn't take anything south of 50/1.
    I can't tell you how comfortable I feel with the large red number I have against his name.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Anyone care to name the price tonight on George Osborne as next party leader?

    Too many people want to knife him now.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663

    IDS resignation letter "distinctly political rather than in the national economic interest"

    Sorted that for you.

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,249

    Beware the IDS of March.

    (ht @Kennyf1283)

    Oh very good.
This discussion has been closed.