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  • The morning thread is for PB classicists

    AV? Be still my beating heart!
    That was last week. Alas tomorrow is an epic today for me, so only one thread from me.

    I've decided to do an AV thread on the anniversary of the AV referendum.
  • MikeL said:

    MikeL said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ShippersUnbound: Boris or Gove will go head to head with Cameron in big Question Time debate in June says Vote Leave

    Except the QT debate won't be a head to head.

    It'll be like the GE QT - Cameron on stage on his own taking questions and then someone from Leave doing the same separately.
    There's one final event a few days before the vote at Wembley arena that could well be a head to head.
    y

    I know - but Cameron won't do that one.

    We can't know for sure - but let's wait and see!
    Well I've just done the morning thread on the assumption Cameron will do the debate.
    He would be acting out of character and against his instinct. Also who has agreed to these debates.
    He was eventually bounced into the GE debates.
    Only the one with seven. He did not do any other head to heads
    But the election involved several sides/parties.

    This referendum only has two sides, Remain and Leave.
    He won't go head to head and especially against a conservative. Furthermore there are a lot other high profile candidates on both sides
  • MikeL said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ShippersUnbound: Boris or Gove will go head to head with Cameron in big Question Time debate in June says Vote Leave

    Except the QT debate won't be a head to head.

    It'll be like the GE QT - Cameron on stage on his own taking questions and then someone from Leave doing the same separately.
    There's one final event a few days before the vote at Wembley arena that could well be a head to head.
    ISTR the BBC said that would have 3 reps per side.
  • MikeL said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ShippersUnbound: Boris or Gove will go head to head with Cameron in big Question Time debate in June says Vote Leave

    Except the QT debate won't be a head to head.

    It'll be like the GE QT - Cameron on stage on his own taking questions and then someone from Leave doing the same separately.
    There's one final event a few days before the vote at Wembley arena that could well be a head to head.
    ISTR the BBC said that would have 3 reps per side.
    Have the debates and broadcasters been agreed by all the sides involved - as well as remain we have at least two leave campaigns at present
  • The morning thread is for PB classicists

    AV? Be still my beating heart!
    That was last week. Alas tomorrow is an epic today for me, so only one thread from me.

    I've decided to do an AV thread on the anniversary of the AV referendum.
    Last week was the PB equivalent of a virtuous lady flashing a bit of ankle at us.

  • The morning thread is for PB classicists

    AV? Be still my beating heart!
    That was last week. Alas tomorrow is an epic today for me, so only one thread from me.

    I've decided to do an AV thread on the anniversary of the AV referendum.
    Last week was the PB equivalent of a virtuous lady flashing a bit of ankle at us.

    Well do you want it quick, or do you want it good?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,944

    MikeL said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ShippersUnbound: Boris or Gove will go head to head with Cameron in big Question Time debate in June says Vote Leave

    Except the QT debate won't be a head to head.

    It'll be like the GE QT - Cameron on stage on his own taking questions and then someone from Leave doing the same separately.
    There's one final event a few days before the vote at Wembley arena that could well be a head to head.
    ISTR the BBC said that would have 3 reps per side.
    If there are 3 per side it will be hard to prevent Farage taking part, therefore it will be easy to expose the lack of consensus about what follows a Leave vote.
  • Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:

    Sean_F said:

    And begs the question why he's holding this Referendum.

    It was a manifesto commitment.

    By the end of 2017. Why the rush to get a shit deal?
    The Economy. It is coming to a standstill.
    I thought you said that was happening 12 months ago? Is this an annual prediction like a stopped clock eventually getting the right time.
    Do you live in the real world ? Go and have a look at Manufacturing.
    Yep - and go and have a look at employment levels.

    Domestic consumer economy is incredibly strong at the moment. Strongest I've known since having a consumer facing business (founded '07).
    A trillion pounds of government borrowing does tend to help domestic consumption.

    As does the household savings rate being at its lowest ever level.

    This is what Osborne announced in his 2010 Budget:

    " Our policy is to raise from the ruins of an economy built on debt a new, balanced economy where we save, invest and export. "
    This is such a broken, repetitive and downright ignorant line.

    The government deficit was priced into the economy many years ago so merely having a deficit does not boost consumption. You need to look at the delta (the change) in government spending. The change has been the government deficit coming down each year so that is a negative on growth not a boost.

    The economies growth is happening despite government spending levels not because of it.
    'another richards' wording is thick. We do not have a trillion borrowing we have about what 70bn borrowing and falling. We have a govt cutting its spending.
    Perhaps you'd like to tell us how much the government has borrowed during the last decade.
    The govt has been cutting its spending for the last 6 years and has raised VAT for instance to 20%.
    Except that current government spending has been increasing:

    2011/12 £625bn
    2012/13 £636bn
    2013/14 £646bn
    2014/15 £650bn

    http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20160105160709/http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_428954.pdf

    As you should well know considering how often you claim that government spending has increased on this department or that area.

  • The morning thread is for PB classicists

    AV? Be still my beating heart!
    That was last week. Alas tomorrow is an epic today for me, so only one thread from me.

    I've decided to do an AV thread on the anniversary of the AV referendum.
    Last week was the PB equivalent of a virtuous lady flashing a bit of ankle at us.

    Well do you want it quick, or do you want it good?
    Beggars can't be choosers.
    There's no such thing as bad AV.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    edited February 2016
    CNN has projected Hillary Clinton has won the South Carolina primary with about 68% to 32% for Sanders and she has a comfortable lead in early returns
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited February 2016
    Combined FG/FF share has fallen below 50%.
    http://www.rte.ie/player/ie/live/8/

    FG 25.5%
    FF 24.3%
    SF 13.8%
    Lab 6.6%
  • The morning thread is for PB classicists

    AV? Be still my beating heart!
    That was last week. Alas tomorrow is an epic today for me, so only one thread from me.

    I've decided to do an AV thread on the anniversary of the AV referendum.
    Last week was the PB equivalent of a virtuous lady flashing a bit of ankle at us.

    Well do you want it quick, or do you want it good?
    Beggars can't be choosers.
    There's no such thing as bad AV.

    The morning thread features, inter alia.

    1) Orgies
    2) Cannibalism
    3) Julius Caesar
    4) Monty Python

    Surely that must excite you?
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Moses_ said:
    Bernie Sanders, currently in the air on his way from Texas to Minnesota, has issued a statement on the result in South Carolina. Despite the defeat, he says: “This campaign is just beginning”.
  • The morning thread is for PB classicists

    AV? Be still my beating heart!
    That was last week. Alas tomorrow is an epic today for me, so only one thread from me.

    I've decided to do an AV thread on the anniversary of the AV referendum.
    Last week was the PB equivalent of a virtuous lady flashing a bit of ankle at us.

    Well do you want it quick, or do you want it good?
    Beggars can't be choosers.
    There's no such thing as bad AV.

    The morning thread features, inter alia.

    1) Orgies
    2) Cannibalism
    3) Julius Caesar
    4) Monty Python

    Surely that must excite you?
    You're not the Messiah... ;)
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    According to the exit poll Sanders won 58/42 with white voters.
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/sc/Dem
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,433
    edited February 2016

    The morning thread is for PB classicists

    AV? Be still my beating heart!
    That was last week. Alas tomorrow is an epic today for me, so only one thread from me.

    I've decided to do an AV thread on the anniversary of the AV referendum.
    Last week was the PB equivalent of a virtuous lady flashing a bit of ankle at us.

    Well do you want it quick, or do you want it good?
    Beggars can't be choosers.
    There's no such thing as bad AV.

    The morning thread features, inter alia.

    1) Orgies
    2) Cannibalism
    3) Julius Caesar
    4) Monty Python

    Surely that must excite you?
    You're not the Messiah... ;)
    PBers should be worshipping me

    No, I'm just a very naughty boy
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,944
    Moses_ said:

    Moses_ said:
    Bernie Sanders, currently in the air on his way from Texas to Minnesota, has issued a statement on the result in South Carolina. Despite the defeat, he says: “This campaign is just beginning”.
    The Sandernistas have taken a beating today.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    So, Hillary is going to rack up a huge delegate lead in deep red Republican states which are totally irrelevant to the General.

  • The morning thread is for PB classicists

    AV? Be still my beating heart!
    That was last week. Alas tomorrow is an epic today for me, so only one thread from me.

    I've decided to do an AV thread on the anniversary of the AV referendum.
    Last week was the PB equivalent of a virtuous lady flashing a bit of ankle at us.

    Well do you want it quick, or do you want it good?
    Beggars can't be choosers.
    There's no such thing as bad AV.

    The morning thread features, inter alia.

    1) Orgies
    2) Cannibalism
    3) Julius Caesar
    4) Monty Python

    Surely that must excite you?
    I'm sure it would excite Idi Amin and Jean-Bedel Bokassa even more.
  • AndyJS said:

    According to the exit poll Sanders won 58/42 with white voters.
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/sc/Dem

    Is that percentages or actual numbers ?
  • A trillion pounds of government borrowing does tend to help domestic consumption.

    As does the household savings rate being at its lowest ever level.

    This is what Osborne announced in his 2010 Budget:

    " Our policy is to raise from the ruins of an economy built on debt a new, balanced economy where we save, invest and export. "

    This is such a broken, repetitive and downright ignorant line.

    The government deficit was priced into the economy many years ago so merely having a deficit does not boost consumption. You need to look at the delta (the change) in government spending. The change has been the government deficit coming down each year so that is a negative on growth not a boost.

    The economies growth is happening despite government spending levels not because of it.
    Government borrowing is higher now than it was before the recession.

    The government is therefore choosing to pump more borrowed money into the economy than Gordon Brown ever did as Chancellor.

    Perhaps you'd like to give us your views on how well the government's plan to create 'a new, balanced economy where we save, invest and export' is going ?

    You can mention the current account deficit, productivity, GDP per head and industrial production if you'd like.

    Government borrowing has fallen every year. To suggest otherwise is an outright falsehood. Scorecard

    Save: Positive.
    Household debt to GDP which had risen every single year from 1997 to 2010 peaking around 100% of GDP has fallen every year under this government getting down to about a thirteen year low: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/households-debt-to-gdp
    As well as household debt falling, the Government deficit has fallen every year under this government.

    Invest: Positive
    Business investments and business start ups are both running strong

    Export: Mixed
    Exports have been hit by the ongoing Eurozone crisis but while exports to the Eurozone have fallen, exports to the rest of world have risen. Overall exports are flatlining at a record high.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Sanders is going to get marmalised here
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    According to the exit poll Sanders won 58/42 with white voters.
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/sc/Dem

    Is that percentages or actual numbers ?
    Very funny. It'll be interesting to see how many people have taken part compared to 2008 when turnout was 532,468. (There wasn't a contest in 2012).

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_South_Carolina,_2008
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    AndyJS said:

    According to the exit poll Sanders won 58/42 with white voters.
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/sc/Dem

    Is that percentages or actual numbers ?
    Clinton 80.3%
    Sanders 19.1%
  • The govt has been cutting its spending for the last 6 years and has raised VAT for instance to 20%.

    Except that current government spending has been increasing:

    2011/12 £625bn
    2012/13 £636bn
    2013/14 £646bn
    2014/15 £650bn

    http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20160105160709/http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_428954.pdf

    As you should well know considering how often you claim that government spending has increased on this department or that area.

    Are you seriously reporting figures in Nominal terms? You're not that ignorant are you? Are you generally ignorant or just trying to spin?

    Government spending is falling in real terms and falling fast as a percentage of GDP.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Brussels is temporarily pulling the plug on plans to ban high-powered kettles and toasters in order to avoid giving anti-EU campaigners fresh ammunition in the Britain’s “Brexit” referendum, it was reported today."

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12175832/Fearing-Brexit-Brussels-pulls-plug-on-kettles-ban.html
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders is going to get marmalised here

    But he's winning with some of the demographics who'll decide the election in November.
  • The morning thread is for PB classicists

    AV? Be still my beating heart!
    That was last week. Alas tomorrow is an epic today for me, so only one thread from me.

    I've decided to do an AV thread on the anniversary of the AV referendum.
    Last week was the PB equivalent of a virtuous lady flashing a bit of ankle at us.

    Well do you want it quick, or do you want it good?
    Beggars can't be choosers.
    There's no such thing as bad AV.

    The morning thread features, inter alia.

    1) Orgies
    2) Cannibalism
    3) Julius Caesar
    4) Monty Python

    Surely that must excite you?
    Sounds fun, looking forward to it.
  • Scott_P said:

    @ShippersUnbound: Boris or Gove will go head to head with Cameron in big Question Time debate in June says Vote Leave

    Wow. I reckon it should be Gove.

    It'll be far harder for Cameron to deal with.
    The main problem with using Gove is the public take a dislike to him. He is smart, articulate, normally knows his stuff inside out, but the public just don't take to him.

    Boris, goes wiffle, waffle, hazzzah, cripes, often answers the question badly e.g. London Mayoral debates, but people go ohhh buts its that big teddy bear Boris.

    He was terrible in the mayoral debates, but he was up against Ken and it was a relatively unimportant contest. An EU debate against Dave would be a huge step up in which shucks, errr, oh you know will not do.

    I am not advocating Boris will best Cameron either. Just saying that Boris somehow gets the benefit of the doubt, Gove is the opposite, when it comes to public reaction.
    This is a mega-serious issue not a joke Mayoral post where you play with an overgrown train set.
    RACISM against people wot like trains!
    People wot like trains aren't a race, they're a sub-race.
    Your argument has hit the buffers, I fear :lol:
  • MikeL said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ShippersUnbound: Boris or Gove will go head to head with Cameron in big Question Time debate in June says Vote Leave

    Except the QT debate won't be a head to head.

    It'll be like the GE QT - Cameron on stage on his own taking questions and then someone from Leave doing the same separately.
    There's one final event a few days before the vote at Wembley arena that could well be a head to head.
    ISTR the BBC said that would have 3 reps per side.
    Farage, Galloway, Cash vs Corbyn, Clegg, Natalie Bennett ?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders is going to get marmalised here

    But he's winning with some of the demographics who'll decide the election in November.
    Doesn't matter as he won't get there.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,944
    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders is going to get marmalised here

    But he's winning with some of the demographics who'll decide the election in November.
    Which is good news for Trump if he's facing Hillary.
  • The morning thread is for PB classicists

    AV? Be still my beating heart!
    That was last week. Alas tomorrow is an epic today for me, so only one thread from me.

    I've decided to do an AV thread on the anniversary of the AV referendum.
    Last week was the PB equivalent of a virtuous lady flashing a bit of ankle at us.

    Well do you want it quick, or do you want it good?
    Beggars can't be choosers.
    There's no such thing as bad AV.

    The morning thread features, inter alia.

    1) Orgies
    2) Cannibalism
    3) Julius Caesar
    4) Monty Python

    Surely that must excite you?
    Sounds fun, looking forward to it.
    I hope you like it.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736

    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders is going to get marmalised here

    But he's winning with some of the demographics who'll decide the election in November.
    Which is good news for Trump if he's facing Hillary.
    Not many white liberals who voted for Sanders will vote for Trump even in South Carolina
  • Government borrowing has fallen every year. To suggest otherwise is an outright falsehood. Scorecard

    Save: Positive.
    Household debt to GDP which had risen every single year from 1997 to 2010 peaking around 100% of GDP has fallen every year under this government getting down to about a thirteen year low: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/households-debt-to-gdp
    As well as household debt falling, the Government deficit has fallen every year under this government.

    Invest: Positive
    Business investments and business start ups are both running strong

    Export: Mixed
    Exports have been hit by the ongoing Eurozone crisis but while exports to the Eurozone have fallen, exports to the rest of world have risen. Overall exports are flatlining at a record high.

    Government borrowing hasn't fallen every year - it was higher in 2012/13 than in 2011/12 - it is also way in excess of what Osborne predicted it would be in his 2010 Budget as is government debt as a percentage of GDP.

    Houshold debt has fallen marginally as that graph shows - which is a good thing but ironically NOT what the government wanted. You also make no mention of household saving - which is at a record low.

    'Business investments and business start ups are both running strong' - meaningless claims of the sort Brown and Osborne have both used.

    Exports - Osborne announced a target of a trillion pounds of export by 2020. In reality it is flatlining at half that.

    And predictably no mention of the current account deficit, productivity, GDP per head and industrial production.

    When it comes down to it Osborne has attempted to recreate the Brownian economy - debt fuelled consumption based on rising house prices and government subsidies to favoured voting groups.


  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Hillary is winning the black vote strongly which she lost to Obama in 2008 which provides some good news for her
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited February 2016
    Pulpstar said:

    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders is going to get marmalised here

    But he's winning with some of the demographics who'll decide the election in November.
    Doesn't matter as he won't get there.
    Yes but it can be construed as being negative for Hillary.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    edited February 2016
    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders is going to get marmalised here

    But he's winning with some of the demographics who'll decide the election in November.
    Which is good news for Trump if he's facing Hillary.
    Not many white liberals who voted for Sanders will vote for Trump even in South Carolina
    Trump will get all the Trump-Sanders waverers now as the Democrat contest is pretty much over. Trump-Sanders is an actual thing, people who want to fuck up the system basically.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Clinton's stance on gun laws must've really helped her with black voters.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    AndyJS said:

    Brussels is temporarily pulling the plug on plans to ban high-powered kettles and toasters in order to avoid giving anti-EU campaigners fresh ammunition in the Britain’s “Brexit” referendum, it was reported today."

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12175832/Fearing-Brexit-Brussels-pulls-plug-on-kettles-ban.html

    Like I keep saying. When the vote is to remain then all hell will break loose. This story is just the tip of the iceberg
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    She remains a pretty awful public speaker though...
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,944
    Moses_ said:

    AndyJS said:

    Brussels is temporarily pulling the plug on plans to ban high-powered kettles and toasters in order to avoid giving anti-EU campaigners fresh ammunition in the Britain’s “Brexit” referendum, it was reported today."

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12175832/Fearing-Brexit-Brussels-pulls-plug-on-kettles-ban.html

    Like I keep saying. When the vote is to remain then all hell will break loose. This story is just the tip of the iceberg
    You think they'll go after inefficient freezers too? That would be a red line for sure.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    edited February 2016
    Danny565 said:

    She remains a pretty awful public speaker though...

    Totally uninspired. I'm intending to set my book up as
    +~0 Hillary
    +~1.5k Trump
    come the General and I'm going to need to see some real evidence to start backing her at most likely odds on.
  • Government borrowing hasn't fallen every year - it was higher in 2012/13 than in 2011/12 - it is also way in excess of what Osborne predicted it would be in his 2010 Budget as is government debt as a percentage of GDP.

    Houshold debt has fallen marginally as that graph shows - which is a good thing but ironically NOT what the government wanted. You also make no mention of household saving - which is at a record low.

    'Business investments and business start ups are both running strong' - meaningless claims of the sort Brown and Osborne have both used.

    Exports - Osborne announced a target of a trillion pounds of export by 2020. In reality it is flatlining at half that.

    And predictably no mention of the current account deficit, productivity, GDP per head and industrial production.

    When it comes down to it Osborne has attempted to recreate the Brownian economy - debt fuelled consumption based on rising house prices and government subsidies to favoured voting groups.

    Yes government borrowing marginally increased by 0.2% of GDP in 2012/13 before coming back down year on year again.

    Household debt has not fallen marginally, a thirteen year low is quite a significant fall. From a peak of 99.5% of GDP to now 85.9% and still falling - and falling at its fastest rate currently. Quite a reversal from an ever higher increase in household debt previously. A true rebalancing of the economy.

    Business investments: Growing at 2.9% in the last year http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/aug/28/uk-exports-business-investment-second-quarter-gdp-growth-ons

    Exports I said was mixed and don't see anything you've said to counter that. The target is being missed which is hardly surprising in this current business environment where our major trading partner is struggling much more than expected.

    No need to mention those as they're not what was discussed. What was discussed I have mentioned. You asked about savings, investment and exports and I mentioned savings, investment and exports. Shock horror! Maybe I should make up some bulls**t nominal figures that show an increase where real figures show a decrease and scream increase like you do?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Pulpstar said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders is going to get marmalised here

    But he's winning with some of the demographics who'll decide the election in November.
    Which is good news for Trump if he's facing Hillary.
    Not many white liberals who voted for Sanders will vote for Trump even in South Carolina
    Trump will get all the Trump-Sanders waverers now as the Democrat contest is pretty much over. Trump-Sanders is an actual thing, people who want to fuck up the system basically.
    Trump Sanders waverers are about 0.5% of the electorate in the US, it is like Green UKIP waverers in the UK! At worst they might abstain, most Sanders voters will hold their nose and vote for Hillary, very few will vote for Trump
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Danny565 said:

    She remains a pretty awful public speaker though...

    So was Nixon, he won on his second attempt too!
  • The govt has been cutting its spending for the last 6 years and has raised VAT for instance to 20%.

    Except that current government spending has been increasing:

    2011/12 £625bn
    2012/13 £636bn
    2013/14 £646bn
    2014/15 £650bn

    http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20160105160709/http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_428954.pdf

    As you should well know considering how often you claim that government spending has increased on this department or that area.

    Are you seriously reporting figures in Nominal terms? You're not that ignorant are you? Are you generally ignorant or just trying to spin?

    Government spending is falling in real terms and falling fast as a percentage of GDP.
    You seem very flustered when presented with actual numbers.

    flightpath claimed that the government had been cutting its spending for 6 years. It hasn't, spending has increased.

  • "Investment at the highest level since 2000" at running at "104% [of retained profits], which is well above the average of 85% recorded since records began".

    Tractor stats I'm sure, unlike nominal statistics: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11892066/Britain-punches-above-its-weight-as-business-investment-climbs-to-new-heights.html
  • The govt has been cutting its spending for the last 6 years and has raised VAT for instance to 20%.

    Except that current government spending has been increasing:

    2011/12 £625bn
    2012/13 £636bn
    2013/14 £646bn
    2014/15 £650bn

    http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20160105160709/http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_428954.pdf

    As you should well know considering how often you claim that government spending has increased on this department or that area.

    Are you seriously reporting figures in Nominal terms? You're not that ignorant are you? Are you generally ignorant or just trying to spin?

    Government spending is falling in real terms and falling fast as a percentage of GDP.
    You seem very flustered when presented with actual numbers.

    flightpath claimed that the government had been cutting its spending for 6 years. It hasn't, spending has increased.

    No spending has fallen. Spending is measured in real terms, not nominal.
  • " UK business investment has performed impressively in recent years, substantially outgrowing other components of GDP since 2010, he said. Business investment is expected to rise by an average of 6.4pc a year until the end of the decade, when it is forecast to reach a record high of 12.9pc of GDP.

    EY said this would be helped by Britain's business-friendly environment. Corporation tax is on course to fall to 18pc by 2020, from 28pc in 2010. "

    But chicken licken can't tell the difference between real and nominal terms so savings and investment must be awful and the sky falling.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    My forecast predicted 35 delegates to HRC, looks like she might end up with 38.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    I think Sanders is over 200 delegates behind maybe by ST.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited February 2016
    7 of the 14 opinion polls conducted this year so far have put the UKIP share on more than half the Labour share.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
  • JohnLoonyJohnLoony Posts: 1,790
    Thanks to PB, I now know what "secondary intention" means.
  • Yes government borrowing marginally increased by 0.2% of GDP in 2012/13 before coming back down year on year again.

    Household debt has not fallen marginally, a thirteen year low is quite a significant fall. From a peak of 99.5% of GDP to now 85.9% and still falling - and falling at its fastest rate currently. Quite a reversal from an ever higher increase in household debt previously. A true rebalancing of the economy.

    Business investments: Growing at 2.9% in the last year http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/aug/28/uk-exports-business-investment-second-quarter-gdp-growth-ons

    Exports I said was mixed and don't see anything you've said to counter that. The target is being missed which is hardly surprising in this current business environment where our major trading partner is struggling much more than expected.

    No need to mention those as they're not what was discussed. What was discussed I have mentioned. You asked about savings, investment and exports and I mentioned savings, investment and exports. Shock horror! Maybe I should make up some bulls**t nominal figures that show an increase where real figures show a decrease and scream increase like you do?

    You seem to be frothing at the mouth - time to go to bed perhaps ?

    And can't you find anything more recent to back up your argument than a six month old report in the Guardian ?

    This is from the Guardian of last Thursday:

    "The GDP report also shows that UK firms reined in their spending in the last quarter.

    The ONS says that business investment shrank by 2.1% in the October-December period, the biggest drop in almost two years."

    "Britain’s trade balance is rarely a pretty sight, as the country sucks in more goods than it sells to the rest of the world.

    And today’s growth report shows that the deficit has widened again, from £14.7bn in Quarter 3 2015 to £16.6bn in the fourth quarter."

    "Britain’s economic recovery is rather less impressive once you adjust for population changes.

    On a per capita basis, GDP only grew by 0.3% in the last quarter. And on that measure, the economy is barely larger than in 2008 - before the financial crisis struck."

    http://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2016/feb/25/uk-growth-figures-gdp-imf-warning-china-g20-business-live?page=with:block-56cedd31e4b03897ffe23a2a#block-56cedd31e4b03897ffe23a2a
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The most interesting thing about the South Carolina primary may be the turnout since it'll give an indication of how enthusiastic Democratic voters are this year.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    AndyJS said:

    The most interesting thing about the South Carolina primary may be the turnout since it'll give an indication of how enthusiastic Democratic voters are this year.

    The Democrats have not won South Carolina since 1976, Super Tuesday will be a better indicator
  • " UK business investment has performed impressively in recent years, substantially outgrowing other components of GDP since 2010, he said. Business investment is expected to rise by an average of 6.4pc a year until the end of the decade, when it is forecast to reach a record high of 12.9pc of GDP.

    EY said this would be helped by Britain's business-friendly environment. Corporation tax is on course to fall to 18pc by 2020, from 28pc in 2010. "

    But chicken licken can't tell the difference between real and nominal terms so savings and investment must be awful and the sky falling.

    Your frothing is getting more shrill.

    Household savings rates are at a record low, investment rates should be rising very strongly at this stage of the economic cycle.

    And you still don't want to mention the current account deficit, productivity, GDP per head and industrial production.

    Perhaps instead you could remind us of how much Osborne said government borrowing would be in his 2010 Budget and how much it actually has been.
  • AndyJS said:

    The most interesting thing about the South Carolina primary may be the turnout since it'll give an indication of how enthusiastic Democratic voters are this year.

    How did the Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada turnouts compare with 2008 and 2000 ?
  • " UK business investment has performed impressively in recent years, substantially outgrowing other components of GDP since 2010, he said. Business investment is expected to rise by an average of 6.4pc a year until the end of the decade, when it is forecast to reach a record high of 12.9pc of GDP.

    EY said this would be helped by Britain's business-friendly environment. Corporation tax is on course to fall to 18pc by 2020, from 28pc in 2010. "

    But chicken licken can't tell the difference between real and nominal terms so savings and investment must be awful and the sky falling.

    Your frothing is getting more shrill.

    Household savings rates are at a record low, investment rates should be rising very strongly at this stage of the economic cycle.

    And you still don't want to mention the current account deficit, productivity, GDP per head and industrial production.

    Perhaps instead you could remind us of how much Osborne said government borrowing would be in his 2010 Budget and how much it actually has been.
    LOL pot calling the kettle black claiming about "shrill" and "frothing" how about trying to mention some real figures on savings and investments?

    Bit odd complaining that "investment rates should be rising very strongly" when investment rates are at a record high.

    I've not mentioned the current account deficit, productivity, GDP per capita and industrial production as they're not "savings, investment and exports". Instead I've mentioned: savings, investments and exports. But oh look, a dead cat.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    The most interesting thing about the South Carolina primary may be the turnout since it'll give an indication of how enthusiastic Democratic voters are this year.

    How did the Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada turnouts compare with 2008 and 2000 ?
    I'm not sure how you calculate turnout with caucuses.

    New Hampshire:
    2016: 250,983
    2008: 287,557
    2000: 154,639
  • " UK business investment has performed impressively in recent years, substantially outgrowing other components of GDP since 2010, he said. Business investment is expected to rise by an average of 6.4pc a year until the end of the decade, when it is forecast to reach a record high of 12.9pc of GDP.

    EY said this would be helped by Britain's business-friendly environment. Corporation tax is on course to fall to 18pc by 2020, from 28pc in 2010. "

    But chicken licken can't tell the difference between real and nominal terms so savings and investment must be awful and the sky falling.

    Your frothing is getting more shrill.

    Household savings rates are at a record low, investment rates should be rising very strongly at this stage of the economic cycle.

    And you still don't want to mention the current account deficit, productivity, GDP per head and industrial production.

    Perhaps instead you could remind us of how much Osborne said government borrowing would be in his 2010 Budget and how much it actually has been.
    LOL pot calling the kettle black claiming about "shrill" and "frothing" how about trying to mention some real figures on savings and investments?

    Bit odd complaining that "investment rates should be rising very strongly" when investment rates are at a record high.

    I've not mentioned the current account deficit, productivity, GDP per capita and industrial production as they're not "savings, investment and exports". Instead I've mentioned: savings, investments and exports. But oh look, a dead cat.
    The household savings rate is 4.4% in 2015q3 - notice how rapidly it has fallen in recent years - see page 97:

    http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20160105160709/http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_429067.pdf

    Perhaps you'd like to provide some evidence that 'investment rates are at a record high' ?

  • AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    The most interesting thing about the South Carolina primary may be the turnout since it'll give an indication of how enthusiastic Democratic voters are this year.

    How did the Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada turnouts compare with 2008 and 2000 ?
    I'm not sure how you calculate turnout with caucuses.

    New Hampshire:
    2016: 250,983
    2008: 287,557
    2000: 154,639
    Thanks.

    Turnout is still healthy even if down from the excitement of 2008.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited February 2016

    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    The most interesting thing about the South Carolina primary may be the turnout since it'll give an indication of how enthusiastic Democratic voters are this year.

    How did the Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada turnouts compare with 2008 and 2000 ?
    I'm not sure how you calculate turnout with caucuses.

    New Hampshire:
    2016: 250,983
    2008: 287,557
    2000: 154,639
    Thanks.

    Turnout is still healthy even if down from the excitement of 2008.
    Except in South Carolina where it's down by a third. CNN are claiming black turnout is actually up in SC compared to 2008. If that's true then white turnout must be very low indeed compared to then.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Interesting tweet from Matthew Goodwin

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/703666707865456641
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    The most interesting thing about the South Carolina primary may be the turnout since it'll give an indication of how enthusiastic Democratic voters are this year.

    How did the Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada turnouts compare with 2008 and 2000 ?
    I'm not sure how you calculate turnout with caucuses.

    New Hampshire:
    2016: 250,983
    2008: 287,557
    2000: 154,639
    Thanks.

    Turnout is still healthy even if down from the excitement of 2008.
    2008 South Caroline Dem primary turnout ~532k, 2016 turnout ~370k. That is quite a drop off.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    The most interesting thing about the South Carolina primary may be the turnout since it'll give an indication of how enthusiastic Democratic voters are this year.

    How did the Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada turnouts compare with 2008 and 2000 ?
    I'm not sure how you calculate turnout with caucuses.

    New Hampshire:
    2016: 250,983
    2008: 287,557
    2000: 154,639
    Thanks.

    Turnout is still healthy even if down from the excitement of 2008.
    So down 13% in NH, 30% in SC
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    MTimT said:

    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    The most interesting thing about the South Carolina primary may be the turnout since it'll give an indication of how enthusiastic Democratic voters are this year.

    How did the Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada turnouts compare with 2008 and 2000 ?
    I'm not sure how you calculate turnout with caucuses.

    New Hampshire:
    2016: 250,983
    2008: 287,557
    2000: 154,639
    Thanks.

    Turnout is still healthy even if down from the excitement of 2008.
    2008 South Caroline Dem primary turnout ~532k, 2016 turnout ~370k. That is quite a drop off.
    Shows it'll be tough for Clinton to match Obama's turnout at the general election.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    Moses_ said:

    AndyJS said:

    Brussels is temporarily pulling the plug on plans to ban high-powered kettles and toasters in order to avoid giving anti-EU campaigners fresh ammunition in the Britain’s “Brexit” referendum, it was reported today."

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12175832/Fearing-Brexit-Brussels-pulls-plug-on-kettles-ban.html

    Like I keep saying. When the vote is to remain then all hell will break loose. This story is just the tip of the iceberg
    You think they'll go after inefficient freezers too? That would be a red line for sure.
    They shouldn't actually " be going after" anything. That's the point.
    You will see though after the vote goes in their favour.
  • Maybe, depending on who leads the party then. If its a Cameroon who does it adopting a pained expression and holding his nose the right of the party is going to peel off.

    If Leave win it will be a very brave government that completely ignored half the populations voting almost entirely about immigration. If they take the EEA/EFTA they will be slammed from the rooftops from both sides for high handedness and ignoring the voters, and it would be close to electoral suicide even with Corbyn.

    ee1mu.com | thedreamcasino.com
This discussion has been closed.