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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Introducing the Politicalbetting EU Polling Averages – spli

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  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    edited February 2016

    Jeb! Bush's campaign appears to be paying people to attend his events in Iowa.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CaKko-JUEAII7Hm.jpg

    God, that's desperate.

    For the sake of his own dignity, the man should withdraw now.

    Goodnight all. See you in the morning.
    He's flying out on Betfair.

    Glad I took advantage of him at 2.7 and again at 10 tbh.
  • notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Chris_A said:

    Mortimer said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    Why would that be?

    Because it is all about money after all?
    Because doctors are quite employable and none of them will want to work for an idiot who thinks that their level of intelligence/expertise is on a par with doing a quick Google search.

    You just carry on convincing yourself with the fantasy it's all about the money.
    New contracts should include a clause surcharging any doctors who wish to hotfoot it overseas for more loot, within say 10 years of qualifying at the taxpayers expense. Seems fair.
    This taxpayers expense stuff is all nonsense. Doctors are no more trained at "taxpayers' expense" than an engineer or a lawyer. All university education is subsidised in this country.
    The path to becoming a doctor is much longer and much more expensive. A media studies undergrad could have as little as six to eight hours of contact time a week, a medical student will be at least twenty, and much of it lab based, and its five years instead of three.

    It is expensive to do. It is claimed that over the ten years it takes, five to get through med school and then the five to get to the point of becoming a GP, it costs the taxpayer about £610,000.
  • Mortimer said:

    Pong said:

    watford30 said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    'Recent concessions by Hunt and Dalton – that normal or “plain time” could end at 9pm on weekdays and 5pm on Saturdays – proved insufficient to sway the BMA. The doctors’ union wants all of Saturday to continue to attract lucrative overtime payments.'

    Money. Greedy doctors.

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/01/junior-doctors-strike-to-go-ahead-next-wednesday-says-bma
    This is basically all the lib dems fault.

    They were supposed to win enough seats at the last election to make up the numbers & then be blamed for forcing Dave & George to ditch the stupid 7-day a week NHS pledge.
    It was not a stupid pledge.

    It should have started with GP contract renegotiation, though. Return of OOH service and increased provision of hours - probably incentivised by paying per appointment.
    I got the impression that the junior doctors' contract came up for negotiation first?
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587
    edited February 2016
    Aren't we supposed to be seeing Iowa exit polls around now? If you Google them you get one hit, but it's a Youtube video uploaded 8 hours ago and (falsely, as nobody had voted at that stage) claiming a huge Trump lead.
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    notme said:

    Chris_A said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    If doctors are going to put patients at risk by striking for money, they deserve every last bit of opprobrium that they get.

    I presume the fact you're back on here talking about this means there's going to be another strike?
    Yes there will be another strike next week. And I post here regularly and not just about the government running down the health service.
    How is it running it down? By protecting spending on the NHS it has caused quite substantial reductions to other areas of public spending.
    NHS spending is not being protected it is falling year on year as percentage of GDP. We are dropping rapidly to the relegation zone of the OECD again. Make no mistake about it NHS funding is being run down http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/blog/2016/01/how-does-nhs-spending-compare-health-spending-internationally

    The reason other departments are being reduced is because of the immense amount paid out on housing benefits because the government has allowed marked forces to run wild.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    Chris_A said:

    notme said:

    Chris_A said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    If doctors are going to put patients at risk by striking for money, they deserve every last bit of opprobrium that they get.

    I presume the fact you're back on here talking about this means there's going to be another strike?
    Yes there will be another strike next week. And I post here regularly and not just about the government running down the health service.
    How is it running it down? By protecting spending on the NHS it has caused quite substantial reductions to other areas of public spending.
    NHS spending is not being protected it is falling year on year as percentage of GDP. We are dropping rapidly to the relegation zone of the OECD again. Make no mistake about it NHS funding is being run down http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/blog/2016/01/how-does-nhs-spending-compare-health-spending-internationally

    The reason other departments are being reduced is because of the immense amount paid out on housing benefits because the government has allowed marked forces to run wild.
    So because GDP is growing we should just chuck money at something that is need related? What a joke.

  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited February 2016

    Aren't we supposed to be seeing Iowa exit polls around now? If you Google them you get one hit, but it's a Youtube video uploaded 8 hours ago and (falsely, as nobody had voted at that stage) claiming a huge Trump lead.

    lol

    I thought they didn't start actually caucusing(?) until 7pm (1am)

    Dunno though. Technology has made a lot of political selection processes seem pretty antiquated. The whole nomination/potus process could over and done with in a month, with internet voting.

  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    notme said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Chris_A said:

    Mortimer said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    Why would that be?

    Because it is all about money after all?
    Because doctors are quite employable and none of them will want to work for an idiot who thinks that their level of intelligence/expertise is on a par with doing a quick Google search.

    You just carry on convincing yourself with the fantasy it's all about the money.
    New contracts should include a clause surcharging any doctors who wish to hotfoot it overseas for more loot, within say 10 years of qualifying at the taxpayers expense. Seems fair.
    This taxpayers expense stuff is all nonsense. Doctors are no more trained at "taxpayers' expense" than an engineer or a lawyer. All university education is subsidised in this country.
    The path to becoming a doctor is much longer and much more expensive. A media studies undergrad could have as little as six to eight hours of contact time a week, a medical student will be at least twenty, and much of it lab based, and its five years instead of three.

    It is expensive to do. It is claimed that over the ten years it takes, five to get through med school and then the five to get to the point of becoming a GP, it costs the taxpayer about £610,000.
    I'm not doubting it. But again every engineer working in this country has had his or her degree subsidised by the tax payer. And doctors once they've graduated pay from their own money to do their further exams. Do we want engineers, do we want doctors?

    And the £610k is likely to be a myth.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited February 2016
    Chris_A said:

    Mortimer said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    Why would that be?

    Because it is all about money after all?
    Because doctors are quite employable and none of them will want to work for an idiot who thinks that their level of intelligence/expertise is on a par with doing a quick Google search.

    You just carry on convincing yourself with the fantasy it's all about the money.
    Doctors work for people like me, the taxpayer, who pays their salaries and subsidises their education, not Hunt.

    Try and remember that, the next time you're manning the barricades and laughing childishly about getting one over the Health Minister, as patients suffer and go untreated.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    10,000 Berlin hotel rooms to be hired out for migrants according to this report:

    http://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article151274435/Berlin-will-Tausende-Hotelzimmer-fuer-Fluechtlinge-mieten.html
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237

    Mortimer said:

    Pong said:

    watford30 said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    'Recent concessions by Hunt and Dalton – that normal or “plain time” could end at 9pm on weekdays and 5pm on Saturdays – proved insufficient to sway the BMA. The doctors’ union wants all of Saturday to continue to attract lucrative overtime payments.'

    Money. Greedy doctors.

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/01/junior-doctors-strike-to-go-ahead-next-wednesday-says-bma
    This is basically all the lib dems fault.

    They were supposed to win enough seats at the last election to make up the numbers & then be blamed for forcing Dave & George to ditch the stupid 7-day a week NHS pledge.
    It was not a stupid pledge.

    It should have started with GP contract renegotiation, though. Return of OOH service and increased provision of hours - probably incentivised by paying per appointment.
    I got the impression that the junior doctors' contract came up for negotiation first?
    No contracts are up for renegotiation as you put it. The government employs everyone in the NHS and can change their contracts at will and not just at a fixed period. It doesn't do much for workplace harmony if you do it unilaterally though.
  • viewcode said:

    MTimT said:



    You'd never get them to move in the river - they'd be stuck in the mud. Displacement of Vanguard submarine - 12 metres. Charted depth of the Thames at London Bridge - 1.8 metres.

    Nahh, they'd go via the Fleet[1]

    [1] This is possibly the best pun I have ever made on PB. The Fleet is an old tributary of the Thames which has been built over - hence "Fleet Street" - and so is now underground. So you've got an underwater boat in an underground river. Additionally, "fleet" is a collective noun for marine vessels.

    Astonishing!
    The then River Fleet was regularly blocked up with rubbish and even though after the Great Fire they tried at great expense to turn it all into a little venice the dastardly locals kept throwing their rubbish in it and the traders would not use the quaysides.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,797
    edited February 2016
    Pong said:

    Aren't we supposed to be seeing Iowa exit polls around now? If you Google them you get one hit, but it's a Youtube video uploaded 8 hours ago and (falsely, as nobody had voted at that stage) claiming a huge Trump lead.

    lol

    I thought they didn't start actually caucusing(?) until 7pm (1am)

    Dunno though.

    It says here that the results of the Iowa Democratic caucuses will be released beginning at 7:30pm CT, which I think is in 15 minutes time.

    https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

    EDIT - Correction - I think that is in 75 minutes time.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    Chris_A said:

    notme said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Chris_A said:

    Mortimer said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    Why would that be?

    Because it is all about money after all?
    Because doctors are quite employable and none of them will want to work for an idiot who thinks that their level of intelligence/expertise is on a par with doing a quick Google search.

    You just carry on convincing yourself with the fantasy it's all about the money.
    New contracts should include a clause surcharging any doctors who wish to hotfoot it overseas for more loot, within say 10 years of qualifying at the taxpayers expense. Seems fair.
    This taxpayers expense stuff is all nonsense. Doctors are no more trained at "taxpayers' expense" than an engineer or a lawyer. All university education is subsidised in this country.
    The path to becoming a doctor is much longer and much more expensive. A media studies undergrad could have as little as six to eight hours of contact time a week, a medical student will be at least twenty, and much of it lab based, and its five years instead of three.

    It is expensive to do. It is claimed that over the ten years it takes, five to get through med school and then the five to get to the point of becoming a GP, it costs the taxpayer about £610,000.
    I'm not doubting it. But again every engineer working in this country has had his or her degree subsidised by the tax payer. And doctors once they've graduated pay from their own money to do their further exams. Do we want engineers, do we want doctors?

    And the £610k is likely to be a myth.
    This is just laughable.

    Doctors obviously cost more to train.
    Oh, and Engineers are (mostly) employed by the private sector. So they help to pay for Doctors too.
  • My theory about polling is that the internet poll misses some older people and the telephone poll misses some younger people.

    We know older people are less pro EU and younger people are more pro EU.

    So the polling medium is the message (after Marshall McLuhan).



  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited February 2016
    notme said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Chris_A said:

    Mortimer said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    Why would that be?

    Because it is all about money after all?
    Because doctors are quite employable and none of them will want to work for an idiot who thinks that their level of intelligence/expertise is on a par with doing a quick Google search.

    You just carry on convincing yourself with the fantasy it's all about the money.
    New contracts should include a clause surcharging any doctors who wish to hotfoot it overseas for more loot, within say 10 years of qualifying at the taxpayers expense. Seems fair.
    This taxpayers expense stuff is all nonsense. Doctors are no more trained at "taxpayers' expense" than an engineer or a lawyer. All university education is subsidised in this country.
    The path to becoming a doctor is much longer and much more expensive. A media studies undergrad could have as little as six to eight hours of contact time a week, a medical student will be at least twenty, and much of it lab based, and its five years instead of three.

    It is expensive to do. It is claimed that over the ten years it takes, five to get through med school and then the five to get to the point of becoming a GP, it costs the taxpayer about £610,000.
    Indeed. Many doctors overseas end up paying for their own training, hence the higher salaries of which ours are so keen to take advantage.

    So, either doctors here contribute more to their education, or they pay the taxpayer back if they jump ship early.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Barnesian said:

    Pong said:

    Aren't we supposed to be seeing Iowa exit polls around now? If you Google them you get one hit, but it's a Youtube video uploaded 8 hours ago and (falsely, as nobody had voted at that stage) claiming a huge Trump lead.

    lol

    I thought they didn't start actually caucusing(?) until 7pm (1am)

    Dunno though.

    It says here that the results of the Iowa Democratic caucuses will be released beginning at 7:30pm CT, which I think is in 15 minutes time.

    https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

    EDIT - Correction - I think that is in 75 minutes time.
    Thanks
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,823
    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    glw said:

    viewcode said:

    A Trident ballistic missile is about 2 metres wide by 13m long. If you stripped out all the gubbins and packed fully-laden soldiers in like sardines you'd get about 25 in each launch tube. A Vanguard has 16 SLBM launch tubes, so that's 400 soldiers, all packed into tubes, weeing on the guy at the bottom of the tube, holding their breath, and trying not to fart..

    Or conversely you could just charter a 747 and transport 400 soldiers in some comfort, with a warm meal and an inflight movie.

    God, Corbyn is thick.

    Even I don't think that's what they are proposing. I took it to mean they want to build ballistic missile subs and then use them to carry dry dock shelters. So about £4 billion or so to drop off a dozen hard nuts off the coast of Somalia.

    They're almost childlike in their stupidity, really. I mean on one level it's kind of sweet, but it's just not adult. Next week: flying submarines. Airborne aircraft carriers. AT-ATs. Stuff that looks good in crayon, but is just flat-out dumb IRL
    Actually, please please please can the next Labour defence brainfart involve AT-ATs? I mean it's just as wildly impracticable, but it'd look wicked cool. For about thirty seconds, at least
    Corbyn to replace House of Lords with Galactic Senate? Those floating podium things are kinda cool!
    I don't see Corbyn as Palpatine. What we need is a character that was originally intended to be serious but in the event was a ridiculous embarrassment
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    watford30 said:

    notme said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Chris_A said:

    Mortimer said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    ...
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    Why would that be?

    Because it is all about money after all?
    Because doctors are quite employable and none of them will want to work for an idiot who thinks that their level of intelligence/expertise is on a par with doing a quick Google search.

    You just carry on convincing yourself with the fantasy it's all about the money.
    New contracts should include a clause surcharging any doctors who wish to hotfoot it overseas for more loot, within say 10 years of qualifying at the taxpayers expense. Seems fair.
    This taxpayers expense stuff is all nonsense. Doctors are no more trained at "taxpayers' expense" than an engineer or a lawyer. All university education is subsidised in this country.
    The path to becoming a doctor is much longer and much more expensive. A media studies undergrad could have as little as six to eight hours of contact time a week, a medical student will be at least twenty, and much of it lab based, and its five years instead of three.

    It is expensive to do. It is claimed that over the ten years it takes, five to get through med school and then the five to get to the point of becoming a GP, it costs the taxpayer about £610,000.
    Indeed. Many doctors overseas end up paying for their own training, hence the higher salaries of which ours are so keen to take advantage.

    So, either doctors here contribute more to their education, or they pay the taxpayer back if they jump ship early.
    It is a mindset shift away from reality presently.

    Currently reading Peter Thiel's Zero to One - it would blow the mind of an averagely well educated public sector worker. Entrepreneurship? No! Collective, national bargaining, strikes and calling the minister nasty names if we don't agree.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    viewcode said:

    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    glw said:

    viewcode said:

    A Trident ballistic missile is about 2 metres wide by 13m long. If you stripped out all the gubbins and packed fully-laden soldiers in like sardines you'd get about 25 in each launch tube. A Vanguard has 16 SLBM launch tubes, so that's 400 soldiers, all packed into tubes, weeing on the guy at the bottom of the tube, holding their breath, and trying not to fart..

    Or conversely you could just charter a 747 and transport 400 soldiers in some comfort, with a warm meal and an inflight movie.

    God, Corbyn is thick.

    Even I don't think that's what they are proposing. I took it to mean they want to build ballistic missile subs and then use them to carry dry dock shelters. So about £4 billion or so to drop off a dozen hard nuts off the coast of Somalia.

    They're almost childlike in their stupidity, really. I mean on one level it's kind of sweet, but it's just not adult. Next week: flying submarines. Airborne aircraft carriers. AT-ATs. Stuff that looks good in crayon, but is just flat-out dumb IRL
    Actually, please please please can the next Labour defence brainfart involve AT-ATs? I mean it's just as wildly impracticable, but it'd look wicked cool. For about thirty seconds, at least
    Corbyn to replace House of Lords with Galactic Senate? Those floating podium things are kinda cool!
    I don't see Corbyn as Palpatine. What we need is a character that was originally intended to be serious but in the event was a ridiculous embarrassment
    You mean Darth Binks? :D
  • Chris_A said:

    notme said:

    Chris_A said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    If doctors are going to put patients at risk by striking for money, they deserve every last bit of opprobrium that they get.

    I presume the fact you're back on here talking about this means there's going to be another strike?
    Yes there will be another strike next week. And I post here regularly and not just about the government running down the health service.
    How is it running it down? By protecting spending on the NHS it has caused quite substantial reductions to other areas of public spending.
    NHS spending is not being protected it is falling year on year as percentage of GDP. We are dropping rapidly to the relegation zone of the OECD again. Make no mistake about it NHS funding is being run down http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/blog/2016/01/how-does-nhs-spending-compare-health-spending-internationally

    The reason other departments are being reduced is because of the immense amount paid out on housing benefits because the government has allowed marked forces to run wild.

    It is very sad, and wrong, that the NHS performance is being measured by how much it spends rather than the health of the nation.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,823

    viewcode said:

    MTimT said:



    You'd never get them to move in the river - they'd be stuck in the mud. Displacement of Vanguard submarine - 12 metres. Charted depth of the Thames at London Bridge - 1.8 metres.

    Nahh, they'd go via the Fleet[1]

    [1] This is possibly the best pun I have ever made on PB. The Fleet is an old tributary of the Thames which has been built over - hence "Fleet Street" - and so is now underground. So you've got an underwater boat in an underground river. Additionally, "fleet" is a collective noun for marine vessels.

    Astonishing!
    The then River Fleet was regularly blocked up with rubbish and even though after the Great Fire they tried at great expense to turn it all into a little venice the dastardly locals kept throwing their rubbish in it and the traders would not use the quaysides.
    Thank you.
  • watford30 said:

    notme said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Chris_A said:

    Mortimer said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Why would that be?

    Because it is all about money after all?

    You just carry on convincing yourself with the fantasy it's all about the money.
    New contracts should include a clause surcharging any doctors who wish to hotfoot it overseas for more loot, within say 10 years of qualifying at the taxpayers expense. Seems fair.
    This taxpayers expense stuff is all nonsense. Doctors are no more trained at "taxpayers' expense" than an engineer or a lawyer. All university education is subsidised in this country.

    It is expensive to do. It is claimed that over the ten years it takes, five to get through med school and then the five to get to the point of becoming a GP, it costs the taxpayer about £610,000.
    Indeed. Many doctors overseas end up paying for their own training, hence the higher salaries of which ours are so keen to take advantage.

    So, either doctors here contribute more to their education, or they pay the taxpayer back if they jump ship early.
    That figure is inaccurate. That is to consultant, but you are rather annoyed that they jump ship early, so the full figure will not be reached.

    This figure also includes things such as 'lost productivity' IE being economically inactive whilst studying and living expenses which are paid by the trainee.

    Also that does not take into account the service provision that they do. Training posts are paid far less than service posts, and are cheap labour in comparison to other countries.

    http://www.bma.org.uk/-/media/Files/Word files/News views analysis/pressbriefing_cost_of_training_doctors.docx

    Applications to medical school are down 13.5% from 2 years ago. If there are proviso's of a return of service that will likely drop again.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158

    Chris_A said:

    notme said:

    Chris_A said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    If doctors are going to put patients at risk by striking for money, they deserve every last bit of opprobrium that they get.

    I presume the fact you're back on here talking about this means there's going to be another strike?
    Yes there will be another strike next week. And I post here regularly and not just about the government running down the health service.
    How is it running it down? By protecting spending on the NHS it has caused quite substantial reductions to other areas of public spending.
    NHS spending is not being protected it is falling year on year as percentage of GDP. We are dropping rapidly to the relegation zone of the OECD again. Make no mistake about it NHS funding is being run down http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/blog/2016/01/how-does-nhs-spending-compare-health-spending-internationally

    The reason other departments are being reduced is because of the immense amount paid out on housing benefits because the government has allowed marked forces to run wild.

    It is very sad, and wrong, that the NHS performance is being measured by how much it spends rather than the health of the nation.
    Hear, hear.

    It will continue to be the same whilst the interests of the producers remain paramount.

    Worth taking the BMA down a peg or two.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Pong said:

    Barnesian said:

    Pong said:

    Aren't we supposed to be seeing Iowa exit polls around now? If you Google them you get one hit, but it's a Youtube video uploaded 8 hours ago and (falsely, as nobody had voted at that stage) claiming a huge Trump lead.

    lol

    I thought they didn't start actually caucusing(?) until 7pm (1am)

    Dunno though.

    It says here that the results of the Iowa Democratic caucuses will be released beginning at 7:30pm CT, which I think is in 15 minutes time.

    https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

    EDIT - Correction - I think that is in 75 minutes time.
    Thanks
    Is there anything similiar for the GOP ?
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Pulpstar said:

    Pong said:

    Barnesian said:

    Pong said:

    Aren't we supposed to be seeing Iowa exit polls around now? If you Google them you get one hit, but it's a Youtube video uploaded 8 hours ago and (falsely, as nobody had voted at that stage) claiming a huge Trump lead.

    lol

    I thought they didn't start actually caucusing(?) until 7pm (1am)

    Dunno though.

    It says here that the results of the Iowa Democratic caucuses will be released beginning at 7:30pm CT, which I think is in 15 minutes time.

    https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

    EDIT - Correction - I think that is in 75 minutes time.
    Thanks
    Is there anything similiar for the GOP ?
    Similar?

    Pretty much identical!

    https://www.iagopcaucuses.com/#/state
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    edited February 2016
    Is it just my faulty memory, or has Bobby Jindal run in the past 5 elections?! He always seems to be somewhere on the horizon.

    Edit: Wow - not even in 2012. I'm sure I've seen his name bandied about as potential pres. material forever!
  • viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    MTimT said:



    You'd never get them to move in the river - they'd be stuck in the mud. Displacement of Vanguard submarine - 12 metres. Charted depth of the Thames at London Bridge - 1.8 metres.

    Nahh, they'd go via the Fleet[1]

    [1] This is possibly the best pun I have ever made on PB. The Fleet is an old tributary of the Thames which has been built over - hence "Fleet Street" - and so is now underground. So you've got an underwater boat in an underground river. Additionally, "fleet" is a collective noun for marine vessels.

    Astonishing!
    The then River Fleet was regularly blocked up with rubbish and even though after the Great Fire they tried at great expense to turn it all into a little venice the dastardly locals kept throwing their rubbish in it and the traders would not use the quaysides.
    Thank you.
    Thats all right.
    I'm not trying to be funny or anything BTW, that period of rebuilding is a very interesting one. Including St Pauls Cathedral there are only about a dozen buildings which have survived the rebuilding after the Great Fire. A number burnt down relatively soon after! Its a pity really that more do not survive from that period.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,823
    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    glw said:

    viewcode said:

    A Trident ballistic missile is about 2 metres wide by 13m long. If you stripped out all the gubbins and packed fully-laden soldiers in like sardines you'd get about 25 in each launch tube. A Vanguard has 16 SLBM launch tubes, so that's 400 soldiers, all packed into tubes, weeing on the guy at the bottom of the tube, holding their breath, and trying not to fart..

    Or conversely you could just charter a 747 and transport 400 soldiers in some comfort, with a warm meal and an inflight movie.

    God, Corbyn is thick.

    Even I don't think that's what they are proposing. I took it to mean they want to build ballistic missile subs and then use them to carry dry dock shelters. So about £4 billion or so to drop off a dozen hard nuts off the coast of Somalia.

    They're almost childlike in their stupidity, really. I mean on one level it's kind of sweet, but it's just not adult. Next week: flying submarines. Airborne aircraft carriers. AT-ATs. Stuff that looks good in crayon, but is just flat-out dumb IRL
    Actually, please please please can the next Labour defence brainfart involve AT-ATs? I mean it's just as wildly impracticable, but it'd look wicked cool. For about thirty seconds, at least
    Corbyn to replace House of Lords with Galactic Senate? Those floating podium things are kinda cool!
    I don't see Corbyn as Palpatine. What we need is a character that was originally intended to be serious but in the event was a ridiculous embarrassment
    You mean Darth Binks? :D
    So Corbyn is actually a Sith Lord who's only pretending to be a childish embarrassment. Meesa is impressed.. :)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Iowa > Pocahontas County

    Found it !
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    viewcode said:

    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    glw said:

    viewcode said:

    A Trident ballistic missile is about 2 metres wide by 13m long. If you stripped out all the gubbins and packed fully-laden soldiers in like sardines you'd get about 25 in each launch tube. A Vanguard has 16 SLBM launch tubes, so that's 400 soldiers, all packed into tubes, weeing on the guy at the bottom of the tube, holding their breath, and trying not to fart..

    Or conversely you could just charter a 747 and transport 400 soldiers in some comfort, with a warm meal and an inflight movie.

    God, Corbyn is thick.

    Even I don't think that's what they are proposing. I took it to mean they want to build ballistic missile subs and then use them to carry dry dock shelters. So about £4 billion or so to drop off a dozen hard nuts off the coast of Somalia.

    They're almost childlike in their stupidity, really. I mean on one level it's kind of sweet, but it's just not adult. Next week: flying submarines. Airborne aircraft carriers. AT-ATs. Stuff that looks good in crayon, but is just flat-out dumb IRL
    Actually, please please please can the next Labour defence brainfart involve AT-ATs? I mean it's just as wildly impracticable, but it'd look wicked cool. For about thirty seconds, at least
    Corbyn to replace House of Lords with Galactic Senate? Those floating podium things are kinda cool!
    I don't see Corbyn as Palpatine. What we need is a character that was originally intended to be serious but in the event was a ridiculous embarrassment
    You mean Darth Binks? :D
    So Corbyn is actually a Sith Lord who's only pretending to be a childish embarrassment. Meesa is impressed.. :)
    He's actually a Tory sleeper agent, doing his best to ensure a thousand year PB Tory reich :D
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    It looks really like turnout will be at a record high looking at CNN.
    It's so high that the caucus probably will be delayed a bit.

    For the next minute it looks good for Trump and Sanders.
  • The Times
    ''Factories started the year with a ­surprising surge in activity as domestic demand helped to shrug off challenges on both global and local scales.
    January’s purchasing managers’ ­index for manufacturing edged up to a three-month high of 52.9 from 52.1 in December, which was above expectations. Any reading above 50 indicates growth.''
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    CNN provides no information with their entrance poll.
    Literally nothing, not even percentages.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Anyone seen this ?
    The Conservative leadership contest should not be fought by two "white men", Nicky Morgan has said, in comments aimed at her rivals Boris Johnson and George Osborne.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/12134978/Nicky-Morgan-Conservative-leadership-should-not-be-contested-by-two-white-men.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

    "Osborne and Johnson" her "Rivals".

    Either that's a serious chunk of journalistic license or the woman is deluded.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    The only numbers provided by CNN is about first voters, both have 40% new voters, very sclerotic on the Democratic side only 13% made a decision in the last days.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    While we wait CNN has a 2016 presidential candidate votematch. I got O'Malley, then Clinton then Fiorina

    http://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2016/politics/election-candidate-matchmaker/
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,823

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    MTimT said:



    You'd never get them to move in the river - they'd be stuck in the mud. Displacement of Vanguard submarine - 12 metres. Charted depth of the Thames at London Bridge - 1.8 metres.

    Nahh, they'd go via the Fleet[1]

    [1] This is possibly the best pun I have ever made on PB. The Fleet is an old tributary of the Thames which has been built over - hence "Fleet Street" - and so is now underground. So you've got an underwater boat in an underground river. Additionally, "fleet" is a collective noun for marine vessels.

    Astonishing!
    The then River Fleet was regularly blocked up with rubbish and even though after the Great Fire they tried at great expense to turn it all into a little venice the dastardly locals kept throwing their rubbish in it and the traders would not use the quaysides.
    Thank you.
    Thats all right.
    I'm not trying to be funny or anything BTW, that period of rebuilding is a very interesting one. Including St Pauls Cathedral there are only about a dozen buildings which have survived the rebuilding after the Great Fire. A number burnt down relatively soon after! Its a pity really that more do not survive from that period.
    The only architect I'm familiar with from the period (other than Wren!) is Hawksmoor, I'm sorry to say
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    CBS News Politics ‏@CBSPolitics 3m3 minutes ago
    Early entrance polls at #IAcaucus: @RealDonaldTrump leading GOP; @HillaryClinton leading Dems: http://cbsn.ws/1PbBBi2
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    CNN reports that 43% of Republican caucusgoers today are first-timers, with 57% having attended a caucus before.
    Thirty-four percent decided on their candidate in the last few days.
    On the Democratic side, 41% had never been to a caucus before. In 2008 when Barack Obama made history, 57% of the caucusgoers were first-timers.
    On the Democratic side, 13% decided in the last few days.
    http://edition.cnn.com/2016/02/01/politics/iowa-caucuses-updates-real-time/index.html?iowa
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    From the CBS entrance poll:
    Evangelicals
    Cruz 26
    Trump 25
    Rubio in the teens.

    First time voters
    Trump 33
    Cruz 18
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    I just saw evangelical 26% Cruz, 25% Trump, 18 Rubio
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,823
    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    glw said:

    viewcode said:

    A Trident ballistic missile is about 2 metres wide by 13m long. If you stripped out all the gubbins and packed fully-laden soldiers in like sardines you'd get about 25 in each launch tube. A Vanguard has 16 SLBM launch tubes, so that's 400 soldiers, all packed into tubes, weeing on the guy at the bottom of the tube, holding their breath, and trying not to fart..

    Or conversely you could just charter a 747 and transport 400 soldiers in some comfort, with a warm meal and an inflight movie.

    God, Corbyn is thick.

    Even I don't think that's what they are proposing. I took it to mean they want to build ballistic missile subs and then use them to carry dry dock shelters. So about £4 billion or so to drop off a dozen hard nuts off the coast of Somalia.

    They're almost childlike in their stupidity, really. I mean on one level it's kind of sweet, but it's just not adult. Next week: flying submarines. Airborne aircraft carriers. AT-ATs. Stuff that looks good in crayon, but is just flat-out dumb IRL
    Actually, please please please can the next Labour defence brainfart involve AT-ATs? I mean it's just as wildly impracticable, but it'd look wicked cool. For about thirty seconds, at least
    Corbyn to replace House of Lords with Galactic Senate? Those floating podium things are kinda cool!
    I don't see Corbyn as Palpatine. What we need is a character that was originally intended to be serious but in the event was a ridiculous embarrassment
    You mean Darth Binks? :D
    So Corbyn is actually a Sith Lord who's only pretending to be a childish embarrassment. Meesa is impressed.. :)
    He's actually a Tory sleeper agent, doing his best to ensure a thousand year PB Tory reich :D
    We shall watch his career with great interest...
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Trump 33% amongst first timers
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Speedy said:

    CBS News Politics ‏@CBSPolitics 3m3 minutes ago
    Early entrance polls at #IAcaucus: @RealDonaldTrump leading GOP; @HillaryClinton leading Dems: http://cbsn.ws/1PbBBi2

    Trump 33% Cruz 18% first time caucus goers
    http://www.cbsnews.com/live/
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    HYUFD said:

    Speedy said:

    CBS News Politics ‏@CBSPolitics 3m3 minutes ago
    Early entrance polls at #IAcaucus: @RealDonaldTrump leading GOP; @HillaryClinton leading Dems: http://cbsn.ws/1PbBBi2

    Trump 33% Cruz 18% first time caucus goers
    http://www.cbsnews.com/live/
    49% others?
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    From the CBS small snippets from their entrance poll I can say that Trump is leading, Cruz 2nd in the low 20's, Rubio 3rd in the mid teens.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    Is the cost of Jeb's campaign going to be in the millions of dollars per vote? :D
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    They haven't showed any numbers for the democrats, they only say that Hillary is leading but by how much? 1%, 2%, 3% ?
    On the republican side its clear that Trump is in the lead, with Rubio a poor third.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Pong said:

    HYUFD said:

    Speedy said:

    CBS News Politics ‏@CBSPolitics 3m3 minutes ago
    Early entrance polls at #IAcaucus: @RealDonaldTrump leading GOP; @HillaryClinton leading Dems: http://cbsn.ws/1PbBBi2

    Trump 33% Cruz 18% first time caucus goers
    http://www.cbsnews.com/live/
    49% others?
    Well there are alot of horses, don't forget Ben Carson is still in the race !
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Pulpstar said:

    Anyone seen this ?
    The Conservative leadership contest should not be fought by two "white men", Nicky Morgan has said, in comments aimed at her rivals Boris Johnson and George Osborne.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/12134978/Nicky-Morgan-Conservative-leadership-should-not-be-contested-by-two-white-men.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

    "Osborne and Johnson" her "Rivals".

    Either that's a serious chunk of journalistic license or the woman is deluded.

    Nicky Morgan needs to explain what the problem is with being white and male. She is seriously deluded but that is what happens when you elect generic metropolitan elite types to parliament.
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,890
    No Iowa thread?

    Evening all.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    More chairs needed. GOP official says "incredible" turnout at Clive #IowaCaucus site http://twitter.com/dusborne/status/694325614753394688/photo/1
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    We got data:

    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Rep

    Bottom page, the entrance poll.

    Trump 29
    Cruz 22
    Rubio 19
    Fiorina 4
    Huckabee 3.5
    Bush 3
    Christie 3
    Paul 3
    Kasich 1.5
    Santorum 1.5
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736

    Heidi Mannetter @Beaverdale8m
    There are so many dems at Precinct 41 that they are moving us outside to be counted. #IowaCaucus #Caucus2016 http://twitter.com/Beaverdale/status/694326025736466433/photo/1
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Pulpstar said:

    Pong said:

    HYUFD said:

    Speedy said:

    CBS News Politics ‏@CBSPolitics 3m3 minutes ago
    Early entrance polls at #IAcaucus: @RealDonaldTrump leading GOP; @HillaryClinton leading Dems: http://cbsn.ws/1PbBBi2

    Trump 33% Cruz 18% first time caucus goers
    http://www.cbsnews.com/live/
    49% others?
    Well there are alot of horses, don't forget Ben Carson is still in the race !
    And Jeb.

    Don't forget Jeb.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Looks like a high turnout, good for Trump and Sanders if so
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,944
    Speedy said:

    We got data:

    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Rep

    Bottom page, the entrance poll.

    Trump 29
    Cruz 22
    Rubio 19
    Fiorina 4
    Huckabee 3.5
    Bush 3
    Christie 3
    Paul 3
    Kasich 1.5
    Santorum 1.5

    Go Carly!
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,890
    High turn out suggests to me a convincing win for Trump. But I'm not an odds on shot backer so I'm not putting the cash down. Trump 1.31-1.38 on Betfair.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Interesting how the British media are using the same types of photos of Trump as they usually use for Farage: ie. ones making the person in question look like a braying horse. How original.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    CNN entrance poll

    Hillary 50
    Sanders 43


    CBS
    Trump 27
    Rubio 23
    Cruz 22
    Carson 9

    CNN also says Carson 9.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    AndyJS said:

    Interesting how the British media are using the same types of photos of Trump as they usually use for Farage: ie. ones making the person in question look like a braying horse. How original.

    Clickbait most likely.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    So are the entrance polls typically any good?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Speedy said:

    We got data:

    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Rep

    Bottom page, the entrance poll.

    Trump 29
    Cruz 22
    Rubio 19
    Fiorina 4
    Huckabee 3.5
    Bush 3
    Christie 3
    Paul 3
    Kasich 1.5
    Santorum 1.5

    Dems

    Clinton 49%
    Sanders 43.5%
    O'Malley 4%
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/ia/Dem
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    RobD said:

    So are the entrance polls typically any good?

    Depends, in 2012 they had an error of around 2-3%.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    Speedy said:

    RobD said:

    So are the entrance polls typically any good?

    Depends, in 2012 they had an error of around 2-3%.
    So it's possible they may be burned?



    I'll get my coat... :D
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    CBS Entrance poll

    Trump 28%
    Rubio 22%
    Cruz 21%
    Carson 10%
    Fiorina 4%
    Bush 4%
    http://www.cbsnews.com/live/
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    RobD said:

    Speedy said:

    RobD said:

    So are the entrance polls typically any good?

    Depends, in 2012 they had an error of around 2-3%.
    So it's possible they may be burned?



    I'll get my coat... :D
    Well one has Hillary with a lead of 6-7.
    Trump 2 polls with a lead of 4-7.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    CBS First time caucus goers

    Sanders 59%
    Clinton 38%
    http://www.cbsnews.com/live/
  • What time are we expecting the first Iowa results?
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    It seems they are changing the numbers of their entrance polls all the time.
  • notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    Chris_A said:

    notme said:

    Chris_A said:

    Chris_A said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @thehill: NEW POLL: 25 percent of federal government employees would quit under President Trump https://t.co/yXGImymNv9 https://t.co/ylbc5oKL4g

    They'd consider it, and then decide to stay.
    yeah.. like the junior doctors... The strike just hurts patients..
    Hush now. Think of those poor Tarquins and Jemimas and their struggle for overtime all day on a Saturday, not just after 5pm ... errr, sorry, I meant the fight for patient safety.

    Good to see it confirmed that it's all about the money, but we knew that already.
    Carry on thinking it's about pay and demeaning doctors (you're not Jeremy Hunt, are you?). By the time it gets to 2020 there won't be enough doctors to safely cover even emergency rotas.
    If doctors are going to put patients at risk by striking for money, they deserve every last bit of opprobrium that they get.

    I presume the fact you're back on here talking about this means there's going to be another strike?
    Yes there will be another strike next week. And I post here regularly and not just about the government running down the health service.
    How is it running it down? By protecting spending on the NHS it has caused quite substantial reductions to other areas of public spending.
    NHS spending is not being protected it is falling year on year as percentage of GDP. We are dropping rapidly to the relegation zone of the OECD again. Make no mistake about it NHS funding is being run down http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/blog/2016/01/how-does-nhs-spending-compare-health-spending-internationally

    The reason other departments are being reduced is because of the immense amount paid out on housing benefits because the government has allowed marked forces to run wild.
    A massive F. Soon as someone writes Spending XYZ was X in 2009 and now it has reduced to Q needs to be taken out and shot. You cannot compare spending with anything in 2009, and not make it look like a cut. It was an unusual year of spending for everything as the government unleashed a tsunami of cash on the public sector on the assumption it would stimulate growth.

    Remember when people say there hasnt been any global warming for eighteen years? Because they pick 1998 as their starting point, a year that was a record hot.

    It's basic manipulation of figures and immediately marks someone out as not to be trusted.

    Here's a cracking little graph to catch porkie piemen out:
    http://www.ukpublicspending.co.uk/spending_chart_1997_2016UKp_15c1li111mcn_10t
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    What time are we expecting the first Iowa results?

    Do you mean final results or partial results? Partial results are starting to come through now.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    What time are we expecting the first Iowa results?

    Hopefully in an hour, perhaps 2 if we are unlucky.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    AndyJS said:

    What time are we expecting the first Iowa results?

    Do you mean final results or partial results? Partial results are starting to come through now.
    Where?
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited February 2016
    stjohn said:

    High turn out suggests to me a convincing win for Trump. But I'm not an odds on shot backer so I'm not putting the cash down. Trump 1.31-1.38 on Betfair.

    I'm not a short odds backer either, but from the data we have, those odds should be;

    1/4
    10/1
    10/1

  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    CNN entrance poll

    Trump 27
    Cruz 22
    Rubio 21
    Carson 9
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Who has the best live text feed?
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    CBS has late deciders going to Rubio 25, Cruz 22, Trump 14.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited February 2016
    Speedy said:

    AndyJS said:

    What time are we expecting the first Iowa results?

    Do you mean final results or partial results? Partial results are starting to come through now.
    Where?
    https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Dem
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    CNN has Hillary 57, Sanders 43, O'Malley 0
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Pong said:

    stjohn said:

    High turn out suggests to me a convincing win for Trump. But I'm not an odds on shot backer so I'm not putting the cash down. Trump 1.31-1.38 on Betfair.

    I'm not a short odds backer either, but from the data we have, those odds should be;

    1/4
    10/1
    10/1

    I'm just not sure how credible those entrance polls are.

    I'm on quite a steep learning curve re; US elections!
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    AndyJS said:

    Speedy said:

    AndyJS said:

    What time are we expecting the first Iowa results?

    Do you mean final results or partial results? Partial results are starting to come through now.
    Where?
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Dem
    But is at 0%, no results in yet.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Now CNN has Hillary 50, Sanders 44, O'Malley 3.
    Those entrance polls are changing all the time.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Apparently CBS reckons Cruz might improve from the western part of the state. Which they haven't fully entrance polled

    Or something.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    Results are starting to trickle on the CNN page.
    1% in.

    Cruz 34
    Trump 33
    Rubio 12
    Carson 10
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Houston we have some votes !

    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Rep

    Cruz 206; Trump 196.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Trump ahead in Guthrie.

    CBSN utterly gushing over Rubio
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    4% in

    Hillary 52
    Sanders 46
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Speedy said:

    AndyJS said:

    Speedy said:

    AndyJS said:

    What time are we expecting the first Iowa results?

    Do you mean final results or partial results? Partial results are starting to come through now.
    Where?
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Dem
    But is at 0%, no results in yet.
    It did have a few delegates but not enough to rise above 0%.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    For God's sake O'Malley what a wasted vote.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    First 4% of results in Dems caucuses

    Clinton 52%
    Sanders 46%

    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Dem
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Evangelicals are 63% according with CNN

    Cruz 26
    Trump 24
    Rubio 21

    Trump way ahead with non evangelicals.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Bush has picked up 3 votes so far, all of them in Poweshiek County.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    1% in on GOP side

    Trump 35%
    Cruz 31%
    Rubio 14%
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Rep
  • viewcode said:

    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    RobD said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    glw said:

    viewcode said:

    A Trident ballistic missile is about 2 metres wide by 13m long. If you stripped out all the gubbins and packed fully-laden soldiers in like sardines you'd get about 25 in each launch tube. A Vanguard has 16 SLBM launch tubes, so that's 400 soldiers, all packed into tubes, weeing on the guy at the bottom of the tube, holding their breath, and trying not to fart..

    Or conversely you could just charter a 747 and transport 400 soldiers in some comfort, with a warm meal and an inflight movie.

    God, Corbyn is thick.

    Corbyn to replace House of Lords with Galactic Senate? Those floating podium things are kinda cool!
    I don't see Corbyn as Palpatine. What we need is a character that was originally intended to be serious but in the event was a ridiculous embarrassment
    You mean Darth Binks? :D
    So Corbyn is actually a Sith Lord who's only pretending to be a childish embarrassment. Meesa is impressed.. :)
    He's actually a Tory sleeper agent, doing his best to ensure a thousand year PB Tory reich :D
    We shall watch his career with great interest...
    Palpatine: Did you ever hear the Tragedy of Darth Corbyn the Wise?

    Anakin: No.

    Palpatine: I thought not. It's not a story the Labour Party would tell you. It's a Sith legend. Darth Corbyn was a Dark Lord of the Sith so powerful and so wise, he could use the Force to influence the midi-chlorians to create... Left-wing Policies. He had such a knowledge of the Dark Side, he could even keep the ones he cared about... from dying from boredom at Party meetings.

    Anakin: He could actually...save people from boring themselves to death?

    Palpatine: The dark side of the Force is a pathway to many policy platforms some consider to be unelectable.

    Anakin: What happened to him?

    Palpatine: He became so powerful, the only thing he was afraid of was losing his power... which, eventually of course, he did. Unfortunately, he taught his Shadow Chancellor everything he knew. Then his Shadow Chancellor stole his best policies. Ironic. He could save others from obscurity... but not himself.

    Anakin: Is it possible to learn this power?

    Palpatine: Not from a Socialist...
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,823
    Speedy said:

    Now CNN has Hillary 50, Sanders 44, O'Malley 3.
    Those entrance polls are changing all the time.

    Oh, I am so pleased O'Malley has got something. He'd be terribly sad otherwise. And they get so easily discouraged at that age.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Bush is looking in serious trouble.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Cruz looking very strong in the west. Trump in the middle.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    I quite like the Caucus system actually - politics in the raw.
This discussion has been closed.