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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jeb Bush’s bid for the GOP nomination looks even more in do
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jeb Bush’s bid for the GOP nomination looks even more in doubt after a clumsy performance in latest primary debate
The clip above gives a taste of the overnight third Republican debate. Bush, who not too long ago had been touching evens in the nomination betting, was under huge pressure to assert himself and take on the young Senator from Florida his own state, Marco Rubio.
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"Collapsed charity Kids Company given £46m in public cash"
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-34661273
I'm not trying to have a pop at anyone who's been regularly posting about KC but as the lawyers say, it all looks a bit sui generis.
Becky Quick asked Trump a question challenging (correctly) his opposition to increasing the number of H1B visas. Trump denied it and she wondered aloud where she had read it, then apologized for asking it. 30 minutes later she said she remembered - it was on Trump's website.
There was even a question about Fantasy Football.
It really was that bad.
The moderators would ask a question, then interrupt the response.
Bush was awful, and if he's not done he's on the way to it. He looked demoralized.
Rubio helped himself. Fiorina spoke the most.
If you want proof of the liberal bias of the media, this was it.
CNBC should be utterly ashamed.
In 2012, there were plenty of times the audience booed the moderators. Basically any question where the moderators asked a difficult question from the left, they would boo.
Presently the problem with the GOP debates is the sheer scale of the operation. It's vastly unwieldy with very little opportunity for the selectorate to get a handle on the aspiring candidates. Clearly this situation will change as the dross falls away and then the GOP will be left with a better class of dross to tack to the right and secure the nomination.
It's a dance that the GOP nominee is forced to jive and severely handicaps their chances in the general election. One may only wonder how many times they will lose the presidency before they realize that looking like a member of the human race in the 21st century is a prerequisite for the Oval Office.
It's clear that there needs to be huge reform of the charity sector, I would be in favour of reducing the regulations on small charities but increasing transparency on the larger ones. We should know when we donate to Shelter, as just one example, that they provide shelter for no-one and spend their donations lobbying government and pushing people up waiting lists. This isn't bad in itself, but I am sure that many of their donors think their money is going to actually put a roof over some poor person's head.
Also some very kind words at the start from the PM about Michael Meacher.
Tough questions are good - those that are designed to bait the candidates are not, and neither are gotcha questions, of which there were many of both.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/11961607/Prince-Harry-tells-US-wounded-veterans-Afghanistan-changed-my-life.html
Candidates should be tested to within an inch of their political life. The more so as they are essentially interviewing to become one of the two viable options for the presidency and thus leader of the "western world" and the most powerful nation on earth.
it is the moderators pushing an attack ad of their own.
All three moderators are quite liberal. At least CNN included Hugh Hewitt in their liberal lineup to provide some balance. CNBC went for an ambush and it backfired spectacularly.
The overnights will be interesting, as it was up against a World Series game, involving the NY Mets and KC.
Added to which I'd say that this is the most important job interview in the world. I want to see them respond to baited and gotcha questions and much more because the POTUS will face far worse in office.
Let us see their mettle under the challenge from the media - fair or not.
I've no idea why since it did hand an open goal to Cameron to spout lots of killer facts.
I think they're just desperate to create some form of *tension* to a flaccid exchange, and to my eyes it's just EdM retread - so much for different style of PMQs. I think that lasted 2 or 3 weeks.
However the POTUS debates should be another matter,
If this had happened exclusively under Labour the Tories on here would be apoplectic, but of course because Dave was chucking money around like confetti its brushed under the carpet. It seems that Mrs Cameron may, possibly, have used pillow talk in influencing her husband.
The whole thing stinks, somebody wrote on here last night about losing an elderly relative in an overstretched hospital while Batman and Yentob are whispering in the ears of ministers against the instructions of civil servants.
He is young and articulate but has Washington experience and would almost certainly win Florida. That is key for a successful republican.
I think Clinton would find him difficult to debate.
There seems to be a growing consensus that trust in the media as a whole was the loser last night.
Unfortunately the clip is from the Benghazi hearings and the families of the victims are not happy, and saying so.
I think it is yet another body blow against the charity sector which has fallen further in public esteem in recent years than any other part of our public life. This is unfortunate but the stench of greed, self-serving and politicking has become overwhelming.
Demographically Virginia, Colorado and Nevada are trending to the Democrats in POTUS elections with New Mexico and Washington State almost certainly out of reach. Arizona is moving in the same direction.
Ohio is also very important and a swing state that Clinton is better placed than Obama was in 08 and 12.
Neither is it either or in terms of type of debates and interviews. The more diverse the better the scrutiny, including gotcha. Rubio's best moment last night was said to be his reaction to the moderators. We may often learn as much if not more by these moments as some scripted soundbites.
The question has to be how far similar failures are present elsewhere in the 'charity' sector (and I put "charity" in single quotes as a body funded mainly by the state is not a charity in any meaningful sense).
Cruz probably had the outline ready too, except he didn't know the questions.
Christie's comment on fantasy football was off the cuff.
There's clearly an optimum size for a charity. When they get too big the persuading of a few students to shake a tin on a "RAG trip" gives way to professional 'chuggers', TV advertising and executive salaries. Government should be supporting the small charities and come down like a ton of bricks on the practices of larger ones.
But I agree that right or wrong, the result is that he is probably done.
Of the rest, Fiorina has already been tried and in any case, she has too many exploitable negatives re American jobs, and Cruz ticks too many boxes that are already filled by Trump or Rubio so it's difficult to see what he brings to the party while those two remain better placed. Bush is failing and the rest are nowhere.
One thought. If that analysis is right, I'd have thought it well into odds-on territory that Rubio ends up on the ticket.
I'm still not sure she did not accurately determine the issues facing children (I'd have to go through interviews with her before this mess started); it's just that the 'solutions' appear to have been stupid, and the organisational skills of her and the crew around her were, at best, horrific. At worst they were criminally fraudulent.
I was obviously not looking too closely. Which is odd, as I tend to be rather cynical when it comes to many 'charities' ...
One thing that's annoying me is the BBC's attitude. Batmanghelidjh appeared on the BBC frequently, but they seem to be rather reticent in mentioning this. Are they going to admit they were taken in as well?
I'd forgotten about Palin......
I'm not sure he fulfilled the actual role; he appeared fairly clueless at the select committee. Perhaps he treated it more like a sinecure.
*If* that is right, he's going to get all he deserves.
http://takimag.com/article/something_is_rotten_theodore_dalrymple/print#axzz3paxk5pOV
But read down to the bottom bit on Save the Children. Something indeed is rotten in the state of Denmark.
Mr. Jessop, I'll believe that (on Yentob) when I see it.
https://www.whatdotheyknow.com/request/children_in_need_grants_made_to
Pissed it down almost all of yesterday. Probably have some flooding soon.
Being a Dubai weather forecaster must be like being the weathergirl on The Fast Show.
Mr. Dodd, where art thou?
Norway's net payment, per annum, is £68 per head.
The UK's net payment, per annum, is £153 per head.
So much for having an honest debate.
"How Kids Company 'bullied' ministers into funding them"
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34662014
I also wonder how much South Korea and other countries which have EU trade agreements pay.
Edited extra bit: Mr. Dodd, sounds a nice part of the world. How is the campaign for Venetian independence going?
Hope to see many of you this evening!
I gave a standing order to Save The Children for thirty years and then discovered the obscene salaries they were paying their bosses. I received phone calls from them afterwards and to get rid of them, I just asked "What is the salary of your CE?" The second question was "Can I have my thirty years of contributions back to give to a real charity?"
I usually give to Cafod, but the Salvation Army are ones I would support. They go out and do the dirty jobs instead of spouting off like Polly or Owen Jones. When did they last work in a soup kitchen?
Many of the big Charities have turned into a sinecure for failed politicians and posh virtue-signallers.
Yentob and Batmanghellgdh need to account for their actions and there should be pressure for them to do so.
http://eureferendum.com/blogview.aspx?blogno=85795
http://www.a-cet.org.uk/
I have also given well into four figures to Barnabasfund for their work with Syrian refugees:
https://barnabasfund.org/projects/category
Not every ones cup of tea perhaps, but you can be sure that the money does not go to jihadis.
Do you want to keep paying £153 a year to be in the EU?
If you haven't read it, I'd recommend Funeral Games, by Mary Renault, which covers this period. It's extremely gripping, but so dark I can only bring myself to read it about once a decade.
Dalrymple can't hate people that much if he chose to work in a prison hospital in Birmingham for 15 years when he could have chosen to work as a doctor pretty much anywhere. (In fact he did work as a doctor in the Pacific Islands in 1982-3, something he recounts in his book Fool or Physician).
The weather back in Blighty seems to have no such good manners....
I'm a bit surprised anyone took this woman seriously. She had no therapeutic or professional training at all. Why would anyone put children, damaged or difficult children, with someone like that? It's the obvious first question to ask a charity headed by someone like that. Anyone who has or has dealt with a child with emotional or mental problems knows that good intentions are not enough: skilled experienced therapy and care is needed. Was there ever any evidence that Camilla or her acolytes had any of that?
I think the Kids Company exposed another issue. Certain people take on "charity boards" like baubles. Being associated with a high profile charity is seen as a good way of boosting one's career, prestige, etc.
But I think in many cases there is minimal genuine oversight of the activities of charities. There needs to be a change in both law and perception: being on the board of a charity is about proper supervision to make sure that things are done in the correct way. This will make being a board member much harder and less attractive. But it should mean that charities are much better regulated.
'Andrew Parker says current level of threat from homegrown jihadis the highest he has seen in a career spanning 32-years
He also publicly admitted for the first time that MI5 had to carry out computer hacking attacks against terror networks to crack their communications.
Delivering the Lord Mayor of London’s annual defence and security lecture, he said the current level of threat was the highest he had seen in a career spanning 32-years. In the past 12 months his agency has thwarted six terror plots in the UK and another seven abroad.'
http://goo.gl/VijDTT