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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » First polling reaction to Corbyn speech – an Ipsos MORI foc

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  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474

    Scott_P said:

    When this was pointed out previously, the Zoomers went into overdrive...

    //twitter.com/alanroden/status/648802907874291712

    Is that Stamp Duty paid at regular buyer or at SNP MP discount purchase rates?
    You'll rue the day!

    Strange that save for a brief outburst from the Malcoholic earlier, the Nat contingent have been strangely quiet this evening.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,997
    Moses_ said:

    John_M said:

    We've had Mike Bassett England Manager; now we have Jeremy Corbyn Labour Leader.

    Corbyn is Eddie the Eagle.
    Hopefully not; the nation took Eddie to their hearts for having a go. They completely overlooked that he was shite at what he was having a go at. Not a precedent for Prime Ministers, I hope....
    It's not the winning its the taking part of course.....

    Pretty much then what Labour were thinking and saying as they elected Corby as their leader.
    Come the next election, it's not the winning, it's the taking apart....
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    Moses_ said:

    RobD said:

    Moses_ said:

    Guido
    734 days since a Labour leader mentioned the deficit in their conference speech.

    Remind me, how many days since the Tories last won a majority?
    145
    TSE has one of those "count-up" clocks on his bedroom wall...
    I'm writing one of Sunday's threads now and I had worked out how many days since the election it would be on Sunday.
    Here you go.... You can look at it every day and without the need for a calculator.....

    http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/election?msg=General Election 2015: Kick Out The Coalition&p0=1327&year=2015&month=5&day=7&hour=7&min=0&sec=0
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    MikeL said:

    Scott_P said:

    @PickardJE: ComRes poll: who would make best PM?

    Cameron 54, Corbyn 30

    Compared to

    Cameron 52, Miliband 31 (pre election)

    Surely Dave has to stay for 2020.

    He just has to say "Corbyn represents a severe danger to this country; I have been asked to stay on and will do so to secure the country's future".

    It is just totally inconceivable that he could lose to Corbyn.

    Osborne should win but it would be a gamble.
    I could conceive of Cameron deciding to change his mind - on a personal level perhaps being a majority Tory PM, albeit not one with a hefty majority, will prove enjoyable enough that he does think it would be worth staying on - particularly if Labour appear to be doing badly and Cameron is still polling better than potential rivals, but I cannot see those rivals permitting him to stay on, particularly after the coming bloodletting over Europe, when a new leader would offer an opportunity to move on.

    The Osborne-for-PM train has left the station, and as loyal as it has felt Osborne has willingly been, would he want to emulate Brown further and try to have a handover after Cameron wins 3 elections? Wouldn't the other rivals go for broke as their last chance to take the top job, particularly if it looks like anyone could win against Corbyn?
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited September 2015

    MP_SE said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BBCNewsnight: Peter Kellner: "His first obvious need is to get away from allegation he is an extremist...we'll see how successful he is." #newsnight

    @michaelsavage: Not a good end to the day for Corbyn... https://t.co/JKw0P7ViQC

    @PickardJE: Am told that Corbyn didn't mention the word "Israel" at Labour Friends of Israel reception.

    Whoever is in charge of Labour FoI is either an idiot for inviting him or it was deliberate...
    Give Corbyn credit! I am pleasantly surprised that he showed at a Labour Friends of Israel event.

    How his friends at Hamas must have encouraged him.
    I'm sure they did.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,997
    Is there a timer for how many days since Corbyn's speech was written?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    watford30 said:

    MP_SE said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BBCNewsnight: Peter Kellner: "His first obvious need is to get away from allegation he is an extremist...we'll see how successful he is." #newsnight

    @michaelsavage: Not a good end to the day for Corbyn... https://t.co/JKw0P7ViQC

    @PickardJE: Am told that Corbyn didn't mention the word "Israel" at Labour Friends of Israel reception.

    Whoever is in charge of Labour FoI is either an idiot for inviting him or it was deliberate...
    Give Corbyn credit! I am pleasantly surprised that he showed at a Labour Friends of Israel event.

    How his friends at Hamas must have encouraged him.
    Jezzer, would you mind wearing this special waistcoat to the event?
    Jeez, that was dark.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    Is there a timer for how many days since Corbyn's speech was written?

    There certainly is..... Except the sun has to be up to be able to read it.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474

    Is there a timer for how many days since Corbyn's speech was written?

    That was Pre digital. There's a massive egg timer somewhere.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    kle4 said:

    watford30 said:

    MP_SE said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BBCNewsnight: Peter Kellner: "His first obvious need is to get away from allegation he is an extremist...we'll see how successful he is." #newsnight

    @michaelsavage: Not a good end to the day for Corbyn... https://t.co/JKw0P7ViQC

    @PickardJE: Am told that Corbyn didn't mention the word "Israel" at Labour Friends of Israel reception.

    Whoever is in charge of Labour FoI is either an idiot for inviting him or it was deliberate...
    Give Corbyn credit! I am pleasantly surprised that he showed at a Labour Friends of Israel event.

    How his friends at Hamas must have encouraged him.
    Jezzer, would you mind wearing this special waistcoat to the event?
    Jeez, that was dark.
    Dark, but clever!
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    watford30 said:

    That was Pre digital. There's a massive egg timer somewhere.

    http://longnow.org/clock/
  • ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312

    Telegraph front page - Awesome picture of Corbyn

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQGT-FkWEAE7gyU.jpg

    Is he blowing kisses? I don't recall seeing that but then I did FF a lot after watching for what felt like 6 or 7 hours.
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656
    edited September 2015
    As a well paid commuter, I'm pleased Labour support keeping my expenses down funded by the taxpayer. Although if I was an inner city low income Labour supporter I'd be a bit miffed.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,421
    When is the Edinburgh West money purchase by-election ?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,421
    JEO said:

    As a well paid commuter, I'm pleased Labour support keeping my expenses down funded by the taxpayer. Although if I was an inner city low income Labour supporter I'd be a bit miffed.

    Personally I'd let the franchises expire then charge market rates on commuters with the nationalised service ;)
  • Telegraph front page - Awesome picture of Corbyn

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQGT-FkWEAE7gyU.jpg

    Is he blowing kisses? I don't recall seeing that but then I did FF a lot after watching for what felt like 6 or 7 hours.
    I have to say it reminds me of a character from Spongebob Squarepants - Squidward Tentacles. ''ill-tempered with a snobby attitude and a sarcastic sense of humor. He has no talent, although he believes he is extremely talented.''
    Watson reminds me of Patrick Star, ''who lives under a rock, and whose most prominent character trait is his low intelligence.''

    I might have some sympathy for Corbyn over this but for the way Labour lampooned Douglas-Home's skull-like visage. It goes with the territory.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,223
    Interesting comment about Cameron making a joke about the pig story. I wouldn't be hugely surprised if he slips in a reference to the story in his conference speech.
  • Any more hilarity while I've been out??
    Bloody arsenal are going to stop spurs ever getting CL by being utter shite and losing the 4th slot!!!!
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656
    Pulpstar said:

    JEO said:

    As a well paid commuter, I'm pleased Labour support keeping my expenses down funded by the taxpayer. Although if I was an inner city low income Labour supporter I'd be a bit miffed.

    Personally I'd let the franchises expire then charge market rates on commuters with the nationalised service ;)
    The shadow minister for transport made clear today they would reduce fares.

    But your method wouldn't even work. Public ownership means politicians are responsible for fares and they'd respond to incentives to keep them low. Especially as people like me are a much more powerful constituency than the people losing out.
  • ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312
    tlg86 said:

    Interesting comment about Cameron making a joke about the pig story. I wouldn't be hugely surprised if he slips in a reference to the story in his conference speech.

    I seem to recall him already referencing it but then it is late
  • PlankPlank Posts: 71
    In the previous thread TheScreamingEagles argued that globalisation benefits everyone "...so does everyone else, like trickle down economics." 2015/9/29 2:08pm.

    Can anyone name an economist who advocates a "trickle-down" theory of economics?
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Plank said:

    In the previous thread TheScreamingEagles argued that globalisation benefits everyone "...so does everyone else, like trickle down economics." 2015/9/29 2:08pm.

    Can anyone name an economist who advocates a "trickle-down" theory of economics?

    Certainly no right wing economist would.
  • tlg86 said:

    Interesting comment about Cameron making a joke about the pig story. I wouldn't be hugely surprised if he slips in a reference to the story in his conference speech.

    I wouldn't if I were him. Top priority would be labour living on the past.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,572
    TOPPING said:



    Are you thrilled with your boy, Nick?

    Yes indeed. A Marmite politician but I like Marmite. Like him, I'm indifferent to rhetoric and sartorial stuff, but I liked the content.

    The BBC coverage was fair enough, I thought - Laura K a bit sceptical and some doubtful voters for balance but it gave a good selection of quotes. The press will no doubt be scathing, and it'll be interesting to see if there's a poll bounce or not.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Later that evening, I spot Margaret Beckett in a restaurant. Beckett has had a tough few months. She was one of the 35 MPs who nominated Corbyn for the leadership battle to widen the debate, but didn’t want him to win. She recently said she was a “moron” for having done so. When she introduced shadow chancellor John McDonnell on stage, a friend said she had the air of Catherine of Aragon waiting to be banished.
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/sep/29/jeremy-corbyn-labour-conference-great-silverback-mouse
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    edited September 2015

    TOPPING said:



    Are you thrilled with your boy, Nick?

    Yes indeed. A Marmite politician but I like Marmite. Like him, I'm indifferent to rhetoric and sartorial stuff, but I liked the content.

    The BBC coverage was fair enough, I thought - Laura K a bit sceptical and some doubtful voters for balance but it gave a good selection of quotes. The press will no doubt be scathing, and it'll be interesting to see if there's a poll bounce or not.
    Given you bigged up the last two useless losers , your mark of endorsement is verging on the "Roger".

    Take a stand man - call it as it is for once.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    edited September 2015

    tlg86 said:

    Interesting comment about Cameron making a joke about the pig story. I wouldn't be hugely surprised if he slips in a reference to the story in his conference speech.

    I wouldn't if I were him. Top priority would be labour living on the past.
    Perhaps in lieu of a speech he will just play a video of past Corbyn statements, perhaps interjecting with sarcastic quips, if they truly think he is as bad they say.

    Good night.

  • watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    When this was pointed out previously, the Zoomers went into overdrive...

    //twitter.com/alanroden/status/648802907874291712

    Is that Stamp Duty paid at regular buyer or at SNP MP discount purchase rates?
    You'll rue the day!

    Strange that save for a brief outburst from the Malcoholic earlier, the Nat contingent have been strangely quiet this evening.
    Please remember that the news was broken by yours truly on Sunday - 'spot of bother' think I said. But I was only plagiarizing the Sunday Times.
  • TGOHF said:

    TOPPING said:



    Are you thrilled with your boy, Nick?

    Yes indeed. A Marmite politician but I like Marmite. Like him, I'm indifferent to rhetoric and sartorial stuff, but I liked the content.

    The BBC coverage was fair enough, I thought - Laura K a bit sceptical and some doubtful voters for balance but it gave a good selection of quotes. The press will no doubt be scathing, and it'll be interesting to see if there's a poll bounce or not.
    Given you bigged up the last two useless losers , your mark of endorsement is verging on the "Roger".

    Take a stand man - call it as it is for once.
    I missed most of the speech. Started watching on play-back. It's got to one of the worst pieces of political speech-making in my lifetime. Rambling, fluffed lines, missed words, timing cock-ups, incoherent anecdotes, vague references to people who have suffered terrible injustices who nobody has ever heard of etc etc. I doubt anyone who has not been a obsessive labour activist for 20 years had any idea what most of it was about.

    Maybe this will be seen as brilliant. The new new future of politics after years of spin, focus groups, pollsters, advertising agents, trained actors as politicians, professionals who study press releases, people who can do their tie up etc.

    I'm not even against some of the content. But the presentation...oh dear god.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    @ThomasRaine4: The number of SNP MPs is still higher than the price of oil however.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,059
    edited September 2015

    TGOHF said:

    TOPPING said:



    Are you thrilled with your boy, Nick?

    Yes indeed. A Marmite politician but I like Marmite. Like him, I'm indifferent to rhetoric and sartorial stuff, but I liked the content.

    The BBC coverage was fair enough, I thought - Laura K a bit sceptical and some doubtful voters for balance but it gave a good selection of quotes. The press will no doubt be scathing, and it'll be interesting to see if there's a poll bounce or not.
    Given you bigged up the last two useless losers , your mark of endorsement is verging on the "Roger".

    Take a stand man - call it as it is for once.
    I missed most of the speech. Started watching on play-back. It's got to one of the worst pieces of political speech-making in my lifetime. Rambling, fluffed lines, missed words, timing cock-ups, incoherent anecdotes, vague references to people who have suffered terrible injustices who nobody has ever heard of etc etc. I doubt anyone who has not been a obsessive labour activist for 20 years had any idea what most of it was about.

    Maybe this will be seen as brilliant. The new new future of politics after years of spin, focus groups, pollsters, advertising agents, trained actors as politicians, professionals who study press releases, people who can do their tie up etc.

    I'm not even against some of the content. But the presentation...oh dear god.
    Well I said he was Labour's IDS, even his conference speeches are similar, reliant on the faithful to get them through. I think it is fair to say no-one will be buying the collective oratory of IDS and Jeremy Corbyn in 50 years time
  • HYUFD said:

    TGOHF said:

    TOPPING said:



    Are you thrilled with your boy, Nick?

    Yes indeed. A Marmite politician but I like Marmite. Like him, I'm indifferent to rhetoric and sartorial stuff, but I liked the content.

    The BBC coverage was fair enough, I thought - Laura K a bit sceptical and some doubtful voters for balance but it gave a good selection of quotes. The press will no doubt be scathing, and it'll be interesting to see if there's a poll bounce or not.
    Given you bigged up the last two useless losers , your mark of endorsement is verging on the "Roger".

    Take a stand man - call it as it is for once.
    I missed most of the speech. Started watching on play-back. It's got to one of the worst pieces of political speech-making in my lifetime. Rambling, fluffed lines, missed words, timing cock-ups, incoherent anecdotes, vague references to people who have suffered terrible injustices who nobody has ever heard of etc etc. I doubt anyone who has not been a obsessive labour activist for 20 years had any idea what most of it was about.

    Maybe this will be seen as brilliant. The new new future of politics after years of spin, focus groups, pollsters, advertising agents, trained actors as politicians, professionals who study press releases, people who can do their tie up etc.

    I'm not even against some of the content. But the presentation...oh dear god.
    Well I said he was Labour's IDS, even his conference speeches are similar, reliant on the faithful to get them through. I think it is fair to say no-one will be buying the collective oratory of IDS and Jeremy Corbyn in 50 years time
    Given the plagiarism in putting together the speech, no publisher would risk printing anything by Corbyn for fear of being sued!
  • HYUFD said:

    TGOHF said:

    TOPPING said:



    Are you thrilled with your boy, Nick?

    Yes indeed. A Marmite politician but I like Marmite. Like him, I'm indifferent to rhetoric and sartorial stuff, but I liked the content.

    The BBC coverage was fair enough, I thought - Laura K a bit sceptical and some doubtful voters for balance but it gave a good selection of quotes. The press will no doubt be scathing, and it'll be interesting to see if there's a poll bounce or not.
    Given you bigged up the last two useless losers , your mark of endorsement is verging on the "Roger".

    Take a stand man - call it as it is for once.
    I missed most of the speech. Started watching on play-back. It's got to one of the worst pieces of political speech-making in my lifetime. Rambling, fluffed lines, missed words, timing cock-ups, incoherent anecdotes, vague references to people who have suffered terrible injustices who nobody has ever heard of etc etc. I doubt anyone who has not been a obsessive labour activist for 20 years had any idea what most of it was about.

    Maybe this will be seen as brilliant. The new new future of politics after years of spin, focus groups, pollsters, advertising agents, trained actors as politicians, professionals who study press releases, people who can do their tie up etc.

    I'm not even against some of the content. But the presentation...oh dear god.
    Well I said he was Labour's IDS, even his conference speeches are similar, reliant on the faithful to get them through. I think it is fair to say no-one will be buying the collective oratory of IDS and Jeremy Corbyn in 50 years time
    I wonder how well this bilge and poor presentation will go down in two conference's time?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,059

    HYUFD said:

    TGOHF said:

    TOPPING said:



    Are you thrilled with your boy, Nick?

    Yes indeed. A Marmite politician but I like Marmite. Like him, I'm indifferent to rhetoric and sartorial stuff, but I liked the content.

    The BBC coverage was fair enough, I thought - Laura K a bit sceptical and some doubtful voters for balance but it gave a good selection of quotes. The press will no doubt be scathing, and it'll be interesting to see if there's a poll bounce or not.
    Given you bigged up the last two useless losers , your mark of endorsement is verging on the "Roger".

    Take a stand man - call it as it is for once.
    I missed most of the speech. Started watching on play-back. It's got to one of the worst pieces of political speech-making in my lifetime. Rambling, fluffed lines, missed words, timing cock-ups, incoherent anecdotes, vague references to people who have suffered terrible injustices who nobody has ever heard of etc etc. I doubt anyone who has not been a obsessive labour activist for 20 years had any idea what most of it was about.

    Maybe this will be seen as brilliant. The new new future of politics after years of spin, focus groups, pollsters, advertising agents, trained actors as politicians, professionals who study press releases, people who can do their tie up etc.

    I'm not even against some of the content. But the presentation...oh dear god.
    Well I said he was Labour's IDS, even his conference speeches are similar, reliant on the faithful to get them through. I think it is fair to say no-one will be buying the collective oratory of IDS and Jeremy Corbyn in 50 years time
    I wonder how well this bilge and poor presentation will go down in two conference's time?
    Well IDS had 'don't underestimate a quiet man' in 2002 and then the thousand and one standing ovations in 2003 and 'the quiet man is turning up the volume' just weeks before he was ousted so plenty more fun and games to come
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXmQdi9pwDA
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,059

    HYUFD said:

    TGOHF said:

    TOPPING said:



    Are you thrilled with your boy, Nick?

    Yes indeed. A Marmite politician but I like Marmite. Like him, I'm indifferent to rhetoric and sartorial stuff, but I liked the content.

    The BBC coverage was fair enough, I thought - Laura K a bit sceptical and some doubtful voters for balance but it gave a good selection of quotes. The press will no doubt be scathing, and it'll be interesting to see if there's a poll bounce or not.
    Given you bigged up the last two useless losers , your mark of endorsement is verging on the "Roger".

    Take a stand man - call it as it is for once.
    I missed most of the speech. Started watching on play-back. It's got to one of the worst pieces of political speech-making in my lifetime. Rambling, fluffed lines, missed words, timing cock-ups, incoherent anecdotes, vague references to people who have suffered terrible injustices who nobody has ever heard of etc etc. I doubt anyone who has not been a obsessive labour activist for 20 years had any idea what most of it was about.

    Maybe this will be seen as brilliant. The new new future of politics after years of spin, focus groups, pollsters, advertising agents, trained actors as politicians, professionals who study press releases, people who can do their tie up etc.

    I'm not even against some of the content. But the presentation...oh dear god.
    Well I said he was Labour's IDS, even his conference speeches are similar, reliant on the faithful to get them through. I think it is fair to say no-one will be buying the collective oratory of IDS and Jeremy Corbyn in 50 years time
    Given the plagiarism in putting together the speech, no publisher would risk printing anything by Corbyn for fear of being sued!
    Well that is true, it was an avalanche of cliche
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    TGOHF said:

    55.....

    @AlanRoden: Breaking: SNP MP Michelle Thomson has "withdrawn from the party whip" while police investigation into property deals is conducted

    The pressure mounts on Alistair Carmichael.

    Of course the chance of him doing the right thing has to be near zero.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108

    We've had Mike Bassett England Manager; now we have Jeremy Corbyn Labour Leader.

    Stuart Lancaster Rugby Coach.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Scott_P said:

    @holyroodmandy: Who is speaking for @theSNP on Michelle Thomson story? Phones ring out, no one knows anything, is it WM, Holyrood, HQ - times have changed.

    Oh the shame, instead of rushing out a response they later need to clarify and/or retract, the SNP actually take their time to deal appropriately with the situation concerning the Independent MP for Edinburgh West.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    DavidL said:

    Very poor results for the Premier Leaguers again this evening. England are going to lose a place if it goes on like this.

    Sky money can't buy everything. All it does is increase the wages.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Dair said:

    Scott_P said:

    @holyroodmandy: Who is speaking for @theSNP on Michelle Thomson story? Phones ring out, no one knows anything, is it WM, Holyrood, HQ - times have changed.

    Oh the shame, instead of rushing out a response they later need to clarify and/or retract, the SNP actually take their time to deal appropriately with the situation concerning the Independent MP for Edinburgh West.
    You rushed out a response last night saying this Nat woman wasn't going anywhere.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    When this was pointed out previously, the Zoomers went into overdrive...

    https://twitter.com/alanroden/status/648802907874291712

    SNP austerity coming soon...
    Except for the part where it clearly says "tens of millions of pounds". Which is not a huge hole in Scotland's budget, not going to require any tax rises and indeed was expected and forecast by Swinney as he was well aware there would be a timing effect associated with the change.

    But it is good that such a transparent non story as this and the Fiona Hyslop nonsense are distracting from the very real damage that the Thomson matter might do to the SNP's social democratic image.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    edited September 2015
    TGOHF said:

    Dair said:

    Scott_P said:

    @holyroodmandy: Who is speaking for @theSNP on Michelle Thomson story? Phones ring out, no one knows anything, is it WM, Holyrood, HQ - times have changed.

    Oh the shame, instead of rushing out a response they later need to clarify and/or retract, the SNP actually take their time to deal appropriately with the situation concerning the Independent MP for Edinburgh West.
    You rushed out a response last night saying this Nat woman wasn't going anywhere.
    I recall saying she could be in an untenable position as her business practices may not bee compatible with a social democratic party. That's still my view.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    When this was pointed out previously, the Zoomers went into overdrive...

    https://twitter.com/alanroden/status/648802907874291712

    SNP austerity coming soon...
    Except for the part where it clearly says "tens of millions of pounds". Which is not a huge hole in Scotland's budget, not going to require any tax rises and indeed was expected and forecast by Swinney as he was well aware there would be a timing effect associated with the change.

    But it is good that such a transparent non story as this and the Fiona Hyslop nonsense are distracting from the very real damage that the Thomson matter might do to the SNP's social democratic image.
    The main SNP image appears to be cronyism and "advisers" at the trough of public money.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    TGOHF said:

    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    When this was pointed out previously, the Zoomers went into overdrive...

    https://twitter.com/alanroden/status/648802907874291712

    SNP austerity coming soon...
    Except for the part where it clearly says "tens of millions of pounds". Which is not a huge hole in Scotland's budget, not going to require any tax rises and indeed was expected and forecast by Swinney as he was well aware there would be a timing effect associated with the change.

    But it is good that such a transparent non story as this and the Fiona Hyslop nonsense are distracting from the very real damage that the Thomson matter might do to the SNP's social democratic image.
    The main SNP image appears to be cronyism and "advisers" at the trough of public money.
    The main SNP image is that they are the only viable vehicle to deliver Scottish Independence.

    While they remain seen as that, they will continue to dominate Scottish politics. The only danger to them is if they fail to deliver a referendum in the next parliamentary term (or at a stretch within the next two) and like the Bloc Quebecois following their failure to deliver a third referendum in 1999 lose their credibility as being the way to achieve independence.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,997
    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    When this was pointed out previously, the Zoomers went into overdrive...

    https://twitter.com/alanroden/status/648802907874291712

    SNP austerity coming soon...
    Except for the part where it clearly says "tens of millions of pounds". Which is not a huge hole in Scotland's budget, not going to require any tax rises and indeed was expected and forecast by Swinney as he was well aware there would be a timing effect associated with the change.

    But it is good that such a transparent non story as this and the Fiona Hyslop nonsense are distracting from the very real damage that the Thomson matter might do to the SNP's social democratic image.
    The main SNP image appears to be cronyism and "advisers" at the trough of public money.
    The main SNP image is that they are the only viable vehicle to deliver Scottish Independence.

    While they remain seen as that, they will continue to dominate Scottish politics. The only danger to them is if they fail to deliver a referendum in the next parliamentary term (or at a stretch within the next two) and like the Bloc Quebecois following their failure to deliver a third referendum in 1999 lose their credibility as being the way to achieve independence.
    Such complacency. The real danger is that they fall into the trap of all one-party states - they become blinded by the notion that There Is No Alternative and think they can get away with the law not applying to them, as they descend into corruption and nepotism. This ultimately pisses off the voters to the point where some of them return to the Can't Be Arsed Party - to which the SNP is peculiarly exposed - whilst some return back to the parties they came from.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Good Morning PBers Worldwide.

    I may have recycled that greeting from a few years ago ....
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Dair said:

    Oh the shame, instead of rushing out a response they later need to clarify and/or retract, the SNP actually take their time to deal appropriately with the situation concerning the Independent MP for Edinburgh West.

    No.

    They rushed out a response saying she was no longer a memebr of the SNP, then stopped answering the phones for 3 hours while they tried to decide if that was the story they wanted to keep.

    Then they changed it

    It's a triumph
  • Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    When this was pointed out previously, the Zoomers went into overdrive...

    https://twitter.com/alanroden/status/648802907874291712

    SNP austerity coming soon...
    Except for the part where it clearly says "tens of millions of pounds". Which is not a huge hole in Scotland's budget, not going to require any tax rises and indeed was expected and forecast by Swinney as he was well aware there would be a timing effect associated with the change.

    But it is good that such a transparent non story as this and the Fiona Hyslop nonsense are distracting from the very real damage that the Thomson matter might do to the SNP's social democratic image.
    The main SNP image appears to be cronyism and "advisers" at the trough of public money.
    The main SNP image is that they are the only viable vehicle to deliver Scottish Independence.

    While they remain seen as that, they will continue to dominate Scottish politics. The only danger to them is if they fail to deliver a referendum in the next parliamentary term (or at a stretch within the next two) and like the Bloc Quebecois following their failure to deliver a third referendum in 1999 lose their credibility as being the way to achieve independence.
    Such complacency. The real danger is that they fall into the trap of all one-party states - they become blinded by the notion that There Is No Alternative and think they can get away with the law not applying to them, as they descend into corruption and nepotism. This ultimately pisses off the voters to the point where some of them return to the Can't Be Arsed Party - to which the SNP is peculiarly exposed - whilst some return back to the parties they came from.
    Or new ones.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,531

    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    When this was pointed out previously, the Zoomers went into overdrive...

    https://twitter.com/alanroden/status/648802907874291712

    SNP austerity coming soon...
    Except for the part where it clearly says "tens of millions of pounds". Which is not a huge hole in Scotland's budget, not going to require any tax rises and indeed was expected and forecast by Swinney as he was well aware there would be a timing effect associated with the change.

    But it is good that such a transparent non story as this and the Fiona Hyslop nonsense are distracting from the very real damage that the Thomson matter might do to the SNP's social democratic image.
    The main SNP image appears to be cronyism and "advisers" at the trough of public money.
    The main SNP image is that they are the only viable vehicle to deliver Scottish Independence.

    While they remain seen as that, they will continue to dominate Scottish politics. The only danger to them is if they fail to deliver a referendum in the next parliamentary term (or at a stretch within the next two) and like the Bloc Quebecois following their failure to deliver a third referendum in 1999 lose their credibility as being the way to achieve independence.
    Such complacency. The real danger is that they fall into the trap of all one-party states - they become blinded by the notion that There Is No Alternative and think they can get away with the law not applying to them, as they descend into corruption and nepotism. This ultimately pisses off the voters to the point where some of them return to the Can't Be Arsed Party - to which the SNP is peculiarly exposed - whilst some return back to the parties they came from.
    Or new ones.
    I seriously doubt they will become the Tory party.
  • malcolmg said:

    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    When this was pointed out previously, the Zoomers went into overdrive...

    https://twitter.com/alanroden/status/648802907874291712

    SNP austerity coming soon...
    Except for the part where it clearly says "tens of millions of pounds". Which is not a huge hole in Scotland's budget, not going to require any tax rises and indeed was expected and forecast by Swinney as he was well aware there would be a timing effect associated with the change.

    But it is good that such a transparent non story as this and the Fiona Hyslop nonsense are distracting from the very real damage that the Thomson matter might do to the SNP's social democratic image.
    The main SNP image appears to be cronyism and "advisers" at the trough of public money.
    The main SNP image is that they are the only viable vehicle to deliver Scottish Independence.

    While they remain seen as that, they will continue to dominate Scottish politics. The only danger to them is if they fail to deliver a referendum in the next parliamentary term (or at a stretch within the next two) and like the Bloc Quebecois following their failure to deliver a third referendum in 1999 lose their credibility as being the way to achieve independence.
    Such complacency. The real danger is that they fall into the trap of all one-party states - they become blinded by the notion that There Is No Alternative and think they can get away with the law not applying to them, as they descend into corruption and nepotism. This ultimately pisses off the voters to the point where some of them return to the Can't Be Arsed Party - to which the SNP is peculiarly exposed - whilst some return back to the parties they came from.
    Or new ones.
    I seriously doubt they will become the Tory party.
    I was thinking more of brand new (or at least currently very minor) parties.

    If the SNP surge does fade then it's unlikely that they will return to the three existing Westminster parties - at least, not for a while and not unless there's some new means of motivating them. A new party, possibly the result of a split, on the other hand might be more attractive.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Was it the film Total Recall where the mutants on mars ended up with bulging eyes...? reminded me of Corbyn on the front page of the D Telegraph

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQGT-FkWEAE7gyU.jpg
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    AnneJGP said:

    This Matt cartoon is a few days ago, but it's remarkably good even by his standards.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/matt/?cartoon=11894116&cc=11838535

    No idea how he manages to be so consistently effective at getting to the heart of the issues de nos jours, wryly amusing (enough to smile over) every single day and still laugh-out-loud funny a couple of times a week. That sort of talent is gold-dust. I can't think of any other cartoonist - in fact, any kind of media commentator full stop - who reaches that kind of standard. Though I have a soft spot for Craig Brown.

    (I get the feeling part of the reason I am so impressed is that his rival cartoonists in other papers are generally pretty poor, or take their personal politics too seriously.)

    Many years ago, I read an interview with Matt. One remark of his stuck in my mind: when he was at school, his teachers used to tell him he'd never get anywhere by sitting gazing out of the window .....
    I read an interview once where he said he comes in at 9, reads the papers all morning, sketches out 4-5 ideas, has a meeting with the editor at 3 to choose one and then goes home.

    Sounds like a pretty good job!
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,040

    Was it the film Total Recall where the mutants on mars ended up with bulging eyes...? reminded me of Corbyn on the front page of the D Telegraph

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQGT-FkWEAE7gyU.jpg

    Did he, you know, get himself caught in his zip?
  • Charles said:

    AnneJGP said:

    This Matt cartoon is a few days ago, but it's remarkably good even by his standards.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/matt/?cartoon=11894116&cc=11838535

    No idea how he manages to be so consistently effective at getting to the heart of the issues de nos jours, wryly amusing (enough to smile over) every single day and still laugh-out-loud funny a couple of times a week. That sort of talent is gold-dust. I can't think of any other cartoonist - in fact, any kind of media commentator full stop - who reaches that kind of standard. Though I have a soft spot for Craig Brown.

    (I get the feeling part of the reason I am so impressed is that his rival cartoonists in other papers are generally pretty poor, or take their personal politics too seriously.)

    Many years ago, I read an interview with Matt. One remark of his stuck in my mind: when he was at school, his teachers used to tell him he'd never get anywhere by sitting gazing out of the window .....
    I read an interview once where he said he comes in at 9, reads the papers all morning, sketches out 4-5 ideas, has a meeting with the editor at 3 to choose one and then goes home.

    Sounds like a pretty good job!
    I'm sure that's true of any person who can make a career of a hobby in which there's public interest and at which you happen to be the greatest of your generation.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Scott_P said:

    Dair said:

    Oh the shame, instead of rushing out a response they later need to clarify and/or retract, the SNP actually take their time to deal appropriately with the situation concerning the Independent MP for Edinburgh West.

    No.

    They rushed out a response saying she was no longer a memebr of the SNP, then stopped answering the phones for 3 hours while they tried to decide if that was the story they wanted to keep.

    Then they changed it

    It's a triumph
    Is it over though ? Why the delay in the police getting involved ? Surely it wasn't because there was a referendum due ?
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108

    malcolmg said:

    I seriously doubt they will become the Tory party.

    I was thinking more of brand new (or at least currently very minor) parties.

    If the SNP surge does fade then it's unlikely that they will return to the three existing Westminster parties - at least, not for a while and not unless there's some new means of motivating them. A new party, possibly the result of a split, on the other hand might be more attractive.
    There is no likelihood of a pre-independence split outside the fevered imagination of the likes of ScottP. The SNP remain the credible vehicle to deliver independence and until that is lost their position will not change.

    If Bill Walker didn't harm the SNP, then the Independent MP for Edinburgh West will not.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    TGOHF said:

    Is it over though ? Why the delay in the police getting involved ? Surely it wasn't because there was a referendum due ?

    Depends how toxic the whole thing is for Nicola, given how prominent Michelle was in the campaign, and how many photo opps they did together
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Dair said:

    If Bill Walker didn't harm the SNP, then the Independent MP for Edinburgh West will not.

    Another keeper I think
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    NEW THREAD
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,531

    malcolmg said:

    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    When this was pointed out previously, the Zoomers went into overdrive...

    https://twitter.com/alanroden/status/648802907874291712

    SNP austerity coming soon...
    Except for the part where it clearly says "tens of millions of pounds". Which is not a huge hole in Scotland's budget, not going to require any tax rises and indeed was expected and forecast by Swinney as he was well aware there would be a timing effect associated with the change.

    But it is good that such a transparent non story as this and the Fiona Hyslop nonsense are distracting from the very real damage that the Thomson matter might do to the SNP's social democratic image.
    The main SNP image appears to be cronyism and "advisers" at the trough of public money.
    The main SNP image is that they are the only viable vehicle to deliver Scottish Independence.

    While they remain seen as that, they will continue to dominate Scottish politics. The only danger to them is if they fail to deliver a referendum in the next parliamentary term (or at a stretch within the next two) and like the Bloc Quebecois following their failure to deliver a third referendum in 1999 lose their credibility as being the way to achieve independence.
    Such complacency. The real danger is that they fall into the trap of all one-party states - they become blinded by the notion that There Is No Alternative and think they can get away with the law not applying to them, as they descend into corruption and nepotism. This ultimately pisses off the voters to the point where some of them return to the Can't Be Arsed Party - to which the SNP is peculiarly exposed - whilst some return back to the parties they came from.
    Or new ones.
    I seriously doubt they will become the Tory party.
    I was thinking more of brand new (or at least currently very minor) parties.

    If the SNP surge does fade then it's unlikely that they will return to the three existing Westminster parties - at least, not for a while and not unless there's some new means of motivating them. A new party, possibly the result of a split, on the other hand might be more attractive.
    Hard to imagine at this stage. Labour are just rubbish , Tories are seen as the plague , LibDems are gone as serial lying toerags. Hard to see anything apart from a few splinter socialist parties that will never get mainstream votes. As you say it can happen but hard to see it in near future.
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Roger said:

    Isn't it extraordinary the attention the Labour conference is getting. Compare with the Lib's whose conference went unnoticed.

    Carlotta mentioned advertising. The 4 principles of advertising and 'The Corbyn effect'


    1. Get peoples attention -Check
    2. Make your claims believable -check
    3. Make your product desirable -check
    4. Motivate your target market to do something -check


    1. Get peoples attention - Check
    2. Make your claims believable - No.
    3. Make your product desirable - No way.
    4. Motivate your target market to do something - Vote Tory.
    The other rule of marketing is don't try to appeal to everyone. If you do you end up bland and uninteresting.
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