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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Yes we Khan – Sadiq Khan wins the London Mayoral nomination

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  • Hope some PBers got the 33s and 25s on Sadiq at the time. Zac is clearly not to be underestimated if he is the candidate. I'm sure most Khan backers will hedge accordingly if they have not done so already.

    My 6/4 recommendation on Tom Watson for Deputy is looking good. http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/06/10/henry-g-manson-tom-watson-should-be-odds-on-for-lab-deputy/ although as I have since posted following my pitch for Yvette that I just didn't appreciate the Corbyn phenomenon. Can't win 'em all.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046
    The word 'corrupt' appears 134 times in the judgement

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/judgment.pdf
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046
    surbiton said:

    AndyJS said:

    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    If true, this would explain the many strange anomalies surrounding that poor drowned child.

    http://www.breitbart.com/london/2015/09/11/drowned-aylan-kurdis-father-accused-of-being-people-smuggler-at-helm-of-capsized-boat/

    Pathetic !
    No, what's pathetic is that you think we shouldn't bother to look into the facts of the case.
    Please do. Where did the judge refer to him as "corrupt" ?
    Think you have your threads mixed up!
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited September 2015
    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    @jonwalker121: Sadiq Khan: "I won't be voting for Jeremy Corbyn and I don't think he can lead us to election victory in 2020." https://t.co/oAkAQNS8Vd

    LOL!
    Tells a lot about PBers knowledge of Labour politicians.
    Khan realises the urgency of avoiding being defined as London-Corbyn. Which, to be fair, he isn't.

    EDIT: well, that's an old quote. But the principle still remains.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SamCoatesTimes: Lab source: Tessa won membership in every round except last & even then less than 1,000 behind sadiq. Registered supporters won it for sadiq
  • Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    Thought Jowell was a shoo-in. I imagine Khan has won on the back of all the London-based Corbyn sign-ups, but it shows how utterly deluded Labour is.

    Khan vs Goldsmith, especially as both become more widely known to Londoners, is no contest. Zac should win with ease.

    What a great start to Labour's worst weekend ever.....
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046
    surbiton said:

    RobD said:

    surbiton said:

    RobD said:

    Speedy said:

    I think Khan will be a bad mayor, after the well known painful decade long mayoralty of Lutfur Rahman, I have a deep distrust towards local muslim politicians.

    I really don't think being Muslim made him a corrupt mayor.
    I think you will find the Judge's report did not label him as a corrupt politician. It also did not find him as an extremist Jihadi.
    I thought he was dishing out money to his favourite causes in a bid to get re-elected? Sounds corrupt to me. I hope the Judge didn't call him an exemplar of British politics.
    How would you describe the act of Party's giving knighthood's to their donors ?
    File a complaint with an election court and see how far you get.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    With regard to Brick Lane.. I have always found that the money spent there is welcomed but the presence of the mainly WASP clientele is most definitely not .. There was always the feeling of resentment when I was obliged to work there for a major production company and the female staff were definitely uncomfortable about their treatment when they had to leave the offices. Perhaps some curry hungry customers may look elsewhere if there is any more trouble.

    There are places in Whitechapel where people queue for over two hours just to get in. Another 30-45 minutes before the food comes. Yes, they are mostly WASP but not exclusively so.
  • SeanT said:

    Heathrow now seriously in play. What is Corbynista view of airport expansion?

    Against.
    Are you sure?

    Isnt it an overcrowded venue from which to fly to conferences denouncing international air travel?
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Scott_P said:

    @SamCoatesTimes: Lab source: Tessa won membership in every round except last & even then less than 1,000 behind sadiq. Registered supporters won it for sadiq

    I wasn't aware that they were counted separately.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited September 2015
    SeanT said:

    Oh that is so delicious it is surely worth repeating. AGAIN AND AGAIN AND AGAIN AND AGAIN

    "I won't be voting for Jeremy Corbyn and I don't think he can lead us to election victory in 2020."

    Says Sadiq Khan, the man who nominated Jeremy Corbyn, and is now standing as Labour's candidate for London mayor.

    The incoherence is magnificent. Khan is going to have that quote thrown in his face every time he goes within 40 miles of a journalist.

    Lovin' it.

    That will help him, Sean. Khan, that is. Not Corbyn.
  • Hmm. How's this for a series of events?:
    1) Conservatives go for Heathrow
    2) Goldsmith resigns
    3) By-election held (if blue hold, no real kudos, if they lose, early advantage to Corbyn)
    4) Conservatives have less popular mayoral candidate, possibly with Goldsmith as an independent. Khan wins
    5) Corbyn gets boost, harder to defenestrate
    6) Khan enacts ethnic quotas policy, or at least champions it, and this plays terribly across the country for the next four years

    Winning London *might* be Pyrrhic for Labour. Except that Pyrrhus was competent, of course.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    RobD said:

    surbiton said:

    RobD said:

    Speedy said:

    I think Khan will be a bad mayor, after the well known painful decade long mayoralty of Lutfur Rahman, I have a deep distrust towards local muslim politicians.

    I really don't think being Muslim made him a corrupt mayor.
    I think you will find the Judge's report did not label him as a corrupt politician. It also did not find him as an extremist Jihadi.
    I thought he was dishing out money to his favourite causes in a bid to get re-elected? Sounds corrupt to me. I hope the Judge didn't call him an exemplar of British politics.
    How would you describe the act of Party's giving knighthood's to their donors ?
    Blairism?
    He was a Tory. There you go.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,994
    Speedy said:

    RobD said:

    Speedy said:

    I think Khan will be a bad mayor, after the well known painful decade long mayoralty of Lutfur Rahman, I have a deep distrust towards local muslim politicians.

    I really don't think being Muslim made him a corrupt mayor.
    It was a very strong identity politics that kept a very corrupt and incompetent person as mayor, as such i'm allergic to people whom their only selling point is either the colour of their skin, their religion, or their gender.

    Khan will have to persuade me that he isn't a new Lutfur Rahman.
    But the way south Asian politics works, he is now going to be surrounded by "community spokesmen" (and they will 95% be men) trying to get to rub shoulders. Usually for their own preferment.

    It will look distinctly grubby.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,354

    SeanT said:

    Heathrow now seriously in play. What is Corbynista view of airport expansion?

    Against.
    Whilst I still prefer Boris Island to Heathrow expansion as a long-term solution, that battle's been lost. London needs more capacity ASAP, and more endless talking will just cause the London and UK economy harm.

    Let's get building at Heathrow.
    Why can't Londoners just connect through Amsterdam like the rest of us do?
    I still seriously think the new London Airport should be built near Birmingham, perhaps on a less hemmed in plot of land somewhere to the SE of the current Birmingham International. With HS2 running by would put it a little over 30m from central London (linking in to Crossrail 2) and only about 45 from Manchester and Leeds.

    And we should call it David Attenborough (London Midland) Airport.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046
    edited September 2015
    FORMAL CONCLUSIONS

    672 The court is satisfied and certifies that in the election for the Mayor of the London
    Borough of Tower Hamlets held on 22 May 2014:

    a) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was guilty by his agents of corrupt practices contrary to:
    i) s 60 of the 1983 Act;
    ii) s 62A of the 1983 Act;

    b) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was guilty by his agents of illegal practices contrary
    to:
    i) s 13D(1) of the 1983 Act;
    ii) s 61(1)(a) of the 1983 Act;
    c) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was personally guilty and guilty by his agents of an illegal practice contrary to s 106 of the 1983 Act;
    d) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was guilty by his agents of an illegal practice contrary to s 111 of the 1983 Act;
    e) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was personally guilty and guilty by his agents of a corrupt practice contrary to s 113 of the 1983 Act;
    f) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was personally guilty and guilty by his agents of a corrupt practice contrary to s 115 of the 1983 Act.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,040
    Danny565 said:

    DavidL said:

    fpt

    What do the Tories want to do about Corbyn? If he is so terrible for Labour wouldn't it be better that he stayed there? Tim Montgomerie thinks this is a chance to knock Labour off their morally superior perch. Perhaps, but that in itself is rather revealing.

    10 years ago when Cameron first came along it was all about how the Tories cared too and had no less of a moral conscience than Labour did, they just disagreed on means. It would appear they've given up on that and Osborne seems entirely comfortable in his ruthlessly cynical skin. It must grate them though to have to deal with Labour's sanctimony when the reality in their minds is that Labour is just as much in the moral gutter as they are. They're just two sides of the same opportunist coin who've chosen different paths.

    Montgomerie reckons politics could be about to get ugly. That has its downsides but parliamentary democracy is supposed to represent the broad views of the electorate. If the nation starts washing its dirty laundry in the House of Commons it might at least be rather more honest than the phoney civility of the 'right honourable member.'

    You are so far off the mark with Osborne. I was referred to this on here yesterday and it is a really interesting piece: http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2015/09/ascent-submarine-george-osborne-talks-jason-cowley

    As you would expect given that it is the New Statesman it is not uncritical but his determination to dominate the centre ground and his easy acceptance of a positive roll for the State shows what problems Labour have. And that is before they elect an intellectual muppet.
    Come on, NOBODY outside the Westminster bubble thinks Osborne is "centrist"!

    The public perception of him is that he's a typical Tory only interested in the rich (moreso than Cameron who imo people think he atleast attempts to understand poorer people), but that atleast he's competent and has a clear sense of where he's going.
    Living wage, northern powerhouse, increases in the personal allowance, just you wait.
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    edited September 2015
    York City... I don't give a diddly squat what happens in America... which has severe racial problems anyway.. I am more concerned about the Mayor of the Capital City of the UK deciding that there will be ethnic quotas..which is racist.. and will be seen to be racist. Whatever his own personal successful back story is it has absolutely nothing to do with it and in any case points to the fact that anyone can be successful without ethnic quotas..if they try hard enough...
  • SeanT said:

    Heathrow now seriously in play. What is Corbynista view of airport expansion?

    Against.
    Whilst I still prefer Boris Island to Heathrow expansion as a long-term solution, that battle's been lost. London needs more capacity ASAP, and more endless talking will just cause the London and UK economy harm.

    Let's get building at Heathrow.
    Why can't Londoners just connect through Amsterdam like the rest of us do?
    I believe the answer to that is in the Davies final report:
    https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/440316/airports-commission-final-report.pdf

    I think page 45 onwards might be most relevant.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,994
    edited September 2015
    surbiton said:

    surbiton said:

    RobD said:

    surbiton said:

    RobD said:

    Speedy said:

    I think Khan will be a bad mayor, after the well known painful decade long mayoralty of Lutfur Rahman, I have a deep distrust towards local muslim politicians.

    I really don't think being Muslim made him a corrupt mayor.
    I think you will find the Judge's report did not label him as a corrupt politician. It also did not find him as an extremist Jihadi.
    I thought he was dishing out money to his favourite causes in a bid to get re-elected? Sounds corrupt to me. I hope the Judge didn't call him an exemplar of British politics.
    How would you describe the act of Party's giving knighthood's to their donors ?
    Blairism?
    He was a Tory. There you go.
    No, I think you'll find there YOU go. Any idea how asinine you sound saying Blair was a Tory?

  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Thought Jowell was a shoo-in. I imagine Khan has won on the back of all the London-based Corbyn sign-ups, but it shows how utterly deluded Labour is.

    Khan vs Goldsmith, especially as both become more widely known to Londoners, is no contest. Zac should win with ease.

    What a great start to Labour's worst weekend ever.....

    Khan starts with one advantage, being a muslim in a minority city, and one disadvantage, having to prove that he's harmless.
    Goldsmith starts with one disadvantage, that he's a Tory in a largely increasingly left wing city, so he has to prove that he can fight for the interests and tastes of the locals ( Will Heathrow do? ).
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Incidentally, it seems turnout was higher than was being rumoured yesterday:

    114, 839 people were eligible to vote, 87,954 used their vote in the contest. - http://labourlist.org/2015/09/sadiq-khan-wins-race-to-be-labours-candidate-for-london-mayor/
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited September 2015

    Hope some PBers got the 33s and 25s on Sadiq at the time. Zac is clearly not to be underestimated if he is the candidate. I'm sure most Khan backers will hedge accordingly if they have not done so already.

    My 6/4 recommendation on Tom Watson for Deputy is looking good. http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/06/10/henry-g-manson-tom-watson-should-be-odds-on-for-lab-deputy/ although as I have since posted following my pitch for Yvette that I just didn't appreciate the Corbyn phenomenon. Can't win 'em all.

    I may be being slow - or just not keeping up with matters - but isn't there some sort of rule about the leader and deputy of the Labour Party both possessing a winkie? i.e. that's not allowed. So if Corbyn wins...
  • Huge thank you to Henry G for his outsranding tip.

    Fwiw, I would have voted for Goldsmith ahead of Jowell, but not Khan.
  • Danny565 said:

    Incidentally, it seems turnout was higher than was being rumoured yesterday:

    114, 839 people were eligible to vote, 87,954 used their vote in the contest. - http://labourlist.org/2015/09/sadiq-khan-wins-race-to-be-labours-candidate-for-london-mayor/

    Blimey, Diane Abbott made it to the fourth round – we do live in interesting times.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,040
    RobD said:

    FORMAL CONCLUSIONS

    672 The court is satisfied and certifies that in the election for the Mayor of the London
    Borough of Tower Hamlets held on 22 May 2014:

    a) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was guilty by his agents of corrupt practices contrary to:
    i) s 60 of the 1983 Act;
    ii) s 62A of the 1983 Act;

    b) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was guilty by his agents of illegal practices contrary
    to:
    i) s 13D(1) of the 1983 Act;
    ii) s 61(1)(a) of the 1983 Act;
    c) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was personally guilty and guilty by his agents of an illegal practice contrary to s 106 of the 1983 Act;
    d) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was guilty by his agents of an illegal practice contrary to s 111 of the 1983 Act;
    e) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was personally guilty and guilty by his agents of a corrupt practice contrary to s 113 of the 1983 Act;
    f) the First Respondent Mr Rahman was personally guilty and guilty by his agents of a corrupt practice contrary to s 115 of the 1983 Act.

    The judgement in that case was incredible. The description of the collection of hundreds of postal votes, steaming them open, correcting any that had the wrong answer and then resealing them was one of the many highlights.
  • Speedy said:

    Thought Jowell was a shoo-in. I imagine Khan has won on the back of all the London-based Corbyn sign-ups, but it shows how utterly deluded Labour is.

    Khan vs Goldsmith, especially as both become more widely known to Londoners, is no contest. Zac should win with ease.

    What a great start to Labour's worst weekend ever.....

    Khan starts with one advantage, being a muslim in a minority city, and one disadvantage, having to prove that he's harmless.
    Goldsmith starts with one disadvantage, that he's a Tory in a largely increasingly left wing city, so he has to prove that he can fight for the interests and tastes of the locals ( Will Heathrow do? ).
    Can't remember where I saw this, but I think the polling shows that Londoners are more or less split down the middle on whether Heathrow expansion is a good or a bad thing. On the one hand lots of opposition in leafy Richmond and Kew, but in Hounslow (where thousands of people's jobs depend on the airport) I suspect views are rather different.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    FINAL LABOURLIST POLL:

    Corbyn 52%
    Cooper 23%
    Burnham 13%
    Kendall 12%

    However, as a sign of how unreliable that is, Tessa Jowell narrowly beat Sadiq in the final mayoral Labourlist poll...
  • JWisemannJWisemann Posts: 1,082
    Creasy and Corbs win tomorrow and I get a complete slate of first choices!
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,572
    Not sure if we spotted this survey at the time (late August) - it's a proper survey though of voters generally rather than the selectorate. It would be odd if the trend to Corbyn among the wider electorate was opposite to the trend within the party, so it's another straw in the wind and quite a substantial one. Corbyn leads in pretty much all sections including 2015 Tories (who may have other motives) but especially "other parties" (UKIP/Green, presumably) and women. LibDems marginally prefer Burnham.

    http://ourinsight.opinium.co.uk/survey-results/momentum-corbyn
  • Danny565 said:

    Incidentally, it seems turnout was higher than was being rumoured yesterday:

    114, 839 people were eligible to vote, 87,954 used their vote in the contest. - http://labourlist.org/2015/09/sadiq-khan-wins-race-to-be-labours-candidate-for-london-mayor/

    Blimey, Diane Abbott made it to the fourth round – we do live in interesting times.
    also good for corbyn I would think.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,354
    Danny565 said:

    FINAL LABOURLIST POLL:

    Corbyn 52%
    Cooper 23%
    Burnham 13%
    Kendall 12%

    However, as a sign of how unreliable that is, Tessa Jowell narrowly beat Sadiq in the final mayoral Labourlist poll...

    Burnham within MOE of coming fourth according to this!
  • Danny565 said:

    FINAL LABOURLIST POLL:

    Corbyn 52%
    Cooper 23%
    Burnham 13%
    Kendall 12%

    However, as a sign of how unreliable that is, Tessa Jowell narrowly beat Sadiq in the final mayoral Labourlist poll...

    Though Corbyn winning is, of course, a total disaster, I do think Burnham on 13% would be rather funny.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,515
    edited September 2015
    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'
  • Speedy said:

    Thought Jowell was a shoo-in. I imagine Khan has won on the back of all the London-based Corbyn sign-ups, but it shows how utterly deluded Labour is.

    Khan vs Goldsmith, especially as both become more widely known to Londoners, is no contest. Zac should win with ease.

    What a great start to Labour's worst weekend ever.....

    Khan starts with one advantage, being a muslim in a minority city, and one disadvantage, having to prove that he's harmless.
    Goldsmith starts with one disadvantage, that he's a Tory in a largely increasingly left wing city, so he has to prove that he can fight for the interests and tastes of the locals ( Will Heathrow do? ).
    I'm not sure Khan's advantage helps very much as surely most Muslims in London will have voted Lab anyway. Against that you have the Rahman factor, which could be very damaging. Didn't some polling show black voters were less likely to vote for Khan than Jowell?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited September 2015
    surbiton said:

    isam said:

    surbiton said:

    isam said:

    Lennon said:

    isam said:

    UKIP should not stand in the London Mayoralty. Every vote counts, Khan cannot be MoL.

    I'd be voting Goldsmith even if I were the UKIP candidate!!

    You know that the London Mayoralty uses Supplementary Vote right? So you can Vote UKIP-1, Zac-2.
    Oh I didn't actually! I'm not really into all that

    Anything to stop a left wing muslim who proposes ethnic quotas running London. Seeing the violence in Brick Lane last night, this could be the start of a lot of trouble.

    Ill vote Zac-1 Zac-2 just to make sure there can be no misunderstanding.

    If Khan wins I'll start OZIP (Outer Zones Independence Party)

    Were you not the UKIP candidate in Islington ? Did you win ?
    I wasn't, so I didn't!
    But you were a UKIP candidate somewhere ?
    No, I passed the candidate test, and Islington South and Finsbury Borough was the seat I was thinking of contesting, but decided not to stand
  • Danny565 said:

    FINAL LABOURLIST POLL:
    Corbyn 52%
    Cooper 23%
    Burnham 13%
    Kendall 12%
    However, as a sign of how unreliable that is, Tessa Jowell narrowly beat Sadiq in the final mayoral Labourlist poll...

    Though Corbyn winning is, of course, a total disaster, I do think Burnham on 13% would be rather funny.
    Burnham on 13 is just awful. I'm crying in my beer.
    Just why did anyone think he was of any use in the first place?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,685
    This also increases the chance of a Richmond Park by-election.

    Excellent news!
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Anorak said:

    Hope some PBers got the 33s and 25s on Sadiq at the time. Zac is clearly not to be underestimated if he is the candidate. I'm sure most Khan backers will hedge accordingly if they have not done so already.

    My 6/4 recommendation on Tom Watson for Deputy is looking good. http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/06/10/henry-g-manson-tom-watson-should-be-odds-on-for-lab-deputy/ although as I have since posted following my pitch for Yvette that I just didn't appreciate the Corbyn phenomenon. Can't win 'em all.

    I may be being slow - or just not keeping up with matters - but isn't there some sort of rule about the leader and deputy of the Labour Party both possessing a winkie? i.e. that's not allowed. So if Corbyn wins...
    Never mind. I think I'm confused.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046

    Danny565 said:

    FINAL LABOURLIST POLL:

    Corbyn 52%
    Cooper 23%
    Burnham 13%
    Kendall 12%

    However, as a sign of how unreliable that is, Tessa Jowell narrowly beat Sadiq in the final mayoral Labourlist poll...

    Though Corbyn winning is, of course, a total disaster, I do think Burnham on 13% would be rather funny.
    I think this is appropriate:
    http://replygif.net/i/235.gif
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656
    Yorkcity said:

    The Bus Drivers son v The Billionaires son.
    The back stories are intresting.
    I think Sadiq Khan is a good choice for London.

    Obviously not for the disgusted from tunbridge wells on PB from the shires.

    It's telling that in this post you have to twice resort to identity politics: criticising someone for being born into a wealthy family and also criticising people for living in the shires (which is the majority of English people, by the way).
  • Danny565 said:

    FINAL LABOURLIST POLL:
    Corbyn 52%
    Cooper 23%
    Burnham 13%
    Kendall 12%
    However, as a sign of how unreliable that is, Tessa Jowell narrowly beat Sadiq in the final mayoral Labourlist poll...

    Though Corbyn winning is, of course, a total disaster, I do think Burnham on 13% would be rather funny.
    Burnham on 13 is just awful. I'm crying in my beer.
    Just why did anyone think he was of any use in the first place?
    He came 4th in 2010, so the writing was always on the wall that he wasn't very good.
  • Is Betfair down?
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited September 2015

    <

    I'm not sure Khan's advantage helps very much as surely most Muslims in London will have voted Lab anyway.

    Nope - ethnic minorities typically don't turn out for anything less than general elections (but some Muslims may make an exception this time, especially if the Conservatives anger them with a "racist" campaign against Khan).

    Though I still think Goldsmith is favourite, unless Labour have a big lead nationally at the time.
  • I've just stuck in the full breakdown of the results into t'header

    Means we can discuss how AV affected the result

    http://bit.ly/1geNMiN
  • Mr. Anorak, there was a rule about having at least one woman as either leader or deputy, but the simultaneous nature of the elections this time means it's impossible to enforce.

    I realise it's hard to believe Labour might have a silly rule when it comes to leadership elections, but I think that's the case.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Khan elected by Tories4Corbyn?

    @BBCNormanS: Victorious @SadiqKhan got three times as many votes from new "£3 supporters" as @TessaJowell
  • Cameron on TMS

    Slating Corbyn
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Amazing scenes on Sky News of Turkish coastguard harassing a migrant boat and firing live rounds, into the air? over their heads?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @BBCNormanS: Among £3 supporters - @SadiqKhan got 17,179 votes. @TessaJowell got 6351 . Labour being shaped by non party members.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,977
    edited September 2015
    Mr. Eagles, has he been savaged by Boycott for blasphemy against God's Own County yet?

    Edited extra bit: Mr. P, what was Khan's margin of victory?
  • Mr. Eagles, has he been savaged by Boycott for blasphemy against God's Own County yet?

    Has Cameron criticised Derbyshire?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    As much as I dislike the Tories the thought of Goldsmith becoming London Mayor doesn't really bother me. But what about the poor old Blairites? I saw a very prominent Blairite who still pops up in the media sitting on his own in a pub just a few weeks after the election. He looked extremely glum - had he read the ruins?

    I suspect you meant "runes" rather than "ruins" but a very apposite typo!
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656
    Merkel's own sister party has come out against her stupid immigration decision:

    http://www.dw.com/en/csu-denounces-merkels-refugee-policy-as-a-mistake/a-18708181
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited September 2015
    Scott_P said:

    @BBCNormanS: Among £3 supporters - @SadiqKhan got 17,179 votes. @TessaJowell got 6351 . Labour being shaped by non party members.

    I'm loving the irony of Blairites, who are supposed to make their big shtick reaching out beyond core Labour voters, complaining about less tribally Labour people voting.

    Worth noting Khan performed better among £3 supporters than he did with trade union members.
  • I've just stuck in the full breakdown of the results into t'header

    Means we can discuss how AV affected the result

    http://bit.ly/1geNMiN

    Worth noting that on Members only Jowell was in the lead from the first to the fourth round and Khan only narrowly won with the transfers of Abbott's members.

    It is thanks to the £3 members that he won comprehensively. Pointer to tomorrow?
  • DavidL said:

    Danny565 said:

    DavidL said:

    fpt

    What do the Tories want to do about Corbyn? If he is so terrible for Labour wouldn't it be better that he stayed there? Tim Montgomerie thinks this is a chance to knock Labour off their morally superior perch. Perhaps, but that in itself is rather revealing.

    10 years ago when Cameron first came along it was all about how the Tories cared too and had no less of a moral conscience than Labour did, they just disagreed on means. It would appear they've given up on that and Osborne seems entirely comfortable in his ruthlessly cynical skin. It must grate them though to have to deal with Labour's sanctimony when the reality in their minds is that Labour is just as much in the moral gutter as they are. They're just two sides of the same opportunist coin who've chosen different paths.

    Montgomerie reckons politics could be about to get ugly. That has its downsides but parliamentary democracy is supposed to represent the broad views of the electorate. If the nation starts washing its dirty laundry in the House of Commons it might at least be rather more honest than the phoney civility of the 'right honourable member.'

    You are so far off the mark with Osborne. I was referred to this on here yesterday and it is a really interesting piece: http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2015/09/ascent-submarine-george-osborne-talks-jason-cowley

    As you would expect given that it is the New Statesman it is not uncritical but his determination to dominate the centre ground and his easy acceptance of a positive roll for the State shows what problems Labour have. And that is before they elect an intellectual muppet.
    Come on, NOBODY outside the Westminster bubble thinks Osborne is "centrist"!

    The public perception of him is that he's a typical Tory only interested in the rich (moreso than Cameron who imo people think he atleast attempts to understand poorer people), but that atleast he's competent and has a clear sense of where he's going.
    Living wage, northern powerhouse, increases in the personal allowance, just you wait.
    I don't think there is any need to wait. Its 565 who is behind the times. The role of 'Tory' in this left wing pantomime (or is it 'end of pier show'?) has been understudied for a while now by UKIP and they have now kindly taken over top billing.
  • JWisemann said:

    Creasy and Corbs win tomorrow and I get a complete slate of first choices!

    So do I.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    I understand there is some interesting footage of Mr Khan at election meetings...
  • It's definitely time to be checking Cameron & Osborne for witches' marks. Nobody is *this* lucky.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Edited extra bit: Mr. P, what was Khan's margin of victory?

    14579
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    I think people saying that are comparing the share of these gangs that seem to be from each group with the respective shares of population.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    rcs1000 said:

    This also increases the chance of a Richmond Park by-election.

    Excellent news!

    Lib Dems surging here ;)
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited September 2015

    Mr. Anorak, there was a rule about having at least one woman as either leader or deputy, but the simultaneous nature of the elections this time means it's impossible to enforce.

    I realise it's hard to believe Labour might have a silly rule when it comes to leadership elections, but I think that's the case.

    Glad to hear I'm not completely losing it. Given how quiet the media and Labour have been on the issue (it's not mentioned in Caroline Flint's equality piece from last month which explicitly dealt with how bad an all-male line-up would be) perhaps it was one of those 'aspirational' things, rather than an actual rule.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046
    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BBCNormanS: Among £3 supporters - @SadiqKhan got 17,179 votes. @TessaJowell got 6351 . Labour being shaped by non party members.

    Labour are like some paralysed spider, being eaten alive, by a small, nasty and very determined parasitic wasp. Something like the emerald jewel wasp.

    www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ySwuQhruBo
    Simultaneously gross and fascinating.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Lost in a filter I shall repeat?

    Labour linkedin

    This is no time for a Woman.

    Outrageous slur!

    50% of the candidates in the final round for Mayor, and (probably) Leader and Deputy Leader were women.

    What more could you ask for?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JasonGroves1: Cameron says one Tory MP told him Corbyn was 'quite good', prompting another to chip in: 'I know, that's why I voted for him.'
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046
    RobD said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BBCNormanS: Among £3 supporters - @SadiqKhan got 17,179 votes. @TessaJowell got 6351 . Labour being shaped by non party members.

    Labour are like some paralysed spider, being eaten alive, by a small, nasty and very determined parasitic wasp. Something like the emerald jewel wasp.

    www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ySwuQhruBo
    Simultaneously gross and fascinating.
    That is the Labour leadership election.....


    I'll get my coat :D
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    FPT @ Pro_Rata who said "As best can be told, the most recent common ancestor of all humanity lived only around 2000 years ago!"

    You have your timeline off by quite a while. The current best scientific estimate for Mitochondrial Eve is 'between 99,000 and 200,000 years ago, most likely in East Africa'; and for Y Chromosomal Adam between 100,000 and 160,000 years ago. These estimates are based on mutation rates of DNA.
  • DisraeliDisraeli Posts: 1,106
    edited September 2015
    surbiton said:

    Heathrow now seriously in play. What is Corbynista view of airport expansion?

    120% for it. ! Labour must be mad not to support Heathrow expansion. Clear tarmac between Labour and the Tories / Libs / Greens.

    What could be better ?
    Are you sure about that? Has Khan done a U-turn since 16th June?

    "Labour mayor contender Sadiq Khan rejects building third runway at Heathrow"
    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/mayor/labour-mayor-contender-sadiq-khan-rejects-building-third-runway-at-heathrow-10323138.html

    Labour mayoral hopeful Sadiq Khan today came out against a third runway at Heathrow, saying that London’s premier airport should be made “better but not bigger”.

    His move opened clear air between him and Labour rivals Dame Tessa Jowell and David Lammy. He branded the pair “ultra-Blairites” for backing the extra runway pushed a decade ago by former Labour premier Tony Blair.
  • Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    Don't care what their ethnicity. All child rapists should have their bits chopped off - without anaesthetic.
  • JEO said:

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    I think people saying that are comparing the share of these gangs that seem to be from each group with the respective shares of population.
    No I think people saying that are trying to profit from some horrific crime stories they have cherrypicked to create a misleading impression that one population is inherently worse than another.

    Taking stories about statistics would refer to shares. Taking cherrypicked stories is just meaningless at best.
  • JEO said:

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    I think people saying that are comparing the share of these gangs that seem to be from each group with the respective shares of population.
    I think you're wrong.
    Blue_rog said:


    Don't care what their ethnicity. All child rapists should have their bits chopped off - without anaesthetic.

    Agree. Although this example is particularly hideous.
  • Mr. P, cheers. Didn't alter the result, then.

    Mr. Rog, what about female child abusers?

    On the wasp, another zombiefying life form (this time a fungus) is the real life basis for The Last Of Us (although in reality it doesn't affect humans):
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XuKjBIBBAL8
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited September 2015
    MTimT said:

    FPT @ Pro_Rata who said "As best can be told, the most recent common ancestor of all humanity lived only around 2000 years ago!"

    You have your timeline off by quite a while. The current best scientific estimate for Mitochondrial Eve is 'between 99,000 and 200,000 years ago, most likely in East Africa'; and for Y Chromosomal Adam between 100,000 and 160,000 years ago. These estimates are based on mutation rates of DNA.

    No he doesn't. Most recent common ancestor is not "Adam" or "Eve"...
    And is most likely from North East China or maybe Taiwan.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Blue_rog said:

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    Don't care what their ethnicity. All child rapists should have their bits chopped off - without anaesthetic.
    Rusty chainsaw dipped in vinegar?
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    JEO said:

    Yorkcity said:

    The Bus Drivers son v The Billionaires son.
    The back stories are intresting.
    I think Sadiq Khan is a good choice for London.

    Obviously not for the disgusted from tunbridge wells on PB from the shires.

    It's telling that in this post you have to twice resort to identity politics: criticising someone for being born into a wealthy family and also criticising people for living in the shires (which is the majority of English people, by the way).
    I thought London Mayor and Presedential politics was all about identity politics.?

    You stick to your shires and your rotten boroughs where nothing ever changes under FPTP.

  • Anorak said:

    Blue_rog said:

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    Don't care what their ethnicity. All child rapists should have their bits chopped off - without anaesthetic.
    Rusty chainsaw dipped in vinegar?
    Too high tech. What's wrong with two bricks brought together?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,685

    rcs1000 said:

    This also increases the chance of a Richmond Park by-election.

    Excellent news!

    Lib Dems surging here ;)
    It'll be an interesting by-election. If the government, as they should, continue to support Heathrow expansion, then I would think that the LibDems (as the anti-Heathrow party) will nab it.

    On the other hand, if there is a reversal (and either Gatwick or something else get the nod), then I think it'll be a Tory hold.

    I do not see UKIP or a Corbyn led Labour Party putting up any kind of show in Richmond Park.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    JEO said:

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    I think people saying that are comparing the share of these gangs that seem to be from each group with the respective shares of population.
    No I think people saying that are trying to profit from some horrific crime stories they have cherrypicked to create a misleading impression that one population is inherently worse than another.

    Taking stories about statistics would refer to shares. Taking cherrypicked stories is just meaningless at best.
    I don't know that many people (on here at least) ever suggested that certain ethnicities were more disposed to paedophilia. My problem with the muslim gangs is that the establishment looked the other way because they were muslims, not that I think Muslims are necessarily more disposed to commiting the crime,
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,049
    edited September 2015
    Many Cons should be voting for ZG holding their noses.

    I know we have just had one but an entitled OE who just hoovered up 50 large from his mother to help in the campaign I would say is not what the Cons need right now.

    I actually backed Shaun Bailey who is an operator and would have been perfect but sadly he seems no longer to be in the running.
  • Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019

    Mr. Rog, what about female child abusers?

    Spayed
  • Mr. Anorak, there was a rule about having at least one woman as either leader or deputy, but the simultaneous nature of the elections this time means it's impossible to enforce.

    I realise it's hard to believe Labour might have a silly rule when it comes to leadership elections, but I think that's the case.

    It's not official policy, but it is much discussed informally.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621

    Anorak said:

    Blue_rog said:

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    Don't care what their ethnicity. All child rapists should have their bits chopped off - without anaesthetic.
    Rusty chainsaw dipped in vinegar?
    Too high tech. What's wrong with two bricks brought together?
    One must move with the times. You could set it up as pay-per-view and donate proceeds to care for the victims.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    Danny565 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BBCNormanS: Among £3 supporters - @SadiqKhan got 17,179 votes. @TessaJowell got 6351 . Labour being shaped by non party members.

    I'm loving the irony of Blairites, who are supposed to make their big shtick reaching out beyond core Labour voters, complaining about less tribally Labour people voting.

    Worth noting Khan performed better among £3 supporters than he did with trade union members.
    Yes the irony of it , they wanted to reach out , but could not even be bothered to post a link on their websites .
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,391
    edited September 2015
    Jeremy Corbyn, Tom Watson and Sadiq Khan to be the three most high profile faces of Labour during the next few years...

    Could Lab have found a more voter repellent threesome?
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,686
    Speedy said:

    Thought Jowell was a shoo-in. I imagine Khan has won on the back of all the London-based Corbyn sign-ups, but it shows how utterly deluded Labour is.

    Khan vs Goldsmith, especially as both become more widely known to Londoners, is no contest. Zac should win with ease.

    What a great start to Labour's worst weekend ever.....

    Khan starts with one advantage, being a muslim in a minority city, and one disadvantage, having to prove that he's harmless.
    Goldsmith starts with one disadvantage, that he's a Tory in a largely increasingly left wing city, so he has to prove that he can fight for the interests and tastes of the locals ( Will Heathrow do? ).
    As a LibDem and Corbyn supporter, I will be voting for Zac, and I agree that he will win with ease.

    Not only is he passionately anti-Heathrow (and anti-TTIP) and independently minded, he is also very effective and personable. See his short video.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47ErRJSoPls&feature=youtu.be

    This will become more apparent to more people as the campaign develops. He should be favorite.

  • Pro_Rata said:

    SeanT said:

    Heathrow now seriously in play. What is Corbynista view of airport expansion?

    Against.
    Whilst I still prefer Boris Island to Heathrow expansion as a long-term solution, that battle's been lost. London needs more capacity ASAP, and more endless talking will just cause the London and UK economy harm.

    Let's get building at Heathrow.
    Why can't Londoners just connect through Amsterdam like the rest of us do?
    I still seriously think the new London Airport should be built near Birmingham, perhaps on a less hemmed in plot of land somewhere to the SE of the current Birmingham International. With HS2 running by would put it a little over 30m from central London (linking in to Crossrail 2) and only about 45 from Manchester and Leeds.
    And we should call it David Attenborough (London Midland) Airport.
    Well I do genuinely see where you are coming from, but I would call it the Walter Mitty London Wolverhampton Airport.
    We should extend (double in length) one of the existing runways at Heathrow but only increase official capacity by 10%. It can then more easily overcome the inevitable backlogs that occur and be more efficient. We can also build additional runways at Stansted and Gatwick and create a speedy rail link between Heathrow and Gatwick. We could improve Northolt (?) for say freight traffic.
  • isam said:

    JEO said:

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    I think people saying that are comparing the share of these gangs that seem to be from each group with the respective shares of population.
    No I think people saying that are trying to profit from some horrific crime stories they have cherrypicked to create a misleading impression that one population is inherently worse than another.

    Taking stories about statistics would refer to shares. Taking cherrypicked stories is just meaningless at best.
    I don't know that many people (on here at least) ever suggested that certain ethnicities were more disposed to paedophilia. My problem with the muslim gangs is that the establishment looked the other way because they were muslims, not that I think Muslims are necessarily more disposed to commiting the crime,
    On that I completely and 100% agree.

    Taking a news story and saying "look at the names" is very different to criticising the news and establishment for not looking at the story until its way too late.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Anorak said:

    Blue_rog said:

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    Don't care what their ethnicity. All child rapists should have their bits chopped off - without anaesthetic.
    Rusty chainsaw dipped in vinegar?
    Too high tech. What's wrong with two bricks brought together?
    Strange.. when I suggested the murderers of Lee Rigby be baseball batted, all hell broke loose on here and I was called some kind of medieval maniac. But eye for an eye etc is ok in some cases?
  • TOPPING said:

    Many Cons should be voting for ZG holding their noses.

    I know we have just had one but an entitled OE who just hoovered up 50 large from his mother to help in the campaign I would say is not what the Cons need right now.

    I actually backed Shaun Bailey who is an operator and would have been perfect but sadly he seems no longer to be in the running.

    Looking at the state of the American Primaries, I think we are quite lucky with our own billionaires.
  • isam said:

    Anorak said:

    Blue_rog said:

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    Don't care what their ethnicity. All child rapists should have their bits chopped off - without anaesthetic.
    Rusty chainsaw dipped in vinegar?
    Too high tech. What's wrong with two bricks brought together?
    Strange.. when I suggested the murderers of Lee Rigby be baseball batted, all hell broke loose on here and I was called some kind of medieval maniac. But eye for an eye etc is ok in some cases?
    I don't recall that thread. I think the difference is probably that "all child rapists should have their bits cut off" is clearly gallows humour as was my two bricks joke; whereas you may or may not have been serious. I don't know, wasn't there.
  • Yorkcity said:

    JEO said:

    Yorkcity said:

    The Bus Drivers son v The Billionaires son.
    The back stories are intresting.
    I think Sadiq Khan is a good choice for London.

    Obviously not for the disgusted from tunbridge wells on PB from the shires.

    It's telling that in this post you have to twice resort to identity politics: criticising someone for being born into a wealthy family and also criticising people for living in the shires (which is the majority of English people, by the way).
    I thought London Mayor and Presedential politics was all about identity politics.?
    You stick to your shires and your rotten boroughs where nothing ever changes under FPTP.
    How many seats do Labour have in Scotland these days?
  • New Thread New Thread

  • Anorak said:

    Blue_rog said:

    'Inhuman' paedophile ring jailed

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-34219235

    As some would say on here, 'note the names'

    Don't care what their ethnicity. All child rapists should have their bits chopped off - without anaesthetic.
    Rusty chainsaw dipped in vinegar?
    Too high tech. What's wrong with two bricks brought together?
    OK - I'm game, 'will it hurt?'
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    :naughty:
    Animal_pb said:

    It's definitely time to be checking Cameron & Osborne for witches' marks. Nobody is *this* lucky.

  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    JEO said:

    Yorkcity said:

    The Bus Drivers son v The Billionaires son.
    The back stories are intresting.
    I think Sadiq Khan is a good choice for London.

    Obviously not for the disgusted from tunbridge wells on PB from the shires.

    It's telling that in this post you have to twice resort to identity politics: criticising someone for being born into a wealthy family and also criticising people for living in the shires (which is the majority of English people, by the way).
    Where is the critisim ?
  • Anorak said:

    Hope some PBers got the 33s and 25s on Sadiq at the time. Zac is clearly not to be underestimated if he is the candidate. I'm sure most Khan backers will hedge accordingly if they have not done so already.

    My 6/4 recommendation on Tom Watson for Deputy is looking good. http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/06/10/henry-g-manson-tom-watson-should-be-odds-on-for-lab-deputy/ although as I have since posted following my pitch for Yvette that I just didn't appreciate the Corbyn phenomenon. Can't win 'em all.

    I may be being slow - or just not keeping up with matters - but isn't there some sort of rule about the leader and deputy of the Labour Party both possessing a winkie? i.e. that's not allowed. So if Corbyn wins...
    That rule doesn't apply to this election. It was a nonsense anyway and was viewed as totally impractical when running both at the same time. Another of Harriet's brainwaves.
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