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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,879
    Pulpstar said:

    @foxinsoxuk Is precisely the sort of centrist voter Labour need to attract - they'd do well to listen.

    I second that.
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    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,085

    ... garages to fix your car and a good pub lunch...

    My experience have been of chronic market failure in these two areas over the past few years!
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    What is wrong with replacing the HRA with a Bill of Rights which includes the ECHR ? And giving parliament the final say on UK laws.
    This is what the issue of renegotiation with the EU is all about.

    This just goes to show the incoherence of the Conservatives' proposals. The UK Parliament is sovereign. This was not changed by the Human Rights Act 1998, which only obliges the courts to construe legislation in a manner compatible with the Convention where it is possible to do so, and where it is impossible, to declare the legislation incompatible; such declaration having no effect on the effect, operation or enforcement of the legislation. The ECHR is an international treaty, which contains a mechanism, the Strasbourg Court, for its interpretation. That interpretation is authoritative. Putting the ECHR into statute will therefore ensure the Strasbourg Court's interpretation is followed, unless the courts are instructed to ignore Strasbourg decisions, which the Conservatives do not propose.

    If these are the Conservatives' proposals, then the British Bill of Rights will change little, and contain all the fundamental flaws of the 1998 Act.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,330

    Ghedebrav said:



    A lot of the reflexive distaste for market choice is down to crap privatisation and scandalously poor value PFI contracts (Blair/Brown Labour's one great piece of villainy/incompetence), and the the same old parade of SerCrapAtos 'public' services carried out (in many eyes) by overworked, underpaid and unqualified minions as their fat cat overlords trouser another bulldozer-load of Kruggerands from the public purse and chuckle into their champagne flutes.

    Not saying that's how it is, but it's what a lot of people feel.
    Some truth in that. My point was more that in an internet, price comparison, tripadvisor, instant choice generation people will not accept a "take it or leave it" approach to the provision of public sector services anymore.

    Despite what they say about the ideology of the NHS and state Education, they expect to hold power as users of those services, to be treated as individuals, and to be able to go elsewhere, and hold to account those who provide the services, if they are dissatisfied.
    Yes and no. Yes, users want power and a good service. No, what they do not want to do is go elsewhere. What they want is for their local school or hospital to be first class, not to have to travel vast distances. And in many cases, the consumer is not well-placed to compare services in the first place, lacking both information and the ability to assess it. Which hospital is better at the differential diagnosis of gammy knees, and do cancer survival rates correlate with outpatients clinics running to time? School A has better exam results than school B but what happens if the head or the best history teacher leaves in the five years between my child enrolling and taking her GCSEs?
    Which hospitals require patients to drink water out of vases?

    Your central argument is bogus as well, at least in many cases. For routine problems it holds true; for more complex and/or rare problems then you have to travel to see experts.

    The same is not true for education, or at least in the same way.
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    Life_ina_market_townLife_ina_market_town Posts: 2,319
    edited May 2015
    scotslass said:

    It certainly won't be a free vote for the SNP. It is hardly a matter of great individual conscience - just a question of whether you let the Scots haiting arristocracy of England return to one of their favourite pastimes of slaughtering animals in a cruel and a totally reprehensible way.

    My guess is that the SNP will find a reason to vote against and scupper the Cameron plans.

    If that is the SNP's position, the Conservatives should start using their majority in Westminster to amend Scottish legislation in areas where legislative competence has been devolved to the Scottish Parliament, and see how the SNP likes it. The Hunting Act 2004 does not apply to Scotland, and its repeal would have no effect, legal or financial, on Scotland. The SNP cannot vote on a Bill to repeal it without falling into grave hypocrisy.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Ghedebrav said:



    A lot of the reflexive distaste for market choice is down to crap privatisation and scandalously poor value PFI contracts (Blair/Brown Labour's one great piece of villainy/incompetence), and the the same old parade of SerCrapAtos 'public' services carried out (in many eyes) by overworked, underpaid and unqualified minions as their fat cat overlords trouser another bulldozer-load of Kruggerands from the public purse and chuckle into their champagne flutes.

    Not saying that's how it is, but it's what a lot of people feel.
    Some truth in that. My point was more that in an internet, price comparison, tripadvisor, instant choice generation people will not accept a "take it or leave it" approach to the provision of public sector services anymore.

    Despite what they say about the ideology of the NHS and state Education, they expect to hold power as users of those services, to be treated as individuals, and to be able to go elsewhere, and hold to account those who provide the services, if they are dissatisfied.
    Yes and no. Yes, users want power and a good service. No, what they do not want to do is go elsewhere. What they want is for their local school or hospital to be first class, not to have to travel vast distances. And in many cases, the consumer is not well-placed to compare services in the first place, lacking both information and the ability to assess it. Which hospital is better at the differential diagnosis of gammy knees, and do cancer survival rates correlate with outpatients clinics running to time? School A has better exam results than school B but what happens if the head or the best history teacher leaves in the five years between my child enrolling and taking her GCSEs?
    Which hospitals require patients to drink water out of vases?

    Your central argument is bogus as well, at least in many cases. For routine problems it holds true; for more complex and/or rare problems then you have to travel to see experts.

    The same is not true for education, or at least in the same way.
    It was the Foundation Trust status of Stafford that was the reason the management behaved as they did...

    And we still have not heard the end of Musgrove Park:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-29627011

    One of the problems of the privatisation/Foundation Trust agenda is the concealment from public view.
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    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,085
    edited May 2015

    What is wrong with replacing the HRA with a Bill of Rights which includes the ECHR ? And giving parliament the final say on UK laws.
    This is what the issue of renegotiation with the EU is all about.

    This just goes to show the incoherence of the Conservatives' proposals. The UK Parliament is sovereign. This was not changed by the Human Rights Act 1998, which only obliges the courts to construe legislation in a manner compatible with the Convention where it is possible to do so, and where it is impossible, to declare the legislation incompatible; such declaration having no effect on the effect, operation or enforcement of the legislation. The ECHR is an international treaty, which contains a mechanism, the Strasbourg Court, for its interpretation. That interpretation is authoritative. Putting the ECHR into statute will therefore ensure the Strasbourg Court's interpretation is followed, unless the courts are instructed to ignore Strasbourg decisions, which the Conservatives do not propose.

    If these are the Conservatives' proposals, then the British Bill of Rights will change little, and contain all the fundamental flaws of the 1998 Act.
    Dominic Cummings has written an interesting, if (necessarily) convoluted, piece on this issue:

    https://dominiccummings.wordpress.com/2015/05/11/on-the-referendum-1-gove-and-the-human-rights-act-cool-yer-boots-man/
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,056
    edited May 2015
    Scotland being made 'an example of' won't really do the SNP's cause much harm...
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    acf2310acf2310 Posts: 141
    That Times front page says that Burnham is already close to 100 MPs....

    It might take four months but I'd be staggered if he doesn't win.

    Kendall impresses me, but I say that as a Tory because she says Tory things.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,446
    tyson said:


    You do realise that this site is subject to liable laws.

    I am surprised the mods haven't deleted that post.
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    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,085

    Ghedebrav said:



    A lot of the reflexive distaste for market choice is down to crap privatisation and scandalously poor value PFI contracts (Blair/Brown Labour's one great piece of villainy/incompetence), and the the same old parade of SerCrapAtos 'public' services carried out (in many eyes) by overworked, underpaid and unqualified minions as their fat cat overlords trouser another bulldozer-load of Kruggerands from the public purse and chuckle into their champagne flutes.

    Not saying that's how it is, but it's what a lot of people feel.
    Some truth in that. My point was more that in an internet, price comparison, tripadvisor, instant choice generation people will not accept a "take it or leave it" approach to the provision of public sector services anymore.

    Despite what they say about the ideology of the NHS and state Education, they expect to hold power as users of those services, to be treated as individuals, and to be able to go elsewhere, and hold to account those who provide the services, if they are dissatisfied.
    Yes and no. Yes, users want power and a good service. No, what they do not want to do is go elsewhere. What they want is for their local school or hospital to be first class, not to have to travel vast distances. And in many cases, the consumer is not well-placed to compare services in the first place, lacking both information and the ability to assess it. Which hospital is better at the differential diagnosis of gammy knees, and do cancer survival rates correlate with outpatients clinics running to time? School A has better exam results than school B but what happens if the head or the best history teacher leaves in the five years between my child enrolling and taking her GCSEs?
    Which hospitals require patients to drink water out of vases?

    Your central argument is bogus as well, at least in many cases. For routine problems it holds true; for more complex and/or rare problems then you have to travel to see experts.

    The same is not true for education, or at least in the same way.
    It was the Foundation Trust status of Stafford that was the reason the management behaved as they did...

    And we still have not heard the end of Musgrove Park:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-29627011

    One of the problems of the privatisation/Foundation Trust agenda is the concealment from public view.
    Education and health are enormous sectors so it's not hard to find examples of crapness both public and private in either.
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    tysontyson Posts: 6,052
    Pulpstar said:

    @foxinsoxuk Is precisely the sort of centrist voter Labour need to attract - they'd do well to listen.

    I had a long conversation with a friend tonight. What Labour need is a charismatic leader. Chaka was the man. Failing that a solid leader with a punch- Yvette fits that bill.

    Liz Kendell might have some good ideas, but she would get hammered by the media in the long term.

    Liz is lightweight- neither charismatic nor solid.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,446
    I think that is all front pages except the Currant Bun on Sunday and the big revelation in the MoS is.....wait for it...

    Chuka Umunna is a member of the "dark-lit" M Den and has his own £300 cognac locker
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,330
    Ghedebrav said:

    Trudat.

    But gas and electricity offer genuine choice - not just in terms of price, but type of provider too. I'd argue that (with state guidance) privatisation has improved the situation. Few would argue for the renationalisation of these utilities.

    What I have a hard time getting to is how market choice will really work in, say, compulsory-age education. Choice already exists - parents can educate their children privately, home-school, start a free school or move to a different catchment area. But how do those without the wherewithal or resources to do any of those things exercise choice if their child is failing at a crappy local school? Market choice isn't an answer to that question.

    Though given that you can barely get a fag paper between Labour and Tory positions education policy (with the exception of teacher pay and the grandstanding on free schools) I'm not sure either left or right is winning the argument.

    I cannot understand the rationale behind water privatisation: it makes no sense (whereas power does).
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    If you're wondering if there's anything good to watch on telly - I can't recommend 5* right now - 30 Most Shocking TV Moments - it's hilarious. All those things you remember thinking WTF about.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,446
    edited May 2015
    George Osborne has moved to strengthen his personal, political operation by hiring the political editor of the Daily Mail James Chapman as his director of communications.

    http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2015/05/osborne-strengthens-his-media-team/

    Somebody is firing up the Quattro....
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,209
    acf2310 said:

    That Times front page says that Burnham is already close to 100 MPs....

    It might take four months but I'd be staggered if he doesn't win.

    That means the field is down to 5 at most. Perhaps 4 or less. Time for him to do some deals to get a female deputy....but which?

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    Life_ina_market_townLife_ina_market_town Posts: 2,319
    edited May 2015
    Ghedebrav said:

    Dominic Cummings has written an interesting, if (necessarily) convoluted, piece on this issue:

    https://dominiccummings.wordpress.com/2015/05/11/on-the-referendum-1-gove-and-the-human-rights-act-cool-yer-boots-man/

    An excellent analysis, albeit not wholly accurate (conflating, for example, the difficulty of repealing the 1998 Act with its effect viz-a-viz other enactments inconsistent with it and seemingly ignorant of the Supreme Court's speculations in the HS2 case [2014] 1 WLR 324 and Pham v Secretary of State for the Home Department [2015] 1 WLR 1591 about the EU law and parliamentary sovereignty. The one substantial point he misses is the objectionable nature of the defeasible rights under the Convention, whose effect is to give to judges the power to make decisions which are properly made by Parliament, or occasionally the executive.
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    volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    Now the dust has settled it is clear the only reason the Tories won a majority was by the gerrymandering of the electoral registration laws on individual voter registration.They basically cheated and one of the first items on the new government's agenda is further gerrymandering of constituency boundaries.The badgers keep changing the goalposts.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,056

    acf2310 said:

    That Times front page says that Burnham is already close to 100 MPs....

    It might take four months but I'd be staggered if he doesn't win.

    That means the field is down to 5 at most. Perhaps 4 or less. Time for him to do some deals to get a female deputy....but which?

    That rule doesn't apply btw. HenryG knows his onions when it comes to Labour party internals...
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tyson said:

    Pulpstar said:

    @foxinsoxuk Is precisely the sort of centrist voter Labour need to attract - they'd do well to listen.

    I had a long conversation with a friend tonight. What Labour need is a charismatic leader. Chaka was the man. Failing that a solid leader with a punch- Yvette fits that bill.

    Liz Kendell might have some good ideas, but she would get hammered by the media in the long term.

    Liz is lightweight- neither charismatic nor solid.
    I think that you would be surprised.

    If she is on the ballot she will do very well on the hustings circuit. Her biggest risk is not getting on the ballot in the first place, hence her being first off the mark.

    This is a serious decision for Labour and there needs to be a genuine choice. Liz is post-Blairite/Brownite. Labour should trust the process.

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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,679
    edited May 2015
    Plato said:

    If you're wondering if there's anything good to watch on telly - I can't recommend 5* right now - 30 Most Shocking TV Moments - it's hilarious. All those things you remember thinking WTF about.

    Phonebooth with Colin Farrell, MovieMix :)
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,446

    Now the dust has settled it is clear the only reason the Tories won a majority was by the gerrymandering of the electoral registration laws on individual voter registration.They basically cheated and one of the first items on the new government's agenda is further gerrymandering of constituency boundaries.The badgers keep changing the goalposts.

    If you are lucky Labour will have the first female PM next time around ;-)
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Now the dust has settled it is clear the only reason the Tories won a majority was by the gerrymandering of the electoral registration laws on individual voter registration.They basically cheated and one of the first items on the new government's agenda is further gerrymandering of constituency boundaries.The badgers keep changing the goalposts.

    LOL
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,056

    Now the dust has settled it is clear the only reason the Tories won a majority was by the gerrymandering of the electoral registration laws on individual voter registration.They basically cheated and one of the first items on the new government's agenda is further gerrymandering of constituency boundaries.The badgers keep changing the goalposts.

    Utter tosh. Labour taking Cambridge busts the myths for that one I think. The truth is the man in the Nuneaton pub just didn't fancy the Ed and Alex show.
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    I think that is all front pages except the Currant Bun on Sunday and the big revelation in the MoS is.....wait for it...

    Chuka Umunna is a member of the "dark-lit" M Den and has his own £300 cognac locker

    You can't go to bed yet. Big scoops are traditionally held back for later editions, so rival papers can't copy it.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Now the dust has settled it is clear the only reason the Tories won a majority was by the gerrymandering of the electoral registration laws on individual voter registration.They basically cheated and one of the first items on the new government's agenda is further gerrymandering of constituency boundaries.The badgers keep changing the goalposts.

    If you are lucky Labour will have the first female PM next time around ;-)
    I do hope so...
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    FlightpathlFlightpathl Posts: 1,243

    Now the dust has settled it is clear the only reason the Tories won a majority was by the gerrymandering of the electoral registration laws on individual voter registration.They basically cheated and one of the first items on the new government's agenda is further gerrymandering of constituency boundaries.The badgers keep changing the goalposts.

    ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha !
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    acf2310acf2310 Posts: 141

    Now the dust has settled it is clear the only reason the Tories won a majority was by the gerrymandering of the electoral registration laws on individual voter registration.They basically cheated and one of the first items on the new government's agenda is further gerrymandering of constituency boundaries.The badgers keep changing the goalposts.

    The poor, disenfranchised masses, having to fill out a short form to vote! The hardship of it all.

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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,330

    Ghedebrav said:



    A lot of the reflexive distaste for market choice is down to crap privatisation and scandalously poor value PFI contracts (Blair/Brown Labour's one great piece of villainy/incompetence), and the the same old parade of SerCrapAtos 'public' services carried out (in many eyes) by overworked, underpaid and unqualified minions as their fat cat overlords trouser another bulldozer-load of Kruggerands from the public purse and chuckle into their champagne flutes.

    Not saying that's how it is, but it's what a lot of people feel.
    Some truth in that. My point was more that in an internet, price comparison, tripadvisor, instant choice generation people will not accept a "take it or leave it" approach to the provision of public sector services anymore.

    Despite what they say about the ideology of the NHS and state Education, they expect to hold power as users of those services, to be treated as individuals, and to be able to go elsewhere, and hold to account those who provide the services, if they are dissatisfied.
    Yes and no. Yes, users want power and a good service. No, what they do not want to do is go elsewhere. What they want is for their local school or hospital to be first class, not to have to travel vast distances. And in many cases, the consumer is not well-placed to compare services in the first place, lacking both information and the ability to assess it. Which hospital is better at the differential diagnosis of gammy knees, and do cancer survival rates correlate with outpatients clinics running to time? School A has better exam results than school B but what happens if the head or the best history teacher leaves in the five years between my child enrolling and taking her GCSEs?
    Which hospitals require patients to drink water out of vases?

    Your central argument is bogus as well, at least in many cases. For routine problems it holds true; for more complex and/or rare problems then you have to travel to see experts.

    The same is not true for education, or at least in the same way.
    It was the Foundation Trust status of Stafford that was the reason the management behaved as they did...

    And we still have not heard the end of Musgrove Park:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-29627011

    One of the problems of the privatisation/Foundation Trust agenda is the concealment from public view.
    In the case of the member of my family mistreated by them, it was nothing to do with management or structure. It was to do with bad nursing. In fact, hideous nursing.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,205

    Now the dust has settled it is clear the only reason the Tories won a majority was by the gerrymandering of the electoral registration laws on individual voter registration.They basically cheated and one of the first items on the new government's agenda is further gerrymandering of constituency boundaries.The badgers keep changing the goalposts.

    Unless they prevented people from registering to vote (and in my area the efforts to remind people to register were extensive), I don't see how you can say they cheated. They changed the rules on how it was done, but we cannot say with any certainty how those who did not register under the new system would have voted - after all, almost everyone assumed the Tories would get a lot less votes with the system as it is than in fact they did - and even if they would have tipped the balance, nothing stopped them from registering as far as I am aware, they apparently chose not to and can have no complaints.

    It sounds like a conspiracy theorist answer to what the election was about and why it turned out the way it did.

    Future gerrymandering? Definitely needs keeping an eye on at all times no matter what.

    Off topic, I think 'It is clear that' is one of my favourite phrases ever. I use it a lot myself* and - forgive me - it is clear that it is often used in situations where things are far from clear, but to make the stated opinion or interpretation seem more authoritative.

    *'It is clear that the udnerlying factors favour Labour and that is why they will win' is likely something I said many times in one form or another.
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    Now the dust has settled it is clear the only reason the Tories won a majority was by the gerrymandering of the electoral registration laws on individual voter registration.They basically cheated and one of the first items on the new government's agenda is further gerrymandering of constituency boundaries.The badgers keep changing the goalposts.

    Individual voter registration is not gerrymandering, and the Labour Party support it in principle (see, for example, their reasoned amendment to the Second Reading of the Electoral Registration and Administration Act 2013). Nor are approximately equal sized constituencies in 596/600 seats in the UK gerrymandering.
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Ghedebrav said:

    What is wrong with replacing the HRA with a Bill of Rights which includes the ECHR ? And giving parliament the final say on UK laws.
    This is what the issue of renegotiation with the EU is all about.

    This just goes to show the incoherence of the Conservatives' proposals. The UK Parliament is sovereign. This was not changed by the Human Rights Act 1998, which only obliges the courts to construe legislation in a manner compatible with the Convention where it is possible to do so, and where it is impossible, to declare the legislation incompatible; such declaration having no effect on the effect, operation or enforcement of the legislation. The ECHR is an international treaty, which contains a mechanism, the Strasbourg Court, for its interpretation. That interpretation is authoritative. Putting the ECHR into statute will therefore ensure the Strasbourg Court's interpretation is followed, unless the courts are instructed to ignore Strasbourg decisions, which the Conservatives do not propose.

    If these are the Conservatives' proposals, then the British Bill of Rights will change little, and contain all the fundamental flaws of the 1998 Act.
    Dominic Cummings has written an interesting, if (necessarily) convoluted, piece on this issue:

    https://dominiccummings.wordpress.com/2015/05/11/on-the-referendum-1-gove-and-the-human-rights-act-cool-yer-boots-man/
    Why does this need clarification? It is in the Conservative Party manifesto; we have just had an election; surely this was widely debated in the campaign? Or did both parties and the media spend weeks talking about baby-eating and eating bacon sandwiches? Maybe we do get the politicians we deserve.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,205
    edited May 2015
    When it comes the gerrymandering, I think there are degrees. There are some changes to the electoral process (I believe gerrymandering is just about the drawing of electoral districts, but if we could use it more broadly about changes to the system) which might benefit one side over the other, but which would not necessarily be unreasonable, if it was to have the effect of redressing an historic unfair advantage to the other side. This would presumably still be gerrymandering, as it benefits one side over the other, despite being, in theory, to make things more fair than they currently were. If it had the effect of redressing that existing unfairness and going too far in the other direction to confer an advantage on to the other party, that would make it unreasonable.
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    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Lefty posts are full of delusion. Meanwhile the Tories cement their team There is a huge vaccum at the top of the Labour party, Ed has gone and Ed Balls is no longer there Its so reminiscent of the Tories in 1997
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    acf2310acf2310 Posts: 141
    The new Labour intake is very left-wing, too -- look at people like Cat Smith, Richard Burgon, and the other signatories of that new letter. Doesn't bode well for the future.
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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    Ghedebrav said:

    Trudat.

    But gas and electricity offer genuine choice - not just in terms of price, but type of provider too. I'd argue that (with state guidance) privatisation has improved the situation. Few would argue for the renationalisation of these utilities.

    What I have a hard time getting to is how market choice will really work in, say, compulsory-age education. Choice already exists - parents can educate their children privately, home-school, start a free school or move to a different catchment area. But how do those without the wherewithal or resources to do any of those things exercise choice if their child is failing at a crappy local school? Market choice isn't an answer to that question.

    Though given that you can barely get a fag paper between Labour and Tory positions education policy (with the exception of teacher pay and the grandstanding on free schools) I'm not sure either left or right is winning the argument.

    I cannot understand the rationale behind water privatisation: it makes no sense (whereas power does).
    [Most of] Wales has ended up with a not-for-profit private water company. It would be interesting to see how it compares to the shareholder-owned entities in England.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Election data:

    Eastern region:

    2015:
    Con: 1,445,946 (47.74%)
    Lab: 649,320 (21.44%)
    UKIP: 558,517 (18.44%)
    LD: 243,191 (8.03%)
    Greens: 116,274 (3.84%)
    Others: 15,374 (0.51%)
    TOTAL: 3,028,622

    2010:
    Con: 1,356,739 (47.12%)
    LD: 692,932 (24.07%)
    Lab: 564,581 (19.61%)
    UKIP: 123,237 (4.28%)
    Greens: 42,677 (1.48%)
    Others: 98,951 (3.44%)
    TOTAL: 2,879,117

    Changes:
    Con: +0.62%
    Lab: +1.83%
    UKIP: +14.16%
    LD: -16.04%
    Greens: +2.36%
    Others: -2.93%

    Swing, Con to Lab: 0.61%
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,209

    Now the dust has settled it is clear the only reason the Tories won a majority was by the gerrymandering of the electoral registration laws on individual voter registration.They basically cheated and one of the first items on the new government's agenda is further gerrymandering of constituency boundaries.The badgers keep changing the goalposts.

    C'mon, you're better than that.

    (Or if you aren't, then Labour are truly screwed for a generation or more.)
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    AndyJS said:

    Election data:

    Eastern region:

    2015:
    Con: 1,445,946 (47.74%)
    Lab: 649,320 (21.44%)
    UKIP: 558,517 (18.44%)
    LD: 243,191 (8.03%)
    Greens: 116,274 (3.84%)
    Others: 15,374 (0.51%)
    TOTAL: 3,028,622

    2010:
    Con: 1,356,739 (47.12%)
    LD: 692,932 (24.07%)
    Lab: 564,581 (19.61%)
    UKIP: 123,237 (4.28%)
    Greens: 42,677 (1.48%)
    Others: 98,951 (3.44%)
    TOTAL: 2,879,117

    Changes:
    Con: +0.62%
    Lab: +1.83%
    UKIP: +14.16%
    LD: -16.04%
    Greens: +2.36%
    Others: -2.93%

    Swing, Con to Lab: 0.61%

    Those votes are up in absolute terms, so no obvious losses to individual registration.
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,085

    Ghedebrav said:

    Dominic Cummings has written an interesting, if (necessarily) convoluted, piece on this issue:

    https://dominiccummings.wordpress.com/2015/05/11/on-the-referendum-1-gove-and-the-human-rights-act-cool-yer-boots-man/

    An excellent analysis, albeit not wholly accurate (conflating, for example, the difficulty of repealing the 1998 Act with its effect viz-a-viz other enactments inconsistent with it and seemingly ignorant of the Supreme Court's speculations in the HS2 case [2014] 1 WLR 324 and Pham v Secretary of State for the Home Department [2015] 1 WLR 1591 about the EU law and parliamentary sovereignty. The one substantial point he misses is the objectionable nature of the defeasible rights under the Convention, whose effect is to give to judges the power to make decisions which are properly made by Parliament, or occasionally the executive.
    I recommend you put those points in a comment on the article. He usually takes note and amends accordingly.

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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PickardJE: Breaking: A Burnham leadership would execute Uturn over EU referendum and call for Cameron to accelerate it http://t.co/s7dSb4j7TR
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2015
    Almost two-thirds of voters in the Eastern region voting Conservative or UKIP. Around 10% of all votes were cast there.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,205
    Scott_P said:

    @PickardJE: Breaking: A Burnham leadership would execute Uturn over EU referendum and call for Cameron to accelerate it http://t.co/s7dSb4j7TR

    Interesting move. I've thought we should have had a vote on it long before now, but I always thought the difficulty for Cameron was how well he would be able to sell a bauble from the EU leaders (and yes, any pedants, by that I mean the bureaucrats and the various heads of government) as something significant enough to justify to enough of his soft Euroskeptic base to vote to stay In, and the sooner the vote the harder that sell would be.

    Were there not rumours of Cameron wanting to move it up to 2016 in any case? In which case, Burnham getting ahead of steals his thunder, makes it look like he's bowing to the pressure, and if he doesn't Burnham can attack him for the delay.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    tyson said:


    You do realise that this site is subject to liable laws.

    I am surprised the mods haven't deleted that post.
    Out of curiosity, I'm not sure that calling someone gay would be libelous would it? You have to prove reputation damage or harm, I think (IANAL) and thankfully society has moved on
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,912
    It's weird to think that had Cleggy not lead the LDs into coalition in 2010, he may have been PM now but instead he's gone and his party is down to 8 seats...
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,056
    Chuka goes to swanky nightclub.

    I'm SHOCKED. Shocked I tell you.

    I can see why people are put off politics, papers digging round in one's affairs. "Too old for a girlfriend" decided another hack the other day.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,330

    Ghedebrav said:

    Trudat.

    But gas and electricity offer genuine choice - not just in terms of price, but type of provider too. I'd argue that (with state guidance) privatisation has improved the situation. Few would argue for the renationalisation of these utilities.

    What I have a hard time getting to is how market choice will really work in, say, compulsory-age education. Choice already exists - parents can educate their children privately, home-school, start a free school or move to a different catchment area. But how do those without the wherewithal or resources to do any of those things exercise choice if their child is failing at a crappy local school? Market choice isn't an answer to that question.

    Though given that you can barely get a fag paper between Labour and Tory positions education policy (with the exception of teacher pay and the grandstanding on free schools) I'm not sure either left or right is winning the argument.

    I cannot understand the rationale behind water privatisation: it makes no sense (whereas power does).
    [Most of] Wales has ended up with a not-for-profit private water company. It would be interesting to see how it compares to the shareholder-owned entities in England.
    Ah thanks, didn't know that. It would be good to see a comparison (esp. wrt investment), but such comparisons may be rather difficult due to the nature of the regions the companies serve.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,858
    Burnham's opponents and the Blairite MPs have started to label him “He’s Ed Miliband with a Scouse accent,” said one. via the Sunday Times.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Chameleon said:

    It's weird to think that had Cleggy not lead the LDs into coalition in 2010, he may have been PM now but instead he's gone and his party is down to 8 seats...

    I doubt Clegg would have been PM; a lot of that relies on C2s going to the LDs, which is doubtful.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,912
    Pulpstar said:

    Chuka goes to swanky nightclub.

    I'm SHOCKED. Shocked I tell you.

    I can see why people are put off politics, papers digging round in one's affairs. "Too old for a girlfriend" decided another hack the other day.
    'The revelations about Mr Umunna’s nocturnal activities come as intrigue continues to swirl over the reasons for his withdrawal from the Labour Party leadership contest, just days after throwing his hat into the ring.'
    Watch the later editions; they've got something.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,209
    edited May 2015
    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @PickardJE: Breaking: A Burnham leadership would execute Uturn over EU referendum and call for Cameron to accelerate it http://t.co/s7dSb4j7TR

    Interesting move. I've thought we should have had a vote on it long before now, but I always thought the difficulty for Cameron was how well he would be able to sell a bauble from the EU leaders (and yes, any pedants, by that I mean the bureaucrats and the various heads of government) as something significant enough to justify to enough of his soft Euroskeptic base to vote to stay In, and the sooner the vote the harder that sell would be.

    Were there not rumours of Cameron wanting to move it up to 2016 in any case? In which case, Burnham getting ahead of steals his thunder, makes it look like he's bowing to the pressure, and if he doesn't Burnham can attack him for the delay.
    I think Cameron will just say he is delighted that the Labour Party have decided to trust the voters' judgment.

    "But what took you so long?"
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,097

    Chameleon said:

    It's weird to think that had Cleggy not lead the LDs into coalition in 2010, he may have been PM now but instead he's gone and his party is down to 8 seats...

    I doubt Clegg would have been PM; a lot of that relies on C2s going to the LDs, which is doubtful.
    Anyway at the time he would have looked like a fence-sitter, and the Tories would have got their majority 4.5 years earlier.
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,097
    acf2310 said:

    The new Labour intake is very left-wing, too -- look at people like Cat Smith, Richard Burgon, and the other signatories of that new letter. Doesn't bode well for the future.

    Reminiscent of those elected in the disaster of 1983 like privileged CND-associate Anthony Blair.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,446
    It appears the Sun has found that Chuka got money from a non-dom.

    Again small beer.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    EPG said:

    Chameleon said:

    It's weird to think that had Cleggy not lead the LDs into coalition in 2010, he may have been PM now but instead he's gone and his party is down to 8 seats...

    I doubt Clegg would have been PM; a lot of that relies on C2s going to the LDs, which is doubtful.
    Anyway at the time he would have looked like a fence-sitter, and the Tories would have got their majority 4.5 years earlier.

    Yep. Really the LDs were stuck in a difficult position in 2010. I think the coalition was the right decision for them, but their political naivety led the LDs to negotiate a pretty poor deal.
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    CookieCookie Posts: 11,628
    edited May 2015
    Chameleon said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Chuka goes to swanky nightclub.

    I'm SHOCKED. Shocked I tell you.

    I can see why people are put off politics, papers digging round in one's affairs. "Too old for a girlfriend" decided another hack the other day.
    'The revelations about Mr Umunna’s nocturnal activities come as intrigue continues to swirl over the reasons for his withdrawal from the Labour Party leadership contest, just days after throwing his hat into the ring.'
    Watch the later editions; they've got something.
    I love the fact that the article reports that the club is so exclusive that Greg Wallace and John Torode weren't allowed to be in it. I respect Greg Wallace as much as the next man, but he's hardly at the pinnacle of the A list. Or maybe, in Daily Mail land, he is. Really, could the Mail scream 'Middlebrow' any louder?
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,097

    EPG said:

    Pong said:
    You can bet on its narrowing further. It's not quite true that every Irish referendum is more No than the polls; it depends on the nature of the topic. Well-debated issues like Europe poll more accurately, whereas unheard-of innovations tend to be rejected in favour of the status quo.

    Ireland is definitely to the right of the UK, religion is more important, farming is more important, there's no NHS and the state doesn't even own the schools, and the only counterpoint is that benefits are much more generous; ignore Europe which isn't an inherently left-right issue.
    Tories in UK 37% in 2015
    Fine Gael in Ireland 36% in 2011
    Erm, the Tories support an NHS which would be a major step towards socialism in Ireland!
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,446
    edited May 2015
    Cookie said:

    Chameleon said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Chuka goes to swanky nightclub.

    I'm SHOCKED. Shocked I tell you.

    I can see why people are put off politics, papers digging round in one's affairs. "Too old for a girlfriend" decided another hack the other day.
    'The revelations about Mr Umunna’s nocturnal activities come as intrigue continues to swirl over the reasons for his withdrawal from the Labour Party leadership contest, just days after throwing his hat into the ring.'
    Watch the later editions; they've got something.
    I love the fact that the article reports that the club is so exclusive that Greg Wallace and John Torode aren't in it. I respect Greg Wallace as much as the next man, but he's hardly at the pinnacle of the A list. Or maybe, in Daily Mail land, he is. really, could the Mail scream 'Middlebrow' any louder?
    You don't want Greg Wallace in your club, you never know if he might start a punch up...that or bump into one of his 6 million ex girlfriends / wives :smile:
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,056

    EPG said:

    Chameleon said:

    It's weird to think that had Cleggy not lead the LDs into coalition in 2010, he may have been PM now but instead he's gone and his party is down to 8 seats...

    I doubt Clegg would have been PM; a lot of that relies on C2s going to the LDs, which is doubtful.
    Anyway at the time he would have looked like a fence-sitter, and the Tories would have got their majority 4.5 years earlier.

    Yep. Really the LDs were stuck in a difficult position in 2010. I think the coalition was the right decision for them, but their political naivety led the LDs to negotiate a pretty poor deal.
    The Lib Dems should have either ended the coalition early - say late 2014 "We need to part ways etc etc", or have gone in fully for Coalition MK2. In the end they were trying to undermine everyone and got hammered for their duplicity losing deep targets like Yeovil and Twickenham to the Tories, ALMOST Orkney to the SNP and about 8 or 9 seats to Labour too.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,879
    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @PickardJE: Breaking: A Burnham leadership would execute Uturn over EU referendum and call for Cameron to accelerate it http://t.co/s7dSb4j7TR

    Interesting move. I've thought we should have had a vote on it long before now, but I always thought the difficulty for Cameron was how well he would be able to sell a bauble from the EU leaders (and yes, any pedants, by that I mean the bureaucrats and the various heads of government) as something significant enough to justify to enough of his soft Euroskeptic base to vote to stay In, and the sooner the vote the harder that sell would be.

    Were there not rumours of Cameron wanting to move it up to 2016 in any case? In which case, Burnham getting ahead of steals his thunder, makes it look like he's bowing to the pressure, and if he doesn't Burnham can attack him for the delay.
    I think it's a clever move by Burnham. He's clearly hoping to reap the rewards of having "listened" to the British people, but also able to ambush Cameron as a sell-out if he comes up with just a paper-tweaking deal.

    Conversely, it also has the added benefit of adding to the political weight on Cameron to deliver, and firming up the pressure on the EU to deliver a deal.
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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    I cannot understand the rationale behind water privatisation: it makes no sense (whereas power does).

    [Most of] Wales has ended up with a not-for-profit private water company. It would be interesting to see how it compares to the shareholder-owned entities in England.
    Ah thanks, didn't know that. It would be good to see a comparison (esp. wrt investment), but such comparisons may be rather difficult due to the nature of the regions the companies serve.
    Yes, that occurred to me too.

    Unfortunately, unless the private water companies are so mismanaged that they manage to go bankrupt*, there's no prospect of any change in their ownership structure. It would cost billions to buy out the Australians, Chinese, Canadians, etc, who now own them, and to whom hundreds of millions of pounds in dividends are paid.

    * Which is what happened with Welsh Water.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,679
    edited May 2015
    AndyJS said:

    Election data:

    Eastern region:

    2015:
    Con: 1,445,946 (47.74%)
    Lab: 649,320 (21.44%)
    UKIP: 558,517 (18.44%)
    LD: 243,191 (8.03%)
    Greens: 116,274 (3.84%)
    Others: 15,374 (0.51%)
    TOTAL: 3,028,622

    2010:
    Con: 1,356,739 (47.12%)
    LD: 692,932 (24.07%)
    Lab: 564,581 (19.61%)
    UKIP: 123,237 (4.28%)
    Greens: 42,677 (1.48%)
    Others: 98,951 (3.44%)
    TOTAL: 2,879,117

    Changes:
    Con: +0.62%
    Lab: +1.83%
    UKIP: +14.16%
    LD: -16.04%
    Greens: +2.36%
    Others: -2.93%

    Swing, Con to Lab: 0.61%

    Thanks once again :)

    Left/right split

    Right-wing parties 66.2
    Left-wing 25.3
    Centrists/other 8.5
  • Options
    EPGEPG Posts: 6,097
    edited May 2015

    AndyJS said:

    The Tories polled 34 votes in one constituency. No prizes for guessing which one:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/N06000004

    Who are 'People Before Profit'? Why the big surge?

    An Irish New Left outfit, won two seats in the 2011 Dáil elections and then their two winners split the party; bunch of jokers, comparable to similar fringe left groups in the UK which sometimes do ok in safe Labour seats; this should be understood as a similar case.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Pulpstar said:

    EPG said:

    Chameleon said:

    It's weird to think that had Cleggy not lead the LDs into coalition in 2010, he may have been PM now but instead he's gone and his party is down to 8 seats...

    I doubt Clegg would have been PM; a lot of that relies on C2s going to the LDs, which is doubtful.
    Anyway at the time he would have looked like a fence-sitter, and the Tories would have got their majority 4.5 years earlier.

    Yep. Really the LDs were stuck in a difficult position in 2010. I think the coalition was the right decision for them, but their political naivety led the LDs to negotiate a pretty poor deal.
    The Lib Dems should have either ended the coalition early - say late 2014 "We need to part ways etc etc", or have gone in fully for Coalition MK2. In the end they were trying to undermine everyone and got hammered for their duplicity losing deep targets like Yeovil and Twickenham to the Tories, ALMOST Orkney to the SNP and about 8 or 9 seats to Labour too.
    Agreed - their differentiation strategy was a complete failure; and after being joined at the hip with Cameron and co between 2010-14, it looked bizarre to suddenly start opposing the government in late 2014. It was like they were trying to exist as an opposition within government.
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    acf2310acf2310 Posts: 141

    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @PickardJE: Breaking: A Burnham leadership would execute Uturn over EU referendum and call for Cameron to accelerate it http://t.co/s7dSb4j7TR

    Interesting move. I've thought we should have had a vote on it long before now, but I always thought the difficulty for Cameron was how well he would be able to sell a bauble from the EU leaders (and yes, any pedants, by that I mean the bureaucrats and the various heads of government) as something significant enough to justify to enough of his soft Euroskeptic base to vote to stay In, and the sooner the vote the harder that sell would be.

    Were there not rumours of Cameron wanting to move it up to 2016 in any case? In which case, Burnham getting ahead of steals his thunder, makes it look like he's bowing to the pressure, and if he doesn't Burnham can attack him for the delay.
    I think it's a clever move by Burnham. He's clearly hoping to reap the rewards of having "listened" to the British people, but also able to ambush Cameron as a sell-out if he comes up with just a paper-tweaking deal.

    Conversely, it also has the added benefit of adding to the political weight on Cameron to deliver, and firming up the pressure on the EU to deliver a deal.
    If the deal's not great, though, what's Burnham going to say? Can't imagine him suddenly advocating withdrawal.
  • Options
    EPGEPG Posts: 6,097
    Pulpstar said:

    The Lib Dems should have either ended the coalition early - say late 2014 "We need to part ways etc etc", or have gone in fully for Coalition MK2. In the end they were trying to undermine everyone and got hammered for their duplicity losing deep targets like Yeovil and Twickenham to the Tories, ALMOST Orkney to the SNP and about 8 or 9 seats to Labour too.

    They should have vetoed any change to tuition fees. The Tories wouldn't negotiate away Trident or raise taxes on the wealthy, so why should the Lib Dems have made an equally fundamental concession? It was stupid, stupid, stupid. And I think Clegg's personal objection to the LD policy made it easier for him to ditch, but it was an act of self-destruction which his party blithely followed.
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    Sun front is not politics.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,446

    Sun front is not politics.

    But an exclusive?
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    acf2310acf2310 Posts: 141
    EPG said:

    Pulpstar said:

    The Lib Dems should have either ended the coalition early - say late 2014 "We need to part ways etc etc", or have gone in fully for Coalition MK2. In the end they were trying to undermine everyone and got hammered for their duplicity losing deep targets like Yeovil and Twickenham to the Tories, ALMOST Orkney to the SNP and about 8 or 9 seats to Labour too.

    They should have vetoed any change to tuition fees. The Tories wouldn't negotiate away Trident or raise taxes on the wealthy, so why should the Lib Dems have made an equally fundamental concession? It was stupid, stupid, stupid. And I think Clegg's personal objection to the LD policy made it easier for him to ditch, but it was an act of self-destruction which his party blithely followed.
    The huge Lib Dem problem was that most people fell into one of two categories:

    - they liked the Coalition's work and wanted to see its achievements sustained. The Tories owned the achievements and were the obvious choice,

    - they disliked the Coalition's work and wanted a change of government. Labour offered an alternative vision.

    With the exception of the 'good local MP' narrative the reasons to vote Lib Dem simply weren't there. The big question is whether they can use local messaging to fight back -- the problem they'll find is that Tory MPs work far harder locally than they did in the 1990s.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,679
    AndyJS said:

    Almost two-thirds of voters in the Eastern region voting Conservative or UKIP. Around 10% of all votes were cast there.

    I think the Southeastern region should easily top that Con/UKIP score.
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    More interesting is a non-royal calling for National Service to come back. Must be nice as an automatic Captain with no need to work in his life despite a very tenuous claim to being "royalty".
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    I'm going to clutch onto straws, and gain some misguided happiness on Liz Kendall being second in that poll!
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,205
    edited May 2015
    acf2310 said:


    If the deal's not great, though, what's Burnham going to say? Can't imagine him suddenly advocating withdrawal.

    "I would have gotten us a better deal, and will be able to work within the system better than Cameron in the future"
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    FlightpathlFlightpathl Posts: 1,243
    EPG said:

    Pulpstar said:

    The Lib Dems ... In the end they were trying to undermine everyone and got hammered for their duplicity ....

    They should have vetoed any change to tuition fees. ... why should the Lib Dems have made an equally fundamental concession? It was stupid, stupid, stupid. And I think Clegg's personal objection to the LD policy made it easier for him to ditch, but it was an act of self-destruction which his party blithely followed.
    The LDs were given the option to abstain in the coalition agreement.
    Were not the tuition fee proposals the result of a report commissioned by Labour? Didn't the coalition actually make it cheaper for the poorer students?? If this is the level of LD litmus test then there is no hope for them. Of course the real problem was their stupid signing up to the anti petition. In the middle of all this the issue of how to fund higher education when you have a 160bn deficit gets lost.

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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,097
    edited May 2015

    EPG said:

    Pulpstar said:

    The Lib Dems ... In the end they were trying to undermine everyone and got hammered for their duplicity ....

    They should have vetoed any change to tuition fees. ... why should the Lib Dems have made an equally fundamental concession? It was stupid, stupid, stupid. And I think Clegg's personal objection to the LD policy made it easier for him to ditch, but it was an act of self-destruction which his party blithely followed.
    The LDs were given the option to abstain in the coalition agreement.
    Were not the tuition fee proposals the result of a report commissioned by Labour? Didn't the coalition actually make it cheaper for the poorer students?? If this is the level of LD litmus test then there is no hope for them. Of course the real problem was their stupid signing up to the anti petition. In the middle of all this the issue of how to fund higher education when you have a 160bn deficit gets lost.

    I am not saying that the policy was good, I am saying that abandoning it was self-destructive, and obviously so. Trident is hugely expensive too, but nobody would ever expect the Tories to hand it over in a coalition negotiation.
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    Sun front is not politics.

    But an exclusive?
    Well, obviously. It is the News of the Wo... I mean Sun on Sunday
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,446
    edited May 2015

    Sun front is not politics.

    But an exclusive?
    Well, obviously. It is the News of the Wo... I mean Sun on Sunday
    Seen it now...very interesting timing....what is it they say, don't believe everything you read in the papers.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,879
    kle4 said:

    acf2310 said:


    If the deal's not great, though, what's Burnham going to say? Can't imagine him suddenly advocating withdrawal.

    "I would have gotten us a better deal, and will be able to work within the system better than Cameron in the future"
    That's the one.
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,097
    acf2310 said:

    The huge Lib Dem problem was that most people fell into one of two categories:

    - they liked the Coalition's work and wanted to see its achievements sustained. The Tories owned the achievements and were the obvious choice,

    - they disliked the Coalition's work and wanted a change of government. Labour offered an alternative vision.

    With the exception of the 'good local MP' narrative the reasons to vote Lib Dem simply weren't there. The big question is whether they can use local messaging to fight back -- the problem they'll find is that Tory MPs work far harder locally than they did in the 1990s.

    Most people have always fallen into one of those two categories, that didn't change. Anyway, it happened because so many left the Lib Dems, so that should be explained first. It was obvious that most Lib Dem MPs facing Labour were toast. There should have been no reason for people to ditch the Lib Dem MPs facing Tories. They did, in part because no Lib Dem policy would have been a reliable outcome of voting for them, at least under Nick Clegg's watch.
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    If I were a member of the M Den, I would no longer be a member of the M Den if the "manager" is selling stories to the Daily Mail. Seems that club is dead.
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Turns out Chuka who is so keen to avoid trash is a member of a trashy club. How ironic.
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    FlightpathlFlightpathl Posts: 1,243
    EU Referendum?
    Whatever Cameron negotiates we can be sure Burnham or whoever Labour put up will howl that its not good enough, but some how they will suggest a Yes vote.
    Of course not long ago they were saying that a referendum would be bad for business confidence. So lets not underestimate the U-Turn. Hey ho.
    Burnham is a stone cold cast iron certainty isn't he?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,056


    Burnham is a stone cold cast iron certainty isn't he?

    No.
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    FlightpathlFlightpathl Posts: 1,243
    MP_SE said:

    Turns out Chuka who is so keen to avoid trash is a member of a trashy club. How ironic.
    What is trashy about a ''club behind the Bank of England which sells £150 steaks and cognac up to £4,000''.
    and
    ''is so exclusive that MasterChef presenters Gregg Wallace and John Torode had membership applications turned down''
    It is so shady and ''exclusive'' and Umuna is so ashamed that he was openly photographed at it's opening last year.
    This may have been a stupid thing to do for a labour politician but hardly 'trashy'.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,209

    EU Referendum?
    Whatever Cameron negotiates we can be sure Burnham or whoever Labour put up will howl that its not good enough, but some how they will suggest a Yes vote.
    Of course not long ago they were saying that a referendum would be bad for business confidence. So lets not underestimate the U-Turn. Hey ho.
    Burnham is a stone cold cast iron certainty isn't he?

    His destiny is carved in stone.

    Just like Ed.

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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,679
    EPG said:

    EPG said:

    Pong said:
    You can bet on its narrowing further. It's not quite true that every Irish referendum is more No than the polls; it depends on the nature of the topic. Well-debated issues like Europe poll more accurately, whereas unheard-of innovations tend to be rejected in favour of the status quo.

    Ireland is definitely to the right of the UK, religion is more important, farming is more important, there's no NHS and the state doesn't even own the schools, and the only counterpoint is that benefits are much more generous; ignore Europe which isn't an inherently left-right issue.
    Tories in UK 37% in 2015
    Fine Gael in Ireland 36% in 2011
    Erm, the Tories support an NHS which would be a major step towards socialism in Ireland!
    But Fine Gael got roughly the same % votes as the Tories did! Unless you think FF, Irish Labour and SF are to the right of the UK Tories? :)
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    O/T:

    Just watched The Hunger Games for the first time, on Channel 4. It was like a mixture of The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, The Wicker Man, Star Wars, and Lord of the Flies.
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    MP_SE said:

    Turns out Chuka who is so keen to avoid trash is a member of a trashy club. How ironic.
    It's hardly trashy.

    I don't have a problem with him being a member of any club he wants to - just don't join a place like this and then bleat about 'working people'.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,267
    @AndyJS

    Liking your work. Are all these figures you're producing filed somewhere? Do you have a blog?
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    notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    AndyJS said:

    O/T:

    Just watched The Hunger Games for the first time, on Channel 4. It was like a mixture of The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, The Wicker Man, Star Wars, and Lord of the Flies.

    The first film doesnt capture the book, the second and third are much much better.
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    AndyJS said:

    O/T:

    Just watched The Hunger Games for the first time, on Channel 4. It was like a mixture of The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, The Wicker Man, Star Wars, and Lord of the Flies.

    Hahah. It's hardly groundbreaking. Wait till you see the second and third one. It just gets worse.
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