Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The likely final polls with when we can expect them

135

Comments

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @TimGatt: A new Brand of politics: "Vote Green!" "But you told us not to vote so we didn't register" "OK, vote Labour!" "But..." "Revolution!" *sigh*

    @IainDale: Russell Brand Feb 15: “Don’t bother voting. Stop voting, Why vote?"
    Apr 30: Vote Green
    May 4: Vote Labour. Or Green. Or SNP.
    Twat.
  • Flightpath1Flightpath1 Posts: 207

    Cameron 'will try to cling to power even if coalition loses majority'

    Labour fears Tories will try to form government with Lib Dems and Democratic Unionists and to claim a minority Labour government would have no legitimacy

    http://bit.ly/1K7UrEO

    '... and if you don't eat your greens the bogey man will get you.'
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,032
    The comedy value of the election campaign is down today.

    Surely there is another brilliant wheeze to be found at Labour HQ to keep us entertained. Yesterday will be hard to beat but it is a bank holiday and laughing at our politicians is one of the UK's better traditions.

    Ed, in fairness, tried this morning on the Today program but that was sad rather than funny.
  • calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    I guess this is some of the brilliant campaigning by Labour which Mr IOS was telling us about this morning. SLAB deserve everything which is coming their way, when they stoop to this level. I can understand why all the BT crew whip this sort of thing up into a frenzy, but why do the MSM play along like sheep and then don't bother correcting their rubbishy articles, which aren't even fit for wrapping a poke of chips in.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Stacks of tweets out there about labour and gender segregation in Birmingham....
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @journodave: Scottish politics in a nutshell. (Carl Court/Getty Images) http://t.co/CNZXYaqUcF
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    What's the spread on PB people that admit losing overall on election betting?

    I'll be bringing my book to the event mate - no hiding place for me.
    Ukip under 10%, under three seats and I'm an election loser!
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693

    What were you hoping for, Mr. Pong?

    Not Charlotte, and preferably male.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    Pong said:

    antifrank said:

    Excellent choice of name.

    NO

    Bad bad bad choice of name.

    Pong's P/L on Royal Baby II;

    -£78.52
    George did you too iirc ! ^^;
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,968
    Mr. Pong, bad luck.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    Alistair said:

    john_zims said:

    @isam

    'What's the spread on PB people that admit losing overall on election betting?'

    We only hear about people winning.

    I lost big on the Indyref as I cannot trade markets, I'm rubbish at it for in-play rugby matches and it turns out I'm rubbish at political markets.
    Your Scottish book looks fine to me, but mine is broadly similiar.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    isam said:

    Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    What's the spread on PB people that admit losing overall on election betting?

    I'll be bringing my book to the event mate - no hiding place for me.
    Ukip under 10%, under three seats and I'm an election loser!
    UKIP 3 or 4 seats is my best result. Over 7, especially if they are the "wrong" ones its negative.
  • Flightpath1Flightpath1 Posts: 207
    Moses_ said:

    Brand says vote LAB

    Have you been asleep all morning? There was about 100 posts about it already.

    In other breaking news, Elvis is dead.
    Mr Smithson is voting Labour....

    Didn't he swop his vote and vote differently?
    He cannot help the LD in his own constituency and has swopped it for a Labour one (I believe) on the understanding that someone else will vote for the sainted Vince.

    The LDs I have come to believe are a party with two 'heads' and no conscience.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Pulpstar said:

    Pong said:

    antifrank said:

    Excellent choice of name.

    NO

    Bad bad bad choice of name.

    Pong's P/L on Royal Baby II;

    -£78.52
    George did you too iirc ! ^^;
    I made a lot of money on the gender, then lost it all on the name.

    Damn you, George!
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    A week ago, Mr Brand, who had obviously studied the matter thoroughly, emphatically did not believe in voting and yet it only took a few minutes of one-to-one tuition in realpolitik from a politician on the make to persuade him otherwise. I do hope his (Mr Brand's) disciples are not too confused.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,504

    Wonder where all the criticism is for Cancer Research UK's women-only Race For Life event.

    Where are we drawing the line on gender segregation?

    I believe most "women's" events like this can actually be entered by men if they want.

    e.g "The Moon Walk" used to be an event targeted squarely at women, but lots of men got involved in it.
    RfL has had a lot of deserved criticism in the past for not allowing men - or even young boys - on it. The rules were apparently loosened slightly, but not that much afaik.

    Ah:
    http://raceforlife.cancerresearchuk.org/why-is-race-a-women-only-event/index.html

    Apparently they think allowing men to enter would raise *less* money, by some weird calculation. Although they are willing to use men for volunteering at events.
    There have always been men's and women's sporting events as women have very different physical capabilities. Although road running is mostly mixed but I think cross country still more likely to be segregated.
    There are plenty of races where men and women take part - all the Parkruns, for instance.
    Grr, they're a run not a race, and all lower case.

    I have done 114 but missed this weekend due to drinking too much on Friday :-( But made up for it with a decent (for me) 10k on Sunday.

    Although often multi-terrain I think they come under the general heading of "road running", although I have heard that cross-country is gaining popularity due to people starting off-road running at parkruns. But it does seem to be a strange little world mostly based around competitive club leagues, rather than all-comers events like road races.

    RfL is hardly a 'race', either.

    Congrats on the runs - wish I could do it!

    The local parkrun Mrs J attends is mostly off-road, around the grounds of Wimpole Hall. Great fun after heavy rain, especially the slopes. ;-)
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,913
    Clegg supporting Vince in Twickenham today (various pictures on twitter). Suggests it might be quite close. I've long thought so, although there's quite a bit of opposition to that view (on betfair for example).

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,656
    isam said:

    Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    What's the spread on PB people that admit losing overall on election betting?

    I'll be bringing my book to the event mate - no hiding place for me.
    Ukip under 10%, under three seats and I'm an election loser!
    You should be fine on the first, but there's a risk you'll lose the second.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Scott_P said:

    @TimGatt: A new Brand of politics: "Vote Green!" "But you told us not to vote so we didn't register" "OK, vote Labour!" "But..." "Revolution!" *sigh*

    @IainDale: Russell Brand Feb 15: “Don’t bother voting. Stop voting, Why vote?"
    Apr 30: Vote Green
    May 4: Vote Labour. Or Green. Or SNP.
    Twat.

    Brilliant from dale.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,714
    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    'People no really giving a monkeys'.

    Why is it only the Nats who insist on crow-barring the Scottish vernacular into written English at every opportunity? (I bet the author went to a good school and university.) It really is a bit patronizing and naff. I've spent decades corresponding with highly educated and intelligent Scots, and none would ever dream of doing it. Is it a confidence thing?
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    A Green leaflet pushed through door - rail nationalisation, living wage, end to tuition fees, end to austerity, saving the environment - much of content aimed at students - 6 endorsements from people under 25 - not much use sending out leaflets like it to households with kids, the middle aged. Bristol Greens not as organised as Labour or LDs in terms of profiling households, despite claiming that they are the fastest growing political party in the area.

    The Greens look like a catch all protest party from the 70s.
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    What's the spread on PB people that admit losing overall on election betting?

    I'll be bringing my book to the event mate - no hiding place for me.
    Ukip under 10%, under three seats and I'm an election loser!
    UKIP 3 or 4 seats is my best result. Over 7, especially if they are the "wrong" ones its negative.
    I have Ukip 5 or more, not confident
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Sums up his value and acute narcissism
    Scott_P said:

    @TimGatt: A new Brand of politics: "Vote Green!" "But you told us not to vote so we didn't register" "OK, vote Labour!" "But..." "Revolution!" *sigh*

    @IainDale: Russell Brand Feb 15: “Don’t bother voting. Stop voting, Why vote?"
    Apr 30: Vote Green
    May 4: Vote Labour. Or Green. Or SNP.
    Twat.

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,656
    Also, I think you'll lose the three bets you have with me:

    Cons +6.5% in Rochester
    LibDems under 10%
    LibDems under 8%
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Pulpstar said:

    Alistair said:

    john_zims said:

    @isam

    'What's the spread on PB people that admit losing overall on election betting?'

    We only hear about people winning.

    I lost big on the Indyref as I cannot trade markets, I'm rubbish at it for in-play rugby matches and it turns out I'm rubbish at political markets.
    Your Scottish book looks fine to me, but mine is broadly similiar.
    I'm fine betting on outcomes - I'm a profitable rugby bettor - I just can't live trade markets.

    I should have stuck to sucking all the money out of the Turnout 75%+ market (which was odds against for a long, long time during the IndyRef period) on Betfair rather then trying to guess the Yes/No market reaction to polling data.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,653

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    'People no really giving a monkeys'.

    Why is it only the Nats who insist on crow-barring the Scottish vernacular into written English at every opportunity? (I bet the author went to a good school and university.) It really is a bit patronizing and naff. I've spent decades corresponding with highly educated and intelligent Scots, and none would ever dream of doing it. Is it a confidence thing?
    What's wrong with allowing people to attend university who speak vernacular?
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    Hers another great pic:

    http://t.co/QrRuSXSZhs
  • Flightpath1Flightpath1 Posts: 207
    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    I guess this is some of the brilliant campaigning by Labour which Mr IOS was telling us about this morning. SLAB deserve everything which is coming their way, when they stoop to this level. I can understand why all the BT crew whip this sort of thing up into a frenzy, but why do the MSM play along like sheep and then don't bother correcting their rubbishy articles, which aren't even fit for wrapping a poke of chips in.
    Elections are where rentacrowds earn their money for the next 5 years. The National Union of Rentacrowds is urging all its members to vote tactically for a hung parliament to boost business.
    Is there a reason why labour placards are pink now - not just the women only bus?
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699

    rullko said:

    More bizarrely, milord Scriven's tweet is worded thus "So Cameron has taken to lying on Tory Maj." He seems to be accusing of lying about whether there will be a majority or not, not that he told Clegg that. Well... how can you lie about an event in the future that is undetermined? I could tell you Arsenal will win the Cup Final, if they lose it was hardly a lie.

    Yeah, but if you tell me that you believe they *can* win, that's a statement about the present. So if Cameron really believes the Tories can't get a majority, he's lying when he says he does.

    But a lie is only bad if it harms someone. How this alleged lie does that is something that reports on the matter have declined to explain.
    Either way it's not very credible that he doesn't believe it's possible. The chance of a significant UKIP squeeze on polling day is enough to give hope whatever the state of the polls.

    The EU is just another reason not to vote LD, no matter which seat. Cameron's point is the risk of no referendum is why we should vote Tory.
    Indeed its pretty plain that if you are worried about Lab/SNP or worried about no referendum, you should vote Tory.
    Not so , the EU is a good reason for voting Lib Dem , Those like you who do not care how much damage is done to the economy of this country as long as you have a referendum are endangering the livelihoods of many people .
  • indianhavenindianhaven Posts: 22
    But SPIN numbers are not determined by Analysts. It is punters money which decides the spread. More like Tory punters !

    What makes little sense is the divergence between punters betting on the seats index and the individual seats. On individual seats Cons are favourite in approx 280, Labour in 265, SNP 54, Liberal Democrats 24. The only case for backing Cons on the indexis that the volume in the seats market is so small that if you are looking for a big bet easier to buy seats, or back most seats where again possible to put on a decent size bet.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    http://www.mybuilder.com/press-release/7 Tradesmen poll Con 37% @UKIP 34% Labour 15% SNP 5% L/D 3% Green 3%
    As Tweeted by Gawain Towler
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,395

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    'People no really giving a monkeys'.

    Why is it only the Nats who insist on crow-barring the Scottish vernacular into written English at every opportunity? (I bet the author went to a good school and university.) It really is a bit patronizing and naff. I've spent decades corresponding with highly educated and intelligent Scots, and none would ever dream of doing it. Is it a confidence thing?
    Anent that 'no': you really do seem to be in a hurry to find fault with the Caledonians.

    It's actually a typo for 'not' (cut off at the side of the image). Plus he forgot the apostrophe in monkey's.

    if it really were Scots, then 'Fowk who dinna gie a puggie's' would be one possible Scots interpretation (precise assonance and transliteration determined by precise location in the Lowlands).

    As for my own use of 'Anent'- it's a good word - better than 'Re' and shorter than 'Concerning'. The Kirk use it and that's good enough for me.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    antifrank said:

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    Hers another great pic:

    http://t.co/QrRuSXSZhs
    Sean Clerkin, professional nutter. He keeps being "tipped off" as to where Murphy is going to turn up. I suspect Murphy is hoping for another egg.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,328

    Cyclefree said:

    Princess Charlotte, it seems:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-32583432

    Thank God they didn't name her Diana. That would have been like putting the blackspot on her.

    And now - as there is nothing of interest to say about a 2-day old baby - other than for her parents, of course - there is nothing more we need hear of her for some time.

    its 'Charlotte Elizabeth Diana'...
    Does anyone really care about third names? Strikes me as an elegant solution: a nod to a grandparent without becoming a chain around the ankle, to mix metaphors.

  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    rcs1000 said:

    Also, I think you'll lose the three bets you have with me:

    Cons +6.5% in Rochester
    LibDems under 10%
    LibDems under 8%

    S Thanet not Rochester?

    Rochester bet was straight con win I think
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,968
    Mr. Prodicus, interesting poll. Is it a 'proper'/weighted one?
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    "Make a note: next time the bookies are offering long odds on a baby name, check which URLs are being taken out by Moniker Privacy Services and then place your bets."

    via Steerpike, Speccie.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    2 rabid lefties on Daily Politics tmrw

    DailySunday Politics (@daily_politics)
    04/05/2015 16:20
    Tue guest of day is Lord Heseltine with @afneil @Jo_Coburn

    Smaller party interview: #RespectParty @georgegalloway pic.twitter.com/SxMEqIdSpA
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,395
    Alistair said:

    antifrank said:

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    Hers another great pic:

    http://t.co/QrRuSXSZhs
    Sean Clerkin, professional nutter. He keeps being "tipped off" as to where Murphy is going to turn up. I suspect Murphy is hoping for another egg.
    As someone was reminding us (with documentation) on the Wings twitter feed, he demonstrated against the SNP too.

    Infamous for driving Iain Gray into a sandwich shop in (I think) 2011.

  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658

    Mr. Prodicus, interesting poll. Is it a 'proper'/weighted one?

    Haven't checked, yet. Just picked it up.

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Alistair said:

    Sean Clerkin, professional nutter. He keeps being "tipped off" as to where Murphy is going to turn up. I suspect Murphy is hoping for another egg.

    This is genius

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpVJK_LtETo
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006
    Ishmael_X said:

    OllyT said:

    felix said:

    GeoffH said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    Dair said:

    Just completed a panelbase survey which appears to be specifically for Scottish VI. Possible Scottish Eve of poll from them.

    What a tiny pond the online pollsters are fishing in. Given the population size being polled at all should be a blue moon, black swan event, not something that happens twice in the first 14 posts in a thread (one of them "again").

    Sunil's proposed thread is well overdue.
    I've just done a YouGov voting intention poll too. It's my third one since the election campaign began.

    I have done 3 too.
    I have just completed my sixth.

    This is, I think, a problem with daily online polls. Has there been any research into the concept of 'survey fatigue'?

    Repetaedlt polling the same small band of respondents may severly distort the results.

    The only change I have been able to record in the six I have done is to become ever more emphatic in my answers where that is possible.
    I stopped doing them because there were so many and so tedious. I also do not see how they can avoid being packed full of tribalists and political nerds both of which groups do not resemble remotely the average jo!
    If online polls are all as useless as some are trying to have us believe do you not think that they would have lost all credibility by now and the companies concerned might have changed their methodology
    Credibility has gone, methodology changes presumably in the pipeline pending how things look on Friday?

    I don't want to add to your rattlement, but this is really not a partisan point. You have two sets of polls, phone and online, giving differing readings. One set self-confessedly breaks the very, very, very first rule of polling which is: select a RANDOM sample. The other doesn't. Which set do you go with?
    You have no more idea than I do whether the phone or online polls are more accurate - I am 100% certain that if the online polls had the biggest lead for the Tories you would be rubbishing the phone polls.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    Prodicus said:

    http://www.mybuilder.com/press-release/7 Tradesmen poll Con 37% @UKIP 34% Labour 15% SNP 5% L/D 3% Green 3%
    As Tweeted by Gawain Towler

    Labour 15%, SNP 5% is VERY telling.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JakeReesMogg: I see that Mr Rockets has publicly backed Mr Miliband. Absolutely typical of the chumpish Brand to kick a man when he is down.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    Alistair said:

    antifrank said:

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    Hers another great pic:

    http://t.co/QrRuSXSZhs
    Sean Clerkin, professional nutter. He keeps being "tipped off" as to where Murphy is going to turn up. I suspect Murphy is hoping for another egg.
    Bet it's Murphy's bunch doing the tipping off lol. They're desperate enough too. Surprised he's in Glasgow I'd have thought Edinburgh might be a better spot !
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Prodicus said:

    "Make a note: next time the bookies are offering long odds on a baby name, check which URLs are being taken out by Moniker Privacy Services and then place your bets."

    via Steerpike, Speccie.

    lol
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Mr Morris Dancer:

    Builder’s Opinions* Snapshot

    from trade (B2B) mag My Builder.

    85% of tradesmen intend to vote in the upcoming General Election

    Voting intention; Conservatives (37%), UKIP (34%), Labour (15%), SNP (5%), Lib Dems (3%), Green (3%)

    42% of tradesmen would prefer to be on a job with Nigel Farage

    60% of tradesmen think we should leave the European Union

    In Scotland, 59% of tradesmen intend to vote SNP

    *605 respondents to the MyBuilder poll run between Friday 17th and Sunday 19th April 2015

    For more information contact Ben@mybuilder.com

    No info on who managed the survey or its general bona fides. Fun, though.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited May 2015

    What makes little sense is the divergence between punters betting on the seats index and the individual seats. On individual seats Cons are favourite in approx 280, Labour in 265, SNP 54, Liberal Democrats 24. The only case for backing Cons on the indexis that the volume in the seats market is so small that if you are looking for a big bet easier to buy seats, or back most seats where again possible to put on a decent size bet.

    Not quite. It's perfectly possible for the spreads to diverge from the median of the probability distribution if the probability distribution is asymmetrical. In other words, if (to take your example) 280 is the expected number of seats, but there's believed to be a higher probability of 300 compared with 260, then the SPIN mid-point should be higher than 280. Such asymmetries can arise for lots of reasons, including most simply if there are a lot of seats bunched, in terms of swing needed, just above the median but not just below it.

    BTW those Labour supporters convinced SPIN always overestimates the Tories and underestimates Labour are wrong. It was the other way round in 2005. 2010 was a tricky case because of the Cleggasm.
  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456
    Plato said:

    Sums up his value and acute narcissism

    Scott_P said:

    @TimGatt: A new Brand of politics: "Vote Green!" "But you told us not to vote so we didn't register" "OK, vote Labour!" "But..." "Revolution!" *sigh*

    @IainDale: Russell Brand Feb 15: “Don’t bother voting. Stop voting, Why vote?"
    Apr 30: Vote Green
    May 4: Vote Labour. Or Green. Or SNP.
    Twat.

    The same Russell brand who humilated poor old Andrew Sachs about his granddaughter:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-2554398/Cruelty-haunt-forever-ANDREW-SACHS-reveals-story-Russell-Brand-Jonathan-Ross-humiliated-family-obscene-calls.html
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    rullko said:

    More bizarrely, milord Scriven's tweet is worded thus "So Cameron has taken to lying on Tory Maj." He seems to be accusing of lying about whether there will be a majority or not, not that he told Clegg that. Well... how can you lie about an event in the future that is undetermined? I could tell you Arsenal will win the Cup Final, if they lose it was hardly a lie.

    Yeah, but if you tell me that you believe they *can* win, that's a statement about the present. So if Cameron really believes the Tories can't get a majority, he's lying when he says he does.

    But a lie is only bad if it harms someone. How this alleged lie does that is something that reports on the matter have declined to explain.
    Either way it's not very credible that he doesn't believe it's possible. The chance of a significant UKIP squeeze on polling day is enough to give hope whatever the state of the polls.

    The EU is just another reason not to vote LD, no matter which seat. Cameron's point is the risk of no referendum is why we should vote Tory.
    Indeed its pretty plain that if you are worried about Lab/SNP or worried about no referendum, you should vote Tory.
    Not so , the EU is a good reason for voting Lib Dem , Those like you who do not care how much damage is done to the economy of this country as long as you have a referendum are endangering the livelihoods of many people .
    What is the point of the Liberal Democrats?

    They are not liberal and they are not democratic.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,968
    Mr. Prodicus, cheers.

    I'm shocked they haven't been swayed by the respect Ed Miliband feels for them.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,175
    OllyT said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    OllyT said:

    felix said:

    GeoffH said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    Dair said:

    Just completed a panelbase survey which appears to be specifically for Scottish VI. Possible Scottish Eve of poll from them.

    What a tiny pond the online pollsters are fishing in. Given the population size being polled at all should be a blue moon, black swan event, not something that happens twice in the first 14 posts in a thread (one of them "again").

    Sunil's proposed thread is well overdue.
    I've just done a YouGov voting intention poll too. It's my third one since the election campaign began.

    I have done 3 too.
    I have just completed my sixth.

    This is, I think, a problem with daily online polls. Has there been any research into the concept of 'survey fatigue'?

    Repetaedlt polling the same small band of respondents may severly distort the results.

    The only change I have been able to record in the six I have done is to become ever more emphatic in my answers where that is possible.
    I stopped doing them because there were so many and so tedious. I also do not see how they can avoid being packed full of tribalists and political nerds both of which groups do not resemble remotely the average jo!
    If online polls are all as useless as some are trying to have us believe do you not think that they would have lost all credibility by now and the companies concerned might have changed their methodology
    Credibility has gone, methodology changes presumably in the pipeline pending how things look on Friday?

    I don't want to add to your rattlement, but this is really not a partisan point. You have two sets of polls, phone and online, giving differing readings. One set self-confessedly breaks the very, very, very first rule of polling which is: select a RANDOM sample. The other doesn't. Which set do you go with?
    You have no more idea than I do whether the phone or online polls are more accurate - I am 100% certain that if the online polls had the biggest lead for the Tories you would be rubbishing the phone polls.
    That says a lot about you and very little about the merits of different polls.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    Prodicus said:

    Mr Morris Dancer:

    Builder’s Opinions* Snapshot

    from trade (B2B) mag My Builder.

    85% of tradesmen intend to vote in the upcoming General Election

    Voting intention; Conservatives (37%), UKIP (34%), Labour (15%), SNP (5%), Lib Dems (3%), Green (3%)

    42% of tradesmen would prefer to be on a job with Nigel Farage

    60% of tradesmen think we should leave the European Union

    In Scotland, 59% of tradesmen intend to vote SNP

    *605 respondents to the MyBuilder poll run between Friday 17th and Sunday 19th April 2015

    For more information contact Ben@mybuilder.com

    No info on who managed the survey or its general bona fides. Fun, though.

    Didn't think UKIP would be so popular with Poles?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,395
    edited May 2015
    Alistair said:

    antifrank said:

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    Hers another great pic:

    http://t.co/QrRuSXSZhs
    Sean Clerkin, professional nutter. He keeps being "tipped off" as to where Murphy is going to turn up. I suspect Murphy is hoping for another egg.
    Hmm, he's been telling the Herald that it was [Edit] members of (IIRC) Mr Murphy's constituency party who tell him ...

    https://twitter.com/BraidenHT/status/595222600441298944
    https://twitter.com/BraidenHT/status/595227303501783040
    https://twitter.com/BraidenHT/status/595228268581761024

    I wonder who those members are ...
  • ItwasriggedItwasrigged Posts: 154
    Carnyx said:

    Alistair said:

    antifrank said:

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    Hers another great pic:

    http://t.co/QrRuSXSZhs
    Sean Clerkin, professional nutter. He keeps being "tipped off" as to where Murphy is going to turn up. I suspect Murphy is hoping for another egg.
    As someone was reminding us (with documentation) on the Wings twitter feed, he demonstrated against the SNP too.

    Infamous for driving Iain Gray into a sandwich shop in (I think) 2011.

    Scary thought that Magrit Curran had a makeover done and came out looking like Izzard.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited May 2015
    kjohnw said:

    Plato said:

    Sums up his value and acute narcissism

    Scott_P said:

    @TimGatt: A new Brand of politics: "Vote Green!" "But you told us not to vote so we didn't register" "OK, vote Labour!" "But..." "Revolution!" *sigh*

    @IainDale: Russell Brand Feb 15: “Don’t bother voting. Stop voting, Why vote?"
    Apr 30: Vote Green
    May 4: Vote Labour. Or Green. Or SNP.
    Twat.

    The same Russell brand who humilated poor old Andrew Sachs about his granddaughter:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-2554398/Cruelty-haunt-forever-ANDREW-SACHS-reveals-story-Russell-Brand-Jonathan-Ross-humiliated-family-obscene-calls.html
    Also the same anti-non dom revolutionary, that while he was preaching about his disgust at the rich, the tax dodgers, those that don't know what it is to be in the real world, was popping off to the old weekend pile (£15 million worth of country pile) for a bit of hows your father with his squeeze (at the time) Jemima Khan, her of the infamous non-dom Goldsmith family.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''Labour 15%, SNP 5% is VERY telling. ''

    How will ed manage when he wants them kitchens done up?
  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456

    kjohnw said:

    Plato said:

    Sums up his value and acute narcissism

    Scott_P said:

    @TimGatt: A new Brand of politics: "Vote Green!" "But you told us not to vote so we didn't register" "OK, vote Labour!" "But..." "Revolution!" *sigh*

    @IainDale: Russell Brand Feb 15: “Don’t bother voting. Stop voting, Why vote?"
    Apr 30: Vote Green
    May 4: Vote Labour. Or Green. Or SNP.
    Twat.

    The same Russell brand who humilated poor old Andrew Sachs about his granddaughter:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-2554398/Cruelty-haunt-forever-ANDREW-SACHS-reveals-story-Russell-Brand-Jonathan-Ross-humiliated-family-obscene-calls.html
    Also the same anti-non dom revolutionary, that while he was preaching about his disgust at the rich, the tax dodgers, those that don't know what it is to be in the real world, was popping off to the old weekend pile for a bit of hows your father with his squeeze (at the time) Jemima Khan, her of the infamous non-dom Goldsmith family.
    And this is a man Great Britains potential future Prime Minister wants to be associated with???
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    Who else is heading to the Finborough for the evening btw ?
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983

    kjohnw said:

    Plato said:

    Sums up his value and acute narcissism

    Scott_P said:

    @TimGatt: A new Brand of politics: "Vote Green!" "But you told us not to vote so we didn't register" "OK, vote Labour!" "But..." "Revolution!" *sigh*

    @IainDale: Russell Brand Feb 15: “Don’t bother voting. Stop voting, Why vote?"
    Apr 30: Vote Green
    May 4: Vote Labour. Or Green. Or SNP.
    Twat.

    The same Russell brand who humilated poor old Andrew Sachs about his granddaughter:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-2554398/Cruelty-haunt-forever-ANDREW-SACHS-reveals-story-Russell-Brand-Jonathan-Ross-humiliated-family-obscene-calls.html
    Also the same anti-non dom revolutionary, that while he was preaching about his disgust at the rich, the tax dodgers, those that don't know what it is to be in the real world, was popping off to the old weekend pile (£15 million worth of country pile) for a bit of hows your father with his squeeze (at the time) Jemima Khan, her of the infamous non-dom Goldsmith family.
    People - you're becoming obsessed.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Alistair said:

    antifrank said:

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    Hers another great pic:

    http://t.co/QrRuSXSZhs
    Sean Clerkin, professional nutter. He keeps being "tipped off" as to where Murphy is going to turn up. I suspect Murphy is hoping for another egg.
    It's pretty obvious to everyone except the Scottish media that Clerkin is being tipped off by Murphy himself. Clerkin's been admitting as much to those that ask according to Twitter.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658

    Mr. Prodicus, cheers.

    I'm shocked they haven't been swayed by the respect Ed Miliband feels for them.

    ROFLMAO

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited May 2015
    Neil said:

    kjohnw said:

    Plato said:

    Sums up his value and acute narcissism

    Scott_P said:

    @TimGatt: A new Brand of politics: "Vote Green!" "But you told us not to vote so we didn't register" "OK, vote Labour!" "But..." "Revolution!" *sigh*

    @IainDale: Russell Brand Feb 15: “Don’t bother voting. Stop voting, Why vote?"
    Apr 30: Vote Green
    May 4: Vote Labour. Or Green. Or SNP.
    Twat.

    The same Russell brand who humilated poor old Andrew Sachs about his granddaughter:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-2554398/Cruelty-haunt-forever-ANDREW-SACHS-reveals-story-Russell-Brand-Jonathan-Ross-humiliated-family-obscene-calls.html
    Also the same anti-non dom revolutionary, that while he was preaching about his disgust at the rich, the tax dodgers, those that don't know what it is to be in the real world, was popping off to the old weekend pile (£15 million worth of country pile) for a bit of hows your father with his squeeze (at the time) Jemima Khan, her of the infamous non-dom Goldsmith family.
    People - you're becoming obsessed.
    I hate hyprocrites...nothing more than that.

    Brand, has got a nice gig going in the old revolutionary politics. Books, movies, youtube channel, all nice little earners, while being a massive hypocrite.

    He gets very shirty if anybody points that out though. He was charging for a Q&A session the other week and didn't like it when somebody did back to him, what he does to others, and they weren't even disagreeing that strongly.
  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456
    Neil said:

    kjohnw said:

    Plato said:

    Sums up his value and acute narcissism

    Scott_P said:

    @TimGatt: A new Brand of politics: "Vote Green!" "But you told us not to vote so we didn't register" "OK, vote Labour!" "But..." "Revolution!" *sigh*

    @IainDale: Russell Brand Feb 15: “Don’t bother voting. Stop voting, Why vote?"
    Apr 30: Vote Green
    May 4: Vote Labour. Or Green. Or SNP.
    Twat.

    The same Russell brand who humilated poor old Andrew Sachs about his granddaughter:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-2554398/Cruelty-haunt-forever-ANDREW-SACHS-reveals-story-Russell-Brand-Jonathan-Ross-humiliated-family-obscene-calls.html
    Also the same anti-non dom revolutionary, that while he was preaching about his disgust at the rich, the tax dodgers, those that don't know what it is to be in the real world, was popping off to the old weekend pile (£15 million worth of country pile) for a bit of hows your father with his squeeze (at the time) Jemima Khan, her of the infamous non-dom Goldsmith family.
    People - you're becoming obsessed.
    No just the stench of Brands grotesque hypocrisy and smug gloating champagne socialism getting up my nose!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,395
    Dair said:

    Alistair said:

    antifrank said:

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    Hers another great pic:

    http://t.co/QrRuSXSZhs
    Sean Clerkin, professional nutter. He keeps being "tipped off" as to where Murphy is going to turn up. I suspect Murphy is hoping for another egg.
    It's pretty obvious to everyone except the Scottish media that Clerkin is being tipped off by Murphy himself. Clerkin's been admitting as much to those that ask according to Twitter.
    Mr M does look as pleased as an echidna that's found a termite colony full of eggs ...

  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    If you can't be rich and support socialism can you not be poor and support conservatism?
  • antifrank said:

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    Hers another great pic:

    http://t.co/QrRuSXSZhs
    Project Fear Mark 2 - vilifying the "evil Nats" in a stage managed non-incident. Tick tock
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited May 2015
    IOS said:

    If you can't be rich and support socialism can you not be poor and support conservatism?

    Nothing to do with that...Can't bang on about Amazon and Google being tax dodgers and scum of the earth, then say BTW my new movie wovie is available on erhh Amazon...and my YouTube channel that I constantly plug and is a nice revenue stream errh owned by Google...

    And up the workers, Tory scum don't know what it is like being driven around in their chauffeur driven cars....while filming this for his YouTube channel from the back of....a chauffeur driven car that takes him everywhere.
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291
    IOS said:

    If you can't be rich and support socialism can you not be poor and support conservatism?

    You posted two intelligent and observant posts earlier today - you should try that more often and people might engage with you seriously.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Mr Urquhart:

    Brand, has got a nice gig going in the old revolutionary politics. Books, movies, youtube channel, all nice little earners, while being a massive hypocrite.
    Yes, I must say Brand does seem very much like a Labour politician - in the Mandelson/Blair/filthy rich sense.

  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,712
    Delia Smith backing Labour is not news. She backed the party in both 2005 and 2010 general elections and is, presumably, a life-long supporter.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    Mr. Eagles, if the Conservatives don't win most seats, Cameron's time is done. If they do, it's only sensible for them to try and stay in office, and to have first crack at it.

    Morris

    I thought Heath had the first try in feb 74 even though Wilson had most seats 301.
    Cameron could use the Heath as an example .
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,712
    I see Brand has come out and endorsed Labour.

    *Ahem* as I predicted on here last week.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    He is insane. What a nut case.
    Scott_P said:

    Alistair said:

    Sean Clerkin, professional nutter. He keeps being "tipped off" as to where Murphy is going to turn up. I suspect Murphy is hoping for another egg.

    This is genius

    ://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpVJK_LtETo
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Detail?

    Tories save Clegg?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    IOS said:

    If you can't be rich and support socialism can you not be poor and support conservatism?

    It is funny that people can seem to get offended by both those things happening.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,672
    That looks like the poll has Clegg in front with Tory tactical votes.
  • JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    edited May 2015
    Sounds like LDs behind but Clegg, when named, is ahead


    ...or vice versa
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    IOS said:

    If you can't be rich and support socialism can you not be poor and support conservatism?

    Nothing to do with that...Can't bang on about Amazon and Google being tax dodgers and scum of the earth, then say BTW my new movie wovie is available on erhh Amazon...and my YouTube channel that I constantly plug and is a nice revenue stream errh owned by Google...

    And up the workers, Tory scum don't know what it is like being driven around in their chauffeur driven cars....while filming this for his YouTube channel from the back of....a chauffeur driven car that takes him everywhere.
    99.9%+ tories don't have chauffeur cars. What they do have is the ambition to do well for their country, their family and themselves.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,712
    Here we have it from Delia, a lifelong Labour luvvie. You do have to hand it to the Labour press office, though. It is impressive how they make out that the same old celebrities backing the party at each and every election is a major coup:

    "Dear fellow voter,
    The reason I have always voted Labour is initially because my parents did. My mother aged five witnessed the tragic death of her 18-month-old brother because the family could not afford to send for a doctor to treat his pneumonia. Wind on the years to when I was about 7 and I remember we had a poster with a table light behind it in our front window saying 'Vote Labour for a National Health Service' in the year they were campaigning for it."
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,870

    I see Brand has come out and endorsed Labour.

    *Ahem* as I predicted on here last week.

    Actually he's made a general endorsement of anyone placed to stop the Tories (and by implication UKIP) as *I* predicted last week. :)

  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Well quite.

    IOS said:

    If you can't be rich and support socialism can you not be poor and support conservatism?

    Nothing to do with that...Can't bang on about Amazon and Google being tax dodgers and scum of the earth, then say BTW my new movie wovie is available on erhh Amazon...and my YouTube channel that I constantly plug and is a nice revenue stream errh owned by Google...

    And up the workers, Tory scum don't know what it is like being driven around in their chauffeur driven cars....while filming this for his YouTube channel from the back of....a chauffeur driven car that takes him everywhere.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,657
    Is the ICM poll a national poll as well as a constituency poll
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Pulpstar said:

    Who else is heading to the Finborough for the evening btw ?

    I was tempted; but sofa, a few beers and laptop currently polling ahead in the fox household.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,714
    Scott_P said:

    Alistair said:

    Sean Clerkin, professional nutter. He keeps being "tipped off" as to where Murphy is going to turn up. I suspect Murphy is hoping for another egg.

    This is genius

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpVJK_LtETo
    Guy with the camera sounds an aggressive c*nt.
  • ToffeenoseToffeenose Posts: 19
    Pulpstar said:

    Cameron 'will try to cling to power even if coalition loses majority'

    Labour fears Tories will try to form government with Lib Dems and Democratic Unionists and to claim a minority Labour government would have no legitimacy

    http://bit.ly/1K7UrEO

    Yes - if the Cons+ Lib Dems + DUP can get to 323 then they can form a Gov't.

    Very weak Gov't but I'd expect Conservatives to try.

    Whether the Lib Dems want to be part of such a weak arrangement is another matter, but it is perfectly legitimate.
    That would certainly need a bigger LD result than I think is possible. There will be a decent squeeze on them (IMO, of course).
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,978

    Is the ICM poll a national poll as well as a constituency poll

    The national poll is out on Wednesday
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,672
    weejonnie said:

    IOS said:

    If you can't be rich and support socialism can you not be poor and support conservatism?

    Nothing to do with that...Can't bang on about Amazon and Google being tax dodgers and scum of the earth, then say BTW my new movie wovie is available on erhh Amazon...and my YouTube channel that I constantly plug and is a nice revenue stream errh owned by Google...

    And up the workers, Tory scum don't know what it is like being driven around in their chauffeur driven cars....while filming this for his YouTube channel from the back of....a chauffeur driven car that takes him everywhere.
    99.9%+ tories don't have chauffeur cars. What they do have is the ambition to do well for their country, their family and themselves.

    Sounds like 99.9% of Labour supporters too. And LibDems and UKIPers for that matter. Not so sure about Greens :-)



  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,657

    Is the ICM poll a national poll as well as a constituency poll

    The national poll is out on Wednesday
    Thanks for the info
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    It'd be funny as hell if CLegg went behind when named. But I suspect the name "Nicholas Clegg" gives him 2 or 3% from EVERYWHERE, not just specifically Tactical Tories.
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656
    Congratulations to Princess Charlotte Elizabeth Diana!
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,175
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,037
    I'm guessing that the Sheffield Hallam poll will show either Clegg or the Labour guy very slightly ahead.
    We'll have howls of "He's lost"/"He made it", depending on which way round it is, if so. Most people will assume that it's actually too close to call.

    If, however, it really is "interesting", one or the other will be 10+ ahead. And we'll wonder if it being on a Bank Holiday weekend might have influenced it.

    Ah, I'm finally all polled out. It's somewhere between a 2 point Labour lead and a 4 point Tory lead, probably a thin Tory lead. UKIP have faded somewhat but aren't defunct. The Lib Dems are just under 10 percent and the Greens didn't break through.

    There may or may not be incumbency bonuses; there may or may not be a late swing in either direction. Neither is likely to be irrefutably shown in polls. We've very probably got all the data we're going to get until the exit poll - which will, itself be more uncertain than ever.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    Scott_P said:

    @journodave: Scottish politics in a nutshell. (Carl Court/Getty Images) http://t.co/CNZXYaqUcF

    Scott,no wonder some supporters of the Union are shy to say what they believe.
    Nationalism can get violent and ugly .
    Some of them hardly have a civic nationalism ethic.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,032
    In the unlikely event that Brand had endorsed the Tories I would have paused and reflected about what I had missed. I wonder if he is actually on the electoral roll?
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656
    EPG said:

    malcolmg said:

    calum said:

    malcolmg said:

    BBC reporting that Jim Murphy is campaigning in Glasgow with comedian Eddie Izzard..!

    Hmmm. - Not the luckiest talisman I’d have thought.

    getting a real barracking as well , and whinging that it must be the SNP, what a plank.
    As I'm following various BT hacks and supporters my Twitter went into a BT Project Fear Meltdown when Jim and Eddie were shouted at by 4 protestors. Having tracked down the footage as far as I can tell the main pushing and shoving was being done by SLAB activists, who were manhandling some chap with a loudhailer:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32580153

    All I can say is before Twittering condemnation of violence on the streets of Glasgow best to view the evidence first, I guess the BT/MSM mantra of why let the facts get in the way of a story is alive and well.

    These guys have obviously never been on a night out in Glasgow or better still attended an Orange Lodge march, then they could form a better view of what constitutes violence on the streets of Glasgow.
    Murphy will try anything , you can guarantee it was stage managed. Murphy and his fake crowd as usual.
    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/595235989888499712
    'People no really giving a monkeys'.

    Why is it only the Nats who insist on crow-barring the Scottish vernacular into written English at every opportunity? (I bet the author went to a good school and university.) It really is a bit patronizing and naff. I've spent decades corresponding with highly educated and intelligent Scots, and none would ever dream of doing it. Is it a confidence thing?
    What's wrong with allowing people to attend university who speak vernacular?
    Vernacular or not, "monkeys" should have an apostrophe.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    edited May 2015
    Yorkcity said:

    Scott_P said:

    @journodave: Scottish politics in a nutshell. (Carl Court/Getty Images) http://t.co/CNZXYaqUcF

    Scott,no wonder some supporters of the Union are shy to say what they believe.
    Nationalism can get violent and ugly .
    Some of them hardly have a civic nationalism ethic.
    He got tipped off where they were going by the East Renfrewshire Labour party !

    This is like when celebrities get "caught out" by the Paparazzi as they get out a Taxi at 3 AM. Murphy needs idiots like this to follow him around for desperate publicity.
This discussion has been closed.