Of the people I know who voted NO in the indyref, most have agreed with me when I've said that a CON-LAB-LD coalition at Holyrood would be preferable to government by SNP (or SNP-GRN). They agreed with this in September, and they agree with it now.
I'm sure there will be a lot of anti-SNP tactical voting on 7 May. Of different kinds. I know of a lady in the Western Isles for example whose favourite party is UKIP and who would vote for them if it weren't for the fact that the only sensible way to vote in that constituency if you want to keep the SNP out is LAB.
Maybe there's a "shy tactical voter" effect on the polls?
If LAB are doing a 'slow build' and then a 'wham wham wham in the last week' in Scotland, it's risky in the sense of motivating their own activists, but it might be clever in the circumstances - and in some constituencies this is what the LABby NO-ers did for the indyref. SNP seat numbers may be a sell.
Weather forecast for next Thursday "High pressure builds to the southeast of the country through Thursday. This brings good spells of sunshine and plenty of dry weather. Some showers for western Scotland and the west of Ireland. Tops near 10 to 16C."
Fine weather - does that benefit Labour or the Tories?
Low confidence about the weather on Thursday.
ECMWF has it rather unsettled away from the extreme south.
Comments
All Labour.
I'm sure there will be a lot of anti-SNP tactical voting on 7 May. Of different kinds. I know of a lady in the Western Isles for example whose favourite party is UKIP and who would vote for them if it weren't for the fact that the only sensible way to vote in that constituency if you want to keep the SNP out is LAB.
Maybe there's a "shy tactical voter" effect on the polls?
ECMWF has it rather unsettled away from the extreme south.
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1441.gif.
PS - Not turning this blog into Netweather by the way!