Categories
Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The March PB Polling Average: it’s still neck-and-neck
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The March PB Polling Average: it’s still neck-and-neck
That cloud looks like a tree. Or a bird. Or a flower. It’s human nature to see patterns in chaos and further, to try to rationalise and explain those patterns. Hence earthquakes are still archaically ‘acts of God’. Hence also the interpretation of the four point Labour lead in the YouGov poll published after the Cameron-Miliband interviews and Q&A as a Miliband ‘win’.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
http://www.labour.org.uk/people/detail/thangam-debbonaire
No direct or indirect references to the incumbent LD Steven Williams, yet 2 or 3 oblique comments about Tory/Lib Dem government or coalition. Given the ambiguity of the use of 'a straight choice between Labour Government fighting for you, your family & the NHS or five more years of Conservatives', it is hard to see the Tories as challengers to Labour. (2010 result - 48% LDs, Labour 27.5%, Conservative 18.4%).
There is no reference to The Greens on any of the pages.
Thangam Debbonaire did include a photo of her showing Ed Miliband the delightful shops of Gloucester Road. Someone whom many other Lab candidates seem to reluctant to use. Noticed that the business woman who backs her, happens to be the wife of a Labour Councillor and past Lord Mayor of Bristol.
Will be interested to see if Labour actually attack Williams and LDs record more directly.
1. How many people giving donations to Labour were given honours by Labour;
2. Which party honoured the megalomaniac CEO of a bank which nearly brought down the economy and is costing all of us a packet;
3. Which party was investigated by the police over "cash for honours"; and
4. Which party has the distinction of providing the first serving Prime Minister to be interviewed under caution while still in office.
His associates told the police, Blair would resign if he was questioned under caution.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1546588/Police-told-Blair-would-resign-if-cautioned.html
I cannot even begin to imagine how life is to worship people like Clarkson, admire Osborne, to hate lefties because they are either scroungers or hypocrites and to be constantly on the side of the rich getting richer. I don't think compassionate conservatism exists anymore- I can't see it. Instead we have this vile, ideological, egotistical group of wealthy individuals who play to the lowest common denominator.
As to the business, support letter- 103, narcissistic, self serving, self interested, self important group. We've made money, we're better than you.
What about a letter from the thousands of people affected by the bedroom tax. A letter by the tens of thousands hit by food banks. A letter by tens of thousands of the mentally ill victimised by the welfare reforms. The thousands of additional homeless.
They talk today about zero hour contracts. It's only 700,000 and only about 500,000 are properly exploited. Well that 500,000 is a damn site bigger than the 103 narcissists today.
Nope, that is highly improbable that Tsipras is going to leave his own party in order to go to bed with Samaras, your sources might have confused Tsipras with Ramsey MacDonald.
Plus, the liberal opposition is weak, he will need to take with him at least 50 MP's from his own party and I don't believe that he can take more than a dozen with a such a blatant act as that, also he will lose the PM's office to Samaras.
My sources have not told me anything similar, except perhaps that he might go for early elections or a referendum to reaffirm whatever the government decides.
http://m.brentwoodgazette.co.uk/EXCLUSIVE-Shock-hardcore-porn-filmed-Epping-Ongar/story-26260034-detail/story.html
:-)
Whatever happens I hope the Greeks have figured out how to run elections as cheaply as possible while keeping them run well - they are certainly getting good practice.
However an early election or a referendum is a real possibility if the deal is unpopular or there is no deal at all.
I don't know what the results of an early election will be, but a reasonable guess is that, whatever happens until the summer, the liberal parties will decline further with PASOK perhaps not being able to pass the 3% threshold.
The government might get a few more seats and the opposition will be further fragmented and weakened.
In a referendum if there is a deal it will certainly pass, if there is no deal the result will be a close one.
Cracking stuff. There's life in the local press yet.
It would be a truly messed up situation if Tsipras tried to go it without the majority of his party and tried to push a reform package through without the majority of SYRIZA and all of the Independent Greeks. I find it hard to believe that a reform package would make it through the Greek parliament, new elections would have to be called and SYRIZA with a new anti-austerity leader would undoubtedly win and we would end up in the same situation.
Second class, first class, and then orgy class.
Edit: it reminds me of an (apocryphal?) story where a couple on a busy train had sex, and people only complained when they lit cigarettes post coitus.
Labour has been banging the anti-business drum for 5 years nearly, they can't really be surprised that they have lost a lot of support in that area.
The blue team have gone nuclear to ensure I win my money off isam.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32152002?ns_mchannel=social&ns_campaign=bbc_politics&ns_source=twitter&ns_linkname=news_central
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MH0K_XIIBow
I'll let you work that one out.
I claim my prize
Gotta love them typos....
Were he to win, well it'll be a busy night, and I won't be able to do a dedicated thread to any one seat.
Labour offers counterpunch to Daily Telegraph business letter
Party produces grassroots-leaning response signed by mixed group of actors, businessmen, writers, nurses and a host of low-paid workers
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/apr/01/labour-offers-counterpunch-to-daily-telegraph-business-letter
"They talk today about zero hour contracts. It's only 700,000 and only about 500,000 are properly exploited. Well that 500,000 is a damn site bigger than the 103 narcissists today."
I used to do some work with Shelter and about half the organization believed that it's very existence was counter productive in that 750,000 homeless walking down Whitehall would be more effective than any influence Shelter's money could buy.
What you've suggested is exactly what should happen. Hundreds of thousands of letters from people who aren't titled multi billionaire Captains of Industry. Maybe just the homeless and the disabled and then we'll see what the country make of these self important leeches.
Interesting statistic from BigjohnOwls that 20% have been given titles by Cameron. Quite a cheap testimonial
PS What happened to Osborne's elocution lessons? He's started sounding like a smug Bullingdon Boy again
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/files/2010/12/buller.jpg
Ed M has sent for Mr. Peter Duncan.
Miliband will be in the centre flanked by Farage on his left and Cameron on his right from the audience point of view.
*unless it's a whopping Tory lead, in which case Gold Standard
The off-beat element is this outfit, who are standing here and in Sherwood and one other E Mids seat:
https://j4mb.wordpress.com/
Saturday night was hilarious.
That would also explain his unpopularity in the Conservative party.
Atul Hatwal @atulh
Labour’s response to the Tories’ business letter has been an epic act of political self-harm -Me on a defining moment http://labour-uncut.co.uk/2015/04/01/labours-response-to-the-tories-business-letter-has-been-an-epic-act-of-political-self-harm/#more-19465 …
I remember when the broadsheets atleast pretended to be objective.
In Thanet S:
My 12 year old is saving every leaflet for a school project (good to see they are taking an interest!!)
so far -5 (yes- five) Conservative
4 UKIP
No others that i am aware of.
Tuesday morning recycling in the village is a sea of blue and purple !!
C 3, L 0, LD 0, Other 0
Presume one of the goose eggs will be broken on Friday then post the debate?