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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086

    WTF has this got to with David Miliband? Time to move on

    If only. Still, the more they bring that up, the better I feel about Ed, so maybe for Labour's sake they should bring it up more.
    tlg86 said:

    Out of order from Paxo - he knew that would be on air.

    Yes, that did seem designed to leave an impression however Ed had done.
    saddened said:

    I wonder if rosaree, will be along soon to tell us by how much Ed, cleared the low bar set by Dave?

    Ed was so sincere, earnest and charismatic I almost collapsed in paroxysms of excitement at the prospect of a stonking Labour majority.
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,064

    Speedy said:

    Miliband successfully slapped Paxman on the toughness question using Syria.

    So tough he stood up to a nice friendly soft-left democratic American leader rather than nasty scary Putin.
    Disagree. It's much harder to stand up to Obama than Putin. He's the world's most powerful man and Britain has far more potentially to lose than from alienating Putin. If you instead think politics is wrestling that's up to you.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    I think both will be pleased that was on a minor channel and way before the GE.
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    BenMBenM Posts: 1,795
    We need Paxman more - very very thorough on both leaders.

    And Ed..? I cringed a bit at times. But reaction online looks positive. Think Paxman a touch too personal.
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    MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,238
    Freggles said:

    Very personal from Paxo. Where were the questions like that for his mate Dave

    Thought he was far more agressive than for Cameron.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,379
    Hodges being complimentary about Miliand!
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    isamisam Posts: 41,028

    Mic still on when Paxman asks, "Are you ok, Ed?"

    And we have a new headline....
    He should've done a Kinnock

    "Im alrigghht!!!"

    Cant think on his feet
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Danny565 said:

    Is this sarcasm? :P

    No. Most people I follow think Ed came out best.

    Farage also calls it for Ed as it happens
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Miliband won.
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    currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171
    Speedy said:

    On the Paxman segment Miliband did a 5/10, better than Cameron.

    So in total Miliband did a 6.5/10.
    Better than Cameron and far better than expected.

    The audience were laughing at him
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,021

    Freggles said:

    Very personal from Paxo. Where were the questions like that for his mate Dave

    Thought he was far more agressive than for Cameron.
    Not helped by the open mic event at the end.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,450
    Freggles said:

    Very personal from Paxo. Where were the questions like that for his mate Dave

    Thought he overdid that to be honest. But I suppose Ed himself is an issue.
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    New Thread
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Tim Stanley @timothy_stanley · 3m 3 minutes ago
    Ed Miliband won. And must've earned a lot of respect. #BattleForNumber10
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SunPolitics: YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Tories ahead by two: CON 36, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 13, GRN 5
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    TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    Freggles said:

    Very personal from Paxo. Where were the questions like that for his mate Dave

    Miliband and Paxman are mates. Neighbouring villas on Greek holidays.
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    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,329

    'Are you alright Ed?' From Paxman , on an open mic.

    What was Ed's reply?
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,450

    Cameron: statesmanlike, calm, measured if a touch arrogant but still very assured

    Miliband: dreadful with the audience. Mauled first half by Paxo then picked up only to be floored by the final bit caught on mic which will make the news wires.

    Scores on the doors out of 10

    Cameron 8

    Miliband 3

    It was much closer than that. I would have said 7:5 to Cameron.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,645
    Cam 5/10
    Ed 4/10

    Neither impressed. Dave stayed on message better though. Ed improved at the end and dealt with the personal stuff well, made him look a bit better.
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    GrandioseGrandiose Posts: 2,323

    'Are you alright Ed?' From Paxman , on an open mic.

    What was Ed's reply?
    "Yes, are you?" - not a bad reply, to be honest!
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    William_HWilliam_H Posts: 346
    Paxman definitely wanted to get Milliband, but Milliband stood up well. The audience was on his side after a while
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    compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    Maybe Cameron was right after all to run away from a head to head with Ed.

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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,320
    YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Tories ahead by two: CON 36, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 13, GRN 5
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    Guardian verdict....Ed was awesome and think their poll will say so too...lets see what the panel say...
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,214

    Freggles said:

    Very personal from Paxo. Where were the questions like that for his mate Dave

    Thought he was far more agressive than for Cameron.
    Cameron is better at managing Paxo with his answers. Ed's responses were a bit short and allowed Paxo back in. But I agree, Paxo came across as a bit of knob.
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    nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    Speedy said:

    On the Paxman segment Miliband did a 5/10, better than Cameron.

    So in total Miliband did a 6.5/10.
    Better than Cameron and far better than expected.

    Fuck me what were you actually expecting! Anyone who votes for that prick should be sent straight to the nearest asylum!
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,021

    'Are you alright Ed?' From Paxman , on an open mic.

    What was Ed's reply?
    "I'm alright, are you Jeremy" (along those lines"
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,909
    My summary of the Ed half was good with the audience bit.

    Crap at the start of Paxo bit really good at the end of the Paxo bit.

    Didn't see Dave at all but even DH thought Ed was better with Paxo

    Any relatively impartial observers like David L or Pulpstar/TSE like to give us their views
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Just remember that twitter is institutionally left of centre in meme.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086
    edited March 2015
    Turned off now, I assume there will be the usual faffe from broadcasters after these things, saying nothing.

    The definitive verdict:

    Cameron - 6 out of 10. Started poorly, but recovered and had some bloody easy questions thrown at him.

    Ed M - 5 out of 10. Interviewed worse generally, and had tougher questions from the audience, but the tougher questions gave him more of a chance to say things at least closer to substance, and he sounded ok.
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    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    Really all rather boring.

    Tough finish for @Ed_miliband according to the #SunNation worm #BattleforNumber10 pic.twitter.com/oahpCEF7fq

    — Guido Fawkes (@GuidoFawkes) March 26, 2015
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Ed Miliband did a Jean Chretien and won, precisely as I advised.
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @nigel4england
    " Anyone who votes for that prick should be sent straight to the nearest asylum! "

    Thank you for your considered and balanced response, it aids my understanding a great deal.
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    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012

    OT - it may be me, the onset of arthritis or senility but I discovered that I have a strange keyboard. Whatever key I hit it comes up with a random letter. If the Germans had my laptop they would have won the war and Benedict Cumberbatch would be receiving awards in New Berlin for portraying the life story of Albert Speer

    If that is the case FP then this posting from you is clearly proof of the infinite monkey theory because your random letters have formed a completely coherent sentence. :-)
    It is so that I am reduced - the front room is full of them as is the front room inside the front room ... ;-)

    Sadly my time is more spent editing that typing. I predict a NJS ctisis in 20ntears
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Speedy said:

    Ed Miliband did a Jean Chretien and won, precisely as I advised.

    Labour supporter talks to himself on repeat on repeat on repeat ;-)
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    SeanT said:

    @SunPolitics 1m1 minute ago
    YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Tories ahead by two: CON 36, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 13, GRN 5

    WOW - a big bounce for Cameron immediately after the interviews - proves he did better /joke>
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    BenMBenM Posts: 1,795
    Election over. Katie Hopkins has threatened to leave if Labour win the election. Landslide beckons.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086
    Grandiose said:

    'Are you alright Ed?' From Paxman , on an open mic.

    What was Ed's reply?
    "Yes, are you?" - not a bad reply, to be honest!
    True enough - Voice was a bit strained when giving it, I presume out of annoyance. (and I clarify that I have zero problems with Ed's voice generally - I have a boss who is a vocal doppleganger for Ed, so Ed sounds plenty authoritative to me)
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,716

    Speedy said:

    Miliband successfully slapped Paxman on the toughness question using Syria.

    So tough he stood up to a nice friendly soft-left democratic American leader rather than nasty scary Putin.
    Disagree. It's much harder to stand up to Obama than Putin. He's the world's most powerful man and Britain has far more potentially to lose than from alienating Putin. If you instead think politics is wrestling that's up to you.
    Sorry, that's bollocks.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086
    UKIP verdict - Not enough Farage.
    SNP verdict - *Smug scoff*
    LD verdict - Christ, better out than in
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Looking at the SUN worm, Miliband won marginally.
    http://www.sunnation.co.uk/the-leaders-interviews-twerdict/
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    MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,238

    Speedy said:

    Ed Miliband did a Jean Chretien and won, precisely as I advised.

    Labour supporter talks to himself on repeat on repeat on repeat ;-)
    From you of all people!
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,539
    Geoffrey Robinson (Lab, Coventry) in shock resignation (per BBC Midlands)
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    nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    Smarmeron said:

    @nigel4england
    " Anyone who votes for that prick should be sent straight to the nearest asylum! "

    Thank you for your considered and balanced response, it aids my understanding a great deal.

    If you genuinely think that man is fit to run the country then you should be sectioned.
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @Speedy
    The Sun is a lefty communist rag though? We need to wait for the "gold standard" verdict.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Sky's Faisal Islam called it for Miliband.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,539
    SeanT said:

    @SunPolitics 1m1 minute ago
    YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Tories ahead by two: CON 36, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 13, GRN 5

    Outlier! The only other Tory lead this week so far was the Times YG megapoll.
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    notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    Speedy said:

    Looking at the SUN worm, Miliband won marginally.
    http://www.sunnation.co.uk/the-leaders-interviews-twerdict/

    I think the PM will be happy with a marginal win for Miliband.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086
    I know I tend to gravitate toward a position of sitting on the fence, but I am surprised our twitchy media personalities are bold enough to call that for one side or another really, given how tight the polls are and everything, figured they'd all give non-answers.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2015
    SeanT said:

    Speedy said:

    Looking at the SUN worm, Miliband won marginally.
    http://www.sunnation.co.uk/the-leaders-interviews-twerdict/

    They look identical to me.

    I stand by my prediction that this will shift not a single vote. I do believe Cameron should have debated Miliband man to man, as I now think he could have won, so significantly, as to even earn a majority. Miliband shrivels in front of a crowd.

    Too late now.
    That's why I say marginally because it was a difference of a couple of points out of 400 points.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,214
    Good, Farage on Sky.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    ICM calls it marginally for Cameron by 54-46.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086
    Well, that was reasonably diverting for an evening. I assume nothing but the interviews will be talked of for a week, given how overly impactful things like these and debates are, according to some. While simultaneously meaning nothing if one person 'wins' or 'loses' of course.

    In all honesty, would have preferred a debate, but I'll take what political theatre I can get - unlike lucky buggers in the marginals, I don't get much in the way of theatre or substance.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    SeanT said:

    And.... I was right

    .Andrew Neil retweeted
    AndrewSparrow ‏@AndrewSparrow 44s44 seconds ago
    Cameron wins #BattleForNumber10, just - Guardian ICM polls shows Cameron 54%, Miliband 46% on who won - http://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2015/mar/26/election-2015-david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman-live-updates#block-55148a15e4b0b1a24cd21269

    No you were not, you said that Miliband did much worse.
    A 54-46 divide is does not equal Miliband being terrible as you said.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086
    notme said:

    Speedy said:

    Looking at the SUN worm, Miliband won marginally.
    http://www.sunnation.co.uk/the-leaders-interviews-twerdict/

    I think the PM will be happy with a marginal win for Miliband.
    So he won't be disappointed by the GE result then? That's nice for him.
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    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    SeanT said:

    @SunPolitics 1m1 minute ago
    YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Tories ahead by two: CON 36, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 13, GRN 5

    The 36 for Con could be quite significant. The tories have been laying siege to 36 for a while. Its fair to say they are desperate to retake the lost bastion. There has been the odd breach in the defences, it has been attacked from various directions, always forced back by Lab deploying hurried reserves. Will there be a breakthrough? Are the defenders reserves exhausted; can they fight on two fronts? Is the semi colon your friend or enemy.

    Meantime in latest news the search is on for the lost body of Henry I. Reading Tourist Board out tomorrow with the ground radar.
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    MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    FWIW my unbiased verdict with no axe to grind

    Cameron 5/10
    Miliband 5.5/10
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2015
    SeanT said:

    Speedy said:

    SeanT said:

    And.... I was right

    .Andrew Neil retweeted
    AndrewSparrow ‏@AndrewSparrow 44s44 seconds ago
    Cameron wins #BattleForNumber10, just - Guardian ICM polls shows Cameron 54%, Miliband 46% on who won - http://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2015/mar/26/election-2015-david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman-live-updates#block-55148a15e4b0b1a24cd21269

    No you were not, you said that Miliband did much worse.
    A 54-46 divide is does not equal Miliband being terrible as you said.
    HAHAHAHAH. Heh.
    What did you expect from the post debate poll?
    A 70-30 for Cameron?

    The weird looking nerdy Ed checked Cameron on TV, doing much better that everyone expected.
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    SeanT said:

    BBC's Allegra Stratton: "clear win for Ed Miliband"

    Now either she is a Labour shill or she is just a lefty who cannot see the trees OR I have read this very wrong.

    Because, to me, in all honesty, Ed did significantly worse. And I cordially abhor both of them.

    We shall see.

    I suspect that the BBC might have £4 billion reasons to build up Labour for this election. After all if they've ordered the champagne bottles for May 8th they have to hope that they will use them.
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Speedy said:

    SeanT said:

    And.... I was right

    .Andrew Neil retweeted
    AndrewSparrow ‏@AndrewSparrow 44s44 seconds ago
    Cameron wins #BattleForNumber10, just - Guardian ICM polls shows Cameron 54%, Miliband 46% on who won - http://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2015/mar/26/election-2015-david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman-live-updates#block-55148a15e4b0b1a24cd21269

    No you were not, you said that Miliband did much worse.
    A 54-46 divide is does not equal Miliband being terrible as you said.
    Hollande absolutely thrashed Sarkozy 52-48 in the French Presidential election according to the left. Do I detect a bit of hypocrisy?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086
    So...irrespective of tonight's events and what impact if any it will have (likely marginal at best, like any other single event), with Miliband having poor ratings, and the Tory party still polling compared to Labour, which one might benefit most from a 'shy voter' effect?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086
    edited March 2015
    Double post
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    weejonnie said:

    Speedy said:

    SeanT said:

    And.... I was right

    .Andrew Neil retweeted
    AndrewSparrow ‏@AndrewSparrow 44s44 seconds ago
    Cameron wins #BattleForNumber10, just - Guardian ICM polls shows Cameron 54%, Miliband 46% on who won - http://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2015/mar/26/election-2015-david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman-live-updates#block-55148a15e4b0b1a24cd21269

    No you were not, you said that Miliband did much worse.
    A 54-46 divide is does not equal Miliband being terrible as you said.
    Hollande absolutely thrashed Sarkozy 52-48 in the French Presidential election according to the left. Do I detect a bit of hypocrisy?
    I thought speedy was a ukip supporter,am I wrong ?

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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,909

    Smarmeron said:

    @nigel4england
    " Anyone who votes for that prick should be sent straight to the nearest asylum! "

    Thank you for your considered and balanced response, it aids my understanding a great deal.

    If you genuinely think that man is fit to run the country then you should be sectioned.
    Shall I put you down as a maybe?
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    nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    SeanT said:

    Speedy said:

    Sky's Faisal Islam called it for Miliband.

    Again, all the hacks get it wrong. Allegra Stratton, Faisal Islam, useless lefty tossers

    ICM shows what I said: a clear win for Cameron.

    Why am I so much smarter than everyone else in the entire cosmos? Tsk.
    Not smarter than me, at least on this occasion.

    Ed was an unmitigated disaster, Cameron wasn't great by any stretch but please, who wants that overgrown sixth form debater anywhere near the controls? Tell me all you one eyed partisan Socialists, are you happy with him or are you just a teeny bit worried about what he will do to this country.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,716

    SeanT said:

    @SunPolitics 1m1 minute ago
    YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Tories ahead by two: CON 36, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 13, GRN 5

    The 36 for Con could be quite significant. The tories have been laying siege to 36 for a while. Its fair to say they are desperate to retake the lost bastion. There has been the odd breach in the defences, it has been attacked from various directions, always forced back by Lab deploying hurried reserves. Will there be a breakthrough? Are the defenders reserves exhausted; can they fight on two fronts? Is the semi colon your friend or enemy.

    Meantime in latest news the search is on for the lost body of Henry I. Reading Tourist Board out tomorrow with the ground radar.
    You've gone all a bit Sion Simon there.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2015
    Yougov on Sky has called it for Miliband marginally.
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086
    edited March 2015
    Speedy said:

    Yougov on Sky has called it for Miliband marginally.

    Bizarre. Is it really just 'last thing you heard' boost, as I really cannot see how Ed M did objectively better than Cameron (Cam's personal ratings generally are the only reason I think he might edge it in his favour with others), and I'm the guy who until the Scottish collapse was calling the election for a Lab majority for 4 years.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Rupert Murdoch ✔ @rupertmurdoch
    Follow
    Thanks for 2 mentions, Ed Miliband. Only met once for all of 2 minutes when you embarrassed me with over the top flattery.

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,023
    @Nigel4England I think Ed isn't going for your vote ;)
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    kle4 said:

    Speedy said:

    Yougov on Sky has called it for Miliband marginally.

    Bizarre. Is it really just 'last thing you heard' boost, as I really cannot see how Ed M did objectively better than Cameron (Cam's personal ratings generally are the only reason I think he might edge it in his favour with others), and I'm the guy who until the Scottish collapse was calling the election for a Lab majority for 4 years.
    What we need from Cameron is abit more passion.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Looking at the ICM poll, Miliband won in the crucial internal of votes, 56% of those said they might change their mind now say they will vote Labour, and on the best PM question Miliband narrows the gap to 48-40 with Cameron.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086


    Rupert Murdoch ✔ @rupertmurdoch
    Follow
    Thanks for 2 mentions, Ed Miliband. Only met once for all of 2 minutes when you embarrassed me with over the top flattery.

    Ha. Murdoch should only communicate on Twitter, he's great on it.
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    nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    Smarmeron said:

    @nigel4england
    " Anyone who votes for that prick should be sent straight to the nearest asylum! "

    Thank you for your considered and balanced response, it aids my understanding a great deal.

    If you genuinely think that man is fit to run the country then you should be sectioned.
    Shall I put you down as a maybe?
    Haha!

    John, I am a working class boy from a council flat but Ed no more represents the working class than Cameron.

    One figure from the Left I liked in recent years was Bob Crow, if he had been Labour leader I could have voted for him.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    SeanT said:

    Speedy said:

    Yougov on Sky has called it for Miliband marginally.

    No, they haven't.

    https://twitter.com/search?f=realtime&q=yougov &src=typd

    Instant result on tonight's TV debate by YouGov's First Verdict app for The Times:
    Cameron 51%
    Miliband 49%
    802 respondents
    Yougov's representative called it for Miliband on Sky, don't blame me.
    So that's essentially the 50-50 you said you expected.
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,064
    Ed would surely settle for a 54-46 defeat. His biggest problem though is not enough people will have been watching. He's passable but he needs too get in front of more people.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Smarmeron said:

    @nigel4england
    " Anyone who votes for that prick should be sent straight to the nearest asylum! "

    Thank you for your considered and balanced response, it aids my understanding a great deal.

    If you genuinely think that man is fit to run the country then you should be sectioned.
    Shall I put you down as a maybe?
    Haha!

    John, I am a working class boy from a council flat but Ed no more represents the working class than Cameron.

    One figure from the Left I liked in recent years was Bob Crow, if he had been Labour leader I could have voted for him.
    Same here,labour have left they roots

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,023
    Its going to be like the General Election - Ed marginally loses in votes......
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,023

    Ed would surely settle for a 54-46 defeat. His biggest problem though is not enough people will have been watching. He's passable but he needs too get in front of more people.

    He's on all four shows.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2015
    SeanT said:

    kle4 said:

    Speedy said:

    Yougov on Sky has called it for Miliband marginally.

    Bizarre. Is it really just 'last thing you heard' boost, as I really cannot see how Ed M did objectively better than Cameron (Cam's personal ratings generally are the only reason I think he might edge it in his favour with others), and I'm the guy who until the Scottish collapse was calling the election for a Lab majority for 4 years.
    See my posts, It's bollocks. Cameron won with ICM and with YouGov. There is also another YouGov poll showing Cameron winning by a larger margin.

    The Labour spinning is hilarious. The Guardian has a liveblog with about 400 journalistic analyses saying how well Miliband is doing, then they hit the brick wall of the ICM poll, and eerie silence prevails.
    54-46 and 51-49 is not what people would expect from a Cameron/Miliband debate.
    You know who the victor is when the ICM poll says 40% think Miliband will be best PM.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Speedy said:

    SeanT said:

    kle4 said:

    Speedy said:

    Yougov on Sky has called it for Miliband marginally.

    Bizarre. Is it really just 'last thing you heard' boost, as I really cannot see how Ed M did objectively better than Cameron (Cam's personal ratings generally are the only reason I think he might edge it in his favour with others), and I'm the guy who until the Scottish collapse was calling the election for a Lab majority for 4 years.
    See my posts, It's bollocks. Cameron won with ICM and with YouGov. There is also another YouGov poll showing Cameron winning by a larger margin.

    The Labour spinning is hilarious. The Guardian has a liveblog with about 400 journalistic analyses saying how well Miliband is doing, then they hit the brick wall of the ICM poll, and eerie silence prevails.
    54-46 and 51-49 is not what people would expect from a Cameron/Miliband debate.
    You know who the victor is when the ICM poll says 40% think Miliband will be best PM.
    You said Ed had won the YouGov poll didn't you ?
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2015
    SeanT said:

    Speedy said:

    SeanT said:

    Speedy said:

    Yougov on Sky has called it for Miliband marginally.

    No, they haven't.

    https://twitter.com/search?f=realtime&q=yougov &src=typd

    Instant result on tonight's TV debate by YouGov's First Verdict app for The Times:
    Cameron 51%
    Miliband 49%
    802 respondents
    Yougov's representative called it for Miliband on Sky, don't blame me.
    So that's essentially the 50-50 you said you expected.
    You lost. You lost. You lost. On two polls.

    And let's remember Miliband could only outperform expectations. Yet he managed NOT to do that. Superb.
    Calm down dear.
    You make people think you are a bad loser.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,023
    SeanT said:

    Speedy said:

    SeanT said:

    Speedy said:

    Yougov on Sky has called it for Miliband marginally.

    No, they haven't.

    https://twitter.com/search?f=realtime&q=yougov &src=typd

    Instant result on tonight's TV debate by YouGov's First Verdict app for The Times:
    Cameron 51%
    Miliband 49%
    802 respondents
    Yougov's representative called it for Miliband on Sky, don't blame me.
    So that's essentially the 50-50 you said you expected.
    You lost. You lost. You lost. On two polls.

    And let's remember Miliband could only outperform expectations. Yet he managed NOT to do that. Superb.
    Hmm When Dave ends up with 281 seats and Ed with 276 though and Dave with 35% of the vote and Ed with 34%....
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @SeanT

    Statistics lie if you just look at the bare numbers, it's why the smarter people wait to see the details of a poll.



    More from the ICM poll.

    Only 8% of those polled overall indicated that they were likely to have changed their mind about how they would vote at the election on the basis of what they saw tonight.

    Amongst those, 56% said they would now vote Labour. And just 30% said they were now backing the Conservatives.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,023
    What's the SNP getting in Scotland to make up for the time by the way ?

    Or are we not into that bit of the broadcast rules yet
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Speedy said:

    SeanT said:

    kle4 said:

    Speedy said:

    Yougov on Sky has called it for Miliband marginally.

    Bizarre. Is it really just 'last thing you heard' boost, as I really cannot see how Ed M did objectively better than Cameron (Cam's personal ratings generally are the only reason I think he might edge it in his favour with others), and I'm the guy who until the Scottish collapse was calling the election for a Lab majority for 4 years.
    See my posts, It's bollocks. Cameron won with ICM and with YouGov. There is also another YouGov poll showing Cameron winning by a larger margin.

    The Labour spinning is hilarious. The Guardian has a liveblog with about 400 journalistic analyses saying how well Miliband is doing, then they hit the brick wall of the ICM poll, and eerie silence prevails.
    54-46 and 51-49 is not what people would expect from a Cameron/Miliband debate.
    You know who the victor is when the ICM poll says 40% think Miliband will be best PM.
    You said Ed had won the YouGov poll didn't you ?
    The Yougov representative on Sky said that, I just reprinted.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,539
    SeanT said:

    Allegra Stratton just ridiculous on Newsnight.

    Two polls show a win for Cameron. She is still claiming Labour people were "beaming". But she looks a little more flustered.

    You're beginning to sound like a North London geek! Going on about all these polls and "debates"!
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    SeanT said:

    Allegra Stratton just ridiculous on Newsnight.

    Two polls show a win for Cameron. She is still claiming Labour people were "beaming". But she looks a little more flustered.

    Ex bloody guardian,no wonder.

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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    edited March 2015
    Guardian blog
    "The ICM poll also asked about character.

    Ed Miliband did better than David Cameron on four counts: governing in the interests of the many not the few (55% v 27%); having the courage to say what’s right rather than what’s popular (51% v 35%); and understanding “people like me” (48% v 25%). And, when asked which leader was more spin than substance, Miliband also did better. Some 49% said Cameron was more spin than substance, but only 35% for Miliband.

    Cameron also won on four counts: being respected around the word (58% to 19%): being decisive (54% to 29%); being good in a crisis (46% to 21%); and being backed by his party (58% to 21%).

    The two men are almost equally matched on having “changed his party for the better”. Some 36% say that of Cameron, and 35% of Miliband."
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,086
    Smarmeron said:

    Guardian blog
    "The ICM poll also asked about character.

    Ed Miliband did better than David Cameron on four counts: governing in the interests of the many not the few (55% v 27%); having the courage to say what’s right rather than what’s popular (51% v 35%); and understanding “people like me” (48% v 25%). And, when asked which leader was more spin than substance, Miliband also did better. Some 49% said Cameron was more spin than substance, but only 35% for Miliband.

    Cameron also won on four counts: being respected around the word (58% to 19%): being decisive (54% to 29%); being good in a crisis (46% to 21%); and being backed by his party (58% to 21%).

    The two men are almost equally matched on having “changed his party for the better”. Some 36% say that of Cameron, and 35% of Miliband."

    Cameron decisive and backed by his party? Sure he is (I know he polls well with them, but I guess that doesn't include all those Tory MP rebels).
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    83-17 win for Cameron on Newsnight poll
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    New Thread
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    83-17 win for Cameron on Newsnight poll

    Voodoo poll.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Smarmeron said:

    Guardian blog
    "The ICM poll also asked about character.

    Ed Miliband did better than David Cameron on four counts: governing in the interests of the many not the few (55% v 27%); having the courage to say what’s right rather than what’s being good in a crisis (46% to 21%); popular (51% v 35%); and understanding “people like me” (48% v 25%). And, when asked which leader was more spin than substance, Miliband also did better. Some 49% said Cameron was more spin than substance, but only 35% for Miliband.

    Cameron also won on four counts: being respected around the word (58% to 19%): being decisive (54% to 29%); being good in a crisis (46% to 21%); and being backed by his party (58% to 21%).

    The two men are almost equally matched on having “changed his party for the better”. Some 36% say that of Cameron, and 35% of Miliband."

    being good in a crisis (46% to 21%); that's a big one for Cameron and governing in the interests of the many not the few (55% v 27%); and understanding “people like me” (48% v 25%). these two good for miliband.

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