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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling week opens with LAB and CON level-pegging with
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling week opens with LAB and CON level-pegging with Populus
The movement in the latest Populus online poll is a 1% jump from 31% to 32% in the CON share with LAB staying the same So things remaining very stable.
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That needs more discussion. 6% going somewhere. Kippers seem flat, LDs mired, Greens might get a bit I suppose. Where are the rest?
And first.
A few years ago I suggested that MPs should fill out timesheets: e.g. I was in the house on these mornings, afternoons and evenings, I held constituency surgeries at these hours, I was in select committees at these times.
Many of us are expected to fill out timesheets in complex work situations (*); MPs should as well. Let the constituents know what they are doing with their time to earn their money.
I'd say the same for top council bods as well, if they earn more than £70,000 off the state.
(*) Including, in one job, predictive ones: they wanted the weekly timesheets (which were filled out on an hour-by-hour basis) on the Thursday for the next day.
After I read this mornings expose it occurred to me....I wonder how many Tory MP's would visit a constituent living in a tenement block to help them with a problem? Being an MP seems to be whatever you want it to be
If, in 2010, someone had told me that both main parties would be bumping along in the low 30s by the next election, I'd have assumed that person was an idiot. The outcome of this election is going to dissected 9 ways to Sunday in terms of how democratic it is (or isn't).
And then nothing will change...
Whataboutery of the highest order.
ComRes Phone: Con lead 1
Comres Web: Lab lead 2
ICM: Con lead 4
Ipsos: Lab lead 2
Opinium: Con lead 2
Populus: Tie
Survation: Con lead 1
TNS: Lab lead 7 (chuckle)
Yougov: Lab lead 1
Be interesting to see what changes when the Tories fire theirs on the economy.
The Tories only need to capture one in two hundred voters each week between now and the election to be comfortably the largest party.
If the same proportions do vote at the end of the day to weight the vote in terms of men at this stage simply because they claim to be more certain seems a little odd.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/11427987/Labour-torpedoes-attempt-to-outlaw-same-sex-abortions.html Let's not bother clarifying something that is already in law to stop certain doctors from weaselling and stop the GMC from weaselling, lets try and promote "culture change" instead.. good luck with that
A four way with Farage would have been worst outcome.
My free time has disappeared into a big (but extremely lovely) seven-month old baby. I used to work near full-time and be able to post on here whilst waiting for compilations or running test harnesses. I'm now not working but looking after the baby, and I find every minute seems filled up ...
It's not a paid job, but it's brilliant. I could recommend it to any man: get your wives up the duff, then send them out to work so you can look after the baby. You can then say you're a modern man (tm). ;-)
Glad to hear a 1% change is a sign of stability.
Can we have a thread on their relative accuracy?
Search for 'glass' in
https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=wG9tBQAAQBAJ&printsec=frontcover&dq=the+railway+andrew+dow&hl=en&sa=X&ei=7gfrVO7BDcTR7Qbl0YHYBQ&ved=0CCAQ6AEwAA#v=onepage&q=glass&f=false
"A few years ago I suggested that MPs should fill out timesheets: e.g. I was in the house on these mornings, afternoons and evenings, I held constituency surgeries at these hours, I was in select committees at these times."
First they came for the bankers.....then they came for the tax avoiders......then they came for the MP's....next they'll be coming for the luvvies.......the bastards!!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=TDDzlgMrkGM
A word of advice about the care of 7 month old babies. There is a thing called an electoral cycle. The run up to a general election sees a proliferation of a sub species of human, 'the evil baby eating tories' Please be wary and on your guard between now and 8th of May for sneaky attacks from these vermin who will be trying to gain your trust.
chestnutchestnut Posts: 1,049
10:29AM
Ashcroft: Lab lead 1
ComRes Phone: Con lead 1
Comres Web: Lab lead 2
ICM: Con lead 4
Ipsos: Lab lead 2
Opinium: Con lead 2
Populus: Tie
Survation: Con lead 1
TNS: Lab lead 7 (chuckle)
Yougov: Lab lead 1
I remember writing once that you managed to give your statistics a Tory bias to which you replied 'not at all you were a humble seeker after truth and simply went where the figures took you.
Chuckle!
Oh! Sorry, I thought you said who is going to pull Trigger
Scots struggle with the concept of majority voting.
http://www.scotsman.com/news/uk/60-of-scots-say-all-uk-nations-must-back-eu-exit-1-3698167
"An MP gets paid, or should get paid, not for what he does 9 - 5 but for his judgement.
That judgement can come from different angles (which is where I use my judgemnt in voting), but leaving aside political differences , the point about government is that for the most part there are often no clear right or wrong choices, only choices."
Yes, I agree. The wording suggests that you're actually a current MP - is that right? I think it's fine if you choose not to identify yourself (enables you to write without constantly reviewing it for "MP commits gaffe" headlines), just interested that we have another professional on board.
Or if we were more imaginative, perhaps we could have a hokey-cokey settlement with the EU, with Scotland in and other parts of the UK out.
Scots want a veto - just like the Tories do inside the EU.
@HuffPostUKPol: Tony Blair wades in to defend Jack Straw's integrity after cash for access sting http://t.co/FQmi2QLKcs http://t.co/zgl9y62imQ
http://www.spectator.co.uk/the-week/10459/jack-straw-must-come-clean-about-his-role-in-the-jeremy-thorpe-scandal/
Meanwhile Ladbrokes now offering 6/4 that Rifkind won't be CON candidate in K&C at GE
Free money?
I was only allowed a small stake though.
If I was a Londoner, I would not vote for the Conservative candidate in the next mayoral election for exactly that reason. Thankfully, I'm not a Londoner...
Boris in the past has compared the duties of Mayor as being comparable to a mid-level Cabinet post. I think he's spot on.
3.6m Scots + 1.2m Northern Irish + 1.4m Welsh = 6.2m voters agaist
39.4m England voters are in favor
and an idea is dropped ?
I do not think much about Labour in the broad political judgement category and there are a host of tory backbenchers who regularly display individual bad judgement when it comes to trying to achieve what they want. They have forgotten or do not understand what the problems of power are.
My main point is that being in power means having to make choices and avoiding them is worse than making a choice. I suppose Harold Wilson would call it pragmatism, but he gave that word a bad name. Events are difficult to control and a good politician a good leader with good judgement makes the best of them he can.
https://twitter.com/sharpeangle/status/569827416262217728
In fact, the exact opposite of the wishes of the 255 million can be forced on them by the wishes of 55 million voters
Then England would have nine separate votes in the Federal UK.
Mr. Me, bugger that. England isn't the property of today's political pygmies to be carved up into shitty little fiefdoms. Not to mention that we can only have equality if we have a full English Parliament.
Or are you supposing such regions would get the power to vary income tax? Set independent health and education policies? Alter VAT or corporation tax?
With those powers you'd be institutionalising division and putting in a wedge that would break up England. Without them, we would not have equality with Scotland.
The only sustainable solution is an English Parliament.
http://www.capx.co/defeat-of-varoufakis-will-embolden-the-eurocrats-to-con-cameron/