David Cameron maintains his lead as the major party leader with the highest net approval rating. The Prime Minister is on -1% versus -29% for Labour leader Ed Miliband, -40% for Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg and -21% for UKIP leader Nigel Farage. This is the highest score for David Cameron for three years.
David Cameron maintains his lead as the major party leader with the highest net approval rating. The Prime Minister is on -1% versus -29% for Labour leader Ed Miliband, -40% for Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg and -21% for UKIP leader Nigel Farage. This is the highest score for David Cameron for three years.
Boston getting serious snow again tomorrow. Wind chills down to -25 deg.
WE are getting 3 inches on Monday!!!!
Imagine how bad it would be if we didn't have global warming.
My Rotary club held a 5k this morning. At race time at 9am it was 21 degrees F. 500 runners turned up - my assumption is they are all warmist deniers. :-)
Lab 34% (0), Con 32% (-1), UKIP 16% (-2), Lib Dem 7% (0), Greens 4% (+1)
Only discernible trend seems to be UKIP falling back some.
I'm disappointed. The PB Labour Obornes assured us that this week would prove a game changer. So far, the greatest week of Ed Miliband's political career hasn't registered one iota. What should worry Labour is that heaping opprobrium on business leaders and Tory peers is all Miliband has. If that doesn't do anything - and it doesn't look as if it is - what next?
Mark Senior said that the PB Tories were going after an 80 year old woman and they were digging a gutter.
Mmmmm... Ok so some questions on that statement as follows
1) at what age do people who have worked within the tax rules and avoided tax in a legitimate vehicle are not to be held responsible for the moral duty of paying that tax.? 40? 60? 80? When or after they pop their clogs? When?
2) which other people are exempt from his wrath when they engage in a perfectly legal activity and just go about their business or is it just "doners " of the right?
3) why should his mum not be mentioned given Ed is targeting people who have done precisely. the same thing, acted within the rules yet seem to inccur his wrath even though it's quite legal and legitimate.?
4)why does he mention only those on the right of the political spectrum rather than those right next to and around him involved in the same perfectly legal practices?
And the real good one......
5) Why as a minister of the crown and according to his CV aired the other day as " experience in the real world " as economic advisor to the treasury did he not over 13 years of that advising and sitting in cabinet do absolutely diddle squat about it?
Perhaps because he is a total hypocritical opportunistic dipshit simply out to smear the right aided and abetted by all the usual suspects.
Jeeeez...... labour will be smearing the Tory and lib dem wives next?.......Oh wait a minute?
As for Smeareons comments earlier they are not worth wasting pixels on
France's top baguette baker ordered to stop working seven days a week
Stephane Cazenave, who runs a boulangerie in Saint-Paul-les-Dax, Landes, faces a 1,500 euro fine for flouting a 1999 prefectural order obliging any bakery to remain closed for at least one day per week.
The ruling against Mr Cazenave, which he says will see him lose 250,000 euros a year and force him to lay-off some of his 22 staff, has ignited a storm in France, with the baker's plight seen as symbolising all that is wrong with anti-business regulations stifling the economy.
The last pope election was the best. He got very annoyed at someone on PB repeating who his backed candidate was as it may move the international betting markets. Each day brought more and more evidence of his man making a move.
Turned out Rod had ruled out the guy that won at the very start for being to old.
The last pope election was the best. He got very annoyed at someone on PB repeating who his backed candidate was as it may move the international betting markets. Each day brought more and more evidence of his man making a move.
Turned out Rod had ruled out the guy that won at the very start for being to old.
The Opinium polling date were Tuesday to Thursday. The latest YouGov was Wednesday Thursday and had SNP 51-22 ahead of Labour in Scotland but Labour 3 points ahead of Tories over UK. Conclusion never take less the average of five Scottish sub samples to show the trend . On that basis, if anything, the SNP lead is going up on both YouGove and Populus.
I agee with Dair on Any Questions which I heard today. If that is the warmth of reception Salmond gets in London he must be pretty popular in Scotland.
So the Tory poster with him as worst nightmare might just backfire?
The last pope election was the best. He got very annoyed at someone on PB repeating who his backed candidate was as it may move the international betting markets. Each day brought more and more evidence of his man making a move.
Turned out Rod had ruled out the guy that won at the very start for being to old.
I thought the best bit was the report that someone was claiming it was racist when they saw black smoke being emitted from the vatican chimney?
The Opinium polling date were Tuesday to Thursday. The latest YouGov was Wednesday Thursday and had SNP 51-22 ahead of Labour in Scotland but Labour 3 points ahead of Tories over UK. Conclusion never take less the average of five Scottish sub samples to show the trend . On that basis, if anything, the SNP lead is going up on both YouGove and Populus.
I agee with Dair on Any Questions which I heard today. If that is the warmth of reception Salmond gets in London he must be pretty popular in Scotland.
So the Tory poster with him as worst nightmare might just backfire?
I think the reception he got from Joe Public at the Ryder cup is a better indication.
Lab 34% (0), Con 32% (-1), UKIP 16% (-2), Lib Dem 7% (0), Greens 4% (+1)
Only discernible trend seems to be UKIP falling back some.
I'm disappointed. The PB Labour Obornes assured us that this week would prove a game changer. So far, the greatest week of Ed Miliband's political career hasn't registered one iota. What should worry Labour is that heaping opprobrium on business leaders and Tory peers is all Miliband has. If that doesn't do anything - and it doesn't look as if it is - what next?
It has. EICIPM. Crossover now moved to....................... ?
David Cameron maintains his lead as the major party leader with the highest net approval rating. The Prime Minister is on -1% versus -29% for Labour leader Ed Miliband, -40% for Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg and -21% for UKIP leader Nigel Farage. This is the highest score for David Cameron for three years.
Lab 34% (0), Con 32% (-1), UKIP 16% (-2), Lib Dem 7% (0), Greens 4% (+1)
Only discernible trend seems to be UKIP falling back some.
I'm disappointed. The PB Labour Obornes assured us that this week would prove a game changer. So far, the greatest week of Ed Miliband's political career hasn't registered one iota. What should worry Labour is that heaping opprobrium on business leaders and Tory peers is all Miliband has. If that doesn't do anything - and it doesn't look as if it is - what next?
It has. EICIPM. Crossover now moved to....................... ?
The last pope election was the best. He got very annoyed at someone on PB repeating who his backed candidate was as it may move the international betting markets. Each day brought more and more evidence of his man making a move.
Turned out Rod had ruled out the guy that won at the very start for being to old.
I said at the start it would be a surprise, and probably a non-European, from South America in particular. My fancied candidate didn't make it, and I actually tipped him in a guest article, so I don't follow this "got very annoyed" crap.
I ruled out Bergoglio [and reported this at the time] not because he was too old, but because in my research I couldn't find a single photo of him smiling. I thought he was too bloody miserable to be elected!
Mr. Moses, that was David Lammy. I thought it was an excellent spot of comedy.
Not in the least bit suprising to hear it was the Mastermind champ David Lammy who said that. His knowledge of the real world leaves a lot to be desired.
The 41% "UKIP has some good ideas for how to run the country" tallies with the recent ComRes 'issues' index, 40% thought UKIP was the best party for immigration, 26% for the EU.
The 41% "UKIP has some good ideas for how to run the country" tallies with the recent ComRes 'issues' index, 40% thought UKIP was the best party for immigration, 26% for the EU.
twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/566581989059600384
Tories should be pretty worried at those finding...Although they win on getting growth / reducing deficit, they lose on how any of those economic benefits would be spent.
I always think that the Tories slogan of "long economic plan" is a very poor one...most people are selfish and want to know about them / their families, and that slogan doesn't really define how Tories plan has / would help them.
Mr. Owls, well, past performance is no guarantee of future success. I hope you don't take it amiss if I hope your effort to be king of the castle results only in the confirmation that you're a dirty rascal
Trident: One good thing that could come out of SNP holding the balance of power will be to put into touch for another 5 years any decision on Trident. After all, that is what the Lib Dems did in 2010.
The SNP position is on Trident, not nuclear weapons ! Britain is still adequately protected by nuclear weapons, if we need them at all.
Oops, I forgot we are a world power with 6 aircrafts bombing the hell out of IS in Iraq ! And, 2 aircraft carriers with aircrafts on them. The Harriers having been sold for scrap metal.
The plural of aircraft is aircraft
Absolutely correct, you sad Tory ! In fact, I meant to say, "2 aircraft carriers with NO aircraft on them."
Thanks for pointing it out, Gunslinger !
"2 aircraft with No aircraft on them". Thanks to Gordon Brown for letting contracts to build stuff whereby it is cheaper to build them than to cancel them. It's called "pork barrel" for the constituents.
That, and a gaggle of Admirals, who thought as they signed the order, that they could plead for escort ships later, and it would be agreed to without question. Dimwits. Brown ran rings round them.
Your point and that Perdex is perfectly valid. The timetabling of orders for carriers and aircraft is all down to Brown and Labour; and Brown and Labour sold the Sea Harriers in 2006 I think. Labour are also entirely responsible for ordering 66,000 tonne carriers which cannot fly conventional planes. The carriers were delayed and became more expensive because the defence budget was in a total and typical Labour mess.
As far as ISIS is concerned we are more than adequately fulfilling our international treaty obligations and supporting our ally and are preventing genocide. A10 Warthogs BTW - relatively old technology - seem to be doing most damage by the USA.
Mr. Owls, well, past performance is no guarantee of future success. I hope you don't take it amiss if I hope your effort to be king of the castle results only in the confirmation that you're a dirty rascal
Mr. Owls, not other than the ones I offered pre-testing (which is always brave/stupid depending on how they turn out).
For the record, they were: Rosberg for the title, 4.7, Hamilton for the title, 1.9 (Betfair).
Ladbrokes: Small stake - Hamilton, 9, 14 or more wins (a record). Smaller stake - Mercedes, 17, to win every race. Even smaller stake - Alonso, 15, to win in Australia.
Mercedes would need to screw up to lose their entire performance gap during a few months in the off-season. The Renault engine is looking a little below par, though Ferrari seem to have improved both the engine (in terms of both reliability and power) and their aerodynamic offering. Honda is still working out the gremlins, so it's a bit tricky to assess.
Once me and Mr. Putney have our traditional chat about spread-betting I expect Grosjean and Maldonado to potentially offer the most value. Last year I got a few wrong [not tips, mind], but I was also spot on with Bottas scoring a lot, and the agreement [a rare moment] we had over Maldonado being a sell at something like 66 was also a nice forecast.
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
The 41% "UKIP has some good ideas for how to run the country" tallies with the recent ComRes 'issues' index, 40% thought UKIP was the best party for immigration, 26% for the EU.
twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/566581989059600384
Tories should be pretty worried at those finding...Although they win on getting growth / reducing deficit, they lose on how any of those economic benefits would be spent.
I always think that the Tories slogan of "long economic plan" is a very poor one...most people are selfish and want to know about them / their families, and that slogan doesn't really define how Tories plan has / would help them.
I think the Tories are just trying to convince people that they do have a plan, rather than that they're just clueless muppets hoping things will turn out OK.
------
UKIP's current slogan appears to be 'Believe in Britain'.
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
Tot up subsamples for South East/East for UKIP maybe that will give the true picture.
Fading elsewhere but v strong regional support in SE/E ?
Trident: One good thing that could come out of SNP holding the balance of power will be to put into touch for another 5 years any decision on Trident. After all, that is what the Lib Dems did in 2010.
The SNP position is on Trident, not nuclear weapons ! Britain is still adequately protected by nuclear weapons, if we need them at all.
Oops, I forgot we are a world power with 6 aircrafts bombing the hell out of IS in Iraq ! And, 2 aircraft carriers with aircrafts on them. The Harriers having been sold for scrap metal.
The plural of aircraft is aircraft
Absolutely correct, you sad Tory ! In fact, I meant to say, "2 aircraft carriers with NO aircraft on them."
Thanks for pointing it out, Gunslinger !
"2 aircraft with No aircraft on them". Thanks to Gordon Brown for letting contracts to build stuff whereby it is cheaper to build them than to cancel them. It's called "pork barrel" for the constituents.
That, and a gaggle of Admirals, who thought as they signed the order, that they could plead for escort ships later, and it would be agreed to without question. Dimwits. Brown ran rings round them.
Your point and that Perdex is perfectly valid. The timetabling of orders for carriers and aircraft is all down to Brown and Labour; and Brown and Labour sold the Sea Harriers in 2006 I think. Labour are also entirely responsible for ordering 66,000 tonne carriers which cannot fly conventional planes. The carriers were delayed and became more expensive because the defence budget was in a total and typical Labour mess.
As far as ISIS is concerned we are more than adequately fulfilling our international treaty obligations and supporting our ally and are preventing genocide. A10 Warthogs BTW - relatively old technology - seem to be doing most damage by the USA.
What about the Harriers this government scrapped ?
@BetfairPredicts: Labour won a 66 majority in 2005 on 35.2%. Now, leading last 7 polls, averaging 34.6%, they're 17.5 for a majority. http://t.co/y9EVauw4Ot
People loose their rag and get warnings. MikeK can quote - with every semblance of approval - 'Tommy Robinson' and ... all is well with the world. Sad times. Except we see where UKIP is coming from.
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
What about Great Yarmouth and Great Grimsby ?
OTOH about 6/4 11/8 ish there? Not odds on even if maybe favs
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
We know that the ComRes changed their methodology regarding the weighting for UKIP before their last poll, so we can expect some point loss from tis company.
From this weekend, I expect that UKIP share will now start a gradual rise.
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
What about Great Yarmouth and Great Grimsby ?
OTOH about 6/4 11/8 ish there? Not odds on even if maybe favs
@BetfairPredicts: Labour won a 66 majority in 2005 on 35.2%. Now, leading last 7 polls, averaging 34.6%, they're 17.5 for a majority. http://t.co/y9EVauw4Ot
I think we can call that "The Ed Effect"
I wouldn't say the single reason that Labour are ahead in the last 7 polls is "The Ed Effect", though it has played some part in it obviously.
Part-ELBOW so far this week now inc. ComRes: Lab lead now 1.3% (same as final result last week). Meanwhile, LD lead over the Greens 1.4% (was 0.8% last week).
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
Tot up subsamples for South East/East for UKIP maybe that will give the true picture.
Fading elsewhere but v strong regional support in SE/E ?
It does seem very UKIP friendly where I live and the surrounding areas... I am sure it is to do with the daily commute through the shitholes of East London that makes people feel that way... Also Romford has a lot of immigrants now thanks to the Council housing people from Stratford in the new flats next to Queens hospital.. its getting more and more vibrant and diverse
I told the girl I have been seeing that I was a kipper and she commented how many houses in the posh part of Romford (Gidea Park) had UKIP signs/posters up so it seems lots of people are getting involved
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
We know that the ComRes changed their methodology regarding the weighting for UKIP before their last poll, so we can expect some point loss from tis company.
From this weekend, I expect that UKIP share will now start a gradual rise.
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
What about Great Yarmouth and Great Grimsby ?
OTOH about 6/4 11/8 ish there? Not odds on even if maybe favs
Do you know UKIP's shortest odds in Lab seats?
13-8 Great Grimsby 11-4 Rotherham 7-2 Dudley North 6-1 Rother Valley
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
What about Great Yarmouth and Great Grimsby ?
OTOH about 6/4 11/8 ish there? Not odds on even if maybe favs
Do you know UKIP's shortest odds in Lab seats?
Is it 13/8 Great Grimsby? Rotherham 11/4, Rother Valley 6s Telford 8s?
The 11/8 UKIP to win a seat off labour w Lads is a great bet IMO
UKIP need to somehow get back on the news agenda, been all about Ed bashing the rich recently.
I read (Spectator I think) that UKIP were letting the two major parties rip into each other and deliberately taking a back seat for a while.. maybe they thought the squabbling over miniscule differences would play badly w the public.. doesn't seem to be a successful strategy so far, but a long way to go
The polls do seem to be getting a bit worse for UKIP.. but the strange thing is the constituency betting has become more favourable, with Rochester and Castle Point going odds on since Wednesday.. I think that's six seats that UKIP are odds on in now (Thurrock, Clacton, Castle Point, Rochester, Boston and Thanet South, although you can still get 11/10 Rochester, and no one has UKIP favs there)
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
What about Great Yarmouth and Great Grimsby ?
OTOH about 6/4 11/8 ish there? Not odds on even if maybe favs
Do you know UKIP's shortest odds in Lab seats?
13-8 Great Grimsby 11-4 Rotherham 7-2 Dudley North 6-1 Rother Valley
Oh Dudders!! I had a score at 25s about a year ago I think forgot about that!
UKIP need to somehow get back on the news agenda, been all about Ed bashing the rich recently.
I read (Spectator I think) that UKIP were letting the two major parties rip into each other and deliberately taking a back seat for a while.. maybe they thought the squabbling over miniscule differences would play badly w the public.. doesn't seem to be a successful strategy so far, but a long way to go
UKIP poll numbers increased during election season in May 2013, and May 2014. Why should 2015 be different?
'Dave and Ed are tied on who would be better on cracking down on tax avoidance and tax evasion.'
As we are repeatedly told a terrific week for Ed.
Frankly it IS a terrific week for Ed. Given the chance Ed spent 13 years doing nothing to crack down on tax avoidance. Given the chance Dave has spent 5 years cracking down on tax avoidance. Yet Ed scores level!
Mr. Dave, and Mr. K, you might be interested to know that the BBC has commissioned a series based on Bernard Cornwell's series about Anglo-Saxon England and the Vikings. If they have the attention to detail shown in Wolf Hall, it could be rather good. If they make it like Atlantis, it'll be atrocious.
Any prospect of a labour-snp coalition during the heat of the campaign in April will cause chaos in England with a sharp move to back the conservatives to prevent a constitutional crisis. I understand some English labour MPs are threatening to sit on the opposition benches if Ed Miliband goes anywhere near this proposition realising the anger that could befall them from their constituants
UKIP need to somehow get back on the news agenda, been all about Ed bashing the rich recently.
I read (Spectator I think) that UKIP were letting the two major parties rip into each other and deliberately taking a back seat for a while.. maybe they thought the squabbling over miniscule differences would play badly w the public.. doesn't seem to be a successful strategy so far, but a long way to go
UKIP poll numbers increased during election season in May 2013, and May 2014. Why should 2015 be different?
Mr. Dave, and Mr. K, you might be interested to know that the BBC has commissioned a series based on Bernard Cornwell's series about Anglo-Saxon England and the Vikings. If they have the attention to detail shown in Wolf Hall, it could be rather good. If they make it like Atlantis, it'll be atrocious.
The TV adaptions of Sharpe and Hornblower didn't really work very well. I think it's difficult to adapt these things on a budget. They call for an army of extras.
That said, Vikings works well. And the battle scenes in Game of Thrones I think use computers to generate a convincing army.
Any prospect of a labour-snp coalition during the heat of the campaign in April will cause chaos in England with a sharp move to back the conservatives to prevent a constitutional crisis. I understand some English labour MPs are threatening to sit on the opposition benches if Ed Miliband goes anywhere near this proposition realising the anger that could befall them from their constituants
It won't be a coalition, I heard this on "Any Questions", it'll be a bill by bill arrangement.
Comments
Then Tamerlane turned up and utterly destroyed the Turks, taking Bayezid as a captive to be used as his footstool until he went mad and died.
@JohnRentoul: Pink bus is patronising: ComRes poll: Most voters – male and female – think that Labour’s pink “Woman to Woman... http://t.co/7oVrZ9cgly
'Now you are down to just hope !'
Yes, terrific week for Ed, shame that's not reflected in the polls.
let that sink in....
Mmmmm... Ok so some questions on that statement as follows
1) at what age do people who have worked within the tax rules and avoided tax in a legitimate vehicle are not to be held responsible for the moral duty of paying that tax.? 40? 60? 80? When or after they pop their clogs? When?
2) which other people are exempt from his wrath when they engage in a perfectly legal activity and just go about their business or is it just "doners " of the right?
3) why should his mum not be mentioned given Ed is targeting people who have done precisely. the same thing, acted within the rules yet seem to inccur his wrath even though it's quite legal and legitimate.?
4)why does he mention only those on the right of the political spectrum rather than those right next to and around him involved in the same perfectly legal practices?
And the real good one......
5) Why as a minister of the crown and according to his CV aired the other day as " experience in the real world " as economic advisor to the treasury did he not over 13 years of that advising and sitting in cabinet do absolutely diddle squat about it?
Perhaps because he is a total hypocritical opportunistic dipshit simply out to smear the right aided and abetted by all the usual suspects.
Jeeeez...... labour will be smearing the Tory and lib dem wives next?.......Oh wait a minute?
As for Smeareons comments earlier they are not worth wasting pixels on
Stephane Cazenave, who runs a boulangerie in Saint-Paul-les-Dax, Landes, faces a 1,500 euro fine for flouting a 1999 prefectural order obliging any bakery to remain closed for at least one day per week.
The ruling against Mr Cazenave, which he says will see him lose 250,000 euros a year and force him to lay-off some of his 22 staff, has ignited a storm in France, with the baker's plight seen as symbolising all that is wrong with anti-business regulations stifling the economy.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/france/11411504/Frances-top-baguette-baker-ordered-to-stop-working-seven-days-a-week.html
Ed's model for the future?
The last pope election was the best. He got very annoyed at someone on PB repeating who his backed candidate was as it may move the international betting markets. Each day brought more and more evidence of his man making a move.
Turned out Rod had ruled out the guy that won at the very start for being to old.
Dave and Ed are tied on who would be better on cracking down on tax avoidance and tax evasion.
It's vital that the boundaries of free speech are not dictated by murderous lunatics.
I thought the best bit was the report that someone was claiming it was racist when they saw black smoke being emitted from the vatican chimney?
I mean WTF?
I ruled out Bergoglio [and reported this at the time] not because he was too old, but because in my research I couldn't find a single photo of him smiling. I thought he was too bloody miserable to be elected!
'Rod is a funny guy.'
A funny guy that called the last GE spot on, you didn't get over it.
On next PM after Cameron 2.52 thank to TP (Low stakes yhough as no liquidity)
'Dave and Ed are tied on who would be better on cracking down on tax avoidance and tax evasion.'
As we are repeatedly told a terrific week for Ed.
'Mr. Zims, indeed. Mr. Crosby called the last General Election result far better than just about everyone else here.'
JackW was a close second.
Mr. H, can't recall everyone's predictions. Someone else may have gotten closer, but not many.
On a lighter note, I only saw bits of the rugby today, but Joseph's a bright spark. Nice to see France playing properly in the second half.
twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/566581989059600384
The "lead" column becoming red gradually.
I am after the crown
My prediction is that Ed Miliband will be PM. The tories will be out of power and coming to terms with the disastrous leadership of David Cameron.
I always think that the Tories slogan of "long economic plan" is a very poor one...most people are selfish and want to know about them / their families, and that slogan doesn't really define how Tories plan has / would help them.
The carriers were delayed and became more expensive because the defence budget was in a total and typical Labour mess.
As far as ISIS is concerned we are more than adequately fulfilling our international treaty obligations and supporting our ally and are preventing genocide. A10 Warthogs BTW - relatively old technology - seem to be doing most damage by the USA.
Not looking bad for a newcomer though!
Any F1 tips yet Mr Dancer?
CNN news ticker
For the record, they were:
Rosberg for the title, 4.7, Hamilton for the title, 1.9 (Betfair).
Ladbrokes:
Small stake - Hamilton, 9, 14 or more wins (a record).
Smaller stake - Mercedes, 17, to win every race.
Even smaller stake - Alonso, 15, to win in Australia.
Mercedes would need to screw up to lose their entire performance gap during a few months in the off-season. The Renault engine is looking a little below par, though Ferrari seem to have improved both the engine (in terms of both reliability and power) and their aerodynamic offering. Honda is still working out the gremlins, so it's a bit tricky to assess.
Once me and Mr. Putney have our traditional chat about spread-betting I expect Grosjean and Maldonado to potentially offer the most value. Last year I got a few wrong [not tips, mind], but I was also spot on with Bottas scoring a lot, and the agreement [a rare moment] we had over Maldonado being a sell at something like 66 was also a nice forecast.
http://i.imgur.com/11ZHp9I.jpg
Shadsy also has over 5.5 seats favourite now.. I think 17/10 over 6.5 looks a value bet.. but it is with Unibet I think so maybe difficult to get on
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UKIP's current slogan appears to be 'Believe in Britain'.
http://www.ukip.org/believe_in_britain_together_we_can_do_great_things
http://www.bbc.com/sport/0/athletics/31468990
http://comres.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/SM-IoS-Political-Poll-15th-February-2015_456794.pdf
Fading elsewhere but v strong regional support in SE/E ?
I think we can call that "The Ed Effect"
MikeK can quote - with every semblance of approval - 'Tommy Robinson' and ... all is well with the world.
Sad times. Except we see where UKIP is coming from.
From this weekend, I expect that UKIP share will now start a gradual rise.
Meanwhile, LD lead over the Greens 1.4% (was 0.8% last week).
I told the girl I have been seeing that I was a kipper and she commented how many houses in the posh part of Romford (Gidea Park) had UKIP signs/posters up so it seems lots of people are getting involved
11-4 Rotherham
7-2 Dudley North
6-1 Rother Valley
The 11/8 UKIP to win a seat off labour w Lads is a great bet IMO
I've started reading a viking book series you might like, "The Oathsworn" by Robert Low.
http://www.robert-low.com/oathswornseries.htm
I was asking with an eye on that 11/8 that Shadsy's got up..
Like Wolverhampton NE at a big price too (25s?)
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB
Poll count February so far
CON lead 2 polls
CON-LAB level-pegging 2 polls
LAB lead 15
Not great reading for the Cons.
Scotland unweighted 151 -> Weighted 172
SNP unweighted 49 -> 41 weighted.
The Euro Corrector is how wrongly both called the Tories in May 2014.
Yet Ed scores level!
That said, Vikings works well. And the battle scenes in Game of Thrones I think use computers to generate a convincing army.
http://www.history.com/shows/vikings