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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Henry G Manson says that in past fortnight we’ve seen a dif
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Henry G Manson says that in past fortnight we’ve seen a different EdM with an effective gameplan
It’s easy to look at British politics as though it were boxing. Journalists will often speak of whether there were any ‘knock out blows’ in Prime Minister’s. Instead I look at the it through the prism of sport I love, which PB old hands know is tennis.
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Problem is that the NHS, tax avoidance & class based politics can't fill in the next 3 months.'
And bashing benefits recipients can?
Until then, he's talking balls.
Can Dave do much?
It would require tackling his family as well?
And the privileges that allowed him to get where he is?
Ed has. And I'm pretty sure there'll be plenty of papers and bloggers prepared to direct the spotlight at the murkiest and most hypocritical corners of Labour.
I wonder what he meant?
He must have known his tax affairs would be scrutinised, they were on at least three previous occasions?
It's a puzzle.
Though, of course, Labour may form a minority government, without doing any better than the Tories in 2001.
Yes. the papers are generally keen on shining the light of truth into Labours dark corners.
Not so keen on doing the same for the Tories, but it has always been the way.
On a brighter note, those bank leaks appear to be only partial, they have millions of other bits of data to collate.
I assume we will not be short of entertainment.
Dave is very keen on exposing off shore tax avoidance, I feel sure he will be prepared to share what he knows about it with the public.
(Referring to his father isn't answering the question).
I am certain you will agree with me that Ed is magnificently charismatic and eloquent. He is an inspiring and refreshing standard bearer for the social democratic tradition in our great nation.
Yes, indeed: One Nation. Nay, his performance at PMQs this week must surely have been amongst the greatest (if not the greatest) ever given by a leader of the Labour Party, or indeed of any party leader! Such magnificence, such poise, such alacrity. Wow! And his wonderful repertoire of jokes would put even Harry Hill to shame!
He is articulate, passionate, an accomplished orator, and I think a real progressive alternative to the smarmy posh boy Cameron.
With Tennis players like Ed Miliband, we should all take up Archery.
Referring to his father is not an answer certainly, but Dave surely had an interest in how his father became so successful?
On the other hand, perhaps he had no interest in where the money came from, and the arrangements of the will?
After all, the will would have been scrutinized by one of the leading exponents of tax avoidance schemes?
Let's talk about Ed shall we?
Matthew Goodwin has tweeted an issues question excerpt, I think from the poll we're expecting today. UKIP are up on immigration and EU, poss up on VI too?
twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/566581989059600384
Verbal was the assasin: Kobayashi is 'Keyser Söze' as the angered party. Brilliant film (or filem) that requires a new look....
Verbal is too young, but a useful deflect. The Söze family where killed in the 'Eighties (hence the Söze haircut). The response occurred long before the final acts of revenge.
Ergo: Kobayashi is 'Keyser Söze'.
But at least he said it while his government was going after tax dodgers. Various schemes, like the one Gary Barlow was in, have been shut down and taxes have been paid that wouldn't have been under Labour.
Ed didn't go after tax dodgers when he was in government. He seems to have saved up his anger about it for when he can be an opportunistic hypocritical shit in opposition.
Yes, it was a BBC, Guardian ploy, cleverly disguised by making it a worldwide story.
It shows you just how sneaky these commies are.
http://www.economist.com/news/britain/21643142-labour-partys-campaign-patchwork-angry-protests-no-coherent-theme
Though the tax row has been good for him this week which will no doubt encourage him.
As an aside, Lleyton Hewitt [when at his prime] was known as one of the most immature and dislikeable players on tour.
I prefer to follow your example. ;-)
She arranged the DoV within two years of Gordon describing them as abused loopholes to avoid IHT
Joke post of the day award!
On a serious note, even poor performers have the occasional bit of luck. The most important figures I've seen this year at that Tory voters are responsible for the high NHS is my biggest concern figures - meaning that Lab concentrating on that will be useless; all opinion polls pale into insignificance compared to this.
Look, I know you'd like a Miliband win because it would be a kick in Dave's nuts and a bucket of manure over the PB Tories. But it would only amount to a 24 hour euphoria hit. After that Dave would be chillaxing with Sam and his millions, and the PB Tories would be settling down for a prolonged five-year gloating festival over Ed's dour and hapless reign. Five whole years, half a decade of Ed Miliband? For all of us. Every one. Is it worth it? Really?
Oh well, we were in the Top 4 earlier in the season...
Personally yes, but the public in general will make up their own minds about who gained the most from financial wheezes.
They may even question why the papers are going after Ed for a rehash of an old story, and why others affairs should not be scrutinised.
It will hit all parties, it depends who takes the most damage.
Even if they are wrong about that, there's no way to convince them of that until it happens, so the Tories are screwed unless suddenly everyone wakes up to the choice between Dave and Ed and decides they cannot risk losing the underwhelming known with the underwhelming unknown. And with the economy doing a bit better, people may well be more willing to take a risk as there is less fear around (even if it should, people don't seem to feel gratitude for a job well done).
Ed's greatest hit is smearing his opponents?
That's it?
If Miliband gets into power this May it will be a triumph of envy over sanity.
Pleading is so pitiful, though quite a few Tories do it very well.
Have fun children, and relax
"Milliband will never be PM" !
In seriousness, counter punching is probably a good strategy. Labour's polling is below its highs in this parliament, but still consistently above the Tories and so comfortably resulting in a win if they don't panic (and depending on Scotland). While it might be nice if Labour put in a more positive effort and go for a big win, eking it out is more sensible so long as they do not screw it up. That's possible, but given the caution of the past 4 years, unlikely.
"Ex-HSBC chairman Lord Green resigns from banking body"
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-31470627
http://www.itv.com/news/2015-02-13/itv-news-index-poll-reveals-labour-lead-in-crucial-marginal-seats/
Btw I am only one PB Tory.
Labour I think are luckier as their complacency and arrogance in relying on anti-Toryism does not seem to be as ill-placed, even if they should have done other things to not have to rely mostly on it.
Nothing is going to change that short of them electing a Labour government, what they would consider a "proper" socialist government with Red Ed as it's leader, and one of two things happen:
either he makes essentially the same policy decisions as the coalition, in which case people will see that their country is screwed and needs a lot of changes because there clearly isn't a magic money tree (they will also see the afore mentioned socialist government implode as Red Ed fails to carry a majority for his austerity budget given his troublesome coalition partners and his hard left awkward squad on the back benches).
Alternatively he goes on a spending spree, whacks up the taxes and turns on the taps to the money tree we watch businesses and high net worth people leave for friendlier shores and the economy implode as interest rates race upwards and the bank runs begin.
Either way, the electorate might eventually realise that the country is writing cheques its ego can't cash, and is living well outside its means. Then perhaps a sensible government will be elected to get spending under control and start to rebuild the economy properly, we can live in hope.
OTOH, I don't believe for one moment that the Labour Party is on the side of the average voter, either. This is a battle between rival elites.
It is not from tonight's poll.
Fink dropped the Tories in it, not by his tax affairs but how he handled it. If he had stuck to I worked in Switzerland, therefore I had a Swiss bank account, now go ask Labour's donors about their accounts....good night, that would have been a totally different outcome to I gonna sue you, everybody is at it, type headlines.
(1) responded to criticism from a leading global businessman by making illogical comments about his tax domicile
(2) erroneously smeared a Tory donor as dodgy on the basis of an inaccurate assumption that his Swiss bank account was illegitimate, without realising the man was Swiss resident at the time, and then tried to deny that he had done so.
Sure, in doing so he has kept a topic that is uncomfortable for Conservatives in the headlines, and he has had a bit of good fortune along the way with Fink's ridiculous comment about everybody doing tax avoidance reinforcing an old Tory stereotype, but neither of his major interventions were intelligent, considers or correct.
After months of being utterly moribund, he has finally found a topic that motivates his base. As we have seen on here, his base comprises people who are ignorant about tax, avoidance and revenue collection. People who prefer their lazy stereotypes about Conservatives to analysis about the comparative merits of recent governments in this area. People who cling to the belief that Labour are better, despite the plentiful evidence Labour failed to tackle this while in Government and have shown little interest in it in opposition, except as a handy stick to beat the Conservatives with.
That's not championship winning tennis; it's an exhibition match during a fading club player's testimonial year.
Two for ITV News and one for the Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror
Today on Any Questions I've rarely heard more raw anger. The public are incensed. Osborne's plan-getting a bunch of billionaires to say Labour wouldn't govern in their interests-was lunatic from the word go. Then to allow his party treasurer-Hedge fund donor and billionaire Lord Fink-threatening to sue was to pour kerosene on it.
The two big losers will be the Tories and UKIP. Both who look like they're on the wrong side of this very clear line. The next few polls will be interesting
Worth backing the French to beat the Irish today.
Last year apart, the Irish have an appalling record against the French, I think it is 5 Irish victories in the last 25 years.
The losers will be the public when they get the Labour government they so desperately want, and either nothing changes and the government implodes, or lots change and the economy implodes. Either way the rich, and a lot of businesses will just leave, they wont pay more tax, they wont create more jobs, they will just leave (see France). The middle incomes earners will have to pay a lot more tax as a result and wont be voting Labour again, and the lower incomes will have to do with a lot less services and wont be happy either. If that makes you happy, I don't know what to say.
Anna Soubry's good isn't she?