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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s Marf cartoon – on HSBC

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  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,403
    edited February 2015
    Dair said:

    viewcode said:

    I was going on what I read in one of the the latest SFX where it was said that the deal was done.. or maybe that was wishful thinking on their part.

    The leaked Sony emails revealed that it was actually discussed but agreement was not reached. The rumored reason for the upcoming "Black Panther" movie (see the Phase 3 annoncement) is that he can take the "unmasked superhero" role that Spidey played in Civil War

    Parenthetically, the reason for the upcoming "Inhumans" movie and their emphasis on those characters is rumoured to be Marvel exploring the possibility of abandoning X-Men publication and let the X-Men wither on the vine.
    Can you imagine an entire generation of fanbois without an Oedipal crush on Jean Gray?
    Oedipal? Famke Janssen? I am reliably informed mothers do not look like that...:-)

    I assume the current crop of teenage fanboys are having their lusts sated by the YA crowd (Jennifer Laurence, Shailene Woodley, Kirsten Stewart at a push, presumably Chloe Grace Moretz?), although obviously this is not an age slot I'm familiar with. However, the 2016 X-Men: Apocalypse is set during the 1980's, so the classic roster (Cyclops, Jean Grey, Storm, etc) have had to be recast with younger actors (Tye Sheridan, Alexandra Shipp, Sophie Turner) instead of the 2000's versions (James Marsden, Famke Janssen, Halle Berry). So I assume the wheel will turn and a new generation will rise.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Pulpstar said:

    @Dair Green @ 6% looks high to me, should be low hanging fruit for the SNP I'd guess.

    It's a bizarre campaign. The Scottish Greens are basically going through the motions. I would think none of them want to vote green, and probably a lot of party members will vote SNP. It's that bizarre situation FPTP causes

    Like a lot of SNP voters, I'll be voting Green List in Holyrood 2016, I could easily see that being 5 to 10 Green MSPs, the SNP have pretty much exhausted the list vote, 160k voted SNP in Edinburgh List and got zero MSPs, if they voted Green en masse it would be 4 Greens.

    People like James Kelly are really against this choice which I fundamentally disagree with. It won';t be complete, but a good bet, right now, is 5+ Greens. NE actually gave an SNP lister on top of a FPTP wipeout. Had they all voted Green it would have been SNP all Constituency and 3 Greens.

    This message is getting through. Slowly. But it's getting through. We get two votes for Holyrood and should use them both.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108

    The National Institute of Economic and Social Research increased its forecast for GDP growth this year to 2.9 per cent – the highest since 2006,

    Awesome, 29% more wealth for the top decile. Hope that trickles down soon.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Pulpstar said:

    Which is your constituency btw @Dair ?

    The twitter picks related to #GE15 are reassuring.

    SNP looks to have alot more people to GOTV.

    Glasgow Central. The battle will come down to how many "postal votes" Anus Sarwar has lost with the switch to Individual Registration (including a requirement for National Insurance number meaning it's much harder to invent people).

    Actually, that's too positive for Labour. Central is going SNP.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,411
    Dair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    @Dair Green @ 6% looks high to me, should be low hanging fruit for the SNP I'd guess.

    It's a bizarre campaign. The Scottish Greens are basically going through the motions. I would think none of them want to vote green, and probably a lot of party members will vote SNP. It's that bizarre situation FPTP causes

    Like a lot of SNP voters, I'll be voting Green List in Holyrood 2016, I could easily see that being 5 to 10 Green MSPs, the SNP have pretty much exhausted the list vote, 160k voted SNP in Edinburgh List and got zero MSPs, if they voted Green en masse it would be 4 Greens.

    People like James Kelly are really against this choice which I fundamentally disagree with. It won';t be complete, but a good bet, right now, is 5+ Greens. NE actually gave an SNP lister on top of a FPTP wipeout. Had they all voted Green it would have been SNP all Constituency and 3 Greens.

    This message is getting through. Slowly. But it's getting through. We get two votes for Holyrood and should use them both.

    Indeed - imagine being the person who voted Green and kept Murphy in his seat for instance! (I've got Murphy's seat down as one of the trickier targets, but you never know)
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The Scottish Greens have selected candidates for all the Glasgow and Edinburgh seats, apparently to the annoyance of the SNP.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    edited February 2015
    viewcode said:

    Dair said:

    viewcode said:

    I was going on what I read in one of the the latest SFX where it was said that the deal was done.. or maybe that was wishful thinking on their part.

    The leaked Sony emails revealed that it was actually discussed but agreement was not reached. The rumored reason for the upcoming "Black Panther" movie (see the Phase 3 annoncement) is that he can take the "unmasked superhero" role that Spidey played in Civil War

    Parenthetically, the reason for the upcoming "Inhumans" movie and their emphasis on those characters is rumoured to be Marvel exploring the possibility of abandoning X-Men publication and let the X-Men wither on the vine.
    Can you imagine an entire generation of fanbois without an Oedipal crush on Jean Gray?
    Oedipal? Famke Janssen? I am reliably informed mothers do not look like that...:-)

    I assume the current crop of teenage fanboys are having their lusts sated by the YA crowd (Jennifer Laurence, Shailene Woodley, Kirsten Stewart at a push, presumably Chloe Grace Moretz?), although obviously this is not an age slot I'm familiar with. However, the 2016 X-Men: Apocalypse is set during the 1980's, so the classic roster (Cyclops, Jean Grey, Storm, etc) have had to be recast with younger actors (Tye Sheridan, Alexandra Shipp, Sophie Turner) instead of the 2000's versions (James Marsden, Famke Janssen, Halle Berry). So I assume the wheel will turn and a new generation will rise.
    Today's Young Adults grew up watching the previous X-men trilogy with FIFTY year old Famke as the matriarch they fell in love with. Remember that Television plays a big part in this (not to mention Streaming these days). I recall growing up with Jenny Agutter as a fantasy even though it was based on her as my age (in film) and not her being the much older (in reality) woman she was/is.

    Last Stand was 2006 that's not too long ago. All those fanbois (and remember fanbois has an extended childhood) have Oedipal crushes on Jean Grey.
  • Just got back in to see The Scotsman claim that SNP lead cut by half! Except that there hasn't been a TNS poll to compare with. As far as I can tell this is the highest ever SNP lead with this polling organisation!

    Apparantly this "journalist" called Maddox gets paid by this paper as opposed to straight from Labour coffers!

    If we leave arguments about TNS methodology to one side the clear problem with the poll is its timing - sampled 16th January - 2nd February. The YouGov poll of last week showing a 21 per cent SNP lead was sampled much later 29th January - 2nd February.

    If The Times had held onto their poll for a week then Maddox could have written "SNP double lead!"
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    scotslass said:

    Just got back in to see The Scotsman claim that SNP lead cut by half! Except that there hasn't been a TNS poll to compare with. As far as I can tell this is the highest ever SNP lead with this polling organisation!

    Apparantly this "journalist" called Maddox gets paid by this paper as opposed to straight from Labour coffers!

    If we leave arguments about TNS methodology to one side the clear problem with the poll is its timing - sampled 16th January - 2nd February. The YouGov poll of last week showing a 21 per cent SNP lead was sampled much later 29th January - 2nd February.

    If The Times had held onto their poll for a week then Maddox could have written "SNP double lead!"

    Polls like this play into the SNP's hands. You don't even have to talk about how ridiculous it is, it makes activists more active and makes Labour more complacent and accepting of Murphy's "all the votes will swing back to Labour" bullshit.

    The snow glows white on the mountain tonight....
This discussion has been closed.