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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why CON could still be losing seats to LAB even if its mana

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  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    McTernan also thinks the SNP is a party in crisis.

    Although I note the final commentor on this article ( http://sluggerotoole.com/2014/04/16/why-the-no-side-should-be-looking-up-in-scotland-by-john-mcternan-indyref/ ) suggested the most invigorating result for the SNP would be a 45-55 defeat.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,121
    edited October 2014
    New Thread - Sth Yorks PCC prediction contest!
  • NinoinozNinoinoz Posts: 1,312

    Socrates said:

    @PBModerator

    While you're about, can you confirm whether or not Roger and I are still not to interact with each other? There's been a couple of occasions since that ban where Roger has insulted me and I haven't responded. It would be good to know one way or another: either he should face consequences for breaking the ban, or I should be allowed to defend myself against him.

    It is still in place, if he violates it again, appropriate action will be taken.
    It's been two weeks since restrictions were put on my posting.

    I've still not received the e-mail from OGH promised.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,046
    isam said:

    Scott_P said:

    isam said:

    No one has said he should have guessed the exact numbers

    It is like your energy company sending an email in January, explaining the way bills are worked out is changing, and that it will likely make your bill higher

    So the number would have been a surprise, as he could not have known it in advance. Glad we got that cleared up. Again.

    Did the letter say "likely higher"?
    The "actual number" argument is you talking to yourself... why bother?

    The method used to work out the bill was known.. your argument is "it said 2+2, how where we meant to know it was 4?"

    You and @MorrisDancer are the only people bothering to defend this by the way.. Cameron and Redwood today both adopted the "it doesn't matter when we should have known, we have to deal with the here and now" line.. which basically means " we messed up lets try and polish a turd"

    ie Miliband got the better of him yesterday, which was all I said in the first place
    January
    Husband: Darling it says here the leccie bill is going to go up in September. Or down. Depends on how your fruit fondant business goes.
    Wife: OK Darling

    September
    Husband: Chuffin' hell this bill is huge. Who do I complain to? I'm not paying it.
    Wife: OK Darling
  • JBriskin said:

    Severin Carrell ‏@severincarrell 7m7 minutes ago

    BREAKING: @SarahBoyackMSP confirms she is to stand as @scottishlabour leader: first declared candidate


    Any views from our Northern friends? I think I can guess malcolmg's.

    That's an angle. Who is Sarah Boyack?
    PB was ahead of the game on this one Sunil (as ever?)

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarah_Boyack
    "She lost her constituency seat in the 2011 Scottish Parliament general election to Marco Biagi of the SNP but was elected on the Lothian Regional List as one of the seven members."

    Cannot see the attraction of having as Leader someone who lost her seat to the SNP. Except probably welcomed by the other parties.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    Socrates said:

    Here's an idea for Cameron: link payment of the money to scrapping the Strasbourg location for the European Parliament. Then it would draw attention to French unreasonableness.

    Where would you like it to sit? Berlin? Vienna? (Note: for those who want to quit the EU, such matters are none of your bloody business, OK?)

    How about... ohh..... one place only and we dont pay for them to move around to keep the French appeased.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,337
    edited October 2014

    Severin Carrell ‏@severincarrell 7m7 minutes ago

    BREAKING: @SarahBoyackMSP confirms she is to stand as @scottishlabour leader: first declared candidate


    Any views from our Northern friends? I think I can guess malcolmg's.


    Boyack's more or less sensible and unlike so many of her comrades, not entirely consumed by SNP hatred. However if she has the inspirational & leadership powers to revitalise a party, her light has been pretty well hidden under a bushel thus far.

    JBriskin said:

    Severin Carrell ‏@severincarrell 7m7 minutes ago

    BREAKING: @SarahBoyackMSP confirms she is to stand as @scottishlabour leader: first declared candidate


    Any views from our Northern friends? I think I can guess malcolmg's.

    That's an angle. Who is Sarah Boyack?
    PB was ahead of the game on this one Sunil (as ever?)

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarah_Boyack
    "She lost her constituency seat in the 2011 Scottish Parliament general election to Marco Biagi of the SNP but was elected on the Lothian Regional List as one of the seven members."

    Cannot see the attraction of having as Leader someone who lost her seat to the SNP. Except probably welcomed by the other parties.
    TUD's [edit] pretty much right, from what I can recall.

    Note that she is a List MSP - and only that because she stood in both constituency and list at the same time, rather than list only.

    Had ministerial and dep ministerial posts esp for transport and envt in the Labour administrations of yore - but although she is a Glasgow native and uni graduate, she was brought up, presumably lives in, and represents Edinburgh/Lothian. That could be a big handicap in SLAB. Or an advantage (neutral in Glaswegian infighting).

    [edit] PS> Also a trams enthusiast from what I dimly recall. Not an advantage in Edinburgh.
This discussion has been closed.