politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP has “44% lead in Clacton”
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP has “44% lead in Clacton”
According to poll of Clacton voters reported on front page of Mail on Sunday UKIP has a 44% lead
pic.twitter.com/ELzVkKtmv5
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
UKIP 64%
Con 20%
Lab ? (who cares?)
LD ? ""
Edit
Still is! Lads and hills 1/4... Free money if the poll is even half wrong
Parliament demand answers over what Tony Blair's ministers and officials knew...
Hope nobody covered any of this up at higher levels than the council !!!
oo er
wonder if anyone is making sure their passport is up to date
Carswell winning effectively unopposed would amount to the same thing as not having a by-election. There would also be far less media coverage.
Only downside is it may encourage other defectors!
Good result for my former classmate, Asst Chief Constable Chris Shead...
The detail from the Survation MoS poll of Clacton voters
(via @suttonnick )
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BwULiThIQAA5ucl.jpg
That's what I call a swing
The last time it happened was at the Liverpool Scotland by-election, 1929 when the Irish Nationalists did not contest...
Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB)
30/08/2014 22:02
The detail from the Survation MoS poll of Clacton voters
pic.twitter.com/Bg2jpSjqxn (via @suttonnick )
But fortunately...Sidney sleeps! Thank you William Hill. :-)
Time to look at other Essex seats...
In a funny way, it may be better for DC if Carswell does storm home. He can kind of dismiss it as a protest vote, a sort of freak result. If however the Tories fight the seat hard and are narrowly beaten it kind of looks more serious.
No?
No, maybe not.
Vote UKIP get Ed M is a vote winner.
Unless these kippers all are wanting Carswell to unseat Farage as leader...
Popcorn time!
edit: oops, mis-read the table, the bracket figures are for UKIP voters.
But Cameron still leads Farage in Clacton by a nose.
UKIP to win almost every seat in the Kingdom?
Farage in fight to save the Union, claims the Sunday Post.
A little too much refreshment with dinner possibly to blame...
UKIP 606
Lab 18
LD 6
Con 0
Lol...
And as you point out, effectively endorsing the defection would do nothing to inhibit others from doing likewise.
Sir Paul McCartney has become the latest celebrity to call for Scotland to stay part of the UK ahead of the country's historic vote on independence.
http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/referendum-news/sir-paul-mccartney-backs-lets-stay-together.1409401720
Ukip Candidate Roger Lord Threatens To 'Rip Out' Douglas Carswell's Throat
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2014/08/29/roger-lord-ukip-douglas-carswell_n_5735340.html
Just sayin.......
(Green is UKIP)
Labour will, of course, fight the by-election vigorously !
If this poll is even remotely close, Clacton is likely to become as defining an election in the breakdown of the three-party system as Torrington and Orpington were for the two-party one.
twitter.com/RichardLochhead/status/505766482723504129/photo/1
It's the way the law is written, it was issued on the grounds that the parents "might" have been guilty of neglect.
The like Carswell is 34% of 64 which is 22
That's 44 isn't it?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Lord
Edit: on the same lines, for a while, the Lord Chief Justice of England and Wales was a Lord Judge
I believe that the child has been found in Spain, not sure if the parents have been arrested.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11064331/Carswell-has-just-made-a-Labour-victory-more-likely.html
Essentially Casrwell is a radical who has joined a quintessentially reactionary party: "His powers of persuasion presumably remain undimmed, but his powers of judgment have gone on a long weekend. "
Carswells personal vote is making this a cake walk
So now his counter attack has got half the Ukraine army surrounded in little pockets and his guys are pushing out to the Donbass borders.
No doubt Putin is helping them in every way short of Russian tank columns - because pictures of Russian tank columns would be very foolish of him - but the main reason the rebels are winning is Kiev screwed up by being focused on capturing Luhansk and Donetsk.
imo
Hypocrites !!
Apparently so. There only needs to be reasonable grounds for suspicion that a crime has been committed from what I gather. Probably worded as a catch all for terrorists, but it has other uses it seems.
http://pics.top.rbc.ru/top_pics/uniora/70/1409254602_0270.1599x1200.jpeg
Indeed. There must be a box on the Arrest Warrant paperwork that says "Crime Accused Of:" What was written in it? Was it left blank? How on Earth could a judge have approved it?
On a personal note I was at a bbq in Casares today and the place was mobbed with Guardia Civil. Passed through two roadblocks. Lots of fuss and disruption considering the parents haven't done anything criminal.
Detectives investigate Scottish Rotherham.
http://imgur.com/a/QRbBv
If he hadn't defected there wouldn't be an election!!!!
"Neglect"