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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: July 17th 2014
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: July 17th 2014
Oban North and Lorn on Argyll and Bute (SNP defence)
Result of last election to council (2012): Independents 15, Scottish Nationalists 13, Conservatives 4, Liberal Democrats 4 (No Overall Control, Independents short by 4)
Result of last election in ward (2012):
0
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http://www.itsourcounty.org/beliefs/statement-of-beliefs/
Донецкая Республика [Donetsk Republic] dnrpress Jun 29
Самоходные зенитно-ракетные комплексы "Бук" на территории зенитно-ракетного полка ПВО А1402 взятого под контроль ДНР.
I hope Avery can give a proper translation later - the google translate version has several clear mistakes and some things it can't translate, but my own Russian is crappy. But it does seem to say what BBC Monitoring are saying it did, broadly: "the Donetsk People's Republic has taken control of "Buk" self-propelled anti-aircraft missile systems in the territory of Air Defence Regiment A1402". June 29th is the date, of course.
http://www.ukipdaily.com/defend-island/#.U8gkZ41dWoc
Looks pretty good thinking to me.
"If it disappears, this is what it looks like": #MH17 passenger's chilling Facebook message http://fw.to/OxLTsWC
Could someone have blown up the plane from within?
CNN has just reported that Israel has announced to initiate ground operations in Gaza
Reported: Israeli troops enter Gaza.
"It is unclear how this could be achieved, but the involvement of service representatives, all focussed on a simple strategy is essential. What is needed is the elimination any inter service rivalry, give us and the service personnel who serve our country a much better deal."
If UKIP could figure out a way to achieve that, eliminate the infuriatingly absurd procurement mishaps at the MoD, they would do us all a great service. As it is, the public is not willing to pay for a pro-active military force, or one able to be pro-active in the future with any great flexibility, and the incompetence of budgeting means we can barely afford even a bare bones military either on the amount the public will accept.
We have a situation where all sensible civilian airlines are staying out of the area so anything there might reasonably be thought a target by either side.
We have a situation where the Ukrainians believe that the Russians are supporting the rebels and that a high altitude plane in their airspace might very well be a Russian spy plane transmitting information about movements on the ground.
We have a situation where the rebels have been successful in shooting down Ukrainian military planes with significant loss of life.
We have a plane at an altitude where identification from the ground would almost certainly be impossible unless it had a transponder giving out signals (which it should have had but this might require a sophistication to read them which neither side might have had).
I would suggest conclusions as to blame (other than for the dead Malaysian pilot who took the short cut) is premature at best. Either side could be at fault and both have compelling reasons to play the blame game.
I would not be getting on a Malaysian Airline flight after this for the best discounts on Expedia.
(its one of these days where everything goes wrong)
* The tweet page as it exists dynamically is here: https://twitter.com/dnrpress/status/483248037629018112
* The google cache of the tweet as it was on 14 July is here: webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:NF6E5FCKFNEJ:https://twitter.com/dnrpress/status/483248037629018112
* The archive.today archive today of the googlecache of the tweet as at 14 July has been captured and preserved here: https://archive.today/GlTxe
Even after the cache is cleared down the archive copy will still exist
A few years back MAS got quite a lot of bad press for their flights approaching Heathrow on fumes... So if cutting corners was involved in this tragedy it would not be a complete surprise ...
Woo....
Hopefully someone off TOWIE tweets something stupid about Magaluf, so that it's not too hard for the press to work out what should make the front pages. Tricky decision otherwise. Don't want brain-cogs overheating.
Yesterday I suggested a tasty e.w. bet on Fulham's newly-acquired Ross McCormack being the top goalscorer in the Championship for the forthcoming season. As is par for the course there was an absolute nil response to this.
Undeterred however, and to relieve the boredom of considering this evening's inconsequential local elections, I turn my attention to the corresponding competition in the Premier League.
I strongly fancy Robin van Persie on offer at around 11/2 will win this season's golden boots award, provided he remains reasonably fit and plays at least 30+ league games, but who else might come into the reckoning?
On the basis that Swansea's Wilfried Bony, currently available at 32 (29/1 net with Betfair) is likely to move to Liverpool during the current transfer window (he is 1/3 to do so), I fancy him to become the new Sanchez (well not bite quite), but I expect him to outscore Daniel Sturridge, who is best priced at around 7/1. Well worth a pint of OSH in my opinion, but DYOR.
Great minds think alike.
I also followed you on your Tiger Woods tip
Edit: I'm also on Rickie Lambert at 66/1
Brendan has said Steven Gerrard will only play half the games next season, and the number of penalties Liverpool earn, and Lambert's penalty record, this is what I consider a good trading bet.
I've heavily backed Aston Villa to go down
They were shite last year (except for the first 35 mins at Anfield)
They have an owner that is wanting to sell up and not put in any money, they have an uninspiring manager, and a poor squad with only one decent player who has suffered a serious injury and won't be fit until October at the earliest.
This sounds like a recipe for disaster.
I don't fancy Lambert as top PL goalscorer .... for me he doesn't have that all-important killer instinct.
Julian E. Barnes ✔ @julianbarnes
US Defense official: "If the separatists shot it down, it couldn't have been done without Russian assistance." #MH17
p.s. does anyone on here do fantasy football?
It's the reason we scored 100+ goals last season.
I know, there's no Suarez, but Suarez either scored or assisted 43 Liverpool goals, so if you take those away, last season, we still scored as many league goals as Arsenal.
On the back of my (ignored) Ross McCormack betting suggestion yesterday, I fancy Fulham for promotion at 10/3 with Bet Victor.
http://brightonandhoveindependent.co.uk/breaking-ulloa-way-leicester-city/
Plus the Fulham chairman seems a bit trigger happy.
YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead jumps to seven points: CON 32%, LAB 39%, LD 8%, UKIP 13%
YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead jumps to seven points: CON 32%, LAB 39%, LD 8%, UKIP 13%
Liverpool to meet Barca in the champs league.
Skybet are offering 3/1 on such a thing
LAB - 39% (+3)
CON - 32% (-1)
LD- 8 (-1)
UKIP - 13% (=)
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jul/17/junker-cameron-high-five-european-meeting-brussels
Ed is crap is landslide PM 41 weeks to go. Every poll including PB Tory trestle table ones has EICIPM
Unless ICM is right and all other pollsters are wrong which I know some on here are confident is the case.
Good prices available on betfair if that turns out to be the case.
None of which seems to be helping at all, Labour seem more likely to have a trend of a slight decline every now and then than the Tories rising for a sustained period, but they may have either resigned themselves to what will be, become so overconfident in the other direction they are inured to panic, or simply worn out by it all and have stopped reacting as, whoever is right, there's not much chance of changing opinions now.
Labour plan to part re-nationalise rail network
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-28349630
Had an early lunch today, watching the Open on one TV and news on another, when the news of the crash came up.
One of our number, (not me although it's precisely my sort of line), observed that at last Malaysian Airlines has learned from golf - crash them where you can find them.
We know Ross McC of old. Despite doing well for Cardiff he did have some well documented issues off field problems and I am not sure that he will settle in well when the bright lights of London beckon. I do not think Fulham are a good bet for promotion.
What a Parliament the 2015 to 2020 one could be!
I see normal service has been resumed in your response.
Nah, swingback, crossover with added Cameroon surge will gave a Tory majority in 41 weeks time. Have you not ready the Lambert and Butler Election Predictor (Pony Juice version). Cameron PM nailed on!
Several shells hit the terminal of Libya's main airport on Thursday as rival militias fought in Tripoli for a fifth day, and gunmen assassinated a female politician in the east.
Tripoli International Airport has been a battlefield since fighters attacked it with heavy guns on Sunday to wrest control from a rival militia which has been based there since the fall of Libya's late ruler Muammar Gaddafi in 2011.
The conflict is fuelling worries that Libya is on the point of turning into a failed state where a weak central government is powerless to control the militias which helped oust Gaddafi.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/07/17/uk-libya-security-idUKKBN0FM1N420140717
But not tonight.
I haven't,just sarcastic me ;-) but a labour government,I would be proberly be better off,god help the middle classes though ;-)
Could be much more difficult than 2010-15 turned out to be, despite initial concerns. And I don't think those seat totals are particularly implausible.
*OK, so because of the fewer LDs let's say it's 315/280 for the Big 2. The overall scenario still stands.
Tic toc Tic toc http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/to?day=7&month=5&msg=UK+General+Election&p0=0&year=2015
just over 293 and counting
I can be anywhere you suggest
Thanks for the Malmö travel advice from last night. Turned out to be a lot more interesting than expected. Huge amount of construction going on, especially on the waterfront.
**** Clicks on Ebay to order hat ****