Year Of Next Election - 2015 1/9 William Hill. Free money.
Better than a bank.
Under what circumstances could an election happen this year? For example, if the LDs took their ball home and dissolved the coalition, what would [most probably] happen?
Actually what Salmond said is probably a good reflection of the future if Scotland is independent.
Access to the Norwegian fishing grounds (where 'access' is used in its accepted term when referring to fishing as meaning 'the right to fish') is probably entirely dependent on Scotland remaining in the EU. If Scotland leaves then the treaty agreement that gives Norway access to Scottish fishing grounds will no longer apply. In that case Norway will be allowing access to its own fishing grounds in return for nothing.
At that point I suspect the Norwegians will pull out of the deal, citing the loss of access to Scottish waters as a justifiable grounds.
Didn't he say that the fishing fleets of 12 countries would be denied access to Norwegian waters as a consequence?
then the deal would, I assume, fall.
So does Salmond. But its a matter between the EU and Norway, who are entitled to sort out something themselves - outwith the gift of Scotland or Salmond.....
Unlike you, Scotland and Salmond understand who owns the fishing rights in Norwegian waters.
So why have the Scottish Fisherman's Federation written to him?
Do they not understand Scottish fishing either?
From the Herald, they have written for 'clarification' which is fair enough given the spin which the Unionists have been putting on a very few brief words, in the face of common sense and ordinary English context. And I'm not going to waste any more time explaining it as I feel sorry for the other PBers having to put up with this wilful misapprehension .
Year Of Next Election - 2015 1/9 William Hill. Free money.
Better than a bank.
Under what circumstances could an election happen this year? For example, if the LDs took their ball home and dissolved the coalition, what would [most probably] happen?
State Opening happens on the first day of a new parliamentary session or shortly after a general election. The State Opening of Parliament for the 2014-15 session will take place on Wednesday 4 June 2014.
The Fixed Term Parliaments Act, which sets out new rules on the timing of general elections, received royal assent (became law) on 15 September 2011. This means that the next general election will be on 7 May 2015. There will be a state opening soon after this date.
4th June is last possible date for a black swan. And I agree there is some risk, but its quite small (2% maybe ?) so thats why I'm in for a hundred and not a thousand.
Just received an email from Boris, telling me to use my vote next week.
They really are pulling out all the stops on this one.
Mayor of London saying vote for us in the London council elections...
Whatever next?!
You're missing the point.
The Tories are engaging their supporters/voters in a way I've not seen before.
I've received literature via the post, I've received more emails than ever before with nuanced stuff and invites to take part in things.
And it looks professional and not spammy.
Axelrod is going to have to work up a sweat to earn his £x00,000's.
One topic that has not had the usual coverage in the media as campaigns start to kick-off, is the state of party funding. We recently heard of billionaire philanthropist Sir Michael Hintze and Paul Sykes donating a reported £1.5m each to UKIP/Tories, but I wonder how others are faring?
He is banging on about how he is in touch with the common man, how he feels their pain. Except, nobody in the street uses language like the above two quote (and they are just two of many similar ones).
I think it is incredibly hard to convince people that you really do understand them, if you speak in these weird ways. Blair was a master at changing his language to suit the audience, I just saw a Youtube clip from Marr last week, with Miliband and Farage, and in fact the non-normal bloke-ness is highlighted by Farage's pretty basic straight talking approach.
And finally, Miliband tries to attack Farage on being heir to Thatcher. There was another example of this recently, where in an interview he was giving it the big Thatcher bashing. And again he is totally wrong if he really believes his "One Nation" stuff.
There are lots of "aspirational" type folks who voted Thatcher, voted Blair, and that don't think everything that Thatcher did was evil (just check the polling when she died), keeping going big on the Thatcher bashing brings back the divide of for or against and well we know that Thatcher won the battles for the public every time.
@SeanT is right. I too have friends who emigrated to Australia for a "better life". They maintain the pretence that they have it until about halfway through the second pint in the pub. Then they pine for home. That all said, they do live in Perth which is, I am reliably informed, almost North American in its dullness, among the dullest sun-kissed cities in the world.
Really, anyone who believes such rubbish as "The hockey stick was a work of fiction" has to take a long hard look at themselves and their credulity of charlatans.
Where is your scepticism?
Sorry Mr Me but the hockey stick was disproved back in 2005 when the first of a series of papers emerged showing that the statistical underpinning of the data for the paper was fatally flawed. Subsequent (and previous) papers also showed that the base assumption of the hockey stick which required the removal of the Medieval Warming Period was also flawed.
*snip* cut and paste of cherry-picked reports from some denier site *snip*
"Climate change is one of the defining issues of our time. It is now more certain than ever, based on many lines of evidence, that humans are changing Earth’s climate. The atmosphere and oceans have warmed, accompanied by sea-level rise, a strong decline in Arctic sea ice, and other climate-related changes." Feb 2014
Who to believe? Richard T or the Royal Society? Who has access to the best data? Who is more likely to be the expert in climatology? Tough call. I'll clearly have to think on it a while.
I am not asking you to believe me. All I am doing is providing peer review papers that show that the idea that the science is settled is clearly false.
And as ever the fact that certain organisations back the theory is meaningless in scientific terms. The Royal Society has backed the wrong horse on a whole range of issues in the past and I am sure will do again.
By the way since you raise the issue of expertise in climatology (so negating the claim of the logical fallacy of appeal to authority) I do at least work in the field so am not simply an interested observer.
All right, I'll bite.
There are thousands of papers on climate change. Typically they have a 95% confidence threshold on the data. Most are better than that, but still, that means there may be 5% of papers which draw erroneous conclusions, and will add false data to both AGW/non-AGW evidence piles (peer-reviewed or otherwise). This shows that the existence of papers which contradict the prevailing view is likely and provides proof that the system works as it should.
The existence of hundreds of "no-AGW" papers does not mean the issue is not settled. Or rather, it doesn't mean that when faced with a towering column of tens-of-thousands of papers in the "AGW is real" camp. It's a mendacious misuse of (usually) good sciencific methods and the peer-review process.
By the way, I've just been for a walk in the sun, so I guess I "work in the field" too.
It is awful. Absolutely, obnoxiously awful. It would be awful even if his back story matched it, and he had spent twenty years bent double down t'pit, chipping coal out with a toothpick.
Instead he's a political toff. After all, he's a millionaire who was gifted a job with Tony Benn as a teenager, and has been in politics ever since.
@SeanT is right. I too have friends who emigrated to Australia for a "better life". They maintain the pretence that they have it until about halfway through the second pint in the pub. Then they pine for home. That all said, they do live in Perth which is, I am reliably informed, almost North American in its dullness, among the dullest sun-kissed cities in the world.
Why had Ed started bragging his own perceived qualities at precisely the moment Labour slip's behind Con?
Well he's got nothing else to say has he.
Or indeed, why he's bigging himself up when his personal ratings are dropping through the floor? Anyone would think he's feeling a little insecure.
Literally anything would be better than going on about himself. The NHS, crime, immigration, schools, Trident, a unified transport policy, council tax rebanding...
Year Of Next Election - 2015 1/9 William Hill. Free money.
Better than a bank.
Under what circumstances could an election happen this year? For example, if the LDs took their ball home and dissolved the coalition, what would [most probably] happen?
Well, in that event the Lib Dems (or Labour) could call a confidence vote, which Cameron would probably lose. Cameron would then, I think, under the Fixed Term Parliament Act be within his rights to ask for parliament to be dissolved and a general election to be called. Why the Lib Dems would want such an outcome given their current polling figures I can't think.
If the Lib Dems walked out of the coalition and no confidence vote was called then Cameron would soldier on with a minority government, with probably no practical effect (the legislative queue ain't exactly full) but with massive ability to make political points to the the Lib Dems detriment.
The Lib Dems are probably screwed anyway but going early is probably the worst of their options.
Year Of Next Election - 2015 1/9 William Hill. Free money.
Better than a bank.
Under what circumstances could an election happen this year? For example, if the LDs took their ball home and dissolved the coalition, what would [most probably] happen?
State Opening happens on the first day of a new parliamentary session or shortly after a general election. The State Opening of Parliament for the 2014-15 session will take place on Wednesday 4 June 2014.
The Fixed Term Parliaments Act, which sets out new rules on the timing of general elections, received royal assent (became law) on 15 September 2011. This means that the next general election will be on 7 May 2015. There will be a state opening soon after this date.
4th June is last possible date for a black swan. And I agree there is some risk, but its quite small (2% maybe ?) so thats why I'm in for a hundred and not a thousand.
But what happens if e.g. the coalition falls after 4 June but in time for a GE in 2014? Surely the FTP Act doesn't force us all to wait till 7 May 2015 for a GE just because the 2014-5 session has opened. Or does it?
I wish it were possible to bet on UKIP in the Bootle constituency with Ladbrokes. They'd be about 50/1 but it might be worth putting a pound or two on a "miracle" happening:
Alex Salmond tells Radio 4 he is on the 5-2 diet and has recently lost 2 stone 4 pounds.
Good on him. Although going for a walk (or if you have to, run) is better than any diet, IMHO. It's not as if Scotland, and especially Edinburgh, is lacking superb walking terrain.
Year Of Next Election - 2015 1/9 William Hill. Free money.
Better than a bank.
Under what circumstances could an election happen this year? For example, if the LDs took their ball home and dissolved the coalition, what would [most probably] happen?
State Opening happens on the first day of a new parliamentary session or shortly after a general election. The State Opening of Parliament for the 2014-15 session will take place on Wednesday 4 June 2014.
The Fixed Term Parliaments Act, which sets out new rules on the timing of general elections, received royal assent (became law) on 15 September 2011. This means that the next general election will be on 7 May 2015. There will be a state opening soon after this date.
4th June is last possible date for a black swan. And I agree there is some risk, but its quite small (2% maybe ?) so thats why I'm in for a hundred and not a thousand.
But what happens if e.g. the coalition falls after 4 June but in time for a GE in 2014? Surely the FTP Act doesn't force us all to wait till 7 May 2015 for a GE just because the 2014-5 session has opened. Or does it?
Dunno, can't see it myself. I'm in for a hundred anyway. 1/9 looks a good price to me.
Year Of Next Election - 2015 1/9 William Hill. Free money.
Better than a bank.
Under what circumstances could an election happen this year? For example, if the LDs took their ball home and dissolved the coalition, what would [most probably] happen?
Well, in that event the Lib Dems (or Labour) could call a confidence vote, which Cameron would probably lose. Cameron would then, I think, under the Fixed Term Parliament Act be within his rights to ask for parliament to be dissolved and a general election to be called. Why the Lib Dems would want such an outcome given their current polling figures I can't think.
If the Lib Dems walked out of the coalition and no confidence vote was called then Cameron would soldier on with a minority government, with probably no practical effect (the legislative queue ain't exactly full) but with massive ability to make political points to the the Lib Dems detriment.
The Lib Dems are probably screwed anyway but going early is probably the worst of their options.
5th in Euros => Clegg deposed => Humongous internicene war breaks out amongt the yellows => Party completely implodes => New leader (50.1% of last round of voting) leads them in a very sharp left turn => Government riven by infighting to the point of ceasing to function => Collapse and election.
I wish it were possible to bet on UKIP in the Bootle constituency with Ladbrokes. They'd be about 50/1 but it might be worth putting a pound or two on a "miracle" happening:
I wish it were possible to bet on UKIP in the Bootle constituency with Ladbrokes. They'd be about 50/1 but it might be worth putting a pound or two on a "miracle" happening:
I wish it were possible to bet on UKIP in the Bootle constituency with Ladbrokes. They'd be about 50/1 but it might be worth putting a pound or two on a "miracle" happening:
Alex Salmond tells Radio 4 he is on the 5-2 diet and has recently lost 2 stone 4 pounds.
Good on him. Although going for a walk (or if you have to, run) is better than any diet, IMHO. It's not as if Scotland, and especially Edinburgh, is lacking superb walking terrain.
Exercise will improve your fitness levels (which is good in itself). But the only way to seriously lose weight is to cut intake of food/alcohol.
@Socrates - they and New Orleans are the exceptions. Most American cities are soulless grids
And what makes them soulless, may I ask? I accept a grid takes away a bit of character, but Chicago's still a great city. But it has great restaurants, fun bars, shopping for the ladies, nice parks and, unlike the UK, a summer lasting months rather than weeks. What would you prefer? More litter and hijabs?
Alex Salmond tells Radio 4 he is on the 5-2 diet and has recently lost 2 stone 4 pounds.
Good on him. Although going for a walk (or if you have to, run) is better than any diet, IMHO. It's not as if Scotland, and especially Edinburgh, is lacking superb walking terrain.
It was interesting - Martha Kearney tried to end the interview on a conciliatory note saying the 5:2 diet was something Salmond had in common with George Osborne -but Salmond couldn't resist the temptation for one upmanship, observing he was much more successful at it and had been doing it longer......
Easy to forget how amazing and compact Europe is. You can fly two hours from London and be in Venice, Monte Carlo, Barcelona, the Alps, Norway, Lake Garda, the Aran islands, the Algarve, Berlin, Rome, Tuscany, the Pyrenees..
Just incredible.
Two hours flying from Perth, west Australia puts you in Broome, west Australia.
Most people are prevented via finances and commitments from regularly having weekends in Europe, however.
Alex Salmond tells Radio 4 he is on the 5-2 diet and has recently lost 2 stone 4 pounds.
Good on him. Although going for a walk (or if you have to, run) is better than any diet, IMHO. It's not as if Scotland, and especially Edinburgh, is lacking superb walking terrain.
Exercise will improve your fitness levels (which is good in itself). But the only way to seriously lose weight is to cut intake of food/alcohol.
I agree, but as an aside:
Both myself and Mrs J finds that exercise suppresses our appetites. I've no idea if this is just us or is a common phenomena, but when I'm out on a bakcpacking trip I actually have to force myself to eat.
@Socrates - they and New Orleans are the exceptions. Most American cities are soulless grids
Chicago is a great city. Fantastic character, brilliant architecture, fine people; I prefer it to self-regarding New York or overrated San Francisco.
Trouble is the awful weather and the hideous crime.
Chicago celebrated its lowest murder rate last year since 1965, with just 415 homicides. The population of the city is 2.7 million. In 2013 London had 99 homicides with a population of 8.4 million.
Yes, I accept the black projects in the larger, non-Western US cities is a serious mark against them. But while troubling for the conscience, it doesn't really affect your quality of life because people of middle incomes and above live in a different part of town.
Year Of Next Election - 2015 1/9 William Hill. Free money.
Better than a bank.
Under what circumstances could an election happen this year? For example, if the LDs took their ball home and dissolved the coalition, what would [most probably] happen?
Well, in that event the Lib Dems (or Labour) could call a confidence vote, which Cameron would probably lose. Cameron would then, I think, under the Fixed Term Parliament Act be within his rights to ask for parliament to be dissolved and a general election to be called. Why the Lib Dems would want such an outcome given their current polling figures I can't think.
If the Lib Dems walked out of the coalition and no confidence vote was called then Cameron would soldier on with a minority government, with probably no practical effect (the legislative queue ain't exactly full) but with massive ability to make political points to the the Lib Dems detriment.
The Lib Dems are probably screwed anyway but going early is probably the worst of their options.
5th in Euros => Clegg deposed => Humongous internicene war breaks out amongt the yellows => Party completely implodes => New leader (50.1% of last round of voting) leads them in a very sharp left turn => Government riven by infighting to the point of ceasing to function => Collapse and election.
Unlikely but far from unfeasible.
Hmm To vote Lib Dem to see off this theoretical existential threat or Conservative to bring home the bundles from Winner/365...
@SeanT is right. I too have friends who emigrated to Australia for a "better life". They maintain the pretence that they have it until about halfway through the second pint in the pub. Then they pine for home. That all said, they do live in Perth which is, I am reliably informed, almost North American in its dullness, among the dullest sun-kissed cities in the world.
The last place I heard this was in Perth! Actually, on Rottnest Island.
But I have also heard it in Sydney and in Queensland.
And I have two friends out here in Thailand, supposedly living the ultimate life, who are now quietly talking about coming home. They miss the conversation, and the seasons. And Europe.
Easy to forget how amazing and compact Europe is. You can fly two hours from London and be in Venice, Monte Carlo, Barcelona, the Alps, Norway, Lake Garda, the Aran islands, the Algarve, Berlin, Rome, Tuscany, the Pyrenees..
Just incredible.
Two hours flying from Perth, west Australia puts you in Broome, west Australia.
I lived with an Aussie lass for four years. Her father grew up in East London after the war, and had a childhood of deprivation amongst the bombed-out houses. As soon as possible he became a Ten Pound Pom.
He hated England with a passion and supported Australia in everything. Except: he supported West Ham in football, and drunk 'English' bitter in an English-themed pub that was filled with English expats.
I love America, butI find most North American cities seriously lacking in culture and good food, many are identikit. I hear some Australian cities are possibly even worse.
Why had Ed started bragging his own perceived qualities at precisely the moment Labour slip's behind Con?
As I understand it he is being asked "Will you be a better Prime Minister than Cameron?" and he is answering with "Yes, because...".
He's hardly going to say "No, of course not, vote for the other guy".
Those types of questions tend to be of the nature that if they have to be asked the answer is no.
Ah, that's a good point.
It's not Miliband's answers that are interesting, it is why he is being asked the question. And the reason must be that the newspapers have cottoned on to the fact that the public don't rate Miliband, so any answer he gives will get people's attention and make a story.
If the newspapers thought that the public rated Miliband more highly than Cameron they would be asking Cameron whether Miliband would make a better PM, because he would have to say no, and it would be a no that their readers would be interested in - because they disagree with it.
I love America, butI find most North American cities seriously lacking in culture and good food, many are identikit. I hear some Australian cities are possibly even worse.
What are you meaning by "culture"? What does, say, Leicester have over Charlotte?
Actually what Salmond said is probably a good reflection of the future if Scotland is independent.
Access to the Norwegian fishing grounds (where 'access' is used in its accepted term when referring to fishing as meaning 'the right to fish') is probably entirely dependent on Scotland remaining in the EU. If Scotland leaves then the treaty agreement that gives Norway access to Scottish fishing grounds will no longer apply. In that case Norway will be allowing access to its own fishing grounds in return for nothing.
At that point I suspect the Norwegians will pull out of the deal, citing the loss of access to Scottish waters as a justifiable grounds.
The alternative is, of course, that the EU offers them something else in return. Not sure what they have that would be of interest to the Norwegian fishing industry though.
Royalty-free repeats for ever of Andy Stewart's Scottish Hogmanay Party?
I was the only white or sober guy on a bus there once, and very threatening atmosphere. As soon as they found out that I was not French things lightened up significantly, but still glad to get off!
Have you considered Mauritius? Lovely spot.
In Australia I would avoid the Gold Coast. It is like an Australian Benidorm without the class. The Sunshine Coast is better, and Adelaide better still. No inheritance tax in Oz either.
O/T - where would be a nice place to retire to that meets the following conditions?
- hot. Like, Dubai hot - safe - low tax - booze available - nice beaches - nice places to eat out - minimal risk of property expropriation a la Malta, Spain, Porchickle
I love America, butI find most North American cities seriously lacking in culture and good food, many are identikit. I hear some Australian cities are possibly even worse.
I'm doing a visit to Washington and New York in November, should be fun, and New York, like London just feels like a unique place, distinct from the rest of country.
The worst new world country for pubs has to be New Zealand. The food and drink here is clearly the worst in the 'developed' English speaking world. I toured three years ago - you would arrive in a new city after a very long drive and nowhere could serve you a decent freshly cooked meal. I was astounded by just how bad it was.
Alex Salmond tells Radio 4 he is on the 5-2 diet and has recently lost 2 stone 4 pounds.
Good on him. Although going for a walk (or if you have to, run) is better than any diet, IMHO. It's not as if Scotland, and especially Edinburgh, is lacking superb walking terrain.
Exercise will improve your fitness levels (which is good in itself). But the only way to seriously lose weight is to cut intake of food/alcohol.
^^This.
About a year ago I realised that at a shade under 17st 4lb with a 38/40 inch waist, I really should do something about my weight or risk an early grave.
I took up running and was seriously struggling to lose any significant weight, and my knees & ankles were buggered.
I looked at my diet and made a few changes, and finally started to lose weight.
I'm now about 13st 10lb, finally no longer in the obese BMI range and am down to 34 inch waist.
Still just under 2 st to lose to reach my target BMI range though. I'm hopeful to get there this year.
I feel much better and finally enjoy running and have just hit my target for 5k at under 30 mins.
I love America, butI find most North American cities seriously lacking in culture and good food, many are identikit. I hear some Australian cities are possibly even worse.
What are you meaning by "culture"? What does, say, Leicester have over Charlotte?
The other thing that American cities have is that they often have far greater sense of social community than we do. People far more often have parties and get togethers on a regular basis than in the UK, and there's far more openness to meeting new people. That counts for a lot in terms of quality of life and the nature of a city.
Year Of Next Election - 2015 1/9 William Hill. Free money.
Better than a bank.
Under what circumstances could an election happen this year? For example, if the LDs took their ball home and dissolved the coalition, what would [most probably] happen?
Well, in that event the Lib Dems (or Labour) could call a confidence vote, which Cameron would probably lose. Cameron would then, I think, under the Fixed Term Parliament Act be within his rights to ask for parliament to be dissolved and a general election to be called. Why the Lib Dems would want such an outcome given their current polling figures I can't think.
If the Lib Dems walked out of the coalition and no confidence vote was called then Cameron would soldier on with a minority government, with probably no practical effect (the legislative queue ain't exactly full) but with massive ability to make political points to the the Lib Dems detriment.
The Lib Dems are probably screwed anyway but going early is probably the worst of their options.
5th in Euros => Clegg deposed => Humongous internicene war breaks out amongt the yellows => Party completely implodes => New leader (50.1% of last round of voting) leads them in a very sharp left turn => Government riven by infighting to the point of ceasing to function => Collapse and election.
Unlikely but far from unfeasible.
Aye, Mr. Anorak, a plausible, if unlikely, scenario, except for one thing. Regardless of who is the Lib Dem leader or which direction that party is pointing this week, does not the Fixed Term Parliament Act mean that an early election is not possible without a vote in the House?
I hated Washington DC - boring, dreadful, clinical planned dystopia. Lego Brick City. However, the countryside around it - the Blue Ridge Mountains, Skyline Drive, the Shenandoah - pristine wilderness. Some of the most beautiful countryside I have ever had the honour to visit.
I love America, butI find most North American cities seriously lacking in culture and good food, many are identikit. I hear some Australian cities are possibly even worse.
What are you meaning by "culture"? What does, say, Leicester have over Charlotte?
Most decent sized American cities have several major sports franchises, and they're far more affordable than a Premiership game. Yes, I know the reaction is going to be "well the sport I know well and enjoy is far better than the sports I don't understand very much", but that's just a subjective bias.
The other thing that American cities have is that they often have far greater sense of social community than we do. People far more often have parties and get togethers on a regular basis than in the UK, and there's far more openness to meeting new people. That counts for a lot in terms of quality of life and the nature of a city.
Yes although it's interesting that they don't like the idea of paying for other people's health care through taxation.
There's a real stench of arrogance/entitlement coming off Miliband at the moment.
I suspect a big chunk of the shift is down to people picking up on the "intellectual self-confidence" point and thinking 'what an arse'. This will be reinforced by the "more personally competent" comment.
People don't like self-entitled, arrogant and complacent individuals. Natural reaction is to kick them in the backside.
I love America, butI find most North American cities seriously lacking in culture and good food, many are identikit. I hear some Australian cities are possibly even worse.
I'm doing a visit to Washington and New York in November, should be fun, and New York, like London just feels like a unique place, distinct from the rest of country.
Oh god don't go to Washington DC...Dave Gorman does a good bit about the place in his GoogleWhack show and he is absolutely spot on.
I love America, butI find most North American cities seriously lacking in culture and good food, many are identikit. I hear some Australian cities are possibly even worse.
What are you meaning by "culture"? What does, say, Leicester have over Charlotte?
Also has a world snooker champion and the National Space Centre!
To be fair Leicester is also dreadfully dull. It still ranks above most American cities, many of which struggle to serve you meal that you don't need two hands to carry, and three stomachs to accommodate.
I was thinking of visiting either Copenhagen or Helsinki next weekend.
Might be a bit warmer than here.
The latest ECMWF forecast does suggest that Helsinki will be a touch warmer than SE England at the weekend, but Copenhagen will be roughly on a par, excepting for the fact that the Baltic Sea temperatures are still more than five degrees cooler than the English Channel.
Would be surprised if the SE wasn't warm and sunny at the weekend.
I love America, butI find most North American cities seriously lacking in culture and good food, many are identikit. I hear some Australian cities are possibly even worse.
What are you meaning by "culture"? What does, say, Leicester have over Charlotte?
Also has a world snooker champion and the National Space Centre!
To be fair Leicester is also dreadfully dull. It still ranks above most American cities, many of which struggle to serve you meal that you don't need two hands to carry, and three stomachs to accommodate.
Absurd ignorance. There's great Mexican and Japanese food all over the place. We have far more trashy kebab shops and fried chicken places in our town centres.
I was thinking of visiting either Copenhagen or Helsinki next weekend.
Might be a bit warmer than here.
The latest ECMWF forecast does suggest that Helsinki will be a touch warmer than SE England at the weekend, but Copenhagen will be roughly on a par, excepting for the fact that the Baltic Sea temperatures are still more than five degrees cooler than the English Channel.
Would be surprised if the SE wasn't warm and sunny at the weekend.
Ah, are you talking about the Bank Holiday weekend? The difference is much more marked at that point in the forecasts...
I was thinking of visiting either Copenhagen or Helsinki next weekend.
Might be a bit warmer than here.
The latest ECMWF forecast does suggest that Helsinki will be a touch warmer than SE England at the weekend, but Copenhagen will be roughly on a par, excepting for the fact that the Baltic Sea temperatures are still more than five degrees cooler than the English Channel.
Would be surprised if the SE wasn't warm and sunny at the weekend.
Tivoli is now open for the season in Copenhagen if you like tasteful theme parks!
Comments
Or Scotland's vote for independence extending out the date of the next election.
Small risk maybe. But not zero.
So he thinks he has "more intellectual self-confidence" than Cameron, and is also "more personally competent".
Dave, step over immediately. Ed is obviously your utter superior, and should lead the country immediately!
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/may/13/ed-miliband-shrugs-off-fall-popularity-labour-polls
As a Norwich fan, we'll take him.
The Fixed Term Parliaments Act, which sets out new rules on the timing of general elections, received royal assent (became law) on 15 September 2011. This means that the next general election will be on 7 May 2015. There will be a state opening soon after this date.
4th June is last possible date for a black swan. And I agree there is some risk, but its quite small (2% maybe ?) so thats why I'm in for a hundred and not a thousand.
"more intellectual self-confidence"
It is interesting. The first quote comes from this interview
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-27388780
He is banging on about how he is in touch with the common man, how he feels their pain. Except, nobody in the street uses language like the above two quote (and they are just two of many similar ones).
I think it is incredibly hard to convince people that you really do understand them, if you speak in these weird ways. Blair was a master at changing his language to suit the audience, I just saw a Youtube clip from Marr last week, with Miliband and Farage, and in fact the non-normal bloke-ness is highlighted by Farage's pretty basic straight talking approach.
And finally, Miliband tries to attack Farage on being heir to Thatcher. There was another example of this recently, where in an interview he was giving it the big Thatcher bashing. And again he is totally wrong if he really believes his "One Nation" stuff.
There are lots of "aspirational" type folks who voted Thatcher, voted Blair, and that don't think everything that Thatcher did was evil (just check the polling when she died), keeping going big on the Thatcher bashing brings back the divide of for or against and well we know that Thatcher won the battles for the public every time.
There are thousands of papers on climate change. Typically they have a 95% confidence threshold on the data. Most are better than that, but still, that means there may be 5% of papers which draw erroneous conclusions, and will add false data to both AGW/non-AGW evidence piles (peer-reviewed or otherwise). This shows that the existence of papers which contradict the prevailing view is likely and provides proof that the system works as it should.
The existence of hundreds of "no-AGW" papers does not mean the issue is not settled. Or rather, it doesn't mean that when faced with a towering column of tens-of-thousands of papers in the "AGW is real" camp. It's a mendacious misuse of (usually) good sciencific methods and the peer-review process.
By the way, I've just been for a walk in the sun, so I guess I "work in the field" too.
He's just moving pretend divisions around Berlin now.
He actually said this, which is more plausible
Ed Miliband says he is "more personally incompetent" than David Cameron
Instead he's a political toff. After all, he's a millionaire who was gifted a job with Tony Benn as a teenager, and has been in politics ever since.
Labour need to commit Edicide.
Or indeed, why he's bigging himself up when his personal ratings are dropping through the floor? Anyone would think he's feeling a little insecure.
Ed Miliband, Leader of the Opposition, is a dick. Ahhhhh.....
He's been left out of Spain's World Cup squad and Fernando Torres is in. Fernando Torres
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/cricket/27396177
If the Lib Dems walked out of the coalition and no confidence vote was called then Cameron would soldier on with a minority government, with probably no practical effect (the legislative queue ain't exactly full) but with massive ability to make political points to the the Lib Dems detriment.
The Lib Dems are probably screwed anyway but going early is probably the worst of their options.
But what happens if e.g. the coalition falls after 4 June but in time for a GE in 2014? Surely the FTP Act doesn't force us all to wait till 7 May 2015 for a GE just because the 2014-5 session has opened. Or does it?
http://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/politics/uk-general-election/next-general-election-constituency-betting-e216773182#
He's hardly going to say "No, of course not, vote for the other guy".
Never mind the ballots: Denmark cages violent cartoon hero Voteman
Sexually prodigious, muscle-bound, perennially enraged character was created to boost turnout in European elections
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/13/denmark-voteman-violent-cartoon-ballot-election-european
Unlikely but far from unfeasible.
http://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/politics/en-gbneral-election/next-general-election-constituency-betting-e216773182#
Ave It said so.
UKIP are 20-1 in Barking which is probably a better bet methinks.
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2014/05/labour-poll-blow-party-anger-could-focus-on-shadow-cabinet/
What he came out with is the worst possible wonk-speak.
One thing seems obvious from these quotes: he doesn't just dislike Cameron; he thinks he is better.
Nice survey finding - "Should you avoid using misleading data visualisation just to support your argument?" pic.twitter.com/vJU0bJ5OVT
twitter.com/danbarker/status/465851703297064962
Guido Fawkes ✔ @GuidoFawkes
Heroic Alec Shelberforce Fights to Free the Slaves: http://bit.ly/1iNNPk0
Harry Cole @MrHarryCole
Labour MP rises to oppose Tory bill to stop exploitation of young people.
Both myself and Mrs J finds that exercise suppresses our appetites. I've no idea if this is just us or is a common phenomena, but when I'm out on a bakcpacking trip I actually have to force myself to eat.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/01/02/chicago-homicides-down-dr_n_4531328.html
Has our Prime Minister been ministering to any fallen women today?
Yes, I accept the black projects in the larger, non-Western US cities is a serious mark against them. But while troubling for the conscience, it doesn't really affect your quality of life because people of middle incomes and above live in a different part of town.
He hated England with a passion and supported Australia in everything. Except: he supported West Ham in football, and drunk 'English' bitter in an English-themed pub that was filled with English expats.
I hear some Australian cities are possibly even worse.
Might be a bit warmer than here.
It's not Miliband's answers that are interesting, it is why he is being asked the question. And the reason must be that the newspapers have cottoned on to the fact that the public don't rate Miliband, so any answer he gives will get people's attention and make a story.
If the newspapers thought that the public rated Miliband more highly than Cameron they would be asking Cameron whether Miliband would make a better PM, because he would have to say no, and it would be a no that their readers would be interested in - because they disagree with it.
Oh, the wend bloo hay an the wend bloo loo
...etc
I was the only white or sober guy on a bus there once, and very threatening atmosphere. As soon as they found out that I was not French things lightened up significantly, but still glad to get off!
Have you considered Mauritius? Lovely spot.
In Australia I would avoid the Gold Coast. It is like an Australian Benidorm without the class. The Sunshine Coast is better, and Adelaide better still. No inheritance tax in Oz either.
About a year ago I realised that at a shade under 17st 4lb with a 38/40 inch waist, I really should do something about my weight or risk an early grave.
I took up running and was seriously struggling to lose any significant weight, and my knees & ankles were buggered.
I looked at my diet and made a few changes, and finally started to lose weight.
I'm now about 13st 10lb, finally no longer in the obese BMI range and am down to 34 inch waist.
Still just under 2 st to lose to reach my target BMI range though. I'm hopeful to get there this year.
I feel much better and finally enjoy running and have just hit my target for 5k at under 30 mins.
I hated Washington DC - boring, dreadful, clinical planned dystopia. Lego Brick City. However, the countryside around it - the Blue Ridge Mountains, Skyline Drive, the Shenandoah - pristine wilderness. Some of the most beautiful countryside I have ever had the honour to visit.
I suspect a big chunk of the shift is down to people picking up on the "intellectual self-confidence" point and thinking 'what an arse'. This will be reinforced by the "more personally competent" comment.
People don't like self-entitled, arrogant and complacent individuals. Natural reaction is to kick them in the backside.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uyVxGDE6zgo
The BlueRidge Mountain Parkway on the other hand is awesome.
Would be surprised if the SE wasn't warm and sunny at the weekend.
Not next weekend it won't be. Be much warmer here - lovely forecast.
They move them around and they are in sports almost no other country plays.
Next.
I saw, err, Eck, on Boulton - I wasn't overly impressed.