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  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    This should be media training in how not to deal with UKIP
    Poor UKIP, even the BNP are attacking them in their election broadcast.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=am2-fVIkf8I
    'the difference is that UKIP stand up for British people of all hues...'
    ... who don't like dem foreigners.
    You are Barbara Roche and I claim my 5 Euros
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited April 2014
    And here'a free tip to UKIP and to Nigel Farage, offered gratis and in good faith.

    'Plain speaking' is all very well, but sometimes you can over-do it:

    Ian Austin ‏@IanAustinMP

    Very interesting: @bbcnickrobinson reports Farage said that if he stood and lost "the bubble would burst".
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    The biggest thing which UKIP will do is UKIPise the tory party going forward.. there is no way which any future leader of the tories will be able to resist taking on and adopting some/most of UKIPs arguements.

    If UKIP can do well enough before the next Tory leader emerges then it is possible such a strategy would fail, as any attempt to steal UKIP's clothing would run the risk of looking insincere, people would wonder why they shouldn't just vote for the real UKIP, rather than the UKIP-lite Tories, and it would alienate existing Tory support in the centre.

  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549
    edited April 2014
    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    This should be media training in how not to deal with UKIP
    Poor UKIP, even the BNP are attacking them in their election broadcast.
    Thank God UKIP have turned up to steer people away from them.

    Can see why the poor & uneducated were tempted, but the difference is that UKIP stand up for British people of all hues, without a sinister undertone of race hate and white superiority while offering a middle way of controlled immigration rather than the extremes of the Labour, Conservatives and Lib Dems (uncontrolled) on one side and the BNP (none) on the other.
    What is UKIP's policy on penguins?

    Ed Miliband going on the UKIP=Thatcherism line which is an interesting form of attack.
    Ah let him carry on, plenty of working class voters supported Thatcher.

    Honestly I believe the best way of defeating UKIP would be for the other parties to give positive examples to vote for them rather than scaremongering about UKIP... the negative approach simply isn't working, look at the polls/betting.

    This reminds me of a controlling boyfriend that wont let an unhappy partner leave, and so slags off every other bloke in the area.. would be better off accepting it and giving reasons to stay/examples of how they've changed

    The other three parties are playing such a short game here, smacks of desperation.. long may it continue

    Eh, people have always said that about negative campaigning and it's still done because it still works to an extent.

    It's more that campaigns generally have a limited effect (imho) in changing how most people vote at the election.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Dyedwoolie prediction update
    GE, Lab largest party, 15 short, 20 ahead, Miliband PM of minority government, election in 12 months, movement to Labour on back of flatlining Tory share in polls
    Indy No 52, Yes 48, no movement
    Euros, UKIP 30ish and winners, Lab and Tory in the low twenties
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    isam said:

    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    This should be media training in how not to deal with UKIP
    Poor UKIP, even the BNP are attacking them in their election broadcast.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=am2-fVIkf8I
    'the difference is that UKIP stand up for British people of all hues...'
    ... who don't like dem foreigners.
    You are Barbara Roche and I claim my 5 Euros
    'Euros' bah humbug - a true Englishman would ask for nothing less than pounds sterling. ; )
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,937
    edited April 2014
    SeanT said:

    I've just baxtered this latest poll, as if it were for a Westminster General Election.

    It produces these results:

    Labour: 213
    Lib Dems: 9
    UKIP: 380
    Tories: 21

    O, how a small, mean part of me would laugh, very hard, if that actually happened.

    By God, there would be some rum characters elected for UKIP if that happened. Probably have about a hundred by-elections a year...!

    (...which I would not want to make sound like a bad thing. Not on Political Betting....)

    I have been struck by the comments along the lines of UKIP = Millwall, "...and we don't care." But surely it is more a case of a large chunk of the voters - a really large chunk - who are saying they are Millwall, and in UKIP finding someone to support....
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    I've watched a bit of that BNP broadcast without sound...

    Can someone explain the BNP's policy on penguins arriving at Heathrow - do they need to use the EU or non EU queue ?
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Poll conclusions
    Britain neither red hearts Europe nor the establishment

    Consolation prize
    They do not red heart revolution or financial uncertainty either.
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262

    isam said:

    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    This should be media training in how not to deal with UKIP
    Poor UKIP, even the BNP are attacking them in their election broadcast.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=am2-fVIkf8I
    'the difference is that UKIP stand up for British people of all hues...'
    ... who don't like dem foreigners.
    You are Barbara Roche and I claim my 5 Euros
    'Euros' bah humbug - a true Englishman would ask for nothing less than pounds sterling. ; )
    Pre-decimalisation of course, though a hard core Kipper would expect to be paid in sovereigns.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,457
    This sort of thing from the EU is the Europhobes best hope of getting out of the EU. Admittedly I've only talked to a few people about it, but none, even the vaguely Europhillic, were in favour of it.

    The more they do this sort of stupidity, the more likely I am to jump off the fence.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    You don't 'get the bankers' without getting everyone else.
    They know this.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    This should be media training in how not to deal with UKIP
    Poor UKIP, even the BNP are attacking them in their election broadcast.
    Thank God UKIP have turned up to steer people away from them.

    Can see why the poor & uneducated were tempted, but the difference is that UKIP stand up for British people of all hues, without a sinister undertone of race hate and white superiority while offering a middle way of controlled immigration rather than the extremes of the Labour, Conservatives and Lib Dems (uncontrolled) on one side and the BNP (none) on the other.
    What is UKIP's policy on penguins?

    Ed Miliband going on the UKIP=Thatcherism line which is an interesting form of attack.
    Ah let him carry on, plenty of working class voters supported Thatcher.

    Honestly I believe the best way of defeating UKIP would be for the other parties to give positive examples to vote for them rather than scaremongering about UKIP... the negative approach simply isn't working, look at the polls/betting.

    This reminds me of a controlling boyfriend that wont let an unhappy partner leave, and so slags off every other bloke in the area.. would be better off accepting it and giving reasons to stay/examples of how they've changed

    The other three parties are playing such a short game here, smacks of desperation.. long may it continue

    Eh, people have always said that about negative campaigning and it's still done because it still works to an extent.

    It's more that campaigns generally have a limited effect (imho) in changing how most people vote at the election.
    Well it aint working this time!
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    edited April 2014
    I voted for jimmy Goldsmiths party in 1997 much to my shame.
    I am toying with a screw it, join the party fun vote at the Euros. Just to see Cam and Ed implode.
    It might do some good.
    The counter argument is making the world according to Nigel a self-fulfilling prophecy
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Ooh! Look who is in Newark roughing it in Wetherspoons!

    Roger Helmer ‏@RogerHelmerMEP 11m
    Great media morning in Newark Market Square. Excellent breakfast in Wetherspoons.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    This should be media training in how not to deal with UKIP
    Poor UKIP, even the BNP are attacking them in their election broadcast.
    Thank God UKIP have turned up to steer people away from them.

    Can see why the poor & uneducated were tempted, but the difference is that UKIP stand up for British people of all hues, without a sinister undertone of race hate and white superiority while offering a middle way of controlled immigration rather than the extremes of the Labour, Conservatives and Lib Dems (uncontrolled) on one side and the BNP (none) on the other.
    What is UKIP's policy on penguins?

    Ed Miliband going on the UKIP=Thatcherism line which is an interesting form of attack.
    Ah let him carry on, plenty of working class voters supported Thatcher.

    Honestly I believe the best way of defeating UKIP would be for the other parties to give positive examples to vote for them rather than scaremongering about UKIP... the negative approach simply isn't working, look at the polls/betting.

    This reminds me of a controlling boyfriend that wont let an unhappy partner leave, and so slags off every other bloke in the area.. would be better off accepting it and giving reasons to stay/examples of how they've changed

    The other three parties are playing such a short game here, smacks of desperation.. long may it continue

    Eh, people have always said that about negative campaigning and it's still done because it still works to an extent.

    It's more that campaigns generally have a limited effect (imho) in changing how most people vote at the election.
    Well it aint working this time!
    No, because outside of the big cities, there is a growing feeling of 'I don't recognise my country anymore' but no one is allowed to ask why, or debate it, or question it. Therefore when the establishment attack UKIP as racist, they are tacitly telling small town and rural UK it is racist and to suck it up.
    It's a daft move.
    The country is changing, very fast, a chance to discuss that is essential and is, in the main, the reason for UKIPs rise.
    'Theyre doing stuff again Gladys, and things are happening (meaning the government/establishment)' it's the unease that we have lost control of the ability to even understand our little island home.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    Are the Newark wards having locals ?
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    isam said:

    Ooh! Look who is in Newark roughing it in Wetherspoons!

    Roger Helmer ‏@RogerHelmerMEP 11m
    Great media morning in Newark Market Square. Excellent breakfast in Wetherspoons.

    Going for the violent alcoholic 10am drinker vote
    That's why I open at 3 :-D
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    And I object to anything Werherspoons microwave as being described as 'excellent' !!
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,704

    isam said:

    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    This should be media training in how not to deal with UKIP
    Poor UKIP, even the BNP are attacking them in their election broadcast.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=am2-fVIkf8I
    'the difference is that UKIP stand up for British people of all hues...'
    ... who don't like dem foreigners.
    You are Barbara Roche and I claim my 5 Euros
    'Euros' bah humbug - a true Englishman would ask for nothing less than pounds sterling. ; )
    Pre-decimalisation of course, though a hard core Kipper would expect to be paid in sovereigns.
    Guineas, I understand!
  • MillsyMillsy Posts: 900
    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @patrickwintour: Things people are doing with UKIP leaflets. http://t.co/cQab3IxuAL
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    isam said:

    Ooh! Look who is in Newark roughing it in Wetherspoons!

    Roger Helmer ‏@RogerHelmerMEP 11m
    Great media morning in Newark Market Square. Excellent breakfast in Wetherspoons.

    Did he meet any gays in there?
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Millsy said:

    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.

    Labour can always rely on the keeping up with the Jones vote. By dint of their crafty stealing from the Jones and giving it to the lazy policies
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    isam said:

    Ooh! Look who is in Newark roughing it in Wetherspoons!

    Roger Helmer ‏@RogerHelmerMEP 11m
    Great media morning in Newark Market Square. Excellent breakfast in Wetherspoons.

    Did he meet any gays in there?
    I wonder if he went street and asked if they serve special brew like the nice chaps outside at 8 when they opened were quaffing.

  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,779
    Pulpstar said:

    I've watched a bit of that BNP broadcast without sound...

    Can someone explain the BNP's policy on penguins arriving at Heathrow - do they need to use the EU or non EU queue ?

    I watched the BNP broadcast in the gym last night with subtitles and no sound... it didn't make it any better, nor did it make any more sense.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    O/T:

    There's this guy who jogs past about once a week, and the funny thing is that he must be about 75 now, but he carries on jogging as if he was 50 years younger. I usually wave to him as he goes past, and he sort of waves back in a desultory fashion, even though I've never actually met him.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    Pulpstar said:

    I've watched a bit of that BNP broadcast without sound...

    Can someone explain the BNP's policy on penguins arriving at Heathrow - do they need to use the EU or non EU queue ?

    I watched the BNP broadcast in the gym last night with subtitles and no sound... it didn't make it any better, nor did it make any more sense.
    I think the penguins have to decide if they are black or white, and queue accordingly.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Roger Helmer as the honorable member for Newark would be amusing.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    I've only received one leaflet so far. Guess who it's from: that's right — the purples.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    AndyJS said:

    O/T:

    There's this guy who jogs past about once a week, and the funny thing is that he must be about 75 now, but he carries on jogging as if he was 50 years younger. I usually wave to him as he goes past, and he sort of waves back in a desultory fashion, even though I've never actually met him.

    It's like Sleepless in Seattle with colostomy bags. Sexy.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,534
    Socrates said:

    'Kin Hell

    TNS BMRB poll on the Euros

    UKIP 36%

    Lab 27%

    Con 18%

    LD 10%

    Others 9%

    My goodness. What the other big parties really need to do now is go all in on presenting themselves as one establishment front, and scream "racist" even louder. That'll work wonders.
    Perhaps a No Platform policy for UKIP?
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    There is Portsmouth South to consider.Farage calls for by-election.Hancock's not in good health,he says.


    http://www.theblueguerilla.co.uk/2014/04/farage-eyes-portsmouth-south-with-by.html
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    Here's an extremely rough and ready pictoral analysis of why the seat should be a reasonably safe Conservative hold:

    http://i248.photobucket.com/albums/gg190/Pulpstar/newark1.png
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,668
    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    Good God man! Why don't you just come out and say things?!

    Go on then, what is Nigel Farage's definition of race?

    As previously discussed, Farage claimed he was the victim of anti-English racism in Scotland. If Roche is wrong, so is he - as you said when we debated it before.

  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262

    There is Portsmouth South to consider.Farage calls for by-election.Hancock's not in good health,he says.


    http://www.theblueguerilla.co.uk/2014/04/farage-eyes-portsmouth-south-with-by.html

    What's wrong with Handy?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,937
    Pulpstar said:

    I've watched a bit of that BNP broadcast without sound...

    Can someone explain the BNP's policy on penguins arriving at Heathrow - do they need to use the EU or non EU queue ?

    As the only northern hemisphere penguins are literally just a few miles over in the northern Galapagos Islands, I think we can safely say the non-EU queue....

  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    There is Portsmouth South to consider.Farage calls for by-election.Hancock's not in good health,he says.


    http://www.theblueguerilla.co.uk/2014/04/farage-eyes-portsmouth-south-with-by.html

    He's one step away from hanging round Hancocks hospital bed and poking him repeatedly to see if he's dead yet. Classy.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406

    There is Portsmouth South to consider.Farage calls for by-election.Hancock's not in good health,he says.


    http://www.theblueguerilla.co.uk/2014/04/farage-eyes-portsmouth-south-with-by.html

    What's wrong with Handy?
    He knows how to wear a tie.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,457
    AndyJS said:

    O/T:

    There's this guy who jogs past about once a week, and the funny thing is that he must be about 75 now, but he carries on jogging as if he was 50 years younger. I usually wave to him as he goes past, and he sort of waves back in a desultory fashion, even though I've never actually met him.

    There was an old fella like that in Great Shelford / Trumpington seven or so years ago. He'd be out at the same time every day, come rain or shine. If we were walking past we'd nod hello, and he'd do the same. I shudder to think how many miles he got under his belt.

    We haven't seen him for years, and we always wonder what's happened to him.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406

    Pulpstar said:

    I've watched a bit of that BNP broadcast without sound...

    Can someone explain the BNP's policy on penguins arriving at Heathrow - do they need to use the EU or non EU queue ?

    As the only northern hemisphere penguins are literally just a few miles over in the northern Galapagos Islands, I think we can safely say the non-EU queue....

    What about the ones coming from a French zoo ? Will the more recent immigrant penguins try and drive them out of the country ?
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    Pulpstar said:

    I've watched a bit of that BNP broadcast without sound...

    Can someone explain the BNP's policy on penguins arriving at Heathrow - do they need to use the EU or non EU queue ?

    As the only northern hemisphere penguins are literally just a few miles over in the northern Galapagos Islands, I think we can safely say the non-EU queue....

    The white penguins get an ANZAC working visa and Someone shoots the black ones?
    I'm still confused
  • shadsyshadsy Posts: 289
    New market at Ladbrokes for the Euros.

    UKIP GB Vote Share
    25/1 Under 15%
    12/1 15-20%
    5/1 20-25%
    7/4 25-30%
    5/2 30-35%
    6/1 35-40%
    16/1 Over 40%

    Apologies for anyone who couldn't get more that a tenner or something on the Newark betting - a glitch at our end which should now be fixed.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I've watched a bit of that BNP broadcast without sound...

    Can someone explain the BNP's policy on penguins arriving at Heathrow - do they need to use the EU or non EU queue ?

    As the only northern hemisphere penguins are literally just a few miles over in the northern Galapagos Islands, I think we can safely say the non-EU queue....

    What about the ones coming from a French zoo ? Will the more recent immigrant penguins try and drive them out of the country ?
    Fourth generation UK penguins have been heard to mutter that we would be mad, literally mad, to allow unfettered Penguin access
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    As I posted a few days ago I think most polling on anything other than the Euros and SInd is pretty meaningless for now. The UKIP bubble is unstoppable and distorting all else. Whether this lasts much beyond next month is, I think, unlikely. I expect the Tory share to recover a lot, Labour a little and the LDs less. Where that all leaves us, heaven only knows.
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    edited April 2014
    If Farage is so concerned by MPs not representing their constituents in Parliament, why doesn't he stand in Kirkaldy?
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    I should add that I agree wholeheartedly that the Establishment/Media attacks on UKIP have been as wrong as they could be - Clegg started it with the silly debates but no-one seems to have got the message and the UKIP 'itch' will only go away when people stop scratching it.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,376
    edited April 2014
    Farage has taken the right strategic position not to stand in Newark, but his remarks about "the bubble bursting" is rather telling.

    Suspect he know the Euro's are as good as it get's for him and UKIP, at least for this Parliament.

    In other news;

    Max Von Sydow in Star Wars Epsiode VII - I've died and gone to geek heaven!!!!!!
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    felix said:

    As I posted a few days ago I think most polling on anything other than the Euros and SInd is pretty meaningless for now. The UKIP bubble is unstoppable and distorting all else. Whether this lasts much beyond next month is, I think, unlikely. I expect the Tory share to recover a lot, Labour a little and the LDs less. Where that all leaves us, heaven only knows.

    It will take a little longer I think. Into the summer recess and conference season, then we should start to get a flavour of where the land lies. Probably something like 36/36/12/10 (Con/Lab/UKIP/LIB)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    edited April 2014
    shadsy said:

    New market at Ladbrokes for the Euros.

    UKIP GB Vote Share
    25/1 Under 15%
    12/1 15-20%
    5/1 20-25%
    7/4 25-30%
    5/2 30-35%
    6/1 35-40%
    16/1 Over 40%

    Apologies for anyone who couldn't get more that a tenner or something on the Newark betting - a glitch at our end which should now be fixed.

    Will you be setting a 5/6 (Or 10/11 if you're feeling generous ;) ) line ?

    28.5% ? 29 maybe ?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    Good God man! Why don't you just come out and say things?!

    Go on then, what is Nigel Farage's definition of race?

    As previously discussed, Farage claimed he was the victim of anti-English racism in Scotland. If Roche is wrong, so is he - as you said when we debated it before.

    Oh yeah, he was wrong to say that. Anyone who says people of the same race can be racist towards each other is wrong, its nonsense

    The difference is that Farage's was an off the cuff remark, while Roche and the people that she is in cahoots with, have formed a policy unit on the back of it
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    @MrGin - Max Von Sydow in a Star Wars film - I've died and gone to geek heaven!!!!!!

    Just heard some rather odd news - Gollum will be handed a light saber in the upcoming Star-Wars film. Tis this true?
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Just watch that Newsnight interview. Please can we have Barbara Roache on TV as much as possible?
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Millsy said:

    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.

    We wouldn't all be poorer with slightly less wealth and a much more even income distribution would we? Think about it.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,668
    felix said:

    As I posted a few days ago I think most polling on anything other than the Euros and SInd is pretty meaningless for now. The UKIP bubble is unstoppable and distorting all else. Whether this lasts much beyond next month is, I think, unlikely. I expect the Tory share to recover a lot, Labour a little and the LDs less. Where that all leaves us, heaven only knows.

    Agreed. It's clear UKIP is going to do very well in May. The aftermath of that is what will be really important - how much support UKIP retains for the GE. As an avowedly neo-liberal, Thatcherite party there's a lot about UKIP for the left to attack without having to scream racist. For the Tories, the task is trickier. How many Tories can convincingly argue against what Farage and other UKIP leaders say they believe in? Racist loony fruitcakes may be all the Tories have.

  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,376

    @MrGin - Max Von Sydow in a Star Wars film - I've died and gone to geek heaven!!!!!!

    Just heard some rather odd news - Gollum will be handed a light saber in the upcoming Star-Wars film. Tis this true?

    Andy Serkis (Gollum) will be in Episode VII, but whether he'll be playing a Jedi, or a villain, or a CGI character isn't known.

  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @Socrates

    "We wouldn't all be poorer with slightly less wealth and a much more even income distribution would we? Think about it."

    I have thought about it, and indeed looked at the evidence.
    Perhaps you should try doing the same?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Matthew Goodwin on BBC DP backing up my thinking when I devised my UKIP target list last year... What is needed is a two or possibly three way marginal, and I would add, where the UKIP /BNP vote was in excess of 7-8% in 2010
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Socrates said:

    Millsy said:

    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.

    We wouldn't all be poorer with slightly less wealth and a much more even income distribution would we? Think about it.
    Absolutely. The more you work, the wealthier those that shirk. Success is evil, and must be punished to provide IPhones for the fifth child of workless families. It's the kindest thing to do.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    isam said:

    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    This should be media training in how not to deal with UKIP
    Poor UKIP, even the BNP are attacking them in their election broadcast.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=am2-fVIkf8I
    'the difference is that UKIP stand up for British people of all hues...'
    ... who don't like dem foreigners.
    What's wonderful about this new cross-party anti-UKIP campaign is that its headed by someone with your sort of mentality. We get it so much on here, it's rather wonderful that we get to highlight it on a national broadcaster, and then the great British public can make their own conclusions.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Patrick O'Flynn ‏@oflynndirector 51s
    Jim Murphy challenged on whether Lab may reopen no referendum stance if Ukip wins the Euros: "l'm not going to speculate.'
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    felix said:

    As I posted a few days ago I think most polling on anything other than the Euros and SInd is pretty meaningless for now. The UKIP bubble is unstoppable and distorting all else. Whether this lasts much beyond next month is, I think, unlikely. I expect the Tory share to recover a lot, Labour a little and the LDs less. Where that all leaves us, heaven only knows.

    Agreed. It's clear UKIP is going to do very well in May. The aftermath of that is what will be really important - how much support UKIP retains for the GE. As an avowedly neo-liberal, Thatcherite party there's a lot about UKIP for the left to attack without having to scream racist. For the Tories, the task is trickier. How many Tories can convincingly argue against what Farage and other UKIP leaders say they believe in? Racist loony fruitcakes may be all the Tories have.

    They will be assaulted on the basis of no coherent platform for government and being Eds bag boys for number 10. If that isn't enough, the UK will get what it deserves. And the work shy will get what they don't.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    felix said:

    I should add that I agree wholeheartedly that the Establishment/Media attacks on UKIP have been as wrong as they could be - Clegg started it with the silly debates but no-one seems to have got the message and the UKIP 'itch' will only go away when people stop scratching it.

    Clegg's debate move - least he had the cojones to do it.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    Socrates said:

    Millsy said:

    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.

    We wouldn't all be poorer with slightly less wealth and a much more even income distribution would we? Think about it.
    Absolutely. The more you work, the wealthier those that shirk. Success is evil, and must be punished to provide IPhones for the fifth child of workless families. It's the kindest thing to do.
    Yes, that's exactly what I said. Blimey, I point out a mathematic possibility and you come out with this.

    The sad thing about many that comment on politics is that they can't accept a valid truth if it weakens their own argument, and also assume that anyone making it must be an extremist for the other side.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    TGOHF said:

    Quincel said:

    TGOHF said:

    Quincel said:

    TGOHF said:

    The biggest thing which UKIP will do is UKIPise the tory party going forward.. there is no way which any future leader of the tories will be able to resist taking on and adopting some/most of UKIPs arguements.

    Whilst subjecting us to 5 years of Ed Miliband ?

    Thanks Nige.

    If they really wanted to get MPs and influence the Con party they would stand down in Eurosceptic Tory Mp seats - and focus on say 50-100 of the wettest candidate seats (inc Ken Clarke).

    That they don't suggests it really is all about the cult of Nigel.
    They stood down in seats last time and all it did was make the Tories feel less threatened. If UKIP are seen to cost the Tories an election and threaten to do it again what Tory leader could make anything other than an unbreakable referendum pledge or dare break it?
    Which seats did they stand down in , can you post a link to the Ukip announcement of this and which Europhiliac Con seats did they target ?

    Or do you misremember ?
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-27216172

    The other thing these tactics do is destroy the morale of half your foot-soldiers who you're asking to pound pavements.
    Think you posted the wrong link - nothing in there about standing down in any seat - mostly the sound of a bottle crashing.
    Gah, wrong link indeed. I meant this one.

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/election_2010/8617035.stm
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    isam said:

    Matthew Goodwin on BBC DP backing up my thinking when I devised my UKIP target list last year... What is needed is a two or possibly three way marginal, and I would add, where the UKIP /BNP vote was in excess of 7-8% in 2010

    Was Newark in your third choice list "Worth a fiver" out of interest. I'm on at 50-1 for £5 in Norwich North of those.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    felix said:

    As I posted a few days ago I think most polling on anything other than the Euros and SInd is pretty meaningless for now. The UKIP bubble is unstoppable and distorting all else. Whether this lasts much beyond next month is, I think, unlikely. I expect the Tory share to recover a lot, Labour a little and the LDs less. Where that all leaves us, heaven only knows.

    Agreed. It's clear UKIP is going to do very well in May. The aftermath of that is what will be really important - how much support UKIP retains for the GE. As an avowedly neo-liberal, Thatcherite party there's a lot about UKIP for the left to attack without having to scream racist. For the Tories, the task is trickier. How many Tories can convincingly argue against what Farage and other UKIP leaders say they believe in? Racist loony fruitcakes may be all the Tories have.
    I'd be delighted to have a debate with Labour about what sort of economy works better: the pre-Thatcher economy or the post-Thatcher one. We'll get a good glimpse of the former if Ed Miliband brings in all his announced policies after 2015.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    Matthew Goodwin on BBC DP backing up my thinking when I devised my UKIP target list last year... What is needed is a two or possibly three way marginal, and I would add, where the UKIP /BNP vote was in excess of 7-8% in 2010

    Was Newark in your third choice list "Worth a fiver" out of interest. I'm on at 50-1 for £5 in Norwich North of those.
    It wasn't.. I think it was because there is no UKIP base and the Tories were so far clear in 2010
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,779
    isam said:

    Patrick O'Flynn ‏@oflynndirector 51s
    Jim Murphy challenged on whether Lab may reopen no referendum stance if Ukip wins the Euros: "l'm not going to speculate.'

    I make it 50/50....

  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Socrates said:

    Socrates said:

    Millsy said:

    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.

    We wouldn't all be poorer with slightly less wealth and a much more even income distribution would we? Think about it.
    Absolutely. The more you work, the wealthier those that shirk. Success is evil, and must be punished to provide IPhones for the fifth child of workless families. It's the kindest thing to do.
    Yes, that's exactly what I said. Blimey, I point out a mathematic possibility and you come out with this.

    The sad thing about many that comment on politics is that they can't accept a valid truth if it weakens their own argument, and also assume that anyone making it must be an extremist for the other side.
    I'm merely pointing out the result of the mathematical possibility you mention. It's not an attack on you or your politics.
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549
    isam said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    Good God man! Why don't you just come out and say things?!

    Go on then, what is Nigel Farage's definition of race?

    As previously discussed, Farage claimed he was the victim of anti-English racism in Scotland. If Roche is wrong, so is he - as you said when we debated it before.

    Oh yeah, he was wrong to say that. Anyone who says people of the same race can be racist towards each other is wrong, its nonsense

    The difference is that Farage's was an off the cuff remark, while Roche and the people that she is in cahoots with, have formed a policy unit on the back of it
    *coughs* words evolve.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    Matthew Goodwin on BBC DP backing up my thinking when I devised my UKIP target list last year... What is needed is a two or possibly three way marginal, and I would add, where the UKIP /BNP vote was in excess of 7-8% in 2010

    Was Newark in your third choice list "Worth a fiver" out of interest. I'm on at 50-1 for £5 in Norwich North of those.
    A good value bet. All down to whether UKIP can also squeeze Labour, rather than letting them in through the middle.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    Socrates said:

    Socrates said:

    Millsy said:

    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.

    We wouldn't all be poorer with slightly less wealth and a much more even income distribution would we? Think about it.
    Absolutely. The more you work, the wealthier those that shirk. Success is evil, and must be punished to provide IPhones for the fifth child of workless families. It's the kindest thing to do.
    Yes, that's exactly what I said. Blimey, I point out a mathematic possibility and you come out with this.

    The sad thing about many that comment on politics is that they can't accept a valid truth if it weakens their own argument, and also assume that anyone making it must be an extremist for the other side.
    I'm merely pointing out the result of the mathematical possibility you mention. It's not an attack on you or your politics.
    One can desire a more equal society without providing iphones for the fifth child of workless families. Perhaps people feel that those at the top should earn only ten times that of those in the middle, rather than hundreds of times as much?
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    Pulpstar said:

    felix said:

    I should add that I agree wholeheartedly that the Establishment/Media attacks on UKIP have been as wrong as they could be - Clegg started it with the silly debates but no-one seems to have got the message and the UKIP 'itch' will only go away when people stop scratching it.

    Clegg's debate move - least he had the cojones to do it.
    He did it because he thought it would be a no-lose situation for him. Oops.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983

    isam said:

    Patrick O'Flynn ‏@oflynndirector 51s
    Jim Murphy challenged on whether Lab may reopen no referendum stance if Ukip wins the Euros: "l'm not going to speculate.'

    I make it 50/50....

    In tim's defence - he was usually prepared to back his predictions with money (and pay up when he lost).
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,366
    Financier,

    "Being really serious, how do you manage retirement?"

    By setting your expectations appropriately. It's a time to read all the books you never had time for before, to take that hobby seriously, to try new things occasionally, and to go abroad without having to do a job or give a paper at a conference.

    You lose waking up with new ideas or having people listen to you because of who you are or because of your expertise. You become on old git and can say what you want when you want, and you don't care if they think you're talking bollocks (which I often am).

    Oh, and you can visit people you want to keep in touch with and advise the kids (knowing they won't take a blind bit of notice).
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Socrates said:

    Socrates said:

    Socrates said:

    Millsy said:

    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.

    We wouldn't all be poorer with slightly less wealth and a much more even income distribution would we? Think about it.
    Absolutely. The more you work, the wealthier those that shirk. Success is evil, and must be punished to provide IPhones for the fifth child of workless families. It's the kindest thing to do.
    Yes, that's exactly what I said. Blimey, I point out a mathematic possibility and you come out with this.

    The sad thing about many that comment on politics is that they can't accept a valid truth if it weakens their own argument, and also assume that anyone making it must be an extremist for the other side.
    I'm merely pointing out the result of the mathematical possibility you mention. It's not an attack on you or your politics.
    One can desire a more equal society without providing iphones for the fifth child of workless families. Perhaps people feel that those at the top should earn only ten times that of those in the middle, rather than hundreds of times as much?
    Redistribution would be more palatable if it were taken from tax avoiding corporations, individual wealth through earnings should not IMHO be taken to support those who earn less. Shrinking the state and thereby shrinking the tax take at the lower end is another way of redistributing that would be less obscene to my fiscally hard right eyes
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,668
    Socrates said:

    felix said:

    As I posted a few days ago I think most polling on anything other than the Euros and SInd is pretty meaningless for now. The UKIP bubble is unstoppable and distorting all else. Whether this lasts much beyond next month is, I think, unlikely. I expect the Tory share to recover a lot, Labour a little and the LDs less. Where that all leaves us, heaven only knows.

    Agreed. It's clear UKIP is going to do very well in May. The aftermath of that is what will be really important - how much support UKIP retains for the GE. As an avowedly neo-liberal, Thatcherite party there's a lot about UKIP for the left to attack without having to scream racist. For the Tories, the task is trickier. How many Tories can convincingly argue against what Farage and other UKIP leaders say they believe in? Racist loony fruitcakes may be all the Tories have.
    I'd be delighted to have a debate with Labour about what sort of economy works better: the pre-Thatcher economy or the post-Thatcher one. We'll get a good glimpse of the former if Ed Miliband brings in all his announced policies after 2015.

    Absolutely. And Labour would welcome such a debate with UKIP too. What's the Tory line though?

  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    Been out all morning. Have any other bookies got Newark odds up yet?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    corporeal said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    Barbara Roche on Newsnight yesterday seemed to have a strange definition of the word "racist". As far as I know, Romanians aren't a different race to British people.

    It's no stranger than Nigel Farage's definition of race.

    Good God man! Why don't you just come out and say things?!

    Go on then, what is Nigel Farage's definition of race?

    As previously discussed, Farage claimed he was the victim of anti-English racism in Scotland. If Roche is wrong, so is he - as you said when we debated it before.

    Oh yeah, he was wrong to say that. Anyone who says people of the same race can be racist towards each other is wrong, its nonsense

    The difference is that Farage's was an off the cuff remark, while Roche and the people that she is in cahoots with, have formed a policy unit on the back of it
    *coughs* words evolve.
    Have you read 1984?
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    edited April 2014

    Socrates said:

    felix said:

    As I posted a few days ago I think most polling on anything other than the Euros and SInd is pretty meaningless for now. The UKIP bubble is unstoppable and distorting all else. Whether this lasts much beyond next month is, I think, unlikely. I expect the Tory share to recover a lot, Labour a little and the LDs less. Where that all leaves us, heaven only knows.

    Agreed. It's clear UKIP is going to do very well in May. The aftermath of that is what will be really important - how much support UKIP retains for the GE. As an avowedly neo-liberal, Thatcherite party there's a lot about UKIP for the left to attack without having to scream racist. For the Tories, the task is trickier. How many Tories can convincingly argue against what Farage and other UKIP leaders say they believe in? Racist loony fruitcakes may be all the Tories have.
    I'd be delighted to have a debate with Labour about what sort of economy works better: the pre-Thatcher economy or the post-Thatcher one. We'll get a good glimpse of the former if Ed Miliband brings in all his announced policies after 2015.

    Absolutely. And Labour would welcome such a debate with UKIP too. What's the Tory line though?

    I think the Tory line is that Sunny Jims dreams of a second world economy fled in the early 80s and aren't keen to come back

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,937
    edited April 2014
    Neil said:



    [Clegg] did it because he thought it would be a no-lose situation for him. Oops.

    That will be his political epitaph:

    "Here lies Nick Clegg. He managed to lose in a win:win situation..."

  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Bet bet I never had

    4/6 UKIP to outpoll the Tories in the Euros...now 2/11

    I seriously considered £6000 to win £4000, and while I dithered the price went.

    The UKIP-Lab-Con tricast now 4/5, hope someone got on, again I didnt
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,668
    It's worth remembering that for Thatcherites in the 80s and 90s the enemy within was a big section of the white working class. UKIP may well already have the always strong Tory working class vote in the bag. Immigration will get them tea and sympathy in many EnglishLabour heartlands, but there's a lot of economic stuff stuff that will repel. To get real GE votes UKIP needs to think that through.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited April 2014
    Incredible to behold the ineptitude with which the Westminster elite are responding to the twin threats of Salmond and Farage. Really eye-opening.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    isam said:

    Bet bet I never had

    4/6 UKIP to outpoll the Tories in the Euros...now 2/11

    I seriously considered £6000 to win £4000, and while I dithered the price went.

    The UKIP-Lab-Con tricast now 4/5, hope someone got on, again I didnt

    The tricast looks nailed, Tories will be trying to poll towards 24 and within a couple of points of Labour to feel less stressed about 2015.
    Almost time to let the UKIP bandwagon roll on and concentrate fire on the left, with both eyes on 2015.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    Neil said:



    [Clegg] did it because he thought it would be a no-lose situation for him. Oops.

    That will be his political epitaph:

    "Here lies Nick Clegg. He managed to lose in a win:win situation..."

    No oscars, no nominations, but a shoo in for lifetime achievement award in 2016
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    Socrates said:

    Socrates said:

    Millsy said:

    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.

    We wouldn't all be poorer with slightly less wealth and a much more even income distribution would we? Think about it.
    Absolutely. The more you work, the wealthier those that shirk. Success is evil, and must be punished to provide IPhones for the fifth child of workless families. It's the kindest thing to do.
    Yes, that's exactly what I said. Blimey, I point out a mathematic possibility and you come out with this.

    The sad thing about many that comment on politics is that they can't accept a valid truth if it weakens their own argument, and also assume that anyone making it must be an extremist for the other side.
    I'm merely pointing out the result of the mathematical possibility you mention. It's not an attack on you or your politics.
    It's possible to be in favour of reducing the income disparity between cleaner's and CEOs even if it results in CEOs not working as hard and the country as a whole being a bit poorer, because doing so would increase the majority of working people's income.

    Unfortunately I'm falling into the same trap as Socrates in believing that Mathematics and Rationality has any place in a political discourse swamped by disingenuous soundbites.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited April 2014
    Lads are pick'em most votes in Next GE

    Evs Lab
    Evs Con
    UKIP 33s
    LD 100

    http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-votes

    You can get 7/4 UKIP to bt LDs w WH.. surely value???

    http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/match-bet
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    isam said:

    Matthew Goodwin on BBC DP backing up my thinking when I devised my UKIP target list last year... What is needed is a two or possibly three way marginal, and I would add, where the UKIP /BNP vote was in excess of 7-8% in 2010

    UKIP share of vote, 2010:

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At91c3wX1Wu5dDZoVmdlVXBEQVNvcUNfR294UXo0S3c&usp=sheets_web#gid=0
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406

    Socrates said:

    Millsy said:

    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.

    We wouldn't all be poorer with slightly less wealth and a much more even income distribution would we? Think about it.
    Absolutely. The more you work, the wealthier those that shirk. Success is evil, and must be punished to provide IPhones for the fifth child of workless families. It's the kindest thing to do.
    2 vids on wealth distribution, a famous Lady T moment in the commons where she makes the point about the difference between Labour and the Conservatives on wealth distribution.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=okHGCz6xxiw

    2 minutes in or so.

    Perception vs reality vs perceived 'ideal' wealth distribution in the USA:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eEIrmBRVG4

    No idea if its this bad in the UK but in the USA the mean could be lowered and median raised by a fair whack without threatening any Thatcherite visions of how wealth should be spread.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    isam said:

    Lads are pick'em most votes in Next GE

    Evs Lab
    Evs Con
    UKIP 33s
    LD 100

    http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-votes

    You can get 7/4 UKIP to bt LDs w WH.. surely value???

    http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/match-bet

    This is definitely a case where you can't get the odds of x beating y by comparing the outright prices for x & y.
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262

    isam said:

    Bet bet I never had

    4/6 UKIP to outpoll the Tories in the Euros...now 2/11

    I seriously considered £6000 to win £4000, and while I dithered the price went.

    The UKIP-Lab-Con tricast now 4/5, hope someone got on, again I didnt


    Almost time to let the UKIP bandwagon roll on and concentrate fire on the left, with both eyes on 2015.
    'Swivelling' ones presumably.

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    "Do French manners put the British to shame?

    Le Rosbif Writes: SNCF, the French rail firm, wants its passengers to show more courtesy But isn't it British travellers who need to improve their manners? "


    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/destinations/europe/france/10797731/Do-French-manners-put-the-British-to-shame.html
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited April 2014

    isam said:

    Lads are pick'em most votes in Next GE

    Evs Lab
    Evs Con
    UKIP 33s
    LD 100

    http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-votes

    You can get 7/4 UKIP to bt LDs w WH.. surely value???

    http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/match-bet

    This is definitely a case where you can't get the odds of x beating y by comparing the outright prices for x & y.
    Actually I disagree, but even if I agreed 7/4 is still a massive bet

    People said the same for a year about the UKIP/Con Euro match
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    CD13 said:

    Financier,

    "Being really serious, how do you manage retirement?"

    By setting your expectations appropriately. It's a time to read all the books you never had time for before, to take that hobby seriously, to try new things occasionally, and to go abroad without having to do a job or give a paper at a conference.

    You lose waking up with new ideas or having people listen to you because of who you are or because of your expertise. You become on old git and can say what you want when you want, and you don't care if they think you're talking bollocks (which I often am).

    Oh, and you can visit people you want to keep in touch with and advise the kids (knowing they won't take a blind bit of notice).

    And you can have adventures with your friends. Being retired is fantastic, like having a second childhood but without a mum to put boundaries on your play.

    I recommend taking up snoring on the run up to retirement day then you'll be banished to the spare room and that means you can sit up playing bridge on the internet for as long as you like or read till four in the morning if you feel like it
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    Socrates said:

    Socrates said:

    Millsy said:

    Interesting from YouGov

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/04/30/equality-more-important-wealth/

    Tories are the only group that wants "Increasing the total amount of wealth, even if its distribution is less equal" whereas every other group wants us all to be poorer.

    We wouldn't all be poorer with slightly less wealth and a much more even income distribution would we? Think about it.
    Absolutely. The more you work, the wealthier those that shirk. Success is evil, and must be punished to provide IPhones for the fifth child of workless families. It's the kindest thing to do.
    Yes, that's exactly what I said. Blimey, I point out a mathematic possibility and you come out with this.

    The sad thing about many that comment on politics is that they can't accept a valid truth if it weakens their own argument, and also assume that anyone making it must be an extremist for the other side.
    I'm merely pointing out the result of the mathematical possibility you mention. It's not an attack on you or your politics.
    It's possible to be in favour of reducing the income disparity between cleaner's and CEOs even if it results in CEOs not working as hard and the country as a whole being a bit poorer, because doing so would increase the majority of working people's income.

    Unfortunately I'm falling into the same trap as Socrates in believing that Mathematics and Rationality has any place in a political discourse swamped by disingenuous soundbites.
    Of course it's possible to be in favour of that, and to make a rational argument for it.
    I'm not. I'm after corporate tax avoidance and shrinking the state to reduce tax pressure on lower earners at a far greater effective percentage than higher earners.
    For me, neither the State, nor individuals should be looking upwards and demanding the gap close, they should be looking to their own income and to see that be effectively increased and made more streamlined by reducing the influence of the State over everyday life.
    Everyone pays less, the lower earners get a proportionately better percentage boost in income and the smaller State commits to properly enforcing the tax laws of the country on all corporations and businesses.
    Everyone will say they want the rich to pay more, but when they do, that money never goes to the lower earners, it goes to pet projects and etc etc etc (rant about the workshy, kids, whatever)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406

    isam said:

    Lads are pick'em most votes in Next GE

    Evs Lab
    Evs Con
    UKIP 33s
    LD 100

    http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-votes

    You can get 7/4 UKIP to bt LDs w WH.. surely value???

    http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/match-bet

    This is definitely a case where you can't get the odds of x beating y by comparing the outright prices for x & y.
    The 100-1 price on the Lib Dems most votes is definitely wrong. More chance of Elvis being found on the moon.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,376
    PMQ's rather bizarre and surreal today?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @carldinnen: BREAKING: ComRes poll for ITV News reveals that one third of the British public (32%) think UKIP is a racist party.
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