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Why the Republicans are in a panic about Hispanics – politicalbetting.com

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  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 48,025
    edited November 18

    Nigelb said:

    Taz said:

    Afternoon all.

    Grim stuff coming out about the 17-year old Farage. Waiting to find black and Asian pupils alone to intimidate them, regular antisemitic bullying, and Nazi salutes. Not a mild issue, whether 17 years old or not.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2025/nov/18/deeply-shocking-nigel-farage-faces-fresh-claims-of-racism-and-antisemitism-at-school

    17 is legally a child and is also considered one under the UNHRC.

    Unpleasant for sure. Reprehensible certainly. We do not know if it is true or not, of course, it is just an allegation.

    Most of us do stupid things when young.

    Many of us (most ?) acknowledge the stupid things, and change.

    Clearly we can't know for sure who is telling the truth - but denial to the extent you're accusing half a dozen contemporaries of lying about their recollections of you, is rather more unusual.
    If Farage was a horrible kid it would be no surprise and not especially relevant. The fact he can't own up to it, express remorse, show growth, absolutely is relevant because it tells us something about his current views and his character.
    When I was at primary school racism was everywhere and there were real racial tensions. To my shame I once racially abused an Asian kid. I was about 9, the word just came out of my mouth without thinking. It's probably the thing I'm most ashamed of. Not least as I'm married to an Asian woman and have three mixed race children.
    If Farage was a card carrying racist at secondary school and can't admit to it now or show any remorse it is a massive red flag.
    It is. Although denial is possibly preferable to smirk/shrug and "well I'm not a PC automaton like all the others". Presenting rancid bigotry as free-rolling robustness of thought and personality in contrast to stale timid consensus-mongers. There are many things I dislike about the new Right but that is probably top of the list. It's the pits.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,085
    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Carnyx said:

    Nigelb said:

    FPT

    Cyclefree said:

    Nigelb said:

    WTF ?

    Nearly half of sexually active young people in UK have experienced strangulation, study shows
    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/nov/18/sexually-active-young-people-uk-choking-strangulation-sex

    Not half of young people but a very significant proportion of young women. Women - the word which no-one wants to use in case it makes men feel bad even though its use would be factually accurate.

    And what's with the WTF anyway.

    If men had listened to what women, including those pesky feminists, have been saying for some time they would know that -
    (a) this has been going on for a while
    (b) it is largely fuelled by porn
    (c) some sex education in schools has emphasised the importance of getting consent before seeking to choke someone during sex, which rather misses the point I feel. There is no safe way of choking someone. It is associated with a range of health risks. A lot of women do not like it but feel they ought to go along with it.
    (d) Non-fatal strangulation or choking has been a criminal offence since 2022.
    (e) Strangulation is the second most common method of killing women by men.
    (f) It has been announced this month that pornography showing strangulation is to become a criminal offence with tech companies placed under an obligation to prevent users accessing such material.
    I was aware of the practice, as it's been reported (fairly regularly) before.
    It was the sheer numbers which surprised me.
    Indeed. One couldn't miss it in the Graun (which might, in seriousness, possibly have something to do with why some of us haven't come across it). Though after the first read or two I shuddered at the headline and moved quickly on.

    Never forgotten a colleague of mine making a joke about oranges back in the post-glacial era and having to have it explained to me, either.
    On the subject of normalising abuse of women.

    This is pretty disgusting behavior to Jennifer Jacobs. Why does the rest of the media act like nothing shocking just happened?
    https://x.com/neeratanden/status/1990799945612603887
    Oh, the normalization of bad behaviour is incredibly dangerous.

    I mean, just look at Megyn Kelly.
    I'd rather not, thanks.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 18,428
    Battlebus said:

    FF43 said:

    Afternoon all.

    Grim stuff coming out about the 17-year old Farage. Waiting to find black and Asian pupils alone to intimidate them, regular antisemitic bullying, and Nazi salutes. Not a mild issue, whether 17 years old or not.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2025/nov/18/deeply-shocking-nigel-farage-faces-fresh-claims-of-racism-and-antisemitism-at-school

    I don't think sins of adolescence should be visited on the same people when adults. The problem for Farage, it's not clear he's changed his true nature.
    I agree the sins of the adolescence may not be relevant, but the tendencies learned are certainly worth challenging.
    Farage is careful about what he says as an adult. He knows what he can get away with. But he seemed to get away with making jokes about gas chambers in the presence of Jewish classmates when he was a teenager. Maybe nothing's changed.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,237
    TimS said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    If those 18-year old allegations by several other pupils were pursued, Farage could actually conceivably be prosecuted for historical hate crimes.

    Is that possible?
    I don’t think we have statute of limitations in the U.K.

    Of course if it went to trial it’s a risk. If he was found not guilty he’d be even more insufferable
    If he were found guilty it would be several times worse for the aims of those behind the trial than an innocent verdict.
    #FRITLF for the day
    Happily I have no idea what that means.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,085
    FF43 said:

    Battlebus said:

    FF43 said:

    Afternoon all.

    Grim stuff coming out about the 17-year old Farage. Waiting to find black and Asian pupils alone to intimidate them, regular antisemitic bullying, and Nazi salutes. Not a mild issue, whether 17 years old or not.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2025/nov/18/deeply-shocking-nigel-farage-faces-fresh-claims-of-racism-and-antisemitism-at-school

    I don't think sins of adolescence should be visited on the same people when adults. The problem for Farage, it's not clear he's changed his true nature.
    I agree the sins of the adolescence may not be relevant, but the tendencies learned are certainly worth challenging.
    Farage is careful about what he says as an adult. He knows what he can get away with. But he seemed to get away with making jokes about gas chambers in the presence of Jewish classmates when he was a teenager. Maybe nothing's changed.
    That was Theresa May.

    Er, the nothing has changed bit, not the jokes about genocide.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 16,388
    edited November 18
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    As a result of the investigation, we now know it was the Russian Secret Services that commissioned the blast of the Polish railway and recruited two Ukrainians to do it. We also know the identities of the perpetrators who immediately fled Poland for Belarus.
    https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1990818892491395549

    The most dangerous thing Europe has done over the last decade is let Russia do stuff like this without a response. Now we have no idea where the line will be drawn, and so the risk of miscalculation and escalation is much higher.

    I'm fed up with our timorous leaders. This sabotage is a direct result of us doing nothing about the repeated intrusions into NATO airspace. Next it will be a few metres of Estonia.
    I don't recollect that we did much about the Salisbury 'tourists'.
    Wasn't much, IIRC, we could have done. Those responsible had b******d off out of the country well before anything was found. All we could do was fume impotently and, IIRC blame Jeremy Corbyn for not fuming similarly.
    It wasn't 'not fuming,' it was denying Russian involvement while hinting the British government had carried out the operation itself.

    Which was a totally insane position to adopt, and along with the increasingly damaging revelations about his long history of antisemitic behaviour did a great deal to explode the nice guy image he had been carefully building up.
    Your memory is better than mine. Must be my age!

    I still got a soft 'political' for Corbyn, though, I don't think he's seriously anti-semitic. Remember, Arabs are Semitic.
    Corbyn's problem, I think, was that he never paused and asked himself at the time - 'hang on, is it wise to associate with these rather revolting people just because I dislike their enemies?'

    (This could also apply to his associating with the IRA, for example.)

    I think he might still have got away with that - albeit it's not a great look for a political leader to admit poor judgement - if it hadn't been for his extraordinary and cack-handed attempts to cover it up. For example, when that photograph of him emerged laying a wreath to the perpetrators of the Munich massacre, his bizarre explanation that he was 'present, but not involved' made him look not only like an idiot (which was past praying for) but a liar and a coward as well.
    Corbyn had precisely the same problem as Farage: his recent behaviour made you sceptical that he’d really changed his views since his youth.

    Or there’s Shamima Begum of course, who was a child when she got into bed with ISIS, but showed little or no remorse after her capture.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 83,446
    Trump engaged in some heavy duty flattery, while old Bonesaw grins alongside.

    Trump: I’m very proud of the job he’s done. What he’s done is incredible in terms of human rights.
    https://x.com/Acyn/status/1990835358658179359
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,085
    edited November 18
    Nigelb said:

    Trump engaged in some heavy duty flattery, while old Bonesaw grins alongside.

    Trump: I’m very proud of the job he’s done. What he’s done is incredible in terms of human rights.
    https://x.com/Acyn/status/1990835358658179359

    Well, he's actually not wrong for once. Fishcake's actions are totally incredible in terms of their impact on human rights.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 11,797

    On the subject of being 17 or 18, I can see that the article also alleges that aged 18 he was teaching other pupils "Gas them" chants in the school bus, and essentially intimidating them into singing along too. What a dreadful teenager.

    This was 45 years ago? So late 70s/early 80s (don’t recall how old he is precisely)

    Important to remember that the Holocaust was in living memory then - that behaviour would be bad today but I suspect much more traumatic then as the target kids’ parents / grandparents could have been personally affected
  • TimSTimS Posts: 16,388
    edited November 18
    kinabalu said:

    Nigelb said:

    Taz said:

    Afternoon all.

    Grim stuff coming out about the 17-year old Farage. Waiting to find black and Asian pupils alone to intimidate them, regular antisemitic bullying, and Nazi salutes. Not a mild issue, whether 17 years old or not.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2025/nov/18/deeply-shocking-nigel-farage-faces-fresh-claims-of-racism-and-antisemitism-at-school

    17 is legally a child and is also considered one under the UNHRC.

    Unpleasant for sure. Reprehensible certainly. We do not know if it is true or not, of course, it is just an allegation.

    Most of us do stupid things when young.

    Many of us (most ?) acknowledge the stupid things, and change.

    Clearly we can't know for sure who is telling the truth - but denial to the extent you're accusing half a dozen contemporaries of lying about their recollections of you, is rather more unusual.
    If Farage was a horrible kid it would be no surprise and not especially relevant. The fact he can't own up to it, express remorse, show growth, absolutely is relevant because it tells us something about his current views and his character.
    When I was at primary school racism was everywhere and there were real racial tensions. To my shame I once racially abused an Asian kid. I was about 9, the word just came out of my mouth without thinking. It's probably the thing I'm most ashamed of. Not least as I'm married to an Asian woman and have three mixed race children.
    If Farage was a card carrying racist at secondary school and can't admit to it now or show any remorse it is a massive red flag.
    It is. Although denial is possibly preferable to smirk/shrug and "well I'm not a PC automaton like all the others". Presenting rancid bigotry as free-rolling robustness of thought and personality in contrast to stale timid consensus-mongers. There are many things I dislike about the new Right but that is probably top of the list. It's the pits.
    I think that may partly be projection on their part, if that’s the right word. I get the sense some of them - particularly when it comes to sex and male power - just assume everyone who looks like them thinks like them, and those who don’t agree in public are just cowards toeing the line.

    “I’m just saying what everyone’s thinking”.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 48,025

    Wacky Zacky wants to spend, spend, spend

    He will raise the money from under-taxed billionaires

    Britain’s billionaires have a combined (high-) estimated wealth of about £800bn

    I’m pretty sure that’s less than a decade of our current overspend, if you can turn all of their wealth into tax money

    This isn’t serious policy; it’s a story for believers

    Populism needs simplistic messages and enemies who will be targeted for the common good of those it's trying to win votes from. I'd personally rather hear "billionaires" than "immigrants" but it is the same playbook.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,504

    ydoethur said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    As a result of the investigation, we now know it was the Russian Secret Services that commissioned the blast of the Polish railway and recruited two Ukrainians to do it. We also know the identities of the perpetrators who immediately fled Poland for Belarus.
    https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1990818892491395549

    The most dangerous thing Europe has done over the last decade is let Russia do stuff like this without a response. Now we have no idea where the line will be drawn, and so the risk of miscalculation and escalation is much higher.

    I'm fed up with our timorous leaders. This sabotage is a direct result of us doing nothing about the repeated intrusions into NATO airspace. Next it will be a few metres of Estonia.
    I don't recollect that we did much about the Salisbury 'tourists'.
    Wasn't much, IIRC, we could have done. Those responsible had b******d off out of the country well before anything was found. All we could do was fume impotently and, IIRC blame Jeremy Corbyn for not fuming similarly.
    It wasn't 'not fuming,' it was denying Russian involvement while hinting the British government had carried out the operation itself.

    Which was a totally insane position to adopt, and along with the increasingly damaging revelations about his long history of antisemitic behaviour did a great deal to explode the nice guy image he had been carefully building up.
    Your memory is better than mine. Must be my age!

    I've still got a soft 'political' spot for Corbyn, though, I don't think he's seriously anti-semitic. Remember, Arabs are Semitic.
    I remember that Jeremy Corbyn's comments that caused significant trouble were his initial refusal to unequivocally and immediately blame the Russian state. He wanted evidence first.
  • I’m disappointed by this place

    This morning I came up with a very rude political Spoonerism: stunt karma

    I then made up a phrase including it: political stunt karma (a phrase appreciated by @Benpointer )

    I then found a very recent and topical example of k*** Starma’s political stunts leading to karma

    And nobody replied with any sort of acknowledgment of the Spoonerism
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 48,025
    TimS said:

    kinabalu said:

    Nigelb said:

    Taz said:

    Afternoon all.

    Grim stuff coming out about the 17-year old Farage. Waiting to find black and Asian pupils alone to intimidate them, regular antisemitic bullying, and Nazi salutes. Not a mild issue, whether 17 years old or not.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2025/nov/18/deeply-shocking-nigel-farage-faces-fresh-claims-of-racism-and-antisemitism-at-school

    17 is legally a child and is also considered one under the UNHRC.

    Unpleasant for sure. Reprehensible certainly. We do not know if it is true or not, of course, it is just an allegation.

    Most of us do stupid things when young.

    Many of us (most ?) acknowledge the stupid things, and change.

    Clearly we can't know for sure who is telling the truth - but denial to the extent you're accusing half a dozen contemporaries of lying about their recollections of you, is rather more unusual.
    If Farage was a horrible kid it would be no surprise and not especially relevant. The fact he can't own up to it, express remorse, show growth, absolutely is relevant because it tells us something about his current views and his character.
    When I was at primary school racism was everywhere and there were real racial tensions. To my shame I once racially abused an Asian kid. I was about 9, the word just came out of my mouth without thinking. It's probably the thing I'm most ashamed of. Not least as I'm married to an Asian woman and have three mixed race children.
    If Farage was a card carrying racist at secondary school and can't admit to it now or show any remorse it is a massive red flag.
    It is. Although denial is possibly preferable to smirk/shrug and "well I'm not a PC automaton like all the others". Presenting rancid bigotry as free-rolling robustness of thought and personality in contrast to stale timid consensus-mongers. There are many things I dislike about the new Right but that is probably top of the list. It's the pits.
    I think that may partly be projection on their part, if that’s the right word. I get the sense some of them - particularly when it comes to sex and male power - just assume everyone who looks like them thinks like them, and those who don’t agree in public are just cowards toeing the line.

    “I’m just saying what everyone’s thinking”.
    Yes, good point. I'm sure that is part of it.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 16,388
    Barnesian said:

    ydoethur said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    As a result of the investigation, we now know it was the Russian Secret Services that commissioned the blast of the Polish railway and recruited two Ukrainians to do it. We also know the identities of the perpetrators who immediately fled Poland for Belarus.
    https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1990818892491395549

    The most dangerous thing Europe has done over the last decade is let Russia do stuff like this without a response. Now we have no idea where the line will be drawn, and so the risk of miscalculation and escalation is much higher.

    I'm fed up with our timorous leaders. This sabotage is a direct result of us doing nothing about the repeated intrusions into NATO airspace. Next it will be a few metres of Estonia.
    I don't recollect that we did much about the Salisbury 'tourists'.
    Wasn't much, IIRC, we could have done. Those responsible had b******d off out of the country well before anything was found. All we could do was fume impotently and, IIRC blame Jeremy Corbyn for not fuming similarly.
    It wasn't 'not fuming,' it was denying Russian involvement while hinting the British government had carried out the operation itself.

    Which was a totally insane position to adopt, and along with the increasingly damaging revelations about his long history of antisemitic behaviour did a great deal to explode the nice guy image he had been carefully building up.
    Your memory is better than mine. Must be my age!

    I've still got a soft 'political' spot for Corbyn, though, I don't think he's seriously anti-semitic. Remember, Arabs are Semitic.
    I remember that Jeremy Corbyn's comments that caused significant trouble were his initial refusal to unequivocally and immediately blame the Russian state. He wanted evidence first.
    He wanted to send the samples to Russia for testing.
  • TazTaz Posts: 22,364
    ydoethur said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    If those 18-year old allegations by several other pupils were pursued, Farage could actually conceivably be prosecuted for historical hate crimes.

    Is that possible?
    I don’t think we have statute of limitations in the U.K.

    Of course if it went to trial it’s a risk. If he was found not guilty he’d be even more insufferable
    Would that have been a crime at the time though? I think I'm right in saying the relevant laws only date from Blair's era?
    Race relations laws possibly. IANAL.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 38,497
    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 48,025

    I’m disappointed by this place

    This morning I came up with a very rude political Spoonerism: stunt karma

    I then made up a phrase including it: political stunt karma (a phrase appreciated by @Benpointer )

    I then found a very recent and topical example of k*** Starma’s political stunts leading to karma

    And nobody replied with any sort of acknowledgment of the Spoonerism

    You're too good for the place. Dumb yourself down a bit.
  • TazTaz Posts: 22,364
    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    I saw Dan Jarvis speaking about this in the HoC and I thought it’s just as well we don’t try to interfere with or influence other nations, and never have.
  • TazTaz Posts: 22,364
    edited November 18
    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    The speaker went on to announce that MI6 has recently determined the the potentate of a small Italian microstate is a Catholic.
    Did they opine on the toilet habits of bears of the non polar type ?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,085
    edited November 18
    Taz said:

    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    The speaker went on to announce that MI6 has recently determined the the potentate of a small Italian microstate is a Catholic.
    Did they open on the toilet habits of bears of the non polar type ?
    They said they're only interested when ursine doing it.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 30,816
    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    The speaker went on to announce that MI6 has recently determined the the potentate of a small Italian microstate is a Catholic.
    Is this not about some MPs being asleep or having blind spots, so MI6 has repeatedly to explain that one plus one equals two, and that yes that is an elephant sitting in the corner of the room?
  • TazTaz Posts: 22,364
    ydoethur said:

    Taz said:

    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    The speaker went on to announce that MI6 has recently determined the the potentate of a small Italian microstate is a Catholic.
    Did they open on the toilet habits of bears of the non polar type ?
    They said they're only interested when ursine doing it.
    A major, not minor, faux pas.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,504
    TimS said:

    Barnesian said:

    ydoethur said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    As a result of the investigation, we now know it was the Russian Secret Services that commissioned the blast of the Polish railway and recruited two Ukrainians to do it. We also know the identities of the perpetrators who immediately fled Poland for Belarus.
    https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1990818892491395549

    The most dangerous thing Europe has done over the last decade is let Russia do stuff like this without a response. Now we have no idea where the line will be drawn, and so the risk of miscalculation and escalation is much higher.

    I'm fed up with our timorous leaders. This sabotage is a direct result of us doing nothing about the repeated intrusions into NATO airspace. Next it will be a few metres of Estonia.
    I don't recollect that we did much about the Salisbury 'tourists'.
    Wasn't much, IIRC, we could have done. Those responsible had b******d off out of the country well before anything was found. All we could do was fume impotently and, IIRC blame Jeremy Corbyn for not fuming similarly.
    It wasn't 'not fuming,' it was denying Russian involvement while hinting the British government had carried out the operation itself.

    Which was a totally insane position to adopt, and along with the increasingly damaging revelations about his long history of antisemitic behaviour did a great deal to explode the nice guy image he had been carefully building up.
    Your memory is better than mine. Must be my age!

    I've still got a soft 'political' spot for Corbyn, though, I don't think he's seriously anti-semitic. Remember, Arabs are Semitic.
    I remember that Jeremy Corbyn's comments that caused significant trouble were his initial refusal to unequivocally and immediately blame the Russian state. He wanted evidence first.
    He wanted to send the samples to Russia for testing.
    That's true. I remember. A bit bizarre. I think the Russians asked for samples. I don't know what their game was.
  • On the subject of being 17 or 18, I can see that the article also alleges that aged 18 he was teaching other pupils "Gas them" chants in the school bus, and essentially intimidating them into singing along too. What a dreadful teenager.

    This was 45 years ago? So late 70s/early 80s (don’t recall how old he is precisely)

    Important to remember that the Holocaust was in living memory then - that behaviour would be bad today but I suspect much more traumatic then as the target kids’ parents / grandparents could have been personally affected
    Yes, it's horrible stuff, even for those times.

    It'll be interesting to see how or if he responds.
  • TazTaz Posts: 22,364
    MattW said:

    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    The speaker went on to announce that MI6 has recently determined the the potentate of a small Italian microstate is a Catholic.
    Is this not about some MPs being asleep or having blind spots, so MI6 has repeatedly to explain that one plus one equals two, and that yes that is an elephant sitting in the corner of the room?
    Some people snuck phones in that played the sounds of women orgasming into the HOC. Talk about blind spots.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 4,348
    Taz said:

    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    The speaker went on to announce that MI6 has recently determined the the potentate of a small Italian microstate is a Catholic.
    Did they opine on the toilet habits of bears of the non polar type ?
    That's the next project, reporting in 2 or 3 years.
  • BattlebusBattlebus Posts: 1,959
    Seems they have been given an off ramp just in time

    Court blocks new Texas congressional map

    https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/5611065-texas-republican-redistricting-challenge/
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,085
    Taz said:

    ydoethur said:

    Taz said:

    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    The speaker went on to announce that MI6 has recently determined the the potentate of a small Italian microstate is a Catholic.
    Did they open on the toilet habits of bears of the non polar type ?
    They said they're only interested when ursine doing it.
    A major, not minor, faux pas.
    I know, but we bear with them.
  • TazTaz Posts: 22,364
    ydoethur said:

    Taz said:

    ydoethur said:

    Taz said:

    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    The speaker went on to announce that MI6 has recently determined the the potentate of a small Italian microstate is a Catholic.
    Did they open on the toilet habits of bears of the non polar type ?
    They said they're only interested when ursine doing it.
    A major, not minor, faux pas.
    I know, but we bear with them.
    We just grin and bear it, of course !!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,542
    Trump's deportations have turned some Hispanics against him, that was certainly the case in New Jersey in the mini midterms
  • TazTaz Posts: 22,364
    META wins anti trust suit. Keeps WhatsApp and Snapchat.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 30,816
    edited November 18
    AnneJGP said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    As a result of the investigation, we now know it was the Russian Secret Services that commissioned the blast of the Polish railway and recruited two Ukrainians to do it. We also know the identities of the perpetrators who immediately fled Poland for Belarus.
    https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1990818892491395549

    The most dangerous thing Europe has done over the last decade is let Russia do stuff like this without a response. Now we have no idea where the line will be drawn, and so the risk of miscalculation and escalation is much higher.

    I'm fed up with our timorous leaders. This sabotage is a direct result of us doing nothing about the repeated intrusions into NATO airspace. Next it will be a few metres of Estonia.
    I don't recollect that we did much about the Salisbury 'tourists'.
    We expelled 23 Russian diplomats in 2018, for one thing. Across the West, 150 were expelled.

    Which would have had an impact on spying for some time, and perhaps to the time of the new Ukraine invasion.

    There were others measures.

    I'm not saying it was enough, but there was a response.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisoning_of_Sergei_and_Yulia_Skripal
  • BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 7,053
    edited November 18
    I’m sure I’ve mentioned it here before, but reminded of it by all the bear talk

    The etymology of Arctic and Antarctic is from words meaning “of the bear” and “not of the bear”

    The fact that this coincides with the location of polar bears is purely chance

    They’re so named because of a constellation visible in the northern hemisphere
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 64,635
    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    I saw Dan Jarvis speaking about this in the HoC and I thought it’s just as well we don’t try to interfere with or influence other nations, and never have.
    False equivalence. We are not an autocratic or malicious state, are a force for good, and we have democratic accountability.

    China is not.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,955
    If it is true, as Polly Toynbee in Guardian asserts, that Reeves backed out of her 2p income tax rise at the "command" of Downing Street, why didn't save some dignity and resign?
  • Good evening

    Not sure if this has been discussed but Sky Bet is moving its head office to Malta to avoid Reeves betting tax
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 7,552

    If it is true, as Polly Toynbee in Guardian asserts, that Reeves backed out of her 2p income tax rise at the "command" of Downing Street, why didn't save some dignity and resign?

    Why? I have always found it was bizarre that the budget isn't a collective government thing, apparently the Cabinet finds out on the morning. This strikes me as a stupid way of working.
  • TazTaz Posts: 22,364

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MPs are told that Beijing is ‘relentless’ in trying to ‘interfere with our processes and influence activity at parliament’"

    https://www.thetimes.com

    I saw Dan Jarvis speaking about this in the HoC and I thought it’s just as well we don’t try to interfere with or influence other nations, and never have.
    False equivalence. We are not an autocratic or malicious state, are a force for good, and we have democratic accountability.

    China is not.
    Yes, when I look at the state of the Middle East and our legacy there I feel we are a force for good.

    Some have said we live in an elective dictatorship. One vote every five years and the govt does what it wants.
  • If it is true, as Polly Toynbee in Guardian asserts, that Reeves backed out of her 2p income tax rise at the "command" of Downing Street, why didn't save some dignity and resign?

    Integrity has disappeared from politics
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 21,252
    TimS said:

    Barnesian said:

    ydoethur said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    As a result of the investigation, we now know it was the Russian Secret Services that commissioned the blast of the Polish railway and recruited two Ukrainians to do it. We also know the identities of the perpetrators who immediately fled Poland for Belarus.
    https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1990818892491395549

    The most dangerous thing Europe has done over the last decade is let Russia do stuff like this without a response. Now we have no idea where the line will be drawn, and so the risk of miscalculation and escalation is much higher.

    I'm fed up with our timorous leaders. This sabotage is a direct result of us doing nothing about the repeated intrusions into NATO airspace. Next it will be a few metres of Estonia.
    I don't recollect that we did much about the Salisbury 'tourists'.
    Wasn't much, IIRC, we could have done. Those responsible had b******d off out of the country well before anything was found. All we could do was fume impotently and, IIRC blame Jeremy Corbyn for not fuming similarly.
    It wasn't 'not fuming,' it was denying Russian involvement while hinting the British government had carried out the operation itself.

    Which was a totally insane position to adopt, and along with the increasingly damaging revelations about his long history of antisemitic behaviour did a great deal to explode the nice guy image he had been carefully building up.
    Your memory is better than mine. Must be my age!

    I've still got a soft 'political' spot for Corbyn, though, I don't think he's seriously anti-semitic. Remember, Arabs are Semitic.
    I remember that Jeremy Corbyn's comments that caused significant trouble were his initial refusal to unequivocally and immediately blame the Russian state. He wanted evidence first.
    He wanted to send the samples to Russia for testing.
    Well they would have had access to the source materials for comparison.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,830
    Very little publicity for this:

    Government lost five votes in House of Lords last night on Employment Rights Bill.

    Lords insisting on its original amendments, overturning the Commons overturn.

    One of amendments is to not introduce unfair dismissal rights on Day 1.

    Huge majorities on all votes - LDs supporting Conservatives - Government losing every vote by over 140 votes.

    Will Con/LD back down on this - if not looks like they can block it for at least a year and Government will be forced to use Parliament Act in next session.

    https://votes.parliament.uk/votes/lords
  • Denmark delenda est.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,439
    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1990839006171472256

    Trump suggests Khashoggi had it coming: "You're mentioning someone that was extremely controversial. A lot of people didn't like that gentleman that you're talking about. Whether you like him or didn't like him, things happen. But he knew nothing about it. You don't have to embarrass our guest."
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 58,391

    Good evening

    Not sure if this has been discussed but Sky Bet is moving its head office to Malta to avoid Reeves betting tax

    As several of us on here might have predicted in the past few weeks.
  • I’m disappointed by this place

    This morning I came up with a very rude political Spoonerism: stunt karma

    I then made up a phrase including it: political stunt karma (a phrase appreciated by @Benpointer )

    I then found a very recent and topical example of k*** Starma’s political stunts leading to karma

    And nobody replied with any sort of acknowledgment of the Spoonerism

    PBers are a tough crowd, the amount of times they’ve all missed my subtle puns/musical references is astonishing.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,439

    Denmark delenda est.

    Is that Scottish Gaelic?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 48,025

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1990839006171472256

    Trump suggests Khashoggi had it coming: "You're mentioning someone that was extremely controversial. A lot of people didn't like that gentleman that you're talking about. Whether you like him or didn't like him, things happen. But he knew nothing about it. You don't have to embarrass our guest."

    There's a reason mob bosses don't have the press in when they meet up.
  • I’m disappointed by this place

    This morning I came up with a very rude political Spoonerism: stunt karma

    I then made up a phrase including it: political stunt karma (a phrase appreciated by @Benpointer )

    I then found a very recent and topical example of k*** Starma’s political stunts leading to karma

    And nobody replied with any sort of acknowledgment of the Spoonerism

    PBers are a tough crowd, the amount of times they’ve all missed my subtle puns/musical references is astonishing.
    I try really hard to miss your subtle music references; I don’t have a good success rate
  • EU confirms it wants UK to pay into its budget in exchange for closer ties
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/18/eu-uk-pay-into-budget-closer-ties

    Just when they thought they had Nige on the ropes.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 62,390
    Taz said:

    META wins anti trust suit. Keeps WhatsApp and Snapchat.

    I think you mean WhatsApp and Instagram.
  • Politics, Patriotism, and Penalties | Sir Gareth Southgate
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EV7ubGT3lUk

    TRiP Leading – Rory & Al interview the former England manager and penalty-misser (and an advert for software for lawyers at the start).

    I’m A Celeb Booking Secrets
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xirOJE2zp-M

    There might have been some sort of email mix-up at Goalhanger. TRiP had the footballer and now TRiE has MPs.

    Richard & Marina name the MP who ITV wanted in the jungle this series but whose party pressured her (spoiler!) into dropping out, and which party leader wanted to do it but was turned down by ITV. And how much Matt Hancock trousered a couple of years ago.
    Angela Rayner, Ed Davey.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 35,689

    If it is true, as Polly Toynbee in Guardian asserts, that Reeves backed out of her 2p income tax rise at the "command" of Downing Street, why didn't save some dignity and resign?

    Integrity has disappeared from politics
    That is as may be, but remember however that Boris Johnson got all the big calls right.
  • MattW said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    As a result of the investigation, we now know it was the Russian Secret Services that commissioned the blast of the Polish railway and recruited two Ukrainians to do it. We also know the identities of the perpetrators who immediately fled Poland for Belarus.
    https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1990818892491395549

    The most dangerous thing Europe has done over the last decade is let Russia do stuff like this without a response. Now we have no idea where the line will be drawn, and so the risk of miscalculation and escalation is much higher.

    I'm fed up with our timorous leaders. This sabotage is a direct result of us doing nothing about the repeated intrusions into NATO airspace. Next it will be a few metres of Estonia.
    I don't recollect that we did much about the Salisbury 'tourists'.
    We expelled 23 Russian diplomats in 2018, for one thing. Across the West, 150 were expelled.

    Which would have had an impact on spying for some time, and perhaps to the time of the new Ukraine invasion.

    There were others measures.

    I'm not saying it was enough, but there was a response.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisoning_of_Sergei_and_Yulia_Skripal
    Led by Washington not London iirc.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,355

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1990839006171472256

    Trump suggests Khashoggi had it coming: "You're mentioning someone that was extremely controversial. A lot of people didn't like that gentleman that you're talking about. Whether you like him or didn't like him, things happen. But he knew nothing about it. You don't have to embarrass our guest."

    Just about the most despicable thing he's said amid a lorryload of deplorable rubbish

  • TazTaz Posts: 22,364
    rcs1000 said:

    Taz said:

    META wins anti trust suit. Keeps WhatsApp and Snapchat.

    I think you mean WhatsApp and Instagram.
    Probably. My memory isn’t what it was at times.
  • MikeL said:

    Very little publicity for this:

    Government lost five votes in House of Lords last night on Employment Rights Bill.

    Lords insisting on its original amendments, overturning the Commons overturn.

    One of amendments is to not introduce unfair dismissal rights on Day 1.

    Huge majorities on all votes - LDs supporting Conservatives - Government losing every vote by over 140 votes.

    Will Con/LD back down on this - if not looks like they can block it for at least a year and Government will be forced to use Parliament Act in next session.

    https://votes.parliament.uk/votes/lords

    Why should they back down on such anti growth measures ?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 53,978
    geoffw said:

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1990839006171472256

    Trump suggests Khashoggi had it coming: "You're mentioning someone that was extremely controversial. A lot of people didn't like that gentleman that you're talking about. Whether you like him or didn't like him, things happen. But he knew nothing about it. You don't have to embarrass our guest."

    Just about the most despicable thing he's said amid a lorryload of deplorable rubbish

    Its a new low, even for Trump.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 62,390
    HYUFD said:

    Trump's deportations have turned some Hispanics against him, that was certainly the case in New Jersey in the mini midterms

    Actually, I think it's a little more complex than that.

    Most Hispanic voters are in favour of "the wall".

    Most Hispanic voters are in favour of deporting undocumented migrants who have committed criminal offences.

    Many Hispanic voters are more ... nuanced when it comes to deporting Hispanic voters who are otherwise law abiding citizens in the US.

    Most Histpanic voters oppose the deportation of those who have strong ties to the US, and perhaps came here via DACA and who are married to US spouses, and have US childtrn.

    And almost all Hispanic voters oppose them getting accosted by ICE outside Walmart and being made to prove they are American.

    The second to last one is a surprisingly big category. There are many, many millions of people who are in the US with ambigious status. Let me give you an example: a property developer friend of mine in LA is a British citizen on a Green Card, with an American wife. But here's the thing. He came on a tourist visa. Fell in love. Married a woman. And applied for a Green Card. But there was a period of about four or five months when he was in the US on an expired tourist visa, married to an American and before his Green Card was granted. He could definitely be deported, because - under current US immigration rules - that prior breach means that his Green Card may be invalid. Now, he's a wealthy guy with great lawyers, and he's racing to get his US citizenship. But there are a lot of people like that who are being deported so as to get the numbers up. And a lot of them are Hispanic.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 16,966

    eek said:

    Also worth emphasizing that a lot of Gerrymandering has been done on the basis that Hispanic voters tend Republican. That Gerrymandering is problematic if that logic falls apart

    That would be so funny.

    GOP deserve to be out of office for two generations at least.
    Whilst that would be just, I'm not sure the current Republican leadership are in a position to say "hey ho, we had a good run and probably deserve what's coming".

    That trying to avoid the inevitable will just make the retribution worse is only partially relevant, because the retribution will be on a different generation of red-rosetted politicians.

    (Why did the Latino vote swing so hard towards Trump last time? Long term factors, or did they just not like Harris?)
    It didn't swing hard towards Trump last time. It swung a bit towards Trump, with the result that they still went for Harris but only narrowly. However, that was in a group that had previously been more pro-Democrat.

    Why? Some suggestion that Hispanic voters, particularly men, were more socially conservative and believed the Republican characterisation of Harris as being too woke. But it may just have been bread and butter issues, with a group hit hard by inflation.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 62,390

    eek said:

    Also worth emphasizing that a lot of Gerrymandering has been done on the basis that Hispanic voters tend Republican. That Gerrymandering is problematic if that logic falls apart

    That would be so funny.

    GOP deserve to be out of office for two generations at least.
    Whilst that would be just, I'm not sure the current Republican leadership are in a position to say "hey ho, we had a good run and probably deserve what's coming".

    That trying to avoid the inevitable will just make the retribution worse is only partially relevant, because the retribution will be on a different generation of red-rosetted politicians.

    (Why did the Latino vote swing so hard towards Trump last time? Long term factors, or did they just not like Harris?)
    It didn't swing hard towards Trump last time. It swung a bit towards Trump, with the result that they still went for Harris but only narrowly. However, that was in a group that had previously been more pro-Democrat.

    Why? Some suggestion that Hispanic voters, particularly men, were more socially conservative and believed the Republican characterisation of Harris as being too woke. But it may just have been bread and butter issues, with a group hit hard by inflation.
    It was a 12 point swing: that's a pretty massive shift.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 36,037

    I’m disappointed by this place

    This morning I came up with a very rude political Spoonerism: stunt karma

    I then made up a phrase including it: political stunt karma (a phrase appreciated by @Benpointer )

    I then found a very recent and topical example of k*** Starma’s political stunts leading to karma

    And nobody replied with any sort of acknowledgment of the Spoonerism

    PBers are a tough crowd, the amount of times they’ve all missed my subtle puns/musical references is astonishing.
    I have missed all your subtle puns tbh.
  • If it is true, as Polly Toynbee in Guardian asserts, that Reeves backed out of her 2p income tax rise at the "command" of Downing Street, why didn't save some dignity and resign?

    Integrity has disappeared from politics
    That is as may be, but remember however that Boris Johnson got all the big calls right.
    No he didn't and you know that

    Silly remark
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 48,025
    Foxy said:

    geoffw said:

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1990839006171472256

    Trump suggests Khashoggi had it coming: "You're mentioning someone that was extremely controversial. A lot of people didn't like that gentleman that you're talking about. Whether you like him or didn't like him, things happen. But he knew nothing about it. You don't have to embarrass our guest."

    Just about the most despicable thing he's said amid a lorryload of deplorable rubbish

    Its a new low, even for Trump.
    "Whether you like him or didn't like him, things happen"

    That's big powerful strongman talk and no mistake. Doesn't even bother making sense.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,602
    geoffw said:

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1990839006171472256

    Trump suggests Khashoggi had it coming: "You're mentioning someone that was extremely controversial. A lot of people didn't like that gentleman that you're talking about. Whether you like him or didn't like him, things happen. But he knew nothing about it. You don't have to embarrass our guest."

    Just about the most despicable thing he's said amid a lorryload of deplorable rubbish

    It's a good example for journalists too. You don't need to edit Trump's words to make him look bad, nor should you sanewash what he says. Just quote him correctly, and let the public judge him.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 30,816
    edited November 18
    Taz said:

    Afternoon all.

    Grim stuff coming out about the 17-year old Farage. Waiting to find black and Asian pupils alone to intimidate them, regular antisemitic bullying, and Nazi salutes. Not a mild issue, whether 17 years old or not.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2025/nov/18/deeply-shocking-nigel-farage-faces-fresh-claims-of-racism-and-antisemitism-at-school

    17 is legally a child and is also considered one under the UNHRC.

    Unpleasant for sure. Reprehensible certainly. We do not know if it is true or not, of course, it is just an allegation.

    Most of us do stupid things when young.

    I don't think it about "most of us do stupid things". It is about the persistence of extremism and poisonous/abusive values of whatever type.

    Whole generations can be conditioned ('brainwashed'?) into extremism, and not all will escape or grow out of it. We know that from many countries in our European history. And then we have to handle the consequences.

    It's instructive to look at the political development of some of the extremists in various traditions - far right, far left, Islamist and so on. If you take Stuart Yaxley-Lennon for example, he came up through an admiration of football hooligans, then the Youth Wing of the BNP, the promotion in the BNP, then starting his own extremist organisations, and now using social media to convince significant numbers that he is a journalist, a civic activist and a victim, and to groom them into following him.

    I think there's some truth for growing up in the middle 2 lines of the famous epitaph:

    As you are now, so once was I,
    As I am now, so you will be


    There's a reason all groups, of whatever aim or tradition or politics, target schools and universities. Get them at that time, and they are more likely to stay.

    I think this relates to @Cyclefree 's comments earlier on porn and what amounts to abusive sexuality through never learning - sometimes through lack of opportunity - that that is what abusive means. For example Andrew Tate is on record as "liking women young" (which means before they have fully formed their own beliefs and values, not whilst underage) because he can 'imprint' them to his liking.

    I think one important development of the social media age is loss of reflection and thinking, which sounds a little pompous but which I think is true.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,955
    edited November 18
    Speaker Mike Johnson, who for months sought to delay this vote on the resolution to release the Epstein files, just voted for the measure.

    NY Times blog
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,085
    kinabalu said:

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1990839006171472256

    Trump suggests Khashoggi had it coming: "You're mentioning someone that was extremely controversial. A lot of people didn't like that gentleman that you're talking about. Whether you like him or didn't like him, things happen. But he knew nothing about it. You don't have to embarrass our guest."

    There's a reason mob bosses don't have the press in when they meet up.
    The Mafia are on the line.

    They are very upset at what you have just said.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 15,575

    Good evening

    Not sure if this has been discussed but Sky Bet is moving its head office to Malta to avoid Reeves betting tax

    It looks as though General Betting Duty (the tax on horse and greyhound racing profits) will remain unchanged after strong lobbying from both codes.

    Remote Gaming Duty (the tax paid on the Fixed Odds Betting Terminals (FOBTs)) in betting shops may well rise and it's indicative of the significance of the latter the bookies are still threatening to close shops, make redundancies, move HQ locations, etc, etc.

    We'll see whehter bark and bite applies here and whether there will be any significant reductions in the betting shop estate - Sky Bet have no physical presence and operate purely online so the impact of moving the HQ will be limited but it's clearly a tax avoidance tactic.

    I suspect far more of Sky Bet's income is derived from gaming than from betting on dogs and horses.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 16,966
    rcs1000 said:

    eek said:

    Also worth emphasizing that a lot of Gerrymandering has been done on the basis that Hispanic voters tend Republican. That Gerrymandering is problematic if that logic falls apart

    That would be so funny.

    GOP deserve to be out of office for two generations at least.
    Whilst that would be just, I'm not sure the current Republican leadership are in a position to say "hey ho, we had a good run and probably deserve what's coming".

    That trying to avoid the inevitable will just make the retribution worse is only partially relevant, because the retribution will be on a different generation of red-rosetted politicians.

    (Why did the Latino vote swing so hard towards Trump last time? Long term factors, or did they just not like Harris?)
    It didn't swing hard towards Trump last time. It swung a bit towards Trump, with the result that they still went for Harris but only narrowly. However, that was in a group that had previously been more pro-Democrat.

    Why? Some suggestion that Hispanic voters, particularly men, were more socially conservative and believed the Republican characterisation of Harris as being too woke. But it may just have been bread and butter issues, with a group hit hard by inflation.
    It was a 12 point swing: that's a pretty massive shift.
    I withdraw "a bit".
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,085

    If it is true, as Polly Toynbee in Guardian asserts, that Reeves backed out of her 2p income tax rise at the "command" of Downing Street, why didn't save some dignity and resign?

    Integrity has disappeared from politics
    That is as may be, but remember however that Boris Johnson got all the big calls right.
    No he didn't and you know that

    Silly remark
    Sarcastic remark, possibly?
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,640

    Speaker Mike Johnson, who for months sought to delay this vote on the resolution to release the Epstein files, just voted for the measure.

    NY Times blog

    He really is a pathetic spineless waste of space . If Trump said he wanted bang Johnson’s wife he’d say yes before licking his boots .
  • I got a £16 No1 Dry Aged Ribeye Steak from Waitrose for £9 this evening

    It feels like a win, but it also feels like it's still quite a lot for a steak from the supermarket

    I could walk a mile to Tesco, or get to the butcher in time, but the convenience of a decent Waitrose a few hundred yards away is seemingly irresistible

    And dry aged ribeye does sound better than ribeye
  • MattWMattW Posts: 30,816
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Trump's deportations have turned some Hispanics against him, that was certainly the case in New Jersey in the mini midterms

    Actually, I think it's a little more complex than that.

    Most Hispanic voters are in favour of "the wall".

    Most Hispanic voters are in favour of deporting undocumented migrants who have committed criminal offences.

    Many Hispanic voters are more ... nuanced when it comes to deporting Hispanic voters who are otherwise law abiding citizens in the US.

    Most Histpanic voters oppose the deportation of those who have strong ties to the US, and perhaps came here via DACA and who are married to US spouses, and have US childtrn.

    And almost all Hispanic voters oppose them getting accosted by ICE outside Walmart and being made to prove they are American.

    The second to last one is a surprisingly big category. There are many, many millions of people who are in the US with ambigious status. Let me give you an example: a property developer friend of mine in LA is a British citizen on a Green Card, with an American wife. But here's the thing. He came on a tourist visa. Fell in love. Married a woman. And applied for a Green Card. But there was a period of about four or five months when he was in the US on an expired tourist visa, married to an American and before his Green Card was granted. He could definitely be deported, because - under current US immigration rules - that prior breach means that his Green Card may be invalid. Now, he's a wealthy guy with great lawyers, and he's racing to get his US citizenship. But there are a lot of people like that who are being deported so as to get the numbers up. And a lot of them are Hispanic.
    I think a further one is that the authorities have been targeting Hispanics for random detention and deportation, since they are detectible by skin colour.

    A lot of Hispanics have relatives, friends or acquaintances who have been impacted m, or at least have seen conmvincing media reports.

    That's the "Who? ME?" factor.
  • eek said:

    Also worth emphasizing that a lot of Gerrymandering has been done on the basis that Hispanic voters tend Republican. That Gerrymandering is problematic if that logic falls apart

    That would be so funny.

    GOP deserve to be out of office for two generations at least.
    Whilst that would be just, I'm not sure the current Republican leadership are in a position to say "hey ho, we had a good run and probably deserve what's coming".

    That trying to avoid the inevitable will just make the retribution worse is only partially relevant, because the retribution will be on a different generation of red-rosetted politicians.

    (Why did the Latino vote swing so hard towards Trump last time? Long term factors, or did they just not like Harris?)
    It didn't swing hard towards Trump last time. It swung a bit towards Trump, with the result that they still went for Harris but only narrowly. However, that was in a group that had previously been more pro-Democrat.

    Why? Some suggestion that Hispanic voters, particularly men, were more socially conservative and believed the Republican characterisation of Harris as being too woke. But it may just have been bread and butter issues, with a group hit hard by inflation.
    Or it could be they are low-information voters who were easily conned.

    Happens here too, you know.
  • I’m disappointed by this place

    This morning I came up with a very rude political Spoonerism: stunt karma

    I then made up a phrase including it: political stunt karma (a phrase appreciated by @Benpointer )

    I then found a very recent and topical example of k*** Starma’s political stunts leading to karma

    And nobody replied with any sort of acknowledgment of the Spoonerism

    PBers are a tough crowd, the amount of times they’ve all missed my subtle puns/musical references is astonishing.
    Number of times.
    When I hear people talk about the amount of people, I always wonder how fat the people are
  • SandraMcSandraMc Posts: 802

    I’m disappointed by this place

    This morning I came up with a very rude political Spoonerism: stunt karma

    I then made up a phrase including it: political stunt karma (a phrase appreciated by @Benpointer )

    I then found a very recent and topical example of k*** Starma’s political stunts leading to karma

    And nobody replied with any sort of acknowledgment of the Spoonerism

    PBers are a tough crowd, the amount of times they’ve all missed my subtle puns/musical references is astonishing.
    Have we had Keir-less Whisper?

    Re Farage: he was in the same class at school as my local Rector. The Rector hasn't mentioned any racism from Farage but says Farage was a loner and unpopular, an academic low flyer, only good at debating.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 30,816

    I’m disappointed by this place

    This morning I came up with a very rude political Spoonerism: stunt karma

    I then made up a phrase including it: political stunt karma (a phrase appreciated by @Benpointer )

    I then found a very recent and topical example of k*** Starma’s political stunts leading to karma

    And nobody replied with any sort of acknowledgment of the Spoonerism

    PBers are a tough crowd, the amount of times they’ve all missed my subtle puns/musical references is astonishing.
    I have missed all your subtle puns tbh.
    The mere lump hammers are hard to find amongst the Timmy Mallets.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,830
    Epstein Files Bill passes the House:

    Yes: 427
    No: 1

    Not a typo - ONE vote against!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 62,390
    MattW said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Trump's deportations have turned some Hispanics against him, that was certainly the case in New Jersey in the mini midterms

    Actually, I think it's a little more complex than that.

    Most Hispanic voters are in favour of "the wall".

    Most Hispanic voters are in favour of deporting undocumented migrants who have committed criminal offences.

    Many Hispanic voters are more ... nuanced when it comes to deporting Hispanic voters who are otherwise law abiding citizens in the US.

    Most Histpanic voters oppose the deportation of those who have strong ties to the US, and perhaps came here via DACA and who are married to US spouses, and have US childtrn.

    And almost all Hispanic voters oppose them getting accosted by ICE outside Walmart and being made to prove they are American.

    The second to last one is a surprisingly big category. There are many, many millions of people who are in the US with ambigious status. Let me give you an example: a property developer friend of mine in LA is a British citizen on a Green Card, with an American wife. But here's the thing. He came on a tourist visa. Fell in love. Married a woman. And applied for a Green Card. But there was a period of about four or five months when he was in the US on an expired tourist visa, married to an American and before his Green Card was granted. He could definitely be deported, because - under current US immigration rules - that prior breach means that his Green Card may be invalid. Now, he's a wealthy guy with great lawyers, and he's racing to get his US citizenship. But there are a lot of people like that who are being deported so as to get the numbers up. And a lot of them are Hispanic.
    I think a further one is that the authorities have been targeting Hispanics for random detention and deportation, since they are detectible by skin colour.

    A lot of Hispanics have relatives, friends or acquaintances who have been impacted m, or at least have seen conmvincing media reports.

    That's the "Who? ME?" factor.
    I agree: I think it's the one thing that really grates - the possibility you could be detained essentially based only on your skin colour
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,085
    MikeL said:

    Epstein Files Bill passes the House:

    Yes: 427
    No: 1

    Not a typo - ONE vote against!

    Ok, so -

    Who is the person who didn't want the files released?

    Dare I guess it is an older man...
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,955
    Foxy said:

    geoffw said:

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1990839006171472256

    Trump suggests Khashoggi had it coming: "You're mentioning someone that was extremely controversial. A lot of people didn't like that gentleman that you're talking about. Whether you like him or didn't like him, things happen. But he knew nothing about it. You don't have to embarrass our guest."

    Just about the most despicable thing he's said amid a lorryload of deplorable rubbish

    Its a new low, even for Trump.
    The clock though finally seems to be clicking on his baleful time in public life.

    Maybe I am an idiot but I'm starting to think the corner has been turned.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,955

    In blow to Trump, federal judges block new Texas congressional map

    https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/18/federal-judges-block-new-texas-congressional-map-00656680
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,955
    The [Epstein] vote was almost unanimous. With Democrats united in voting to release the files, and Trump caving and instructing Republicans to follow suit, there was just one holdout, Representative Clay Higgins of Louisiana, in the House of Representatives. The action now turns to the Senate.

    NY Times blog
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 4,285
    Well. That's how you start a big game.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 30,816
    edited November 18

    EU confirms it wants UK to pay into its budget in exchange for closer ties
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/18/eu-uk-pay-into-budget-closer-ties

    Just when they thought they had Nige on the ropes.

    What are the payment made by other countries for similar deals?

    This one looks a bit steep, for example, given that a "fair" payment might be something like part of the gross margin on the benefit we gain, and €6bn is a big chunk of even our level share of €150bn, or recast our relationship more towards the customs union:

    If eventually agreed, it would be the first time the UK has paid into the EU budget since Brexit, although Britain pays EU membership legacy costs. The two sides are also deadlocked over the EU’s demand for an entry fee of up to €6bn (£5.3bn) to allow British companies to maximise benefits from a €150bn (£132.1bn) EU defence programme.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 36,037
    OMG McTominay
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,640


    In blow to Trump, federal judges block new Texas congressional map

    https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/18/federal-judges-block-new-texas-congressional-map-00656680

    I wonder what California will do now ? Their change was in retaliation for the Texas change . Of course there might be appeals by Texas so there’s still a chance the new maps go into effect .
  • eekeek Posts: 31,948


    In blow to Trump, federal judges block new Texas congressional map

    https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/18/federal-judges-block-new-texas-congressional-map-00656680

    Yet this thread is about Hispanics potentially not voting Republican at the next election.

    So rejecting the latest Gerrymandering plan for Texas may be a blessing to the party..
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 76,085


    In blow to Trump, federal judges block new Texas congressional map

    https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/18/federal-judges-block-new-texas-congressional-map-00656680

    If Hispanics really have swung against him, that's a remarkable example of Trump being saved from himself.
  • stodge said:

    Good evening

    Not sure if this has been discussed but Sky Bet is moving its head office to Malta to avoid Reeves betting tax

    It looks as though General Betting Duty (the tax on horse and greyhound racing profits) will remain unchanged after strong lobbying from both codes.

    Remote Gaming Duty (the tax paid on the Fixed Odds Betting Terminals (FOBTs)) in betting shops may well rise and it's indicative of the significance of the latter the bookies are still threatening to close shops, make redundancies, move HQ locations, etc, etc.

    We'll see whehter bark and bite applies here and whether there will be any significant reductions in the betting shop estate - Sky Bet have no physical presence and operate purely online so the impact of moving the HQ will be limited but it's clearly a tax avoidance tactic.

    I suspect far more of Sky Bet's income is derived from gaming than from betting on dogs and horses.
    Sky Bet is now owned by Flutter, along with Betfair and Paddy Power.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 15,575
    Evening all :)

    I don't know why we should be surprised at Home Secretary Mahmood's statement today. There's a widely held but false assumption Labour is all metropolitan, London-elite, "soft" liberals who are pro-migrant and anti-victim.

    Recent history should tell us Labour are an authoritarian and socially conservative party when it suits them - both Jack Straw and David Blunkett were "hard" Home Secretaries often outdoing the Conservatives in restriction, regulation and compulsion.

    Indeed, Labour has always had an authoritarian streak in its DNA and used to compete with the Conservatives on the battleground of social conservatism but they now compete with Reform for the WWC vote.

    There are plenty of votes currently in being "firm" on asylum seekers and migrants in general and had Chris Philp come up with this I doubt there'd have been as strong a reaction but opposition has to oppose everything (apparently).

    Mahmood will be far less worried about what Reform and the Conservatives are saying than the reaction internally within Labour - after all, they will be her constituency IF she sees herself as a future leader.

    A populist will say whatever they think the person they are talking to wants to hear - the politician will forget the person in front of them and remember the wider audience at home, nationally or even internationally. They are the ones who matter.
  • isamisam Posts: 43,015
    Fuck mine McTominay!
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 56,892
    MCTOMINAY!!
  • MattWMattW Posts: 30,816

    I got a £16 No1 Dry Aged Ribeye Steak from Waitrose for £9 this evening

    It feels like a win, but it also feels like it's still quite a lot for a steak from the supermarket

    I could walk a mile to Tesco, or get to the butcher in time, but the convenience of a decent Waitrose a few hundred yards away is seemingly irresistible

    And dry aged ribeye does sound better than ribeye

    If you dried it out even more and it became biltong that would be even more expensive.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 62,390
    ydoethur said:


    In blow to Trump, federal judges block new Texas congressional map

    https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/18/federal-judges-block-new-texas-congressional-map-00656680

    If Hispanics really have swung against him, that's a remarkable example of Trump being saved from himself.
    Oh, the Judges keep accidentally doing massive favours to Trump.

    Like in the Comey case. He is obviously not guilty of the offence as charged. (He is - I would note - guilty of misleading Congress by not answering the question asked. But that's not illegal.)

    If the Judges block the case, then he can rail about how Comey escaped Justice due to the courts blocking the case. And the Judiciary get that bit more cowed.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,955
    nico67 said:


    In blow to Trump, federal judges block new Texas congressional map

    https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/18/federal-judges-block-new-texas-congressional-map-00656680

    I wonder what California will do now ? Their change was in retaliation for the Texas change . Of course there might be appeals by Texas so there’s still a chance the new maps go into effect .
    if i have understood it the California stuff still stands and will be used for 2026 and 2028.

    Newsom just got an added bonus to an already massive win.



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