The Labour Party has learnt from the success of its campaign of giving free publicity to Nigel Farage and is now giving free publicity to Zack Polanski.
Early data from Virginia is showing the Republicans running ahead of their 2024 performance in the majority black Brunswick County, but well down in Mannassas, which is majority Hispanic.
The interesting bit to me is that the Governorship is showing Dems +10%, but the Attorney General race is neck and neck.
"Republican Attorney General Jason Miyares is seeking a second term against former State Del. Jay Jones. In recent weeks, the race has centered around resurfaced violent text messages that Jones sent in 2022. Jones has apologized for the texts, but Miyares has called them disqualifying."
"Former conservative radio host John Reid would be the nation’s first openly gay Republican elected to statewide office, while Ghazala Hashmi, a progressive state senator from the Richmond area, would be the nation’s first Muslim woman elected to statewide office. The winner would have the power to break ties in the State Senate, which could be crucial as Democrats currently have a narrow 21-19 majority in the chamber."
Early data from Virginia is showing the Republicans running ahead of their 2024 performance in the majority black Brunswick County, but well down in Mannassas, which is majority Hispanic.
"The top three issues for New Jersey voters boil down to affordability, according to exit polls. Taxes, economy and health care were the top three issues voters raised in the Garden State with just 20 minutes until polls closed.
New Jersey boasts the highest property tax rate in the country. The affordability issues driving New Jersey's gubernatorial race mirror the race for mayor in New York City, where early results from an NBC News exit poll indicated 72% of mayoral voters said the cost of housing was a major problem."
Neck and neck in New Jersey, with both candidates duking it out on 0 votes each.
NJ Governor election now 54% for Democrat Sherrill and 45% for Republican Ciattarelli with 12% in, in 2024 NJ was Harris 51.97% and Trump 46.06%, so again a slight shift to the Democrats since last year
The splits on the exit polls in Virginia are pretty gruesome, split R/D 55% / 45% with white voters but 22% / 75% with other ethnicities, 53% / 45% male, 37% / 61% female. Similar in New Jersey.
The splits on the exit polls in Virginia are pretty gruesome, split R/D 55% / 45% with white voters but 22% / 75% with other ethnicities, 53% / 45% male, 37% / 61% female. Similar in New Jersey.
Which is why I think the Texas redistricting is potentially a disaster for the Republicans: it's based on them maintaining their 2024 gains with Hispanic voters, and if those dissipate -even only moderately- they could end up losing seats that they've drawn too close.
As an aside, US economic numbers are really horrible right now. US factory production has now shrunk eight months in a row. (With tariffs a significant contributory factor.)
The splits on the exit polls in Virginia are pretty gruesome, split R/D 55% / 45% with white voters but 22% / 75% with other ethnicities, 53% / 45% male, 37% / 61% female. Similar in New Jersey.
Which is why I think the Texas redistricting is potentially a disaster for the Republicans: it's based on them maintaining their 2024 gains with Hispanic voters, and if those dissipate -even only moderately- they could end up losing seats that they've drawn too close.
Be so damn funny if Texas is a net loss for the Republicans - and flips the House...
Assuming that the votes continue to come in at the same rate in each county, the Dem should win the Virginia Attorney-General race by about 38K votes, BUT this does not include counties which have yet to call any votes, so treat with a pinch of salt.
Gender Male (44%) 46% 37% 13% Female (55%) 47% 40% 10% I identify another way (1%) Not enough data Are you: White (49%) 44% 41% 13% Black (18%) 52% 37% 5% Hispanic/Latino (18%) 46% 37% 13% Asian (10%) 61% 29% 9% Other (5%) 46% 34% 11% Race White (49%) 44% 41% 13% Non-White (51%) 51% 35% 10%
New York 36% counted, Mandami up by 11-12 percent.
He's won.
Mamdani is ahead in every borough instead of Staten Island. Which only has about 160,000 votes cast. Out of a total of two million. It's hard to see Cuomo pulling it back.
New York 36% counted, Mandami up by 11-12 percent.
He's won.
Couldn't the anti-Mamdani forces find a better candidate than Cuomo?
Silwa was a better candidate than Cuomo. Unfortunately, he got squeezed out of the news cycle.
It illustrates the problem. Heck, I'd've considered voting for Silwa. But Cuomo has lots of money and lots of contacts and thought he could just wander in and buy an election. So it turned an argument about policy into an argument about ethics, and Cuomo was dripping with fly-spattered excrement in that respect.
Just 31% remaining and Mamdami is up by 9 percentage points.
It's over. Mamdami is Mayor of New York City.
Bookies were right and Betfair was wrong (or was right but less right). 1/10 with Betfair but 1/25 with the books. Sometimes the value is with the favourite and losers are at massive prices for a reason.
Andy_JS - Winsome Earle-Sears is not just a black woman, she's an immigrant from Jamaica, an electrician, a former Marine, and a former Salvation Army "lassie".
Andy_JS - Winsome Earle-Sears is not just a black woman, she's an immigrant from Jamaica, an electrician, a former Marine, and a former Salvation Army "lassie".
Andy_JS - Winsome Earle-Sears is not just a black woman, she's an immigrant from Jamaica, an electrician, a former Marine, and a former Salvation Army "lassie".
Comments
https://x.com/UKLabour/status/1985803008924438682
https://x.com/eclipsethis2003/status/1976999793873535214
The interesting bit to me is that the Governorship is showing Dems +10%, but the Attorney General race is neck and neck.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gdY68VR2Sfc
Down to candidate selection...
"Former conservative radio host John Reid would be the nation’s first openly gay Republican elected to statewide office, while Ghazala Hashmi, a progressive state senator from the Richmond area, would be the nation’s first Muslim woman elected to statewide office. The winner would have the power to break ties in the State Senate, which could be crucial as Democrats currently have a narrow 21-19 majority in the chamber."
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2025-elections/virginia-governor-results
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2025-elections/virginia-attorney-general-results
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2025-elections/virginia-lieutenant-governor-results
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2025-elections/new-jersey-governor-results
The Dems will be happy with that result.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2025-elections/new-york-city-mayor-results
Harris beat Trump by only 6% in Virginia last year, so first signs of a swing away from Trump and the GOP since 2024
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2025-special-elections/california-ballot-measures
"The top three issues for New Jersey voters boil down to affordability, according to exit polls. Taxes, economy and health care were the top three issues voters raised in the Garden State with just 20 minutes until polls closed.
New Jersey boasts the highest property tax rate in the country. The affordability issues driving New Jersey's gubernatorial race mirror the race for mayor in New York City, where early results from an NBC News exit poll indicated 72% of mayoral voters said the cost of housing was a major problem."
Spanberger (Dem) wins VA Governor
Dem 59/40
11% in
Dem running 5% ahead of last time
John King: Dem running ahead of last time in every County he has checked
BUT: Early vote may be more Dem.
Similar in New Jersey.
Massive data error: 57,000 Dem votes in Burlington were missing, now added
Reminder, in 2024 NJ was Harris 51.97% and Trump 46.06% - so a huge shift if maintained.
3 Dem justices up for re-election - all being returned for new 10 year terms by overwhelming 80/20 margin.
Dem obviously looks very good - but only issue is most of votes in are early votes which are more Dem.
(narrator: viewcode has never been to NJ in my life. Sorry, NJ people)
NJ now 57/43, 41% in
So it is tightening.
He's won.
Gender
Male (44%)
46%
37%
13%
Female (55%)
47%
40%
10%
I identify another way (1%)
Not enough data
Are you:
White (49%)
44%
41%
13%
Black (18%)
52%
37%
5%
Hispanic/Latino (18%)
46%
37%
13%
Asian (10%)
61%
29%
9%
Other (5%)
46%
34%
11%
Race
White (49%)
44%
41%
13%
Non-White (51%)
51%
35%
10%
Sherrill (Dem) wins New Jersey Governor
It's over. Mamdami is Mayor of New York City.
Mamdani (Dem) wins NYC Mayor
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2025-elections/virginia-attorney-general-results#summary
It's a clean sweep for the Dems in NY/NJ/VA tonight.
Pause
Go to bed, viewcode
(narrator: viewcode is going to bed now)
CA polls close in one hour.
PA Supreme Court - All 3 Dem justices re-elected to new 10 year terms.
I guess we’re about to find out what happens when a finance capital elects someone who doesn’t believe in wealth or crime.
And more:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winsome_Earle-Sears
Looks like she’s going to fall short though, Spanberger on 56% with nearly all votes counted.