Skip to content

D’Hondt Cry For Me Argentina – politicalbetting.com

245678

Comments

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 57,850
    eek said:

    HYUFD said:

    Escaped Epping migrant captured in Finsbury Park by police and arrested so will return to jail to serve the remainder of his sentence for sexual assault

    He didn't escape - he was released.

    Don't throw words like escaped round when that is no part of the story - that merely encourages Farage and co.
    Plus “escaped” is accusing him (Epping chap) of a crime that he definitely didn’t commit.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 15,476
    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    Morning all :)

    Not seen much mention of the two polls published overnight.

    First, Opinium (fieldwork, 24/10 and 25/10, changes from two weeks ago):

    ➡️ REF: 30% (-2)
    🌹 LAB: 20% (-2)
    🌳 CON: 18% (=)
    🔶 LDEM: 12% (+1)
    🟢 GRN: 12% (+2)

    Then we have an Ashcroft poll which is in the Mail on Sunday:

    Reform: 29%
    Labour: 19%
    Conservative: 19%
    Green: 17%
    Liberal Democrats: 11%

    That looks the highest Green poll number for some time.

    The "split" (Ref/Con vs Lab/LD/Green) is 48-44 with Opinium and 48-47 with Ashcroft.

    There's also been a Scottish poll by Survation - details:

    Constituency / List %s:
    34 / 29 SNP
    22 / 20 Reform
    18 / 17 Labour
    10 / 12 Tories
    8 / 10 LibDems
    7 / 10 Greens
    1 / 2 Alba

    Scottish Election Study seat calculator gives:
    55 SNP
    22 Reform
    19 Labour
    12 Tory
    11 Greens
    10 LD
    0 Alba

    Make of all this nonsense what you will.

    Looks like Reform and Labour down, the Greens up and the LDs and Tories holding steady on the Opinium and Ashcroft poll.
    30% and 29% for Reform with those 2 polls is well below the 36% they got even in Caerphilly so Farage's party remains very vulnerable to tactical voting against them given they failed to win in the Caerphilly by election.

    SNP down to just 55 seats at Holyrood Survation which would be their lowest number of MSPs since 2007. A unionist majority just 3 MSPs short too, so if some tactical votes for Labour on the constituency vote to beat the SNP could well be achieved.

    Labour and the Scottish Conservatives both projected to get their lowest number of MSPs since Holyrood was founded in 1999 with Reform and the Greens the main gainers along with the LDs

    I struggle to see how a non-SNP Government can be formed on those numbers assuming they will seek the support of the Scottish Greens once again. Indeed, I can't envisage a Reform minority Government backed by Conservatives, Labour and LDs - can you?

    I'm also not sure how you equate national polling to a Senedd by-election result. There's an element of truth in that Reform look vulnerable to tactical voting and I'm sure as a Conservative that's a message you'll be putting over in seats where the Tories are the biggest challengers to Reform but what of seats where Reform's biggest challengers are Labour and the Conservatives are third or fourth? Would you encourage Conservative voters in those seats to vote Labour or would you prefer Reform to win large numbers of seats?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 18,327
    Taz said:

    I see the asylum seeking nonce has been recaptured.

    As broadcast on the BBC

    How dare they cover a story of public interest as it makes some uncomfortable !

    I think the point is the other 250 criminals who were wrongly released got no attention whatsoever, while the BBC gives the single asylum seeker wall to wall coverage, where asylum seeking and criminality are somewhat conflated. The story has public interest; BBC coverage of it less so.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    He may be in Abu Dhabi by then
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 33,505
    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    What Ed Davey intends is getting his name and his party into the news. There was nothing in the LibDem manifesto about the monarchy so evidently there is no great principle here.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,742
    HYUFD said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    He may be in Abu Dhabi by then
    We don’t want him out here stinking up the place.
  • TazTaz Posts: 21,743
    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kamala Harris being interviewed on Kuenssberg now

    Whose fault was it this time?
    Not hers. She didn’t have enough time. Her message was great, it wasn’t the problem. Neither was she.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    edited 9:47AM
    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    He may be in Abu Dhabi by then
    We don’t want him out here stinking up the place.
    '..Sun sources can reveal Andrew has been offered an escape route by Abu Dhabi’s super-rich ruler Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.

    The sheikh has offered free use of a vast royal palace next to an idyllic waterway in the desert kingdom. He is said to have made the gesture to show his gratitude for Andrew’s “kindness” to United Arab Emirates royals when he was the UK’s international business envoy.' https://www.thesun.co.uk/royals/37118388/andrew-offered-lavish-abu-dhabi-palace-royals

    It is an excellent getaway for disgraced European royals, exiled former King of Spain Juan Carlos also lives there
    https://english.elpais.com/spain/2021-08-03/the-life-of-spains-emeritus-king-juan-carlos-i-in-abu-dhabi.html
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 82,537

    Fishing said:

    Interesting header, thanks.

    As to the elections, I have no expertise to add beyond what is comprehensively covered above.

    I've been following Argentina's economy closely and I think Milei, though incredibly brave and right in most respects, will ultimately be thwarted by the nationwide obsession with the dollar exchange rate as a mark of success, which he shares to some extent. Beyond the rarified realm of economic models, a classic sign of an overvalued exchange rate is when Argentinians go shopping en masse, in, or start to retire to, Brazil and Paraguay, and I understand we're seeing quite a lot of that now, But I could be wrong, especially if the dollar weakens significantly.

    However, if Milei defies the massive odds against him and reignites a sustainable recovery, it would be yet another small nail in the coffin of our dismal government's illiterate tax and spend economic policy. Would people be saying, as they did with economic miracle West Germany after WWII, "I thought we won the war"?

    Good luck to him.

    Trying to fight exchange rates is an old, old thing.

    Post WWII, the U.K. spent loan after loan from the US on trying to support the pound.

    While growing up in the 80s, every tip pot dictator had fixed exchange rate, with a collapsed economy and a lively black market.

    Then there was the ERM comedy.

    I never understood it. The pressure is there. The cost of holding an artificial exchange rate is large. So you run out of funds and then the movement happens anyway.
    Yours right, of course.

    But allowing depreciations are effectively telling the entire country that they are poorer than they thought they were.
    People don't like unpleasant facts.

    Which is why it's usually left to financial markets, or the IMF, to break the bad news.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 7,517
    Cyclefree said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    Some facts.

    1. Royal Lodge is owned by the Crown Estate. It is not part of the royal family's personal property.

    2. The Crown Estate is an independent corporation which manages a whole load of assets, including land and its profits go back to the Treasury. It's legal obligations are set out in 2 statutes - one in 1961 and one earlier this year.

    3. Its latest report is here - https://www.datocms-assets.com/136653/1751320624-ar-25-the-crown-estate-annual-report.pdf. Its current Chair is Robin Budenberg, who used to be a UBs investment banker (often advising the government). I have worked with him.

    4. Andrew has a lease on Royal Lodge. Under its terms, he had to pay (and has paid) £8.5 million for the repair of the property and his annual rent is a peppercorn one, though he has continuing obligations to keep the property in a good state of repair. Whether this agreement made good financial / property sense at the time, I cannot say but it would have been reviewed by the Crown Estate legal and property advisors and would, I assume, have had to be signed off by the relevant persons.

    5. Whether it now makes sense for him and his ex to live in a house which is far larger than they need and given his personal behaviour and its effects on the working royals is another matter which is separate from whether the Crown Estate handled the decision about the use of this property and the money for it properly or well. It may well have been a sensible agreement at the time.

    6. Regardless of Andrew's behaviour, there is something wrong about tearing up lawful contracts because we don't like particular individuals. The rule of law should mean something and there are far too many instances at the moment of all sorts of people and organisations who should know better taking the view that they should simply ignore any laws, judgments or contracts they do not like or which inconveniences them. This is a wrong. We should say so loudly and clearly not indulge this nonsense. It is very Trumpian behaviour and it is one of the many ironies that it is often done by people who claim to despise Trump or who think of themselves as "progressive".

    7. Parliament had an opportunity to debate how the Crown Estate should operate when it passed the Crown Estate Act 2025. I wonder how many of the MPs now making a noise about Andrew took the opportunity to do this. It's not as if his difficulties were not known about.

    TBC

    8. If he leaves the lodge he will ask for, and perhaps get, a monetary settlement. This will look bad. As bad as having him stay? Who knows.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 46,121

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    Er, logic fail. Other perfectly possible alternatives are:

    a) non political head for life/set term - someone of the ilk Sir David Attenborough (not an option now, but just as an example).
    b) different RF. OK, this means a new head of the C of E, but we've been assured on here that that's no problem in terms of divine right/anointment/will etc. given previous changes.

    Neither is likely - but they do exist.

    "Would you rather have Prince Andy or Sir David for King?" would be an interesting polling question. I won't speculate on (b).
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 35,369
    edited 9:49AM

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    If you cannot see the political gotcha this is for the media and the utter shambles for the government then you are in denial
    It is a representation of a broken prison system. A system this government has not resolved and incumbent governments rightly take the kicking. Please remember it is a prison system that YOUR government broke, and quite possibly ordered an early election before they had to implement THEIR early release programme.

    I recall back in the Blair years an RAF bigwig left a CDRom with sensitive defence details on a bus. The press demanded Ministerial resignations. During the 2010 to 2024 government a briefcase with sensitive defence material was stolen from a parked car. The media wanted the car driver sacked.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,672

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    Given that the Crown Estates are already legally acountable to Parliament rather than the King and that all the money raised by the Crown Estates goes to HM Government, it seems rather disingenuous for Davey to be 'calling for the Crown Estates to give evidence' to Parliament as if that is not aleady entirely within their remit.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    And these people causing the problems arent the 'Monarchy'. The Monarchy is the monarch and his/her next in line. And if the person next in line is such a bad egg Parliament will choose someone else in line who is suitable.
    King Charles and Camilla are well liked, Prince William and Kate are well liked, and as far as we know so far their children are also adorable.

    No change any time soon.
    Indeed, people forget not only Prince William and his children but even Prince Harry and his children Archie and Lilibet are higher in the line of succession and more likely to become monarch of the UK and Commonwealth realms than Andrew now
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 20,336
    Taz said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kamala Harris being interviewed on Kuenssberg now

    LauraK quite fawning over her.
    Does she ever not fawn?

    Bottom line is that Harris is doing Kuenssberg more of a favour by appearing on the show than Kuenssberg is doing Harris by giving her a platform.

    There's a reason why few chat show interviews are particularly probing.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 15,476
    FF43 said:

    Taz said:

    I see the asylum seeking nonce has been recaptured.

    As broadcast on the BBC

    How dare they cover a story of public interest as it makes some uncomfortable !

    I think the point is the other 250 criminals who were wrongly released got no attention whatsoever, while the BBC gives the single asylum seeker wall to wall coverage, where asylum seeking and criminality are somewhat conflated. The story has public interest; BBC coverage of it less so.
    It's not just the BBC of course - it's the Mail, Sky News etc, etc. I'm not quite sure why so many on here single out the BBC for their vitriol - could be the Licence Fee perchance?

    In any case, it was always going to be about who this man was and the context rather than anything else. The truth is this has been an appalling blunder which has uncovered a larger issue around the prison service and its competencies which in turn leads back to the neglect of past Conservative Governments as much as the ineptitude of the current Labour Government.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 82,537
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    Some facts.

    1. Royal Lodge is owned by the Crown Estate. It is not part of the royal family's personal property.

    2. The Crown Estate is an independent corporation which manages a whole load of assets, including land and its profits go back to the Treasury. It's legal obligations are set out in 2 statutes - one in 1961 and one earlier this year.

    3. Its latest report is here - https://www.datocms-assets.com/136653/1751320624-ar-25-the-crown-estate-annual-report.pdf. Its current Chair is Robin Budenberg, who used to be a UBs investment banker (often advising the government). I have worked with him.

    4. Andrew has a lease on Royal Lodge. Under its terms, he had to pay (and has paid) £8.5 million for the repair of the property and his annual rent is a peppercorn one, though he has continuing obligations to keep the property in a good state of repair. Whether this agreement made good financial / property sense at the time, I cannot say but it would have been reviewed by the Crown Estate legal and property advisors and would, I assume, have had to be signed off by the relevant persons.

    5. Whether it now makes sense for him and his ex to live in a house which is far larger than they need and given his personal behaviour and its effects on the working royals is another matter which is separate from whether the Crown Estate handled the decision about the use of this property and the money for it properly or well. It may well have been a sensible agreement at the time.

    6. Regardless of Andrew's behaviour, there is something wrong about tearing up lawful contracts because we don't like particular individuals. The rule of law should mean something and there are far too many instances at the moment of all sorts of people and organisations who should know better taking the view that they should simply ignore any laws, judgments or contracts they do not like or which inconveniences them. This is a wrong. We should say so loudly and clearly not indulge this nonsense. It is very Trumpian behaviour and it is one of the many ironies that it is often done by people who claim to despise Trump or who think of themselves as "progressive".

    7. Parliament had an opportunity to debate how the Crown Estate should operate when it passed the Crown Estate Act 2025. I wonder how many of the MPs now making a noise about Andrew took the opportunity to do this. It's not as if his difficulties were not known about.

    TBC

    8. Also a fact, unpopular as it may be to state it, Andrew has never been charged with any criminal offence nor sought for questioning about it by the US criminal authorities. He is - like everyone else - innocent until proven guilty. Innocence under the law is not something reserved only for likeable people. He was asked to give a deposition in the context of US civil proceedings brought against him, which were ultimately settled. The late Virginia Giuffre got a large amount of money in that settlement but no admission of liability nor even an apology.

    9. If he has broken the law in other respects, the law should take its course. I suspect that a lot of highly placed individuals - many of them politicians (I could name names but won't) - have met with or done business with or even accepted, money, hospitality and gifts from dubious Chinese individuals or people from other dodgy Eastern European or Middle Eastern countries or even countries such as Australia. It is practically the business plan for a part of Britain's wealth management sector.

    10. He is not an asset to the royal family and his personal behaviour, if even a fraction of the stories about him are true, sounds quite ghastly. He is probably quite representative of a certain slice of upper class/rich British males if my own experience of that group is anything to go by. It would be best if he made himself scarce so that we do not have to hear from or see him again. If Parliament wants to remove ducal titles or limit them only to working royals, they would have to pass legislation to do so. It would certainly deal with both Andrew and Harry, but it just shifts the issue to a couple of black sheep calling themselves prince. Personally I don't much care. A title does not confer grace or judgment and vulgarity is pretty widespread among the rich and titled and entitled.
    A welcomed dose of Cyclefree acerbity to wake up to.

    (Btw I am sending you a VM.)
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,672
    Good balanced header Foxy. Except of course for the ludicrous idea that the D'hondt method is anything other than the very worst form of electoral system. Anything based on proportionality between parties is just simply wrong from the very start.
  • SirNorfolkPassmoreSirNorfolkPassmore Posts: 7,490

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    What Ed Davey intends is getting his name and his party into the news. There was nothing in the LibDem manifesto about the monarchy so evidently there is no great principle here.
    Leaving aside that all parties develop policy between elections, It's long been Lib Dem policy to go towards a written constitution and remove the remaining prerogative powers.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,412
    Nigelb said:

    Fishing said:

    Interesting header, thanks.

    As to the elections, I have no expertise to add beyond what is comprehensively covered above.

    I've been following Argentina's economy closely and I think Milei, though incredibly brave and right in most respects, will ultimately be thwarted by the nationwide obsession with the dollar exchange rate as a mark of success, which he shares to some extent. Beyond the rarified realm of economic models, a classic sign of an overvalued exchange rate is when Argentinians go shopping en masse, in, or start to retire to, Brazil and Paraguay, and I understand we're seeing quite a lot of that now, But I could be wrong, especially if the dollar weakens significantly.

    However, if Milei defies the massive odds against him and reignites a sustainable recovery, it would be yet another small nail in the coffin of our dismal government's illiterate tax and spend economic policy. Would people be saying, as they did with economic miracle West Germany after WWII, "I thought we won the war"?

    Good luck to him.

    Trying to fight exchange rates is an old, old thing.

    Post WWII, the U.K. spent loan after loan from the US on trying to support the pound.

    While growing up in the 80s, every tip pot dictator had fixed exchange rate, with a collapsed economy and a lively black market.

    Then there was the ERM comedy.

    I never understood it. The pressure is there. The cost of holding an artificial exchange rate is large. So you run out of funds and then the movement happens anyway.
    Yours right, of course.

    But allowing depreciations are effectively telling the entire country that they are poorer than they thought they were.
    People don't like unpleasant facts.

    Which is why it's usually left to financial markets, or the IMF, to break the bad news.
    The effect varies between socioeconmic demographics.

    A lower exchange rate works very well for the middle aged who work in export industries and have DC pensions.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,531
    Taz said:

    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kamala Harris being interviewed on Kuenssberg now

    Whose fault was it this time?
    Not hers. She didn’t have enough time. Her message was great, it wasn’t the problem. Neither was she.
    Regardless any sane country given the choice between Harris and Trump would have elected her. The fact voters decided to go with Trump is more a reflection of them than Harris who ran a perfectly acceptable campaign .
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 47,785

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    If you cannot see the political gotcha this is for the media and the utter shambles for the government then you are in denial
    Oh I see alright.
    I remember the years of attacks on the conservatives, Boris, Truss and Sunak and no amount of wishing changed anything, as they were the government and they had no choice but to accept they were unpopular and everything would be another ' gotcha'

    And the escapee has been arrested
    Yes the 'manhunt' is over. Thank goodness for that. People can relax and start thinking about the Sunday roast.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,412
    I haven't watched all of this yet but its pretty interesting:

    How the Democratic Brand Turned Radioactive in Rural America | The Ezra Klein Show

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9bjypc1rS4
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,742
    Taz said:

    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kamala Harris being interviewed on Kuenssberg now

    Whose fault was it this time?
    Not hers. She didn’t have enough time. Her message was great, it wasn’t the problem. Neither was she.
    Which is why her popularity got steadily worse as the campaign progressed. The more the American public saw of her, the more they preferred to vote for Donald Trump, that’s how bad she was.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,672
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    Some facts.

    1. Royal Lodge is owned by the Crown Estate. It is not part of the royal family's personal property.

    2. The Crown Estate is an independent corporation which manages a whole load of assets, including land and its profits go back to the Treasury. It's legal obligations are set out in 2 statutes - one in 1961 and one earlier this year.

    3. Its latest report is here - https://www.datocms-assets.com/136653/1751320624-ar-25-the-crown-estate-annual-report.pdf. Its current Chair is Robin Budenberg, who used to be a UBs investment banker (often advising the government). I have worked with him.

    4. Andrew has a lease on Royal Lodge. Under its terms, he had to pay (and has paid) £8.5 million for the repair of the property and his annual rent is a peppercorn one, though he has continuing obligations to keep the property in a good state of repair. Whether this agreement made good financial / property sense at the time, I cannot say but it would have been reviewed by the Crown Estate legal and property advisors and would, I assume, have had to be signed off by the relevant persons.

    5. Whether it now makes sense for him and his ex to live in a house which is far larger than they need and given his personal behaviour and its effects on the working royals is another matter which is separate from whether the Crown Estate handled the decision about the use of this property and the money for it properly or well. It may well have been a sensible agreement at the time.

    6. Regardless of Andrew's behaviour, there is something wrong about tearing up lawful contracts because we don't like particular individuals. The rule of law should mean something and there are far too many instances at the moment of all sorts of people and organisations who should know better taking the view that they should simply ignore any laws, judgments or contracts they do not like or which inconveniences them. This is a wrong. We should say so loudly and clearly not indulge this nonsense. It is very Trumpian behaviour and it is one of the many ironies that it is often done by people who claim to despise Trump or who think of themselves as "progressive".

    7. Parliament had an opportunity to debate how the Crown Estate should operate when it passed the Crown Estate Act 2025. I wonder how many of the MPs now making a noise about Andrew took the opportunity to do this. It's not as if his difficulties were not known about.

    TBC

    8. Also a fact, unpopular as it may be to state it, Andrew has never been charged with any criminal offence nor sought for questioning about it by the US criminal authorities. He is - like everyone else - innocent until proven guilty. Innocence under the law is not something reserved only for likeable people. He was asked to give a deposition in the context of US civil proceedings brought against him, which were ultimately settled. The late Virginia Giuffre got a large amount of money in that settlement but no admission of liability nor even an apology.

    9. If he has broken the law in other respects, the law should take its course. I suspect that a lot of highly placed individuals - many of them politicians (I could name names but won't) - have met with or done business with or even accepted, money, hospitality and gifts from dubious Chinese individuals or people from other dodgy Eastern European or Middle Eastern countries or even countries such as Australia. It is practically the business plan for a part of Britain's wealth management sector.

    10. He is not an asset to the royal family and his personal behaviour, if even a fraction of the stories about him are true, sounds quite ghastly. He is probably quite representative of a certain slice of upper class/rich British males if my own experience of that group is anything to go by. It would be best if he made himself scarce so that we do not have to hear from or see him again. If Parliament wants to remove ducal titles or limit them only to working royals, they would have to pass legislation to do so. It would certainly deal with both Andrew and Harry, but it just shifts the issue to a couple of black sheep calling themselves prince. Personally I don't much care. A title does not confer grace or judgment and vulgarity is pretty widespread among the rich and titled and entitled.
    Thanks yet again for a dose of facts rather than opinions on this. It is always good to read a comment and learn something (or quite a few things) I didn't previously know as wll as clarifying those things I only half knew.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 57,850

    Good balanced header Foxy. Except of course for the ludicrous idea that the D'hondt method is anything other than the very worst form of electoral system. Anything based on proportionality between parties is just simply wrong from the very start.

    National and regional party list systems are worse than D'hondt.

    Guarantees what @malcolmg calls “donkeys”
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,531
    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kamala Harris being interviewed on Kuenssberg now

    Whose fault was it this time?
    Not hers. She didn’t have enough time. Her message was great, it wasn’t the problem. Neither was she.
    Which is why her popularity got steadily worse as the campaign progressed. The more the American public saw of her, the more they preferred to vote for Donald Trump, that’s how bad she was.
    You’re giving Trump voters an out to excuse their moronic decision . They saw Trump for 8 years and ignored the litany of disgusting and corrupt behaviour . It’s on them .
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    edited 9:59AM

    I haven't watched all of this yet but its pretty interesting:

    How the Democratic Brand Turned Radioactive in Rural America | The Ezra Klein Show

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9bjypc1rS4

    To be fair the Democratic brand has been radioactive in rural America well before last year, even Obama lost rural America. The Democrats haven't won rural Americans votes since 1996 when Bill Clinton ran for re election and even then Clinton only beat Dole by 1% in rural areas and small towns with Perot getting 10% of the vote
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1996_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 124,490
    We should just pass a Bill of Attainder against Andrew Windsor.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 47,785
    HYUFD said:

    Escaped Epping migrant captured in Finsbury Park by police and arrested so will return to jail to serve the remainder of his sentence for sexual assault

    I thought he was in the process of being deported when accidentally released? Is that not right?
  • TazTaz Posts: 21,743
    edited 10:04AM
    FF43 said:

    Taz said:

    I see the asylum seeking nonce has been recaptured.

    As broadcast on the BBC

    How dare they cover a story of public interest as it makes some uncomfortable !

    I think the point is the other 250 criminals who were wrongly released got no attention whatsoever, while the BBC gives the single asylum seeker wall to wall coverage, where asylum seeking and criminality are somewhat conflated. The story has public interest; BBC coverage of it less so.
    How many of the other 250 cases were as prominent as this one.

    None I’d wager

    The BBC’s coverage is fine. Some people just don’t like it because of the subject matter and who the offender is.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,807

    We should just pass a Bill of Attainder against Andrew Windsor.

    Am giving you a Cyclefree hard stare ......
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    Carnyx said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    Er, logic fail. Other perfectly possible alternatives are:

    a) non political head for life/set term - someone of the ilk Sir David Attenborough (not an option now, but just as an example).
    b) different RF. OK, this means a new head of the C of E, but we've been assured on here that that's no problem in terms of divine right/anointment/will etc. given previous changes.

    Neither is likely - but they do exist.

    "Would you rather have Prince Andy or Sir David for King?" would be an interesting polling question. I won't speculate on (b).
    a) Supposedly the Irish model, they have just elected a far leftist anti Israel candidate as head of state who made sympathetic noises about Brexit with nearly 40% still voting against her. So that argument fails and Attenborough is a monarchist and nearly 100 anyway.
    b) Prince William is far more popular than Farage, Starmer, Badenoch or Davey so not an issue and of course a monarch still needs royal blood someone along the line
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,742

    Good balanced header Foxy. Except of course for the ludicrous idea that the D'hondt method is anything other than the very worst form of electoral system. Anything based on proportionality between parties is just simply wrong from the very start.

    I remember reading Dan Hannan’s critique of D’Hondt on the eve of one of the European elections, perhaps 2009.

    The piece started something like “Next week I will be re-elected to the European Parliament”

    He wasn’t joking either, he was #1 on the Tory list for a 12-member constituency, his party only needed to get 8% of the vote for him to be re-elected, and were polling in the high 30s.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    edited 10:04AM
    kinabalu said:

    HYUFD said:

    Escaped Epping migrant captured in Finsbury Park by police and arrested so will return to jail to serve the remainder of his sentence for sexual assault

    I thought he was in the process of being deported when accidentally released? Is that not right?
    He will get deported ultimately as he got a jail sentence of at least 12 months, though seems rather ridiculous to impose a jail sentence if he won't serve it, he should just have been sentenced to be deported in the first place!
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 57,850
    nico67 said:

    Taz said:

    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kamala Harris being interviewed on Kuenssberg now

    Whose fault was it this time?
    Not hers. She didn’t have enough time. Her message was great, it wasn’t the problem. Neither was she.
    Regardless any sane country given the choice between Harris and Trump would have elected her. The fact voters decided to go with Trump is more a reflection of them than Harris who ran a perfectly acceptable campaign .
    And that’s why the Democrats lost - “Vote for this somewhat average candidate. Because it’s her turn.”

    Failed with Hillary. Biden was genuinely good at national level politics. Trying the same again with Harris was just stupid.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 35,956
    Good morning all.
    And, at time of typing, it is here, although, having looked at the Met Office forecast, I doubt it will last.

    On topic, while I applaud the header, which seemed to be a reasonable assessment of the situation, I note that the map of constituencies includes a pair of islands low on the right hand side which do not appear to be represented in the Legislature.

    At home I listened with growing disgust to the interview with Chris Philp. He can't help his voice of course, but he really sounded the sort of person who would have been at home with Judge Jeffreys.
  • kinabalu said:

    HYUFD said:

    Escaped Epping migrant captured in Finsbury Park by police and arrested so will return to jail to serve the remainder of his sentence for sexual assault

    I thought he was in the process of being deported when accidentally released? Is that not right?
    Both can be correct, can't they? I thought it was fairly common for people to be sent to serve the remainder of their sentence in a prison in their country of origin (by agreement with that country).
  • isamisam Posts: 42,885
    HYUFD said:

    Escaped Epping migrant captured in Finsbury Park by police and arrested so will return to jail to serve the remainder of his sentence for sexual assault

    Finsbury Park eh? Wonder if there’s any place nearby that could have hidden him
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,742
    nico67 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kamala Harris being interviewed on Kuenssberg now

    Whose fault was it this time?
    Not hers. She didn’t have enough time. Her message was great, it wasn’t the problem. Neither was she.
    Which is why her popularity got steadily worse as the campaign progressed. The more the American public saw of her, the more they preferred to vote for Donald Trump, that’s how bad she was.
    You’re giving Trump voters an out to excuse their moronic decision . They saw Trump for 8 years and ignored the litany of disgusting and corrupt behaviour . It’s on them .
    They saw Trump for 8 years, with all that that entails, and still thought he would make a better President than Kamala Harris.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 18,327
    stodge said:

    FF43 said:

    Taz said:

    I see the asylum seeking nonce has been recaptured.

    As broadcast on the BBC

    How dare they cover a story of public interest as it makes some uncomfortable !

    I think the point is the other 250 criminals who were wrongly released got no attention whatsoever, while the BBC gives the single asylum seeker wall to wall coverage, where asylum seeking and criminality are somewhat conflated. The story has public interest; BBC coverage of it less so.
    It's not just the BBC of course - it's the Mail, Sky News etc, etc. I'm not quite sure why so many on here single out the BBC for their vitriol - could be the Licence Fee perchance?

    In any case, it was always going to be about who this man was and the context rather than anything else. The truth is this has been an appalling blunder which has uncovered a larger issue around the prison service and its competencies which in turn leads back to the neglect of past Conservative Governments as much as the ineptitude of the current Labour Government.
    The BBC headline literally was "Wrongly released asylum seeker", not "Wrongly released criminal".

    I agree there is genuinely a bigger problem of wrongly released criminals, which this is one example and therefore a valid story. The problem is when you - it seems deliberately - use it to make generations about asylum seekers when this was only one of of 250.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 35,956
    HYUFD said:

    kinabalu said:

    HYUFD said:

    Escaped Epping migrant captured in Finsbury Park by police and arrested so will return to jail to serve the remainder of his sentence for sexual assault

    I thought he was in the process of being deported when accidentally released? Is that not right?
    He will get deported ultimately as he got a jail sentence of at least 12 months, though seems rather ridiculous to impose a jail sentence if he won't serve it, he should just have been sentenced to be deported in the first place!
    Was he not, on Friday, being sent to a deportation centre? Until someone messed up the arrangements.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 56,194
    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    That pun in the headline.

    As per, on steroids.

    It was all Foxy, he's clearly following my subtle style.
    well, it has the hallmarks of your Ushaia-ll style.
    I have been to Ushaia.

    Most southerly golf course in the world.

    And a sign that says "Fin del Mundo"....
    You travelled to the end of the world, to visit ... a golf course ??
    Travelled to the end of the world to keep going and arrive at Antarctica. Although the Patagonia National Park near Ushaia was a delight.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 57,850
    Cyclefree said:

    We should just pass a Bill of Attainder against Andrew Windsor.

    Am giving you a Cyclefree hard stare ......
    I’m all for Bills of Attainder

    On the list for my UnDictatorship are BoA for people with excessively expensive shoes, excessive modesty etc..
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 20,336
    Taz said:

    FF43 said:

    Taz said:

    I see the asylum seeking nonce has been recaptured.

    As broadcast on the BBC

    How dare they cover a story of public interest as it makes some uncomfortable !

    I think the point is the other 250 criminals who were wrongly released got no attention whatsoever, while the BBC gives the single asylum seeker wall to wall coverage, where asylum seeking and criminality are somewhat conflated. The story has public interest; BBC coverage of it less so.
    How many of the other 250 cases were as prominent as this one.

    None I’d wager

    The BBC’s coverage is fine.
    Prominent isn't the same as important. What crimes had the other 250 been found guilty of? What risks did they pose to the public? How quickly were they caught, if at all?

    We don't know, because we're not told. And we're not told because the news media can only function if they select what to tell us.

    As with the adverts conversation yesterday, their business duty is to tell us what creates the best response, which needn't have much to do with what would best help us all understand the world around us.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 82,537

    Nigelb said:

    Fishing said:

    Interesting header, thanks.

    As to the elections, I have no expertise to add beyond what is comprehensively covered above.

    I've been following Argentina's economy closely and I think Milei, though incredibly brave and right in most respects, will ultimately be thwarted by the nationwide obsession with the dollar exchange rate as a mark of success, which he shares to some extent. Beyond the rarified realm of economic models, a classic sign of an overvalued exchange rate is when Argentinians go shopping en masse, in, or start to retire to, Brazil and Paraguay, and I understand we're seeing quite a lot of that now, But I could be wrong, especially if the dollar weakens significantly.

    However, if Milei defies the massive odds against him and reignites a sustainable recovery, it would be yet another small nail in the coffin of our dismal government's illiterate tax and spend economic policy. Would people be saying, as they did with economic miracle West Germany after WWII, "I thought we won the war"?

    Good luck to him.

    Trying to fight exchange rates is an old, old thing.

    Post WWII, the U.K. spent loan after loan from the US on trying to support the pound.

    While growing up in the 80s, every tip pot dictator had fixed exchange rate, with a collapsed economy and a lively black market.

    Then there was the ERM comedy.

    I never understood it. The pressure is there. The cost of holding an artificial exchange rate is large. So you run out of funds and then the movement happens anyway.
    Yours right, of course.

    But allowing depreciations are effectively telling the entire country that they are poorer than they thought they were.
    People don't like unpleasant facts.

    Which is why it's usually left to financial markets, or the IMF, to break the bad news.
    The effect varies between socioeconmic demographics.

    A lower exchange rate works very well for the middle aged who work in export industries and have DC pensions.
    Of course, and the very wealthy can usually find ways of insulating themselves from the effects, or even benefit with the right strategy.

    But economic miracles are often built on making the majority of the populace work harder for less, via the mechanism of a low exchange rate.
    (See, for example, S Korea or China)

    The succeeding generation benefits; those around at the time, not so much.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,672

    We should just pass a Bill of Attainder against Andrew Windsor.

    Guilty without trial. No wonder you are a Republican.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    edited 10:09AM
    Ryan Gosling and his wife move to Hampstead in London, as more Hollywood celebs leave the US while Trump remains in office. Ellen DeGeneres moved to the Cotswolds with her partner last year
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-15227021/Ryan-Gosling-relocating-affluent-London-neighbourhood-wife-Eva-Mendes-two-daughters.html
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,672

    Good balanced header Foxy. Except of course for the ludicrous idea that the D'hondt method is anything other than the very worst form of electoral system. Anything based on proportionality between parties is just simply wrong from the very start.

    National and regional party list systems are worse than D'hondt.

    Guarantees what @malcolmg calls “donkeys”
    As does D'hondt.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 21,274
    edited 10:11AM
    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    "The Etheopian"

    An Etheopian English teacher decides to migrate to the UK. He arrives in a small boat and is put in a detention centre

    Bored he sits on a wall outside the centre and makes small talk with a couple of bored local school girls.

    He makes a lewd joke

    The police are called

    Word gets out and a far right mob mob mobilise and threaten the centre

    The man is charged with an attemted grope and is jailed for 12 months

    The prison authorities mistakenly release him after two

    He asks if he can serve the rest of his sentence as he has no place to go

    The prison authorities say no.

    They drop him protesting at a local railway station with no money.

    All ports and airports are alerted. A dangerous criminal is on the loose

    A terrified population lock up their daughters........


    What do you think Mr De Milne? Will it fly......
  • nico67 said:

    Taz said:

    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kamala Harris being interviewed on Kuenssberg now

    Whose fault was it this time?
    Not hers. She didn’t have enough time. Her message was great, it wasn’t the problem. Neither was she.
    Regardless any sane country given the choice between Harris and Trump would have elected her. The fact voters decided to go with Trump is more a reflection of them than Harris who ran a perfectly acceptable campaign .
    Your "any sane country" theory doesn't really survive contact with reality. It's fairly common for countries to vote for a candidate who a more objective outside observer might judge a poor choice.

    That's particularly true where they are angry over particular issues and want a candidate promising change on those issues. That is, the objective observer kind of by definition doesn't share their anger and is more inclined to consider whether the "solution" being offered is real or snake oil.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 82,537
    HYUFD said:

    I haven't watched all of this yet but its pretty interesting:

    How the Democratic Brand Turned Radioactive in Rural America | The Ezra Klein Show

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9bjypc1rS4

    To be fair the Democratic brand has been radioactive in rural America well before last year, even Obama lost rural America. The Democrats haven't won rural Americans votes since 1996 when Bill Clinton ran for re election and even then Clinton only beat Dole by 1% in rural areas and small towns with Perot getting 10% of the vote
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1996_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics
    That's far from inevitable.
    There are Democrats who run and run in rural constituencies - see for example Elissa Slotkin back when she was in the House of Representatives.

    Trump is doing his bit to toxify the GOP brand now, of course.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,454

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    The head of state doesn't have to be political. Look at Ireland.
    The power rests with the PM, as it does in the UK.
    A non-political head of state with no political ambition is a small check of the power of the PM, as in the UK.
    The question is - how do you ensure that an elected head of state is non political? Ireland manages.
    I suppose you ensure that the job description contains no day to day real power.
    Are there any other good examples as well as Ireland?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 35,956

    Taz said:

    FF43 said:

    Taz said:

    I see the asylum seeking nonce has been recaptured.

    As broadcast on the BBC

    How dare they cover a story of public interest as it makes some uncomfortable !

    I think the point is the other 250 criminals who were wrongly released got no attention whatsoever, while the BBC gives the single asylum seeker wall to wall coverage, where asylum seeking and criminality are somewhat conflated. The story has public interest; BBC coverage of it less so.
    How many of the other 250 cases were as prominent as this one.

    None I’d wager

    The BBC’s coverage is fine.
    Prominent isn't the same as important. What crimes had the other 250 been found guilty of? What risks did they pose to the public? How quickly were they caught, if at all?

    We don't know, because we're not told. And we're not told because the news media can only function if they select what to tell us.

    As with the adverts conversation yesterday, their business duty is to tell us what creates the best response, which needn't have much to do with what would best help us all understand the world around us.
    If 250 were released 'improperly' does that mean that 250 other are still incarcerated in Chelmsford Prison, having been led to expect release?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    Rachel Reeves set to announce a Mansion Tax in the Budget and a charge of 1% on the value of all properties worth over £2 million
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15228277/Mervyn-King-Rachel-Reeves-incoherent-mansion-tax.html

    The Government is also considering raising the top rate of income tax, with the additional rate possibly rising from 45p in the £ back to 50p as it was when Brown left office in 2010 or the threshold for the additional rate being reduced to £110k

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/tax-budget-income-rachel-reeves-chancellor-b2847002.html

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 46,121
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    Er, logic fail. Other perfectly possible alternatives are:

    a) non political head for life/set term - someone of the ilk Sir David Attenborough (not an option now, but just as an example).
    b) different RF. OK, this means a new head of the C of E, but we've been assured on here that that's no problem in terms of divine right/anointment/will etc. given previous changes.

    Neither is likely - but they do exist.

    "Would you rather have Prince Andy or Sir David for King?" would be an interesting polling question. I won't speculate on (b).
    a) Supposedly the Irish model, they have just elected a far leftist anti Israel candidate as head of state who made sympathetic noises about Brexit with nearly 40% still voting against her. So that argument fails and Attenborough is a monarchist and nearly 100 anyway.
    b) Prince William is far more popular than Farage, Starmer, Badenoch or Davey so not an issue and of course a monarch still needs royal blood someone along the line
    I was pointing out those logical categories and their existence. You can't change that.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    edited 10:16AM
    Chris Philp has a nightmare interview on GB News unable to name their leader in Wales Darren Millar
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 47,785
    edited 10:17AM

    kinabalu said:

    HYUFD said:

    Escaped Epping migrant captured in Finsbury Park by police and arrested so will return to jail to serve the remainder of his sentence for sexual assault

    I thought he was in the process of being deported when accidentally released? Is that not right?
    Both can be correct, can't they? I thought it was fairly common for people to be sent to serve the remainder of their sentence in a prison in their country of origin (by agreement with that country).
    Yes but I think H was postulating he'd go back to his jail here to serve the rest of his time.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,742
    HYUFD said:

    Rachel Reeves set to announce a Mansion Tax in the Budget and a charge of 1% on the value of all properties worth over £2 million
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15228277/Mervyn-King-Rachel-Reeves-incoherent-mansion-tax.html

    The Government is also considering raising the top rate of income tax, with the additional rate possibly rising from 45p in the £ back to 50p as it was when Brown left office in 2010 or the threshold for the additional rate being reduced to £110k

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/tax-budget-income-rachel-reeves-chancellor-b2847002.html

    Okay maybe Abu Dhabi will tolerate Andrew, if he brings another few thousand British HNWIs with him running from Rachel’s tax rises.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 68,020
    HYUFD said:

    kinabalu said:

    HYUFD said:

    Escaped Epping migrant captured in Finsbury Park by police and arrested so will return to jail to serve the remainder of his sentence for sexual assault

    I thought he was in the process of being deported when accidentally released? Is that not right?
    He will get deported ultimately as he got a jail sentence of at least 12 months, though seems rather ridiculous to impose a jail sentence if he won't serve it, he should just have been sentenced to be deported in the first place!
    He was to be transferred for deportation now - no idea where you get the idea he has more prison time to serve
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 35,956
    HYUFD said:

    Chris Philp has a nightmare interview on GB News unable to name their leader in Wales Darren Millar

    Chris Philp IS a nightmare. See my earlier post.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 45,635
    Sandpit said:

    nico67 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kamala Harris being interviewed on Kuenssberg now

    Whose fault was it this time?
    Not hers. She didn’t have enough time. Her message was great, it wasn’t the problem. Neither was she.
    Which is why her popularity got steadily worse as the campaign progressed. The more the American public saw of her, the more they preferred to vote for Donald Trump, that’s how bad she was.
    You’re giving Trump voters an out to excuse their moronic decision . They saw Trump for 8 years and ignored the litany of disgusting and corrupt behaviour . It’s on them .
    They saw Trump for 8 years, with all that that entails, and still thought he would make a better President than Kamala Harris.
    Maybe they believed all the gullible righties (well represented on here) that said Trump wouldn't be so bad. Those were the same nitwits telling people that Trump would pivot at the start of his first term. No such pivot was forthcoming.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 82,537
    Barnesian said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    The head of state doesn't have to be political. Look at Ireland.

    The new one seems quite political to me.
  • Roger said:

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    "The Etheopian"

    An Etheopian English teacher decides to migrate to the UK. He arrives in a small boat and is put in a detention centre

    Bored he sits on a wall outside the centre and makes small talk with a couple of bored local school girls.

    He makes a lewd joke

    The police are called

    Word gets out and a far right mob mob mobilise and threaten the centre

    The man is charged with an attemted grope and is jailed for 12 months

    The prison authorities mistakenly release him after two

    He asks if he can serve the rest of his sentence as he has no place to go

    The prison authorities say no.

    They drop him protesting at a local railway station with no money.

    All ports and airports are alerted. A dangerous criminal is on the loose

    A terrified population lock up their daughters........


    What do you think Mr De Milne? Will it fly......
    I think it's possible to accept that this guy isn't the Yorkshire Ripper, and also that he isn't in prison for lewd jokes but rather for sexual assault of a schoolgirl.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    Er, logic fail. Other perfectly possible alternatives are:

    a) non political head for life/set term - someone of the ilk Sir David Attenborough (not an option now, but just as an example).
    b) different RF. OK, this means a new head of the C of E, but we've been assured on here that that's no problem in terms of divine right/anointment/will etc. given previous changes.

    Neither is likely - but they do exist.

    "Would you rather have Prince Andy or Sir David for King?" would be an interesting polling question. I won't speculate on (b).
    a) Supposedly the Irish model, they have just elected a far leftist anti Israel candidate as head of state who made sympathetic noises about Brexit with nearly 40% still voting against her. So that argument fails and Attenborough is a monarchist and nearly 100 anyway.
    b) Prince William is far more popular than Farage, Starmer, Badenoch or Davey so not an issue and of course a monarch still needs royal blood someone along the line
    I was pointing out those logical categories and their existence. You can't change that.

    Well republicans will always push that line but the only main party whose leader is officially a republican is the Greens, even the SNP and Plaid are not pushing against the monarchy at the moment and even the SF leader has met and has a good relationship with the King.

    There are no votes in pushing republicanism in the UK beyond hard left parties
  • hamiltonacehamiltonace Posts: 706
    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Fishing said:

    Interesting header, thanks.

    As to the elections, I have no expertise to add beyond what is comprehensively covered above.

    I've been following Argentina's economy closely and I think Milei, though incredibly brave and right in most respects, will ultimately be thwarted by the nationwide obsession with the dollar exchange rate as a mark of success, which he shares to some extent. Beyond the rarified realm of economic models, a classic sign of an overvalued exchange rate is when Argentinians go shopping en masse, in, or start to retire to, Brazil and Paraguay, and I understand we're seeing quite a lot of that now, But I could be wrong, especially if the dollar weakens significantly.

    However, if Milei defies the massive odds against him and reignites a sustainable recovery, it would be yet another small nail in the coffin of our dismal government's illiterate tax and spend economic policy. Would people be saying, as they did with economic miracle West Germany after WWII, "I thought we won the war"?

    Good luck to him.

    Trying to fight exchange rates is an old, old thing.

    Post WWII, the U.K. spent loan after loan from the US on trying to support the pound.

    While growing up in the 80s, every tip pot dictator had fixed exchange rate, with a collapsed economy and a lively black market.

    Then there was the ERM comedy.

    I never understood it. The pressure is there. The cost of holding an artificial exchange rate is large. So you run out of funds and then the movement happens anyway.
    Yours right, of course.

    But allowing depreciations are effectively telling the entire country that they are poorer than they thought they were.
    People don't like unpleasant facts.

    Which is why it's usually left to financial markets, or the IMF, to break the bad news.
    The effect varies between socioeconmic demographics.

    A lower exchange rate works very well for the middle aged who work in export industries and have DC pensions.
    Of course, and the very wealthy can usually find ways of insulating themselves from the effects, or even benefit with the right strategy.

    But economic miracles are often built on making the majority of the populace work harder for less, via the mechanism of a low exchange rate.
    (See, for example, S Korea or China)

    The succeeding generation benefits; those around at the time, not so much.


    For a couple of years now I have been expecting a major drop in the pound which has yet to happen. It appears that the whole focus of the Treasury is to keep the pound up in the short term even if it has massive long term detrimental effects. At some point the dam will burst. Wondering what will be the trigger. This years budget. Next years elections. An external trigger. A sterling crisis will be the only way to massively cut welfare costs and maybe start to get the economy moving under Labour.



  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,454
    HYUFD said:

    Rachel Reeves set to announce a Mansion Tax in the Budget and a charge of 1% on the value of all properties worth over £2 million
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15228277/Mervyn-King-Rachel-Reeves-incoherent-mansion-tax.html

    The Government is also considering raising the top rate of income tax, with the additional rate possibly rising from 45p in the £ back to 50p as it was when Brown left office in 2010 or the threshold for the additional rate being reduced to £110k

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/tax-budget-income-rachel-reeves-chancellor-b2847002.html

    I'd reduce the threshold to £100K, increase the rate to 50% and remove the cliff edge by retaining the personal allowance. Keep it simple.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 68,020

    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    That pun in the headline.

    As per, on steroids.

    It was all Foxy, he's clearly following my subtle style.
    well, it has the hallmarks of your Ushaia-ll style.
    I have been to Ushaia.

    Most southerly golf course in the world.

    And a sign that says "Fin del Mundo"....
    You travelled to the end of the world, to visit ... a golf course ??
    Travelled to the end of the world to keep going and arrive at Antarctica. Although the Patagonia National Park near Ushaia was a delight.
    We share that experience and Antarctica is a memory that will never fade for my wife and I
  • TazTaz Posts: 21,743

    Taz said:

    FF43 said:

    Taz said:

    I see the asylum seeking nonce has been recaptured.

    As broadcast on the BBC

    How dare they cover a story of public interest as it makes some uncomfortable !

    I think the point is the other 250 criminals who were wrongly released got no attention whatsoever, while the BBC gives the single asylum seeker wall to wall coverage, where asylum seeking and criminality are somewhat conflated. The story has public interest; BBC coverage of it less so.
    How many of the other 250 cases were as prominent as this one.

    None I’d wager

    The BBC’s coverage is fine.
    Prominent isn't the same as important. What crimes had the other 250 been found guilty of? What risks did they pose to the public? How quickly were they caught, if at all?

    We don't know, because we're not told. And we're not told because the news media can only function if they select what to tell us.

    As with the adverts conversation yesterday, their business duty is to tell us what creates the best response, which needn't have much to do with what would best help us all understand the world around us.
    If people are so motivated they can always obtain the information themselves.

    There’s nothing wrong with the BBC’s reporting of this, people are not happy with the coverage simply due to the subject matter. Same as people who whine if Nigel Farage gets to appear on TV.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    edited 10:22AM
    Nigelb said:

    HYUFD said:

    I haven't watched all of this yet but its pretty interesting:

    How the Democratic Brand Turned Radioactive in Rural America | The Ezra Klein Show

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9bjypc1rS4

    To be fair the Democratic brand has been radioactive in rural America well before last year, even Obama lost rural America. The Democrats haven't won rural Americans votes since 1996 when Bill Clinton ran for re election and even then Clinton only beat Dole by 1% in rural areas and small towns with Perot getting 10% of the vote
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1996_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics
    That's far from inevitable.
    There are Democrats who run and run in rural constituencies - see for example Elissa Slotkin back when she was in the House of Representatives.

    Trump is doing his bit to toxify the GOP brand now, of course.
    A few Democrats can win there but if the Democrats are even winning most of rural America they have won such a landslide US wide they never needed it anyway. It is the suburbs and small cities and towns with populations from about 50,000-150,000 that are the swing areas in US elections.

    Inner cities of the big cities almost always vote Democrat as they almost always vote for Labour or left of centre parties in the UK and rural areas almost always vote Republican as they almost always vote Conservative (or now often Reform) here
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 68,020
    Roger said:

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    "The Etheopian"

    An Etheopian English teacher decides to migrate to the UK. He arrives in a small boat and is put in a detention centre

    Bored he sits on a wall outside the centre and makes small talk with a couple of bored local school girls.

    He makes a lewd joke

    The police are called

    Word gets out and a far right mob mob mobilise and threaten the centre

    The man is charged with an attemted grope and is jailed for 12 months

    The prison authorities mistakenly release him after two

    He asks if he can serve the rest of his sentence as he has no place to go

    The prison authorities say no.

    They drop him protesting at a local railway station with no money.

    All ports and airports are alerted. A dangerous criminal is on the loose

    A terrified population lock up their daughters........


    What do you think Mr De Milne? Will it fly......
    What a shocking attempt to excuse a sexual assault on a 14 year old child
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 124,490

    We should just pass a Bill of Attainder against Andrew Windsor.

    Guilty without trial. No wonder you are a Republican.
    It would be a stunning act of parliamentary sovereignty against the royal family.

    What's not to love?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 68,020
    HYUFD said:

    Chris Philp has a nightmare interview on GB News unable to name their leader in Wales Darren Millar

    Even I know Darren, though to be fair I did canvass with him in 2010
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 56,194
    edited 10:24AM
    Cyclefree said:

    We should just pass a Bill of Attainder against Andrew Windsor.

    Am giving you a Cyclefree hard stare ......
    Which is like a Paddington hard stare - on steroids...
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 35,956

    Roger said:

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    "The Etheopian"

    An Etheopian English teacher decides to migrate to the UK. He arrives in a small boat and is put in a detention centre

    Bored he sits on a wall outside the centre and makes small talk with a couple of bored local school girls.

    He makes a lewd joke

    The police are called

    Word gets out and a far right mob mob mobilise and threaten the centre

    The man is charged with an attemted grope and is jailed for 12 months

    The prison authorities mistakenly release him after two

    He asks if he can serve the rest of his sentence as he has no place to go

    The prison authorities say no.

    They drop him protesting at a local railway station with no money.

    All ports and airports are alerted. A dangerous criminal is on the loose

    A terrified population lock up their daughters........


    What do you think Mr De Milne? Will it fly......
    What a shocking attempt to excuse a sexual assault on a 14 year old child
    It wasn't the worst of sexual assaults, to be fair. Not that I'm excusing the silly b****r.

    Anyone any idea how he'll get on in an Ethiopian prison? If he actually gets into one.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 46,121
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    Er, logic fail. Other perfectly possible alternatives are:

    a) non political head for life/set term - someone of the ilk Sir David Attenborough (not an option now, but just as an example).
    b) different RF. OK, this means a new head of the C of E, but we've been assured on here that that's no problem in terms of divine right/anointment/will etc. given previous changes.

    Neither is likely - but they do exist.

    "Would you rather have Prince Andy or Sir David for King?" would be an interesting polling question. I won't speculate on (b).
    a) Supposedly the Irish model, they have just elected a far leftist anti Israel candidate as head of state who made sympathetic noises about Brexit with nearly 40% still voting against her. So that argument fails and Attenborough is a monarchist and nearly 100 anyway.
    b) Prince William is far more popular than Farage, Starmer, Badenoch or Davey so not an issue and of course a monarch still needs royal blood someone along the line
    I was pointing out those logical categories and their existence. You can't change that.

    Well republicans will always push that line but the only main party whose leader is officially a republican is the Greens, even the SNP and Plaid are not pushing against the monarchy at the moment and even the SF leader has met and has a good relationship with the King.

    There are no votes in pushing republicanism in the UK beyond hard left parties
    Happened before. Look at Ireland. Used to have a King.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066

    HYUFD said:

    kinabalu said:

    HYUFD said:

    Escaped Epping migrant captured in Finsbury Park by police and arrested so will return to jail to serve the remainder of his sentence for sexual assault

    I thought he was in the process of being deported when accidentally released? Is that not right?
    He will get deported ultimately as he got a jail sentence of at least 12 months, though seems rather ridiculous to impose a jail sentence if he won't serve it, he should just have been sentenced to be deported in the first place!
    He was to be transferred for deportation now - no idea where you get the idea he has more prison time to serve
    He got a 12 month jail sentence just 2 months ago
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,454
    Nigelb said:

    Barnesian said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    The head of state doesn't have to be political. Look at Ireland.

    The new one seems quite political to me.
    We'll see. The previous head of state, Michael D Higgins, was Labour, but it hardly showed as the powers of the presidency are so constrained.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 46,121
    edited 10:31AM
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    kinabalu said:

    HYUFD said:

    Escaped Epping migrant captured in Finsbury Park by police and arrested so will return to jail to serve the remainder of his sentence for sexual assault

    I thought he was in the process of being deported when accidentally released? Is that not right?
    He will get deported ultimately as he got a jail sentence of at least 12 months, though seems rather ridiculous to impose a jail sentence if he won't serve it, he should just have been sentenced to be deported in the first place!
    He was to be transferred for deportation now - no idea where you get the idea he has more prison time to serve
    He got a 12 month jail sentence just 2 months ago
    And had been on remand for how long? (I don't know, but it's the obvious explanation for the difference.)
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,764

    We should just pass a Bill of Attainder against Andrew Windsor.

    Guilty without trial. No wonder you are a Republican.
    Tbf, that's normal practice for Bills of Attainder. I don't think they ever put the Prince of Hanover/Duke of Cumberland and Teviotdale or the Duke of Brunswick on trial, for example.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 88,525
    The amgle that the media are missing about the released sex offender, is this isnt a one off. 5 people a week are mistakenly released.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,454
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    Er, logic fail. Other perfectly possible alternatives are:

    a) non political head for life/set term - someone of the ilk Sir David Attenborough (not an option now, but just as an example).
    b) different RF. OK, this means a new head of the C of E, but we've been assured on here that that's no problem in terms of divine right/anointment/will etc. given previous changes.

    Neither is likely - but they do exist.

    "Would you rather have Prince Andy or Sir David for King?" would be an interesting polling question. I won't speculate on (b).
    a) Supposedly the Irish model, they have just elected a far leftist anti Israel candidate as head of state who made sympathetic noises about Brexit with nearly 40% still voting against her. So that argument fails and Attenborough is a monarchist and nearly 100 anyway.
    b) Prince William is far more popular than Farage, Starmer, Badenoch or Davey so not an issue and of course a monarch still needs royal blood someone along the line
    I was pointing out those logical categories and their existence. You can't change that.

    Well republicans will always push that line but the only main party whose leader is officially a republican is the Greens, even the SNP and Plaid are not pushing against the monarchy at the moment and even the SF leader has met and has a good relationship with the King.

    There are no votes in pushing republicanism in the UK beyond hard left parties
    https://natcen.ac.uk/news/public-support-monarchy-falls-historic-low-while-calls-abolition-start-rise

    There are some votes.

    "For the first time, the BSA survey asked the public to choose between keeping the monarchy or replacing it with an elected head of state. A majority (58%) favour retaining the monarchy, while nearly four in ten (38%) would prefer an elected head of state.

    But the data shows sharp divides across age, politics and identity:

    Generational divide: Almost six in ten (59%) of younger people aged 16–34 favour an elected head of state, whereas three-quarters (76%) of those aged 55+ support continuation of the monarchy."
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    edited 10:33AM
    Barnesian said:

    Nigelb said:

    Barnesian said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    The head of state doesn't have to be political. Look at Ireland.

    The new one seems quite political to me.
    We'll see. The previous head of state, Michael D Higgins, was Labour, but it hardly showed as the powers of the presidency are so constrained.
    He started making comments, sometimes critical of the centre right government's policies on housing and alleged inequality for example.

    A head of state who is only head of state should be non political and never make party political comments, they are not head of government but supposed to be ceremonial and above politics. Hence constitutional monarchs are not only better than Presidents who are heads of government and heads of state like in the US but also just heads of state like in Ireland in my view
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 57,850
    edited 10:38AM

    Roger said:

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    "The Etheopian"

    An Etheopian English teacher decides to migrate to the UK. He arrives in a small boat and is put in a detention centre

    Bored he sits on a wall outside the centre and makes small talk with a couple of bored local school girls.

    He makes a lewd joke

    The police are called

    Word gets out and a far right mob mob mobilise and threaten the centre

    The man is charged with an attemted grope and is jailed for 12 months

    The prison authorities mistakenly release him after two

    He asks if he can serve the rest of his sentence as he has no place to go

    The prison authorities say no.

    They drop him protesting at a local railway station with no money.

    All ports and airports are alerted. A dangerous criminal is on the loose

    A terrified population lock up their daughters........


    What do you think Mr De Milne? Will it fly......
    I think it's possible to accept that this guy isn't the Yorkshire Ripper, and also that he isn't in prison for lewd jokes but rather for sexual assault of a schoolgirl.
    #BadFacts

    Edit : good to see the subject is so funny. For some. If you have daughters who tell you about what they have to put up with and the places they have to avoid, less so.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,861
    Great to see a header on Argentina but im afraid I think Foxy's economics read might be a bit off.
    I'd say Milei isnt going to be able to stabilise the peso because it's overvalued.

    His efforts to get a surplus aren't going to fix that.
    They need a flexible exchange rate and inflation targeting, like most other countries in Latin America.
    https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    Er, logic fail. Other perfectly possible alternatives are:

    a) non political head for life/set term - someone of the ilk Sir David Attenborough (not an option now, but just as an example).
    b) different RF. OK, this means a new head of the C of E, but we've been assured on here that that's no problem in terms of divine right/anointment/will etc. given previous changes.

    Neither is likely - but they do exist.

    "Would you rather have Prince Andy or Sir David for King?" would be an interesting polling question. I won't speculate on (b).
    a) Supposedly the Irish model, they have just elected a far leftist anti Israel candidate as head of state who made sympathetic noises about Brexit with nearly 40% still voting against her. So that argument fails and Attenborough is a monarchist and nearly 100 anyway.
    b) Prince William is far more popular than Farage, Starmer, Badenoch or Davey so not an issue and of course a monarch still needs royal blood someone along the line
    I was pointing out those logical categories and their existence. You can't change that.

    Well republicans will always push that line but the only main party whose leader is officially a republican is the Greens, even the SNP and Plaid are not pushing against the monarchy at the moment and even the SF leader has met and has a good relationship with the King.

    There are no votes in pushing republicanism in the UK beyond hard left parties
    Happened before. Look at Ireland. Used to have a King.
    Yes and as I said now elected a very political far leftist who has made comments favourable to Hamas and pro Brexit for what is supposed to be a ceremonial role.

    If in a few years the Irish want the King back as their head of state I am sure he will be willing
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,764
    edited 10:35AM

    Roger said:

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    "The Etheopian"

    An Etheopian English teacher decides to migrate to the UK. He arrives in a small boat and is put in a detention centre

    Bored he sits on a wall outside the centre and makes small talk with a couple of bored local school girls.

    He makes a lewd joke

    The police are called

    Word gets out and a far right mob mob mobilise and threaten the centre

    The man is charged with an attemted grope and is jailed for 12 months

    The prison authorities mistakenly release him after two

    He asks if he can serve the rest of his sentence as he has no place to go

    The prison authorities say no.

    They drop him protesting at a local railway station with no money.

    All ports and airports are alerted. A dangerous criminal is on the loose

    A terrified population lock up their daughters........


    What do you think Mr De Milne? Will it fly......
    What a shocking attempt to excuse a sexual assault on a 14 year old child
    It wasn't the worst of sexual assaults, to be fair. Not that I'm excusing the silly b****r.

    Anyone any idea how he'll get on in an Ethiopian prison? If he actually gets into one.
    It may not have been 'the worst,' but it was pretty serious, not least given the age of two of the three people involved.

    Here is the summary of the offences (note plural) from the BBC report on his trial:

    Kebatu attempted to kiss the [14 year old] girl and placed his hand on her thigh, before asking her to kiss another child as he watched, his trial heard.

    He then groped another woman who had offered to help him with his paperwork.

    Now I am assuming @Roger spoke out of ignorance, but his comment was not very impressive to put it mildly. Perhaps he would care to retract?
  • BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 6,847
    Roger said:

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    "The Etheopian"

    An Etheopian English teacher decides to migrate to the UK. He arrives in a small boat and is put in a detention centre

    Bored he sits on a wall outside the centre and makes small talk with a couple of bored local school girls.

    He makes a lewd joke

    The police are called

    Word gets out and a far right mob mob mobilise and threaten the centre

    The man is charged with an attemted grope and is jailed for 12 months

    The prison authorities mistakenly release him after two

    He asks if he can serve the rest of his sentence as he has no place to go

    The prison authorities say no.

    They drop him protesting at a local railway station with no money.

    All ports and airports are alerted. A dangerous criminal is on the loose

    A terrified population lock up their daughters........


    What do you think Mr De Milne? Will it fly......
    Just an “Etheopian” Roman Polanski..
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,742
    Barnesian said:

    Nigelb said:

    Barnesian said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    The head of state doesn't have to be political. Look at Ireland.

    The new one seems quite political to me.
    We'll see. The previous head of state, Michael D Higgins, was Labour, but it hardly showed as the powers of the presidency are so constrained.
    The Irish President seems like the right way to do it.

    It’s an elected position so will likely attract people who have been politically active, but the role itself is mostly ceremonial and in practice acts similarly to that of a limited-term monarch.
  • TazTaz Posts: 21,743
    edited 10:37AM
    Roger said:

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    "The Etheopian"

    An Etheopian English teacher decides to migrate to the UK. He arrives in a small boat and is put in a detention centre

    Bored he sits on a wall outside the centre and makes small talk with a couple of bored local school girls.

    He makes a lewd joke

    The police are called

    Word gets out and a far right mob mob mobilise and threaten the centre

    The man is charged with an attemted grope and is jailed for 12 months

    The prison authorities mistakenly release him after two

    He asks if he can serve the rest of his sentence as he has no place to go

    The prison authorities say no.

    They drop him protesting at a local railway station with no money.

    All ports and airports are alerted. A dangerous criminal is on the loose

    A terrified population lock up their daughters........


    What do you think Mr De Milne? Will it fly......
    Ah, so he’s the victim.

    Maybe a crowdfunder is needed. They gave him no money !!!!
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 82,537

    We should just pass a Bill of Attainder against Andrew Windsor.

    Guilty without trial. No wonder you are a Republican.
    It would be a stunning act of parliamentary sovereignty against the royal family.

    What's not to love?
    Would it not require royal assent ?

    So an act of despotism not even qualifying for that rubric.

    (Indeed, the last such bill was introduced at the request of the monarch - the Pains and Penalties Bill 1820.)
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,742

    The amgle that the media are missing about the released sex offender, is this isnt a one off. 5 people a week are mistakenly released.

    Which is crazy, and should have the relevant minister up before Parliament every week explaining what went wrong in each case.
  • TazTaz Posts: 21,743
    Sandpit said:

    The amgle that the media are missing about the released sex offender, is this isnt a one off. 5 people a week are mistakenly released.

    Which is crazy, and should have the relevant minister up before Parliament every week explaining what went wrong in each case.
    Wes Streeting was blaming the Tories for it.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,066
    edited 10:44AM
    Barnesian said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    Er, logic fail. Other perfectly possible alternatives are:

    a) non political head for life/set term - someone of the ilk Sir David Attenborough (not an option now, but just as an example).
    b) different RF. OK, this means a new head of the C of E, but we've been assured on here that that's no problem in terms of divine right/anointment/will etc. given previous changes.

    Neither is likely - but they do exist.

    "Would you rather have Prince Andy or Sir David for King?" would be an interesting polling question. I won't speculate on (b).
    a) Supposedly the Irish model, they have just elected a far leftist anti Israel candidate as head of state who made sympathetic noises about Brexit with nearly 40% still voting against her. So that argument fails and Attenborough is a monarchist and nearly 100 anyway.
    b) Prince William is far more popular than Farage, Starmer, Badenoch or Davey so not an issue and of course a monarch still needs royal blood someone along the line
    I was pointing out those logical categories and their existence. You can't change that.

    Well republicans will always push that line but the only main party whose leader is officially a republican is the Greens, even the SNP and Plaid are not pushing against the monarchy at the moment and even the SF leader has met and has a good relationship with the King.

    There are no votes in pushing republicanism in the UK beyond hard left parties
    https://natcen.ac.uk/news/public-support-monarchy-falls-historic-low-while-calls-abolition-start-rise

    There are some votes.

    "For the first time, the BSA survey asked the public to choose between keeping the monarchy or replacing it with an elected head of state. A majority (58%) favour retaining the monarchy, while nearly four in ten (38%) would prefer an elected head of state.

    But the data shows sharp divides across age, politics and identity:

    Generational divide: Almost six in ten (59%) of younger people aged 16–34 favour an elected head of state, whereas three-quarters (76%) of those aged 55+ support continuation of the monarchy."
    Yougov got a bigger 65% for monarchy and 23% for a republic in August. Yougov also had 58% of those aged 25-49 for keeping the monarchy and only 42% of 18-24 year olds for a republic.
    https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/52737-royal-family-favourability-trackers-august-2025

    Though even the BSA survey found a massive 82% of Conservative voters and 77% of Reform voters and a comfortable 57% of LD voters want to keep the monarchy, so few votes in going republican for Badenoch, Farage or Davey but lots to lose. Even voters still backing Labour prefer the monarchy over a republic by 1%, so too risky for Starmer to touch it either.

    The only UK leader it makes sense for to be a republican is Polanski as 70% of Green voters want a republic and an elected head of state but Polanski is openly republican anyway
    https://natcen.ac.uk/news/public-support-monarchy-falls-historic-low-while-calls-abolition-start-rise
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,764
    Sandpit said:

    The amgle that the media are missing about the released sex offender, is this isnt a one off. 5 people a week are mistakenly released.

    Which is crazy, and should have the relevant minister up before Parliament every week explaining what went wrong in each case.
    Perhaps we should have a reality TV show, where every week we spin a roulette wheel and release a random prisoner.

    Hosted by Michael Palin and called The Pilate Project.
  • TazTaz Posts: 21,743

    Roger said:

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    "The Etheopian"

    An Etheopian English teacher decides to migrate to the UK. He arrives in a small boat and is put in a detention centre

    Bored he sits on a wall outside the centre and makes small talk with a couple of bored local school girls.

    He makes a lewd joke

    The police are called

    Word gets out and a far right mob mob mobilise and threaten the centre

    The man is charged with an attemted grope and is jailed for 12 months

    The prison authorities mistakenly release him after two

    He asks if he can serve the rest of his sentence as he has no place to go

    The prison authorities say no.

    They drop him protesting at a local railway station with no money.

    All ports and airports are alerted. A dangerous criminal is on the loose

    A terrified population lock up their daughters........


    What do you think Mr De Milne? Will it fly......
    What a shocking attempt to excuse a sexual assault on a 14 year old child
    It wasn't the worst of sexual assaults, to be fair.
    Which was reflected in the sentence
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,742
    edited 10:43AM
    Taz said:

    Sandpit said:

    The amgle that the media are missing about the released sex offender, is this isnt a one off. 5 people a week are mistakenly released.

    Which is crazy, and should have the relevant minister up before Parliament every week explaining what went wrong in each case.
    Wes Streeting was blaming the Tories for it.
    LOL, how can losing five prisoners last week possibly be the fault of the previous government?

    They should be investigating these like they were plane crashes, publishing a report on each and every one, so that everyone in the prison system quickly understands all of the possible failure modes.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 45,635
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    Cicero said:

    I think I might have to join the Lib Dems.

    Prince Andrew faces humiliation at historic Commons debate

    MPs plan to defy convention and discuss stripping Andrew of his titles for good as pressure to leave Royal Lodge builds


    Prince Andrew faces a pincer movement from parliament and Buckingham Palace to strip him of his dukedom and banish him from his 30-room mansion in Windsor.

    MPs are set to discuss Andrew’s future, defying years of convention that usually prevents politicians from ­criticising the royal family.

    The Liberal Democrats have ­signalled that they intend to use their next Opposition Day debate to allow members to consider officially removing Andrew’s Duke of York title and discuss his continued use of Royal Lodge. Although such debates are rarely binding, it will allow the Commons to “express its will” and heap pressure on the ­government and the King to act...

    ...By convention, MPs are not allowed to criticise royals in the Commons. Opposition Day debates are one of the only ways the conduct of a royal can be raised. According to Erskine May, the guide to parliamentary procedure, such a debate permits “critical language of a kind which would not be allowed in speeches in debate”.

    Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, has separately called for Andrew and his landlord, the Crown Estate, to give evidence to MPs on an influential select committee about the terms of the lease on Royal Lodge.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/prince-andrew-faces-humiliation-at-historic-commons-debate-x7rgzcqbf

    If the pincer movement includes Buckingham Palaces I hope karma bites them on the arse. Examining Andrew’s messy finances might open a whole can of worms regarding their own pecuniary arrangements.
    We begin to see why the Prince of Wales has chosen a relatively small mansion to move into. The Monarchy is actually in some considerable danger as a result of Andrew's various sins. Those who witter on about "our future King" may learn a nasty lesson about "events". In general we are are prepared to tolerate a hard working, decent Royal family, even if we know the flummery and the grovelling are rather silly. If however, letting light into the "magic" reveals a Bluebeard's cave of greedy and self serving shits, then they will be out bag and baggage. Edward VIII, Princess Margaret, Andrew- in fact the Royal house has been shaky for the last century and it is obvious, even to the "firm" that a crisis is coming. While not as serious as the problems of the Norwegian royal house, the crisis in the Windsors is going to grow and support for the Monarchy will fall substantially. It is time we had a grown up conversation about the rights and duties of the Monarchy, and while we're about it over haul all of our creaking, nineteenth century constitution. That, I suspect, is what Ed Davey is intending in his current line of asking for a debate on the current crisis.
    I think you're overegging the cake.

    The alternative to the monarchy is having a political head of state. Compare and contrast support for the King and support for Starmer.
    Er, logic fail. Other perfectly possible alternatives are:

    a) non political head for life/set term - someone of the ilk Sir David Attenborough (not an option now, but just as an example).
    b) different RF. OK, this means a new head of the C of E, but we've been assured on here that that's no problem in terms of divine right/anointment/will etc. given previous changes.

    Neither is likely - but they do exist.

    "Would you rather have Prince Andy or Sir David for King?" would be an interesting polling question. I won't speculate on (b).
    a) Supposedly the Irish model, they have just elected a far leftist anti Israel candidate as head of state who made sympathetic noises about Brexit with nearly 40% still voting against her. So that argument fails and Attenborough is a monarchist and nearly 100 anyway.
    b) Prince William is far more popular than Farage, Starmer, Badenoch or Davey so not an issue and of course a monarch still needs royal blood someone along the line
    I was pointing out those logical categories and their existence. You can't change that.

    Well republicans will always push that line but the only main party whose leader is officially a republican is the Greens, even the SNP and Plaid are not pushing against the monarchy at the moment and even the SF leader has met and has a good relationship with the King.

    There are no votes in pushing republicanism in the UK beyond hard left parties
    Happened before. Look at Ireland. Used to have a King.
    Yes and as I said now elected a very political far leftist who has made comments favourable to Hamas and pro Brexit for what is supposed to be a ceremonial role.

    If in a few years the Irish want the King back as their head of state I am sure he will be willing
    At a distance Connolly seems fairly restrained to me, and the result suggests that the cute hoor pols and rightwing media of Ireland trying to portray her as a blood drinking communist backfired badly.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 35,956
    edited 10:47AM
    Taz said:

    Roger said:

    kinabalu said:

    The BBC are utterly obsessed with this sex pest migrant who seems to have been set free very much against his will. No doubt they’ll be reporting shortly on pitchfork wielding vigilantes inspired by their hysteria.
    Anyone on the darker side of the racist colour chart should avoid carrying a shopping bag decorated with avocados.

    It's totally ridiculous.
    "The Etheopian"

    An Etheopian English teacher decides to migrate to the UK. He arrives in a small boat and is put in a detention centre

    Bored he sits on a wall outside the centre and makes small talk with a couple of bored local school girls.

    He makes a lewd joke

    The police are called

    Word gets out and a far right mob mob mobilise and threaten the centre

    The man is charged with an attemted grope and is jailed for 12 months

    The prison authorities mistakenly release him after two

    He asks if he can serve the rest of his sentence as he has no place to go

    The prison authorities say no.

    They drop him protesting at a local railway station with no money.

    All ports and airports are alerted. A dangerous criminal is on the loose

    A terrified population lock up their daughters........


    What do you think Mr De Milne? Will it fly......
    Ah, so he’s the victim.

    Maybe a crowdfunder is needed. They gave him no money !!!!
    IIRC the report was that he was given £76. Apart from anything else it's, I would think, very difficult to get onto Chelmsford station platform without paying.
    And yes, I've been there. Not without paying, I hasten to add!
  • eekeek Posts: 31,620
    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    Sandpit said:

    The amgle that the media are missing about the released sex offender, is this isnt a one off. 5 people a week are mistakenly released.

    Which is crazy, and should have the relevant minister up before Parliament every week explaining what went wrong in each case.
    Wes Streeting was blaming the Tories for it.
    LOL, how can losing five prisoners last week possibly be the fault of the previous government?

    They should be investigating these like they were plane crashes, publishing a report on each and every one, so that everyone in the prison system quickly understands all of the possible failure modes.
    The Tory Government allowed prisons to get over full which means prisoners are being released early.

    However that simply means make sure you paperwork is completed correctly and that just requires resources so a bit of time and money -
Sign In or Register to comment.