I notice the Currant Bun had a story the other day of a Top 50 earner at the BBC has been warned after thinking it was ok to show a junior colleague dick pics and ask which type of dick they preferred.
were they mixxed set , was top earner a man ( guaranteed ) , junior could be either given how dodgy the BBC is.
I notice the Currant Bun had a story the other day of a Top 50 earner at the BBC has been warned after thinking it was ok to show a junior colleague dick pics and ask which type of dick they preferred.
were they mixxed set , was top earner a man ( guaranteed ) , junior could be either given how dodgy the BBC is.
Others 7% (including 12% 18 to 29 y.o. and 10% in the London subsample)
Changes from 30th July [Find Out Now, 6th August, N=2,627]
No sign that Reform has peaked. Slow decline of Lab and Con. I have a detailed model by constituency. It currently shows the Tories with just one seat. Harrow East. Lab with 276 seats and Reform with 244. LD with 87.
Sorry. Found a major bug! Swapped the Labour and Tory previous share around! Should be: Lab 137 Con 27 LD 85 Ref 335 Green 9 SNP 35 PC 4 NI 18
I remain a Lib Dem sceptic for 2029. Time will tell. I think Holyrood and the Senedd will be illuminating for the big two ability tk actually turn out voters under extreme pressure and give a bit more of a steer on what 2029 may hold
My guess is that the LDs will hold up in their traditional parts but not elsewhere. In almost every English seat they hold it's a LD v Tory fight. The voters' determination to scatter the Tories to the four winds does not extend to the LDs, nor in LD parts does it extend to a huge love for Reform.
They'll hold a fair few i think but the desire to get the Tories out no longer exists as they are out and I suspect the Tory focus will be blue wall based as they will be totally irrelevant in most of the red wall. As such the general total inefficiency of their vote in 2024 will reverse a little and they'll become a bit more efficient but a lot more patchy and regional. I expect the LDs to be behind the Tories on seats but not too far. 50 LDs, 80 to 100 Tories (current expectation)
Personally, I don't think the Conservatives will be gaining many seats from the LDs, given the LDs are likely to be up a couple of points on their 2024 share, while the Conservatives will have dropped. And it's not like Reform will be egging them on; they'll both be fighting for right of centre votes.
Three and a half years is plenty of time for Reform to crash and burn.
Put them under ome scrutiny. See how they look when their answer to everything is "Er...."
There’s an article in the magnificent Spectator which says 45% of British voters want zero new migrants and a large scale remigration programme (YouGov - if the Spec is quoting correctly)
Half of Britons are of the opinion that got @williamglenn banned on here for being too fash
Like it or not the British have swung wildly to the right on all this and - I suspect - this time they won’t be satisfied with “oh we’ve moved them from hotels to big houses on your street” and “we send back two a week to France. Sometimes”
And remember immigration is now the single most important issue for voters
Do you not see how this pans out? All Farage has to do is promise minimal migration; the end of the boats: the deportation of much of the Boriswave - and he will easily win. That’s it
Everyone has now belatedly realised that many of our other problems stem directly from obscene levels of net immigration
Everyone has realised that the huge increase in immigration has given wrong uns the opportunity to blame immigration for the government's many failings.
You were claiming the other day that I was an interior decorating fool for putting my own photos on my wall, not art, as I do up my flat
This is just one corner of my new living room
Top right is a photo with no colour filter. It’s a woman serving me a gin and tonic in Nashville Tennessee. Halfway through a fucking amazing roadtrip I did from Nashville down to Natchez then to New Orleans. Epic
Bottom left is a photo of the billionaire (doffing his hat) who gave me ayahuasca. That’s taken in his special “ayahuasca taking” pyramid-dome, with the oculus, on the Balearics
We are about to sit down and consume little cups of the sacred vine. An hour after this photo I was chatting with God about global warming
Now, who the feck wants someone else’s stupid art on the wall when I can have THAT
Gopping.
You know they say you should never meet your heroes. Similarly you should never see evidence of a PB poster's much (self-)vaunted taste and style.
Absolutely gopping. Sozza but there it is.
Edit: Arch. Arch is one of the words I'm looking for here. Gauche, arch, naff (I appreciate this last is a word from time gone by).
Don't know what's so impressive about AI chat machines. They take in everything that's been written and regurgitate it in a superficially clever way.
You can see why newspaper and magazine columnists are so antsy.
(Before the Long Vac started, my college ran a PD session on using AI to make lesson resources. The resulting products looked nice, but most had a fundamental problem that was going to be lots of effort to fix. And I have enough of physics questions anyway.)
I can also remember when that appalling rightwing reprobate @SeanT told us he'd set up a new charity, dedicated to assisting deserving young women, aged 18-25, in South East Asia, and giving them money, maybe £40 an hour
He "claimed" it was modelled on "Save The Children" but as it was targeted forensically at the deserving young women who looked best in denim hotpants, it was instead called "Save The Really Hot Ones"
Thank god he has left us. Scandalous fellow, best forgotten. Indeed I apologise for bringing him up
Nurse!
I mean, like the cut off would have been 18..
I can believe that, although the '25' figure is less convincing.
LOL the meeting that was planned and leaked, and then denied to be planned and called "fake news," and then leaked as canceled for having been leaked, WENT AHEAD LAST NIGHT LOL.
If it’s on BBC2 at 19:30, it’s not a big interview.
A 45 minute interview in the early evening on the BBC for a party leader of a party not in government and polling less than 20% in third place outside of a GE campaign is a big interview
Of course it's not
It might be to you but then you are consumed by politics
Of course it is, for an opposition leader who is not PM or a government minister an interview at 7pm on BBC2 is big precisely because they can sell themselves to people who are not political obsessives and following their every word on politics blogs like here and rolling news channels
Remember the episode of Yes, Prime Minister where Sir Humphrey did an interview on Radio 3?
Sir Humphrey: But even separating out the component causes, let alone allocating responsibility for them, is a task of such analytical delicacy as not to be susceptible of compression within the confines of a popular radio programme.
Producer: If that was a popular programme, what would an unpopular programme be like?
It was a nothing burger. She wanted to sell the house, gave due notice, then turns out it didn't sell so she re-advertised it for rent but at a higher (I daresay market) price. Then the headlines went to work and voila!
If it’s on BBC2 at 19:30, it’s not a big interview.
A 45 minute interview in the early evening on the BBC for a party leader of a party not in government and polling less than 20% in third place outside of a GE campaign is a big interview
Of course it's not
It might be to you but then you are consumed by politics
Of course it is, for an opposition leader who is not PM or a government minister an interview at 7pm on BBC2 is big precisely because they can sell themselves to people who are not political obsessives and following their every word on politics blogs like here and rolling news channels
Remember the episode of Yes, Prime Minister where Sir Humphrey did an interview on Radio 3?
Sir Humphrey: But even separating out the component causes, let alone allocating responsibility for them, is a task of such analytical delicacy as not to be susceptible of compression within the confines of a popular radio programme.
Producer: If that was a popular programme, what would an unpopular programme be like?
BBC2 has a far larger viewership than the number of R3 listeners
It was a nothing burger. She wanted to sell the house, gave due notice, then turns out it didn't sell so she re-advertised it for rent but at a higher (I daresay market) price. Then the headlines went to work and voila!
Silkie Carlo @silkiecarlo · 8m 🚨BREAKING: We’ve obtained documents showing ALL our passport photos are being secretly searched in a police facial recognition database
A national ID system has been built by the backdoor - without the public or parliament’s consent
It feels ever so slightly overegged - and I've been generally a supporter of BBW for the best part of 2 decades. It has built up to ... one search request per day by 2023, and was then flat in 2024:
Data obtained under freedom of information laws by Big Brother Watch, the civil liberties campaign group, found that the number of passport photo searches increased from two in 2020 to 417 in 2023.
In the first 10 months of 2024, another 377 searches were conducted, putting police on course for a similar number of searches last year.
The number of searches of the immigration database, which is formed of photos collected by Border Force, increased sevenfold over the same period to 102 last year.
I wait for a comment from Bobby J, and the Tory leadership - and I hope they are precise in what they say.
Benjamin Netanyahu's Special Military Operation progresses with him announcing he wants to control all of Gaza.
The military think he is a moron.
The opposition think he is off his rocker.
The public are split, but a significant percentage think he is a plonker.
The courts think he's a crook.
And Hamas probably think he's a hero.
Remember the IDF is a conscript army but does not reflect the population of Israel as a whole. Arabs (21% of the population) are 'exempted'. The world's most moral army or the world's most segregated?
Arabs, Bedouin, and the Druze do serve in the IDF.
A pro-Trump group, the American Accountability Foundation, has launched a campaign to oust federal workers it deems ‘subversive,’ posting personal details of 175 employees online
Benjamin Netanyahu's Special Military Operation progresses with him announcing he wants to control all of Gaza.
The military think he is a moron.
The opposition think he is off his rocker.
The public are split, but a significant percentage think he is a plonker.
The courts think he's a crook.
And Hamas probably think he's a hero.
Remember the IDF is a conscript army but does not reflect the population of Israel as a whole. Arabs (21% of the population) are 'exempted'. The world's most moral army or the world's most segregated?
Arabs, Bedouin, and the Druze do serve in the IDF.
Source please.
About 1% enlist to serve, but they aren't conscripted.
A pro-Trump group, the American Accountability Foundation, has launched a campaign to oust federal workers it deems ‘subversive,’ posting personal details of 175 employees online
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
Really? I didn't see that bit. She gave due 4 months notice - are the govt going to change that?
They are outlawing the ability to kick people out then relist for higher rents until I believe you have waited 6 months.
ah ok - so 4 months plus 6 months.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Well that is our current government answer to most things.
I think Rushnara (sp?) Ali is basically in the clear on this one, and I'm not really sure why quite so many have jumped on this unless they have not done their homework. "Homelessness Minister" may have been too juicy a headline.
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
Nigelb - Thanks for telling us about the Guardian article on the atrocity in Zamzam. (Somehow "like" for your post seemed inappropriate.)
I may do a small search to see just how much attention it is getting from our news organizations. I hope others, with more skill than I have do the same.
Others 7% (including 12% 18 to 29 y.o. and 10% in the London subsample)
Changes from 30th July [Find Out Now, 6th August, N=2,627]
No sign that Reform has peaked. Slow decline of Lab and Con. I have a detailed model by constituency. It currently shows the Tories with just one seat. Harrow East. Lab with 276 seats and Reform with 244. LD with 87.
Sorry. Found a major bug! Swapped the Labour and Tory previous share around! Should be: Lab 137 Con 27 LD 85 Ref 335 Green 9 SNP 35 PC 4 NI 18
I remain a Lib Dem sceptic for 2029. Time will tell. I think Holyrood and the Senedd will be illuminating for the big two ability tk actually turn out voters under extreme pressure and give a bit more of a steer on what 2029 may hold
My guess is that the LDs will hold up in their traditional parts but not elsewhere. In almost every English seat they hold it's a LD v Tory fight. The voters' determination to scatter the Tories to the four winds does not extend to the LDs, nor in LD parts does it extend to a huge love for Reform.
They'll hold a fair few i think but the desire to get the Tories out no longer exists as they are out and I suspect the Tory focus will be blue wall based as they will be totally irrelevant in most of the red wall. As such the general total inefficiency of their vote in 2024 will reverse a little and they'll become a bit more efficient but a lot more patchy and regional. I expect the LDs to be behind the Tories on seats but not too far. 50 LDs, 80 to 100 Tories (current expectation)
Personally, I don't think the Conservatives will be gaining many seats from the LDs, given the LDs are likely to be up a couple of points on their 2024 share, while the Conservatives will have dropped. And it's not like Reform will be egging them on; they'll both be fighting for right of centre votes.
Three and a half years is plenty of time for Reform to crash and burn.
Put them under ome scrutiny. See how they look when their answer to everything is "Er...."
There’s an article in the magnificent Spectator which says 45% of British voters want zero new migrants and a large scale remigration programme (YouGov - if the Spec is quoting correctly)
Half of Britons are of the opinion that got @williamglenn banned on here for being too fash
Like it or not the British have swung wildly to the right on all this and - I suspect - this time they won’t be satisfied with “oh we’ve moved them from hotels to big houses on your street” and “we send back two a week to France. Sometimes”
And remember immigration is now the single most important issue for voters
Do you not see how this pans out? All Farage has to do is promise minimal migration; the end of the boats: the deportation of much of the Boriswave - and he will easily win. That’s it
Everyone has now belatedly realised that many of our other problems stem directly from obscene levels of net immigration
Everyone has realised that the huge increase in immigration has given wrong uns the opportunity to blame immigration for the government's many failings.
You were claiming the other day that I was an interior decorating fool for putting my own photos on my wall, not art, as I do up my flat
This is just one corner of my new living room
Top right is a photo with no colour filter. It’s a woman serving me a gin and tonic in Nashville Tennessee. Halfway through a fucking amazing roadtrip I did from Nashville down to Natchez then to New Orleans. Epic
Bottom left is a photo of the billionaire (doffing his hat) who gave me ayahuasca. That’s taken in his special “ayahuasca taking” pyramid-dome, with the oculus, on the Balearics
We are about to sit down and consume little cups of the sacred vine. An hour after this photo I was chatting with God about global warming
Now, who the feck wants someone else’s stupid art on the wall when I can have THAT
Gopping.
You know they say you should never meet your heroes. Similarly you should never see evidence of a PB poster's much (self-)vaunted taste and style.
Absolutely gopping. Sozza but there it is.
Edit: Arch. Arch is one of the words I'm looking for here. Gauche, arch, naff (I appreciate this last is a word from time gone by).
Others 7% (including 12% 18 to 29 y.o. and 10% in the London subsample)
Changes from 30th July [Find Out Now, 6th August, N=2,627]
No sign that Reform has peaked. Slow decline of Lab and Con. I have a detailed model by constituency. It currently shows the Tories with just one seat. Harrow East. Lab with 276 seats and Reform with 244. LD with 87.
Sorry. Found a major bug! Swapped the Labour and Tory previous share around! Should be: Lab 137 Con 27 LD 85 Ref 335 Green 9 SNP 35 PC 4 NI 18
I remain a Lib Dem sceptic for 2029. Time will tell. I think Holyrood and the Senedd will be illuminating for the big two ability tk actually turn out voters under extreme pressure and give a bit more of a steer on what 2029 may hold
My guess is that the LDs will hold up in their traditional parts but not elsewhere. In almost every English seat they hold it's a LD v Tory fight. The voters' determination to scatter the Tories to the four winds does not extend to the LDs, nor in LD parts does it extend to a huge love for Reform.
They'll hold a fair few i think but the desire to get the Tories out no longer exists as they are out and I suspect the Tory focus will be blue wall based as they will be totally irrelevant in most of the red wall. As such the general total inefficiency of their vote in 2024 will reverse a little and they'll become a bit more efficient but a lot more patchy and regional. I expect the LDs to be behind the Tories on seats but not too far. 50 LDs, 80 to 100 Tories (current expectation)
Personally, I don't think the Conservatives will be gaining many seats from the LDs, given the LDs are likely to be up a couple of points on their 2024 share, while the Conservatives will have dropped. And it's not like Reform will be egging them on; they'll both be fighting for right of centre votes.
Three and a half years is plenty of time for Reform to crash and burn.
Put them under ome scrutiny. See how they look when their answer to everything is "Er...."
There’s an article in the magnificent Spectator which says 45% of British voters want zero new migrants and a large scale remigration programme (YouGov - if the Spec is quoting correctly)
Half of Britons are of the opinion that got @williamglenn banned on here for being too fash
Like it or not the British have swung wildly to the right on all this and - I suspect - this time they won’t be satisfied with “oh we’ve moved them from hotels to big houses on your street” and “we send back two a week to France. Sometimes”
And remember immigration is now the single most important issue for voters
Do you not see how this pans out? All Farage has to do is promise minimal migration; the end of the boats: the deportation of much of the Boriswave - and he will easily win. That’s it
Everyone has now belatedly realised that many of our other problems stem directly from obscene levels of net immigration
Everyone has realised that the huge increase in immigration has given wrong uns the opportunity to blame immigration for the government's many failings.
You were claiming the other day that I was an interior decorating fool for putting my own photos on my wall, not art, as I do up my flat
This is just one corner of my new living room
Top right is a photo with no colour filter. It’s a woman serving me a gin and tonic in Nashville Tennessee. Halfway through a fucking amazing roadtrip I did from Nashville down to Natchez then to New Orleans. Epic
Bottom left is a photo of the billionaire (doffing his hat) who gave me ayahuasca. That’s taken in his special “ayahuasca taking” pyramid-dome, with the oculus, on the Balearics
We are about to sit down and consume little cups of the sacred vine. An hour after this photo I was chatting with God about global warming
Now, who the feck wants someone else’s stupid art on the wall when I can have THAT
I've been flagged for this, lol
Now unflagged. So, not only pathetic, but cowardly and pathetic - but also entertaining. Who was it? @bondegezou? @kinabalu? Someone else ending in oo? You?
Come off it. I don't flag. Not even the most racist of your racist posts have ever driven me to that.
Flagging is the act of a pitiful poltroon, and whatever else I may think of you (much of it exaggerated on here for my personal entertainment) no, I don't take you for a poltroon, let alone a pitiful one. So, fair enough
I remember Doug Seal calling you a pontificating poltroon. Very strong post that was.
That crazy dude in Scotland, @jonquil or something. Hated motorbikes. Total meltdown, spectacular but sad. Hope he's OK
And Mister Seal, who came back recently for a bit and seemed OK. Ins'allah
Plato went off the deep end while posting here and the ghost of ..... (Can't remember the name) did and I think got banned.
You couldn't even type Martin without your post getting binned at one time during the MartinDay saga I kept slagging off Martine McCutcheon for some reason and couldn't work out for ages why my posts were disappearing
lol!
I love hearing old PB lore. It's like a folk history of an aural culture. It's never written down but the Elders Remember
Who else in the world will understand the term "Swissnick"? Only us
Baxtered, lagershed, gaylording ponceyboots, Martin Day, Martin Croxall arrested on telly, farmy farm, Creases, the Finland Rumour, on it goes. Lovely
Never forgetting "Ed Is Crap Is PM" which we had to read every day for about 5 years.
I've been commenting here so long I used to openly comment from brothels. I'd mention how surprisingly good the wifi was, and no one batted an eyelid
I'd probably get arrested just for saying "brothels" now, and PB would be taken down by the Online Safety Gestapo
You have definitely become more edgy or provocative. You probably don't remember but we used to discus things 20 plus years ago and without any of the currant nonsense. I remember a discussion on religion where we were on very opposite side and there was not a single insult from you. Of course it might be me that ha changed.
I really haven't changed. Or: I've mellowed if anything
I used to go into insane rants of insulting verbiage, these days I rein it in. Turned into an old softy, that's me
I used to be wild, now I talk about interior decorating
Must be me then.
Actually, you may have a point. What you are possibly detecting is a specific thing: anger
I am softer personally, and mellowed in behaviour, but I am politically angrier than I used to be, about the state of Britain. But what sane person isn't??
This anger is not aimed at other PB-ers, and if it comes across as that, I apologise
No apology necessary. In fact thinking about it I do remember you having exciting conversations with others, although I can't remember any details, but never with me. It was always cordial. That's not the case now, but then it's fair to say I do egg you on and probably didn't then, so I think it is fair to say I am probably partly responsible. Whether that is due to you being more provocative or me being more so I don't know.
Benjamin Netanyahu's Special Military Operation progresses with him announcing he wants to control all of Gaza.
The military think he is a moron.
The opposition think he is off his rocker.
The public are split, but a significant percentage think he is a plonker.
The courts think he's a crook.
And Hamas probably think he's a hero.
Remember the IDF is a conscript army but does not reflect the population of Israel as a whole. Arabs (21% of the population) are 'exempted'. The world's most moral army or the world's most segregated?
Arabs, Bedouin, and the Druze do serve in the IDF.
A pro-Trump group, the American Accountability Foundation, has launched a campaign to oust federal workers it deems ‘subversive,’ posting personal details of 175 employees online
I'm not sure what to say on that TBH. I really did think she was OK - except for anything around an MP getting a 70k or whatever it was rental income and as had been said the optics, and a personal decision. Does she have other questions?
KS showing a glass jaw? IMO he's been a bit timid before, and this may not augur well for the future.
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
Really? I didn't see that bit. She gave due 4 months notice - are the govt going to change that?
They are outlawing the ability to kick people out then relist for higher rents until I believe you have waited 6 months.
ah ok - so 4 months plus 6 months.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Well that is our current government answer to most things.
I think Rushnara (sp?) Ali is basically in the clear on this one, and I'm not really sure why quite so many have jumped on this unless they have not done their homework. "Homelessness Minister" may have been too juicy a headline.
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
A lot of the outrage online has been from the left. Evolve Politics, The Canary even Novara media and Aaron Bastani.
Renters rights groups especially are putting the boot in.
I'm not sure what to say on that TBH. I really did think she was OK - except for anything around an MP getting a 70k or whatever it was rental income and as had been said the optics.
KS showing a glass jaw? IMO he's been a bit timid before.
What she did was legal. Inept, but legal.
It was however politically tin-eared for a minister with responsibility for housing.
Just as Whatserface couldn't remain as anti-corruption minister in this country while facing corruption charges which may be entirely spurious in Bangladesh.
If either of them had been minister for sport, they would have been much better placed to ride it out.
There seems to be a common theme among all the Labour scandals so far, it always unnecessary low level low value greed and telling fibs. Lie about being an economist or a solicitor, lie about losing your phone, lie about where exactly you live, never turn down a freebie, etc.
When you bang on about being different and serving country not party, you surely would think people will be gunning for us on this.
We aren't anywhere near some of much more serious stuff under the Tories, but Labour are getting themselves in a mess over really stupid stuff.
Others 7% (including 12% 18 to 29 y.o. and 10% in the London subsample)
Changes from 30th July [Find Out Now, 6th August, N=2,627]
No sign that Reform has peaked. Slow decline of Lab and Con. I have a detailed model by constituency. It currently shows the Tories with just one seat. Harrow East. Lab with 276 seats and Reform with 244. LD with 87.
Sorry. Found a major bug! Swapped the Labour and Tory previous share around! Should be: Lab 137 Con 27 LD 85 Ref 335 Green 9 SNP 35 PC 4 NI 18
I remain a Lib Dem sceptic for 2029. Time will tell. I think Holyrood and the Senedd will be illuminating for the big two ability tk actually turn out voters under extreme pressure and give a bit more of a steer on what 2029 may hold
My guess is that the LDs will hold up in their traditional parts but not elsewhere. In almost every English seat they hold it's a LD v Tory fight. The voters' determination to scatter the Tories to the four winds does not extend to the LDs, nor in LD parts does it extend to a huge love for Reform.
They'll hold a fair few i think but the desire to get the Tories out no longer exists as they are out and I suspect the Tory focus will be blue wall based as they will be totally irrelevant in most of the red wall. As such the general total inefficiency of their vote in 2024 will reverse a little and they'll become a bit more efficient but a lot more patchy and regional. I expect the LDs to be behind the Tories on seats but not too far. 50 LDs, 80 to 100 Tories (current expectation)
Personally, I don't think the Conservatives will be gaining many seats from the LDs, given the LDs are likely to be up a couple of points on their 2024 share, while the Conservatives will have dropped. And it's not like Reform will be egging them on; they'll both be fighting for right of centre votes.
Three and a half years is plenty of time for Reform to crash and burn.
Put them under ome scrutiny. See how they look when their answer to everything is "Er...."
There’s an article in the magnificent Spectator which says 45% of British voters want zero new migrants and a large scale remigration programme (YouGov - if the Spec is quoting correctly)
Half of Britons are of the opinion that got @williamglenn banned on here for being too fash
Like it or not the British have swung wildly to the right on all this and - I suspect - this time they won’t be satisfied with “oh we’ve moved them from hotels to big houses on your street” and “we send back two a week to France. Sometimes”
And remember immigration is now the single most important issue for voters
Do you not see how this pans out? All Farage has to do is promise minimal migration; the end of the boats: the deportation of much of the Boriswave - and he will easily win. That’s it
Everyone has now belatedly realised that many of our other problems stem directly from obscene levels of net immigration
Everyone has realised that the huge increase in immigration has given wrong uns the opportunity to blame immigration for the government's many failings.
You were claiming the other day that I was an interior decorating fool for putting my own photos on my wall, not art, as I do up my flat
This is just one corner of my new living room
Top right is a photo with no colour filter. It’s a woman serving me a gin and tonic in Nashville Tennessee. Halfway through a fucking amazing roadtrip I did from Nashville down to Natchez then to New Orleans. Epic
Bottom left is a photo of the billionaire (doffing his hat) who gave me ayahuasca. That’s taken in his special “ayahuasca taking” pyramid-dome, with the oculus, on the Balearics
We are about to sit down and consume little cups of the sacred vine. An hour after this photo I was chatting with God about global warming
Now, who the feck wants someone else’s stupid art on the wall when I can have THAT
I've been flagged for this, lol
Now unflagged. So, not only pathetic, but cowardly and pathetic - but also entertaining. Who was it? @bondegezou? @kinabalu? Someone else ending in oo? You?
Come off it. I don't flag. Not even the most racist of your racist posts have ever driven me to that.
Flagging is the act of a pitiful poltroon, and whatever else I may think of you (much of it exaggerated on here for my personal entertainment) no, I don't take you for a poltroon, let alone a pitiful one. So, fair enough
I remember Doug Seal calling you a pontificating poltroon. Very strong post that was.
That crazy dude in Scotland, @jonquil or something. Hated motorbikes. Total meltdown, spectacular but sad. Hope he's OK
And Mister Seal, who came back recently for a bit and seemed OK. Ins'allah
Plato went off the deep end while posting here and the ghost of ..... (Can't remember the name) did and I think got banned.
You couldn't even type Martin without your post getting binned at one time during the MartinDay saga I kept slagging off Martine McCutcheon for some reason and couldn't work out for ages why my posts were disappearing
lol!
I love hearing old PB lore. It's like a folk history of an aural culture. It's never written down but the Elders Remember
Who else in the world will understand the term "Swissnick"? Only us
Baxtered, lagershed, gaylording ponceyboots, Martin Day, Martin Croxall arrested on telly, farmy farm, Creases, the Finland Rumour, on it goes. Lovely
Con Gain Bootle Ed Miliband Is Crap Is PM Tims off license
Others 7% (including 12% 18 to 29 y.o. and 10% in the London subsample)
Changes from 30th July [Find Out Now, 6th August, N=2,627]
No sign that Reform has peaked. Slow decline of Lab and Con. I have a detailed model by constituency. It currently shows the Tories with just one seat. Harrow East. Lab with 276 seats and Reform with 244. LD with 87.
Sorry. Found a major bug! Swapped the Labour and Tory previous share around! Should be: Lab 137 Con 27 LD 85 Ref 335 Green 9 SNP 35 PC 4 NI 18
I remain a Lib Dem sceptic for 2029. Time will tell. I think Holyrood and the Senedd will be illuminating for the big two ability tk actually turn out voters under extreme pressure and give a bit more of a steer on what 2029 may hold
My guess is that the LDs will hold up in their traditional parts but not elsewhere. In almost every English seat they hold it's a LD v Tory fight. The voters' determination to scatter the Tories to the four winds does not extend to the LDs, nor in LD parts does it extend to a huge love for Reform.
They'll hold a fair few i think but the desire to get the Tories out no longer exists as they are out and I suspect the Tory focus will be blue wall based as they will be totally irrelevant in most of the red wall. As such the general total inefficiency of their vote in 2024 will reverse a little and they'll become a bit more efficient but a lot more patchy and regional. I expect the LDs to be behind the Tories on seats but not too far. 50 LDs, 80 to 100 Tories (current expectation)
Personally, I don't think the Conservatives will be gaining many seats from the LDs, given the LDs are likely to be up a couple of points on their 2024 share, while the Conservatives will have dropped. And it's not like Reform will be egging them on; they'll both be fighting for right of centre votes.
Three and a half years is plenty of time for Reform to crash and burn.
Put them under ome scrutiny. See how they look when their answer to everything is "Er...."
There’s an article in the magnificent Spectator which says 45% of British voters want zero new migrants and a large scale remigration programme (YouGov - if the Spec is quoting correctly)
Half of Britons are of the opinion that got @williamglenn banned on here for being too fash
Like it or not the British have swung wildly to the right on all this and - I suspect - this time they won’t be satisfied with “oh we’ve moved them from hotels to big houses on your street” and “we send back two a week to France. Sometimes”
And remember immigration is now the single most important issue for voters
Do you not see how this pans out? All Farage has to do is promise minimal migration; the end of the boats: the deportation of much of the Boriswave - and he will easily win. That’s it
Everyone has now belatedly realised that many of our other problems stem directly from obscene levels of net immigration
Everyone has realised that the huge increase in immigration has given wrong uns the opportunity to blame immigration for the government's many failings.
You were claiming the other day that I was an interior decorating fool for putting my own photos on my wall, not art, as I do up my flat
This is just one corner of my new living room
Top right is a photo with no colour filter. It’s a woman serving me a gin and tonic in Nashville Tennessee. Halfway through a fucking amazing roadtrip I did from Nashville down to Natchez then to New Orleans. Epic
Bottom left is a photo of the billionaire (doffing his hat) who gave me ayahuasca. That’s taken in his special “ayahuasca taking” pyramid-dome, with the oculus, on the Balearics
We are about to sit down and consume little cups of the sacred vine. An hour after this photo I was chatting with God about global warming
Now, who the feck wants someone else’s stupid art on the wall when I can have THAT
I've been flagged for this, lol
Now unflagged. So, not only pathetic, but cowardly and pathetic - but also entertaining. Who was it? @bondegezou? @kinabalu? Someone else ending in oo? You?
Come off it. I don't flag. Not even the most racist of your racist posts have ever driven me to that.
Flagging is the act of a pitiful poltroon, and whatever else I may think of you (much of it exaggerated on here for my personal entertainment) no, I don't take you for a poltroon, let alone a pitiful one. So, fair enough
I remember Doug Seal calling you a pontificating poltroon. Very strong post that was.
That crazy dude in Scotland, @jonquil or something. Hated motorbikes. Total meltdown, spectacular but sad. Hope he's OK
And Mister Seal, who came back recently for a bit and seemed OK. Ins'allah
Plato went off the deep end while posting here and the ghost of ..... (Can't remember the name) did and I think got banned.
You couldn't even type Martin without your post getting binned at one time during the MartinDay saga I kept slagging off Martine McCutcheon for some reason and couldn't work out for ages why my posts were disappearing
lol!
I love hearing old PB lore. It's like a folk history of an aural culture. It's never written down but the Elders Remember
Who else in the world will understand the term "Swissnick"? Only us
Baxtered, lagershed, gaylording ponceyboots, Martin Day, Martin Croxall arrested on telly, farmy farm, Creases, the Finland Rumour, on it goes. Lovely
Con Gain Bootle Ed Miliband Is Crap Is PM Tims off license
President Trump confirms the open seat on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will go to Stephen Miran. That's until January 31, 2026. "In the meantime, we will continue to search for a permanent replacement," Trump says.
I would highly recommend that everybody watches the Legal Eagle piece on the Candace Owens and Brigitte Macron legal case. It is absolutely hilarious and only moderately disturbing.
I'm not sure what to say on that TBH. I really did think she was OK - except for anything around an MP getting a 70k or whatever it was rental income and as had been said the optics.
KS showing a glass jaw? IMO he's been a bit timid before.
What she did was legal. Inept, but legal.
It was however politically tin-eared for a minister with responsibility for housing.
Just as Whatserface couldn't remain as anti-corruption minister in this country while facing corruption charges which may be entirely spurious in Bangladesh.
If either of them had been minister for sport, they would have been much better placed to ride it out.
I'd agree with bits of the badly handled as I said before. She could have smoothed their palms with some silver eg as I mentioned a rent reduction, and it would have helped. It's like giving students a £10 shopping voucher each when they let next year's one of next year's interested groups have a viewing, or if there is a small problem - it will cost £60 a time but they will keep it tidy and it helps PR at a smallish cost and is a good policy.
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
Really? I didn't see that bit. She gave due 4 months notice - are the govt going to change that?
They are outlawing the ability to kick people out then relist for higher rents until I believe you have waited 6 months.
ah ok - so 4 months plus 6 months.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Well that is our current government answer to most things.
I think Rushnara (sp?) Ali is basically in the clear on this one, and I'm not really sure why quite so many have jumped on this unless they have not done their homework. "Homelessness Minister" may have been too juicy a headline.
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
Oh look the slum lord defending other slum lords. The only thing I hoped Labour would do is put all of you out of business, I've been disappointed just the same as everything else Labour have failed to do.
If Labour are to raise taxes I hope they target slum lords. A 4% value surcharge per year should be good, wipe out all rental yield and turn as many as possible into forced sellers or face bankruptcy.
I'm not sure what to say on that TBH. I really did think she was OK - except for anything around an MP getting a 70k or whatever it was rental income and as had been said the optics.
KS showing a glass jaw? IMO he's been a bit timid before.
What she did was legal. Inept, but legal.
It was however politically tin-eared for a minister with responsibility for housing.
Just as Whatserface couldn't remain as anti-corruption minister in this country while facing corruption charges which may be entirely spurious in Bangladesh.
If either of them had been minister for sport, they would have been much better placed to ride it out.
While the kleptocracy builds momentum in the US, we're seeing political attrition as Starmer seeks to head off any hint of the scandal. It seems to be a losing battle if my bellwether sample of squaddies is anything to go by. Immigration is high on the list of speaking points as is the likelihood of Reform doing well. Strangely though they don't seem to take to Farage or Reform as anything other that NOTA.
Things the Tories have done recently: - Welcomed James Cleverly back into the Shadow Cabinet - Made oblique criticism of Truss as part of an attack on Labour I don't think either of those things are cratering their polling, but I think it's clear that they're not the way forward.
Actually there was a little recovery on, and I do think Kemi's persistent attacks (with Reform floundering a bit) were paying off.
It feels like she's taken a small step backward and almost lost control a bit?
Watch her interview now on BBC2, she is keen on getting people to work and cutting welfare spending etc and is likely to back leaving the ECHR in the autumn, all of which you will like
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
Really? I didn't see that bit. She gave due 4 months notice - are the govt going to change that?
They are outlawing the ability to kick people out then relist for higher rents until I believe you have waited 6 months.
ah ok - so 4 months plus 6 months.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Well that is our current government answer to most things.
I think Rushnara (sp?) Ali is basically in the clear on this one, and I'm not really sure why quite so many have jumped on this unless they have not done their homework. "Homelessness Minister" may have been too juicy a headline.
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
Oh look the slum lord defending other slum lords. The only thing I hoped Labour would do is put all of you out of business, I've been disappointed just the same as everything else Labour have failed to do.
If Labour are to raise taxes I hope they target slum lords. A 4% value surcharge per year should be good, wipe out all rental yield and turn as many as possible into forced sellers or face bankruptcy.
Others 7% (including 12% 18 to 29 y.o. and 10% in the London subsample)
Changes from 30th July [Find Out Now, 6th August, N=2,627]
No sign that Reform has peaked. Slow decline of Lab and Con. I have a detailed model by constituency. It currently shows the Tories with just one seat. Harrow East. Lab with 276 seats and Reform with 244. LD with 87.
Sorry. Found a major bug! Swapped the Labour and Tory previous share around! Should be: Lab 137 Con 27 LD 85 Ref 335 Green 9 SNP 35 PC 4 NI 18
I remain a Lib Dem sceptic for 2029. Time will tell. I think Holyrood and the Senedd will be illuminating for the big two ability tk actually turn out voters under extreme pressure and give a bit more of a steer on what 2029 may hold
My guess is that the LDs will hold up in their traditional parts but not elsewhere. In almost every English seat they hold it's a LD v Tory fight. The voters' determination to scatter the Tories to the four winds does not extend to the LDs, nor in LD parts does it extend to a huge love for Reform.
They'll hold a fair few i think but the desire to get the Tories out no longer exists as they are out and I suspect the Tory focus will be blue wall based as they will be totally irrelevant in most of the red wall. As such the general total inefficiency of their vote in 2024 will reverse a little and they'll become a bit more efficient but a lot more patchy and regional. I expect the LDs to be behind the Tories on seats but not too far. 50 LDs, 80 to 100 Tories (current expectation)
Personally, I don't think the Conservatives will be gaining many seats from the LDs, given the LDs are likely to be up a couple of points on their 2024 share, while the Conservatives will have dropped. And it's not like Reform will be egging them on; they'll both be fighting for right of centre votes.
Three and a half years is plenty of time for Reform to crash and burn.
Put them under ome scrutiny. See how they look when their answer to everything is "Er...."
There’s an article in the magnificent Spectator which says 45% of British voters want zero new migrants and a large scale remigration programme (YouGov - if the Spec is quoting correctly)
Half of Britons are of the opinion that got @williamglenn banned on here for being too fash
Like it or not the British have swung wildly to the right on all this and - I suspect - this time they won’t be satisfied with “oh we’ve moved them from hotels to big houses on your street” and “we send back two a week to France. Sometimes”
And remember immigration is now the single most important issue for voters
Do you not see how this pans out? All Farage has to do is promise minimal migration; the end of the boats: the deportation of much of the Boriswave - and he will easily win. That’s it
Everyone has now belatedly realised that many of our other problems stem directly from obscene levels of net immigration
Everyone has realised that the huge increase in immigration has given wrong uns the opportunity to blame immigration for the government's many failings.
You were claiming the other day that I was an interior decorating fool for putting my own photos on my wall, not art, as I do up my flat
This is just one corner of my new living room
Top right is a photo with no colour filter. It’s a woman serving me a gin and tonic in Nashville Tennessee. Halfway through a fucking amazing roadtrip I did from Nashville down to Natchez then to New Orleans. Epic
Bottom left is a photo of the billionaire (doffing his hat) who gave me ayahuasca. That’s taken in his special “ayahuasca taking” pyramid-dome, with the oculus, on the Balearics
We are about to sit down and consume little cups of the sacred vine. An hour after this photo I was chatting with God about global warming
Now, who the feck wants someone else’s stupid art on the wall when I can have THAT
I've been flagged for this, lol
Now unflagged. So, not only pathetic, but cowardly and pathetic - but also entertaining. Who was it? @bondegezou? @kinabalu? Someone else ending in oo? You?
Come off it. I don't flag. Not even the most racist of your racist posts have ever driven me to that.
Flagging is the act of a pitiful poltroon, and whatever else I may think of you (much of it exaggerated on here for my personal entertainment) no, I don't take you for a poltroon, let alone a pitiful one. So, fair enough
I remember Doug Seal calling you a pontificating poltroon. Very strong post that was.
That crazy dude in Scotland, @jonquil or something. Hated motorbikes. Total meltdown, spectacular but sad. Hope he's OK
And Mister Seal, who came back recently for a bit and seemed OK. Ins'allah
Plato went off the deep end while posting here and the ghost of ..... (Can't remember the name) did and I think got banned.
You couldn't even type Martin without your post getting binned at one time during the MartinDay saga I kept slagging off Martine McCutcheon for some reason and couldn't work out for ages why my posts were disappearing
lol!
I love hearing old PB lore. It's like a folk history of an aural culture. It's never written down but the Elders Remember
Who else in the world will understand the term "Swissnick"? Only us
Baxtered, lagershed, gaylording ponceyboots, Martin Day, Martin Croxall arrested on telly, farmy farm, Creases, the Finland Rumour, on it goes. Lovely
Con Gain Bootle Ed Miliband Is Crap Is PM Tims off license
Licence.
See, it’s not just me !
😃 Let's hope it doesn't become a trend because it is irritating. PB could start having another meaning. Instead of politics it becomes pedantry. In most cases we are aware of our errors. I often use the wrong their/there, but I know the difference.
This week's The Rest is Entertainment q&a edition covers the lobby system, David Cameron and Cold Play, the ethics of using AI fashion models, and double-A bangers at Classic FM.
I happened to flick through that issue of Vogue recently (where the Guess advert with the AI model appeared) in a professional capacity, and I thought - "wow, that's shit. Why has Guess allowed some intern to go on AI and create that shite and then put it out as an ad?"
But apparently they paid an agency an inordinate amount of money to 'create' the model, and there were other versions that they turned down.
I'm not sure what to say on that TBH. I really did think she was OK - except for anything around an MP getting a 70k or whatever it was rental income and as had been said the optics.
KS showing a glass jaw? IMO he's been a bit timid before.
What she did was legal. Inept, but legal.
It was however politically tin-eared for a minister with responsibility for housing.
Just as Whatserface couldn't remain as anti-corruption minister in this country while facing corruption charges which may be entirely spurious in Bangladesh.
If either of them had been minister for sport, they would have been much better placed to ride it out.
While the kleptocracy builds momentum in the US, we're seeing political attrition as Starmer seeks to head off any hint of the scandal. It seems to be a losing battle if my bellwether sample of squaddies is anything to go by. Immigration is high on the list of speaking points as is the likelihood of Reform doing well. Strangely though they don't seem to take to Farage or Reform as anything other that NOTA.
Resigning as a Minister means she is now worse off.. good..appalling behaviour
Politicians in a position of any sort of power would be wise to put all their assets into a blind trust, then you can't be open to any accusations of self interest.
Others 7% (including 12% 18 to 29 y.o. and 10% in the London subsample)
Changes from 30th July [Find Out Now, 6th August, N=2,627]
No sign that Reform has peaked. Slow decline of Lab and Con. I have a detailed model by constituency. It currently shows the Tories with just one seat. Harrow East. Lab with 276 seats and Reform with 244. LD with 87.
Sorry. Found a major bug! Swapped the Labour and Tory previous share around! Should be: Lab 137 Con 27 LD 85 Ref 335 Green 9 SNP 35 PC 4 NI 18
I remain a Lib Dem sceptic for 2029. Time will tell. I think Holyrood and the Senedd will be illuminating for the big two ability tk actually turn out voters under extreme pressure and give a bit more of a steer on what 2029 may hold
My guess is that the LDs will hold up in their traditional parts but not elsewhere. In almost every English seat they hold it's a LD v Tory fight. The voters' determination to scatter the Tories to the four winds does not extend to the LDs, nor in LD parts does it extend to a huge love for Reform.
They'll hold a fair few i think but the desire to get the Tories out no longer exists as they are out and I suspect the Tory focus will be blue wall based as they will be totally irrelevant in most of the red wall. As such the general total inefficiency of their vote in 2024 will reverse a little and they'll become a bit more efficient but a lot more patchy and regional. I expect the LDs to be behind the Tories on seats but not too far. 50 LDs, 80 to 100 Tories (current expectation)
Personally, I don't think the Conservatives will be gaining many seats from the LDs, given the LDs are likely to be up a couple of points on their 2024 share, while the Conservatives will have dropped. And it's not like Reform will be egging them on; they'll both be fighting for right of centre votes.
Three and a half years is plenty of time for Reform to crash and burn.
Put them under ome scrutiny. See how they look when their answer to everything is "Er...."
There’s an article in the magnificent Spectator which says 45% of British voters want zero new migrants and a large scale remigration programme (YouGov - if the Spec is quoting correctly)
Half of Britons are of the opinion that got @williamglenn banned on here for being too fash
Like it or not the British have swung wildly to the right on all this and - I suspect - this time they won’t be satisfied with “oh we’ve moved them from hotels to big houses on your street” and “we send back two a week to France. Sometimes”
And remember immigration is now the single most important issue for voters
Do you not see how this pans out? All Farage has to do is promise minimal migration; the end of the boats: the deportation of much of the Boriswave - and he will easily win. That’s it
Everyone has now belatedly realised that many of our other problems stem directly from obscene levels of net immigration
Everyone has realised that the huge increase in immigration has given wrong uns the opportunity to blame immigration for the government's many failings.
You were claiming the other day that I was an interior decorating fool for putting my own photos on my wall, not art, as I do up my flat
This is just one corner of my new living room
Top right is a photo with no colour filter. It’s a woman serving me a gin and tonic in Nashville Tennessee. Halfway through a fucking amazing roadtrip I did from Nashville down to Natchez then to New Orleans. Epic
Bottom left is a photo of the billionaire (doffing his hat) who gave me ayahuasca. That’s taken in his special “ayahuasca taking” pyramid-dome, with the oculus, on the Balearics
We are about to sit down and consume little cups of the sacred vine. An hour after this photo I was chatting with God about global warming
Now, who the feck wants someone else’s stupid art on the wall when I can have THAT
I've been flagged for this, lol
Now unflagged. So, not only pathetic, but cowardly and pathetic - but also entertaining. Who was it? @bondegezou? @kinabalu? Someone else ending in oo? You?
Come off it. I don't flag. Not even the most racist of your racist posts have ever driven me to that.
Flagging is the act of a pitiful poltroon, and whatever else I may think of you (much of it exaggerated on here for my personal entertainment) no, I don't take you for a poltroon, let alone a pitiful one. So, fair enough
I remember Doug Seal calling you a pontificating poltroon. Very strong post that was.
That crazy dude in Scotland, @jonquil or something. Hated motorbikes. Total meltdown, spectacular but sad. Hope he's OK
And Mister Seal, who came back recently for a bit and seemed OK. Ins'allah
Plato went off the deep end while posting here and the ghost of ..... (Can't remember the name) did and I think got banned.
You couldn't even type Martin without your post getting binned at one time during the MartinDay saga I kept slagging off Martine McCutcheon for some reason and couldn't work out for ages why my posts were disappearing
lol!
I love hearing old PB lore. It's like a folk history of an aural culture. It's never written down but the Elders Remember
Who else in the world will understand the term "Swissnick"? Only us
Baxtered, lagershed, gaylording ponceyboots, Martin Day, Martin Croxall arrested on telly, farmy farm, Creases, the Finland Rumour, on it goes. Lovely
Con Gain Bootle Ed Miliband Is Crap Is PM Tims off license
Others 7% (including 12% 18 to 29 y.o. and 10% in the London subsample)
Changes from 30th July [Find Out Now, 6th August, N=2,627]
No sign that Reform has peaked. Slow decline of Lab and Con. I have a detailed model by constituency. It currently shows the Tories with just one seat. Harrow East. Lab with 276 seats and Reform with 244. LD with 87.
Sorry. Found a major bug! Swapped the Labour and Tory previous share around! Should be: Lab 137 Con 27 LD 85 Ref 335 Green 9 SNP 35 PC 4 NI 18
I remain a Lib Dem sceptic for 2029. Time will tell. I think Holyrood and the Senedd will be illuminating for the big two ability tk actually turn out voters under extreme pressure and give a bit more of a steer on what 2029 may hold
My guess is that the LDs will hold up in their traditional parts but not elsewhere. In almost every English seat they hold it's a LD v Tory fight. The voters' determination to scatter the Tories to the four winds does not extend to the LDs, nor in LD parts does it extend to a huge love for Reform.
They'll hold a fair few i think but the desire to get the Tories out no longer exists as they are out and I suspect the Tory focus will be blue wall based as they will be totally irrelevant in most of the red wall. As such the general total inefficiency of their vote in 2024 will reverse a little and they'll become a bit more efficient but a lot more patchy and regional. I expect the LDs to be behind the Tories on seats but not too far. 50 LDs, 80 to 100 Tories (current expectation)
Personally, I don't think the Conservatives will be gaining many seats from the LDs, given the LDs are likely to be up a couple of points on their 2024 share, while the Conservatives will have dropped. And it's not like Reform will be egging them on; they'll both be fighting for right of centre votes.
Three and a half years is plenty of time for Reform to crash and burn.
Put them under ome scrutiny. See how they look when their answer to everything is "Er...."
There’s an article in the magnificent Spectator which says 45% of British voters want zero new migrants and a large scale remigration programme (YouGov - if the Spec is quoting correctly)
Half of Britons are of the opinion that got @williamglenn banned on here for being too fash
Like it or not the British have swung wildly to the right on all this and - I suspect - this time they won’t be satisfied with “oh we’ve moved them from hotels to big houses on your street” and “we send back two a week to France. Sometimes”
And remember immigration is now the single most important issue for voters
Do you not see how this pans out? All Farage has to do is promise minimal migration; the end of the boats: the deportation of much of the Boriswave - and he will easily win. That’s it
Everyone has now belatedly realised that many of our other problems stem directly from obscene levels of net immigration
Everyone has realised that the huge increase in immigration has given wrong uns the opportunity to blame immigration for the government's many failings.
You were claiming the other day that I was an interior decorating fool for putting my own photos on my wall, not art, as I do up my flat
This is just one corner of my new living room
Top right is a photo with no colour filter. It’s a woman serving me a gin and tonic in Nashville Tennessee. Halfway through a fucking amazing roadtrip I did from Nashville down to Natchez then to New Orleans. Epic
Bottom left is a photo of the billionaire (doffing his hat) who gave me ayahuasca. That’s taken in his special “ayahuasca taking” pyramid-dome, with the oculus, on the Balearics
We are about to sit down and consume little cups of the sacred vine. An hour after this photo I was chatting with God about global warming
Now, who the feck wants someone else’s stupid art on the wall when I can have THAT
I've been flagged for this, lol
Now unflagged. So, not only pathetic, but cowardly and pathetic - but also entertaining. Who was it? @bondegezou? @kinabalu? Someone else ending in oo? You?
Come off it. I don't flag. Not even the most racist of your racist posts have ever driven me to that.
Flagging is the act of a pitiful poltroon, and whatever else I may think of you (much of it exaggerated on here for my personal entertainment) no, I don't take you for a poltroon, let alone a pitiful one. So, fair enough
I remember Doug Seal calling you a pontificating poltroon. Very strong post that was.
That crazy dude in Scotland, @jonquil or something. Hated motorbikes. Total meltdown, spectacular but sad. Hope he's OK
And Mister Seal, who came back recently for a bit and seemed OK. Ins'allah
Plato went off the deep end while posting here and the ghost of ..... (Can't remember the name) did and I think got banned.
You couldn't even type Martin without your post getting binned at one time during the MartinDay saga I kept slagging off Martine McCutcheon for some reason and couldn't work out for ages why my posts were disappearing
lol!
I love hearing old PB lore. It's like a folk history of an aural culture. It's never written down but the Elders Remember
Who else in the world will understand the term "Swissnick"? Only us
Baxtered, lagershed, gaylording ponceyboots, Martin Day, Martin Croxall arrested on telly, farmy farm, Creases, the Finland Rumour, on it goes. Lovely
Con Gain Bootle Ed Miliband Is Crap Is PM Tims off license
Licence.
See, it’s not just me !
😃 Let's hope it doesn't become a trend because it is irritating. PB could start having another meaning. Instead of politics it becomes pedantry. In most cases we are aware of our errors. I often use the wrong their/there, but I know the difference.
My auto correct always spells your party as the Lib Dem’s with an apostrophe.
I'm not sure what to say on that TBH. I really did think she was OK - except for anything around an MP getting a 70k or whatever it was rental income and as had been said the optics, and a personal decision. Does she have other questions?
KS showing a glass jaw? IMO he's been a bit timid before, and this may not augur well for the future.
Unless I have missed something.
MP salary is 90k-ish isn’t it, being a minister would puts it well into 100ks.
If I were at all inclined towards Lab I’d feel uncomfortable about their MPs being rentiers, let alone a minister for homelessness (that is part of Ali’s title I think).
I'm not sure what to say on that TBH. I really did think she was OK - except for anything around an MP getting a 70k or whatever it was rental income and as had been said the optics.
KS showing a glass jaw? IMO he's been a bit timid before.
What she did was legal. Inept, but legal.
It was however politically tin-eared for a minister with responsibility for housing.
Just as Whatserface couldn't remain as anti-corruption minister in this country while facing corruption charges which may be entirely spurious in Bangladesh.
If either of them had been minister for sport, they would have been much better placed to ride it out.
And if they'd been Minister for fisheries, they would have found it easier to remain afloat.
I'm not sure what to say on that TBH. I really did think she was OK - except for anything around an MP getting a 70k or whatever it was rental income and as had been said the optics, and a personal decision. Does she have other questions?
KS showing a glass jaw? IMO he's been a bit timid before, and this may not augur well for the future.
Unless I have missed something.
MP salary is 90k-ish isn’t it, being a minister would puts it well into 100ks.
If I were at all inclined towards Lab I’d feel uncomfortable about their MPs being rentiers, let alone a minister for homelessness (that is part of Ali’s title I think).
It's a big like Dad's Army when Walker says 'I don't do much business with the orphanage' and Fraser says 'Aye, except for providing the orphans!'.
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
Really? I didn't see that bit. She gave due 4 months notice - are the govt going to change that?
They are outlawing the ability to kick people out then relist for higher rents until I believe you have waited 6 months.
ah ok - so 4 months plus 6 months.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Well that is our current government answer to most things.
I think Rushnara (sp?) Ali is basically in the clear on this one, and I'm not really sure why quite so many have jumped on this unless they have not done their homework. "Homelessness Minister" may have been too juicy a headline.
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
Oh look the slum lord defending other slum lords. The only thing I hoped Labour would do is put all of you out of business, I've been disappointed just the same as everything else Labour have failed to do.
If Labour are to raise taxes I hope they target slum lords. A 4% value surcharge per year should be good, wipe out all rental yield and turn as many as possible into forced sellers or face bankruptcy.
I'm not sure what to say on that TBH. I really did think she was OK - except for anything around an MP getting a 70k or whatever it was rental income and as had been said the optics.
KS showing a glass jaw? IMO he's been a bit timid before.
What she did was legal. Inept, but legal.
It was however politically tin-eared for a minister with responsibility for housing.
Just as Whatserface couldn't remain as anti-corruption minister in this country while facing corruption charges which may be entirely spurious in Bangladesh.
If either of them had been minister for sport, they would have been much better placed to ride it out.
And if they'd been Minister for fisheries, they would have found it easier to remain afloat.
Especially if they happened to be Lord Privy Seal.
If it’s on BBC2 at 19:30, it’s not a big interview.
A 45 minute interview in the early evening on the BBC for a party leader of a party not in government and polling less than 20% in third place outside of a GE campaign is a big interview
Of course it's not
It might be to you but then you are consumed by politics
Of course it is, for an opposition leader who is not PM or a government minister an interview at 7pm on BBC2 is big precisely because they can sell themselves to people who are not political obsessives and following their every word on politics blogs like here and rolling news channels
Remember the episode of Yes, Prime Minister where Sir Humphrey did an interview on Radio 3?
Sir Humphrey: But even separating out the component causes, let alone allocating responsibility for them, is a task of such analytical delicacy as not to be susceptible of compression within the confines of a popular radio programme.
Producer: If that was a popular programme, what would an unpopular programme be like?
BBC2 has a far larger viewership than the number of R3 listeners
BBC 2 average viewing figures of 34,200 and not screened in Wales is not relevant other than to obsessives
"A man who was cautioned for carrying a bladed trowel in public has said he was given no choice but to accept the reprimand because police were unable to contact a solicitor for him.
Armed police were sent to challenge Samuel Rowe as he walked home from his allotment in Chorlton, Manchester, carrying the tool, a peeling knife and a sickle.
The 35-year-old theatre manager said he was held for 12 hours, before being told he had to accept the caution without representation or face longer in custody.
Greater Manchester Police (GMP) said Mr Rowe had admitted possessing a "dagger" and was given a conditional caution, which entailed advice about the law on the carrying of bladed weapons in public.
The keen gardener said he was terrified when the armed officers, who did not draw their weapons, arrived outside his home on 3 July."
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
Really? I didn't see that bit. She gave due 4 months notice - are the govt going to change that?
They are outlawing the ability to kick people out then relist for higher rents until I believe you have waited 6 months.
ah ok - so 4 months plus 6 months.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Well that is our current government answer to most things.
I think Rushnara (sp?) Ali is basically in the clear on this one, and I'm not really sure why quite so many have jumped on this unless they have not done their homework. "Homelessness Minister" may have been too juicy a headline.
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
Oh look the slum lord defending other slum lords. The only thing I hoped Labour would do is put all of you out of business, I've been disappointed just the same as everything else Labour have failed to do.
If Labour are to raise taxes I hope they target slum lords. A 4% value surcharge per year should be good, wipe out all rental yield and turn as many as possible into forced sellers or face bankruptcy.
How would they define a Slum lord ?
Any landlord. They're all pretty scummy. Look at this Labour MP, she's not the only scummy landlord out there, this is just normal behaviour for them.
People who know what they are talking about regards chatgpt 5
Ok, no leap
Guys, I understand you like drama, but this is a remark about the AI development at large. We are seeing the plateau: just scaling up is coming to an end. For EVERYONE, not one company in particular.
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
Really? I didn't see that bit. She gave due 4 months notice - are the govt going to change that?
They are outlawing the ability to kick people out then relist for higher rents until I believe you have waited 6 months.
ah ok - so 4 months plus 6 months.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Well that is our current government answer to most things.
I think Rushnara (sp?) Ali is basically in the clear on this one, and I'm not really sure why quite so many have jumped on this unless they have not done their homework. "Homelessness Minister" may have been too juicy a headline.
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
Oh look the slum lord defending other slum lords. The only thing I hoped Labour would do is put all of you out of business, I've been disappointed just the same as everything else Labour have failed to do.
If Labour are to raise taxes I hope they target slum lords. A 4% value surcharge per year should be good, wipe out all rental yield and turn as many as possible into forced sellers or face bankruptcy.
How would they define a Slum lord ?
Any landlord. They're all pretty scummy. Look at this Labour MP, she's not the only scummy landlord out there, this is just normal behaviour for them.
Would that even apply to the likes of Legal and General who have built flats to let to generate a regular income ?
I always got the impression MattW was pretty responsible.
Here's the US offer which Putin will spend the next couple of months considering, before rejecting.
Onet claims to have received the content of the offer voiced by Witkoff:
▪️Ukraine and Russia will conclude not peace, but a truce; ▪️de facto recognition of Russian territorial gains (by postponing this issue for 49 or 99 years); ▪️lifting most of the sanctions imposed on Russia; ▪️in the long term, a return to importing Russian gas and oil; ▪️no guarantees of non-expansion of NATO; ▪️no promise to suspend military support for Ukraine. https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1953410620230909981
Ukraine, of course, has not been consulted yet.
I think a truce with no conditions is the most likely outcome. Both sides are exhausted. Both sides will use the truce to rebuild. I hope sanctions on Russia remain, and that Putin remains persona non grata.
@Dura_Ace made the interesting point, some weeks ago, that in Russian nationalist circles, Russia's territorial gains to date will seem like a very poor return on the losses that Russia has suffered. It might be fatal for Putin to agree a truce, based on the current front line.
If NATO enlargement is not blocked it would possibly be fatal for Putin.
It would be probably fatal if Ukraine became a candidate member in the vaguest way.
It would be certainly fatal if NATO membership became a serious prospect and NATO members extended their protection over Ukraine in the meantime
Mehdi Hasan @mehdirhasan · 2h It took six months for a Trump official to be politely forced by a journalist to admit live on air what everyone - including every economist - knows to be true (but which Trump keeps lying about): tariffs are paid in the US by US importers.
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
Really? I didn't see that bit. She gave due 4 months notice - are the govt going to change that?
They are outlawing the ability to kick people out then relist for higher rents until I believe you have waited 6 months.
ah ok - so 4 months plus 6 months.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Well that is our current government answer to most things.
I think Rushnara (sp?) Ali is basically in the clear on this one, and I'm not really sure why quite so many have jumped on this unless they have not done their homework. "Homelessness Minister" may have been too juicy a headline.
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
Oh look the slum lord defending other slum lords. The only thing I hoped Labour would do is put all of you out of business, I've been disappointed just the same as everything else Labour have failed to do.
If Labour are to raise taxes I hope they target slum lords. A 4% value surcharge per year should be good, wipe out all rental yield and turn as many as possible into forced sellers or face bankruptcy.
How would they define a Slum lord ?
Any landlord. They're all pretty scummy. Look at this Labour MP, she's not the only scummy landlord out there, this is just normal behaviour for them.
Would that even apply to the likes of Legal and General who have built flats to let to generate a regular income ?
I always got the impression MattW was pretty responsible.
I have no issue with build to let, that's still a high risk investment. Scummers buying existing property, pushing up prices for owner occupiers and ripping off young people, fouling up areas with HMOs should absolutely be put out of business and in the most brutal way possible, hopefully holding huge losses and paying 40% CGT on any forced sales they have to make to stem losses.
There's no such thing as a reasonable landlord when it comes to existing property and buy to let, they are all various shades of scum leeching off younger generations, providing no real value to the economy. I see no difference between them and the private equity leeches who load up existing companies with debt and pay themselves fabulous dividends while allowing the asset to fall into ruin. The only difference is that property in the UK is a one way bet so they can leave it to rot and still take huge capital gain plus rinse the tenants for every penny they have.
This write down of debt is vital to ensure the new Unitary authorities due to go live in April 2027 start without being saddled with huge financial problems.
This write down of debt is vital to ensure the new Unitary authorities due to go live in April 2027 start without being saddled with huge financial problems.
They should recover it from the councillors and executive who signed off on these deals and bar all of them from ever holding public office or any role in the public sector ever again.
The chancellor and prime minister will begin to pitch-roll tax rises and reforms from September as part of a strategy to prepare the country for a difficult budget that could be held in November, the Guardian has been told.
Here's the US offer which Putin will spend the next couple of months considering, before rejecting.
Onet claims to have received the content of the offer voiced by Witkoff:
▪️Ukraine and Russia will conclude not peace, but a truce; ▪️de facto recognition of Russian territorial gains (by postponing this issue for 49 or 99 years); ▪️lifting most of the sanctions imposed on Russia; ▪️in the long term, a return to importing Russian gas and oil; ▪️no guarantees of non-expansion of NATO; ▪️no promise to suspend military support for Ukraine. https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1953410620230909981
Ukraine, of course, has not been consulted yet.
I think a truce with no conditions is the most likely outcome. Both sides are exhausted. Both sides will use the truce to rebuild. I hope sanctions on Russia remain, and that Putin remains persona non grata.
@Dura_Ace made the interesting point, some weeks ago, that in Russian nationalist circles, Russia's territorial gains to date will seem like a very poor return on the losses that Russia has suffered. It might be fatal for Putin to agree a truce, based on the current front line.
If NATO enlargement is not blocked it would possibly be fatal for Putin.
It would be probably fatal if Ukraine became a candidate member in the vaguest way.
It would be certainly fatal if NATO membership became a serious prospect and NATO members extended their protection over Ukraine in the meantime
It is the only way that Ukraine could accept a ceasefire anyway.
The situation really hasn't changed since the start of the invasion. Putin wants to destroy Ukraine as an independent nation. Unsurprisingly Ukraine doesn't want to surrender to a mass murderer autocrat.
I don't see what's new about the ceasefire proposal, It's the same set of irreconcilable terms which have failed to produce anything several times already.
But the 'negotiation' gives Putin another delay from Trump.
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
This Government seems stuffed full of people who definitely nick all the tiny toiletries and the flipflops whenever they stay in hotels.
I think you are wrong.
Nicking all the tiny toiletries is technically illegal.
What members of this government do is (like the lady in question) push to the limit of the law. And then are shocked when legal behaviour turns out to have consequences as well.
This write down of debt is vital to ensure the new Unitary authorities due to go live in April 2027 start without being saddled with huge financial problems.
They should recover it from the councillors and executive who signed off on these deals and bar all of them from ever holding public office or any role in the public sector ever again.
This will only investigate the CEO and Chief Finance Officer at the time apparently. No mention of any of the Councillors, all of whom have left the authority, most through being voted out by the Woking electorate.
The chancellor and prime minister will begin to pitch-roll tax rises and reforms from September as part of a strategy to prepare the country for a difficult budget that could be held in November, the Guardian has been told.
The chancellor and prime minister will begin to pitch-roll tax rises and reforms from September as part of a strategy to prepare the country for a difficult budget that could be held in November, the Guardian has been told.
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
Really? I didn't see that bit. She gave due 4 months notice - are the govt going to change that?
They are outlawing the ability to kick people out then relist for higher rents until I believe you have waited 6 months.
ah ok - so 4 months plus 6 months.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Well that is our current government answer to most things.
I think Rushnara (sp?) Ali is basically in the clear on this one, and I'm not really sure why quite so many have jumped on this unless they have not done their homework. "Homelessness Minister" may have been too juicy a headline.
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
Oh look the slum lord defending other slum lords. The only thing I hoped Labour would do is put all of you out of business, I've been disappointed just the same as everything else Labour have failed to do.
If Labour are to raise taxes I hope they target slum lords. A 4% value surcharge per year should be good, wipe out all rental yield and turn as many as possible into forced sellers or face bankruptcy.
How would they define a Slum lord ?
Any landlord. They're all pretty scummy. Look at this Labour MP, she's not the only scummy landlord out there, this is just normal behaviour for them.
Would that even apply to the likes of Legal and General who have built flats to let to generate a regular income ?
I always got the impression MattW was pretty responsible.
I have no issue with build to let, that's still a high risk investment. Scummers buying existing property, pushing up prices for owner occupiers and ripping off young people, fouling up areas with HMOs should absolutely be put out of business and in the most brutal way possible, hopefully holding huge losses and paying 40% CGT on any forced sales they have to make to stem losses.
There's no such thing as a reasonable landlord when it comes to existing property and buy to let, they are all various shades of scum leeching off younger generations, providing no real value to the economy. I see no difference between them and the private equity leeches who load up existing companies with debt and pay themselves fabulous dividends while allowing the asset to fall into ruin. The only difference is that property in the UK is a one way bet so they can leave it to rot and still take huge capital gain plus rinse the tenants for every penny they have.
I’m guessing you’ve had a bad experience with landlords.
I don’t really agree, I think the market needs properties for rent and BTL landlords, who operate as a business, are needed to provide rental properties for people who need them.
Things the Tories have done recently: - Welcomed James Cleverly back into the Shadow Cabinet - Made oblique criticism of Truss as part of an attack on Labour I don't think either of those things are cratering their polling, but I think it's clear that they're not the way forward.
Actually there was a little recovery on, and I do think Kemi's persistent attacks (with Reform floundering a bit) were paying off.
It feels like she's taken a small step backward and almost lost control a bit?
Watch her interview now on BBC2, she is keen on getting people to work and cutting welfare spending etc and is likely to back leaving the ECHR in the autumn, all of which you will like
Others 7% (including 12% 18 to 29 y.o. and 10% in the London subsample)
Changes from 30th July [Find Out Now, 6th August, N=2,627]
No sign that Reform has peaked. Slow decline of Lab and Con. I have a detailed model by constituency. It currently shows the Tories with just one seat. Harrow East. Lab with 276 seats and Reform with 244. LD with 87.
Sorry. Found a major bug! Swapped the Labour and Tory previous share around! Should be: Lab 137 Con 27 LD 85 Ref 335 Green 9 SNP 35 PC 4 NI 18
I remain a Lib Dem sceptic for 2029. Time will tell. I think Holyrood and the Senedd will be illuminating for the big two ability tk actually turn out voters under extreme pressure and give a bit more of a steer on what 2029 may hold
My guess is that the LDs will hold up in their traditional parts but not elsewhere. In almost every English seat they hold it's a LD v Tory fight. The voters' determination to scatter the Tories to the four winds does not extend to the LDs, nor in LD parts does it extend to a huge love for Reform.
They'll hold a fair few i think but the desire to get the Tories out no longer exists as they are out and I suspect the Tory focus will be blue wall based as they will be totally irrelevant in most of the red wall. As such the general total inefficiency of their vote in 2024 will reverse a little and they'll become a bit more efficient but a lot more patchy and regional. I expect the LDs to be behind the Tories on seats but not too far. 50 LDs, 80 to 100 Tories (current expectation)
Personally, I don't think the Conservatives will be gaining many seats from the LDs, given the LDs are likely to be up a couple of points on their 2024 share, while the Conservatives will have dropped. And it's not like Reform will be egging them on; they'll both be fighting for right of centre votes.
Three and a half years is plenty of time for Reform to crash and burn.
Put them under ome scrutiny. See how they look when their answer to everything is "Er...."
There’s an article in the magnificent Spectator which says 45% of British voters want zero new migrants and a large scale remigration programme (YouGov - if the Spec is quoting correctly)
Half of Britons are of the opinion that got @williamglenn banned on here for being too fash
Like it or not the British have swung wildly to the right on all this and - I suspect - this time they won’t be satisfied with “oh we’ve moved them from hotels to big houses on your street” and “we send back two a week to France. Sometimes”
And remember immigration is now the single most important issue for voters
Do you not see how this pans out? All Farage has to do is promise minimal migration; the end of the boats: the deportation of much of the Boriswave - and he will easily win. That’s it
Everyone has now belatedly realised that many of our other problems stem directly from obscene levels of net immigration
Everyone has realised that the huge increase in immigration has given wrong uns the opportunity to blame immigration for the government's many failings.
You were claiming the other day that I was an interior decorating fool for putting my own photos on my wall, not art, as I do up my flat
This is just one corner of my new living room
Top right is a photo with no colour filter. It’s a woman serving me a gin and tonic in Nashville Tennessee. Halfway through a fucking amazing roadtrip I did from Nashville down to Natchez then to New Orleans. Epic
Bottom left is a photo of the billionaire (doffing his hat) who gave me ayahuasca. That’s taken in his special “ayahuasca taking” pyramid-dome, with the oculus, on the Balearics
We are about to sit down and consume little cups of the sacred vine. An hour after this photo I was chatting with God about global warming
Now, who the feck wants someone else’s stupid art on the wall when I can have THAT
I've been flagged for this, lol
Now unflagged. So, not only pathetic, but cowardly and pathetic - but also entertaining. Who was it? @bondegezou? @kinabalu? Someone else ending in oo? You?
Come off it. I don't flag. Not even the most racist of your racist posts have ever driven me to that.
Flagging is the act of a pitiful poltroon, and whatever else I may think of you (much of it exaggerated on here for my personal entertainment) no, I don't take you for a poltroon, let alone a pitiful one. So, fair enough
I remember Doug Seal calling you a pontificating poltroon. Very strong post that was.
That crazy dude in Scotland, @jonquil or something. Hated motorbikes. Total meltdown, spectacular but sad. Hope he's OK
And Mister Seal, who came back recently for a bit and seemed OK. Ins'allah
Plato went off the deep end while posting here and the ghost of ..... (Can't remember the name) did and I think got banned.
You couldn't even type Martin without your post getting binned at one time during the MartinDay saga I kept slagging off Martine McCutcheon for some reason and couldn't work out for ages why my posts were disappearing
lol!
I love hearing old PB lore. It's like a folk history of an aural culture. It's never written down but the Elders Remember
Who else in the world will understand the term "Swissnick"? Only us
Baxtered, lagershed, gaylording ponceyboots, Martin Day, Martin Croxall arrested on telly, farmy farm, Creases, the Finland Rumour, on it goes. Lovely
Con Gain Bootle Ed Miliband Is Crap Is PM Tims off license
Licence.
See, it’s not just me !
😃 Let's hope it doesn't become a trend because it is irritating. PB could start having another meaning. Instead of politics it becomes pedantry. In most cases we are aware of our errors. I often use the wrong their/there, but I know the difference.
My auto correct always spells your party as the Lib Dem’s with an apostrophe.
Everyone’s does that, and I’ve often wondered why. It doesn’t do it on a simple Dems, so it’s not correcting for Dem’s the breaks. Only when preceded by Lib. Lib Dem’s. Proper grocer’s apostrophe.
Yep. The actual sequencing looks fine, the optics dreadful.
It's the fact her government is currently outlawing exactly what she did which makes it super awks.
Really? I didn't see that bit. She gave due 4 months notice - are the govt going to change that?
They are outlawing the ability to kick people out then relist for higher rents until I believe you have waited 6 months.
ah ok - so 4 months plus 6 months.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Well that is our current government answer to most things.
I think Rushnara (sp?) Ali is basically in the clear on this one, and I'm not really sure why quite so many have jumped on this unless they have not done their homework. "Homelessness Minister" may have been too juicy a headline.
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
Oh look the slum lord defending other slum lords. The only thing I hoped Labour would do is put all of you out of business, I've been disappointed just the same as everything else Labour have failed to do.
If Labour are to raise taxes I hope they target slum lords. A 4% value surcharge per year should be good, wipe out all rental yield and turn as many as possible into forced sellers or face bankruptcy.
How would they define a Slum lord ?
Any landlord. They're all pretty scummy. Look at this Labour MP, she's not the only scummy landlord out there, this is just normal behaviour for them.
Would that even apply to the likes of Legal and General who have built flats to let to generate a regular income ?
I always got the impression MattW was pretty responsible.
I have no issue with build to let, that's still a high risk investment. Scummers buying existing property, pushing up prices for owner occupiers and ripping off young people, fouling up areas with HMOs should absolutely be put out of business and in the most brutal way possible, hopefully holding huge losses and paying 40% CGT on any forced sales they have to make to stem losses.
There's no such thing as a reasonable landlord when it comes to existing property and buy to let, they are all various shades of scum leeching off younger generations, providing no real value to the economy. I see no difference between them and the private equity leeches who load up existing companies with debt and pay themselves fabulous dividends while allowing the asset to fall into ruin. The only difference is that property in the UK is a one way bet so they can leave it to rot and still take huge capital gain plus rinse the tenants for every penny they have.
Is that worse than any other forms of capitalist taking over a business and maximising profit out of essentials for living? Like public utilities financial services etc?
I am heartened by your conversion to Communism but you do need to widen your gaze to the other exploiters.
Comments
You know they say you should never meet your heroes. Similarly you should never see evidence of a PB poster's much (self-)vaunted taste and style.
Absolutely gopping. Sozza but there it is.
Edit: Arch. Arch is one of the words I'm looking for here. Gauche, arch, naff (I appreciate this last is a word from time gone by).
(Before the Long Vac started, my college ran a PD session on using AI to make lesson resources. The resulting products looked nice, but most had a fundamental problem that was going to be lots of effort to fix. And I have enough of physics questions anyway.)
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crlzjx26p8yo
How much are the government going to give away this time.
LOL the meeting that was planned and leaked, and then denied to be planned and called "fake news," and then leaked as canceled for having been leaked, WENT AHEAD LAST NIGHT LOL.
https://bsky.app/profile/ecmclaughlin.bsky.social/post/3lvtd5prhdc2d
@MattW provided the background to what actually happened as opposed to the headlines.
Still, landlords eh.
https://x.com/paulbranditv/status/1953533008666824805?s=61
Eg yesterday I told it I had a purple elbow and it just got back with "purple elbow hey?" - kind of taking the piss. Total empathy fail.
Sir Humphrey:
But even separating out the component causes, let alone allocating responsibility for them, is a task of such analytical delicacy as not to be susceptible of compression within the confines of a popular radio programme.
Producer:
If that was a popular programme, what would an unpopular programme be like?
This Government seems stuffed full of people who definitely nick all the tiny toiletries and the flipflops whenever they stay in hotels.
Seems super intrusive whatever it is telling landlords what they can or can't do with their properties.
Data obtained under freedom of information laws by Big Brother Watch, the civil liberties campaign group, found that the number of passport photo searches increased from two in 2020 to 417 in 2023.
In the first 10 months of 2024, another 377 searches were conducted, putting police on course for a similar number of searches last year.
The number of searches of the immigration database, which is formed of photos collected by Border Force, increased sevenfold over the same period to 102 last year.
I wait for a comment from Bobby J, and the Tory leadership - and I hope they are precise in what they say.
Pretend you are staying in a hotel by simply using a tiny bottle of shampoo, then throwing your towel on the floor.
A pro-Trump group, the American Accountability Foundation, has launched a campaign to oust federal workers it deems ‘subversive,’ posting personal details of 175 employees online
https://x.com/Reuters/status/1953537880590045367
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/what-know-about-arab-citizens-israel##chapter-title-0-4
GB News are really shouting about it, but imo are as silly as usual. A complaint to Ofcom could be funny.
The previous guy with his behind-the-business block of flats was vulnerable, and I think with research there were (and maybe are) probably a few other targets around on the Lab benches.
Some interventions are winding up around Article 4 Planning Directives and Home Office lettings of HMOs. I'm hearing noises from Broxtowe. I'm not sure how that will play out, because they seem to be looking at versions of some of the restrictive licensing done by eg Nottingham City and London Boroughs, which is very complicated to run. I'm not sure if too many District Councils are up to running that stuff.
I may do a small search to see just how much attention it is getting from our news organizations. I hope others, with more skill than I have do the same.
You're never seeing my living room.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel_Defense_Forces#Druze_and_Circassians
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel_Defense_Forces#Bedouins_and_Israeli_Arabs
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/09/american-accountability-foundation-project-2025
KS showing a glass jaw? IMO he's been a bit timid before, and this may not augur well for the future.
Unless I have missed something.
Renters rights groups especially are putting the boot in.
It was however politically tin-eared for a minister with responsibility for housing.
Just as Whatserface couldn't remain as anti-corruption minister in this country while facing corruption charges which may be entirely spurious in Bangladesh.
If either of them had been minister for sport, they would have been much better placed to ride it out.
When you bang on about being different and serving country not party, you surely would think people will be gunning for us on this.
We aren't anywhere near some of much more serious stuff under the Tories, but Labour are getting themselves in a mess over really stupid stuff.
President Trump confirms the open seat on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will go to Stephen Miran. That's until January 31, 2026. "In the meantime, we will continue to search for a permanent replacement," Trump says.
If Labour are to raise taxes I hope they target slum lords. A 4% value surcharge per year should be good, wipe out all rental yield and turn as many as possible into forced sellers or face bankruptcy.
Abbott says FBI is ‘tracking down’ Texas Democrats
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5441221-abbott-fbi-track-democrats/
It's .. possible that Abbott and Cornyn are just bullshitting, but I'm not confident that's the case.
But apparently they paid an agency an inordinate amount of money to 'create' the model, and there were other versions that they turned down.
If I were at all inclined towards Lab I’d feel uncomfortable about their MPs being rentiers, let alone a minister for homelessness (that is part of Ali’s title I think).
And if they'd been Minister for fisheries, they would have found it easier to remain afloat.
Just perfect.
National Coal Mining Museum workers set for strike action - BBC News
https://x.com/AtticumFloreat/status/1953354152379048245
Armed police were sent to challenge Samuel Rowe as he walked home from his allotment in Chorlton, Manchester, carrying the tool, a peeling knife and a sickle.
The 35-year-old theatre manager said he was held for 12 hours, before being told he had to accept the caution without representation or face longer in custody.
Greater Manchester Police (GMP) said Mr Rowe had admitted possessing a "dagger" and was given a conditional caution, which entailed advice about the law on the carrying of bladed weapons in public.
The keen gardener said he was terrified when the armed officers, who did not draw their weapons, arrived outside his home on 3 July."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx27w9wp4e6o
https://x.com/ProductHunt/status/1953551916622848432
Ok, no leap
Guys, I understand you like drama, but this is a remark about the AI development at large. We are seeing the plateau: just scaling up is coming to an end. For EVERYONE, not one company in particular.
https://x.com/francoisfleuret/status/1953530837619630254?s=19
https://x.com/kobeissiletter/status/1953551607922045100?s=61
I always got the impression MattW was pretty responsible.
I'd recommend Woodhorn if you're near or about the North East.
It would be probably fatal if Ukraine became a candidate member in the vaguest way.
It would be certainly fatal if NATO membership became a serious prospect and NATO members extended their protection over Ukraine in the meantime
Mehdi Hasan
@mehdirhasan
·
2h
It took six months for a Trump official to be politely forced by a journalist to admit live on air what everyone - including every economist - knows to be true (but which Trump keeps lying about): tariffs are paid in the US by US importers.
What an indictment of our media.
https://x.com/mehdirhasan/status/1953512055727640875
There's no such thing as a reasonable landlord when it comes to existing property and buy to let, they are all various shades of scum leeching off younger generations, providing no real value to the economy. I see no difference between them and the private equity leeches who load up existing companies with debt and pay themselves fabulous dividends while allowing the asset to fall into ruin. The only difference is that property in the UK is a one way bet so they can leave it to rot and still take huge capital gain plus rinse the tenants for every penny they have.
He did say they were "all new numbers".
So, some figures he made up and made an official write down earlier I guess.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvgvpwk4yexo
This write down of debt is vital to ensure the new Unitary authorities due to go live in April 2027 start without being saddled with huge financial problems.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/aug/07/reeves-starmer-pitch-roll-tax-rises-advance-difficult-budget
The situation really hasn't changed since the start of the invasion.
Putin wants to destroy Ukraine as an independent nation.
Unsurprisingly Ukraine doesn't want to surrender to a mass murderer autocrat.
I don't see what's new about the ceasefire proposal, It's the same set of irreconcilable terms which have failed to produce anything several times already.
But the 'negotiation' gives Putin another delay from Trump.
Nicking all the tiny toiletries is technically illegal.
What members of this government do is (like the lady in question) push to the limit of the law. And then are shocked when legal behaviour turns out to have consequences as well.
This will only investigate the CEO and Chief Finance Officer at the time apparently. No mention of any of the Councillors, all of whom have left the authority, most through being voted out by the Woking electorate.
In terms of whether there will be spending cuts and where they will fall, we'll have to see.
I don’t really agree, I think the market needs properties for rent and BTL landlords, who operate as a business, are needed to provide rental properties for people who need them.
We just need to build more.
I am heartened by your conversion to Communism but you do need to widen your gaze to the other exploiters.