When will the 32 counties reunite? – politicalbetting.com

Ladbrokes have a couple of markets up on Irish reunification and to be honest they feel like giving Ladbrokes an interest free loan for five years.
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Germany in February, Canada and Oz later in the year.
(Sorry no piccie. The bandages might trigger our Covid deniers
I went out with a friend and had a Christmas dinner last night. I was mildly surprised to see a Yorkshire Pudding was included with the meal.
When did Yorkshire pud's start becoming a "thing" within the traditional Christmas dinner?
If Sinn Fein win the next Stormont election, then two times in a row begins to look more like a permanent change than a temporary blip.
If Sinn Fein win an election in the Republic, then having a Sinn Fein Taoiseach at the same time as a Sinn Fein First Minister would be symbolically significant, and on a practical level there is a lot of scope for cross-border cooperation to demonstrate the future benefits of a United Ireland.
With another election in the Republic not due until 2029, I just don't see anything happening quickly.
Farage in Telegraph on meeting Musk.
The voter registration thing was done with a dubious $1m prize draw wasn't it?
Coming to the UK in 2028?
I'm probably on gammon this year, if I don't find another partridge in the freezer.
It could have been broadened by things such as Toby Carvery Christmas Dinners, where their Yorkshires fill a big chunk of your plate with air rather than something that costs them money.
I hesitate to say something that could sound mad when quoted, but from a macroeconomic perspective I think there is good inflation and bad inflation. We are in a period of “good inflation” currently.
In 2022-3 the price of - primarily - goods went up because of international commodity price rises, but wages stayed stagnant. That sort of inflation directly hits the bottom line of the economy and household spending power.
In 2024 inflation, such as it is, is happening with a backdrop of stable commodity prices, slightly falling import prices (due to a strong pound) and rising domestic services and wage growth. That means at least some of the inflation going into people’s pockets, which makes their mortgages relatively smaller.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/dec/18/victorian-review-of-ndas-gets-strong-support-for-outright-ban-in-sexual-harassment-cases?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
Never change PB, never change.
This cannot be a thing surely?
They wont. They have learnt nothing from Biden as to how to stop Trump 2.0 taking England in 2028. So far anyway.
Wake the fuck up Labour, this is coming.
If it ever did happen it would need to fundamentally change the Irish Republic, which would need to move much closer to Britain to make it work anyway, and I don't see much appetite for that.
2040: possible
2050: probable
Tiocfaidh ar la.
Obviously the voters of NI would have to vote for it too.
It had been a fill-in, along with three ducks (ie ex-ducks) in a row, to make up the 2kg kipper order from the Port of Lancaster Smokehouse to the free postage level. I don't see the point of spending £6 on postage, if I can have a pheasant or a haggis instead.
The response was extremely hostile.
That sort of antagonism to contemplating the feelings of Unionists is likely to scare off the middle fifth to one-third of voters in Northern Ireland. Those voters are open to persuasion on Irish Unity, but they certainly won't vote for it if they think it will cause a lot of antagonism.
Michelle O'Neill, to her credit, has shown in her words and deeds as First Minister a recognition of the need to at least be seen to reach out to Unionists. But she is not well-served by her colleagues in the Republic.
No wonder the nation is dead on its arse.
Given the re-election of the FF/FG government in the Republic, I would not expect that to happen for a good while yet.
Unionists would be well advised to keep the health service in Northern Ireland working.
It makes sense for it to be a single self governing country, certainly geographically but is it technically correct to call it a 'reunification' ?
BBC News - NI hospitals: Waiting times for consultants at all-time high - BBC News
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c98e74lzr2eo
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/healthcaresystem/articles/nhsplannedcarewaitingtimesacrosstheuk/2024-06-18
Naturally in place of that we have a complete mess making no sense at all.
I like the New Zealand model best, but obvs won't happen. 2 states 2 islands is next best. Since Henry VI which the Brexit vote made worse there are difficulties with the Europe/EU model.
In view of our somewhat tainted reputation, wouldn't it be sensible for us to leave the Irish to sort it out for themselves for a bit?
At least it gives the SLab house paper an excuse to avoid talking about the WASPI clusterfcuk.
https://x.com/paulhutcheon/status/1869291206347575726?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
Though as I have said before I doubt all 32 counties would reunite even if a border poll was held and yes to Irish reunification won. For county Antrim would almost certainly vote No and being DUP, UUP and TUV dominated would likely declare UDI in such an event rather than come under Dublin rule
As arguments against Irish Unity go from the English - "we stopped you from ever having an independent unified state so why ever should you want one now?" - is one of the most likely to rile up the Irish. Why do the English find it so easy to be rude and insulting?
Just a gentle reminder to SKS that if all else fails he holds a card that will trump every other if he just has the courage to use it
On the core topic the government are correct to hold firm.
But of course we now have a situation where all the key players in the government have tweets/photos/statements suggesting they would do something completely different.
I am a broken record on this, I admit, but that 2024 campaign and the period before it will just keep on causing problems for Labour all through this parliament. We exist in a weird political state where voters endorsed Labour (certainly in seat count) but were asked to write a blank cheque and now feel disappointed/taken for granted.
A real Yorkshire Pudding should be bowl-shaped so could be used to hold food too. Restaurants get round this by baking them so they look like footballs.
* I might be implying signage. Not true, but it was exclusively a queue for Brits and Russians.
It's a rare example of equality not being beneficial to women, and provokes shrieks of outrage. My mother's in that age group but has absolutely no sympathy with them.
If you're talking about fiscal contribution - that's true, but also applies to all parts of the UK save London and the south-east. Northern Ireland is actually pretty good compared to most regions/countries:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicsectorfinance/articles/countryandregionalpublicsectorfinances/financialyearending2023 - figure 8
A cycling friend in Manchester has received £4k in compensation from a driver who drove into the back of him and fractured his coccyx. Guy (late 60s) drove into him in a narrow street, ran him down, got out and started abusing him, blaming the chap he'd just knocked off.
Interesting points:
1 - A simple apology and action would have been unlikely. Legal action was to make the driver take ownership of his actions, which is always a real problem.
2 - The insurance company caved in once action started. Probably due to the clear cut "hit someone from behind; it's your blame" crash. There was no video evidence.
3 - The incident was in December 2022. It has taken 2 years to process.
If anyone wants an Active Travel activist to follow, Harry is one of the best - he's one of two or three core people behind Walk/Ride GM, who are a very effective group with hundreds of members. They are positioned as Active Travel, not Cycling, which is great.
Article:
https://www.cyclingweekly.com/news/all-he-had-to-do-was-say-sorry-cyclist-wins-court-case-and-gbp4k-after-being-hit-by-driver
BSky:https://bsky.app/profile/harryhamishgray.bsky.social
All are fine components, if done well.
It goes a treat with venison.
It's much more difficult than the current arrangements, and won't happen.
Less so with other roast meats.
Not until recent years with Christmas dinner.
And traditionally not even served with the main meal but before as a starter.
"A new investigation from The New York Times suggests that SpaceX founder Elon Musk has not been reporting his travel activities and other information to the Department of Defense as required by his top-secret clearance."
https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/12/report-elon-musk-failed-to-report-movement-required-by-security-clearance/
It's not like reunifying East and West Germany, which was carved up by power politics; the divisions come from the grassroots.
It's hardly much extra bother, especially compared to roasting a turkey, and (shock horror), the veggie alternative can actually taste quite nice if I try some for thirds.
Your attempts to browbeat me have fallen on fallow ground.
With Chuckleberry Vinegar in my case this year, or maple syrup. A further batch is currently rotting.
Rein yourself in, deers.
It's better to wait until support for Irish Unity reaches about 50%, and then put in a lot of effort to try and push that level of support up above 60%, than to make a lot of effort now in pursuit of 50%+1.
The three things the Republic should be doing is (1) sorting out issues in the Republic like housing and healthcare, (2) increasing cross-border cooperation in areas that will boost the economy, which mainly comes down to cross-border transport links, (3) working out how to convince the voters that joining the Commonwealth is a good idea, before the Commonwealth ceases to exist.
menwomen to get a sniff of power. Principles are great, but you cannot do anything in opposition.I have never thought that the Waspi women had a case. Equality cuts both ways and they had ample warning. No one received a letter on their retirement day telling them "sorry, no pension for 5 more years for you".
5700 Waspi pay out
98 Waspi Don't pay
5300 Non waspi pay out
719 Non waspi don't pay.
The plantation of Ulster dates back 400 years and the subsequent economic and political development of Northern Ireland was very different from the South.
Whilst geographically neat there's no particular reason that a single island needs to have a single polity, and lots of places don't.