Categories
Powerful from The New York Times – politicalbetting.com
Powerful from The New York Times – politicalbetting.com
But will it shift any/many votes? I have my doubts.
0
Powerful from The New York Times – politicalbetting.com
But will it shift any/many votes? I have my doubts.
Comments
#New General election poll
🔵 Harris 52% (+7)
🔴 Trump 45%
Last poll - 🔵 Harris +4
Big village #C - 1592 LV - 10/23
https://x.com/OwenWntr/status/1850567164572442631
The election is over really, the Republicans have it in the bag. We can but just hope they can restrain Trump again.
Bonkers to think we are about to enter November.
But, alas, it does not address the issue of whether he is scary or not
A point I think should be attended to more. So let's ask some Americans
@Jim_Miller , @SeaShantyIrish2 , you are Americans. It currently looks as if Donald Trump is going to be the next POTUS. Are you afraid of this outcome (for yourself or your friends) and if so why?
- 2004: Kerry was certain to win. He lost
- 2015: UKGE was certain to be a tie. It wasn't
- 2017: Theresa May was certain to get a majority. She didn't
It really isn't over until the last day.https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/jd-vance-negotiating-russia-necessary-ending-ukraine-war-rcna177479
“I think it’s important if we’re ever going to end the war in Ukraine, fundamentally, at some level, we’re going to have to engage in some sort of negotiation between Ukraine, between Russia, between our NATO allies in Europe,” the senator added. “And that’s just a necessary part.”
President 1: the basis of our negotiations is that Ukraine should get back as much territory as possible, including Crimea.
President 2: the basis of our negotiations is that Ukraine should give up as much as possible so I can say I got 'peace', however temporary that peace is.
I think you're a despicable twunt to pretend to support Ukraine (as in your profile pic) and also support Trump. The two are utterly incompatible positions.
Trump says a load of stuff. Most of it is lies, and that is accepted at the "we know that he knows that we know that most of it is lies" level.
But here's the genius bit. Somehow, a lot of people assume that the stuff that Trump says that they don't like is lies (like selling Ukraine down the river) but the one thing they approve of is somehow to be trusted. But everyone believes a different bit.
It's a brilliant trick if you can pull it off. Doubly so if you can keep doing it for eight years. Not even Boris managed that.
It’s not a tactic.
Just 'Weird' sounds pretty flattering
Here's a challenge for PBers. Complete the following sentence without mentioning Donald Trump.
Kamela Harris will make a great President because...
But we’ve seen the VP candidate regularly crap on Ukraine “I don’t care about it”, insult Zelensky, and vehemently oppose any practical support to the country, in his role as a senator.
Your continuous catechisation on PB “do you disagree with… “ etc, becomes tedious.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_United_States_presidential_election#Electoral_College_forecasts
They’ve finally printed a headline which doesn’t sane wash.
For a start.
(Btw, arguing it’s hysterical to quote Trump’s own words, and say we should take them seriously is… interesting.
You’re aware of the etymology of ‘hysterical’ ?)
The polls seem to be suggesting a pretty good day for down ballot Democrats though. That’s pretty important for US democracy and the preservation thereof against something like we saw yesterday in Georgia.
They need a good showing in the House and Senate, and control of as many state governments as possible.
The LDP is projected to win from 153 to 219 lower house seats, broadcaster NHK said. The Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP) is projected to win from 128 to 191 seats.
A party needs 233 seats to control the house, known as the Diet, meaning the LDP will need to enter a coalition to stay in power."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c8xpev42g78o
Or is it just an opinion ?
Tapper: Trump said he going to use the military to go after 'the enemy within,' which is the American people
Vance: He did not say that Jake! Show me the quote!
Tapper: *reads a Trump quote from two days ago*
https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1850535602661294525
So I can see what william sees in him.
Good evening, everybody.
JD Vance said sending aid to Ukraine "undermines our national security by exhausting critical resources on a strategic quagmire".
You don't see any kind of difference? You know between one person who has actually sent aid, and another who actively opposes it.
Thank god he's not going to win.
He did actually try to subvert democracy. Nothing else really matters, as I see it.
Vibes aren’t always a great guide to elections in a place as diverse as the US.
Like Robert, I wouldn’t be surprised by either a Trump or a Harris win.
I’ve greatly hedged my position in the last fortnight, but I’m still betting on a Harris win, though.
- Jeremy Corbyn
- Liz Truss
- Keir Starmer
- Kemi Badenoch
- Kamala Harris
- George W Bush
- Gordon Brown
- Boris Johnson
- Emanuele Macron
- Marine Le Pen
https://x.com/tinadolbaia/status/1850569873748857075?s=46
Expect a brain drain to Europe and the US over the next few years as young graduates there give up hope. A very sad day.
From several thousand miles away, it's clear that it's not as simple as that. But in the good timeline, it would be that simple, wouldn't it?
They dragged out the court cases so that Trump was damaged but not destroyed and thus got an opponent far easier to beat than for example Haley or DeSantis.
You are saying that anything less than unlimited support is identical to no support at all?
https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/50794-the-economy-what-2024-voters-want-and-which-candidate-they-trust
There's a lot of delusion amongst the American public. This isn't 2016 when people unhappy with the direction the country was taking might look to an energetic outsider to sort things out. They now know what he's like, or should do.
"I know that everyone here will soon be marching over to the Capitol building to peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard."
There is no getting away of his intent, which was a peaceful display of defiance.
convicted of an offence in the UK and receives a custodial sentence (including a suspended sentence) or is ordered to be detained, other than solely under mental health legislation
suspended from the House of Commons for 10 sitting days or 14 calendar days
convicted of providing false or misleading information for allowance claims under the Parliamentary Standards Act 2009.
In the case of a conviction, the recall petition will only be opened if the conviction, sentence or order has not been overturned during the appeal period and when any appeals have been heard and dismissed.
Biden might be well intentioned and he might talk a good game, but the end result is that Ukraine has lost territory and had a lot of people killed. Trump might be malign and talk softly about Putin, but while he was president, Putin didn't think it wise to start any further invasions.
Suspect he will go for the "I could have been the next Cox/Amess" but I doubt it will wash.
I have been very sympathetic of politicians of all stripes who has been attacked by members of the public in the past, individuals who do that should have the book through at them. But the new CCTV footage looks extremely bad for the MP.
There were, by and large, two saving graces. Firstly Trump was personally inept. Secondly, a significant amount of those around him were old school Republicans who sought to manage him. There are endless reports of Trump suggesting something crackers or dangerous only to have to be told it was impossible or illegal. SCOTUS has made the latter fairly moot now. And who's going to stand up and say "no we can't do that" to him?
I mean a lot of the tinpot authoritarianism is coming from the mouths of Trump and his team. One hell of a gamble to go "nah, they don't actually mean what they say".
It took a jury less than 90 minutes today to clear Liverpool captain Steven Gerrard of affray even though he admitted punching a man three times in a bar.
Gerrard maintained that he had acted in self-defence during the brawl at the Lounge Inn in Southport last December, which was triggered by a row over control of music.
Gerrard, 29, had wanted to pick the music in the bar, but Marcus McGee, who was in charge of the CD player, refused his request. The trial was told that although McGee, 34, did not throw any punches, the player believed he was about to be hit.
Earlier in the evening, the England international and his friends had seemed to be in high spirits, singing and dancing as they celebrated a crushing victory over Newcastle United.
Minutes after he had been rebuffed by McGee, the footballer approached him as he sat on a barstool. John Doran, Gerrard's friend, elbowed McGee in the face, making him reel backwards and forwards. Fearing that he was about to be attacked, Gerrard landed three uppercuts on his face.
During the trial, he apologised for what had happened. Around 100 supporters gathered outside court today and cheered as Gerrard left the building.
Gerrard said: "I would like to put this case behind me now and I am really looking forward to the season ahead and concentrating on football now."
Judge Henry Globe, recorder of Liverpool, told Liverpool crown court after the verdict that the football player "could walk away with his reputation intact".
https://www.theguardian.com/football/2009/jul/24/steven-gerrard-cleared-affray
His selfless campaigning of behalf of the injured police officers, often unreported, shows his commitment to peace and the rule of law. Not since Carter have we seen such a successful post-Presidency.
This has had a profound effect on the Right across the English-speaking world, with recent demonstrations in England noted for their peaceful nature and their perseverance through "two-tier" policing.
I think Stokes was very lucky in his trial, even more so Alex Hales. The initial part of that incident, there seem no debate that somebody tried to bottle him and he defended himself. What happened after he dealt with the first guy, hmmm, especially Alex Hales booting the bloke on the ground when he was clearly no threat as the 3rd person had his restrained.
So an asthma attack will cost the a couple of thousand rather than just issuing the fucking prescription
It does not accept cash.
https://www.dailychemist.com/product/asthma-treatment-inhaler-safe/?landingPage&utm_source=Google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=Pmax_Asthma_All_Assets_Google_UK&gclid=CjwKCAjwyfe4BhAWEiwAkIL8sEK-qpjh9sCDgs_AqqS6fIaaFsxDLg5LrpF-2U0vGU1AVzhN7CkUgRoCv4cQAvD_BwE
If your asthma is badly controlled though, good idea to get a review appointment