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Damned if she does, damned if she doesn’t – politicalbetting.com

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Comments

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,225

    kle4 said:

    I’d like Badenoch to win, just because my annoying friend confidently opines that the Tory party are too racist to choose her.

    It would be a strange situation where Tory MPs in the all too frequent recent leadership contests have repeatedly nominated multiple non-white candidates with significant support, yet the Members just wouldn't bear such a candidate for the reason their racial characteristics. MPs are little different than the average Member after all.
    I can 100% predict that my annoying friend will soon pivot to “The Tories are racist and they voted for Badenoch precisely because she makes them feel they are not racist”.

    He has already started tentative suggestions in that direction.
    IDK, I may need Kehinde Andrews or someone equivalent to weigh in on the subject before I decide.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,242

    kle4 said:

    I’d like Badenoch to win, just because my annoying friend confidently opines that the Tory party are too racist to choose her.

    It would be a strange situation where Tory MPs in the all too frequent recent leadership contests have repeatedly nominated multiple non-white candidates with significant support, yet the Members just wouldn't bear such a candidate for the reason their racial characteristics. MPs are little different than the average Member after all.
    I can 100% predict that my annoying friend will soon pivot to “The Tories are racist and they voted for Badenoch precisely because she makes them feel they are not racist”.

    He has already started tentative suggestions in that direction.
    Her leading the Tories is probably significant enough to gain some traction in the US news media so she could have an unusually high profile for a British leader of the opposition.
    I just wonder if the announcement of her election on Nov 2 would offer floating voters in the US an image of a black woman leader in such a way as to make Harris' leadership less of a big step to vote for a couple of days later?

    I very much doubt enough Americans would care about (or notice) the election here for it to make even 0.1% of a difference, sadly.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,581
    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
  • TimSTimS Posts: 13,059

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298

    Kamala HQ
    @KamalaHQ
    ·
    36m
    Vice President Harris to MAGA hecklers: “Oh you guys are at the wrong rally. I think you meant to go to the smaller one down the street”

    That’s good. Very good.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,176
    A political better of note

    https://nitter.poast.org/Domahhhh
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,176

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    See my previous posts and articles about why I don't do that.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,581
    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    Oh, I dunno. Some PBers give every impression of being unable to even use a debit card to pay for stuff.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,581
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    See my previous posts and articles about why I don't do that.
    I’m supposed to go through your posts to ascertain why you don’t use Betfair?
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,054
    PC hold in Gwynedd.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,176
    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,054
    Con gain in Swindon.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,176

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    See my previous posts and articles about why I don't do that.
    I’m supposed to go through your posts to ascertain why you don’t use Betfair?
    Given that I've written about it many times, it's not as unreasonable as it sounds, especially as I covered it in the "thin gruel" article written earlier in the year. Broadly speaking the "Chronicle of a Bet Foretold" series covers it. I can go thru it again if you wish.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,581
    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,951

    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    It's almost as if constantly shitposting your personal preferences regarding physical cash is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,581
    kyf_100 said:

    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    It's almost as if constantly shitposting your personal preferences regarding physical cash is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    No.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,951

    kyf_100 said:

    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    It's almost as if constantly shitposting your personal preferences regarding physical cash is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    No.
    Yes, literally, yes. You are the most boring t*** on here, and that's up against some stiff competition.

    At least when Leon bangs on about AI he's half way to being articulate, and when the terf crowd show up there's at least a debate.

    I don't actually know who the most boring man in the world is, but I'm sure you could give them a run for their money. Give it a rest. Talk about something else.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,581
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    See my previous posts and articles about why I don't do that.
    I’m supposed to go through your posts to ascertain why you don’t use Betfair?
    Given that I've written about it many times, it's not as unreasonable as it sounds, especially as I covered it in the "thin gruel" article written earlier in the year. Broadly speaking the "Chronicle of a Bet Foretold" series covers it. I can go thru it again if you wish.
    I have just found it. It gives no real reason but does say this: “ But I, being an awkward bastitch who refuses to bet online, refuses to do this. I prefer to rock up to the real-life high-street shop.”

    Which is up to you, but then don’t whine that you can’t get a bet on until Saturday when you could just be rational and use Betfair!
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,074
    edited October 17

    HS2 will end up being a "different rail line in a very similar place" says @PronouncedAlva who broke the story today of Crewe extension, speaking to Newsnight.

    What a f*cking mess this country is.

    Just build the bloody thing as agreed by parliament on several occasions.

    Or preferably scrap the whole huge white elephant and give taxpayers a break or else spend it on transport projects that make some sense.

    Crossrail 2 is a fraction of the price and has a much higher cost-benefit ratio.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    edited October 17
    On topic it doesn't matter what the voters think, they're fickle and the next election isn't until 2029. Alanbrooke says,
    if she inflicts pain on the masses she may be joining Sue Gray after Starmer has one of his ruthless spells
    ...but Kier Starmer isn't like that, he plays the long game. There was a time early in his leadership when he was doing party reforms instead of early policy announcements and people here were saying Labour needed to get rid of him but he just carried on and got the stuff done he needed to get done. He's not going to boot out his chancellor for doing her job.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,581
    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    It's almost as if constantly shitposting your personal preferences regarding physical cash is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    No.
    Yes, literally, yes. You are the most boring t*** on here, and that's up against some stiff competition.

    At least when Leon bangs on about AI he's half way to being articulate, and when the terf crowd show up there's at least a debate.

    I don't actually know who the most boring man in the world is, but I'm sure you could give them a run for their money. Give it a rest. Talk about something else.
    Crikey. Calm down.

    I didn’t raise it, he did. He said he couldn’t get a bet on, for no good reason. I pointed out the fallacy, is all.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,176
    edited October 17

    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    Sigh..,ok, here we go again.

    To bet successfully one must know ones advantages and disadvantages, not in a kumbaya-Jesus-loves-me way but to take one's disadvantages into account and adopt mitigation strategies to cope with them. I am persnickety about detail but I try to minimise risk, which is a contraindicator for online betting as I get swamped by the detail and start buying on the heights and selling on the dips, a guaranteed loss maker. Instead I do physical betting in shops, which suits me better: do research, formulate plan, execute plan, continue until done. The thirty minutes taxi ride to the bookies also suits as by the time I arrived I am settled in my intent and can execute it quickly. The only recent adaptation to this pattern is the use of automated terminals instead of staff: this is why I bet £5 on Kemi in early September as a dry run for larger sums later.

    I have detailed my betting both in the comments and in my "Chronicle of a Bet Foretold" article series, also on PB. The latest of the CoaBF series was entitled "Thin Gruel" which was published at the time of the UK General Election.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,607

    On topic it doesn't matter what the voters think, they're fickle and the next election isn't until 2029. Alanbrooke says,

    if she inflicts pain on the masses she may be joining Sue Gray after Starmer has one of his ruthless spells
    ...but Kier Starmer isn't like that, he plays the long game. There was a time early in his leadership when he was doing party reforms instead of early policy announcements and people here were saying Labour needed to get rid of him but he just carried on and got the stuff done he needed to get done. He's not going to boot out his chancellor for doing her job.Assuming that she does the job he wants her to do. We don't really know what that job is, so we won't know whether she's failed it until she's gone.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,951

    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    It's almost as if constantly shitposting your personal preferences regarding physical cash is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    No.
    Yes, literally, yes. You are the most boring t*** on here, and that's up against some stiff competition.

    At least when Leon bangs on about AI he's half way to being articulate, and when the terf crowd show up there's at least a debate.

    I don't actually know who the most boring man in the world is, but I'm sure you could give them a run for their money. Give it a rest. Talk about something else.
    Crikey. Calm down.

    I didn’t raise it, he did. He said he couldn’t get a bet on, for no good reason. I pointed out the fallacy, is all.
    That's fair. I apologise.

    Just, some people have a preference for doing things in person, paying in cash, etc. And there's really no need to argue with everyone who isn't signed up to the glorious Apple Pay revolution.

    De gustibus non et disputandum.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,861
    Still the master communicator.


    Aaron Rupar
    @atrupar
    ·
    1h
    Bill Clinton: I'm too old to gild a lily. Heck, I'm only two months younger than Donald Trump. But the good news for you is I will not spend 30 minutes swaying back and forth to music.

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1847017933987250606
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,674
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    See my previous posts and articles about why I don't do that.
    I’m supposed to go through your posts to ascertain why you don’t use Betfair?
    Given that I've written about it many times, it's not as unreasonable as it sounds, especially as I covered it in the "thin gruel" article written earlier in the year. Broadly speaking the "Chronicle of a Bet Foretold" series covers it. I can go thru it again if you wish.
    I can't remember the reason so Anabobazina isn't alone on this.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    edited October 17


    Assuming that she does the job he wants her to do. We don't really know what that job is, so we won't know whether she's failed it until she's gone.

    I would assume it's to make things look good in 2029. The decisions to do that now are:
    - lots of tax revenue, so do any tax increase you might need that will be unpopular when you announce it
    - not too much debt, so do any spending cut you might need that will be unpopular when you announce it
    - hospitals, roads, railways etc built or very visibly being built, and that stuff has long lead times so get on with it
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,228
    edited October 17
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,054
    Surprising Con Gain in St Albans.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,225
    Glancing at Andrew Teale's list of 2024 council by elections I count no fewer than 7 by-elections on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and, I kid you not, even one on a Monday.

    I know it happens occasionally, but I'm still outraged at all this non-Thursday stuff.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,176
    Andy_JS said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    See my previous posts and articles about why I don't do that.
    I’m supposed to go through your posts to ascertain why you don’t use Betfair?
    Given that I've written about it many times, it's not as unreasonable as it sounds, especially as I covered it in the "thin gruel" article written earlier in the year. Broadly speaking the "Chronicle of a Bet Foretold" series covers it. I can go thru it again if you wish.
    I can't remember the reason so Anabobazina isn't alone on this.
    I've redescribed my reasons here:

    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/4994286/#Comment_4994286
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,581
    edited October 17
    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    It's almost as if constantly shitposting your personal preferences regarding physical cash is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    No.
    Yes, literally, yes. You are the most boring t*** on here, and that's up against some stiff competition.

    At least when Leon bangs on about AI he's half way to being articulate, and when the terf crowd show up there's at least a debate.

    I don't actually know who the most boring man in the world is, but I'm sure you could give them a run for their money. Give it a rest. Talk about something else.
    Crikey. Calm down.

    I didn’t raise it, he did. He said he couldn’t get a bet on, for no good reason. I pointed out the fallacy, is all.
    That's fair. I apologise.

    Just, some people have a preference for doing things in person, paying in cash, etc. And there's really no need to argue with everyone who isn't signed up to the glorious Apple Pay revolution.

    De gustibus non et disputandum.
    No worries. And sure, as I also said, that’s up to him, but then he shouldn’t moan about the practice “eating into his time”. As someone said on the original threader he wrote, it’s rather like biking around France with a fridge then whining that doing so proved rather laborious.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,581
    ….
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,832
    I wonder if she could beat Boris Johnson's 66.4% or David Cameron's 67.6% in the members' vote.
  • slade said:

    Surprising Con Gain in St Albans.

    Lib Dems finding it hard when actually in control of something. They hadn't lost here under current boundaries.

    Equally surprising Labour defeat in beautiful Swindon. They had won there in nine out of the last ten elections, exception being in the 2021 glory year for Conservative. Even then, they only had 46% of the vote, as opposed to 48% this time.
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,054
    LD hold in Stockport.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,176

    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    It's almost as if constantly shitposting your personal preferences regarding physical cash is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    No.
    Yes, literally, yes. You are the most boring t*** on here, and that's up against some stiff competition.

    At least when Leon bangs on about AI he's half way to being articulate, and when the terf crowd show up there's at least a debate.

    I don't actually know who the most boring man in the world is, but I'm sure you could give them a run for their money. Give it a rest. Talk about something else.
    Crikey. Calm down.

    I didn’t raise it, he did. He said he couldn’t get a bet on, for no good reason. I pointed out the fallacy, is all.
    That's fair. I apologise.

    Just, some people have a preference for doing things in person, paying in cash, etc. And there's really no need to argue with everyone who isn't signed up to the glorious Apple Pay revolution.

    De gustibus non et disputandum.
    No worries. And sure, as I also said, that’s up to him, but then he shouldn’t moan about the practice “eating into his time”. As someone said on the original threader he wrote, it’s rather like biking around France with a fridge then whining that doing so proved rather laborious.
    As requested by you, I have redescribed my rationale here. https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/4994286/#Comment_4994286 . I did so as a courtesy to you. But having detailed my reasons I am not bound to defend them nor my person to you. I realise you approach life differently to me, but what works for you may not work for me.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,674
    "Harpenden North & Rural (St Albans) Council By-Election Result:

    🌳 CON: 49.3% (+18.7)
    🔶 LDM: 40.7% (-13.0)
    🌍 GRN: 6.1% (-0.9)
    🌹 LAB: 3.8% (-4.8)

    Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat.
    Changes w/ 2024."
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,225

    slade said:

    Surprising Con Gain in St Albans.

    Lib Dems finding it hard when actually in control of something. They hadn't lost here under current boundaries.

    Equally surprising Labour defeat in beautiful Swindon. They had won there in nine out of the last ten elections, exception being in the 2021 glory year for Conservative. Even then, they only had 46% of the vote, as opposed to 48% this time.
    Yes, by-elections can be odd but given how recent it was for the red wave to hit Swindon after 2 decades of Tory control I am surprised they've lost that seat so quickly.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,581
    viewcode said:

    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    It's almost as if constantly shitposting your personal preferences regarding physical cash is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    No.
    Yes, literally, yes. You are the most boring t*** on here, and that's up against some stiff competition.

    At least when Leon bangs on about AI he's half way to being articulate, and when the terf crowd show up there's at least a debate.

    I don't actually know who the most boring man in the world is, but I'm sure you could give them a run for their money. Give it a rest. Talk about something else.
    Crikey. Calm down.

    I didn’t raise it, he did. He said he couldn’t get a bet on, for no good reason. I pointed out the fallacy, is all.
    That's fair. I apologise.

    Just, some people have a preference for doing things in person, paying in cash, etc. And there's really no need to argue with everyone who isn't signed up to the glorious Apple Pay revolution.

    De gustibus non et disputandum.
    No worries. And sure, as I also said, that’s up to him, but then he shouldn’t moan about the practice “eating into his time”. As someone said on the original threader he wrote, it’s rather like biking around France with a fridge then whining that doing so proved rather laborious.
    As requested by you, I have redescribed my rationale here. https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/4994286/#Comment_4994286 . I did so as a courtesy to you. But having detailed my reasons I am not bound to defend them nor my person to you. I realise you approach life differently to me, but what works for you may not work for me.
    You could simply have a mate put the bet on for you if you can’t bear to look at an exchange.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,674

    I wonder if she could beat Boris Johnson's 66.4% or David Cameron's 67.6% in the members' vote.
    No I think Jenrick will get at least 40%.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,176

    viewcode said:

    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Arse. I went to the cash point to withdraw £100 to bet on Kemi, but Laddies closes at 10pm. Damn. The sword unsheathed must taste blood and I won't be able to get to a bookies until Saturday. It is a bad world. 👿

    Have you tried this newfangled invention called the internet?
    I never thought I’d see a sentence like “I won’t be able to get to the bookies until Saturday” on this website.
    As I may have mentioned, I travel a lot for work. Friday is one of those days, and I will no doubt post something like "I am on a train and it's awful" tomorrow. Getting from A to B requires taxis and trains to a set timetable as A and B are over a hundred miles apart. Diverting to a bookies is costly in time as bookmaker X is a fair way from station B. I can delay it to Saturday even though bookmakers are a bit fraught on Saturday because people bet on horseracing for some reason, but it eats into my time.
    It’s almost as if withdrawing cash then going to physical premises to put a bet on is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    It's almost as if constantly shitposting your personal preferences regarding physical cash is an entirely pointless waste of time and energy.
    No.
    Yes, literally, yes. You are the most boring t*** on here, and that's up against some stiff competition.

    At least when Leon bangs on about AI he's half way to being articulate, and when the terf crowd show up there's at least a debate.

    I don't actually know who the most boring man in the world is, but I'm sure you could give them a run for their money. Give it a rest. Talk about something else.
    Crikey. Calm down.

    I didn’t raise it, he did. He said he couldn’t get a bet on, for no good reason. I pointed out the fallacy, is all.
    That's fair. I apologise.

    Just, some people have a preference for doing things in person, paying in cash, etc. And there's really no need to argue with everyone who isn't signed up to the glorious Apple Pay revolution.

    De gustibus non et disputandum.
    No worries. And sure, as I also said, that’s up to him, but then he shouldn’t moan about the practice “eating into his time”. As someone said on the original threader he wrote, it’s rather like biking around France with a fridge then whining that doing so proved rather laborious.
    As requested by you, I have redescribed my rationale here. https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/4994286/#Comment_4994286 . I did so as a courtesy to you. But having detailed my reasons I am not bound to defend them nor my person to you. I realise you approach life differently to me, but what works for you may not work for me.
    You could simply have a mate put the bet on for you if you can’t bear to look at an exchange.
    "Having detailed my reasons I am not bound to defend them nor my person to you"
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,054
    Lab hold in Falkirk.
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,054
    Green gain in Ashford LD hold in Stockport.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,809
    geoffw said:

    "..whereas Jenrick does not seem to believe in anything at all"
    Bit like Starmer then

    Starmer seems to believe in the Rule of Law, not surprising considering his background. It's why he responded to the racist riots as he did, why he scrapped Rwanda, why he backed the Chagos transfer and why he now has a partial ban on arms exports to Israel. Agree with the decisions or not, they are all defined by him following legal judgements.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,449

    What I like, and what I presume floating voters like, about Badenoch, is that she’s a conviction politician.
    She’s a moralist, and I don’t believe we’ve really had one of those with the courage to be outspoken about it since Thatcher.

    However, remain convinced that gaffes and or laziness will do for her. I also seriously doubt she has any real understanding of public policy or economics. (The latter is not necessarily fatal, look at Starmer.)

    What will make or break her might not be any of that but rather whether she can inspire enough loyalty to prevent the party descending into infighting and I think she might. It will certainly be very difficult for the self-professed sensible centrists to portray her leadership as a sign that the party is too in hock to reactionary backwoodsmen.
    OK in her case her leadership is a sign that the party is too in hock to reactionary backwoodswomen.

    Didn't they have that problem for 49 days once before?

    I can tell you are excited. Keep it up!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,674
    edited October 17
    Not the sort of place you'd expect a Tory gain from Labour, even if presumably it is in one of the Conservatives' better areas in the borough.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,693
    Tory gains all over. This really wasn't much of a honeymoon, was it?

    I doubt more tax rumours are going to help.


    On another topic, I went out this evening to take a picture or two of the comet. It is quite dim now although still well visible in binoculars between W and SW about 1hr after sunset.

    I was caught by suprise by a line of about 40 satellites traversing the sky, each separated by about a degree. Obviously I realised straight away it was from the Starlink launch but I've never seen that before. Mental! These things are going to pollute the night sky (and at radio frequencies no doubt) like nothing else.

    They wobble slightly so I assume they have a single offset solar panel and are rotating whilst in positioning phase.

  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,674

    Tory gains all over. This really wasn't much of a honeymoon, was it?

    I doubt more tax rumours are going to help.


    On another topic, I went out this evening to take a picture or two of the comet. It is quite dim now although still well visible in binoculars between W and SW about 1hr after sunset.

    I was caught by suprise by a line of about 40 satellites traversing the sky, each separated by about a degree. Obviously I realised straight away it was from the Starlink launch but I've never seen that before. Mental! These things are going to pollute the night sky (and at radio frequencies no doubt) like nothing else.

    They wobble slightly so I assume they have a single offset solar panel and are rotating whilst in positioning phase.

    Being in government does awful things for a party's ability to hold local government by-election seats.
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 542

    I wonder if she could beat Boris Johnson's 66.4% or David Cameron's 67.6% in the members' vote.
    That's a reader survey on who won the debate, not a VI poll of members.
    Though carry on, not a market I'm going to dabble in
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,313
    edited October 18

    She's doing very well. Clearly thought through answers.

    Tory party would be quite literally mad not to choose Kemi over Jenrick.

    I have already voted for Jenrick over Kemi, as the Electoral Calculus poll showed last night he is more likely to win extra seats from Labour than Kemi is. The love for Kemi on here is mainly from people who would never vote Tory anyway
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 542
    viewcode said:

    A political better of note

    https://nitter.poast.org/Domahhhh

    Interesting post, particularly the linking of the Trump betting market to other volatile markets such as bitcoin.
    Speculating, could shifting the Presidential market towards Trump be a way to pump up DJT stock so they can offload an even bigger position in that.
    My memory is that last time the betfair exchange market was several hundred million, currently it's around £90m, so potentially a lot of bets to be placed and money to be made if they can move the market.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,313
    Morning Consult

    Michigan Harris 49% Trump 47%

    Arizona Harris 49% Trump 48%

    Nevada Harris 49% Trump 45%

    Georgia Trump 49% Harris 48%

    Wisconsin Trump 48% Harris 47%

    Pennsylvania Harris 49% Trump 48%

    North Carolina Trump 49% Harris 48%
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,313
    How a win for either Jenrick or Badenoch will be a shift back to traditional community based conservatism and a rejection of free market liberal globalism and pure individual rights

    https://conservativehome.com/2024/10/17/louise-brown-we-need-to-rethink-the-right-old-labels-fail-to-capture-conservative-dividing-lines/
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,313
    edited October 18
    Tommy Robinson endorses UKIP and rejects its former leader Farage and Reform
    https://x.com/UKIP/status/1847002494263599332
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    maxh said:

    kle4 said:

    I’d like Badenoch to win, just because my annoying friend confidently opines that the Tory party are too racist to choose her.

    It would be a strange situation where Tory MPs in the all too frequent recent leadership contests have repeatedly nominated multiple non-white candidates with significant support, yet the Members just wouldn't bear such a candidate for the reason their racial characteristics. MPs are little different than the average Member after all.
    I can 100% predict that my annoying friend will soon pivot to “The Tories are racist and they voted for Badenoch precisely because she makes them feel they are not racist”.

    He has already started tentative suggestions in that direction.
    Her leading the Tories is probably significant enough to gain some traction in the US news media so she could have an unusually high profile for a British leader of the opposition.
    I just wonder if the announcement of her election on Nov 2 would offer floating voters in the US an image of a black woman leader in such a way as to make Harris' leadership less of a big step to vote for a couple of days later?

    I very much doubt enough Americans would care about (or notice) the election here for it to make even 0.1% of a difference, sadly.
    Paragraph 1 answer is No, because answer to Para 2 is Yes.

    USers pay FAR less attention to UK politics than even non-PBer UKers do to US politics.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,674
    HYUFD said:

    How a win for either Jenrick or Badenoch will be a shift back to traditional community based conservatism and a rejection of free market liberal globalism and pure individual rights

    https://conservativehome.com/2024/10/17/louise-brown-we-need-to-rethink-the-right-old-labels-fail-to-capture-conservative-dividing-lines/

    Interesting, thanks for the link.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,674
    edited October 18
    HYUFD said:

    Morning Consult

    Michigan Harris 49% Trump 47%

    Arizona Harris 49% Trump 48%

    Nevada Harris 49% Trump 45%

    Georgia Trump 49% Harris 48%

    Wisconsin Trump 48% Harris 47%

    Pennsylvania Harris 49% Trump 48%

    North Carolina Trump 49% Harris 48%
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls

    This points to a narrow Harris win unless I'm mistaken.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,258
    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    Morning Consult

    Michigan Harris 49% Trump 47%

    Arizona Harris 49% Trump 48%

    Nevada Harris 49% Trump 45%

    Georgia Trump 49% Harris 48%

    Wisconsin Trump 48% Harris 47%

    Pennsylvania Harris 49% Trump 48%

    North Carolina Trump 49% Harris 48%
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls

    This points to a narrow Harris win unless I'm mistaken.
    It would mean the only state to flip was Georgia.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    Dopermean said:

    viewcode said:

    A political better of note

    https://nitter.poast.org/Domahhhh

    Interesting post, particularly the linking of the Trump betting market to other volatile markets such as bitcoin.
    Speculating, could shifting the Presidential market towards Trump be a way to pump up DJT stock so they can offload an even bigger position in that.
    My memory is that last time the betfair exchange market was several hundred million, currently it's around £90m, so potentially a lot of bets to be placed and money to be made if they can move the market.
    The weird thing about this is that Bitcoin is the favoured cryptocurrency of the Biden administration. Their policy is to shut down trading in everything else and leave only Bitcoin.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,313
    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    Morning Consult

    Michigan Harris 49% Trump 47%

    Arizona Harris 49% Trump 48%

    Nevada Harris 49% Trump 45%

    Georgia Trump 49% Harris 48%

    Wisconsin Trump 48% Harris 47%

    Pennsylvania Harris 49% Trump 48%

    North Carolina Trump 49% Harris 48%
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls

    This points to a narrow Harris win unless I'm mistaken.
    It would mean the only state to flip was Georgia.
    And Wisconsin
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,258
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    Morning Consult

    Michigan Harris 49% Trump 47%

    Arizona Harris 49% Trump 48%

    Nevada Harris 49% Trump 45%

    Georgia Trump 49% Harris 48%

    Wisconsin Trump 48% Harris 47%

    Pennsylvania Harris 49% Trump 48%

    North Carolina Trump 49% Harris 48%
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls

    This points to a narrow Harris win unless I'm mistaken.
    It would mean the only state to flip was Georgia.
    And Wisconsin
    Sorry, you are absolutely correct.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,557

    kle4 said:

    I’d like Badenoch to win, just because my annoying friend confidently opines that the Tory party are too racist to choose her.

    It would be a strange situation where Tory MPs in the all too frequent recent leadership contests have repeatedly nominated multiple non-white candidates with significant support, yet the Members just wouldn't bear such a candidate for the reason their racial characteristics. MPs are little different than the average Member after all.
    I can 100% predict that my annoying friend will soon pivot to “The Tories are racist and they voted for Badenoch precisely because she makes them feel they are not racist”.

    He has already started tentative suggestions in that direction.
    That's exactly what will happen.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,313
    edited October 18
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    Morning Consult

    Michigan Harris 49% Trump 47%

    Arizona Harris 49% Trump 48%

    Nevada Harris 49% Trump 45%

    Georgia Trump 49% Harris 48%

    Wisconsin Trump 48% Harris 47%

    Pennsylvania Harris 49% Trump 48%

    North Carolina Trump 49% Harris 48%
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls

    This points to a narrow Harris win unless I'm mistaken.
    It would mean the only state to flip was Georgia.
    And Wisconsin
    Sorry, you are absolutely correct.
    Harris would win 277 to 261 for Trump, the second closest presidential election result in the Electoral College in the last 100 years after 2000
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,557
    Andy_JS said:

    Not the sort of place you'd expect a Tory gain from Labour, even if presumably it is in one of the Conservatives' better areas in the borough.
    The strong trend at the moment is a sharp decline in the Labour vote almost everywhere, with a modest increase in the Conservative vote - and sometimes a surprisingly decent one.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,452
    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    Morning Consult

    Michigan Harris 49% Trump 47%

    Arizona Harris 49% Trump 48%

    Nevada Harris 49% Trump 45%

    Georgia Trump 49% Harris 48%

    Wisconsin Trump 48% Harris 47%

    Pennsylvania Harris 49% Trump 48%

    North Carolina Trump 49% Harris 48%
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls

    This points to a narrow Harris win unless I'm mistaken.
    Single polls aren't good pointers.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,674
    "Politics UK
    @PolitlcsUK

    🚨 NEW: Nearly 100 current and former Labour Party staff are going to battleground states in the US election to campaign for Kamala Harris, with the party offering to ‘sort your housing’"

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1846859483428856266
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,957
    HYUFD said:

    She's doing very well. Clearly thought through answers.

    Tory party would be quite literally mad not to choose Kemi over Jenrick.

    I have already voted for Jenrick over Kemi, as the Electoral Calculus poll showed last night he is more likely to win extra seats from Labour than Kemi is. The love for Kemi on here is mainly from people who would never vote Tory anyway
    @HYUFD my dear, there’s more to it than a single poll. Jenrick really would be an awful choice, appealing only to the absolute core.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,957
    Andy_JS said:

    "Politics UK
    @PolitlcsUK

    🚨 NEW: Nearly 100 current and former Labour Party staff are going to battleground states in the US election to campaign for Kamala Harris, with the party offering to ‘sort your housing’"

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1846859483428856266

    Why on earth do they think this is acceptable? It’s a foreign country where they have no right to interfere.

    That is, unless Kamala plans to revoke the declaration of independence.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,957

    Andy_JS said:

    Not the sort of place you'd expect a Tory gain from Labour, even if presumably it is in one of the Conservatives' better areas in the borough.
    The strong trend at the moment is a sharp decline in the Labour vote almost everywhere, with a modest increase in the Conservative vote - and sometimes a surprisingly decent one.
    Blue dawn.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,674
    "No one asked for Meta’s “AI chatbot”
    Like the metaverse before it, this new “innovation” could only appeal to someone as detached from reality as a tech billionaire.
    By Sarah Manavis"

    https://www.newstatesman.com/comment/2024/10/no-one-asked-for-metas-ai-chatbot
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,313
    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    She's doing very well. Clearly thought through answers.

    Tory party would be quite literally mad not to choose Kemi over Jenrick.

    I have already voted for Jenrick over Kemi, as the Electoral Calculus poll showed last night he is more likely to win extra seats from Labour than Kemi is. The love for Kemi on here is mainly from people who would never vote Tory anyway
    @HYUFD my dear, there’s more to it than a single poll. Jenrick really would be an awful choice, appealing only to the absolute core.
    In July we didn't even win all the absolute core so that would be a start if he gets them all voting Tory again
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,702
    I’m on a train rattling through the bamboo forested mountains of rural Kansai

    Its amazing how quickly Japan goes from endless urban sprawl - which suddenly ends - to genuine wilds
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,324

    Still the master communicator.


    Aaron Rupar
    @atrupar
    ·
    1h
    Bill Clinton: I'm too old to gild a lily. Heck, I'm only two months younger than Donald Trump. But the good news for you is I will not spend 30 minutes swaying back and forth to music.

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1847017933987250606

    He uses pauses very very well. That’s a masterclass in influencing communication
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,405

    Andy_JS said:

    Not the sort of place you'd expect a Tory gain from Labour, even if presumably it is in one of the Conservatives' better areas in the borough.
    The strong trend at the moment is a sharp decline in the Labour vote almost everywhere, with a modest increase in the Conservative vote - and sometimes a surprisingly decent one.
    I don’t think one should assume now, that the Conservatives will fall back in the next round of local elections, in 2025. Labour’s NEV could fall to 20% or so.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,832
    Trump’s speech at the Al Smith dinner in New York:

    https://youtu.be/XI0MUoW28VE
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,452
    .

    Trump’s speech at the Al Smith dinner in New York:

    https://youtu.be/XI0MUoW28VE


    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4940339-harris-jabs-at-trump-al-smith-dinner-video/
    ...Harris did not attend the dinner in person as she campaigned in Wisconsin. Instead, she addressed the event via a video that featured comedian Molly Shannon portraying her “Saturday Night Live” character Mary Katherine Gallagher, who is a Catholic school girl.
    “So tell me something, I’m giving a speech. Do you have some thoughts about what I might say tonight?” Harris asks Shannon in the video.
    Shannon’s advice included, “Don’t lie. Thou shall not bear false witness to thy neighbor.”
    ...
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,702
    Krabbeingeweidemahlzeitbesorgnis
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,452
    Leon said:

    Krabbeingeweidemahlzeitbesorgnis

    And a good morning to you, too.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,702
    edited October 18
    Nigelb said:

    Leon said:

    Krabbeingeweidemahlzeitbesorgnis

    And a good morning to you, too.
    Guten tag. I see your German is lacking

    Let me break it down:

    Krabbe: crab
    Eingeweide: innards
    Mahlzeit: meal
    Besorgnis: concern

    This compound noun essentially translates to "crab-innards-meal-concern", encapsulating the feeling I have at this precise moment, which is “a concern that I will soon be dining on crab innards”

    This is because I am in a 1300 year old Japanese spa town (Kinosaki-onsen) in Kasei province, on the Sea of Japan, which is known for this delicacy. And I’ve just been told that my famous ryokan is giving me the traditional tasting menu, which is likely to feature this delicacy

    You’re welcome

    *evinces Politiknerdbefriedigungsgenugtuung*
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,861
    Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Leon said:

    Krabbeingeweidemahlzeitbesorgnis

    And a good morning to you, too.
    Guten tag. I see your German is lacking

    Let me break it down:

    Krabbe: crab
    Eingeweide: innards
    Mahlzeit: meal
    Besorgnis: concern

    This compound noun essentially translates to "crab-innards-meal-concern", encapsulating the feeling I have at this precise moment, which is “a concern that I will soon be dining on crab innards”

    This is because I am in a 1300 year old Japanese spa town (Kinosaki-onsen) in Kasei province, on the Sea of Japan, which is known for this delicacy. And I’ve just been told that my famous ryokan is giving me the traditional tasting menu, which is likely to feature this delicacy

    You’re welcome

    *evinces Politiknerdbefriedigungsgenugtuung*
    What's the weather like? I gather Japan has had brutal heattwaves all summer.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,702

    Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Leon said:

    Krabbeingeweidemahlzeitbesorgnis

    And a good morning to you, too.
    Guten tag. I see your German is lacking

    Let me break it down:

    Krabbe: crab
    Eingeweide: innards
    Mahlzeit: meal
    Besorgnis: concern

    This compound noun essentially translates to "crab-innards-meal-concern", encapsulating the feeling I have at this precise moment, which is “a concern that I will soon be dining on crab innards”

    This is because I am in a 1300 year old Japanese spa town (Kinosaki-onsen) in Kasei province, on the Sea of Japan, which is known for this delicacy. And I’ve just been told that my famous ryokan is giving me the traditional tasting menu, which is likely to feature this delicacy

    You’re welcome

    *evinces Politiknerdbefriedigungsgenugtuung*
    What's the weather like? I gather Japan has had brutal heattwaves all summer.
    Perfect summer holiday weather - 29C and cloudless. But it shouldn’t be

    That’s about 8C more than normal. This is mid October
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,861
    Ron Filipkowski
    @RonFilipkowski
    ·
    4h
    Melania finally made a public appearance with her beloved husband tonight. Just a couple of love birds having a great time.

    https://x.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1847080392920121353
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,861
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Leon said:

    Krabbeingeweidemahlzeitbesorgnis

    And a good morning to you, too.
    Guten tag. I see your German is lacking

    Let me break it down:

    Krabbe: crab
    Eingeweide: innards
    Mahlzeit: meal
    Besorgnis: concern

    This compound noun essentially translates to "crab-innards-meal-concern", encapsulating the feeling I have at this precise moment, which is “a concern that I will soon be dining on crab innards”

    This is because I am in a 1300 year old Japanese spa town (Kinosaki-onsen) in Kasei province, on the Sea of Japan, which is known for this delicacy. And I’ve just been told that my famous ryokan is giving me the traditional tasting menu, which is likely to feature this delicacy

    You’re welcome

    *evinces Politiknerdbefriedigungsgenugtuung*
    What's the weather like? I gather Japan has had brutal heattwaves all summer.
    Perfect summer holiday weather - 29C and cloudless. But it shouldn’t be

    That’s about 8C more than normal. This is mid October
    Are they commenting on it? Seems endless heat all summer with records being smashed all over the place. I can't recall hearing anything about Japan and climate change/action.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,888
    So the last video of Yahya Sinwar alive shows him, sans one hand, throwing a stick at a drone.

    He killed thousands of his own co-religionists as well as those of other religions. Those crying crocodile tears for him should consider he killed far more Palestinians than Jews.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,702
    Prices are insane in Japan right now

    Just had a wonderful lunch of the celebrated local crab croquettes and a plate of salt grilled sweet Sakura prawns, with two excellent cold beers in this relatively famous and (by low Japanese standards) very pretty and ancient willow-and-canal spa town and it was £12

    The Yen is so weak
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,545
    HYUFD said:

    She's doing very well. Clearly thought through answers.

    Tory party would be quite literally mad not to choose Kemi over Jenrick.

    I have already voted for Jenrick over Kemi, as the Electoral Calculus poll showed last night he is more likely to win extra seats from Labour than Kemi is. The love for Kemi on here is mainly from people who would never vote Tory anyway
    There is a lot of debate hype. So I've stuck £10 on Jenrick for fun. I don't mind losing the tenner, and some of the Badenoch-gasm takes on here are sounding foolish.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    Leon said:

    Prices are insane in Japan right now

    Just had a wonderful lunch of the celebrated local crab croquettes and a plate of salt grilled sweet Sakura prawns, with two excellent cold beers in this relatively famous and (by low Japanese standards) very pretty and ancient willow-and-canal spa town and it was £12

    The Yen is so weak

    I had a British friend over recently and we went up to a really good restaurant by Lake Chuzenji. At the end I came back from the loo find him in a heated argument with the staff. He thought they must have got the bill wrong, it couldn't possibly be that cheap.
This discussion has been closed.