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Spread betting on the White House race – politicalbetting.com
Spread betting on the White House race – politicalbetting.com
Sporting Index have opened their spreads on the White House race. I am a huge fan of spread betting but I realise this isn’t for everybody as you can lose substantially more than your stake but spread betting is political betting loins are girded.
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First full month of Reeves & Starmer and GDP is up.
Carol Vorderman: Starmer accepting free clothes would be understandable if he was a woman
The Left-wing activist added that it was a ‘rookie error’ for the PM to accept £2,400 from Lord Alli to pay for glasses
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/10/carol-voderman-keir-starmer-free-glasses-woman-lord-alli/
Understandable I guess given her unceremonious dumping last week but it begs the question will she actually end up doing the role ?
First Tory gain from the Lib Dems since the election IIRC.
Clearly it was our lunch last week wot won it.
Youll get hammered on tax
Here’s what he actually said.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-55640437
So he ordered them to ‘fight’ to ‘stop the steal.’
Suggesting he told them to protest ‘peacefully’ in this context is a little bit like Irving’s claim that Hitler never ordered the Holocaust.
SKS is massively unpopular and only a third of labour voters think they are doing a good job.
It is early days and they can redeem it but the budget is critical.
Money doesn't win elections but Harris has spent quite a lot of her money on GOTV and ground operations rather than the never ending adverts that people seem to tune out. That might move the dial a bit in the ultra close states. The biggest fall in Trump's fund raising is in the small donations. Perhaps another sign that the enthusiasm gap between Harris and Trump is starting to grow, something else that could move some of these marginal states.
But its all maybe this, maybe that. Good luck to those who go into spread betting on this election. Its way too unpredictable for me.
There isn't exactly much growth to slow.
Living in one of the swing States must be absolutely terrible right now, with constant TV ads and phone calls from politicians or their representatives.
Agree 100% on spread betting, especialy on things like EC votes where there could be wild swings one way or another. I think I’d stick to simple bets with small numbers, such as how many Biden 2020 States go to Trump in 2024, which is almost certain to be in the 0-5 range!
North Carolina would be a good bet to start, given the chaos engulfing the Republicans there.
What may save his captaincy is literally nobody else wants it.
(Amusingly the Sky scorecard is showing Naseem 'st Leach b Leach.'
Presumably you know where to send the invoice?
But - that was clearly him trying to dodge responsibility after inciting a riot. You don't tell people to fight 'peacefully.' If he didn't want them to riot, he wouldn't have said those other things first.
It was a bit like David Duke or a certain SDS sufferer saying 'I'm not an antisemite, but...'
“I just didn’t quite understand that. I could understand it more if he was a woman, but why do you need more than one or two pairs of glasses, was he sitting on them?”
Confession: I'm currently using four pairs of glasses, each at a different focus. In aggregate they cost a damn sight less than £2,400.
https://www.buzzfeed.com/andrewziegler/autocorrect-fails-of-the-decade
Trebles all round
As for autocorrect one I found funny was someone message a friend who said they would meet them later after they had been out for a wank. Of course they meant walk. They'd wank inside you'd like to think.
‘I’ll be coming home tonight’
However autocorrect turned it in to
‘I’ll be coming good tonight’
So my Mum replied with
‘What do you mean you’ll be coming good tonight?’
I still have PTSD with that.
I’m rapidly becoming of the opinion that there needs to be a zero-based Budget, and that whole departments should be torn up and either rebuilt from scratch or their functions transferred elsewhere.
But I can see the attraction of a really short focus pair for fine mechanical work like camera lens disassembly.
So four pairs isn't ridiculous if you've got crap vision (insert political gag as desired).
This is why energy companies can get away with what they do. Heck, even when it did investigate and found they were all keeping people waiting deliberately for an hour on the phone to force them to give up, it only put them all on 'notice to improve.' Which, I might add, they haven't.
It is an utter waste of time and money. Put the energy firms under Trading Standards and things would change rapidly.
When it comes to investigations of complaints, the Ombudsman does that, although again the energy companies make it as difficult as possible to refer them.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-64521159
I’m yet to see a convincing argument why Ofgem shouldn’t be a few dozen people, and it’s one of hundreds of such quangoes.
A quite extraordinary weighting from reg voters to likely voters occurs in the TIPP insights which had Harris 4 points up in Pennsylvania.
After the weighting to likely voters Trump leads by 1 point .
The Philadelphia reg vote went from being 134 respondents to 12 in likely voters !
Her original margin in that county went from beating Trump 55 points to just 20 points !
I spent a whole £15 the other night on a pair of glasses from Boots off the shelf. They are amazing and better than my prescription glasses. I was talking to my Dad last night about this - apparently he doesn't bother at all with opticians any more and just gets them off the internet for £10 a pair or thereabouts.
"After speaking with his Israeli counterpart Yoav Gallant and the Israeli ambassador to Italy earlier in the day, Crosetto reiterated that the Italian government does not believe the justification that the attack was a mistake or an accident. Italy therefore demands “real explanations as quickly as possible.”
As Ansa reported, UNIFIL's interpretation of the Israeli attack on the UN mission's bases, according to senior security sources familiar with the Middle East dossier, is that it was aimed at "forcing its withdrawal" to avoid having "unwanted witnesses" to Tel Aviv's military "future plans" in Lebanon."
https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/news/italy-strongly-condemns-israeli-strikes-in-lebanon-targeting-italian-bases/
One excellent reason, among several, to vote for Harris over the Trumpdozer is that the Republicans are far more likely to allow Israel a free hand in the middle east to do what they want and fuck the consequences. As can be seen from Mike Pompeo's recent comments on Social Media.
Also note his donations to Democrats were public but his (equal) donations to Republicans were what he called dark. So don't trust the gap in the numbers.
And two of the world's very richest men, Putin and Musk, who also control the news we get more than almost any other individuals, are heavily into Trump.
"Now, I'm gonna make it real -- very quick it's gonna go. But to bring it to that level I guess I'll need a little more time but I won't have that time but I'm gonna have, I'm gonna hand it over to people. We're gonna make this country so strong."
I do agree, as noted elsewhere, that it's not obvious why we need a specific ombudsman (moving away from OfGem now) for each industry. It would appear to be more efficient to either roll it into a general complaints arbitrator across a range of industries or to have the regulators also enforce their rules in specific cases, rather than just issue fines for firms being consistently on the naughty step.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cnee9e22klno
The energy regulator Ofgem said it expected suppliers to "act compassionately", adding it had toughened up rules for companies to follow when dealing with people who were struggling to pay bills.
That is not merely pointless verbiage, it is also irrelevant. That is not what was happening. The individual had repeatedly been sent fraudulent bills and threats for money he did not owe. That's a crime.
Any regulator that didn't fine the company concerned within an inch of its worthless life is a worthless regulator.
I still do not have the final bills on my father's account more than 18 months after it was closed. Their licence requires them to be issued after 6 weeks. I still don't have the payment they have been ordered to make by a court on the subject. Ofgem do not care. I have received bribes paid into my personal account using details BG had been ordered to delete, to get me to overlook crimes they have committed. Ofgem have made it clear they do not want to know.
They spend most of their time putting out the energy price gap, but choose to explain it to us in such vague and studied terms it's very difficult to know what it means. Moreover, they whack up the standing charge (which we all have to pay) while controlling the price per unit (which is manageable with a few adjustments). A bonkers reversal of what they should be doing.
They are as much use as a hole in the head. They are very nearly as bad as Ofwat. Get rid, and good riddance.
This is part of the problem, we're not really sure what a lot of the regulators do. Do OfWat do site inspections, water testing etc, water quality in rivers near outflows etc?