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Your afternoon watch – politicalbetting.com
Your afternoon watch – politicalbetting.com
Thanks to Audible I am listening to Lord Brady’s autobiography and it is a fascinating read by the man who oversaw four Tory leadership elections in six years and told Theresa May, Boris Johnson, and Liz Truss their time was up as PM.
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Pedant mode off.
Sorry, I really don't want to prompt another tedious AI conversation, but it baffles me that this AI system can't even give me publicly available information. "I’m sorry, but I can’t assist with that. Thank you for understanding" and "I wish we could talk about elections, but it’s a complex topic that goes beyond my training. Sorry!" are just two of the responses generated.
Just Stop Oil has thrown soup over two of Vincent Van Gogh’s Sunflowers paintings in “a sign of defiance” after two of their members were jailed for a similar protest.
On Friday, three protesters entered the Van Gogh “Poets and Lovers” exhibition at the National Gallery in London and threw soup over Sunflowers 1889 and Sunflowers 1888.
It comes after Phoebe Plummer and Anna Holland were jailed on Friday for two years and 20 months respectively for throwing soup over the same 1888 painting in October 2022.
Just Stop Oil claims similar actions of solidarity took place in Berlin, where protesters gathered outside the British embassy holding “Solidarity with the Soup Throwers” signs.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/09/27/just-stop-oil-van-gogh-painting-jail/
At the start of the Coalition, the LibDems pushed back against new nukes on the grounds that they would be coming into service at the absurd, far off date of 2024….
They are so incoherent in the their policy. Just stop oil? Ok - how?
They need to depth charge a minke whale for each offence. Life ban from yoga?
Not sure you can do Glasgow: https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1998/42/contents
Chop an ear off.
The UK renewables were 43% of the total in the last 12 months
For South Korea that number was 19%
So why is electricity price in the UK 3.5x higher than in S.Korea?
if only, we could have been awaiting them coming on line in .... 10 years, maybe... but still sooner than otherwise
The next best time is 19 years ago
:
:
The 20th best time is now. But if that is what we’ve got, it’s still better than the 21st option.
That the existence of "fossil fuels" is a conspiracy theory, appears to be a genuine belief for not a few people.
Today I learned that there are people who think that the planet just spontaneously generated oil, it will never run out, and there is a giant conspiracy to keep people from realizing this.
https://x.com/ASFleischman/status/1839648958441832531
Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 3% nationally.
🇺🇸 Presidential Election Voting Intention (25-26 September):
Kamala Harris: 47% (+3)
Donald Trump: 44% (+2)
Other: 2% (-2)
Don't Know: 5% (-3)
Changes +/- 12 September
https://x.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1839696507546829100
Elon Musk is right:
And that's the problem with almost all the new "alternative" energy sources, like tidal and mini nukes and the like. What do you do when there's no demand for their power because the sun is shining?
Every home, every business, every factory, every school, every bus shelter is going to be covered in solar panels... because solar panels become cheaper every day. Already, they are becoming the cheapest building material.
So, how do other energy sources compete? The price of electricity during the day is going to be close to zero. And battery prices are collapsing too: homes will have their own battery backups, because that will be the cheapest.
My personal view is that natural gas is the easiest, cheapest backup at a country level. It's dispatchable, cheap, reliable, relatively clean and by far the easiest way to provide cover in the event you were to have a multi-month period with no wind and cloudy weather.
(But do remember that once you have enough panels, then even in winter in the UK you will have at least enough energy to cover daylight hours. And in time and with enough batteries, probably enough to cover nighttime too.)
So do the Koreans have a different model? I think the work to separate gas from renewable pricing is one of the more interesting things the government will do over the next few years, with lots of potential risks and rewards.
I mean W.T.F.???
He did his painting in oils. Since he was a Big Painter, that makes him Big Oil. Right?
He’s dealing with a hardcore here many of whom have prior convictions and In Some cases further court cases.
Any attempts to explain geology - or even basic chemistry like how long chain hydrocarbons break down into shorter ones over time - is met with invective about The Blob.
That's good.
Two options here to counter that:
a) Go back to chemistry classes to discover that there are many ways of methane coming into existence.
OR
b) Let's go for a bigger conspiracy and that these planets all had life and that methane still is a fossil fuel.
I'm a bluff old traditionalist so I shall buy Brady's book and read it - should be entertaining through the long (and if we are to believe some) dark autumn nights.
@FF43 puts up an interesting explanation as to why our energy prices seem so much higher than everyone's else. Natural Gas was 110p per therm this time last year but is now 96p. while a barrel of oil is around 25% cheaper than this time last year. Is it possible we here in the UK are subsidising the energy prices of customers in other countries, particularly those who own our gas and electricity aupply companies?
"Well, we have to wear plastic shoes. Because we are vegans..."
If that's the best you can do you really need to brush up on your puns.
(Did you explain to him that modern agriculture is entirely dependent on nitrogen fertilizer which requires... natural gas.)
The trouble with it is that, if the theiories were right then all the prinsciples we have been using to find oil and gas over the last 70 years would have been completely useless. It is only because we know how the oil and gas is formed and collected in reservoirs that we are so successful in finding it. If it were formed abiotically then we would never have bene able to find the stuff in the way we do.
I have actually co-written papers that rely on hydrocarbons having a biogenic origin to understand how reservoirs develop with time. This is one example.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0016236116311814
For the avoidance of doubt it is by 'more in common'
https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1839707325814452568?t=cNu3S8-sVBjkTUVVzQJzkA&s=19
The obvious kicker for me is that the older and hotter and deeper the surrounding rocks are, the more likely the oil will have been cooked and broken down. If the abiogenic theory of oil was correct, and oil was seeping from the core of the earth, then surely the deeper the oil, the "newer" it would be.
(Of course, the recent exploitation of shales - i.e. the source of hydrocarbons - also rather undoes the abiogenic theory.)
312 is not a bad total for a 50 over ODI.
Checks notes
312 is a really good total for a 39 over ODI.
(Heard that one - said with a straight face...)
'Winter is coming...'
Nazis and other wankers of that ilk.
But they're not are they?
Do people fill in these surveys in the ad breaks on GBeebies and ITV3?
"Activists throw soup on Van Gogh painting again"
This is for all those who think the punishment today was "too harsh"
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c243v5m0r0lo
This needs deterring, bigly
This doesn't matter if you are creating low quality tourism copy and the AI invents non-existent attractions in places, but it is important when the AI is asked to report on election results.
See Jeremy Corbyn, or Boris Johnson. A small group of extremely loyal cultists, hence the big word cloud.
A word cloud on who people think were shit politicians would probably look similar.
There's nobody there who I see leading the Conservatives into the next election. I would go for Cleverly, IF he said he was a temporary leader there for three years to oversee an extended beauty parade of the best of the rest. I'd hope some of the lost talent from 2024 might get back in through a few by-elections. Maybe, for example, Simon Fell would get the nod when Rishi walks away.
Wigs etc are never worn in juvenile cases. Nothing special here.
A society is partly to be judged by how it treats the most despised and least deserving.
Like nearly all prisoners these murderers will one day be out. Do you want them treated (emotional support etc) in such a way that they will be worse people or better people than now when the public are treated to their presence again?
@Frencheconomics
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2h
More than a trebling in the rate rate of Pension Credit claims in September compared to the pre-WFP gateway policy rate. Inadvertent but highly encouraging impact on means tested benefit claims amongst UK pensioners.
https://x.com/Frencheconomics
It could cost cars and small vans £4 per trip in peak hours or £1.50 off peak. There would be a reduction for some drivers, for example those on low incomes.
Bexley councillor Richard Diment says the tolls will create a "two-tier London", adding: "In central and western London, where there are far more crossings, no tolls are charged. It will make south-east London even more isolated than it is already."
He is particularly against the decision to toll Blackwall tunnel, "which has had no toll on it since it opened in the 1890s".
"Over here in the east, where we have relatively few river crossings, people are going to have to pay.
"It creates a two-tier London."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj9j0m7gkvdo
https://x.com/jasongroves1/status/1839700041201496084?s=61
Just Stop Soil.