The Tories are done in these areas...the Telfords, Swindons, Midlands, Northern seats..they'll hold on in areas where people have wealth and want to pay lower taxes...but hold on for now...
Nikki Morgan and Rory Stewart sat at the same table on C4 and talking SO MUCH SENSE. How the fuck did the Tories lose this whole wing of their party? Idiots.
ITV have chosen Lee Anderson as their first winner's speech, at least for the last few hours I watched. Far from establishment conspiracy, media absolutely adore Reform.
That's the wildcard of RefUK. Exit poll had them nearly certain to win Barnsley and they lost badly... and under 50% chance of Ashfield, and they won well.
Suspect that reflects ground game, though. Not sure many of their candidates will have that like Anderson.
If I were a Tory, beyond saying "Labour have won on only 36% of the vote" (to be fair so has Novara), I would be more worried about how effective Labour has been at targeting their votes.
Comments
Lab 17740
Con 13524
Ref 6973
PC 3245
Grn 1881
LD 1612
Abolish Welsh Assembly 669
Ind 182
ANME turnout only 54%. Said it was shite
Hexxed by Mother Shipton, I think.
Under 100 - 2.18
Over 100 - 1.78
Wouldn't like to guess!
Lab 19971
Ref 11090
Con 6483
Grn 1653
LD 1597
ED 376
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001329
Reform hold
At least Dick Holden won't suffer that, I suspect.
Reform 17062
Green 1100
LD 619
Labour 11553
Cons 3271
Reform GAIN from Cons. Lee Anderson elected
BREAKING: Lee Anderson wins Reform UK’s first seat of the night, keeping his seat in Ashfield.
Forgot about Jason Z.
Cannock Chase has now broken the record set by Telford 20 minutes earlier - *25.7* point Con to Lab swing. Wow.
Ref 17062
Lab 11553
Ash Ind 6276
Con 3271
Grn 1100
Lab 15670
Con 12046
Ref 11570
Grn 2137
LD 1029
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001150
You may think it's not the headline here, but it all feeds in to the national swing.
Suspect that reflects ground game, though. Not sure many of their candidates will have that like Anderson.
Not quite...that night the Tories lost by a landslide, tonight Labour win by a landslide...but nearly, sort of??
Anna Turley returns as the Labour MP for Redcar after losing in 2019, Jacob Young who was a key champion of Sunak loses his seats
Jonathan Brash (Lab) - 16,414
Tommy Dudley (WPoB) - 248
Sam Lee (Ind) - 895
Peter Maughan (LD) - 572
Jill Mortimer (Con) - 7,767
Amanda Napper (Ref) - 8,716
Vivienne Neville (Her) - 65
Jeremy Spyby-Steanson (Grn) - 834
https://x.com/NicMarkoLDR/status/1809034248780710085
Lab 16399
Ref 11651
Con 3247
Grn 1521
LD 1172
Yorkshire Party 716
Soc Lab 227
Eng Dem 149
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001075
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